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How Online Fights Affect Real World Battlefields

How Online Fights Affect Real World Battlefields

Released Friday, 1st December 2023
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How Online Fights Affect Real World Battlefields

How Online Fights Affect Real World Battlefields

How Online Fights Affect Real World Battlefields

How Online Fights Affect Real World Battlefields

Friday, 1st December 2023
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Episode Transcript

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2:01

Everyone's brain shut down. You

2:04

know what I mean? Because it's like

2:06

this, I'm already in this post-Holid Thanksgiving

2:08

space where I'm feeling myself pulled like

2:11

into Christmas and into like not paying

2:14

attention to anything, like trying

2:16

to put off big projects. And I'm

2:18

wondering if in your world something similar

2:20

happens and when it happens. Yeah.

2:23

Well, the whole DC policy

2:26

space really does follow like an

2:28

academic calendar. And

2:33

actually, I

2:35

guess thinking more through it. So like

2:37

I went to University of Pennsylvania. So

2:39

in addition to like academic calendar, like

2:42

Jewish holidays also kind of were

2:44

major points. And I think that's

2:47

also the case in DC as well. So

2:49

like things don't really get rolling until like

2:51

mid September, then there's Thanksgiving, then there's Christmas,

2:53

like there's only little chunks where people are

2:55

actually working. But then, you know,

2:57

there's some people who like working

2:59

a little too much. And they're the ones

3:01

who are still, you know, going on into

3:03

the online trenches, like on holidays to do

3:05

battle. Talk about generally

3:08

esoteric policy stuff. Hard pass on

3:10

that. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, like,

3:12

one could do that as a way to

3:14

avoid family and like having to and it's

3:16

like, oh, sorry, I can't I can't, you

3:18

know, come out to grandma's house for the

3:20

whole week because I'm the designated, you know,

3:22

person that has to be online just in

3:24

case all hell breaks loose, which I have

3:26

used that before. Very

3:29

helpful. Yeah,

3:32

you get to be the newsroom watcher, you're

3:34

the ghost light in the newsroom on on

3:37

a holiday. So you don't have to yeah, the

3:39

little bank light that's flickering. That's me. Yeah,

3:43

there was a weird dynamic. When

3:46

I was a junior researcher, like accounts on

3:48

foreign relations, you know, everyone's trying to get

3:50

published, get their raw bed out there. But

3:52

they're normally younger folks for good

3:54

reason aren't that credible of voices. But

3:56

the holidays, you know, it was a moment where you'd shoot

3:59

your shot, right? Because Older people

4:01

have families and kids who they

4:03

hopefully love. But

4:05

you're a grinder in your mid-20s. Young

4:11

people not being very credible, will that

4:13

possibly be a theme of this

4:16

episode? Who'd you say? I think a

4:18

little. Yeah, I don't know. I'm

4:23

always fascinated by this topic. I think Emily's heard me tell this

4:25

story 15 times now. But

4:28

I worked retail

4:30

for so long that the holidays

4:32

still give me anxiety. Like

4:35

we'll go into Thanksgiving and like, oh, that's Black Friday.

4:38

It's going to be my busiest day of the year.

4:40

And then it's just going to be a nonstop nightmare

4:42

until the middle of January. And

4:45

then getting like a

4:47

steady job in news,

4:50

it's the opposite and everything slows down, but

4:52

my anxiety remains. And

4:54

I don't know what to do with it. So

4:56

I'm always interested to hear who else is just

4:58

relaxing and not doing much as

5:00

the turkey works through their system. I

5:05

would say broadly, being in a war

5:08

and social media is not like a recipe to

5:11

turning off. Maybe

5:14

that explains maybe a lot

5:17

about my personality then, actually. Yeah,

5:21

but that's on you. The posters

5:23

are here. Everybody is,

5:26

it's happening. It's all happening. Because

5:28

I'm going to go home and my mom is going to yell at me

5:30

for being on the phone too much. I can

5:33

feel it. But

5:35

speaking of being on your phone too much, let's actually

5:38

get into today's topic. Can

5:40

you introduce yourself for us, the audience? Sure

5:43

thing. My name is Emerson Brooking.

5:45

I'm a resident senior fellow at the Digital

5:48

Forensic Research Lab at the Atlantic Council where

5:50

I study the intersection of social media

5:53

and warfare. I'm also

5:55

co-author of a 2018 book, Like

5:57

War, Weaponization of Social Media. with

6:00

Peter Singer, right, is the co-op? That's right.

6:04

I think we've had on the show before,

6:06

but anyway, it doesn't matter. So I want

6:08

to talk to you about this today in part because

6:11

I know, Emily, both of

6:13

our mothers are sending us posts

6:16

of things that are happening

6:19

in the Israel-Hamas war. Some

6:21

of them are outright lies. And

6:24

I know that this is a thing that you

6:26

followed for a long time, Emerson. We

6:28

were wondering, what

6:31

is it about this war specifically

6:34

that seems to bring out the

6:37

half-truths, the lies, the disinformation? Is it more

6:39

prevalent than ever, or are we just paying

6:41

attention? And how do we get

6:44

our mothers to stop sending us posts? Well,

6:47

your last question will be the hardest to

6:49

hit. So we'll maybe filibuster that one. In

6:53

general, I think

6:55

that the disinformation around this conflict

6:57

really is unprecedented, both in the

7:00

volume and I think

7:03

also the audacity

7:06

of some lies, some falsehoods

7:08

which have been spread, which are clearly

7:10

intended to drive action

7:13

in one part of the conflict or another. And

7:16

the reason for that, and why

7:19

it's even worse, for instance, than the 2022 Russian

7:22

invasion of Ukraine, is that

7:25

publics who are

7:28

deeply sympathetic to either position

7:30

in the conflict are all

7:33

parts of the same online spaces.

7:37

And broadly, the Israel-Hastenian debate

7:40

is something that's suffused Western

7:42

and especially American politics for

7:45

decades. So of course,

7:47

as more people have gone online, they've

7:49

taken their old positions, but they've moved

7:52

into these new online spaces where they're already

7:54

prepared to engage even more aggressively with

7:57

each other. And I guess one

7:59

point just from the outset, I'm sorry. staying different sides of

8:01

this conflict. When I say

8:04

shorthand, I'm often thinking about pro-Palestinian

8:06

and pro-Israeli positions. Obviously,

8:08

October 7 was a terror

8:10

attack by Hamas, which represents elements of

8:12

Gaza, which is not

8:15

all Palestinian territories, not all Palestine.

8:18

And many pro-Palestinian activists

8:21

are not supportive of Hamas, indeed most

8:23

are not. But I wanna draw

8:25

that distinction because that can often be lost when we talk

8:28

about one side or another. And

8:31

I would say that that is one of the, probably

8:33

one of the big broad brush, like

8:36

lies or bits of misinformation, is to align

8:38

anyone who is invested in

8:40

human rights and

8:46

the plight of the people in Gaza

8:48

as Hamas sympathizers, right? Absolutely.

8:51

I mean, this is a

8:54

particular tactic that transcends

8:58

one conflict. We saw

9:00

in 2020, at the height of

9:02

the George Floyd protests, a pretty

9:04

concerted effort by the American far

9:06

right to tie Antifa

9:09

to terrorism, to

9:11

suggest that they were even supported by

9:14

foreign terrorist organizations. At the time I

9:16

published a analysis of this

9:18

disinformation campaign with the DFR Lab.

9:21

But of course, this phenomenon also

9:23

transcends social media altogether. Vincent

9:26

Bevin's book, The Jakarta Method, talks

9:28

about how when different, mostly

9:32

leftist groups or causes were being marginalized,

9:35

the first thing one would do would

9:37

be to associate them with

9:40

abhorrent political violence or terrorism, which

9:42

they were often tangentially connected, if

9:44

connected at all. Yeah, I think

9:46

I have a good, my dog is

9:49

an Antifa super soldier sticker somewhere that a friend

9:51

of mine made for me. And from like, I

9:53

don't know, 2017, something like that, when

9:56

all that discourse is happening. Yeah,

9:59

it's... It's always

10:01

interesting to me the leaps

10:04

that people will make in trying to

10:06

connect things that are not really connected

10:08

at all. So

10:12

it's politics first, facts

10:14

second kind

10:17

of information space is what I'm

10:19

gathering then. It

10:21

is certainly politics first, facts second,

10:23

although I would observe that is

10:26

most online debates. That's

10:29

fair. That was one of my questions here actually.

10:34

Is like

10:36

certainly there's been conflict

10:39

between Hamas and

10:41

Israel over the past 20 years. Is

10:45

it just that this is the first big conflict

10:48

between the two since

10:51

we've had really the breakout success of

10:53

social media and is

10:55

this really any different than anything

10:57

that played out in

10:59

Syria and I know you already mentioned it

11:01

but Ukraine and Russia. Is it just that this

11:04

is something that people in America are more

11:06

invested in? I think the

11:09

salience of this issue for American audience is a

11:11

huge factor for why you keep seeing it. Actually

11:15

to briefly go back to Russia Ukraine that

11:17

was an interesting case because most

11:20

Western audiences were very

11:22

sympathetic to the Ukrainian position. Western

11:25

social media companies were trying to help their

11:27

Ukrainian users. It's

11:29

pretty clear where the

11:33

public fell and also Russia

11:35

had its own interest in sort

11:37

of pulling its citizens out of

11:40

the shared information ecosystem. So

11:42

there was a sort of separation that

11:44

occurred. There

11:47

can be no such separation

11:49

or disentangling from social media

11:51

of pro-Israeli and

11:53

pro-Palestinian voices and

11:55

I mean that is a huge

11:57

reason that you see this. everywhere

12:00

and all at once. Another

12:03

important takeaway, which is more straightforward,

12:05

is that this war

12:08

is so much bigger than anything

12:10

before it. More people died in

12:12

the first two weeks of the

12:14

conflict than did the entirety

12:16

of the Second Intifada. I

12:19

got interested in social media and warfare

12:21

actually because of an IDF air campaign

12:23

against Gaza in 2012. There

12:27

was another bigger campaign, which included a ground invasion of

12:29

Gaza in 2014. There

12:31

were, I think, missile strikes

12:33

in other campaigns in 2017 and 2019 and 2021, which tracked

12:39

all those. But in this one,

12:42

just the strategic

12:44

surprise that Hamas achieved, the extent

12:47

of that initial terror attack, the

12:50

mass killing of Israeli civilians in

12:52

a way, in a

12:54

systematic fashion that had actually not even happened

12:56

in the Second Intifada and the

12:59

propagandistic sharing of it, then

13:01

a retaliatory

13:03

bombing campaign that

13:07

per capita has inflicted something

13:09

like 4,911 attacks

13:11

on Gaza in the course of

13:13

a month and a half. All

13:17

of this is new. And that's

13:20

why it is just

13:22

so closely tied now to social

13:24

media and why, if you're even

13:27

loosely connected to politics on social

13:29

media, this war, the graphic imagery,

13:31

the accumulating horror and tragedy is

13:34

impossible to escape. You were

13:36

saying that what happened in 2012 on

13:38

social media was really what got

13:40

you interested. What was going on

13:42

on social media then? I'm just

13:44

trying to think back. Facebook was

13:46

big, Twitter was called Twitter. I

13:49

don't think we had Instagram or maybe we did, but

13:51

not very many people were on it. So

13:53

what was the draw for you? So

13:57

in November 2012, the

14:01

IDF assassinated a

14:03

Hamas militant leader

14:06

who had been responsible for some of

14:08

the school bus bombings of Israelis during

14:10

the second intifada. That

14:13

wasn't unique, targeted killings took place

14:15

quite frequently in this conflict. But

14:18

what was different was that the IDF also

14:20

had an infographic ready to go announcing that

14:22

they killed this guy. They posted it on

14:24

Twitter a few hours afterward, then

14:26

they posted the drone video to YouTube

14:28

almost immediately after that. And

14:31

then that was just the start of the conflict.

14:33

The IDF announced that they'd be continuing operations, Hamas

14:37

fighters should run and hide. But

14:39

at this time, Hamas also had just

14:42

a single public-facing Twitter account, Al-Qassam Brigades.

14:44

And so they responded in kind. They

14:46

said, no, we're going to fight you,

14:48

you've opened the gates of hell. So

14:50

there was this bizarre war of words that was

14:52

happening concurrent with the military

14:56

actions. So in the

14:58

real world, this ended up being an eight day air

15:00

campaign that ultimately it didn't

15:02

culminate into a ground incursion.

15:05

But online, people

15:08

dubbed it the first Twitter war, because

15:10

there were about 10 million messages exchanged

15:13

over these eight days, some like 92%

15:16

of them came from outside

15:18

of the conflict region. And

15:21

so you saw this intense

15:23

international attention and engagement

15:25

in this war of words. And

15:28

so at the time, I had a broad

15:30

interest in US defense policy. I

15:34

had grown up in rural

15:36

Georgia, so which means I grown up

15:38

on the internet before I could drive.

15:40

And since war is a

15:43

political exercise, I've been thinking a lot

15:45

about how war politics

15:48

and social media might intersect. So

15:50

this seemed just a clear

15:53

case study of that. And

15:56

indeed, subsequent analysis showed that the

15:58

IDF was probably a on

18:00

global policymaking and on wartime

18:02

decisions. I feel like I've seen either

18:05

the official Israel Twitter account or the official IDF

18:11

Twitter account from

18:14

the perspective that I'm

18:16

seeing it in a lot of ways

18:18

getting back into a corner by a

18:20

lot of posters online in a way

18:22

that I hadn't seen them get

18:26

bodied like that before, but

18:28

also more specifically like, you

18:30

know, people will yell at

18:32

politicians online, people will yell

18:34

at corporations online. But

18:38

it's been a very interesting move

18:41

from, you know,

18:44

trusting and reacting positively

18:46

to more official accounts versus,

18:49

oh, you know who has the best

18:51

coverage right now? Popcrave. That's

18:54

been fascinating to see and I wondered if you had any

18:56

thoughts about that. Yeah, I

18:59

first, I

19:01

think it's important to note, just

19:04

always be aware of the biases that we

19:06

might bring as we're watching certain online

19:10

conversation patterns,

19:13

because sometimes an

19:15

actor may be using a platform, but they're

19:17

not necessarily speaking to most of the audience

19:19

on that platform. So as

19:22

you said, the IDF Twitter

19:24

account gets pretty consistently bodied. Like that's

19:26

totally true. But I think for the

19:28

IDF and Israeli messaging, they're

19:31

much more interested in reaching a

19:33

handful of American political elites versus

19:35

like these broader circles. I

19:38

would also though note, and

19:41

there's been a ton written on this,

19:43

but the nature

19:45

of Israeli public

19:47

diplomacy around this war has felt

19:52

uniquely disjointed to me even more

19:54

so than prior

19:57

conflicts, even more so than

19:59

prior conflicts. an

22:00

institution, you know,

22:02

a lot of the recruits are very young

22:04

people, are people who grew up on

22:06

the internet, or people who have been online, who are

22:08

very online. Something

22:11

that struck me a couple weeks ago is

22:13

that the IDF also launched a podcast during

22:16

all of this. And

22:18

just having this realization of, oh,

22:21

I can see what they're doing here. They

22:24

have a social strategy. They

22:26

have people whose job it is within the

22:28

military, which, you know, other

22:31

governments, other militaries definitely have this as well.

22:34

But it just struck

22:36

me seeing it all seemingly

22:38

unfold during a conflict over

22:41

a very short period of time. Everybody's

22:44

launching podcasts now. It

22:46

is a few years too late, but best of luck

22:49

to them. But I mean,

22:51

the just picking up on that thread, Emily, the

22:55

IDF was really ahead of the curve

22:57

of any other Western military in thinking

23:00

about the importance of social media communication.

23:04

And they didn't start in this war, even a few

23:06

years ago. There was actually a mini

23:10

revolution in the IDF around 2010.

23:14

This was after the 2009

23:17

Operation Cast Lead, where

23:20

there was a broad awareness in Israel.

23:22

This was the last major ground occupation

23:24

of Gaza. And there was

23:26

an awareness across the Israeli

23:29

government or a feeling that they basically lost

23:31

the media war, that they tried

23:33

to stop press from

23:35

reporting. This

23:38

meant the press had only been more critical of

23:40

IDF actions. And at this

23:42

point, enough Twitter and online conversations had existed

23:44

that Israel really felt they'd been on

23:46

the losing side of things. So around

23:50

2010, there were a

23:52

group of essentially millennials,

23:54

very junior level officers who

23:57

tried to push IDF public

23:59

communication in a different, more

24:01

active direction, especially online. And

24:05

the first results of that actually were seen

24:07

in that 2012 Twitter war, which we discussed

24:09

earlier. And that sort of lean

24:11

forward posture has continued, but

24:14

that also comes under criticism. Because the more

24:16

content you put out, the more you say

24:19

you try to be

24:23

hip, you know, keep up with particular online

24:25

trends, adopt the same language

24:28

of your users. That's

24:31

also creating new points of

24:34

vulnerability, which your critics of which there

24:36

are many will attack. So

24:38

it may be at the end of all this, the

24:40

idea of might come back to a more sort of

24:42

restrained online posture. But this, you know,

24:45

debates within militaries about how

24:47

to communicate, to what extent, that

24:50

stuff is endless. But especially in the idea,

24:52

just it's actually one more point. I

24:56

remember all the way back in 2012, seeing

24:58

a really glitzy

25:00

advertisement for service in

25:03

the IDF, where it shows a

25:05

whole team of smiling

25:09

draftees at computers. And it says, you

25:11

know, fulfill your draft requirement with graphic

25:13

design or blogging. And the

25:16

message is that these were important

25:18

military functions that they in some

25:20

ways were almost co-equal with other

25:22

military operational roles. Every

25:25

branch needs public affairs officers. Somebody's

25:28

got to be answering those phones. All right,

25:30

cyber listeners, we're gonna pause there for a break. We'll be right

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by Code Comments, an original podcast by

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the Code Comments team. from

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Red Hat. You know when

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I listened to the first episode of season 2

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29:52

cyber listeners, we are back on talking

29:54

with Emerson Brooking about what's

29:56

real and what's true. We've

29:58

talked a lot about kind of... IDF's

30:00

social strategy, can

30:03

we now talk about Hamas's?

30:06

And I'm thinking specifically of Hamas as a

30:09

separate entity from

30:11

broader, more

30:13

humanitarian-aligned, like Palestinian and free

30:16

Gaza movements. Definitely. So

30:22

something else that really is clear in

30:24

this, the social media elements of

30:26

this war is that the war began

30:28

on telegram. That the

30:31

conversation and informational conflict has

30:33

still been waged primarily on

30:35

acts, but

30:37

Hamas, which

30:40

does not have such a strong public

30:42

social media presence, has a robust

30:44

presence on telegram. And

30:46

I guess telegram for folks who've used it less

30:49

often, telegram is both

30:51

an encrypted messaging service, but it also

30:53

enables you to very

30:56

easily create broadcast groups where

30:58

you or a handful of moderators can be

31:02

sending messages that will reach tens

31:04

or hundreds of thousands of people at once. And

31:07

telegram also has a famously

31:09

loose content moderation policy. Way

31:12

back in the day, the Islamic State used telegram.

31:16

Hamas and many other militant groups use

31:18

it today. During Russia, Ukraine, both Ukrainian

31:21

and Russian military units have regularly used

31:23

telegram. There are tons

31:25

of reasons for why telegram has a lax

31:27

content moderation policy. Main reason is that, actually,

31:30

we'll briefly down this rabbit hole,

31:32

the founder of telegram Pavel Durov

31:34

was previously, I think, co-founder of

31:37

V-Contact, VK, which was the

31:39

big Russian Facebook. He

31:43

got chased out of Russia by 2014. He

31:46

had, in part because he didn't want to

31:48

turn over private information of

31:50

the Russian government. So he's

31:52

taken a sort of a maximalist free

31:55

speech privacy position. And that position

31:57

suffuses telegram, which is I understand.

31:59

understand he still controls completely. So

32:02

there's a reason why that's a

32:05

popular platform and why it's unlikely to

32:08

change in any meaningful way. So that's a platform

32:10

Hamas was using when in the

32:13

first hours of October 7, the official

32:15

Al-Qassam brigade's account posted

32:18

a 10-minute pre-recorded sort of

32:20

declaration of war against Israel.

32:23

And then within an hour, they

32:25

were sharing the first images

32:27

taken by fighters during the attack

32:29

and the first videos soon thereafter.

32:33

So they were trying to

32:35

get their justification

32:38

and then their content created from

32:40

the account into public spaces as

32:42

soon as possible. Because although

32:44

it started on Telegram, obviously most people didn't see

32:46

it on Telegram, they saw it on other platforms.

32:50

And that content wasn't spread by Hamas then it

32:52

was spread by people who were horrified at what

32:54

Hamas was doing. This is the

32:57

basis of terrorist communications. It's

32:59

been really fascinating to do this job in

33:01

the past like five, ten years and watch

33:04

Telegram slowly take over as

33:08

a first or like it's the first source

33:10

for things before it kind of gets disseminated

33:12

out. And I've not thought of it as

33:18

you are creating your little broadcast community. You

33:22

have complete control over what you're going to

33:24

say and you don't have

33:26

any control over what people are going to do

33:28

with it, but that's beside the point. So it

33:30

has been fascinating to

33:36

look at Telegram and to watch it evolve and

33:39

kind of take over as

33:41

the place for breaking news about conflict

33:43

as Twitter has, or

33:47

X now I guess, has kind of

33:49

changed. And I'm wondering if you

33:52

can tell us a little bit about, I'm

33:56

tired of talking about this guy, but as long as

33:58

he continues to have billions of dollars. and lots

34:00

of power we will have to. How

34:03

has Musk's Twitter takeover changed

34:05

the way we report about conflict and

34:08

what have his new incentive structures done

34:10

to the way that this war

34:13

is talked about online?

34:16

Alright, time to get to Musk. Very

34:18

quickly, before we do, just on

34:21

Telegram, the growth of Telegram I think

34:23

is indicative of this broader trend, which

34:25

we really see among Gen

34:27

Z users, where they're less interested in

34:30

a single shared online space. They've grown

34:32

up in shared online spaces, they know

34:34

they suck for a lot of reasons.

34:36

Like having smaller networks, more personal networks,

34:40

a Discord server that you can start with some friends

34:43

and then just as easily dissolve it and move

34:45

elsewhere, that's much more appealing to

34:47

them. So this growth of

34:49

Telegram and these related more

34:52

peer-to-peer and channel distribution services

34:55

is something that was always going

34:57

to happen. Now, Elon Musk

34:59

is almost certainly accelerating that by

35:02

making X such a singularly unpleasant

35:04

place to be. And if

35:07

we talk about Elon Musk's

35:09

role and X's role in this

35:11

war for a bit, I want

35:16

to recognize that fog of

35:18

war is an inevitable part of

35:20

covering any conflict. Fog of

35:22

war suffuses all social media platforms. Talking

35:25

about war on social media is often dangerous

35:27

because in the best circumstances, you can accidentally

35:30

spread something that's not true, information

35:33

that may end up getting someone hurt or killed. That's

35:36

best case scenarios. But there's

35:38

still a responsible way to run a

35:40

platform when it's being used for this

35:42

critical public function and then there are

35:44

irresponsible ways. And because Elon Musk as

35:47

he took control of the service, he held

35:50

special criticism for

36:00

things like the Twitter verification program,

36:02

where, say, it had

36:05

been an easy way to find

36:07

journalists or to find people

36:09

who were demonstrated

36:11

useful sources of information. He's

36:14

expressed doubt in that. He's expressed doubt in the

36:17

media writ large. He seems to

36:20

think that, you know,

36:22

anyone writing anything can do

36:24

just as good a job as a, you

36:26

know, a deeply sourced journalist with

36:28

20 or 30 years of experience and vast networks

36:30

on the ground. So those were

36:32

his biases that he's taken into this war. And

36:36

main things he did were remove

36:38

that verification program. So instead of

36:41

at a glance being able to see if someone

36:43

was a trustworthy source of information, you

36:47

had no idea whatsoever. And in fact,

36:49

there's people untrustworthy

36:51

sources of information were more inclined

36:53

to buy that little verification badge

36:56

to change their profile picture into something that

36:58

made them look like a legitimate media outlet,

37:01

and then share the most salacious

37:03

stuff possible, regardless of whether it was

37:05

true or false. Why were

37:08

they sharing that information? Why did they have those

37:10

incentives? Because of the other big thing that

37:12

must did, which was this

37:14

monetization program, where

37:16

users are now directly

37:19

rewarded for Twitter parlance

37:21

views, but it's really

37:23

impressions of particular posts.

37:26

So as a result of that, you

37:28

have, you've made it much easier to impersonate

37:31

people or to masquerade as someone to

37:33

build the veneer of credibility. And

37:35

then to do that in order to

37:37

make money in order to grab the

37:39

content you think will be the most interesting and spread

37:42

it as widely as possible. Of

37:44

course, it doesn't matter if that content is true or not. And

37:47

we've even seen cases where it seems in

37:50

the war that people have shared

37:52

things that were untrue, but then they've

37:54

gone out of the way not to delete it, probably

37:56

because they think the post won't be monetized

37:59

if they don't. So,

38:02

on top of a very complicated situation, Musk

38:05

created this horrifically perverse incentive structure

38:08

and we're dealing with the consequences.

38:14

So, something that we had talked about pre-show,

38:17

and I think that this is a nice

38:19

segue to it, is the

38:21

relationship between social media content moderation

38:23

and political expression, right? Musk

38:26

says, if you don't like the way

38:28

he does things, you simply do not care for free

38:30

speech. Can

38:32

we get your thoughts on that? Yeah.

38:35

I mean, there was

38:37

a joke among certainly

38:39

the trust and safety

38:41

community who've spent now

38:44

sort of 20 years trying to

38:46

figure out the relation between user

38:49

safety, freedom of speech,

38:51

freedom of platforms, trying

38:53

to write policies which protect

38:55

individual users but are as globally applicable

38:58

as possible and respectful of speech rights.

39:00

Anyway, there's that whole community and the

39:02

joke was watching Elon

39:04

Musk tear everything down

39:06

and then rebuild it piece by piece,

39:08

kind of like a content moderation policy

39:11

speedrun. And

39:13

we have seen him, many teams he fired,

39:15

he now has a need to rehire for

39:17

different compliance issues where speech

39:20

norms are different in different parts of the world. But

39:22

if you're running a global platform, you have to be

39:24

cognizant of these things. Overall

39:28

though, I think I'm

39:30

very worried about freedom of expression

39:32

on X because despite

39:35

Musk repeatedly saying he's a free

39:37

speech absolutist, in

39:40

reality, he's a

39:42

uniquely pliable head of a

39:46

major social media company. Basically

39:48

the last person he talks to, whether

39:51

it's Prime Minister Netanyahu or a cat

39:53

turd too, is

39:56

the person he's going to listen to. And

39:58

that's the specific person he's going to write

40:00

policy for, even if

40:03

it affects hundreds of millions of

40:05

people. Turkey, I think, would be

40:08

the biggest, most damning example. That's

40:10

right. Almost right

40:12

out the gate after acquiring

40:14

then Twitter

40:17

and saying this big game,

40:20

he was remarkably

40:23

quick to appease

40:26

the Turkish government. He

40:28

basically was taking steps in

40:31

this speech case, which

40:35

Twitter and other social

40:37

media platforms would not

40:39

have considered had resisted for

40:41

years. There are all these norms

40:43

that have been filled up, like

40:46

transparency reports that major companies put

40:48

out. There's not a law

40:50

that mandates take

40:53

down transparency report. These are reports

40:55

that show which

40:58

government's lodged, how many take down

41:00

requests and how frequently companies

41:03

complied with them. There's

41:06

not a law that mandates that disclosure. It's

41:08

just become a norm or a standard. This

41:12

is another case where, since

41:14

Elon Musk took over, Twitter hasn't had

41:16

one of these transparency reports.

41:18

We no longer know how often

41:22

governments are sending legal requests and

41:25

how often Twitter is acceding to

41:27

them. My educated guess would

41:29

be that Twitter is folding

41:31

a lot more frequently than

41:34

you'd expect from Musk's

41:36

free speech champion. Because,

41:39

as I mentioned, Musk is pliable.

41:41

But then also the legal

41:44

teams who would help him fight this, who would

41:46

actually help him defend his users, he cut all

41:48

those people. Can

41:53

we leave, let's leave Twitter behind for

41:55

a moment. we'll

42:00

say we'll make a big deal

42:02

about saying that we'll never come back to it. And

42:05

then, you know, we'll wake up in

42:07

the morning, we'll pick up our phone. And

42:09

what's the first thing we'll look at? All right,

42:11

maybe I'm speaking for I'm projecting a little bit.

42:14

You're not wrong, though. So

42:19

we talked about a little bit about this on the last

42:21

show. But it would be it would be

42:24

foolish for me to not ask. Let's

42:27

get into TikTok, the hot new social

42:29

media platform. Kids

42:32

these days, they love the bin Laden? Question

42:34

mark. Very few

42:36

kids these days love the bin

42:38

Laden. But a remarkable number of

42:42

elderly policymakers have

42:44

discovered TikTok as a result of that.

42:48

So the allegation in brief

42:50

is that Osama bin

42:52

Laden's letter to America went

42:54

extremely viral on TikTok and

42:57

that tens of thousands of

42:59

TikTok teens were

43:02

endorsing the letter. The letter,

43:04

by the way, is if you

43:06

read it for the first time, it is remarkable

43:08

in I guess

43:10

its length and just in the reasons

43:14

that he gives for an attack for many people who grew

43:16

up in the shadow of 9 11, but thought of,

43:19

you know, al Qaeda

43:22

and company just as that

43:25

we villains

43:29

actually reading why they engaged in this

43:31

act of atrocity can

43:33

be mind opening. But it doesn't mean

43:35

that anything they say is right. And

43:37

the letter is also virulently anti-Semitic. But

43:40

of course, it was it was coming

43:42

to the public for is a

43:45

consequence of this this current Israel

43:47

Hamas conflict. Anyway,

43:49

got sidelined a little but that is the

43:51

scandal in brief. In reality, it seems

43:54

that there were a few TikTok

43:56

users who put out the very

43:58

stupid position that that Osama bin

44:00

Laden had a point. This

44:03

was not tens of thousands of

44:05

people or thousands of people, as most

44:08

folks I've talked to think it was in the

44:10

low dozens or less. But

44:15

other TikTok users discovered this. They

44:18

saw in this idiocy

44:21

a golden content opportunity, because this was

44:23

a real scandal. So they started cutting

44:25

videos making fun of these folks. So

44:28

it was still a scandal in TikTok. Then

44:31

another day or two passes, and

44:33

we have users on X. Discover

44:37

this, make their own

44:39

super cuts of all

44:41

the dumb stuff happening on TikTok. And

44:44

suddenly, it's being talked about

44:46

widely in the international media and in

44:48

the halls of Congress. So

44:50

it did become a big deal, but

44:53

it became a big deal because everyone was rushing

44:55

to condemn it, not because it

44:57

was an organic trend. Once

44:59

again, Yashiro Lee is at the root

45:01

of all evil online.

45:05

I would say, in this

45:07

case, I don't think Yashiro really

45:09

helped folks get a good idea of what was

45:11

going on. But having

45:14

read everything about Yashiro, I

45:16

do think other things he's elevating

45:19

in this war are helpful. So

45:23

I'd give it a little bit

45:25

more grain. Give me an example. Before

45:27

I dive into how moral panics work

45:29

in Night Quill Chicken, give me an

45:31

example of something that he's elevating that

45:33

you think should be elevated. So

45:36

I'd need to go back and look at the

45:38

feet. But I have seen examples, for instance, of

45:40

him elevating the perspectives

45:43

of Palestinians. Palestinians in

45:45

the diaspora who are facing

45:47

threats to

45:49

personal safety or fidgeted attacks

45:52

now. He

45:54

has a remarkably powerful platform. He

45:56

is very good at media. often

46:00

uses that for not helpful reasons, sometimes does.

46:02

So I wanted to give him a little

46:04

bit of credit. That's fair. We all contain

46:06

multitudes. I actually wanted to dive in, not

46:09

on Yashiro specifically, but on the

46:12

existence of the social media

46:14

personality as a fountain

46:16

of information. I don't

46:19

think it's news to anybody that

46:21

younger people tend to not watch

46:23

cable news. They're not looking

46:25

to see what Anderson Cooper has to

46:28

say about X, Y, and Z. I

46:30

do flick on the cable news sometimes just

46:32

to get a sense of what's being said

46:35

and what my relatives might be hearing or

46:37

what the hell

46:39

is going on today on CNN.

46:42

But the way that I see a lot

46:45

of my peers and my siblings and

46:48

so on and so forth, getting

46:50

news are from a lot of these internet

46:53

personalities, whether they're

46:55

on Twitter, TikTok,

46:58

or Instagram is where I've really

47:00

seen this becoming a huge

47:02

thing. During the 2020 uprisings,

47:07

I saw a proliferation of a lot

47:10

of these accounts that I had never seen before

47:14

that kind of marketed themselves as information

47:16

collectives, sharing

47:18

things generally unsourced with

47:21

a lot of statistics, with a lot

47:23

of information with very

47:25

good graphic design that just

47:27

started spreading around the internet like wildfire.

47:30

And these really seem to be where

47:33

I'm seeing a lot of younger people getting news

47:36

versus traditional

47:38

media that might be

47:40

better sourced but is less trustworthy

47:42

for a number of reasons, both

47:44

understandable and less so. Have

47:47

you been seeing a lot of that now? Yeah,

47:51

what's your take on that? Unfortunately,

47:53

absolutely. It's a very common

47:55

format, say having unsourced

47:58

graphs or data. sometimes

48:01

having snapshots of

48:03

something stupid, someone said on a

48:05

different social media service, which may

48:08

have been decontextualized. This

48:12

really intersects with or just cast

48:14

light on how the design of

48:16

certain social media platforms can really lend itself

48:19

to the sort of content, right?

48:21

And on TikTok, for

48:23

instance, it is very hard to direct people

48:25

off of the platform, which means it's very

48:27

hard to say back up what you're

48:30

saying. TikTok is very insular.

48:34

If you look at the source of younger

48:36

audiences who consume politics and political

48:38

news on Instagram, they

48:40

may often be getting it from

48:42

screenshots of graphs where the

48:46

source has been cut. They're

48:49

also seeing things absent context, and

48:52

that's another very sticky platform which

48:54

really resists sending people elsewhere. What's

48:58

also interesting is that quite often

49:02

you might see screenshots

49:05

of something that social media users

49:07

said on one platform being widely

49:10

circulated on another platform. That

49:12

is especially, and it's almost always

49:14

in the context of, you know, look at this horrific

49:16

thing this person said. Doesn't it

49:18

make you outraged? Maybe you should go harass them. But

49:22

you're never going to find a link back

49:24

to what they said. You're never going to

49:26

understand when or why

49:28

it was said. These

49:31

are all illustrations of

49:33

very bifurcated sorts of

49:36

communities kind of

49:40

getting outraged at each other. Really, this

49:42

is an extension of the phenomenon we

49:44

just discussed, the Osama bin Laden letter,

49:46

where something that was a weird TikTok

49:49

scandal became national and international

49:51

news simply because a

49:53

different platform with a different design

49:56

structure and very different user base

49:58

discovered what was trending. how

52:01

the way that we're talking about

52:03

things now has switched platforms and

52:05

switched almost, you know, audiences entirely.

52:08

And we've been talking a lot about

52:10

younger generations and younger users. But

52:13

I think as we start to close out and

52:15

talk about, you know, how to talk to our

52:17

mothers about this, how

52:21

are we seeing the generational divide play

52:23

out or are we seeing one play

52:25

out on social media talking about conflict

52:27

and this conflict specifically? Gosh,

52:32

I really think the generational divide comes to the fore

52:34

here. You know, people often

52:36

like to talk about or even have

52:38

moral panics about the information literacy of

52:40

Gen Z or now Gen Alpha. But

52:45

these generations have grown up natively

52:47

using these services. They

52:49

might spread or believe dumb stuff, but they

52:51

do have a high level of scrutiny for

52:53

online services. But it's

52:55

really the older generations who joined

52:57

these platforms later who had a

52:59

much more like credulous

53:02

view of, you

53:05

know, when someone shares something with you or

53:07

is nice to you, they can't be lying

53:09

to you, right? If someone is

53:12

pro Israel, like you're pro Israel, pro

53:15

Palestinian, like you're pro Palestinian, then

53:19

why would they mislead you? Right?

53:22

So, yes, a much greater susceptibility

53:25

and vulnerability among older people

53:27

to misinformation than to younger

53:29

people. And

53:34

I think this war really brings

53:36

it out because almost

53:38

everyone has sort of this preceding

53:41

political position. Social

53:43

media doesn't necessarily shape their

53:45

politics, but they've brought those biases

53:48

and that perspective into these new

53:51

digital spaces. And now they're

53:53

communicating with each other about some

53:56

of the most horrific things

53:58

that human beings can do to each other. about

54:00

violence, about the mass killing

54:03

of civilians of children, of

54:06

course tempers run hot, of course mis

54:08

and disinformation are rife. It's

54:10

something where even for very

54:12

experienced students

54:15

of war and social

54:18

media, it's hard to find ground truth.

54:20

To expect that someone in their 60s or 70s who joined

54:23

online services in earnest a

54:26

few years ago, it's going

54:28

to be able to find truth in this

54:30

sort of environment. It's too

54:33

much to expect. It's impossible. So we have to

54:35

do our best to tell our

54:38

mothers to

54:41

just understand

54:43

that even if you're

54:45

inclined to believe something you see online, that

54:47

most people engaging on these services are trying

54:49

to mislead you. They are trying to pull

54:51

you in one direction or another. They don't

54:54

care about the truth. They care about getting

54:56

you on their side. But your

54:59

time and attention is more valuable than that.

55:01

So just reflect a bit more before you

55:03

believe that one thing. Understand that unfortunately,

55:06

you're a target. The internet is still

55:08

great for a lot of stuff, but it is not

55:10

great for understanding war. Emerson Brooking, thank you so much

55:12

for coming on to the show and walking us through

55:15

this. Thank you both very much for having me.

55:53

Thank you. Tired

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of ads barging into your favorite news

56:48

podcasts? Good news. Ad-free

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listening on Amazon Music is included with

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your Prime membership. Just head

56:55

to amazon.com/ad-free news podcast to catch

56:57

up on the latest episodes without

57:00

the ads.

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