Episode Transcript
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0:05
I've been. Thinking about the investment for
0:07
say bunk and what managers don't
0:10
see, they meet with allocators. It
0:12
happens hundreds of times a day
0:14
a money manager walked into the
0:17
office of Our Perspective investor. They've.
0:19
Never been more confident. A
0:22
long track record of success, stellar
0:24
short term results. An ideal strategy
0:26
for the times in a first
0:28
rate team to execute. But.
0:30
They never see it coming. Five.
0:33
Dreaded words go unstated as
0:35
the manager wonders why the
0:37
check never comes. It's. Not
0:39
you. It's. Me: New.
0:41
Investment relationships start when the
0:44
manager fits into the allocators
0:46
playbook. Not. The other way
0:48
around. Managers. Often only
0:50
see the game from their perspective.
0:53
What? Happens on the other side
0:55
of the field significantly influences the
0:57
likelihood of a new allocation. The.
1:00
Investment Office Playbook takes place
1:02
over four seasons. Governance.
1:04
Deployment optimization and
1:07
maturity. The. Seasons repeat
1:09
each time. A new see I owe
1:11
takes the help. Other. Rules
1:13
influencing investment activity include fun flows
1:15
to the investment office and the
1:18
see ios tenure in the see.
1:21
A chart mapping out the investment office
1:23
playbook under a new Ceo. Looks.
1:25
Like a bell curve. With. The
1:27
year on the X Axis and the
1:29
number of new investments made on the
1:31
Y Axis. With. Each stage
1:34
summarized as follows: One.
1:37
Governance. Cia. Oh comes
1:39
into a new pool of capital and
1:41
spent the first year to creating the
1:43
playbook for how they will operate and
1:45
invest. To. Deployment.
1:48
The. Investment Office selects it's roster of
1:51
managers and put money to work.
1:53
Three. Optimization. The.
1:56
Team Fine tunes the portfolio,
1:58
correcting mistakes and upgrading the
2:01
roster of managers. And
2:03
for maturity. The. Investment
2:06
Office patiently. Let's it's all
2:08
star managers com pounds capital.
2:10
And. He knew allocation must replace
2:13
an existing. Deployments
2:15
and early optimization seasons or
2:17
the golden period for managers
2:19
to approach an investment office.
2:22
In. The governance and maturity
2:24
stages. Managers rarely are invited
2:26
on the sealed. I'll.
2:28
Describe the playbook in some more detail.
2:31
Governance. It starts with
2:33
a new pool of capital. The.
2:35
Australian Superannuation Funds around twenty
2:38
five years old. The.
2:40
Chance of Coburg Initiative Investment
2:42
Organization is five a new
2:44
family offices launch every year.
2:47
Newly. Wealthy families are newly
2:49
created institutions. Hire a C
2:51
Io. Who. Spends the first year
2:53
to preparing the investment strategy. Is
2:56
period includes creating an investment policy
2:58
statement. Recruiting. A Team. And
3:01
determining how to allocate the capital.
3:03
Soon. New investments in science
3:06
occurred during this time. And.
3:08
Those that do arise from
3:10
high conviction, past relationships. No.
3:13
Matter how strong a managers credentials
3:15
may be, They're. Unlikely to
3:17
win a mandate from an investment
3:19
office during the governance stage. Deployment.
3:24
The. Next few years or the golden period
3:26
for a manager to earn an allocation.
3:29
After governance is complete, the Cia
3:31
oh spend two to four years
3:33
implementing the strategy. This
3:35
is the most exciting, an active
3:37
period for the newly constituted Investment
3:40
Office. Their. Eyes are
3:42
wide open to opportunities. And.
3:44
Great investment ideas in line with their
3:46
strategy. Will find a spot on the
3:49
roster. Optimization.
3:51
In. The next season the investment office
3:53
will work to improve the quality of
3:56
the portfolio. Money. Invested in
3:58
the deployment stage will come. Mistakes.
4:01
David. Morehead Chief Investment officer
4:03
Baylor University believes he only
4:06
got seventy percent of his
4:08
initial decisions correct. It.
4:10
Took him another two to four years
4:12
to rotate the remaining thirty percent
4:14
in Two Better ideas. That.
4:17
Thirty percent. Also will have about
4:19
seventy percent hit me. Sir.
4:21
David has a few more years of
4:24
making changes with the smaller proportion of
4:26
the endowment to get to a steady
4:28
state. The. Korean. When.
4:30
The optimization stages complete. The
4:33
investment team enters the mature
4:35
season. Around eight years into
4:37
their tenure, the Cia oh his, built
4:39
the portfolio that mostly let them sleep
4:42
at night. Any new
4:44
allocations to managers face severe
4:46
competition for capital. You. Managers
4:48
approaching the investment office? maybe?
4:50
Outstanding. But. They must replace
4:53
and existing player on the field
4:55
to find a place in the
4:57
Allocators roster. Many. Allocators pride
4:59
themselves on being long term
5:01
partners to their managers. Their.
5:04
Identity is tied to that
5:06
behavior. Which. Makes the hurdle
5:08
for a new manager to replace
5:10
an one much higher. That's.
5:12
A wonderful characteristic if you're a
5:14
manager in the portfolio. Not.
5:16
So much if you're on the outside looking
5:18
in. Part. Two
5:21
of the Investment Office Playbook. The.
5:23
Mature Season Ten list many years.
5:25
Theoretically, it should last as long
5:27
as the duration of the assets.
5:30
Endowments, foundations, and sovereign wealth
5:32
funds have perpetual time horizons.
5:35
That's a long time. But. That's
5:37
not what happens. The. Members
5:39
of the investment office do not
5:41
live forever. And. Their career path
5:43
rarely aligns with the playbook of
5:46
their investment office. On. A
5:48
martial pointed out on The Capital Our
5:50
Teachers Podcast that the investment seems that
5:52
gets an organization to the mature season.
5:55
May. Not be the right team to keep them
5:57
there. Similarly, cia
6:00
may look to play a different game
6:02
by taking on a new challenge at
6:04
a different organization. When a
6:06
new leader takes charge in the investment
6:08
office, Part 2 of the playbook begins
6:11
and repeats a similar arc to Part 1.
6:14
The bell curve in Part 2 looks just
6:16
like the one in Part 1 with a
6:18
few tweaks. Governance.
6:21
The new CIO refreshes the governance and
6:24
strategy in their image. This
6:26
process takes a similar one to two years
6:28
to the governance season in Part 1. Restructuring.
6:33
Over the next year or two, the CIO
6:36
may turn over the manager roster as they
6:38
make their mark on the portfolio. Optimization.
6:43
The CIO encounters mistakes in their
6:45
decisions and finds better opportunities than
6:47
they initially pursued, leading to
6:49
more turnover in the manager roster. And
6:52
4. Maturity. After
6:54
5 to 8 years, the investment office
6:56
once again enters the mature season. Part
7:00
2 is rarely the end of the game
7:02
either. In my podcast
7:04
conversation about Carnegie Corporation of New York,
7:07
Ellen Schumann, Kim Liu, Meredith
7:09
Jenkins, and Elisa Mall discuss
7:11
three transitions in leadership at
7:13
Carnegie and three at other
7:16
institutions where they took the helm
7:18
after leaving Carnegie. Each
7:20
instance had unique features, yet
7:22
each also fit into the investment
7:24
office playbook. Deepening
7:26
the playbook. The shape of the curve.
7:30
The flow of funds to an investment
7:32
office influences the pace of investment allocations
7:34
during each season. Investment
7:37
offices receiving inflows, like those
7:39
overseeing multifamily offices or sovereign
7:41
wealth funds, may have
7:43
a continuing need for deployment through
7:45
the optimization and mature phases. Offices
7:49
with steady outflows, like foundations
7:51
and legacy single-family offices, may
7:54
have a shorter deployment phase and
7:56
even more intense competition for capital.
8:00
like OCIOs or fundafunds are one
8:02
step control
8:06
over funds flowing in or out
8:08
of their portfolios. Another
8:10
winning strategy investment
8:12
office duration. The
8:15
tenure of a CIO is
8:17
correlated with investment success. League
8:19
tables of allocators, however annoying and
8:21
irrelevant they may be, almost
8:24
always show that investment offices
8:26
with the longest standing CIOs
8:28
delivered the best performance over
8:30
the long term. Yale,
8:32
MIT and Princeton all had one
8:34
thing in common, long-serving
8:37
leadership. The investment
8:39
office playbook explains this dynamic.
8:42
If it takes five day years
8:44
for a CIO to reach optimization
8:46
and maturity then any organization whose
8:48
CIO leaves before that time never
8:51
gets a chance to pursue continuous
8:53
improvement from an optimized portfolio. It's
8:56
rare to see a sophisticated co-investment
8:58
program, direct management of
9:00
select assets or niche
9:02
and tactical opportunities implemented by an
9:05
investment office that hasn't reached the
9:07
mature season. I joined the
9:09
Yale investments office seven years after
9:12
David Swenson became chief investment officer.
9:14
He had built a roster of incredible
9:16
managers from top to bottom. It
9:19
was a perfect time for me
9:21
to learn the ropes and work
9:23
on adding value through direct investments,
9:25
secondaries and one-off opportunistic strategies. But
9:28
it was not a time for the active
9:30
pursuit of new manager relationships. I can
9:33
only imagine the incremental improvements David
9:36
made over the quarter century after
9:38
I left, each widening
9:40
Yale's advantage over its peers.
9:43
It's not you, it's me. For
9:46
a manager seeking a new allocation, it's
9:48
usually not about you. Managers
9:51
who learn the playbook of the investment
9:53
office are best prepared to understand when
9:55
the time is right to maximize their
9:58
chances of making the allocators roster.
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