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Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”

Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”

Released Tuesday, 18th June 2024
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Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”

Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”

Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”

Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”

Tuesday, 18th June 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.

Follow Citrini on Twitter https://x.com/Citrini7Follow Citrini on Substack https://www.citriniresearch.com/Citrini 1-Year Anniversary Piece: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/citrindex-one-year-anniversaryCitrini, “Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations”: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/election-2024-investment-implicationsFollow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_usFollow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidanceFollow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks___

Timestamps:(00:00) Introduction(00:20) How Citrini Is Thinking About Markets Right Now(07:21) Just How Narrow Is The AI Bull Market?(20:04) VanEck Ad(20:44) Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations(26:18) Fannie Mae and Glass Producers(28:34) Onshoring vs. Nearshoring Stocks(29:48) Trump Election Would Cause Epic 2s10s Steepeners(33:41) Deficits Under Biden, Deficits Under Trump(37:07) Trump's Aggressive Tax Policy (TCJA Tax Cuts To Expire In 2025)(40:13) China(46:32) Trump on Crypto(48:15) Would The S&P 500 Perform Better Under Biden or Trump, and Why?(54:12) Tarriff Basket(56:05) Tarriffs on Chinese Electric Vehicles (EVs)(58:31) Citrini on Tesla as an AI Company And As A Robotaxi Company(01:01:40) The Hottest New Coding Language Is English(01:06:21) Why Software and Saas Stocks Have Underperformed(01:09:32) Margin Of Safety Has Been Extraordinarily Diminished(01:12:43) What Are The Odds That The Top Is In For AI Stocks?(01:19:03) China's AI Stocks(01:34:54) Hedging For A Recession Is Pretty Straightforward Right Now(01:37:18) Hedging Via The VIX(01:42:34) Citrini: "I Think I'm Underweight Nvidia Relative to the S&P 500"

__Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

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