Episode Transcript
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0:00
The Around the NFL podcast
0:04
runs the entire route tree
0:07
poorly.
0:08
Welcome to another edition of Around
0:11
the NFL.
0:13
My name is Dan Hans's got heroes here, Greg
0:16
Rosenthal, Mark Sessler very
0:19
special edition of
0:21
ATM. It is the one with the wide
0:23
receivers in friends
0:26
style. Boys,
0:28
We're gonna dive deep today
0:31
on what is a very rich and
0:33
promising wide receiver class. And
0:36
I will say this, greggie wide
0:38
quarterback is always gonna have the most juice right naturally,
0:41
because they are the most important player. They
0:44
can change the fortune and
0:46
direction of a franchise immediately,
0:49
the most recent example, of course being CJ. Stroud
0:51
in Houston. However, to
0:54
me, it is wide receivers that
0:58
that gets my juice flown in the sense of you
1:01
want to fix your offense, you
1:03
can do it overnight. Because
1:05
these guys are now entering the league and so many
1:07
of them are instant you know,
1:10
number two, fringe, number
1:12
one guys, some guy, the special ones are immediate
1:14
superstars. So when
1:16
you hear about this class in particular, it
1:19
feels like we're gonna get a couple of those this year and maybe
1:21
more.
1:22
That's a great point.
1:23
Dan Receivers out of rookie
1:25
contract before like a CD lamb until
1:28
he's gonna get paid whatever he's going to get paid
1:30
this offseason is such a ridiculous
1:33
value. And I think the contracts
1:35
top right receivers are getting there kind of reflecting
1:38
that after quarterback,
1:40
if you had to pick one position that
1:43
you think is the most valuable, it's
1:45
either left tackle, receiver or
1:48
edge, but it might be number
1:50
one true number one receiver, and there's
1:52
only so many of those, and that's a bit of a
1:54
flip compared to what teams
1:57
thought about, you know, ten to fifteen years ago.
1:59
I also like, I wonder if what
2:01
we're experiencing with this
2:03
draft class, you know, and it certainly
2:06
stands out wideer serier wise from from
2:08
others they've been, they've been, they're getting better and better, and
2:10
it's like, is this at some
2:12
point the new norm? Because I think like the one
2:15
starting to watch these guys, like so
2:17
many of them, like usually it's like, oh, he's
2:19
really good at this, but he's got to work on this with
2:21
NFL coaches to kind of get up to stuff. So
2:23
many of them look completely prepared
2:26
to start right away, and we aren't that far
2:28
away from a time when like you could draft a wide
2:30
out outside of like the top one, two or three, and
2:32
they're kind of ghosts until season two
2:35
or even three sometimes. But these guys look like ready
2:37
to roll immediately, a big junk of
2:39
them.
2:40
They're out there doing those seven on sevens and
2:42
and the quarter you know, quarterback
2:45
camps and all that stuff, and they're practicing
2:48
on air. And it's why I take exception to the money
2:50
drop. I can run an out route
2:52
walk. It's Walker's favorite thing in the world. To
2:54
go over to the middle school. They got a nice football
2:56
field which has some open and we're
2:58
practicing quite a bit where throwing routes
3:01
and I break off that route.
3:03
I can get off press coverage.
3:05
I mean, Greg, what if you have like a six to two
3:07
hundred and something pound cornerback jamming you at
3:09
the line, how's your out out route looking?
3:11
Then I'm just gonna duck under them. I kind of I do this
3:13
little movie.
3:14
Yes, slip it. Okay, you're
3:16
undersize, you're forty five years old.
3:18
Like, let's know our limitations,
3:21
Bud, Like you can't play on the
3:23
outside, you'd get man handled.
3:24
The route tree is complete, though,
3:26
you know.
3:27
The idea of like again, you've
3:29
you've been down on Hunter Renfro in the past,
3:32
like that's kind of your ceiling, bud, Like
3:34
that's what you have to operate in that realm.
3:36
I don't want to be the bear of bad news.
3:39
Like I'm an inline tight end blocker, like
3:41
I know, and maybe hit me at the
3:43
at the in the red zone or a little misdirection,
3:45
but.
3:46
I see at least five aj
3:48
green.
3:48
You know.
3:49
I mean to say that Hunter Renfro
3:51
is Greg's ceiling. It's like the ceiling three
3:54
stories up on a building from where Greg is
3:56
or any I know.
3:56
I'm just trying to like rein them in somewhat
3:59
to saying putting in some work lately?
4:02
Are you running these routes against your your held
4:04
your son again?
4:05
Too much time?
4:06
We got that football, you know that football where it's got the
4:08
routes on the football. So if I love that check,
4:10
you know, what's what's a five route?
4:14
Now?
4:14
There's no defenders there?
4:15
Okay?
4:16
And by the way, coming up just a little bit, Matt
4:18
Harmon, he of the
4:21
reception perception fame,
4:23
and we'll talk them out about what that means and
4:25
which players are really jumping out to him.
4:28
But before we kind of get to Matt.
4:31
Yeah.
4:32
I mean every team can use a number one,
4:34
right, even the teams that have a number one.
4:36
What's better than one? Number one? Two number ones?
4:39
It's the most second most supporting position, a backup
4:41
quarterback, and the third most The
4:44
third is the backup back up quarterback.
4:46
Charlie Casserly, where are you, buddy, Greg?
4:50
Who's a team or teams
4:52
that really jump out to you that are going to be all over
4:55
this wide receiver class when you look at what they currently
4:57
have in house.
4:58
There were so many when we did this, like
5:00
I wrote down no less than fourteen. It's
5:02
crazy, like as many good receivers have come
5:04
in so many needs. But Baltimore is one that
5:06
I think is high profile that hasn't gotten a lot
5:09
of attention. Like Zay Flowers
5:11
is not a one, Rashad
5:13
Bateman is not a two. Aglar
5:16
would probably be best as a four. So
5:19
they're not gonna find a one most likely in this class.
5:21
But man, they're counting a lot
5:23
on Rashad Bateman right now, and maybe they'll pick up a veteran
5:26
at some point, but that is a high profile team and
5:28
just staying in that division too. You kind of you
5:30
look at Cincinnati. The most Cincinnati move in the
5:32
world is just replacing Tyler Boyd one
5:34
for one in this draft with the slot receiver.
5:36
I could see that happening. And then Pittsburgh they have
5:38
one receiver.
5:39
It's George Pickens, who hasn't exactly
5:41
been the most reliable player in the world. And they're they're
5:43
two and three. Is I don't even know who quit?
5:46
They really don't have a two or three. It's Qus
5:48
Watkins, it's Calvin Austin, it's Van
5:50
Jefferson. So that division, all
5:53
those teams need receivers. The Bounds are the only team
5:55
they look pretty solid.
5:56
Yeah, cycling back to to Baltimore,
5:59
I trust the Ravens in so many ways
6:01
in terms of roster building, but they've
6:03
proven time and time again that they they
6:05
can't find a number one wide receiver. If
6:07
they're franchise, is life depended
6:10
on it? Not that Zay Flowers is a bad
6:12
pick.
6:12
I know you're a good pick.
6:13
I think you're right that he has
6:15
the ceiling to be, you know, even a Pro Bowl player,
6:17
But he's maybe not the number one you mentioned Rashad
6:20
Bateman. He was also a first round pick.
6:22
Is there a third first round pick. Who's the other name he threw out there,
6:24
Nelson a.
6:28
Philly.
6:29
He was another high for a high round pick.
6:31
Odell Beckham they brought in last year thinking
6:33
he would fill a role and that didn't
6:35
really work out either. So would the Ravens
6:38
go back to the well once again with the kind
6:40
of the one blind spot when it comes to real left
6:42
identify talent you've
6:44
got.
6:45
You brought in Todd Mounkin and they they you
6:48
know, correctly addressed wide out a year ago, but
6:50
then you've lost like Odell Beckham's gone, and like
6:52
you're kind of back where you started from, and like this
6:54
is the draft class to do it. I think there's a couple
6:56
of teams, like, you know, it's a little more overt,
6:59
but I see like coaches
7:01
getting canned if they don't figure out what they're
7:03
doing at wide out. In some situations,
7:05
like the Arizona Cardinals, they've got literally
7:08
they've got a fringed number two
7:10
type of guy and nobody else, and it's like they're
7:12
in a weird place because it's like everyone points to them
7:15
as the team that's going to trade with the Vikings
7:17
to get Minnesota up to number four to take
7:19
their quarterback. But then it's like, Okay,
7:21
you pass on Marvin Harrison
7:23
Junior, when like, the most important
7:25
player in your franchise history in the modern day
7:27
age was Larry Fitzgerald. You can go get that
7:29
player a version of that player again. It's
7:31
like I think Cardinals fans they're really split
7:34
and they're divided on like, wait, do we trade
7:36
these do we acquire picks and
7:38
get lesser players, or do we get
7:40
this guy who can change the franchise for
7:43
fifteen years twelve?
7:44
I'm with you.
7:45
They all this talk that like, oh, the Bears should
7:47
they take Roma Dunes at Nins, Like he's not getting
7:49
there because there's too many teams
7:51
in front that will be taking receivers
7:54
and the Cardinals are one of them. And if the Bears
7:56
do have a chance they can they they should because
7:59
they need to receive. They've got They've got
8:01
DJ Moore, They've got Keenan Allen who's a thirty two
8:03
year old on a one year contract in nothing else.
8:05
And I look at the AFC East and the Dolphins
8:07
are all set. They're loaded.
8:09
They have maybe the best one two punch in
8:12
the league with Tyreek Hill and Waddle.
8:15
But the Bills, their struggles.
8:18
To have a real wide receiver room
8:21
were well documented before they traded Stefan
8:23
Diggs, so you would think they will be all over
8:25
one of these prospects we're going to talk about with
8:28
Matt Harmon in a bit. The Patriots
8:30
are a team that is screaming
8:32
out for some juice and who is Who's
8:35
it now? They're gonna most likely target
8:37
a quarterback at the top of the class,
8:39
but they could use wide receiver help, and you
8:42
imagine they're going to go hard at this group. And then
8:44
the Jets, who have Garrett Wilson,
8:46
who is a budding superstar entering
8:49
his third year who could be a monster if
8:51
Aaron Rodgers stays on the field. Mike Williams
8:53
was I thought a nice move to bring him in, But
8:56
you can't assume Mike Williams
8:58
is going to stay healthy coming off in ACL and all his
9:00
issues. The Jets sitting where they are in
9:02
the draft, like, I'm of that.
9:04
I'm of the.
9:05
Thought like if Joe Alt is there, who's
9:07
as flawless as an offensive lineman
9:09
prospects as
9:12
you'll see, if he is off the board
9:14
by the time the Jets pick at what eight, I believe
9:17
I'm going and grabbing one of the ten, is it?
9:20
Sorry, I'm grabbing one of these wide
9:22
receivers because they're gonna one
9:24
of these big guys will be there because
9:26
of all the teams that are picking a quarterback at the top
9:28
of the top ten. So that's a team
9:30
that jumps out to me like that would be you
9:33
want to get as somebody who's obviously been
9:36
struggling a little bit as a Jets fan after
9:38
last year's harrowing season.
9:41
If you pair Garrett Wilson with one
9:44
of these gifted young players and then
9:46
everything else they have Breese Hall
9:48
and Mike Williams is a three. I
9:51
mean, you can really start to get excited.
9:53
So we'll see if they go that route.
9:56
Yeah, well, Holts are a team at fifteen that I
9:58
think are a nice spot. Like Brian miss Junior
10:00
to them is one of my favorite matches. But because
10:02
of what you just said, and because of going through the top
10:04
ten and thinking like, well, which team doesn't
10:06
need a receiver here, I kind of think he'll
10:10
go higher than people expect and we'll get
10:12
to him a little more later. But like
10:14
the Titans, they could still use a receiver. I know, everyone
10:17
just thinks it's tackle tackle tackle. They could absolutely
10:19
use a receiver on that team. Still,
10:22
the Falcons could absolutely use a ride receiver, like
10:24
even teams later in the draft. Not that they're going to
10:26
trade up for these top guys, but like the forty nine
10:28
Ers have to think about the future of replacing either Deebo
10:31
or Ayuk. The Lions, they love
10:33
Aman Ross Saint Brown, but he's an inside guy, and
10:35
yeah outside it's like you're hope and Jamison Williams
10:38
works out, it's Josh Reynolds. Like they need
10:40
receivers. The Panthers are still shortened weapons.
10:42
They're just like so many teams. To me, that's
10:44
why I just think there's gonna be what twelve
10:47
receivers maybe go in the first two rounds. It's gonna
10:50
be a lot.
10:50
But you can't get this far and not mentioned like the Chargers,
10:52
who, like, I mean, this offseason has been a disaster
10:55
on that front. I think like it's one of those
10:57
times where what the draft provides
11:00
couldn't match more perfectly with the way
11:02
football operates right now. You don't have to it's not
11:04
nineteen eighty six. You don't have like one wide receiver and
11:06
a number two and a bunch of tight ends and fullbacks.
11:08
You need four or five of these dudes.
11:10
Not to mention, we're coming off a somewhat me year
11:12
from wide receiver in
11:14
twenty three, So those teams that
11:17
have been looking for wide receiver helped weren't able
11:19
to get it in most cases last year. So
11:21
now it goes down
11:23
that road, and I thought you were going to go in a different direction,
11:25
Mark in the AFC West. We cannot end
11:27
this part of the conversation without mentioning
11:30
the defending champion Chiefs, who picking
11:32
thirty two, who made a move
11:34
and got Hollywood Brown, a move I wasn't in love
11:36
with personally, and it seems so
11:38
obvious to me that there's another move
11:41
coming. My question is do they sit
11:43
where they are or do they really
11:45
go aggressively up the board
11:47
and try to get one of these big boys, because
11:50
that would be the talk of draft night if they
11:52
do get aggressive, right,
11:56
anybody else want to throw out another team?
11:59
You could just do that whole division because the Broncos,
12:01
like the Bronco sneaky, need everything.
12:04
But they have Courtland Sutton and
12:06
then just a lot of question marks tim Patrick
12:09
Mims. I mean, it's not the worst receiver group of the world,
12:11
but again, there's so few of these teams that you couldn't
12:13
see like a second round pick at receiver helping.
12:16
I waited so long for it not to be
12:20
a conversation anymore, but now that
12:22
it's here and gone, I miss it.
12:24
Like, but you know, Courtland Sutton
12:26
and Jerry Judy, they
12:29
could be dynamic.
12:32
Going to miss that conversation?
12:34
Are you You can still talk about
12:36
him in Cleveland? You know Jerry Judy, He's
12:39
he's the long term future as of Cleveland.
12:41
Are we cool with the Browns? Mark with them?
12:43
No?
12:44
Because I think what they've done is
12:46
is kind of interesting, Like Judy
12:49
and Elijah more like represent players
12:52
that others that haven't had breakout success
12:54
on any level have been frustrating. You can see
12:56
it a little potential, but other teams gave
12:58
up on them. Yeah, and Amari Cooper
13:01
is getting up there in age. I thought he had a great year last
13:03
year. But like that team has
13:05
to feel us all in with their financial
13:07
situation everything else as anyone
13:10
out there. But they don't have a lot of draft picks, but I would absolutely
13:13
want them to get a wide receiver.
13:15
You know who really helps.
13:16
Them in that realm as a playmaker, that
13:19
David Njoku. It's quite a player.
13:22
Mark, He's a good player. I've come around
13:24
on that.
13:26
All right.
13:27
With that said, let's take a quick break
13:29
and when we come back, we will have Matt
13:31
Harmon to break down some of the young
13:34
wide receiving talent about to flood into the league.
13:37
And all those teams we just talked.
13:38
About, many of them, well all of them are
13:40
gonna be jockeying for these guys and we'll
13:42
find out in a couple of weeks who gets him.
13:44
We'll be right back to
13:47
the answer. God touch down
13:49
Harrison again?
13:50
Why seven the occasiones Corman Harrison
13:52
Junior Flowers heading to the end?
13:54
Ze man? Is he devastating it
13:56
with a count? That's brock Powers.
13:58
There's the shot to it.
14:03
Tuesday.
14:06
My own mind, my weak neighbors
14:08
is just lighting up this morning.
14:13
Thomas
14:15
just trad sweed from Brian Thomas.
14:17
That's pretty with that, so.
14:21
Welcome back.
14:23
Yes, it's the one with the wide receivers
14:26
episode, and we just talked about
14:30
what teams are going to be aggressive on
14:33
draft weekend targeting
14:35
wide receivers the teams that make sense. But now let's
14:37
talk about the wide receivers themselves
14:40
that are entering the league. And it's a potentially
14:43
historic wide receiver class. And we think
14:45
wide receiver boys, and you think
14:48
the NFL, and you think about route
14:50
trees and you and you think about the receptions,
14:54
but you think about the perception, don't
14:56
you as well. Matt
14:58
Harmon, welcome back to
15:01
Around the NFL.
15:03
Oh Man, Dan, thank you for that intro. I
15:06
got to think about stealing that for like the start of our
15:08
own podcast. That is that
15:10
is pretty good. So I'll have my lawyers talk
15:12
to your lawyers and maybe we'll come to sort of an agreement on
15:14
on buying that ip.
15:15
There no problem working a little bit
15:17
blue to make a point.
15:19
Matt, of course, a former colleague of
15:21
ours at NFL Media was a
15:23
fantasy guy, and as he was a
15:25
fantasy guy, he created the mythology
15:27
Reception Perception, which has its own
15:29
website which you could check out, and Matt
15:31
is all over that and also of
15:34
course does writing and analysis
15:36
for Yahoo. So Matt, welcome
15:38
back to the show. And it's always good to see a friend.
15:40
And yes, even though you said it before we came
15:42
on. I'm now going to steal that little
15:45
bit of pre show banter. You've moved
15:47
away from the swoosh hair style. Then
15:49
I saw you when we lived together in El Segundo before
15:52
you move back east. You said I'm a hack guy now
15:54
and that surprised me, and quite frankly, as
15:56
a fellow follicle guy, disappointed
15:58
me. And now you got the Travis Kelcey fade.
16:01
So it looks like you're not a hat guy after all. I
16:03
would say, I'm like a fifty to fifty.
16:05
You know, when the weather is nice
16:07
and you know you're doing a lot of sweating, it makes
16:09
it's nice to have the hat. That's good.
16:12
That's that's a nice call, you know. I mean, look, Dan, see
16:14
you're a gifted hair guy or follicle guy
16:16
in your words, and you're wearing the hat right now,
16:19
so I mean, you know, it's it's good to be able to do both.
16:21
Versatility as you get older is important.
16:23
It's not an incredible upset that we've
16:25
spent the first forty percent
16:28
of this interview talking about Dan's hair.
16:32
Also, you're we're too old to do
16:34
the Travis Kelsey at least I was speaking for myself.
16:36
I'm much too old, but you pull it off.
16:38
You look like you could be the unathletic
16:41
third brother of the Kelsey.
16:43
I mean, I think I'll
16:45
take minor offense to the unathletic part
16:47
because I do like to
16:50
say that I'll work out.
16:51
I'm a gym guy as well.
16:53
But at the same time too Hall of famers, Matt,
16:55
you know.
16:56
Well, listen, if I hit
16:58
my peak a little earlier,
17:01
I think I could have gotten there. No, but in all seriousness,
17:03
I just want to say, for the record, yes, I
17:05
don't want to call it the Travis Kelce. You guys can call
17:07
it the Travis Kelce, but officially it's
17:10
a It's not the Travis Kelce. Just just just to get
17:12
that on the record.
17:13
What is it? What is what is it?
17:15
The Because my haircut is the modified
17:17
gentleman's contour? Famously, what is
17:20
yours called? It's just
17:22
a fade, just your old fade.
17:24
Okay, okay, but enough Honkin'
17:27
let's focus up. Hair is great, but these
17:29
wide receivers my own harmon
17:32
And can you give people that maybe
17:34
are not familiar with the reception perception model,
17:36
like how you came to
17:40
study the game this way, wide receivers
17:42
and playmakers this way, and what it
17:44
what it tells you, And then we'll get into
17:47
some of the players in this draft class,
17:49
which obviously have to be very exciting for what
17:51
you do.
17:52
Yeah, wide receiver business is booming right now, that's
17:54
for sure. But what reception
17:56
perception is is the methodology that I created around
17:58
like twenty thirteen, twenty four fourteen. Twenty fourteen
18:01
was the first year that I tracked league wide data
18:03
with reception perception or close to league
18:05
wide data. I'm not charting every single player in the league,
18:07
and certainly not every single college prospect,
18:10
that's for sure. But what I do is I going
18:12
over eight game sample for NFL or college
18:14
prospects when the film is available, and
18:16
chart every single route they run, where they
18:18
line up, really try to give you a view
18:21
of what a wide receiver is doing in isolation, because
18:23
all those years ago, my thought was, you
18:25
know, you're lucky if you're a receiver. You get like
18:27
eight to ten targets a game, but you're running, you
18:30
know, thirty plus routes a game. You're playing like sixty
18:32
plus snaps a game. If you're a true number one
18:34
guy, and we all know the quarterback or
18:36
wide receiver production is so inherently dependent
18:38
on quarterbacks depending on pass protection, is
18:40
dependent on like the environment that they're in. And even
18:42
we know this more now, even maybe more than we did
18:44
ten eleven years ago, that a
18:47
wide receiver is not a wide receiver, right, Like, these
18:49
guys are so different, even if they all have wr
18:52
next to their names, so reception perception
18:54
through that charting data that I'm
18:56
the only one doing the charting. You know, James Co,
18:58
my business partner, would love to maybe take some
19:00
of that work my hands. Yeah, he'd love to
19:02
add some more people to the team. But to me, you
19:05
got to pry the charting away from like
19:07
my cold dead hands. Man. That's why
19:09
I love to do. This is actually the the grunt
19:11
work of it. But through that charting data tries
19:13
to give you a real picture of who a wide receiver
19:15
is in isolation away from their production,
19:18
you know, for a variety of different reasons to try to categorize
19:21
these guys, try to understand them
19:23
within their roles and obviously from a you know, for fantasy
19:25
fans, you know, you want to try to spot a breakout before
19:28
it's coming.
19:28
I was going to ask you real quick, like, have you the same
19:31
way you know, PFF started their
19:33
own way to you know, track mythologize
19:36
like play like have you had NFL teams or
19:38
scouts of that ilk reach out
19:40
to you about about what you.
19:41
Do every now and again.
19:44
If there are any NFL folks wanting to
19:46
you know, pay me a bag that listen to this show, i'd
19:49
gladly do you guys know this as big as
19:51
big big media bros like consulting work,
19:53
That's where it's at, and I'd hire me as
19:55
your consultant.
19:56
I'd love to do it.
19:57
I don't know if that would require me taking
20:00
you know, information off the site to my loyal
20:02
subscribers, but really, I'm a man of
20:04
the people, Mark. I'm out there for
20:06
the folks that can afford a you know, thirty dollars
20:08
subscription to learn about wide receivers.
20:11
Hey, if it works out, it works out.
20:13
Whenever I meet somebody and they tell
20:15
me they're a consultant, they're almost
20:17
always very wealthy.
20:19
So that's something I want to get into one day, all right. So
20:21
with that in mind, let's get into it.
20:23
And we kind of built up the atn
20:26
Heroes here some superlatives,
20:28
and we're going to tee you up and you could
20:30
tell us which one of these prospects, because we're
20:32
hearing what three out of the top
20:34
eight picks maybe to start the draft could be
20:36
wide receivers. Maybe even better than
20:38
that, we'll see. But it's not just the
20:40
big three. There's a lot of talent and stress. So let's start
20:43
here. The twenty twenty four Reception Perception
20:45
Man Crush Award winner.
20:47
Is Oh, I'll
20:49
just start off with Roma Dunza there, because
20:52
to me, I don't watch college football
20:54
on Saturdays. You know, I'm a happily
20:56
married man, and I already ruined like
20:58
three days of the week with nfell work. It would be kind
21:01
of hard to justify to missus harmon like I'm
21:03
gonna ruin one more day of the week by watching
21:05
a bunch of college football. It's something that doesn't really
21:07
have anything to do with my job. So I'm not
21:09
super familiar with these players before
21:11
watching them for the draft, other than obviously I knew Marvin
21:14
Harrison Junior's name and knew the hype around that particular
21:16
player, So coming into this process, I didn't really
21:18
know anything about these guys. But the first time
21:20
I put on the film of Romadoonsea, I mean, whatever
21:22
superlatives you have for this exercise,
21:25
boys, I could probably say Rome's name for
21:27
most of them, because I think he is
21:29
just so good at everything. I think he's an extremely clean
21:31
prospect. He lines up on the line
21:34
of scrimmage as a true X receiver, which
21:36
is not something we could say about last year's draft
21:38
class. Right like last year's draft class, it was
21:40
a lot of guys like Jackson Smith and Jigba z
21:42
A Flowers, even Jordan Addison, these guys
21:44
that were gonna play off the ball and be
21:46
more of the kind of complimentary players. All
21:49
three of the top receivers in this draft class are
21:52
not of that ill calthough Malik Neighbors doesn't really line
21:54
up as that true X, but specifically Rome,
21:56
like he's just out there doing NFL things,
21:58
running NFL routes. I love the way he gets
22:00
off the line of scrimmag against press coverage. I think he's
22:02
a great separator. Really kind of underrated as a
22:04
separator because he has all these contested
22:07
targets on his resume, But a lot
22:09
of that is the fact he's running downfield routes. He
22:11
has a quarterback, he's willing to trust him in those tight
22:13
areas. To me, he just looks like kind
22:15
of a I had did prospect comparisons
22:18
like aggressive and cautious comps for a
22:20
Yahoo video series this year. My
22:23
cautious comp for him was Alan Robinson, like another
22:25
guy that just you can line him up at X back
22:27
in his prime and you could win there. You know, it's
22:29
kind of short to intermediate, but also be a contested
22:31
catch threat. My aggressive comp for him was
22:34
DeVante Adams, another guy that you
22:36
know wins at all three levels. Great route
22:38
runner, nice separator, pretty like a
22:40
solid tackle breaker after the catch, and obviously
22:42
someone you could throw to in contest the situations
22:44
like, hey, hey, you funnel thirty percent of your
22:47
offense to this guy and you never think twice about it.
22:49
I do think at his peak, Rome could be that guy.
22:51
Here's a comp from Daniel Jeremiah.
22:53
He sees Lary Fitzgerald as a comp
22:55
coming out of college, which is obviously
22:57
high praise too. That's a Hall of Fame re mark.
22:59
Yeah.
23:00
I was just gonna say watching him, the
23:02
contested catches stand out. I feel like he had
23:04
defenders in his bee hive and he'd come down with
23:06
the ball. But also a lot of it is with these college
23:08
guys, like you've got these quarterbacks like paired
23:10
with Michael Pennix Junior, I felt like they had like
23:12
ten thousand catches or accombinations
23:15
that were like forty yards downfield
23:17
where it just was like he could
23:19
do no wrong, and like, I'm with you. I came away just
23:22
kind of in love with this guy. So I love what you said
23:24
that.
23:25
Yeah, there's so many you mentioned the extraceiver
23:27
even even the ones further on and we'll get to them.
23:29
It seems like in compared to the
23:31
last couple of classes, there's like six seven
23:33
guys that you could see as number ones. The
23:36
thing I was worried about going into it, and you
23:38
can tell me how the reception perception worked
23:40
out for Roma Dunes. He was like, whenever the
23:42
first thing you hear is contested catch guy that's
23:44
been a bit almost been in like a red flag for players
23:47
in the last handful of years. Drake London's a bit of an exception.
23:50
I think he's kind of made his style of
23:52
play work in the NFL and he's gotten better.
23:54
But you're seeing a Donze maybe a little more
23:57
subtle with his route running, a little
23:59
more versatile than maybe
24:01
just positioning him. And he's kind
24:03
of turned into wide receiver three. We'll see if the NFL
24:06
agrees with that or not. But he's
24:08
kind of landed as a
24:10
three. Even though at the beginning
24:12
of the process, guys like Jeremiah maybe had him
24:14
as high or higher than Harrison or Neighbors.
24:17
It doesn't feel like a lot of people believe
24:20
he's gonna go ahead of them. You seem
24:22
to think he's a little more versatile, though,
24:24
and you would put him ahead of him, would you.
24:26
I had a long kind
24:29
of internal debate with myself, you
24:31
know, my war room up here, me and the two
24:33
dogs. We had a long internal debate of like
24:35
who was the wide receiver one in this class? Which to me,
24:37
I think I was close to making
24:40
it Rome I eventually maybe just broke
24:42
a few ties in favor of Marvin Harrison. But Rome
24:44
is the second guy to me, and Malik Neighbors is
24:46
a third guy. Now, my mission statement with this draft class,
24:49
these top three guys in particular, like, these
24:51
guys are all so close, they're all great prospects.
24:54
To me, they're all tier one prospects on my stacked
24:56
board for the last four classes. So like, you
24:58
like this guy with this guy that's with me, you want
25:01
to take this trait over that trade also fine
25:03
with me. It's kind of reminiscent.
25:05
You brought up Drake London. To me, this is reminiscent
25:07
a little bit to that draft class where like
25:09
you could put Drake number one, you could have put Garrett Wilson
25:11
number one, You could have put Chris Alave number one,
25:14
and I would have been fine with that. Ultimately I
25:16
went with that year kind of the route running craft
25:18
guy which was Chris Olave and then you
25:20
know, then Drake London, then Garrett
25:22
Wilson. To me, I think I'd probably flip that up
25:24
now that they're in the NFL. But I see
25:27
this group as very similar to that.
25:28
It could.
25:28
It kind of depends what type of player and what number
25:31
one receiver you value in terms of
25:33
a traits perspective. But yeah, like on the
25:35
separation part of it, it was a very similar
25:38
exercise with with Drake London where you actually
25:40
had to watch him on film
25:42
and see the routes developed to like,
25:44
no, this is a guy that is getting open early
25:47
in the routes and maybe gets thrown into some of
25:49
these contested situations. Like Terry
25:51
mclaurin's always kind of high in the NFL in terms of
25:53
percentage of contested targets. But I don't find
25:55
any issues with his separation. I think he's just
25:58
played with some erratic quarterback playing. And Michael
26:00
Pennix is a good quarterback, but he is a little bit of an
26:02
erratic passer down the field as well.
26:05
All Right, I'll throw it out you and look,
26:08
rum could have been the answer to this, but now you're
26:10
gonna have to pick someone else.
26:11
All Right.
26:12
The wide receiver in this class that would have been
26:14
a number one would have been the number one receiver
26:17
in last year's class.
26:19
Yeah, you could go with any of the top three guys.
26:21
I think you could honestly make an argument that
26:24
even like Brian Thomas and JSN kind
26:26
of have similar grades in terms of last year's draft
26:28
class. But I'll say Malik Neighbors as
26:30
the obvious guy here. Another
26:32
one that to me is my wide receiver three,
26:35
but easily with a bullet would have had
26:37
like a tier break between him and any of the players
26:39
last year. Neighbors is very
26:41
fun. He's he's like an easy player to love because
26:44
I think it takes like three plays to see, oh, this guy's
26:46
different from an explosiveness standpoint.
26:49
Like I mentioned that twenty two class, I'll bring it up
26:51
here again that he's kind of the Garrett Wilson of that draft
26:53
class to me, where he's a little bit of like a wild
26:56
horse route runner. He's not the most refined
26:58
player, but he's so explos with
27:00
the ball in his hands. And if he just continues
27:02
to develop, you have a lot of confidence,
27:04
just like I think Garret Wilson has developed into a true
27:06
number one at the NFL level. I think neighbors
27:08
could do that too.
27:09
One thing noticing watching him is like I love
27:11
the seeing the body language of
27:14
the poor individual that's forced to
27:16
try to cover him, because it's the kind of
27:18
like the way that you watch a sprinter at the end of a race
27:20
where he's bending his upper
27:23
body forward to try to hit the tape first, and
27:25
these cornerbacks like are losing control of
27:27
their bodies and like he's catching past us
27:29
nine or ten yards ahead of them, And I just think
27:31
he's like the kind of guy that could like break someone's spirit
27:34
by the end of the first quarter in the NFL.
27:37
He seems so reliable but like so flashy
27:40
at the same time. I mean it maybe it is
27:42
the LSU thing and I'm just a simpleton, but he
27:44
really did kind of remind me of Odell or
27:47
like or like a little bigger
27:49
Steve Steve Smith type, where he's just got
27:51
such a natural feel as
27:54
a runner and he has great hands. So I hear you
27:56
that, Like maybe he's a little rougher around the edges running
27:58
routes or something, but he just seems very easy
28:01
to project in like any of these
28:03
systems that like, he doesn't need to even
28:06
get any better to just like immediately
28:08
just put a thousand yards plus up
28:10
there.
28:11
The only thing with him that's different from these
28:13
top two receivers is he does play out
28:15
of the slot the most, which I mean, who cares,
28:17
it's not that big of a deal, but fifty point three percent
28:19
of his sampled snaps in reception perception
28:21
came from the slot. He was more of like a split
28:24
between on the ball or off the ball.
28:26
But that's totally fine, Like you can funnel your offense
28:28
through that player. But it's similar to
28:30
kind of DJ Moore coming out of the NFL Draft,
28:33
where the guy but kind of like a two
28:35
X version of that type of player where he was
28:37
rough around the edges from a route running perspective,
28:39
but he was explosive and you could see
28:41
that he was going to develop that in the league. That's
28:43
why I'm not, like, I'm not docking
28:46
him out of my first tier of prospects because he's
28:48
just the least refined of these three players.
28:50
He's also like not even twenty one yet. I don't think
28:52
he turns twenty one until after he's
28:55
drafted. So he's a guy that you do feel pretty
28:57
good about that growth. But like you said, Greg, his
28:59
explosive and his ability to break tackles,
29:01
which in my opinion is easily the best
29:03
in this class, and I think it's actually the best of like
29:05
the last three classes. His ability to make plays
29:07
in the open field like that
29:10
gives you like a floor for any if you're
29:12
a team like the Giants, which I know it's weird with the Giants
29:14
because they a lot of
29:16
things are weird with the Giants, but they don't have they have a
29:18
lot of like these slot guys, right, like
29:20
guys who've played mostly inside,
29:22
and Neighbors is a mostly inside guy at LSU,
29:25
but it feels like
29:27
they need someone to just say to Danny Dimes
29:29
or maybe Drew Locke at some point, like this
29:31
is your first read, he's gonna run a crossing
29:34
route or a dig route something like that. You just get the
29:36
ball to him and worry about the rest later.
29:38
It feels like a good way to start to kind of build a foundation
29:41
on your offense.
29:41
That's the Jets offense with Garret Wilson the last
29:43
two years basically.
29:44
Yes, yeah, correct, which is
29:47
why I kind of see those two guys similarly.
29:50
All Right, here's one for you. I'm not Marvin
29:52
Harrison, Junior, Malik Neighbors or Roma Denze,
29:55
but I have the best chance to put up number
29:57
one type numbers as a rookie.
30:01
If we're just talking numbers depending
30:04
on depending on where
30:06
he's drafted. I kind
30:09
of think it's got to be Brian Thomas, who's
30:11
the consensus wide receiver for He's my wide
30:13
receiver for in this draft class. I don't know if
30:16
he has he definitely has
30:18
the ceiling of a number one, but I think he
30:20
probably projects best as like a high end number
30:22
two. He only runs like three
30:24
routes. I mean, in his reception perception sample,
30:26
sixty seven percent of his routes were a slant,
30:29
a curl, or a go route.
30:31
And that's it. It doesn't mean, it doesn't mean it can't
30:34
learn it.
30:34
How can we kind of learn that with wide receivers
30:37
in these weird systems that they can learn it when they
30:39
get there.
30:39
I was just gonna say, like, and you, But at the
30:42
same time, his success rate on
30:44
a wide variety of other routes is really high.
30:46
Like, I think he does show the skills to expand
30:49
that route tree, but it gives you kind of
30:51
like if you look back at DK Metcalf's rookie season,
30:53
sixty seven percent of the routes that he
30:55
ran as a rookie was a slant, a
30:57
curl, or a go route. And so I think
30:59
that sort of development plan for Brian Thomas.
31:02
But if he lands with the right offense, like
31:04
I think about the Colts at fifteen, make a lot of
31:06
sense. Like you have a guy in
31:08
Michael Pittman that you're gonna throw the ball to a ton in the
31:10
short to intermediate area, and then you have
31:12
Brian Thomas just kind of ripping you on the routes
31:14
that you wanted Alec Pierce to win on. That
31:17
makes a lot of sense to me just from a pure numbers
31:19
perspective. I think he can put up like number one numbers
31:21
and then maybe eventually grow into that player.
31:24
He's the guy I was hoping you would
31:26
say for the last one, because I don't
31:28
have many draft takes where I'm
31:30
personally like a like a student
31:33
who is just studying for the test at the very
31:35
last minute and then like is over confident
31:37
going into it. But my one over confident
31:39
take is like, you can't take Brian Thomas Junior
31:41
too high if I didn't know anything about it,
31:43
I'm just sort of basic. If I didn't know anything
31:46
about where these guys were, and you just watch
31:49
Brian Thomas's six games, You're like, wait,
31:51
why is he not at top five?
31:52
Pick? Why is he not at like cause his
31:55
stop.
31:55
And start and his ability to
31:57
move so smoothly at that size
32:01
is just insane, Like it's just
32:03
as insane. I kind of see
32:05
his ceiling like in a perfect world where it all
32:07
went well, is like just as high
32:09
as those other guys. And I get it, Like he used to be a
32:12
basketball player. He ran a limited amount
32:14
of routes that you know, some of these deep threats
32:16
from the SEC, like like Jmo having
32:19
totally worked out, but a guy that
32:21
huge, that can run like that, that can stop
32:23
like that, Like he looked like Nico Collins to
32:25
me, looks now and
32:28
Nico Collins is great now. And I was like, if he
32:30
looks that good now and he's this age, and like his
32:32
testing is off the charts,
32:34
like he could be Nico Collins plus plus,
32:36
which is which is like a top ten receiver.
32:39
So like I I wouldn't be shocked if,
32:41
like if the Falcons or
32:43
one of those teams takes him in the top ten
32:45
just because of the way he looks. If a Dunze goes
32:48
early, like I don't see why he wouldn't
32:50
go against ahead of some of these defensive
32:52
players or tackles too.
32:54
But maybe I'm stupid.
32:55
You're not stupid, Greg, But I think the good the
32:57
good things Thomas. The
33:00
good thing with Brian Thomas is you also saw him
33:03
get better throughout the year, right, Like I
33:05
think a lot of analytic models will
33:07
ding him because he only has this one big year
33:09
of production. But that
33:11
production number one was earned and
33:14
number two, like you saw him on film, get
33:16
better, like the September routes
33:18
are not as good as the December routes.
33:20
Like the later games, He's getting better and better. He's
33:22
already making that development, that projection that
33:24
you kind of want him to make. And I
33:26
just love the idea of him across
33:28
from a competent number one, so that Atlanta spot
33:31
makes a lot of sense to where you're getting the most
33:33
out of him. And then you know Drake London's or Michael
33:35
Pittman from the example that I gave earlier.
33:37
All Right, everybody, let's stop down for one minute. We'll
33:39
take a break, and then we'll continue on with
33:41
Matt Harmon. All right,
33:43
we're back. So along those similar lines
33:46
to Mark's questions, so we've now hit on the mount
33:48
rushmore here if you will,
33:50
of prospects at this position.
33:53
Let's talk superlative for sleeper stud
33:55
So who's flying under the radar here a bit as
33:58
a twenty twenty four. I'm not saying super or
34:00
number one wide receiver, but a guy that steps
34:02
in and is an immediate difference maker,
34:04
like a Nico Collins, and then he develops and turns
34:07
into a star, like, who is the difference
34:09
maker that people aren't talking about.
34:12
I really like Ricky Piersaw is kind
34:14
of my favorite guy that's in a few
34:16
tiers down fun player.
34:19
I think he's a really good route runner. To me, he
34:21
seems like a guy that's just going to be a quarterback's best
34:23
friend very early on, because he's really good on
34:26
like slant routes and flat routes and these sort of
34:28
just routes around the line of scrimmage. But
34:30
he's got legit juice down the field. He's
34:32
a guy that you see on film play all three positions,
34:35
so you see him a little bit at X. I think his most
34:37
likely home in the NFL is going to be as
34:39
a flanker slot, like a guy that moves between those two
34:41
positions, someone that I think has
34:44
that sort of floor that you're talking about early on
34:46
Dan where he just gets open against
34:48
man's own coverage. It's a little more average
34:50
around press, but again there are ways to hide
34:52
that. You get him working around the line of scrimmage.
34:54
He's a quarterbacks best friend. He's always at the right landmarks.
34:56
He's always at the right place in terms of where you want
34:59
him from a route running perspective, but I
35:01
do see the upside for him to develop into like one
35:03
hundred and twenty type of target player in
35:05
year two, year three.
35:07
I think that there's a chance that he goes
35:09
higher than people think, just because he checks a
35:11
lot of like athletic measurements as well
35:13
that you really want to see. So he's been a guy that outside
35:16
of the first couple tiers of this class, that I've really
35:18
gravitated to from.
35:19
I don't know, a.
35:20
Sleeper perspective, because more people are talking about
35:22
him now than they were at the beginning of the process, but definitely
35:25
a player.
35:25
I like.
35:26
It's the draft process. Everyone talks about everyone.
35:28
It's un right. I'm almost disappointed though, that he
35:31
was your answer, because he's really one of only
35:33
two options for my
35:35
next category, which is just white
35:39
guy that Mark is going to fall in love with.
35:42
There's really only two guys, probably
35:45
towards the top of the draft unless.
35:47
I yeah, mcgreg it's the other guys,
35:49
so you set the table. Well, oh okay, I'm
35:51
just well, it's up to Matt though to guess.
35:53
There's no way the guy isn't Ladd McConkie.
35:56
I mean, there's just no way.
35:57
Gotta be. It's gotta be.
35:59
But the the great But of course, but the best
36:01
part about Lad McConkie.
36:03
Somewhere Zack Zenner just got like a shiver
36:05
and he's like someone is thinking
36:07
of me.
36:08
Wasn't Zach Center was in the news for something recently,
36:10
like in.
36:11
Two thousand and six during the preseason.
36:13
Maybe now, I swear
36:15
to god I saw something about like he went back to school or
36:17
started a business or something. Yeah, I'll
36:20
deep dive that for you, Mark and send you the article
36:23
after the show. But yeah, Lad McConkie,
36:25
the great part about him is that he's not just your typical
36:27
like lunch pale, gritty, white
36:30
slot receiver. The guy legitimately
36:33
wins on deep routes and like actually, in
36:35
terms of reception perception, the game sampled
36:37
here he was more of an outside receiver.
36:39
You saw him play a lot more. Now he does struggle
36:42
against press coverage. He does struggle against
36:44
in like contesta situations. But again,
36:46
those are things you can get around from like a
36:48
deployment perspective. You can move him inside.
36:50
You can also move him off the ball, like so many
36:52
of these receivers now I think are going to have their worlds
36:55
opened up by how much motion is going
36:57
on in the NFL right now, especially these like full
36:59
speed motion that a lot of smart coaching staffs
37:01
are using. So McConkey could be a
37:03
guy there, But I think he runs the best
37:05
out routes in the class. Like just pure I'm selling
37:07
vertical routes and then I break to the outside.
37:10
That's Lad maconkey. To me, his success rate on out
37:12
routes is among the best in the class. It's among the best
37:15
of the last few years. So when I was trying to think
37:17
of like a cop for him and go beyond
37:19
the gritty white slot receiver cop, because
37:21
I don't really think that's how he he plays. I
37:23
like went into the RP database and looked like who has
37:25
some of the best out routes since twenty fourteen,
37:28
and Tyler Lockett popped up as like a comparison
37:30
player, And I think that's sort of the kind of the bucket that
37:32
Lad fits into. If he can play inside,
37:34
he can also play outside, and he's more of a speed
37:37
based slot receiver when you do line him up.
37:38
There, I've got one for you,
37:41
Like if you Matt Harmon had to write like a Shakespearean
37:44
sonnet to you know, not one
37:46
of the stars that we've talked about, but like a
37:48
girl next door type of wide receiver. That's a
37:50
weird way to put it, but just like a little under the radar,
37:52
like who would you pen the sonnet too?
37:54
And of your affections?
37:56
Uh pearsall would have been an option,
37:59
but you know, I'm intimidated by the leg tattoo,
38:02
So I'll go with Malik Washington, who actually
38:04
went to school in Charlottesville, nearer where I live now
38:06
in Virginia Beach. Guys, just like a fun player
38:09
I don't know what the ceiling is for, you
38:11
know, a smaller receiver like this that really only
38:13
has like one year of major production. But I
38:16
mean he's got fantastic hands. He breaks
38:18
a ton of tackles, like he plays bigger than his
38:20
size. So if I was writing kind of that sonnet
38:23
to a player, I definitely think i'd
38:25
pick Malik Washington as kind of the deeper sleeper.
38:27
Here it shows how hard that this class
38:30
is crazy, because it
38:32
feels like, you
38:34
know, six receivers could go in the first round or
38:36
something, but it almost feels like there's
38:38
like nine or ten guys who could be fire.
38:41
There's like five or six guys who could
38:43
be that fifth or six, and there's not really a
38:45
consensus who it's gonna be, And then that means
38:48
there could be like ten to thirteen
38:50
in the second through two rounds, Like Malik Washington
38:52
is not a name I've even heard, as probably in
38:54
the first three rounds, there's like fifteen
38:57
to seventeen guys, and it really seems like there's a lot
38:59
of disagreement where there could be ten
39:01
to twelve guys that could go anywhere
39:04
from like pick twenty five to pick
39:06
seventy five, which is
39:09
just crazy in terms of what flavor. Like if
39:11
you're running a team, which guy
39:13
who's athletic do you not really trust?
39:16
Like an awesome athlete that maybe is in that bucket
39:19
of like he could go pretty high, but
39:22
that you're not really feeling.
39:24
I haven't really had that well,
39:27
I don't really have any like true full field athlete.
39:29
I do think that the Xavier
39:31
worthy for two to one, the speed part of it,
39:34
if that if that pushes him up in the first
39:36
round, that's gonna make me just a little bit nervous.
39:39
I think he's much better at doing like real wide
39:41
receiver things than some of these other kind of smaller
39:44
speed based receivers. But he's
39:47
just not good at contest the situations. He's a
39:49
guy that's gonna have to kind of be used in one of these specialized
39:51
roles where he's full speed motion at the
39:53
snap. That that's definitely great, Like teams
39:56
want viable target earners
39:58
in that position now, so I
40:01
can see the vision there depending on the coaching
40:03
staff. But there are just a lot of other receivers
40:06
that I prefer in terms of that can give you
40:08
like high volume perspective, like high
40:10
volume type of season. So he's
40:12
one that if you went in the first round, I'd be a little nervous.
40:15
If you went in the second round, I'm like, all right, I see
40:17
where your.
40:17
Vision is there.
40:18
To that point, I'm totally with you. Player
40:21
like that with that skill set and that flash
40:24
you got, where he ends up is so important
40:27
and what coaching staff and what the surrounding
40:29
talent is you kind of you have to have a
40:32
a scheme that knows how to use a
40:34
player like that.
40:35
You kind of hit on a
40:38
question greg I had.
40:40
I was asking kind of who to you might be
40:42
more LaQuan treadwill Well
40:44
then justin Jefferson. So a
40:46
guy that is so there is there a guy
40:48
to you out there other than other
40:52
than four two one that jumps
40:54
out to you as someone that you think is like, oh, if
40:56
I were running a team, I'm staying away or
40:58
are you just like this clay Where there
41:01
aren't.
41:01
A lot of red flags out there.
41:02
There's not a lot of red flags in terms of the early
41:05
guys. Because I know some people don't like Adie
41:07
Mitchell, the other receiver from Texas. I actually
41:10
like him better than Xavier Worthy, just because
41:12
I think you see him do like real NFL X
41:14
receiver things, and he's definitely
41:16
a volatile prospect, but I can understand chasing
41:18
the upside there. The guy that I've been kind
41:20
of like back and forth on where my
41:23
feeling on him to changes depending on
41:25
the game that I chart is Xavier Legette, who
41:28
some people do have as a late first round pick. To
41:30
me, that's definitely pretty
41:32
rich despite the fact that he's got great
41:35
tackle breaking ability and he shows an ability to
41:37
get open on certain routes
41:40
at that size, it's very impressive to see
41:42
him working out there. But at the same time, I do
41:44
think he is a developmental player
41:46
that might take a few years, and even
41:49
like that type of average
41:51
separator is typically like it
41:53
matters even more where he ends up because
41:55
you've got to find the right quarterback to
41:58
to sort of see that, like sort of see that vision
42:00
if he's gonna be an outside player, which I do think
42:02
is gonna be the case. Like I look at another guy, Keon
42:04
Coleman, who's not a separator, but if
42:07
you look at his reception perception profile, I won't bore
42:09
you guys with like the very hardcore percentile
42:12
stats.
42:12
With this, get dirty, get dirty with the numbers.
42:16
There's another say there's another drop. But
42:19
like over the over the last few draft classes I've charted,
42:21
there's a handful of players that have been below
42:24
the thirty fifth percentile and success rate versus
42:26
man zone and press coverage or
42:28
at least two of the three. Almost
42:31
all of them have been total flameouts except
42:33
five guys, and they've all become
42:35
like big slot receivers like Rashi Rice was
42:37
an outside receiver who didn't really
42:39
get open. He moved inside in the NFL
42:42
found career success in year one. I'm
42:44
on ross Saint Brown. He was good against zone coverage, but
42:46
wasn't really great against man and press coverage as
42:48
an outside receiver at USC, moves in the slot,
42:51
has a great season, has a great career, obviously.
42:53
Jujus Smith Schuster another one struggled
42:55
beaten man press coverage outside as
42:57
a collegiate player, was a big slot receiver
42:59
in his good year with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Like I see
43:01
that vision with Keon Coleman, where he's
43:03
a guy that is below that thirty fifth percentile
43:05
mark and man and press coverage, but it's a
43:07
pretty solid zone beater, and he's pretty good on these
43:10
routes like dig routes and slant routes, and
43:12
so if the right team takes him,
43:14
you know that has a coaching stat like the Chiefs
43:16
they take Rashid Rice. I talked to Rashid
43:19
Rice at the Super Bowl kind of asked him, like when did the vision
43:21
of you becoming this receiver, like a
43:23
big slot receiver sort of when
43:25
did that materialize? And he said it was right after he was
43:27
drafted, and like Brett Veach talked about in the post draft presser,
43:30
they saw him as like a juju kind of replacement
43:32
for them, which was weird. To me because he was mostly
43:34
a pure outside receiver in college.
43:37
So the right team takes Keon Coleman has
43:39
that vision for him. I can see that working
43:41
out with Lagett because he's
43:43
a ball winner and like he
43:45
theoretically is more of an like
43:48
a straight line athlete. In my opinion, I
43:50
think he has to be an outside receiver and in that case is
43:53
going to take kind of the right team to really maximize
43:55
that skill set.
43:57
He looks like the freakiest maybe of any
43:59
of these.
44:01
It's a little worrisome that you're like a fifth year senior
44:03
that you know, for various reasons, didn't have production
44:06
before you were twenty three, playing against
44:08
some nineteen year olds.
44:10
But if you just like, look at this man
44:12
running down.
44:13
The field, he's a total
44:15
He looks like DK Metcalf or A J.
44:17
Brown.
44:18
So some team has got to fall in love with
44:20
that at some point and just try to make it
44:22
work.
44:22
And don't forget greg that Tommy
44:25
Callahan, son
44:27
of Big Tom Callahan, after
44:29
a rough start on the road with his
44:32
colleague, ended up making Callahan's
44:34
break pads hugely successful
44:37
in Tommy Boy. So just because
44:39
you might he was an eighth year senior as
44:42
I recall, and Tommy did
44:44
just fine in the end.
44:45
A trenching point in nice thanks, nicely.
44:47
Done, thank you, last thing before we let you
44:50
go. Macaus, I know you're busy. Whither
44:52
rock Bowers M. I
44:55
don't chart tight ends. Man, No,
44:57
I love I love it.
44:59
I love the man that was last year.
45:01
Last year was a for The
45:04
man has a code respect
45:07
code methodology.
45:09
It is.
45:10
It is a serious code. Because
45:13
the Kyle Pitts bros. Have been, you know, banging on
45:16
my door for years now about like where's our
45:18
Kyle Pits reception perception chart?
45:20
And I have two reasons why I only
45:22
stick to the wide receiver position. One is
45:24
kind of the the statistical
45:27
reason that I've been doing reception perception
45:29
now in these wide receivers for ten plus years.
45:31
Like you know, I've been working on this for
45:33
a long time. I have a very understanding of what
45:35
the data show, very good understanding what the data shows
45:37
us, right like you did you score this against man coverage?
45:40
I understand where your position should be. I should understand like
45:42
what thresholds are that all that type of stuff.
45:44
To start a whole new database with tight ends,
45:47
we're starting from square one. The second reason
45:50
is can if I can work blue
45:52
on this show? I got enough show on my plate. Okay, like
45:54
I got I got enough wide receivers on
45:56
my plate. Right we're talking about there's you mentioned
45:59
Greg, there's gonna be eyes that come off the board in the
46:01
third round that I'm not gonna have a route chart for. And
46:03
it's gonna it's gonna make me nervous, it gonna make me feel
46:05
weird.
46:05
Man.
46:05
Let's be fair, though.
46:07
We began this conversation with you saying, James
46:10
Co your partner with reception perception,
46:12
who, by the way, is one of the great showmen and hosts.
46:14
But he wants to bite at the apple and he wants to start
46:16
studying. He wants to start charting. Give
46:18
him tight ends, throw him that bone. Let's
46:20
expand the property.
46:22
I would love to James, this
46:24
is your call. Step up to the plate, buddy, contribute
46:27
contribute to the to the charting here. I mean, listen,
46:30
this is what we did with Derek Lassen, who does great
46:32
work on quarterbacks. I
46:35
was like, hey, Derek is a free agent
46:37
not working for football outsiders anymore. Let's
46:40
get him to chart quarterbacks for reception perception.
46:42
Dot com and that's what he does now, So aspiring
46:46
tight end whisper out there. Yea,
46:48
this is this is your call. Come come chart
46:50
tight ends for reception perception and
46:52
that's how we'll get it done.
46:53
Yeah, I just I don't think.
46:54
I don't think like tight end perception is gonna work
46:56
well on certain corners
46:58
of the Internet. But that's okay, inside of your
47:01
your great.
47:03
I was gonna sat but that's
47:05
a little, a little backdoor entry to
47:07
get into the data.
47:08
Nailed it.
47:09
Matt Harmon at Matt Harmon underscore
47:11
b y B on Twitter. Sorry
47:14
Mark X. Also check him
47:16
out on Yahoo and of course reception Perception
47:18
dot com which has everything
47:21
in the wider wide receiver realm.
47:23
And if we're lucky, tight ends very
47:25
soon. Matt, you're the best buddy.
47:28
Appreciate you boys for having me.
47:29
Yeah, this is awesome.
47:30
And can't wait to see where these guys actually get drafted
47:32
and then we can have a real conversation about it.
47:34
I can't wait, Thank God.
47:40
All right, let's take a break and
47:42
when we got back, we'll put a button on
47:44
this.
47:44
One welcome
47:52
back.
47:52
And uh yeah, I gotta get me
47:54
myself a mythology.
47:57
I mean, that's that does
47:59
we didn't if we had to have a mythology.
48:02
I think you're talking about like a methodology. You've
48:04
created quite a mythology of oh, mythology.
48:07
Yeah, methodology is I think methodology.
48:10
Methodology, mythology, mythology,
48:15
that's what you got.
48:16
You've got that down. I
48:18
think the methodology part of it. I'm
48:20
just letting you know. I think you're
48:22
you've got a lot going on too. Just like Matt was saying,
48:24
like it would probably take about one hundred
48:26
plus hours a week to create some
48:28
sort of rival site to this, and you starting
48:31
it back in twenty thirteen would have been a
48:33
wise move.
48:34
Are you ready to take that on now?
48:36
Well?
48:36
Just like how does one come
48:38
up with a methodology? Like?
48:40
How does one like? How does
48:42
that originate within one's own brain?
48:45
That that, to me is something that
48:48
I aspire to have
48:50
an idea come into my mind that makes me think,
48:52
not only is this an interesting idea, this
48:55
might be a methodology.
48:57
I mean, this
48:59
is not the way you use the word methodology.
49:01
You have done that, Dan, like that, this is that
49:03
podcast the way you create
49:06
different episodes of the shows and
49:09
heighten certain characteristics from other
49:11
people and that.
49:13
Actually, that is your methodology. That's very nice.
49:15
That is the correct usage.
49:16
But that's not what I'm thinking of.
49:18
I want something like Matt has, where people
49:20
come off like, whoa, that guy is smart,
49:23
that guy has his own methodology. Yeah,
49:25
I mean listening to ATM and be
49:27
like, well, Dan really nailed his methodology
49:29
this week.
49:30
But part of your mythology is this like state
49:32
mandated mythology lagged hardcore.
49:35
Yeah, you know.
49:36
Part of your mythology, though, is the
49:38
fact that you're notoriously ill at
49:40
math, that you don't have any skills at math, so you
49:42
can't market you don't have to reverse market
49:44
that.
49:45
Let's that's true.
49:46
Okay, Let's let's talk about Zach Xaner, real quick,
49:48
undrafted rookie out of South Dakota State
49:50
mark the preseason rushing
49:53
leader in two thousand
49:55
and sixteen when
49:59
he rush for a buck eighty
50:01
three on thirty five totes five point
50:03
two yards per Carrie. I didn't
50:05
really translate, and Zach
50:08
is obviously long gone from the league,
50:10
but he is active
50:13
on social media. I just came across
50:15
this late in our conversation with Maddie.
50:17
Here it is Zach Xenner thirty one follow
50:20
him. When someone tells me I don't
50:22
have time, I think they don't have a strategy.
50:25
I had twenty five minutes to eat lunch and shower
50:28
and no prepped food parentheticals.
50:31
Yesterday, put two salmon filets in
50:33
the airfire, showered, then ate
50:35
it with some veggies and supplements. Still
50:37
made my two PM Part two.
50:41
Was it my best meal?
50:42
No?
50:43
But I got my protein in and the nutrients
50:45
came from unprocessed whole food sources.
50:47
The key was that I had a plan in case I
50:49
didn't have time to prepare my typical lunch. Strategies
50:52
and plans are crucial for any goal, especially
50:54
healthy and wellness. There
50:56
you go, so Zaxy on the path to He's
50:59
got his own methodology around
51:02
health, fitness and wellness. So he's on that
51:04
path in life.
51:05
I think, I if you, if you look back at it, I
51:07
I from a certain angle.
51:09
I properly scouted him. Which
51:12
angle would that be exactly?
51:14
I mean, we're ten years later and he couldn't
51:16
be more successful. He's writing long mantras about
51:18
air fryars and showering. Yeah, and
51:20
he's got more almost four thousand
51:22
views on that first tweet.
51:24
I'm sure he's a blast at parties. He
51:27
was in the news recently as as Matt said
51:29
that he's taken his mcat and
51:32
he actually has a nutrition company, so it all
51:34
it all, and he wants to be an agent.
51:36
So he's got a lot, a lot of things
51:38
going on, and you know, now
51:41
we've got some some white
51:43
receivers to fill his his place. I was
51:45
surprised he went Pearsall there too, by the way,
51:47
because Pearsall was a guy didn't didn't
51:49
get me going watching him because those guys, it's
51:52
a it's kind of a cliche to
51:54
say that the white guys fit better in the
51:56
slot and they tested
51:59
out out of the him.
52:00
There's got a better way to put that, well,
52:02
but it's true.
52:03
What do you mean, Well, it's
52:05
like a big cliche that you put the white guys
52:07
in the slot. There's there's not many white outside receivers
52:10
for a long time, and these guys have crazy athletic
52:12
scores. But Pierce All really is a slot
52:14
guy, and that kind of limits I think
52:16
where we would go. And McConkey, he mentioned
52:19
like was not beating outside press
52:21
coverage, Like it was not the type of receiver
52:23
that you would normally see go on, but he snaps,
52:26
he moves well like in some team is gonna
52:28
fall.
52:28
Don't you think Maconky is like pretty fun
52:30
to watch? I mean I spent like, yeah, I didn't spin out.
52:34
I can see working giant.
52:38
What got me?
52:38
That's what put me in the doorway because I was like, is he related
52:41
to film a Coonkye?
52:42
And no, there's no no relation. The
52:46
internet.
52:46
I guess if you, I mean, if you
52:48
know, if you if you dug deep into the family
52:50
tree, you know, I'm sure there is.
52:52
But it's not like his son or something big
52:54
fun.
52:55
Can you dig deep into the Maconkie
52:57
family tree and see if the four
53:00
I'm a New York Giants wide receiver teammate
53:02
of Sean Landena, I believe Mark who
53:04
had a circus catch in Super Bowl twenty
53:07
one against the Denver Broncos, if
53:09
he is related in any way to
53:11
the highly lauded
53:14
draft prospect Ladd McConkie,
53:17
Ladd la double d mconkie,
53:21
thank you anything else?
53:23
Boys, that's
53:25
fun.
53:27
It's such a crazy draft
53:29
that there's guys like
53:31
like Troy Franklin. He's got an outside chance
53:34
to get drafted in the first round. Like we didn't even mention
53:36
Harrison or whatever. There's just it's
53:38
almost hard to like figure out which one is
53:41
which guy here, Like Texas,
53:43
for instance, has two we mentioned that could both go
53:45
in the first round in Worthy and
53:48
Ady Mitchell.
53:48
There's just like guy upon guy upon guy.
53:51
And that's good.
53:52
Because as we talked about, there's like a million
53:54
teams that have needs at the position.
53:55
And you're right, it feels almost strange not to
53:58
dig in on Marvin Harrison Junior and this
54:00
episode, the one with the wide receivers.
54:02
But I will say this, he is number
54:04
two on Daniel Jeremiah's top fifty
54:07
twenty twenty four NFL prospects that he
54:09
just put out, and I don't agree with the decision, but
54:12
I don't have full control of things,
54:14
Like we will have Jeremiah on the show next
54:16
week, and let's dig in on Harrison when
54:19
he is with us. One last
54:21
thought, because we have so many
54:25
potentially high end
54:28
wide receivers or certainly at the very least
54:30
sought after wide receivers, and a
54:32
reminder that not everything works. And of
54:34
course Matt Harmon is going to
54:36
be tracking this on RP reception,
54:39
perception and a lot of these guys are gonna pop,
54:41
but sometimes it just doesn't translate.
54:43
I thought about with this many wide receivers
54:46
this position, it's probably if
54:48
you probably really do the dive, it's
54:50
probably not that out of the ordinary. It certainly
54:52
happens with the quarterback position for obvious reasons.
54:54
But teams can go on runs in
54:56
the first round. Two years come to mind, twenty
54:59
twenty three. Last year four straight wide
55:01
receivers. Seattle took JSN at twenty,
55:04
the Chargers took Quenton Johnson at
55:07
twenty one, Baltimore took Zay
55:09
Flowers at twenty two, and then Jordan Addison
55:11
went to the Vikings at twenty three. And then
55:13
I had mentioned the Lakwan Treadwell, who
55:17
did not work out from Minnesota. He
55:19
was part of another run in twenty sixteen when
55:21
Houston took Will Fuller at twenty one, Washington
55:24
took Josh Dockson at twenty two, and then
55:26
Treadwell twenty three. None of those guys really
55:29
made it well, Fuller almost did but then disappeared.
55:31
Strange, So
55:34
I wonder if we're going to get that, if we're going to get this
55:36
year another one where we get a run of three or even
55:38
four guys in a row.
55:39
I think we will.
55:40
But I think so we're going to get I still look
55:42
at I know it looks like the best class we've
55:44
ever had during our show, clearly,
55:47
but forty percent of them are
55:49
going to be on the same team three
55:52
years from now.
55:52
I believe it's different.
55:53
The receiver has hit well, Like you look
55:55
at that AJ Brown class and granted
55:58
those guys it was crazy because they went and the second
56:00
McLaurin was in the third they were all over the place.
56:04
A lot of the like it. To me, it's hit at a
56:06
higher level than other positions.
56:09
And the difference this year is like, I'm
56:11
pretty confident Brian Thomas would have gotten
56:13
drafted over all those receivers last year, and
56:15
he's four here, Like I think
56:18
he'll go top top twelve, top fifteen.
56:20
So it is a better class
56:22
than I think we've seen in the last few
56:25
Then there'll be some boomer Bus guys after that.
56:27
Well, and like a rookie wide receiver contract
56:29
is very valuable too. But I I I'm just
56:32
saying, I'm telling you let's let's let's
56:34
talk in four years and see where we are.
56:36
It's not all gonna be starters and number one dudes.
56:38
All Right, Mark, we get it, you know.
56:40
I mean I don't know because
56:43
I'm like I was like looking at but
56:45
we don't have to dwell on it well because you know, I
56:47
was looking at the draft class from just like three years
56:49
ago and I find it relatively
56:51
depressing, which one just
56:55
like in general, what's happened to tons of players
56:57
that we were squawking about?
56:58
And I'm not you know, I get it. I'm not trying to go down that path.
57:00
But it's like, oh, Mark, you
57:02
sent it called Sonova bitch.
57:05
I'm with you, though, but I think it's like, I
57:08
mean, I.
57:08
Said it first, but you know, we don't need to
57:10
hammer it home that these
57:13
guys play.
57:14
I'm tapping it, understand.
57:15
All right?
57:16
How about the twenty twenty two would be the closest
57:18
comp, but this one would probably be viewed as
57:20
better Garrett Wilson, Drake London, O
57:23
Love.
57:23
I mean those are all hits.
57:25
That, yeah, but I'm not talking about the first five guy, and
57:27
we're talking about like there's sixteen, like twenty
57:29
people. Like the comps for the bottom ten
57:31
are a lot of them are just
57:33
sort of normal wide receivers, so whatever, we'll
57:35
see Well, in half a decade,
57:38
I will be right.
57:39
Yes, we will circle back in exactly
57:41
half a decade. Finally, one bit
57:44
of update here, Big
57:46
Funk, who never shies
57:49
away from any challenge, including
57:51
incredible photoshop
57:53
work on the twenty twenty
57:55
four San Diego gray Beard's Media Guide.
57:58
He has a date. According
58:00
to Randy, this is a direct quote. There
58:03
is no reported relation between
58:06
eighties mconkie in twenty twenties
58:08
mconkie.
58:09
Well that was what Mark said.
58:10
That was reporting, right,
58:13
But we threw it to Randy,
58:15
so if you want it, if it makes it feel more official,
58:18
Randy is officially.
58:21
Going on record that there is no relation.
58:25
Well, I appreciate.
58:26
I appreciate Randy, but it doesn't feel any more
58:28
official to me because I went and researched it
58:30
like like this week myself.
58:31
But that's fine, Oh, Raby, this isn't good
58:33
out.
58:34
For you, Randy says, We'll take this, mister
58:36
Cinek. The mconkie name originates
58:38
from Irish.
58:39
Del Riata delta dan
58:42
Tarriata.
58:43
It's Gaelic, I guess, so while not direct,
58:45
there may be something somewhere down the line.
58:48
Well, sure, we're all related somewhere
58:51
down the line.
58:51
If you go far enough back, you know
58:53
what I think, that's that's a great way to the
58:55
end end the episode, greg that we are all,
58:59
we all bleed red, and we
59:01
might not all look the same, but
59:04
we are one, even if we are not the same.
59:11
Till Monday heat the b
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