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The One With the Wide Receivers

The One With the Wide Receivers

Released Friday, 12th April 2024
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The One With the Wide Receivers

The One With the Wide Receivers

The One With the Wide Receivers

The One With the Wide Receivers

Friday, 12th April 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

The Around the NFL podcast

0:04

runs the entire route tree

0:07

poorly.

0:08

Welcome to another edition of Around

0:11

the NFL.

0:13

My name is Dan Hans's got heroes here, Greg

0:16

Rosenthal, Mark Sessler very

0:19

special edition of

0:21

ATM. It is the one with the wide

0:23

receivers in friends

0:26

style. Boys,

0:28

We're gonna dive deep today

0:31

on what is a very rich and

0:33

promising wide receiver class. And

0:36

I will say this, greggie wide

0:38

quarterback is always gonna have the most juice right naturally,

0:41

because they are the most important player. They

0:44

can change the fortune and

0:46

direction of a franchise immediately,

0:49

the most recent example, of course being CJ. Stroud

0:51

in Houston. However, to

0:54

me, it is wide receivers that

0:58

that gets my juice flown in the sense of you

1:01

want to fix your offense, you

1:03

can do it overnight. Because

1:05

these guys are now entering the league and so many

1:07

of them are instant you know,

1:10

number two, fringe, number

1:12

one guys, some guy, the special ones are immediate

1:14

superstars. So when

1:16

you hear about this class in particular, it

1:19

feels like we're gonna get a couple of those this year and maybe

1:21

more.

1:22

That's a great point.

1:23

Dan Receivers out of rookie

1:25

contract before like a CD lamb until

1:28

he's gonna get paid whatever he's going to get paid

1:30

this offseason is such a ridiculous

1:33

value. And I think the contracts

1:35

top right receivers are getting there kind of reflecting

1:38

that after quarterback,

1:40

if you had to pick one position that

1:43

you think is the most valuable, it's

1:45

either left tackle, receiver or

1:48

edge, but it might be number

1:50

one true number one receiver, and there's

1:52

only so many of those, and that's a bit of a

1:54

flip compared to what teams

1:57

thought about, you know, ten to fifteen years ago.

1:59

I also like, I wonder if what

2:01

we're experiencing with this

2:03

draft class, you know, and it certainly

2:06

stands out wideer serier wise from from

2:08

others they've been, they've been, they're getting better and better, and

2:10

it's like, is this at some

2:12

point the new norm? Because I think like the one

2:15

starting to watch these guys, like so

2:17

many of them, like usually it's like, oh, he's

2:19

really good at this, but he's got to work on this with

2:21

NFL coaches to kind of get up to stuff. So

2:23

many of them look completely prepared

2:26

to start right away, and we aren't that far

2:28

away from a time when like you could draft a wide

2:30

out outside of like the top one, two or three, and

2:32

they're kind of ghosts until season two

2:35

or even three sometimes. But these guys look like ready

2:37

to roll immediately, a big junk of

2:39

them.

2:40

They're out there doing those seven on sevens and

2:42

and the quarter you know, quarterback

2:45

camps and all that stuff, and they're practicing

2:48

on air. And it's why I take exception to the money

2:50

drop. I can run an out route

2:52

walk. It's Walker's favorite thing in the world. To

2:54

go over to the middle school. They got a nice football

2:56

field which has some open and we're

2:58

practicing quite a bit where throwing routes

3:01

and I break off that route.

3:03

I can get off press coverage.

3:05

I mean, Greg, what if you have like a six to two

3:07

hundred and something pound cornerback jamming you at

3:09

the line, how's your out out route looking?

3:11

Then I'm just gonna duck under them. I kind of I do this

3:13

little movie.

3:14

Yes, slip it. Okay, you're

3:16

undersize, you're forty five years old.

3:18

Like, let's know our limitations,

3:21

Bud, Like you can't play on the

3:23

outside, you'd get man handled.

3:24

The route tree is complete, though,

3:26

you know.

3:27

The idea of like again, you've

3:29

you've been down on Hunter Renfro in the past,

3:32

like that's kind of your ceiling, bud, Like

3:34

that's what you have to operate in that realm.

3:36

I don't want to be the bear of bad news.

3:39

Like I'm an inline tight end blocker, like

3:41

I know, and maybe hit me at the

3:43

at the in the red zone or a little misdirection,

3:45

but.

3:46

I see at least five aj

3:48

green.

3:48

You know.

3:49

I mean to say that Hunter Renfro

3:51

is Greg's ceiling. It's like the ceiling three

3:54

stories up on a building from where Greg is

3:56

or any I know.

3:56

I'm just trying to like rein them in somewhat

3:59

to saying putting in some work lately?

4:02

Are you running these routes against your your held

4:04

your son again?

4:05

Too much time?

4:06

We got that football, you know that football where it's got the

4:08

routes on the football. So if I love that check,

4:10

you know, what's what's a five route?

4:14

Now?

4:14

There's no defenders there?

4:15

Okay?

4:16

And by the way, coming up just a little bit, Matt

4:18

Harmon, he of the

4:21

reception perception fame,

4:23

and we'll talk them out about what that means and

4:25

which players are really jumping out to him.

4:28

But before we kind of get to Matt.

4:31

Yeah.

4:32

I mean every team can use a number one,

4:34

right, even the teams that have a number one.

4:36

What's better than one? Number one? Two number ones?

4:39

It's the most second most supporting position, a backup

4:41

quarterback, and the third most The

4:44

third is the backup back up quarterback.

4:46

Charlie Casserly, where are you, buddy, Greg?

4:50

Who's a team or teams

4:52

that really jump out to you that are going to be all over

4:55

this wide receiver class when you look at what they currently

4:57

have in house.

4:58

There were so many when we did this, like

5:00

I wrote down no less than fourteen. It's

5:02

crazy, like as many good receivers have come

5:04

in so many needs. But Baltimore is one that

5:06

I think is high profile that hasn't gotten a lot

5:09

of attention. Like Zay Flowers

5:11

is not a one, Rashad

5:13

Bateman is not a two. Aglar

5:16

would probably be best as a four. So

5:19

they're not gonna find a one most likely in this class.

5:21

But man, they're counting a lot

5:23

on Rashad Bateman right now, and maybe they'll pick up a veteran

5:26

at some point, but that is a high profile team and

5:28

just staying in that division too. You kind of you

5:30

look at Cincinnati. The most Cincinnati move in the

5:32

world is just replacing Tyler Boyd one

5:34

for one in this draft with the slot receiver.

5:36

I could see that happening. And then Pittsburgh they have

5:38

one receiver.

5:39

It's George Pickens, who hasn't exactly

5:41

been the most reliable player in the world. And they're they're

5:43

two and three. Is I don't even know who quit?

5:46

They really don't have a two or three. It's Qus

5:48

Watkins, it's Calvin Austin, it's Van

5:50

Jefferson. So that division, all

5:53

those teams need receivers. The Bounds are the only team

5:55

they look pretty solid.

5:56

Yeah, cycling back to to Baltimore,

5:59

I trust the Ravens in so many ways

6:01

in terms of roster building, but they've

6:03

proven time and time again that they they

6:05

can't find a number one wide receiver. If

6:07

they're franchise, is life depended

6:10

on it? Not that Zay Flowers is a bad

6:12

pick.

6:12

I know you're a good pick.

6:13

I think you're right that he has

6:15

the ceiling to be, you know, even a Pro Bowl player,

6:17

But he's maybe not the number one you mentioned Rashad

6:20

Bateman. He was also a first round pick.

6:22

Is there a third first round pick. Who's the other name he threw out there,

6:24

Nelson a.

6:28

Philly.

6:29

He was another high for a high round pick.

6:31

Odell Beckham they brought in last year thinking

6:33

he would fill a role and that didn't

6:35

really work out either. So would the Ravens

6:38

go back to the well once again with the kind

6:40

of the one blind spot when it comes to real left

6:42

identify talent you've

6:44

got.

6:45

You brought in Todd Mounkin and they they you

6:48

know, correctly addressed wide out a year ago, but

6:50

then you've lost like Odell Beckham's gone, and like

6:52

you're kind of back where you started from, and like this

6:54

is the draft class to do it. I think there's a couple

6:56

of teams, like, you know, it's a little more overt,

6:59

but I see like coaches

7:01

getting canned if they don't figure out what they're

7:03

doing at wide out. In some situations,

7:05

like the Arizona Cardinals, they've got literally

7:08

they've got a fringed number two

7:10

type of guy and nobody else, and it's like they're

7:12

in a weird place because it's like everyone points to them

7:15

as the team that's going to trade with the Vikings

7:17

to get Minnesota up to number four to take

7:19

their quarterback. But then it's like, Okay,

7:21

you pass on Marvin Harrison

7:23

Junior, when like, the most important

7:25

player in your franchise history in the modern day

7:27

age was Larry Fitzgerald. You can go get that

7:29

player a version of that player again. It's

7:31

like I think Cardinals fans they're really split

7:34

and they're divided on like, wait, do we trade

7:36

these do we acquire picks and

7:38

get lesser players, or do we get

7:40

this guy who can change the franchise for

7:43

fifteen years twelve?

7:44

I'm with you.

7:45

They all this talk that like, oh, the Bears should

7:47

they take Roma Dunes at Nins, Like he's not getting

7:49

there because there's too many teams

7:51

in front that will be taking receivers

7:54

and the Cardinals are one of them. And if the Bears

7:56

do have a chance they can they they should because

7:59

they need to receive. They've got They've got

8:01

DJ Moore, They've got Keenan Allen who's a thirty two

8:03

year old on a one year contract in nothing else.

8:05

And I look at the AFC East and the Dolphins

8:07

are all set. They're loaded.

8:09

They have maybe the best one two punch in

8:12

the league with Tyreek Hill and Waddle.

8:15

But the Bills, their struggles.

8:18

To have a real wide receiver room

8:21

were well documented before they traded Stefan

8:23

Diggs, so you would think they will be all over

8:25

one of these prospects we're going to talk about with

8:28

Matt Harmon in a bit. The Patriots

8:30

are a team that is screaming

8:32

out for some juice and who is Who's

8:35

it now? They're gonna most likely target

8:37

a quarterback at the top of the class,

8:39

but they could use wide receiver help, and you

8:42

imagine they're going to go hard at this group. And then

8:44

the Jets, who have Garrett Wilson,

8:46

who is a budding superstar entering

8:49

his third year who could be a monster if

8:51

Aaron Rodgers stays on the field. Mike Williams

8:53

was I thought a nice move to bring him in, But

8:56

you can't assume Mike Williams

8:58

is going to stay healthy coming off in ACL and all his

9:00

issues. The Jets sitting where they are in

9:02

the draft, like, I'm of that.

9:04

I'm of the.

9:05

Thought like if Joe Alt is there, who's

9:07

as flawless as an offensive lineman

9:09

prospects as

9:12

you'll see, if he is off the board

9:14

by the time the Jets pick at what eight, I believe

9:17

I'm going and grabbing one of the ten, is it?

9:20

Sorry, I'm grabbing one of these wide

9:22

receivers because they're gonna one

9:24

of these big guys will be there because

9:26

of all the teams that are picking a quarterback at the top

9:28

of the top ten. So that's a team

9:30

that jumps out to me like that would be you

9:33

want to get as somebody who's obviously been

9:36

struggling a little bit as a Jets fan after

9:38

last year's harrowing season.

9:41

If you pair Garrett Wilson with one

9:44

of these gifted young players and then

9:46

everything else they have Breese Hall

9:48

and Mike Williams is a three. I

9:51

mean, you can really start to get excited.

9:53

So we'll see if they go that route.

9:56

Yeah, well, Holts are a team at fifteen that I

9:58

think are a nice spot. Like Brian miss Junior

10:00

to them is one of my favorite matches. But because

10:02

of what you just said, and because of going through the top

10:04

ten and thinking like, well, which team doesn't

10:06

need a receiver here, I kind of think he'll

10:10

go higher than people expect and we'll get

10:12

to him a little more later. But like

10:14

the Titans, they could still use a receiver. I know, everyone

10:17

just thinks it's tackle tackle tackle. They could absolutely

10:19

use a receiver on that team. Still,

10:22

the Falcons could absolutely use a ride receiver, like

10:24

even teams later in the draft. Not that they're going to

10:26

trade up for these top guys, but like the forty nine

10:28

Ers have to think about the future of replacing either Deebo

10:31

or Ayuk. The Lions, they love

10:33

Aman Ross Saint Brown, but he's an inside guy, and

10:35

yeah outside it's like you're hope and Jamison Williams

10:38

works out, it's Josh Reynolds. Like they need

10:40

receivers. The Panthers are still shortened weapons.

10:42

They're just like so many teams. To me, that's

10:44

why I just think there's gonna be what twelve

10:47

receivers maybe go in the first two rounds. It's gonna

10:50

be a lot.

10:50

But you can't get this far and not mentioned like the Chargers,

10:52

who, like, I mean, this offseason has been a disaster

10:55

on that front. I think like it's one of those

10:57

times where what the draft provides

11:00

couldn't match more perfectly with the way

11:02

football operates right now. You don't have to it's not

11:04

nineteen eighty six. You don't have like one wide receiver and

11:06

a number two and a bunch of tight ends and fullbacks.

11:08

You need four or five of these dudes.

11:10

Not to mention, we're coming off a somewhat me year

11:12

from wide receiver in

11:14

twenty three, So those teams that

11:17

have been looking for wide receiver helped weren't able

11:19

to get it in most cases last year. So

11:21

now it goes down

11:23

that road, and I thought you were going to go in a different direction,

11:25

Mark in the AFC West. We cannot end

11:27

this part of the conversation without mentioning

11:30

the defending champion Chiefs, who picking

11:32

thirty two, who made a move

11:34

and got Hollywood Brown, a move I wasn't in love

11:36

with personally, and it seems so

11:38

obvious to me that there's another move

11:41

coming. My question is do they sit

11:43

where they are or do they really

11:45

go aggressively up the board

11:47

and try to get one of these big boys, because

11:50

that would be the talk of draft night if they

11:52

do get aggressive, right,

11:56

anybody else want to throw out another team?

11:59

You could just do that whole division because the Broncos,

12:01

like the Bronco sneaky, need everything.

12:04

But they have Courtland Sutton and

12:06

then just a lot of question marks tim Patrick

12:09

Mims. I mean, it's not the worst receiver group of the world,

12:11

but again, there's so few of these teams that you couldn't

12:13

see like a second round pick at receiver helping.

12:16

I waited so long for it not to be

12:20

a conversation anymore, but now that

12:22

it's here and gone, I miss it.

12:24

Like, but you know, Courtland Sutton

12:26

and Jerry Judy, they

12:29

could be dynamic.

12:32

Going to miss that conversation?

12:34

Are you You can still talk about

12:36

him in Cleveland? You know Jerry Judy, He's

12:39

he's the long term future as of Cleveland.

12:41

Are we cool with the Browns? Mark with them?

12:43

No?

12:44

Because I think what they've done is

12:46

is kind of interesting, Like Judy

12:49

and Elijah more like represent players

12:52

that others that haven't had breakout success

12:54

on any level have been frustrating. You can see

12:56

it a little potential, but other teams gave

12:58

up on them. Yeah, and Amari Cooper

13:01

is getting up there in age. I thought he had a great year last

13:03

year. But like that team has

13:05

to feel us all in with their financial

13:07

situation everything else as anyone

13:10

out there. But they don't have a lot of draft picks, but I would absolutely

13:13

want them to get a wide receiver.

13:15

You know who really helps.

13:16

Them in that realm as a playmaker, that

13:19

David Njoku. It's quite a player.

13:22

Mark, He's a good player. I've come around

13:24

on that.

13:26

All right.

13:27

With that said, let's take a quick break

13:29

and when we come back, we will have Matt

13:31

Harmon to break down some of the young

13:34

wide receiving talent about to flood into the league.

13:37

And all those teams we just talked.

13:38

About, many of them, well all of them are

13:40

gonna be jockeying for these guys and we'll

13:42

find out in a couple of weeks who gets him.

13:44

We'll be right back to

13:47

the answer. God touch down

13:49

Harrison again?

13:50

Why seven the occasiones Corman Harrison

13:52

Junior Flowers heading to the end?

13:54

Ze man? Is he devastating it

13:56

with a count? That's brock Powers.

13:58

There's the shot to it.

14:03

Tuesday.

14:06

My own mind, my weak neighbors

14:08

is just lighting up this morning.

14:13

Thomas

14:15

just trad sweed from Brian Thomas.

14:17

That's pretty with that, so.

14:21

Welcome back.

14:23

Yes, it's the one with the wide receivers

14:26

episode, and we just talked about

14:30

what teams are going to be aggressive on

14:33

draft weekend targeting

14:35

wide receivers the teams that make sense. But now let's

14:37

talk about the wide receivers themselves

14:40

that are entering the league. And it's a potentially

14:43

historic wide receiver class. And we think

14:45

wide receiver boys, and you think

14:48

the NFL, and you think about route

14:50

trees and you and you think about the receptions,

14:54

but you think about the perception, don't

14:56

you as well. Matt

14:58

Harmon, welcome back to

15:01

Around the NFL.

15:03

Oh Man, Dan, thank you for that intro. I

15:06

got to think about stealing that for like the start of our

15:08

own podcast. That is that

15:10

is pretty good. So I'll have my lawyers talk

15:12

to your lawyers and maybe we'll come to sort of an agreement on

15:14

on buying that ip.

15:15

There no problem working a little bit

15:17

blue to make a point.

15:19

Matt, of course, a former colleague of

15:21

ours at NFL Media was a

15:23

fantasy guy, and as he was a

15:25

fantasy guy, he created the mythology

15:27

Reception Perception, which has its own

15:29

website which you could check out, and Matt

15:31

is all over that and also of

15:34

course does writing and analysis

15:36

for Yahoo. So Matt, welcome

15:38

back to the show. And it's always good to see a friend.

15:40

And yes, even though you said it before we came

15:42

on. I'm now going to steal that little

15:45

bit of pre show banter. You've moved

15:47

away from the swoosh hair style. Then

15:49

I saw you when we lived together in El Segundo before

15:52

you move back east. You said I'm a hack guy now

15:54

and that surprised me, and quite frankly, as

15:56

a fellow follicle guy, disappointed

15:58

me. And now you got the Travis Kelcey fade.

16:01

So it looks like you're not a hat guy after all. I

16:03

would say, I'm like a fifty to fifty.

16:05

You know, when the weather is nice

16:07

and you know you're doing a lot of sweating, it makes

16:09

it's nice to have the hat. That's good.

16:12

That's that's a nice call, you know. I mean, look, Dan, see

16:14

you're a gifted hair guy or follicle guy

16:16

in your words, and you're wearing the hat right now,

16:19

so I mean, you know, it's it's good to be able to do both.

16:21

Versatility as you get older is important.

16:23

It's not an incredible upset that we've

16:25

spent the first forty percent

16:28

of this interview talking about Dan's hair.

16:32

Also, you're we're too old to do

16:34

the Travis Kelsey at least I was speaking for myself.

16:36

I'm much too old, but you pull it off.

16:38

You look like you could be the unathletic

16:41

third brother of the Kelsey.

16:43

I mean, I think I'll

16:45

take minor offense to the unathletic part

16:47

because I do like to

16:50

say that I'll work out.

16:51

I'm a gym guy as well.

16:53

But at the same time too Hall of famers, Matt,

16:55

you know.

16:56

Well, listen, if I hit

16:58

my peak a little earlier,

17:01

I think I could have gotten there. No, but in all seriousness,

17:03

I just want to say, for the record, yes, I

17:05

don't want to call it the Travis Kelce. You guys can call

17:07

it the Travis Kelce, but officially it's

17:10

a It's not the Travis Kelce. Just just just to get

17:12

that on the record.

17:13

What is it? What is what is it?

17:15

The Because my haircut is the modified

17:17

gentleman's contour? Famously, what is

17:20

yours called? It's just

17:22

a fade, just your old fade.

17:24

Okay, okay, but enough Honkin'

17:27

let's focus up. Hair is great, but these

17:29

wide receivers my own harmon

17:32

And can you give people that maybe

17:34

are not familiar with the reception perception model,

17:36

like how you came to

17:40

study the game this way, wide receivers

17:42

and playmakers this way, and what it

17:44

what it tells you, And then we'll get into

17:47

some of the players in this draft class,

17:49

which obviously have to be very exciting for what

17:51

you do.

17:52

Yeah, wide receiver business is booming right now, that's

17:54

for sure. But what reception

17:56

perception is is the methodology that I created around

17:58

like twenty thirteen, twenty four fourteen. Twenty fourteen

18:01

was the first year that I tracked league wide data

18:03

with reception perception or close to league

18:05

wide data. I'm not charting every single player in the league,

18:07

and certainly not every single college prospect,

18:10

that's for sure. But what I do is I going

18:12

over eight game sample for NFL or college

18:14

prospects when the film is available, and

18:16

chart every single route they run, where they

18:18

line up, really try to give you a view

18:21

of what a wide receiver is doing in isolation, because

18:23

all those years ago, my thought was, you

18:25

know, you're lucky if you're a receiver. You get like

18:27

eight to ten targets a game, but you're running, you

18:30

know, thirty plus routes a game. You're playing like sixty

18:32

plus snaps a game. If you're a true number one

18:34

guy, and we all know the quarterback or

18:36

wide receiver production is so inherently dependent

18:38

on quarterbacks depending on pass protection, is

18:40

dependent on like the environment that they're in. And even

18:42

we know this more now, even maybe more than we did

18:44

ten eleven years ago, that a

18:47

wide receiver is not a wide receiver, right, Like, these

18:49

guys are so different, even if they all have wr

18:52

next to their names, so reception perception

18:54

through that charting data that I'm

18:56

the only one doing the charting. You know, James Co,

18:58

my business partner, would love to maybe take some

19:00

of that work my hands. Yeah, he'd love to

19:02

add some more people to the team. But to me, you

19:05

got to pry the charting away from like

19:07

my cold dead hands. Man. That's why

19:09

I love to do. This is actually the the grunt

19:11

work of it. But through that charting data tries

19:13

to give you a real picture of who a wide receiver

19:15

is in isolation away from their production,

19:18

you know, for a variety of different reasons to try to categorize

19:21

these guys, try to understand them

19:23

within their roles and obviously from a you know, for fantasy

19:25

fans, you know, you want to try to spot a breakout before

19:28

it's coming.

19:28

I was going to ask you real quick, like, have you the same

19:31

way you know, PFF started their

19:33

own way to you know, track mythologize

19:36

like play like have you had NFL teams or

19:38

scouts of that ilk reach out

19:40

to you about about what you.

19:41

Do every now and again.

19:44

If there are any NFL folks wanting to

19:46

you know, pay me a bag that listen to this show, i'd

19:49

gladly do you guys know this as big as

19:51

big big media bros like consulting work,

19:53

That's where it's at, and I'd hire me as

19:55

your consultant.

19:56

I'd love to do it.

19:57

I don't know if that would require me taking

20:00

you know, information off the site to my loyal

20:02

subscribers, but really, I'm a man of

20:04

the people, Mark. I'm out there for

20:06

the folks that can afford a you know, thirty dollars

20:08

subscription to learn about wide receivers.

20:11

Hey, if it works out, it works out.

20:13

Whenever I meet somebody and they tell

20:15

me they're a consultant, they're almost

20:17

always very wealthy.

20:19

So that's something I want to get into one day, all right. So

20:21

with that in mind, let's get into it.

20:23

And we kind of built up the atn

20:26

Heroes here some superlatives,

20:28

and we're going to tee you up and you could

20:30

tell us which one of these prospects, because we're

20:32

hearing what three out of the top

20:34

eight picks maybe to start the draft could be

20:36

wide receivers. Maybe even better than

20:38

that, we'll see. But it's not just the

20:40

big three. There's a lot of talent and stress. So let's start

20:43

here. The twenty twenty four Reception Perception

20:45

Man Crush Award winner.

20:47

Is Oh, I'll

20:49

just start off with Roma Dunza there, because

20:52

to me, I don't watch college football

20:54

on Saturdays. You know, I'm a happily

20:56

married man, and I already ruined like

20:58

three days of the week with nfell work. It would be kind

21:01

of hard to justify to missus harmon like I'm

21:03

gonna ruin one more day of the week by watching

21:05

a bunch of college football. It's something that doesn't really

21:07

have anything to do with my job. So I'm not

21:09

super familiar with these players before

21:11

watching them for the draft, other than obviously I knew Marvin

21:14

Harrison Junior's name and knew the hype around that particular

21:16

player, So coming into this process, I didn't really

21:18

know anything about these guys. But the first time

21:20

I put on the film of Romadoonsea, I mean, whatever

21:22

superlatives you have for this exercise,

21:25

boys, I could probably say Rome's name for

21:27

most of them, because I think he is

21:29

just so good at everything. I think he's an extremely clean

21:31

prospect. He lines up on the line

21:34

of scrimmage as a true X receiver, which

21:36

is not something we could say about last year's draft

21:38

class. Right like last year's draft class, it was

21:40

a lot of guys like Jackson Smith and Jigba z

21:42

A Flowers, even Jordan Addison, these guys

21:44

that were gonna play off the ball and be

21:46

more of the kind of complimentary players. All

21:49

three of the top receivers in this draft class are

21:52

not of that ill calthough Malik Neighbors doesn't really line

21:54

up as that true X, but specifically Rome,

21:56

like he's just out there doing NFL things,

21:58

running NFL routes. I love the way he gets

22:00

off the line of scrimmag against press coverage. I think he's

22:02

a great separator. Really kind of underrated as a

22:04

separator because he has all these contested

22:07

targets on his resume, But a lot

22:09

of that is the fact he's running downfield routes. He

22:11

has a quarterback, he's willing to trust him in those tight

22:13

areas. To me, he just looks like kind

22:15

of a I had did prospect comparisons

22:18

like aggressive and cautious comps for a

22:20

Yahoo video series this year. My

22:23

cautious comp for him was Alan Robinson, like another

22:25

guy that just you can line him up at X back

22:27

in his prime and you could win there. You know, it's

22:29

kind of short to intermediate, but also be a contested

22:31

catch threat. My aggressive comp for him was

22:34

DeVante Adams, another guy that you

22:36

know wins at all three levels. Great route

22:38

runner, nice separator, pretty like a

22:40

solid tackle breaker after the catch, and obviously

22:42

someone you could throw to in contest the situations

22:44

like, hey, hey, you funnel thirty percent of your

22:47

offense to this guy and you never think twice about it.

22:49

I do think at his peak, Rome could be that guy.

22:51

Here's a comp from Daniel Jeremiah.

22:53

He sees Lary Fitzgerald as a comp

22:55

coming out of college, which is obviously

22:57

high praise too. That's a Hall of Fame re mark.

22:59

Yeah.

23:00

I was just gonna say watching him, the

23:02

contested catches stand out. I feel like he had

23:04

defenders in his bee hive and he'd come down with

23:06

the ball. But also a lot of it is with these college

23:08

guys, like you've got these quarterbacks like paired

23:10

with Michael Pennix Junior, I felt like they had like

23:12

ten thousand catches or accombinations

23:15

that were like forty yards downfield

23:17

where it just was like he could

23:19

do no wrong, and like, I'm with you. I came away just

23:22

kind of in love with this guy. So I love what you said

23:24

that.

23:25

Yeah, there's so many you mentioned the extraceiver

23:27

even even the ones further on and we'll get to them.

23:29

It seems like in compared to the

23:31

last couple of classes, there's like six seven

23:33

guys that you could see as number ones. The

23:36

thing I was worried about going into it, and you

23:38

can tell me how the reception perception worked

23:40

out for Roma Dunes. He was like, whenever the

23:42

first thing you hear is contested catch guy that's

23:44

been a bit almost been in like a red flag for players

23:47

in the last handful of years. Drake London's a bit of an exception.

23:50

I think he's kind of made his style of

23:52

play work in the NFL and he's gotten better.

23:54

But you're seeing a Donze maybe a little more

23:57

subtle with his route running, a little

23:59

more versatile than maybe

24:01

just positioning him. And he's kind

24:03

of turned into wide receiver three. We'll see if the NFL

24:06

agrees with that or not. But he's

24:08

kind of landed as a

24:10

three. Even though at the beginning

24:12

of the process, guys like Jeremiah maybe had him

24:14

as high or higher than Harrison or Neighbors.

24:17

It doesn't feel like a lot of people believe

24:20

he's gonna go ahead of them. You seem

24:22

to think he's a little more versatile, though,

24:24

and you would put him ahead of him, would you.

24:26

I had a long kind

24:29

of internal debate with myself, you

24:31

know, my war room up here, me and the two

24:33

dogs. We had a long internal debate of like

24:35

who was the wide receiver one in this class? Which to me,

24:37

I think I was close to making

24:40

it Rome I eventually maybe just broke

24:42

a few ties in favor of Marvin Harrison. But Rome

24:44

is the second guy to me, and Malik Neighbors is

24:46

a third guy. Now, my mission statement with this draft class,

24:49

these top three guys in particular, like, these

24:51

guys are all so close, they're all great prospects.

24:54

To me, they're all tier one prospects on my stacked

24:56

board for the last four classes. So like, you

24:58

like this guy with this guy that's with me, you want

25:01

to take this trait over that trade also fine

25:03

with me. It's kind of reminiscent.

25:05

You brought up Drake London. To me, this is reminiscent

25:07

a little bit to that draft class where like

25:09

you could put Drake number one, you could have put Garrett Wilson

25:11

number one, You could have put Chris Alave number one,

25:14

and I would have been fine with that. Ultimately I

25:16

went with that year kind of the route running craft

25:18

guy which was Chris Olave and then you

25:20

know, then Drake London, then Garrett

25:22

Wilson. To me, I think I'd probably flip that up

25:24

now that they're in the NFL. But I see

25:27

this group as very similar to that.

25:28

It could.

25:28

It kind of depends what type of player and what number

25:31

one receiver you value in terms of

25:33

a traits perspective. But yeah, like on the

25:35

separation part of it, it was a very similar

25:38

exercise with with Drake London where you actually

25:40

had to watch him on film

25:42

and see the routes developed to like,

25:44

no, this is a guy that is getting open early

25:47

in the routes and maybe gets thrown into some of

25:49

these contested situations. Like Terry

25:51

mclaurin's always kind of high in the NFL in terms of

25:53

percentage of contested targets. But I don't find

25:55

any issues with his separation. I think he's just

25:58

played with some erratic quarterback playing. And Michael

26:00

Pennix is a good quarterback, but he is a little bit of an

26:02

erratic passer down the field as well.

26:05

All Right, I'll throw it out you and look,

26:08

rum could have been the answer to this, but now you're

26:10

gonna have to pick someone else.

26:11

All Right.

26:12

The wide receiver in this class that would have been

26:14

a number one would have been the number one receiver

26:17

in last year's class.

26:19

Yeah, you could go with any of the top three guys.

26:21

I think you could honestly make an argument that

26:24

even like Brian Thomas and JSN kind

26:26

of have similar grades in terms of last year's draft

26:28

class. But I'll say Malik Neighbors as

26:30

the obvious guy here. Another

26:32

one that to me is my wide receiver three,

26:35

but easily with a bullet would have had

26:37

like a tier break between him and any of the players

26:39

last year. Neighbors is very

26:41

fun. He's he's like an easy player to love because

26:44

I think it takes like three plays to see, oh, this guy's

26:46

different from an explosiveness standpoint.

26:49

Like I mentioned that twenty two class, I'll bring it up

26:51

here again that he's kind of the Garrett Wilson of that draft

26:53

class to me, where he's a little bit of like a wild

26:56

horse route runner. He's not the most refined

26:58

player, but he's so explos with

27:00

the ball in his hands. And if he just continues

27:02

to develop, you have a lot of confidence,

27:04

just like I think Garret Wilson has developed into a true

27:06

number one at the NFL level. I think neighbors

27:08

could do that too.

27:09

One thing noticing watching him is like I love

27:11

the seeing the body language of

27:14

the poor individual that's forced to

27:16

try to cover him, because it's the kind of

27:18

like the way that you watch a sprinter at the end of a race

27:20

where he's bending his upper

27:23

body forward to try to hit the tape first, and

27:25

these cornerbacks like are losing control of

27:27

their bodies and like he's catching past us

27:29

nine or ten yards ahead of them, And I just think

27:31

he's like the kind of guy that could like break someone's spirit

27:34

by the end of the first quarter in the NFL.

27:37

He seems so reliable but like so flashy

27:40

at the same time. I mean it maybe it is

27:42

the LSU thing and I'm just a simpleton, but he

27:44

really did kind of remind me of Odell or

27:47

like or like a little bigger

27:49

Steve Steve Smith type, where he's just got

27:51

such a natural feel as

27:54

a runner and he has great hands. So I hear you

27:56

that, Like maybe he's a little rougher around the edges running

27:58

routes or something, but he just seems very easy

28:01

to project in like any of these

28:03

systems that like, he doesn't need to even

28:06

get any better to just like immediately

28:08

just put a thousand yards plus up

28:10

there.

28:11

The only thing with him that's different from these

28:13

top two receivers is he does play out

28:15

of the slot the most, which I mean, who cares,

28:17

it's not that big of a deal, but fifty point three percent

28:19

of his sampled snaps in reception perception

28:21

came from the slot. He was more of like a split

28:24

between on the ball or off the ball.

28:26

But that's totally fine, Like you can funnel your offense

28:28

through that player. But it's similar to

28:30

kind of DJ Moore coming out of the NFL Draft,

28:33

where the guy but kind of like a two

28:35

X version of that type of player where he was

28:37

rough around the edges from a route running perspective,

28:39

but he was explosive and you could see

28:41

that he was going to develop that in the league. That's

28:43

why I'm not, like, I'm not docking

28:46

him out of my first tier of prospects because he's

28:48

just the least refined of these three players.

28:50

He's also like not even twenty one yet. I don't think

28:52

he turns twenty one until after he's

28:55

drafted. So he's a guy that you do feel pretty

28:57

good about that growth. But like you said, Greg, his

28:59

explosive and his ability to break tackles,

29:01

which in my opinion is easily the best

29:03

in this class, and I think it's actually the best of like

29:05

the last three classes. His ability to make plays

29:07

in the open field like that

29:10

gives you like a floor for any if you're

29:12

a team like the Giants, which I know it's weird with the Giants

29:14

because they a lot of

29:16

things are weird with the Giants, but they don't have they have a

29:18

lot of like these slot guys, right, like

29:20

guys who've played mostly inside,

29:22

and Neighbors is a mostly inside guy at LSU,

29:25

but it feels like

29:27

they need someone to just say to Danny Dimes

29:29

or maybe Drew Locke at some point, like this

29:31

is your first read, he's gonna run a crossing

29:34

route or a dig route something like that. You just get the

29:36

ball to him and worry about the rest later.

29:38

It feels like a good way to start to kind of build a foundation

29:41

on your offense.

29:41

That's the Jets offense with Garret Wilson the last

29:43

two years basically.

29:44

Yes, yeah, correct, which is

29:47

why I kind of see those two guys similarly.

29:50

All Right, here's one for you. I'm not Marvin

29:52

Harrison, Junior, Malik Neighbors or Roma Denze,

29:55

but I have the best chance to put up number

29:57

one type numbers as a rookie.

30:01

If we're just talking numbers depending

30:04

on depending on where

30:06

he's drafted. I kind

30:09

of think it's got to be Brian Thomas, who's

30:11

the consensus wide receiver for He's my wide

30:13

receiver for in this draft class. I don't know if

30:16

he has he definitely has

30:18

the ceiling of a number one, but I think he

30:20

probably projects best as like a high end number

30:22

two. He only runs like three

30:24

routes. I mean, in his reception perception sample,

30:26

sixty seven percent of his routes were a slant,

30:29

a curl, or a go route.

30:31

And that's it. It doesn't mean, it doesn't mean it can't

30:34

learn it.

30:34

How can we kind of learn that with wide receivers

30:37

in these weird systems that they can learn it when they

30:39

get there.

30:39

I was just gonna say, like, and you, But at the

30:42

same time, his success rate on

30:44

a wide variety of other routes is really high.

30:46

Like, I think he does show the skills to expand

30:49

that route tree, but it gives you kind of

30:51

like if you look back at DK Metcalf's rookie season,

30:53

sixty seven percent of the routes that he

30:55

ran as a rookie was a slant, a

30:57

curl, or a go route. And so I think

30:59

that sort of development plan for Brian Thomas.

31:02

But if he lands with the right offense, like

31:04

I think about the Colts at fifteen, make a lot of

31:06

sense. Like you have a guy in

31:08

Michael Pittman that you're gonna throw the ball to a ton in the

31:10

short to intermediate area, and then you have

31:12

Brian Thomas just kind of ripping you on the routes

31:14

that you wanted Alec Pierce to win on. That

31:17

makes a lot of sense to me just from a pure numbers

31:19

perspective. I think he can put up like number one numbers

31:21

and then maybe eventually grow into that player.

31:24

He's the guy I was hoping you would

31:26

say for the last one, because I don't

31:28

have many draft takes where I'm

31:30

personally like a like a student

31:33

who is just studying for the test at the very

31:35

last minute and then like is over confident

31:37

going into it. But my one over confident

31:39

take is like, you can't take Brian Thomas Junior

31:41

too high if I didn't know anything about it,

31:43

I'm just sort of basic. If I didn't know anything

31:46

about where these guys were, and you just watch

31:49

Brian Thomas's six games, You're like, wait,

31:51

why is he not at top five?

31:52

Pick? Why is he not at like cause his

31:55

stop.

31:55

And start and his ability to

31:57

move so smoothly at that size

32:01

is just insane, Like it's just

32:03

as insane. I kind of see

32:05

his ceiling like in a perfect world where it all

32:07

went well, is like just as high

32:09

as those other guys. And I get it, Like he used to be a

32:12

basketball player. He ran a limited amount

32:14

of routes that you know, some of these deep threats

32:16

from the SEC, like like Jmo having

32:19

totally worked out, but a guy that

32:21

huge, that can run like that, that can stop

32:23

like that, Like he looked like Nico Collins to

32:25

me, looks now and

32:28

Nico Collins is great now. And I was like, if he

32:30

looks that good now and he's this age, and like his

32:32

testing is off the charts,

32:34

like he could be Nico Collins plus plus,

32:36

which is which is like a top ten receiver.

32:39

So like I I wouldn't be shocked if,

32:41

like if the Falcons or

32:43

one of those teams takes him in the top ten

32:45

just because of the way he looks. If a Dunze goes

32:48

early, like I don't see why he wouldn't

32:50

go against ahead of some of these defensive

32:52

players or tackles too.

32:54

But maybe I'm stupid.

32:55

You're not stupid, Greg, But I think the good the

32:57

good things Thomas. The

33:00

good thing with Brian Thomas is you also saw him

33:03

get better throughout the year, right, Like I

33:05

think a lot of analytic models will

33:07

ding him because he only has this one big year

33:09

of production. But that

33:11

production number one was earned and

33:14

number two, like you saw him on film, get

33:16

better, like the September routes

33:18

are not as good as the December routes.

33:20

Like the later games, He's getting better and better. He's

33:22

already making that development, that projection that

33:24

you kind of want him to make. And I

33:26

just love the idea of him across

33:28

from a competent number one, so that Atlanta spot

33:31

makes a lot of sense to where you're getting the most

33:33

out of him. And then you know Drake London's or Michael

33:35

Pittman from the example that I gave earlier.

33:37

All Right, everybody, let's stop down for one minute. We'll

33:39

take a break, and then we'll continue on with

33:41

Matt Harmon. All right,

33:43

we're back. So along those similar lines

33:46

to Mark's questions, so we've now hit on the mount

33:48

rushmore here if you will,

33:50

of prospects at this position.

33:53

Let's talk superlative for sleeper stud

33:55

So who's flying under the radar here a bit as

33:58

a twenty twenty four. I'm not saying super or

34:00

number one wide receiver, but a guy that steps

34:02

in and is an immediate difference maker,

34:04

like a Nico Collins, and then he develops and turns

34:07

into a star, like, who is the difference

34:09

maker that people aren't talking about.

34:12

I really like Ricky Piersaw is kind

34:14

of my favorite guy that's in a few

34:16

tiers down fun player.

34:19

I think he's a really good route runner. To me, he

34:21

seems like a guy that's just going to be a quarterback's best

34:23

friend very early on, because he's really good on

34:26

like slant routes and flat routes and these sort of

34:28

just routes around the line of scrimmage. But

34:30

he's got legit juice down the field. He's

34:32

a guy that you see on film play all three positions,

34:35

so you see him a little bit at X. I think his most

34:37

likely home in the NFL is going to be as

34:39

a flanker slot, like a guy that moves between those two

34:41

positions, someone that I think has

34:44

that sort of floor that you're talking about early on

34:46

Dan where he just gets open against

34:48

man's own coverage. It's a little more average

34:50

around press, but again there are ways to hide

34:52

that. You get him working around the line of scrimmage.

34:54

He's a quarterbacks best friend. He's always at the right landmarks.

34:56

He's always at the right place in terms of where you want

34:59

him from a route running perspective, but I

35:01

do see the upside for him to develop into like one

35:03

hundred and twenty type of target player in

35:05

year two, year three.

35:07

I think that there's a chance that he goes

35:09

higher than people think, just because he checks a

35:11

lot of like athletic measurements as well

35:13

that you really want to see. So he's been a guy that outside

35:16

of the first couple tiers of this class, that I've really

35:18

gravitated to from.

35:19

I don't know, a.

35:20

Sleeper perspective, because more people are talking about

35:22

him now than they were at the beginning of the process, but definitely

35:25

a player.

35:25

I like.

35:26

It's the draft process. Everyone talks about everyone.

35:28

It's un right. I'm almost disappointed though, that he

35:31

was your answer, because he's really one of only

35:33

two options for my

35:35

next category, which is just white

35:39

guy that Mark is going to fall in love with.

35:42

There's really only two guys, probably

35:45

towards the top of the draft unless.

35:47

I yeah, mcgreg it's the other guys,

35:49

so you set the table. Well, oh okay, I'm

35:51

just well, it's up to Matt though to guess.

35:53

There's no way the guy isn't Ladd McConkie.

35:56

I mean, there's just no way.

35:57

Gotta be. It's gotta be.

35:59

But the the great But of course, but the best

36:01

part about Lad McConkie.

36:03

Somewhere Zack Zenner just got like a shiver

36:05

and he's like someone is thinking

36:07

of me.

36:08

Wasn't Zach Center was in the news for something recently,

36:10

like in.

36:11

Two thousand and six during the preseason.

36:13

Maybe now, I swear

36:15

to god I saw something about like he went back to school or

36:17

started a business or something. Yeah, I'll

36:20

deep dive that for you, Mark and send you the article

36:23

after the show. But yeah, Lad McConkie,

36:25

the great part about him is that he's not just your typical

36:27

like lunch pale, gritty, white

36:30

slot receiver. The guy legitimately

36:33

wins on deep routes and like actually, in

36:35

terms of reception perception, the game sampled

36:37

here he was more of an outside receiver.

36:39

You saw him play a lot more. Now he does struggle

36:42

against press coverage. He does struggle against

36:44

in like contesta situations. But again,

36:46

those are things you can get around from like a

36:48

deployment perspective. You can move him inside.

36:50

You can also move him off the ball, like so many

36:52

of these receivers now I think are going to have their worlds

36:55

opened up by how much motion is going

36:57

on in the NFL right now, especially these like full

36:59

speed motion that a lot of smart coaching staffs

37:01

are using. So McConkey could be a

37:03

guy there, But I think he runs the best

37:05

out routes in the class. Like just pure I'm selling

37:07

vertical routes and then I break to the outside.

37:10

That's Lad maconkey. To me, his success rate on out

37:12

routes is among the best in the class. It's among the best

37:15

of the last few years. So when I was trying to think

37:17

of like a cop for him and go beyond

37:19

the gritty white slot receiver cop, because

37:21

I don't really think that's how he he plays. I

37:23

like went into the RP database and looked like who has

37:25

some of the best out routes since twenty fourteen,

37:28

and Tyler Lockett popped up as like a comparison

37:30

player, And I think that's sort of the kind of the bucket that

37:32

Lad fits into. If he can play inside,

37:34

he can also play outside, and he's more of a speed

37:37

based slot receiver when you do line him up.

37:38

There, I've got one for you,

37:41

Like if you Matt Harmon had to write like a Shakespearean

37:44

sonnet to you know, not one

37:46

of the stars that we've talked about, but like a

37:48

girl next door type of wide receiver. That's a

37:50

weird way to put it, but just like a little under the radar,

37:52

like who would you pen the sonnet too?

37:54

And of your affections?

37:56

Uh pearsall would have been an option,

37:59

but you know, I'm intimidated by the leg tattoo,

38:02

So I'll go with Malik Washington, who actually

38:04

went to school in Charlottesville, nearer where I live now

38:06

in Virginia Beach. Guys, just like a fun player

38:09

I don't know what the ceiling is for, you

38:11

know, a smaller receiver like this that really only

38:13

has like one year of major production. But I

38:16

mean he's got fantastic hands. He breaks

38:18

a ton of tackles, like he plays bigger than his

38:20

size. So if I was writing kind of that sonnet

38:23

to a player, I definitely think i'd

38:25

pick Malik Washington as kind of the deeper sleeper.

38:27

Here it shows how hard that this class

38:30

is crazy, because it

38:32

feels like, you

38:34

know, six receivers could go in the first round or

38:36

something, but it almost feels like there's

38:38

like nine or ten guys who could be fire.

38:41

There's like five or six guys who could

38:43

be that fifth or six, and there's not really a

38:45

consensus who it's gonna be, And then that means

38:48

there could be like ten to thirteen

38:50

in the second through two rounds, Like Malik Washington

38:52

is not a name I've even heard, as probably in

38:54

the first three rounds, there's like fifteen

38:57

to seventeen guys, and it really seems like there's a lot

38:59

of disagreement where there could be ten

39:01

to twelve guys that could go anywhere

39:04

from like pick twenty five to pick

39:06

seventy five, which is

39:09

just crazy in terms of what flavor. Like if

39:11

you're running a team, which guy

39:13

who's athletic do you not really trust?

39:16

Like an awesome athlete that maybe is in that bucket

39:19

of like he could go pretty high, but

39:22

that you're not really feeling.

39:24

I haven't really had that well,

39:27

I don't really have any like true full field athlete.

39:29

I do think that the Xavier

39:31

worthy for two to one, the speed part of it,

39:34

if that if that pushes him up in the first

39:36

round, that's gonna make me just a little bit nervous.

39:39

I think he's much better at doing like real wide

39:41

receiver things than some of these other kind of smaller

39:44

speed based receivers. But he's

39:47

just not good at contest the situations. He's a

39:49

guy that's gonna have to kind of be used in one of these specialized

39:51

roles where he's full speed motion at the

39:53

snap. That that's definitely great, Like teams

39:56

want viable target earners

39:58

in that position now, so I

40:01

can see the vision there depending on the coaching

40:03

staff. But there are just a lot of other receivers

40:06

that I prefer in terms of that can give you

40:08

like high volume perspective, like high

40:10

volume type of season. So he's

40:12

one that if you went in the first round, I'd be a little nervous.

40:15

If you went in the second round, I'm like, all right, I see

40:17

where your.

40:17

Vision is there.

40:18

To that point, I'm totally with you. Player

40:21

like that with that skill set and that flash

40:24

you got, where he ends up is so important

40:27

and what coaching staff and what the surrounding

40:29

talent is you kind of you have to have a

40:32

a scheme that knows how to use a

40:34

player like that.

40:35

You kind of hit on a

40:38

question greg I had.

40:40

I was asking kind of who to you might be

40:42

more LaQuan treadwill Well

40:44

then justin Jefferson. So a

40:46

guy that is so there is there a guy

40:48

to you out there other than other

40:52

than four two one that jumps

40:54

out to you as someone that you think is like, oh, if

40:56

I were running a team, I'm staying away or

40:58

are you just like this clay Where there

41:01

aren't.

41:01

A lot of red flags out there.

41:02

There's not a lot of red flags in terms of the early

41:05

guys. Because I know some people don't like Adie

41:07

Mitchell, the other receiver from Texas. I actually

41:10

like him better than Xavier Worthy, just because

41:12

I think you see him do like real NFL X

41:14

receiver things, and he's definitely

41:16

a volatile prospect, but I can understand chasing

41:18

the upside there. The guy that I've been kind

41:20

of like back and forth on where my

41:23

feeling on him to changes depending on

41:25

the game that I chart is Xavier Legette, who

41:28

some people do have as a late first round pick. To

41:30

me, that's definitely pretty

41:32

rich despite the fact that he's got great

41:35

tackle breaking ability and he shows an ability to

41:37

get open on certain routes

41:40

at that size, it's very impressive to see

41:42

him working out there. But at the same time, I do

41:44

think he is a developmental player

41:46

that might take a few years, and even

41:49

like that type of average

41:51

separator is typically like it

41:53

matters even more where he ends up because

41:55

you've got to find the right quarterback to

41:58

to sort of see that, like sort of see that vision

42:00

if he's gonna be an outside player, which I do think

42:02

is gonna be the case. Like I look at another guy, Keon

42:04

Coleman, who's not a separator, but if

42:07

you look at his reception perception profile, I won't bore

42:09

you guys with like the very hardcore percentile

42:12

stats.

42:12

With this, get dirty, get dirty with the numbers.

42:16

There's another say there's another drop. But

42:19

like over the over the last few draft classes I've charted,

42:21

there's a handful of players that have been below

42:24

the thirty fifth percentile and success rate versus

42:26

man zone and press coverage or

42:28

at least two of the three. Almost

42:31

all of them have been total flameouts except

42:33

five guys, and they've all become

42:35

like big slot receivers like Rashi Rice was

42:37

an outside receiver who didn't really

42:39

get open. He moved inside in the NFL

42:42

found career success in year one. I'm

42:44

on ross Saint Brown. He was good against zone coverage, but

42:46

wasn't really great against man and press coverage as

42:48

an outside receiver at USC, moves in the slot,

42:51

has a great season, has a great career, obviously.

42:53

Jujus Smith Schuster another one struggled

42:55

beaten man press coverage outside as

42:57

a collegiate player, was a big slot receiver

42:59

in his good year with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Like I see

43:01

that vision with Keon Coleman, where he's

43:03

a guy that is below that thirty fifth percentile

43:05

mark and man and press coverage, but it's a

43:07

pretty solid zone beater, and he's pretty good on these

43:10

routes like dig routes and slant routes, and

43:12

so if the right team takes him,

43:14

you know that has a coaching stat like the Chiefs

43:16

they take Rashid Rice. I talked to Rashid

43:19

Rice at the Super Bowl kind of asked him, like when did the vision

43:21

of you becoming this receiver, like a

43:23

big slot receiver sort of when

43:25

did that materialize? And he said it was right after he was

43:27

drafted, and like Brett Veach talked about in the post draft presser,

43:30

they saw him as like a juju kind of replacement

43:32

for them, which was weird. To me because he was mostly

43:34

a pure outside receiver in college.

43:37

So the right team takes Keon Coleman has

43:39

that vision for him. I can see that working

43:41

out with Lagett because he's

43:43

a ball winner and like he

43:45

theoretically is more of an like

43:48

a straight line athlete. In my opinion, I

43:50

think he has to be an outside receiver and in that case is

43:53

going to take kind of the right team to really maximize

43:55

that skill set.

43:57

He looks like the freakiest maybe of any

43:59

of these.

44:01

It's a little worrisome that you're like a fifth year senior

44:03

that you know, for various reasons, didn't have production

44:06

before you were twenty three, playing against

44:08

some nineteen year olds.

44:10

But if you just like, look at this man

44:12

running down.

44:13

The field, he's a total

44:15

He looks like DK Metcalf or A J.

44:17

Brown.

44:18

So some team has got to fall in love with

44:20

that at some point and just try to make it

44:22

work.

44:22

And don't forget greg that Tommy

44:25

Callahan, son

44:27

of Big Tom Callahan, after

44:29

a rough start on the road with his

44:32

colleague, ended up making Callahan's

44:34

break pads hugely successful

44:37

in Tommy Boy. So just because

44:39

you might he was an eighth year senior as

44:42

I recall, and Tommy did

44:44

just fine in the end.

44:45

A trenching point in nice thanks, nicely.

44:47

Done, thank you, last thing before we let you

44:50

go. Macaus, I know you're busy. Whither

44:52

rock Bowers M. I

44:55

don't chart tight ends. Man, No,

44:57

I love I love it.

44:59

I love the man that was last year.

45:01

Last year was a for The

45:04

man has a code respect

45:07

code methodology.

45:09

It is.

45:10

It is a serious code. Because

45:13

the Kyle Pitts bros. Have been, you know, banging on

45:16

my door for years now about like where's our

45:18

Kyle Pits reception perception chart?

45:20

And I have two reasons why I only

45:22

stick to the wide receiver position. One is

45:24

kind of the the statistical

45:27

reason that I've been doing reception perception

45:29

now in these wide receivers for ten plus years.

45:31

Like you know, I've been working on this for

45:33

a long time. I have a very understanding of what

45:35

the data show, very good understanding what the data shows

45:37

us, right like you did you score this against man coverage?

45:40

I understand where your position should be. I should understand like

45:42

what thresholds are that all that type of stuff.

45:44

To start a whole new database with tight ends,

45:47

we're starting from square one. The second reason

45:50

is can if I can work blue

45:52

on this show? I got enough show on my plate. Okay, like

45:54

I got I got enough wide receivers on

45:56

my plate. Right we're talking about there's you mentioned

45:59

Greg, there's gonna be eyes that come off the board in the

46:01

third round that I'm not gonna have a route chart for. And

46:03

it's gonna it's gonna make me nervous, it gonna make me feel

46:05

weird.

46:05

Man.

46:05

Let's be fair, though.

46:07

We began this conversation with you saying, James

46:10

Co your partner with reception perception,

46:12

who, by the way, is one of the great showmen and hosts.

46:14

But he wants to bite at the apple and he wants to start

46:16

studying. He wants to start charting. Give

46:18

him tight ends, throw him that bone. Let's

46:20

expand the property.

46:22

I would love to James, this

46:24

is your call. Step up to the plate, buddy, contribute

46:27

contribute to the to the charting here. I mean, listen,

46:30

this is what we did with Derek Lassen, who does great

46:32

work on quarterbacks. I

46:35

was like, hey, Derek is a free agent

46:37

not working for football outsiders anymore. Let's

46:40

get him to chart quarterbacks for reception perception.

46:42

Dot com and that's what he does now, So aspiring

46:46

tight end whisper out there. Yea,

46:48

this is this is your call. Come come chart

46:50

tight ends for reception perception and

46:52

that's how we'll get it done.

46:53

Yeah, I just I don't think.

46:54

I don't think like tight end perception is gonna work

46:56

well on certain corners

46:58

of the Internet. But that's okay, inside of your

47:01

your great.

47:03

I was gonna sat but that's

47:05

a little, a little backdoor entry to

47:07

get into the data.

47:08

Nailed it.

47:09

Matt Harmon at Matt Harmon underscore

47:11

b y B on Twitter. Sorry

47:14

Mark X. Also check him

47:16

out on Yahoo and of course reception Perception

47:18

dot com which has everything

47:21

in the wider wide receiver realm.

47:23

And if we're lucky, tight ends very

47:25

soon. Matt, you're the best buddy.

47:28

Appreciate you boys for having me.

47:29

Yeah, this is awesome.

47:30

And can't wait to see where these guys actually get drafted

47:32

and then we can have a real conversation about it.

47:34

I can't wait, Thank God.

47:40

All right, let's take a break and

47:42

when we got back, we'll put a button on

47:44

this.

47:44

One welcome

47:52

back.

47:52

And uh yeah, I gotta get me

47:54

myself a mythology.

47:57

I mean, that's that does

47:59

we didn't if we had to have a mythology.

48:02

I think you're talking about like a methodology. You've

48:04

created quite a mythology of oh, mythology.

48:07

Yeah, methodology is I think methodology.

48:10

Methodology, mythology, mythology,

48:15

that's what you got.

48:16

You've got that down. I

48:18

think the methodology part of it. I'm

48:20

just letting you know. I think you're

48:22

you've got a lot going on too. Just like Matt was saying,

48:24

like it would probably take about one hundred

48:26

plus hours a week to create some

48:28

sort of rival site to this, and you starting

48:31

it back in twenty thirteen would have been a

48:33

wise move.

48:34

Are you ready to take that on now?

48:36

Well?

48:36

Just like how does one come

48:38

up with a methodology? Like?

48:40

How does one like? How does

48:42

that originate within one's own brain?

48:45

That that, to me is something that

48:48

I aspire to have

48:50

an idea come into my mind that makes me think,

48:52

not only is this an interesting idea, this

48:55

might be a methodology.

48:57

I mean, this

48:59

is not the way you use the word methodology.

49:01

You have done that, Dan, like that, this is that

49:03

podcast the way you create

49:06

different episodes of the shows and

49:09

heighten certain characteristics from other

49:11

people and that.

49:13

Actually, that is your methodology. That's very nice.

49:15

That is the correct usage.

49:16

But that's not what I'm thinking of.

49:18

I want something like Matt has, where people

49:20

come off like, whoa, that guy is smart,

49:23

that guy has his own methodology. Yeah,

49:25

I mean listening to ATM and be

49:27

like, well, Dan really nailed his methodology

49:29

this week.

49:30

But part of your mythology is this like state

49:32

mandated mythology lagged hardcore.

49:35

Yeah, you know.

49:36

Part of your mythology, though, is the

49:38

fact that you're notoriously ill at

49:40

math, that you don't have any skills at math, so you

49:42

can't market you don't have to reverse market

49:44

that.

49:45

Let's that's true.

49:46

Okay, Let's let's talk about Zach Xaner, real quick,

49:48

undrafted rookie out of South Dakota State

49:50

mark the preseason rushing

49:53

leader in two thousand

49:55

and sixteen when

49:59

he rush for a buck eighty

50:01

three on thirty five totes five point

50:03

two yards per Carrie. I didn't

50:05

really translate, and Zach

50:08

is obviously long gone from the league,

50:10

but he is active

50:13

on social media. I just came across

50:15

this late in our conversation with Maddie.

50:17

Here it is Zach Xenner thirty one follow

50:20

him. When someone tells me I don't

50:22

have time, I think they don't have a strategy.

50:25

I had twenty five minutes to eat lunch and shower

50:28

and no prepped food parentheticals.

50:31

Yesterday, put two salmon filets in

50:33

the airfire, showered, then ate

50:35

it with some veggies and supplements. Still

50:37

made my two PM Part two.

50:41

Was it my best meal?

50:42

No?

50:43

But I got my protein in and the nutrients

50:45

came from unprocessed whole food sources.

50:47

The key was that I had a plan in case I

50:49

didn't have time to prepare my typical lunch. Strategies

50:52

and plans are crucial for any goal, especially

50:54

healthy and wellness. There

50:56

you go, so Zaxy on the path to He's

50:59

got his own methodology around

51:02

health, fitness and wellness. So he's on that

51:04

path in life.

51:05

I think, I if you, if you look back at it, I

51:07

I from a certain angle.

51:09

I properly scouted him. Which

51:12

angle would that be exactly?

51:14

I mean, we're ten years later and he couldn't

51:16

be more successful. He's writing long mantras about

51:18

air fryars and showering. Yeah, and

51:20

he's got more almost four thousand

51:22

views on that first tweet.

51:24

I'm sure he's a blast at parties. He

51:27

was in the news recently as as Matt said

51:29

that he's taken his mcat and

51:32

he actually has a nutrition company, so it all

51:34

it all, and he wants to be an agent.

51:36

So he's got a lot, a lot of things

51:38

going on, and you know, now

51:41

we've got some some white

51:43

receivers to fill his his place. I was

51:45

surprised he went Pearsall there too, by the way,

51:47

because Pearsall was a guy didn't didn't

51:49

get me going watching him because those guys, it's

51:52

a it's kind of a cliche to

51:54

say that the white guys fit better in the

51:56

slot and they tested

51:59

out out of the him.

52:00

There's got a better way to put that, well,

52:02

but it's true.

52:03

What do you mean, Well, it's

52:05

like a big cliche that you put the white guys

52:07

in the slot. There's there's not many white outside receivers

52:10

for a long time, and these guys have crazy athletic

52:12

scores. But Pierce All really is a slot

52:14

guy, and that kind of limits I think

52:16

where we would go. And McConkey, he mentioned

52:19

like was not beating outside press

52:21

coverage, Like it was not the type of receiver

52:23

that you would normally see go on, but he snaps,

52:26

he moves well like in some team is gonna

52:28

fall.

52:28

Don't you think Maconky is like pretty fun

52:30

to watch? I mean I spent like, yeah, I didn't spin out.

52:34

I can see working giant.

52:38

What got me?

52:38

That's what put me in the doorway because I was like, is he related

52:41

to film a Coonkye?

52:42

And no, there's no no relation. The

52:46

internet.

52:46

I guess if you, I mean, if you

52:48

know, if you if you dug deep into the family

52:50

tree, you know, I'm sure there is.

52:52

But it's not like his son or something big

52:54

fun.

52:55

Can you dig deep into the Maconkie

52:57

family tree and see if the four

53:00

I'm a New York Giants wide receiver teammate

53:02

of Sean Landena, I believe Mark who

53:04

had a circus catch in Super Bowl twenty

53:07

one against the Denver Broncos, if

53:09

he is related in any way to

53:11

the highly lauded

53:14

draft prospect Ladd McConkie,

53:17

Ladd la double d mconkie,

53:21

thank you anything else?

53:23

Boys, that's

53:25

fun.

53:27

It's such a crazy draft

53:29

that there's guys like

53:31

like Troy Franklin. He's got an outside chance

53:34

to get drafted in the first round. Like we didn't even mention

53:36

Harrison or whatever. There's just it's

53:38

almost hard to like figure out which one is

53:41

which guy here, Like Texas,

53:43

for instance, has two we mentioned that could both go

53:45

in the first round in Worthy and

53:48

Ady Mitchell.

53:48

There's just like guy upon guy upon guy.

53:51

And that's good.

53:52

Because as we talked about, there's like a million

53:54

teams that have needs at the position.

53:55

And you're right, it feels almost strange not to

53:58

dig in on Marvin Harrison Junior and this

54:00

episode, the one with the wide receivers.

54:02

But I will say this, he is number

54:04

two on Daniel Jeremiah's top fifty

54:07

twenty twenty four NFL prospects that he

54:09

just put out, and I don't agree with the decision, but

54:12

I don't have full control of things,

54:14

Like we will have Jeremiah on the show next

54:16

week, and let's dig in on Harrison when

54:19

he is with us. One last

54:21

thought, because we have so many

54:25

potentially high end

54:28

wide receivers or certainly at the very least

54:30

sought after wide receivers, and a

54:32

reminder that not everything works. And of

54:34

course Matt Harmon is going to

54:36

be tracking this on RP reception,

54:39

perception and a lot of these guys are gonna pop,

54:41

but sometimes it just doesn't translate.

54:43

I thought about with this many wide receivers

54:46

this position, it's probably if

54:48

you probably really do the dive, it's

54:50

probably not that out of the ordinary. It certainly

54:52

happens with the quarterback position for obvious reasons.

54:54

But teams can go on runs in

54:56

the first round. Two years come to mind, twenty

54:59

twenty three. Last year four straight wide

55:01

receivers. Seattle took JSN at twenty,

55:04

the Chargers took Quenton Johnson at

55:07

twenty one, Baltimore took Zay

55:09

Flowers at twenty two, and then Jordan Addison

55:11

went to the Vikings at twenty three. And then

55:13

I had mentioned the Lakwan Treadwell, who

55:17

did not work out from Minnesota. He

55:19

was part of another run in twenty sixteen when

55:21

Houston took Will Fuller at twenty one, Washington

55:24

took Josh Dockson at twenty two, and then

55:26

Treadwell twenty three. None of those guys really

55:29

made it well, Fuller almost did but then disappeared.

55:31

Strange, So

55:34

I wonder if we're going to get that, if we're going to get this

55:36

year another one where we get a run of three or even

55:38

four guys in a row.

55:39

I think we will.

55:40

But I think so we're going to get I still look

55:42

at I know it looks like the best class we've

55:44

ever had during our show, clearly,

55:47

but forty percent of them are

55:49

going to be on the same team three

55:52

years from now.

55:52

I believe it's different.

55:53

The receiver has hit well, Like you look

55:55

at that AJ Brown class and granted

55:58

those guys it was crazy because they went and the second

56:00

McLaurin was in the third they were all over the place.

56:04

A lot of the like it. To me, it's hit at a

56:06

higher level than other positions.

56:09

And the difference this year is like, I'm

56:11

pretty confident Brian Thomas would have gotten

56:13

drafted over all those receivers last year, and

56:15

he's four here, Like I think

56:18

he'll go top top twelve, top fifteen.

56:20

So it is a better class

56:22

than I think we've seen in the last few

56:25

Then there'll be some boomer Bus guys after that.

56:27

Well, and like a rookie wide receiver contract

56:29

is very valuable too. But I I I'm just

56:32

saying, I'm telling you let's let's let's

56:34

talk in four years and see where we are.

56:36

It's not all gonna be starters and number one dudes.

56:38

All Right, Mark, we get it, you know.

56:40

I mean I don't know because

56:43

I'm like I was like looking at but

56:45

we don't have to dwell on it well because you know, I

56:47

was looking at the draft class from just like three years

56:49

ago and I find it relatively

56:51

depressing, which one just

56:55

like in general, what's happened to tons of players

56:57

that we were squawking about?

56:58

And I'm not you know, I get it. I'm not trying to go down that path.

57:00

But it's like, oh, Mark, you

57:02

sent it called Sonova bitch.

57:05

I'm with you, though, but I think it's like, I

57:08

mean, I.

57:08

Said it first, but you know, we don't need to

57:10

hammer it home that these

57:13

guys play.

57:14

I'm tapping it, understand.

57:15

All right?

57:16

How about the twenty twenty two would be the closest

57:18

comp, but this one would probably be viewed as

57:20

better Garrett Wilson, Drake London, O

57:23

Love.

57:23

I mean those are all hits.

57:25

That, yeah, but I'm not talking about the first five guy, and

57:27

we're talking about like there's sixteen, like twenty

57:29

people. Like the comps for the bottom ten

57:31

are a lot of them are just

57:33

sort of normal wide receivers, so whatever, we'll

57:35

see Well, in half a decade,

57:38

I will be right.

57:39

Yes, we will circle back in exactly

57:41

half a decade. Finally, one bit

57:44

of update here, Big

57:46

Funk, who never shies

57:49

away from any challenge, including

57:51

incredible photoshop

57:53

work on the twenty twenty

57:55

four San Diego gray Beard's Media Guide.

57:58

He has a date. According

58:00

to Randy, this is a direct quote. There

58:03

is no reported relation between

58:06

eighties mconkie in twenty twenties

58:08

mconkie.

58:09

Well that was what Mark said.

58:10

That was reporting, right,

58:13

But we threw it to Randy,

58:15

so if you want it, if it makes it feel more official,

58:18

Randy is officially.

58:21

Going on record that there is no relation.

58:25

Well, I appreciate.

58:26

I appreciate Randy, but it doesn't feel any more

58:28

official to me because I went and researched it

58:30

like like this week myself.

58:31

But that's fine, Oh, Raby, this isn't good

58:33

out.

58:34

For you, Randy says, We'll take this, mister

58:36

Cinek. The mconkie name originates

58:38

from Irish.

58:39

Del Riata delta dan

58:42

Tarriata.

58:43

It's Gaelic, I guess, so while not direct,

58:45

there may be something somewhere down the line.

58:48

Well, sure, we're all related somewhere

58:51

down the line.

58:51

If you go far enough back, you know

58:53

what I think, that's that's a great way to the

58:55

end end the episode, greg that we are all,

58:59

we all bleed red, and we

59:01

might not all look the same, but

59:04

we are one, even if we are not the same.

59:11

Till Monday heat the b

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