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Everyone needs to CALM DOWN about SCOTUS arguments

Everyone needs to CALM DOWN about SCOTUS arguments

Released Friday, 26th April 2024
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Everyone needs to CALM DOWN about SCOTUS arguments

Everyone needs to CALM DOWN about SCOTUS arguments

Everyone needs to CALM DOWN about SCOTUS arguments

Everyone needs to CALM DOWN about SCOTUS arguments

Friday, 26th April 2024
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0:00

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your chance to take your bunch to

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a game. Enter. Today. Based on

0:31

the arguments today, it seems like. There.

0:33

Are at least. Enough

0:36

justices who are taking Trump's claims

0:38

of immunity sort of seriously. I

0:40

do not think that

0:42

the court is taking

0:44

Trump's. Specific. Claims.

0:48

Of that, he. Is.

0:51

Being mistreated and that he. Should.

0:53

Not be prosecuted for what

0:56

he did as a ledge

0:58

in this indictment. I do

1:01

not think there are five

1:03

votes to sustain Trump's position.

1:11

However, one. And welcome to George Conway

1:13

Explains it all. I'm there a long while

1:15

publisher of The Ball work and because I

1:17

not a lawyer of my good friend George

1:19

Com Weapons Society for the Rule of Law

1:21

to explain the legal news to me of

1:24

which there is much but quickly I want

1:26

to remind folks that we're hosting a live

1:28

taping of this podcast in the Next Level

1:30

podcast at six than I am Washington Dc

1:32

on May fifteenth, tickets are still available to

1:34

huge venue. So Com C S. Or.

1:37

A man who so. The

1:39

nine and news isn't anything happen while

1:42

illegal in is now we lose any

1:44

money in particular. I. I like

1:46

barely know where to start because there's been so

1:48

much. In fact, we had to drop like three

1:50

different topics even though I wanted to cover them

1:52

because we really only have time to talk about.

1:54

The. Oral arguments on the immunity case.

1:57

Trump. Visit. the being in the new

1:59

york or room, which I know you were

2:01

up there. I know you weren't watching that. And

2:03

I also want to get to these indictments in Arizona, just as

2:05

a little dessert at the end, the people who

2:08

got indicted in Arizona. So we're

2:10

going to start on presidential immunity. So to

2:12

remind folks, this is part of Jack Smith's

2:14

January 6 election interference prosecution

2:16

against Trump. We did a deep dive

2:18

into this question when the DC circuit

2:20

issued its favorable opinion for Jack Smith earlier

2:22

this winter, saying the

2:24

presidents are not absolutely immune from criminal

2:27

prosecution, which seems reasonable. So

2:29

the crux of today's argument was about whether

2:31

presidents are immune from prosecution for

2:33

official conduct and where the line

2:35

is between official conduct and private

2:37

action. So a lot of

2:39

the people, like our friend Judge Ludwig,

2:42

I saw him. He tweeted a

2:44

thread. And

2:46

I got to say, I sort of shared his reaction,

2:48

because I listened to the oral arguments. I

2:51

was concerned. I sat there being like, and let me ask

2:53

you this, just as a framing question. To

2:56

me, the question is very simply,

2:59

this guy refused to engage in the peaceful

3:01

transfer of power. He

3:04

asked people to go find votes. He

3:08

encouraged violence on that

3:10

day. And any number

3:13

of, he was pushing

3:15

false electors. The question

3:17

is, can he be

3:19

held criminally liable for

3:21

those actions? To me, that's the only

3:23

question. But what

3:26

the Supreme Court justices and the lawyers were

3:28

debating in this sounded to me like we

3:31

have to make a decision for all time about

3:33

just what kind of accountability

3:36

presidents have. And so

3:38

the lawyers for Trump are

3:40

arguing, you need absolute immunity to the point

3:42

of if Joe Biden decided that

3:44

Trump was corrupt and was going to decided to

3:46

kill him as part of an official action, Trump's

3:50

defense lawyer, or I don't know if

3:52

it's a defense lawyer, but Trump's lawyer said, yeah,

3:54

that would be covered under the official action. And

3:58

to me, I sat there being. like, this

4:01

is insane. Like, a healthy democracy would not

4:03

be having this conversation whatsoever. And yet, as

4:05

I listened to it go on, I think

4:07

this is why Ludwig and why I felt

4:09

pretty unsettled is it felt like they were

4:11

taking it not just seriously. Like,

4:14

I assume they take everything that comes in front of them

4:16

seriously, but it seemed like they

4:18

were, especially that four of the conservative judges were

4:20

like, yes, this has merit.

4:22

I'm deeply concerned about whether or not

4:24

somebody could actually hold the president accountable

4:27

after he leaves office. What

4:29

do you think? Am I ever-reacting? What's happening?

4:32

I tend to think that people are over-reacting.

4:35

OK. And

4:37

let me take a few steps back. I

4:40

didn't see the full thread that

4:43

my friend, Judge Ludic, put out, but

4:45

I did see an initial post

4:48

where he basically said that he

4:50

found it disconcerting that the Supreme

4:53

Court was talking about every

4:55

case other than this one. And

4:58

I agree with that, except

5:01

I'm not sure how disconcerted I

5:03

am or should be. I

5:06

absolutely agree that this

5:09

argument, and I think

5:11

this is what is confusing people and throwing

5:14

people off, and maybe they're right to

5:16

be disconcerted and afraid and

5:18

fearful, this

5:20

argument was pretty much like a

5:22

law school seminar on

5:26

the next 10 cases that

5:29

the Supreme Court might

5:31

see and hear in

5:34

the future over the next 300 years, if

5:37

we have a republic that lasts

5:39

that long, on

5:41

the question of to

5:44

what extent presidents, former

5:46

presidents can be prosecuted for acts

5:48

while in office. And

5:50

I mean, I don't

5:52

think any of those cases are ever going to reach the

5:54

court in our lifetimes. I just think that they're trying to

5:56

answer a

5:59

hypothetical question. with

6:01

a, they're thinking about the

6:03

case in terms of setting a rule that would

6:05

answer, at least some of the justices, that would

6:07

answer all sorts of hypotheticals in the future. And

6:11

there's a limit to what extent

6:13

you can really do that. I mean, there is

6:16

something to be said about what

6:18

we lawyers call sort of the common law

6:20

approach, which is you develop a

6:22

narrow rule to decide a case on a

6:25

particular set of facts, and you don't, you

6:28

think about what the consequences could be

6:30

for future cases, but you don't overthink

6:32

it because the problem with trying to

6:34

set a bright line rule for all

6:36

time is that you

6:39

cannot possibly foresee

6:42

all the different permutations of

6:45

human activity that could possibly result

6:48

in litigation in the future

6:50

in the same subject area. And

6:53

you don't know. Not only do you

6:55

not know how people are going to

6:58

behave on Tuesday, you

7:00

don't know how they're going to behave in September,

7:02

and you certainly don't know how they're going to behave in the

7:04

year 2065. So

7:07

I think that there was

7:09

a little bit of an, there

7:11

was a little over abstraction of

7:13

the case in the Supreme Court.

7:15

But that said, I mean, that

7:18

does happen particularly, you know, in

7:20

appellate arguments, particularly now in

7:22

the Supreme Court, because the Supreme Court

7:24

really does, for a bunch of

7:26

different reasons, view itself as really

7:28

a court that decides,

7:31

you know, not just individual

7:33

cases, but law,

7:36

you know, rules that we're going to, are

7:38

going to govern for all time. That being

7:40

said, they don't always, they don't always do

7:42

that in every case. Like,

7:44

for example, the 14th Amendment case, they just decided we're

7:47

just going to decide this one case, just

7:49

to get it out of the way and decide it with a particular result.

7:53

I think

7:55

this case is one where I

7:57

don't really believe... that

8:00

any of the justices uh...

8:03

and i have a lot of other one of the

8:05

transcript later maybe there's something that will catch my eye

8:07

that will cause me to say i want to know

8:10

i i miss lead sarah which is i would apologize

8:13

don't believe me i've been on the night i'd be

8:15

on the i would not do that i mean that

8:17

i would know how to get these nice products if

8:19

i did that uh... yeah

8:22

i i think that i

8:25

don't think there is any justice would not

8:28

on strictly if they think they were just

8:30

saying yes yay or nay on this case

8:33

with these facts don't

8:36

know that there are any justices who would say

8:38

that trump can't be prosecuted for this i could be

8:41

wrong will find out in a matter of weeks and

8:44

i do really think that they are

8:46

concerned and

8:49

and and not unjustifiably

8:51

so with

8:54

the next case in the case after that and let me

8:56

tell let me tell you why that why i

8:59

think people who are jumping

9:03

it's a criticize the supreme court

9:05

in this particular moment might want

9:07

to reconsider how critical they're being

9:10

and maybe i'm being contrarian and polyannish here but

9:13

you know it is possible

9:17

that there could be and

9:19

unjust and

9:21

unconstitutional prosecution

9:25

of a former president let's say some guy is

9:27

elected i don't know in

9:30

twenty twenty four and takes office

9:32

in on january twenty twenty twenty

9:34

five and isn't he's some

9:36

kind of a narcissistic sociopath

9:39

uh... who cares nothing about the local clear i mean

9:42

you know i i i i i'm not saying this

9:44

could possibly happen but i mean you know

9:47

it's possible there might be somebody

9:49

who fits that description and becomes

9:51

president on january twentieth twenty twenty

9:53

five and he is soul

9:56

mission in life because he doesn't care about

9:58

the country doesn't care about the constant he

10:00

doesn't care about the rule of law and

10:02

only cares about himself and is angry because

10:04

he feels he has been mistreated by everyone

10:07

in society, including people who

10:09

turn the air conditioning too high for

10:12

him in a courtroom in New York City for

10:14

which he's being tried for fraud in his personal

10:16

business. I mean,

10:18

hypothetically, if someone like that

10:21

were to become president of the

10:23

United States, God forbid, he

10:26

might appoint some attorney general who might start looking, you

10:28

know, be a guy, I'm not going to name names,

10:30

but there was a particular name I saw on a

10:32

tweet today

10:35

who could be, you know, who might be

10:37

the type that this person would appoint, would

10:40

start looking at prosecuting anybody

10:43

who has shown political opposition

10:45

to that newly elected president,

10:48

including former presidents. And

10:50

so, you know, there may be, I

10:53

don't think it's unwarranted

10:55

or untoward to consider

10:58

the possibility that

11:01

something bad could happen in the

11:03

future and that you want to

11:05

basically lay down a marker that

11:07

prevents that. And I think there

11:09

are different ways you could do that. I think there has been

11:11

some writing which I actually have been

11:14

persuaded by in the interim period

11:16

since the DC Circuit's opinion that,

11:18

you know, for example, if it may be the

11:21

president doesn't have, the president does

11:23

not have absolute immunity, I believe,

11:26

for criminal acts that he commits

11:28

while in office. I firmly believe

11:30

that. If the president accepts, to

11:33

use a hypothetical that Chief Justice

11:35

Roberts used today, if the president

11:37

accepts a cash bribe in

11:40

order to, I don't know,

11:42

what was it, was it the ambassadorship or was

11:44

it, what was it, he used

11:47

the example of a cash bribe to commit an official

11:49

act. I

11:51

think that should be prosecutable. And

11:54

I think, I don't think

11:56

that anybody on

11:58

the court disagrees. with

12:00

that. I do think though that there

12:02

could be circumstances where I don't know,

12:04

but Congress passes a law that's directed

12:07

at a particular administration

12:10

and somehow it gets over, the veto is

12:12

overridden and it's like if

12:14

the president fails to fails

12:17

to prevent X

12:22

number of people from crossing the border, he

12:25

should he shall be sentenced, he shall be

12:27

tried and convicted for you know

12:30

we can be tried and convicted for you

12:32

know something called grand

12:36

negligence of the highest order and

12:38

be you know subject to execution.

12:41

Okay so I mean you know

12:43

there's you can think of just

12:45

these nightmare hypotheticals and that

12:47

would you know conjure up

12:49

some of the extreme hypotheticals

12:52

that the Trump people have

12:54

been have been putting together and

12:56

I think that it's not crazy to

12:58

want to basically say we're

13:00

not deciding all those

13:03

other cases but this case

13:05

you know we at a minimum

13:07

this. So I don't think the

13:10

discussion today was all that disturbing.

13:12

I think it's going to the question is where

13:15

they actually come out and is there

13:17

some kind of a limiting principle line

13:20

that you know puts

13:22

this case where it should be and

13:24

leaves open for another day or

13:27

protects the presidency from you know

13:30

abusive retribution,

13:32

retributive, retributative

13:36

is that the word? Pop prosecutions

13:38

in the future. Alright let me just say this back

13:40

to you and what I think is normal speak and

13:42

you tell me about that. Okay was that too? No

13:44

it was pretty good because I think I understood

13:46

it. Okay so what you're

13:48

saying is you think the discussion today

13:50

where they wound through all these hypotheticals

13:53

and tested the arguments, kicked the tires

13:55

really hard on both sides of the

13:57

ton of hypotheticals was actually them trying

13:59

to decide whether or not, how

14:01

to think about deciding this question

14:03

in a broad way so that it applies to

14:05

every future case and then thinking through how they

14:08

might narrow that so that it

14:10

doesn't have to be tied to every future case. And

14:13

it could be, and it could be. Sometimes you'll

14:15

see courts engage in these wide ranging discussions

14:17

and not a hint of it shows up

14:19

in the opinion. So why did the New

14:22

York Times come out right after and say

14:24

like, based on the arguments today. You mean the

14:26

fake news New York Times? Yeah, failing New York Times.

14:28

I'm just joking, failing yes, I'm sure. I love the

14:30

New York Times, I'm a subscriber. And they basically said,

14:32

based on the arguments today, it

14:35

seems like there are at least

14:38

enough justices who are taking Trump's claims

14:41

of immunity sort of seriously. Yeah,

14:43

again, I don't think I

14:46

would phrase it that way. Well, I'm probably phrasing it

14:48

wrong, actually. Well, let me tell you how I would

14:50

phrase it. I

14:53

do not think that

14:55

the court is necessarily,

14:57

maybe some justices are, maybe a

14:59

couple are. I

15:02

can't exclude that possibly. I do not think

15:04

they are taking Trump's specific

15:07

claims of

15:09

that he is

15:12

being mistreated and that he should

15:14

not be prosecuted for what he

15:16

did as alleged in this indictment.

15:19

I do not think there

15:21

are five votes to

15:24

sustain Trump's position

15:26

there. I do think

15:29

that in making the

15:31

arguments that he

15:34

should have this absolute immunity,

15:37

he is raising some

15:39

concerns that are legitimate,

15:43

that there could be abusive prosecutions if

15:45

you had the wrong kind of

15:48

president in the future. And

15:51

those are worthy of concern. And

15:54

I guess, I think if I

15:56

had to say, there's

15:58

this old adage that... I'm sure you've,

16:00

I mean everybody's, a lot of people have heard of

16:02

even who aren't lawyers. It's like, I think

16:05

it's something that was like hard cases make bad law.

16:08

Well, I was thinking about it on

16:10

the car ride over here. Um,

16:13

you know, bad people make

16:15

hard law. Bad people

16:17

make hard law. They make it hard. Um,

16:19

and we have a bad person

16:22

and the bad person is both

16:24

on the other side of the V, but he

16:26

also could be on the front other side. He

16:29

could, he could also be the one leading a

16:31

prosecution and dealing with

16:33

a bad person and creating a

16:36

rule, you know, so

16:38

that we can have nice things is

16:40

hard. So, you know, that's what this

16:42

is about. And it's about, it's not

16:44

just about Donald Trump in his capacity

16:47

as a criminal defendant in this

16:50

case or in the Georgia case or in,

16:52

in, in any of these cases, um,

16:55

it is as much about what

16:58

if you had a Donald Trump

17:00

bringing these cases and,

17:02

and, and, and that's a legitimate

17:04

concern. And so I would

17:07

say to people who are, who are

17:09

alarmed by this argument that

17:11

they should be taking some of

17:13

the concerns that justice Alito and

17:15

some of the other justices that

17:17

the some

17:19

of the people in the audience might not

17:21

be as might not be fond

17:23

of taking those seriously because

17:26

those questions that he's asking, you

17:28

know, about corrupt attorney generals, you

17:31

know, that can happen. That

17:33

could happen sooner than you think. So again,

17:35

that's the thing about the law. Um, um,

17:37

I'm not gonna talk for the majesty of

17:40

the law or whatever I'm talking about. The

17:42

thing about the law is when

17:44

you are trying to understand it and

17:47

apply it and make it, you

17:50

have to kind of flip the script sometimes. You

17:53

have to change the

17:55

names and change the characters and

17:57

say, and, and, and change the

17:59

hypothetical. to say, well, okay, what if the shoe

18:01

is on the other foot? What if

18:03

the bad guys are bringing the case and

18:06

the good guys are being prosecuted? And

18:09

is there some kind of rule that

18:11

you can distinguish with that? And that's

18:13

not easy, but

18:15

that being said, you don't have to

18:17

decide in one case, every case that

18:19

could possibly come in the future,

18:22

as I said, because you can't predict the future.

18:24

Okay, so I'm gonna just try to re-state this

18:26

again. Okay, that was very wordy, right? I'm

18:29

gonna try to re-state it again. What you're basically saying

18:31

is, okay, so they're kicking the tires in this thing,

18:33

but they could still easily, narrowly

18:35

rule that Trump is not immune for

18:37

prosecution in this instance. Correct. I

18:41

will concede that a lot of people disagree with

18:44

that now. But I- Yeah, I think people are

18:46

panicked. People are panicked? I think

18:48

they're overreacting. What

18:52

would it be like if they

18:54

granted, I mean, I think, since

18:56

we're all just dealing in hypotheticals here, if

18:59

they granted- We are swimming in hypotheticals. We

19:01

are swimming in a distraction. Because they granted

19:03

residential immunity. First of all-

19:06

That would be bad. Well, yeah, right?

19:08

Like, I think the idea of Donald

19:10

Trump getting elected and feeling untethered to

19:13

the law is profoundly scary,

19:16

but it's also just scary for the country. And it's

19:18

interesting, one of the things you're saying that

19:20

I think is important when you have a bad

19:22

person, right, when people talk about Donald Trump testing

19:24

our institution, this is what

19:26

we're talking about. Yeah, he's testing it every which

19:29

way. Because the thing, the hypotheticals that, those

19:31

existed before. Correct. And those hypotheticals were always

19:33

here. He wanted to prosecute, he wanted to

19:35

prosecute. He was trying to get, Trump

19:38

was trying to get Bill Barr to prosecute

19:41

Joe Biden in 2020, remember? Vaguely.

19:44

Yeah, I mean, there was some, there

19:46

was some, why aren't you going after Biden? I think there

19:48

was a, there were a couple of instances. I remember the

19:50

perfect phone call to Zelinski where he definitely

19:52

was trying to get them to investigate Joe

19:55

Biden. And so,

19:57

yeah, he is testing our institutions. He's forcing

19:59

questions. answered that bad people make

20:01

hard law we hadn't had an occasion

20:03

to really think about but

20:05

I gotta say so this guy John

20:08

Sauer argued for Trump and then this

20:10

guy Michael Drieben argued for the Justice

20:12

Department I mean

20:14

I heard the part where John Sauer made

20:19

I've always thought that one of Trump and then the people

20:21

around him their superpower is just how shameless

20:23

they are and so he was

20:25

able to like argue with a

20:27

straight face when I

20:29

believe it was Sotomayor said so

20:32

Joe Biden like could

20:34

kill Trump as part of an official act

20:36

because he deems him corrupt and you would

20:38

say that that was he's immune I mean

20:40

look that that was the SEAL team six problem they

20:42

had in the DC circuit I mean he they

20:45

are arguing for the broadest like yeah

20:47

they are arguing for the broadest possible

20:49

immunity because

20:52

they need that because

20:54

Trump's conduct while it didn't

20:57

involve actually him ordering or

20:59

causing someone intentionally

21:01

to be killed was

21:04

so extreme they need the

21:07

broadest formulation of

21:09

absolute immunity from criminal prosecution

21:11

that you can imagine because

21:14

once you start making

21:16

too many concessions on that you

21:18

can you can see your client's

21:20

case because it's so extreme and

21:23

that's his problem and that that

21:25

is actually why I'm part

21:27

of the reason why I'm fairly optimistic about

21:29

the case is that there's just no way you

21:32

can let this go if you're the

21:34

Supreme Court and say yeah this this

21:36

shouldn't be prosecuted without letting everything go

21:38

including the SEAL team six hypothetical and

21:40

the murder of a political opponent okay

21:42

so they've got to draw some guardrails

21:45

okay okay that makes me feel sort of better

21:47

okay how'd you think they both I mean you

21:49

want them I mean I don't have any you

21:51

know relaxation pills for you

21:53

trying to do it with my words trying to

21:56

take whatever a real chill pill all day can

21:58

you get a new sponsor for that Yeah,

22:01

if anybody's got some anti-anxiety meds, they want

22:03

to talk, let me know. Big

22:06

pharma comes to our own. Did

22:10

you think Drieben was good? Yeah,

22:12

I think Drieben was all good.

22:14

Drieben is the most amazing advocate.

22:17

I've seen him argue a couple of times in the past.

22:20

He is always prepared.

22:23

His arguments are seamless. He knows

22:26

the facts and the law inside out. One

22:28

of the things that just amazes

22:30

me when you actually watch Michael

22:33

Drieben in a courtroom is all

22:36

lawyers come up with their books and their papers

22:38

and their notebook. And you're up at the Supreme

22:40

Court. The fact of the matter is, and I've

22:42

argued there once, you really don't get a

22:44

chance to flip through your notebook. But it

22:47

feels good to have a piece of paper in

22:49

front of you. I'm not asking the questions that

22:52

are on here. Right, no, no, no, no. But

22:55

Drieben goes up to that podium

22:58

in the Supreme Court with Facing the Nine

23:01

with not anything other

23:04

than his bare hands. And

23:06

he just answers the questions,

23:09

recites cases

23:11

and citations and record

23:13

materials without,

23:16

with nothing to, he just has no,

23:18

not even for as a safety blanket. He

23:20

just goes up there for lawyers.

23:23

It's like not having paper is like being

23:26

naked. And so I

23:28

just have this, I mean, I

23:30

have always been in awe of Michael Drieben. And

23:32

I thought he was his classic self. And

23:34

one of the things about Michael Drieben is that,

23:37

you know, he has argued, I think

23:39

a few years ago before he joined the

23:41

Mueller team, he had argued his 100th case

23:44

in the Supreme Court. So

23:48

he's probably argued 110, I don't know how many. And

23:51

they have such immense respect

23:53

for him. One of them

23:56

is Zauer, the other Trump guy, because they jumped

23:58

at him hard out of the game. Yeah,

24:00

I think, look,

24:03

I think my general

24:06

rule about oral arguments is that the side

24:08

that gets the most questions usually loses. And

24:10

this is a case I think that's an

24:12

exception to that. And

24:14

it's an exception to that because the

24:18

Trump position was so extreme,

24:21

it didn't take much to just say,

24:23

to dismiss it. I think they were

24:25

already dismissive of the extreme position they

24:27

were taking before they got into the

24:29

courtroom. I think that extreme position

24:31

was demolished by Judge Pan a

24:34

couple months ago. So I

24:37

think that, you know, the fact that they

24:39

didn't beat, they did beat up on him

24:41

some, I just think that there

24:43

was sort of no point to beating up. How

24:45

much can you beat up on somebody who's basically

24:47

saying that the president can conduct a coup and

24:50

not be prosecuted unless he's first impeached and

24:52

convicted? I mean, yeah, this is the amount.

24:54

We're gonna pay some bills here. We're gonna

24:56

do one of George's favorites. Our first sponsor today

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sounds like a low low low laboring company. I

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enough times now so you get it. Okay. Nicely done.

27:22

Thank you. We have a clip. Can we listen

27:24

to the clip just to give a sample. But

27:28

he ordered the military to stage a coup and

27:30

you're saying that's an official act. I

27:33

think it would depend

27:35

on the circumstances when there was an

27:37

official act. If it were an official

27:39

act again he would have to be.

27:41

What does that mean depend on the

27:43

circumstances. He was the president. He is

27:45

the commander in chief. He talks

27:48

to his generals all the time and he told

27:50

the generals I don't feel like leaving

27:52

office. I want to stage a coup. Is

27:54

that immune. If it's an

27:56

official act there needs to be impeachment and

27:58

conviction beforehand because. framers viewed the

28:01

red that kind of is

28:04

an official act if it's an

28:06

official act if it's an official and on the

28:08

way you described that hypothetical it could well be

28:10

I just don't know you have to again if

28:12

a context in terms of that answer

28:16

sounds to me and so it's like yeah under

28:18

my attest it's an official act but that

28:20

sure sounds bad doesn't it well it certainly

28:22

sounds very bad and that's why I have

28:24

and that's why the framers have a whole

28:26

series of structural checks that have successfully for

28:29

the last 234 years prevented that very

28:33

kind of extreme hypothetical and

28:35

okay so I mean that was

28:37

pretty much that was sort of

28:39

a shorter and sweeter version of

28:41

the exchange this same lawyer John

28:43

Sauer had with

28:45

with Josh Florence pan two or

28:48

three months ago I know but

28:51

there's no good answer he doesn't have a good answer

28:54

there is no good answer the best

28:56

you can see the instinct is when you you

28:58

know I mean I guess he if he conceded

29:00

it right out front it would have

29:02

been it would have been just as bad so

29:05

he's throwing in there's a little word salad

29:07

a little evasion a little dance to

29:10

the left dance to the right and then finally

29:12

he kind of says probably yeah I guess

29:15

it's like okay that that's the

29:17

weakness of his position and basically

29:21

one of the reasons why there wasn't much

29:23

to I mean he got he

29:25

got a lot of questions but

29:28

there was a limit to what you could ask him

29:30

when he's taking that position because it's like nobody

29:34

none of the nine are

29:36

going to take that position

29:39

okay they're just not it is not going

29:41

to happen and so that

29:43

this is why I say this was sort

29:46

of an exception to the general rule that

29:48

the side that gets the most questions usually

29:52

loses here this guy

29:54

was basically not being that helpful

29:57

because he's not articulating

30:00

a position that even

30:02

a majority of the justices will want

30:04

to take. Whereas you've got

30:08

Michael Trevin, who is representing the United States Department

30:11

of Justice, and it was basically asked at

30:13

one point, although it should have gone

30:15

without saying, you're speaking for the Justice

30:17

Department as a whole,

30:19

yes, with the Solicitor General, they

30:24

use the government to

30:27

educate themselves and to test

30:29

out positions. They really use,

30:32

I mean, there was a book written,

30:34

I don't know, 20, 30 years ago probably,

30:36

at least by, I think, is

30:40

a journalist named Lincoln Kaplan called The

30:42

Tenth Justice, and it was about the

30:44

office of the Solicitor General. And here, he's

30:47

not in the Solicitor General's office, although he

30:49

is. He's not

30:51

now, but he's with the Special Counsel, but

30:53

he was with the Solicitor

30:56

General's office for decades. They

30:58

use the

31:01

government's lawyer at oral

31:03

argument, particularly one as

31:05

experienced as a dream,

31:07

as a seminar leader,

31:09

to talk about the

31:11

things that sort of are interesting to them,

31:13

to try to understand where

31:16

they could go, where they don't want to go, and

31:19

sometimes it does get far afield. I

31:21

mean, you could get just a completely

31:23

abstract discussion in the court. Well, they

31:25

were talking about like independent counsels at one point. Right,

31:27

right, right. What does this have to do with anything? Well, I mean, I didn't,

31:30

yeah, there was one point about the independent counsel

31:32

where Justice Thomas, I thought that was actually a

31:34

favorable question for the prosecution because he

31:37

was saying, you know, well, that's not really

31:40

in this case, is it, counsel? Which means

31:42

it's sort of like, okay, he's clearing out

31:44

the under Russian focusing on what's really an

31:46

issue, which is the immunity issue and not

31:48

giving them the chance to make this BS

31:50

argument that some amicus curia

31:52

are making. But setting that aside, this

31:57

was just sort of, this was a skull session.

32:00

of ways. They just want to say, okay,

32:02

what are the implications of things that we

32:04

could say? And it may

32:06

well be that because they can't fathom

32:08

what those or they don't really see what

32:11

those implications can be, can't clearly foresee them,

32:13

you may end up with a really, really

32:15

narrow opinion notwithstanding the

32:17

fact that this was kind of a wide-ranging

32:22

skull session, midnight skull session in

32:24

a law school dorm room in

32:26

many respects. It sounds like, I

32:29

thought it was interesting or I was told

32:31

by other lawyers that it was interesting that

32:33

Sauer sort of weaved his right to a

32:35

rebuttal. Apparently that's really unusual but it sounds like

32:37

what you're saying is, yeah, like, but there was nothing

32:39

else to say. Yeah, and that's right.

32:42

I mean, I think that the, I

32:44

am here, I am departing from the conventional wisdom

32:46

here and it could be, I'm going to be

32:49

totally wrong, I could be totally, who knows. We

32:51

might need to get another conventional lawyer. Yeah, somebody who's

32:53

sane, right? Somebody who's calmer and sane or doesn't know

32:55

what he's got, doesn't wear

32:58

funny hats and doesn't like to do product placement.

33:00

I don't know, I probably are a very great

33:02

lawyer. Yeah, but there

33:05

was, yeah, normally

33:07

when you're in court and

33:09

you think you're ahead, you

33:12

want to sit down as quickly as possible. I'm

33:15

giving example, the one time I argued before the Supreme

33:17

Court, it was like, okay,

33:20

I was up second because I was the respondent,

33:24

the person opposing the appeal and

33:29

my adversary got the shit kicked out of him and

33:32

there was no question I had at least

33:35

seven votes out of the eight who were sitting,

33:37

so the lawyers were accused and

33:40

so I'm thinking, okay, I want to

33:42

make this short and sweet and I,

33:44

you know, there's this yellow light or

33:46

there's a green light that goes on

33:49

when you start arguing. There's a

33:51

yellow light that goes on when you like have a

33:53

minute or two left and then there's a red light

33:55

that says time's up and they

33:58

used to be a lot stricter with the time. This thing

34:00

went on forever. Yeah, but it used to be

34:02

a lot stricter. I mean, the Rehnquist was just

34:04

totally like, boom, he cut you off in the

34:06

middle of the word. Chief

34:08

Justice Roberts isn't like that. Electric finishes, then it's... And

34:11

they were... But I remember, it's like, okay,

34:13

as soon as I see any light twitch,

34:16

or if I find some stopping

34:19

point earlier, I'm gonna

34:21

stop. Okay? I just remember thinking,

34:23

just get up and get

34:26

down. Now, in Sauer's

34:28

case, I don't think it was that

34:30

he thought that he was going to win on his

34:33

crazy extreme argument. But

34:36

I think he realized there was nothing

34:38

good that could have happened to him

34:40

if he stood up for rebuttal and

34:42

then got worked on

34:45

by Kagan and by Sotomayor and

34:47

by Barrett and

34:49

so on about the extremeness of his

34:51

position. Because they would've just not... It's

34:54

all been aired already and plus, it's the one

34:57

thing you have to always consider in

34:59

court is when lunchtime is. It's

35:02

important because you have to respect... The

35:04

justices lose patience at some point and maybe

35:06

they wouldn't have asked any questions. No, it's

35:09

a hangry. Who wants a hangry? And

35:12

at the same time, it can cut the other way that

35:14

because they want to go to lunch, they

35:16

may not want to ask you questions. But who knows? You

35:18

just don't want to take the risk. So

35:21

I think I wasn't as surprised that

35:23

he waved rebuttal because there was nothing

35:25

else he could have said that he hadn't

35:27

already said and there were plenty of things that

35:29

he could have gotten drawn back into that would

35:31

have been just back

35:33

in the muck again. So I think he made the right

35:35

decision but I think he made it for reasons that

35:38

are different than what a lot of people are

35:40

saying. Okay, last question before we

35:42

do some product stuff. To

35:44

me, it seems like there was a difference

35:47

between the women and men. You just mentioned

35:49

Barrett. Barrett seemed quite incredulous

35:52

of these arguments and whereas,

35:56

like, is it? Am I wrong? But

35:58

were the four women, didn't they seem like maybe they were? Yeah, I

36:00

actually do. I do think, well, I

36:02

don't know whether they were roughly in

36:04

the same place. I'm not sure exactly

36:06

where Barrett is, but I

36:08

really do think there is, we are seeing

36:12

some interesting dynamics among

36:15

the women. I think we've seen that in some of the opinions

36:17

I haven't, you know, I'm not a

36:20

sufficient Supreme Courtologist where,

36:22

you know, I sit there and I

36:24

spend all day dissecting the arguments and

36:26

the, to really pass a judgment on,

36:28

but there is something going on there.

36:30

There is a positive dynamic among the

36:33

women. I think it's shown by the fact that there

36:35

was this, I think we all

36:37

saw that it was on television at once, that there

36:39

was some kind of panel discussion with

36:41

Justice Sotomayor and Justice Barrett and

36:44

they're trying to, you know, they're trying, they're all happy

36:46

trying to get along. And I think, you know, I,

36:49

I, I, you know, I, how much of that

36:51

is gender-based. I, I, you know, someday somebody will

36:53

write a book and we'll figure it all out,

36:55

but I, you know,

36:58

I think I like it. Yeah.

37:00

I'm not trying to, I don't even know why.

37:02

No, it's interesting. I'm just like struck by it.

37:04

No, it's interesting because, you know, look, it's a small,

37:07

hoisted institution of nine people

37:10

and no one's really in charge.

37:12

You have a Chief Justice, but

37:14

he can't really boss the other ones

37:16

around. His power

37:18

is the power that he has, the power

37:21

to assign opinions. But other than

37:23

that, it's

37:26

the power of persuasion and he's trying to

37:28

bring them all along together. So he can't,

37:30

you're dealing with, you know, people have a

37:33

life in the Supreme Court to nine separate

37:35

law firms, you know, with nine

37:37

partners and then there are, there are little associates

37:39

or the law clerks writing opinions and then, and

37:41

then the people typing it up and stuff like

37:43

that. They're like nine little law firms and

37:45

none of them really control each other. And

37:48

it's when you change, when you

37:50

swap one out or

37:53

two, one out, it's like you can change

37:55

the dynamic of the court. You

37:57

know, it's, it's, it's like any small group you've

38:00

ever participated in. You take

38:03

out a member and add someone else, take

38:05

two out, the character of the group can

38:07

change. And it's sort of, this is a

38:09

fascinating dynamic and I think years from now

38:11

people will be writing about it. Maybe not

38:13

too far in the future. Alright,

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one that you love right here and tell them

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we sent you. Sarah and George. Can

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I do it for like my day instead of Mother's

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Day? Yeah, do it right now. Oh, can we just do this

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on the show? Great. That was good. Uh-huh.

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It's refreshing also. Good. You

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look fantastic. Thank you. Do on the

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morning grass. Absolutely. Hey.

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Do you have anything for my hair? I

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don't. Okay. We're looking for

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hair products, sponsors. Okay. Yeah. New

41:02

York Election Interference Hush Money Trial.

41:05

You're there. Yes. What's

41:08

it like? You know, it's a trial. I

41:10

wasn't there on Monday. I was there for,

41:14

I guess, three days of the jury selection

41:16

last. I can't even remember. The days are

41:18

bringing. I wasn't there on Monday when they

41:20

had the opening statements. I was there on

41:22

Tuesday. Yes. No,

41:26

two days ago. Today's Thursday. I

41:28

can't even figure it out. For,

41:31

you know, basically it

41:34

was the gag order argument,

41:36

which took about an hour or two at the

41:38

beginning, and then a good chunk

41:40

of witness David

41:42

Becker's testimony. And

41:45

I don't know what's been going on today

41:47

because thanks to the Supreme Court. But

41:49

it, oh, by the way, which makes me just,

41:52

I just love this fact. They

41:55

had to leave

41:58

court early on Monday. day

42:01

they had to you know they were going to go to two but they

42:03

only went to like 1230 because a juror

42:06

had an emergency dental appointment.

42:08

Yeah, I read that.

42:10

Meanwhile this former narcissist,

42:14

currently narcissistic former president of the United

42:16

States who thinks he's entitled to do

42:18

whatever he wants whenever he wants it,

42:21

wanted to come to Washington today for

42:23

this oral argument which he would have

42:25

contributed absolutely nothing to and

42:29

court said no sorry you're on trial

42:31

here. So juror over

42:34

indicted former president. Yeah, it's just I

42:37

mean I just there's

42:39

something so fitting about that and so appropriate

42:41

in a

42:43

country where we seek equal justice under

42:45

law that I just had to note

42:48

that fact. But anyway so Tuesday the

42:51

gag order argument went horribly

42:54

horribly for Trump's

42:56

lawyer and he just he

42:58

it was it was

43:00

to the point where if there was there

43:03

should be a mercy rule in court sometimes

43:05

it would have come into play there and

43:07

he was basically making I mean Trump

43:09

has engaged in at least by

43:12

the time of this argument ten violations of the

43:14

gag order there were more but I think because

43:16

I think that what happened was the prosecutors

43:19

decided let's just pick these ten and

43:21

go in on those and

43:24

the arguments that that Trump's

43:26

lawyer was making were just

43:28

terrible I mean one was kind of well this was

43:31

a retweet and it's like well it's

43:33

a retweet but he actually changed

43:35

the language of what he was retweeting in some of

43:37

that. And the prosecutors

43:40

pointed out that Trump loves to brag

43:42

about social how it gets his message

43:44

across and it just you know it

43:48

it magnifies everything he has to say and

43:50

he's rep if he's retweeting he's he's

43:52

patent and he's retweeting some nasty thing about

43:54

a witness well he's basically

43:56

adopting that statement so that did the

43:58

judge was not buying buying

44:00

that at all. And the other argument that

44:03

Trump's lawyers seemed to be making was

44:07

that the

44:10

president was merely responding to

44:12

political attacks made against him

44:14

by Michael Cohen, by

44:17

a witness. And it's like, okay,

44:20

there's no exception

44:22

for that in the gag order. It says

44:24

thou shalt not, you know,

44:26

talk about witnesses. And there's

44:29

no exception to that. And then when the

44:31

court tried to press counsel

44:33

on, okay, what exactly

44:36

are you saying that Trump was

44:38

responding to? He couldn't answer, couldn't

44:40

point to a single thing. And it was just like, it

44:43

was just brutal. And it got to

44:45

the point where Justice Mershan said to

44:48

counsel, to Trump's counsel, you

44:51

know, essentially, you're not helping yourself here. You're

44:53

losing all credibility with me. And

44:56

when a judge says that to you, that's like,

44:58

and you, I mean, that's, you're

45:02

getting squashed in a way that is

45:04

just extremely unpleasant and really bad for

45:06

your client. He's a very, he's

45:08

a very straight-laced,

45:11

very disciplined, very even-tempered

45:15

guy. And he's just

45:17

very business-like. I like him a lot. I

45:19

think he's conducted himself in

45:21

an A-plus fashion. I

45:24

think he's a model trial

45:26

judge from what I've seen so far. Well,

45:29

that's good. And then what about the jury? Like,

45:31

were you there for that? Yeah, I was

45:33

there. I mean, I,

45:35

I, I, for jury

45:38

selection, the, the press except for

45:40

like the, the, I was technically

45:42

pressed there because I'm writing for

45:44

the Atlantic, which you

45:46

should all subscribe to. And doing commentary for the court.

45:48

And doing commentary. And doing commentary. And,

45:50

you know,

45:53

the, the, the, the, the, we didn't see

45:55

the jury. We can only hear. It was

45:57

piped into us, the, the, the jury selection.

46:00

And I wrote about that in the Atlantic, and

46:02

what I thought struck me about the jury selection

46:04

was it was

46:06

just really kind of mundane in a lot

46:08

of ways. Yeah, sure, occasionally there'd be these

46:10

interesting answers to questions, but it

46:12

was all very, very orderly and very, you

46:15

know, it was tedious the way court proceedings

46:17

often are and frankly should be, particularly in

46:20

a case where you're trying to be very,

46:22

very careful in making

46:24

sure that the people

46:26

on the jury are fair-minded. And

46:30

then on Tuesday when I

46:33

attended and saw after the

46:37

gag order argument, I watched, they

46:40

had David Becker on the stand and he had not,

46:42

on Monday he had just testified for like

46:44

20 minutes of preliminaries and I got to

46:46

watch David Becker. I didn't have a good

46:49

view of the jury because I

46:51

was on the side of the

46:53

courtroom that the jury was, so I

46:55

couldn't really see all of their faces. They

46:57

were kind of like parallel to my line

47:00

of sight the way they were seated, so I couldn't, I wasn't

47:02

really watching the jury to tell you the truth. But

47:05

I was watching Becker. I had a clear view

47:08

of Becker and I thought

47:10

he was just a tremendously effective witness.

47:13

And you know, it's hard, you know, what

47:16

makes a witness effective is, you know,

47:18

how they answer the questions and how they

47:21

just sort of are even

47:23

when they're answering the questions and

47:26

I just thought he just, he looked

47:29

like a guy who was just telling the

47:31

story the way it happened and he looked

47:34

very credible. That said, we're going to see

47:36

what kind of cross-examination they will have on

47:38

him. But if he has

47:41

the same demeanor on cross, you know, he's

47:43

going to, he'll concede some things that he

47:45

has to concede. He's not going to, I

47:48

don't think he's going to be, he doesn't

47:50

strike me that he's going to play the

47:52

wise guy or get rattled. Did he get

47:54

indicted like why? So he, just for context,

47:57

he is the editor of the

47:59

Inquirer who... doing catching the old

48:01

one Donald Trump. He ran AMI,

48:03

American Media Inc., I think it

48:05

was, and they owned a

48:07

bunch of magazines, including the National Enquirer. Like

48:09

there's garbage magazines at the grocery store. Yeah,

48:11

yeah, they're right. Right. Well,

48:13

you say they're garbage people, you pay good money for

48:15

those. Okay. Wow.

48:18

So anyway, so basically, I mean, the theory

48:21

of the prosecution is, and I think it's

48:23

pretty compelling, is this, the

48:25

payment to Stormy Daniels, which didn't

48:27

involve AMI or the National Enquirer,

48:30

was part of a overall

48:32

scheme that started, you know,

48:34

right after Trump announced

48:37

his candidacy with the presidency that AMI

48:40

would buy stories, would find stories,

48:42

would alert the Trump campaign about

48:45

stories that were negative about

48:47

Trump, and would buy

48:49

the stories so that, and

48:51

not publish them, and then

48:53

somehow he'd get, the AMI would get

48:56

reimbursed by Trump. It's just a flat

48:58

out violation of Federal Election

49:00

Campaign Act, because basically, you

49:02

have an outside entity making

49:05

contributions, and then being

49:07

reimbursed for the contributions by the candidate.

49:09

And you can't do that. That's illegal.

49:12

And in fact, AMI was

49:14

investigated, and Pekka was

49:17

investigated by the United States Department of

49:19

Justice under the prior administration. Who was

49:21

president then? It was Trump.

49:23

Trump, Trump, yeah. So under President

49:25

Trump's Justice Department actually

49:28

investigated this. They, as you know,

49:30

they charged Michael Cohen for violating

49:32

the Federal Election Campaign Act and

49:34

committing offenses that, according to the

49:36

government, in the sentencing memo

49:39

they submitted to the U.S. District Court, were

49:41

at the direction of, and

49:44

for the benefit of, individual one who

49:46

was? Trump. Yes.

49:49

Okay. So they investigated AMI

49:51

for this stuff that's being hashed out

49:53

in court involving, there

49:55

was a payoff to, they

49:57

bought off a doorman who made

50:00

some false allegation against Trump and then

50:02

they also paid off

50:04

Karen McDougal who

50:06

Trump did his

50:09

thing with, whatever you want to call it. Yes,

50:12

gross. And

50:16

they expect to be reimbursed by Trump. They

50:19

entered into what was called a

50:21

non-prosecution agreement with

50:24

the government. Basically conceding they'd done the bad thing

50:26

and they promised not to do it again. And

50:28

Pekka was part of that. So

50:31

what should have happened ideally is that if

50:34

Trump had not been president, he should have

50:36

been prosecuted at that time and Pekka and

50:38

AMI and Cohen would have been witnesses against

50:40

him but he was president and he was

50:43

immune from prosecution because presidents are considered, although

50:45

some courts never rule on this, they are

50:47

considered to be immune from prosecution for anything

50:49

during the time that they are president because

50:51

they've got to be president. They can't be

50:53

in jail, they can't be in criminal court.

50:56

So bottom line is,

50:59

this is what Pekka is testifying to

51:01

all this and it's setting

51:03

the stage for the Stormy Daniels payment because

51:05

what happened was they had this set up

51:08

and then it kind of got blown up

51:10

because first of all, Trump

51:12

didn't pay AMI back. Okay?

51:14

Surprise, surprise. Did he pay the

51:16

bills on these things? Well he ultimately

51:19

did because what happened was he

51:21

didn't pay the bill and then also, I

51:23

don't know whether they got to this testimony today. I

51:25

have not been following the events of the trial today

51:27

because I was watching the Supreme Court and then talking

51:29

about the Supreme Court. There's a lot of cases, there's

51:31

a lot of legal stuff. The other thing

51:33

that happened was I think Pekka and

51:35

got lawyer, got advice from his in-house

51:37

lawyer thing, don't do this, do

51:40

not do this, stop. And so

51:42

basically when Stormy Daniels

51:44

came around, AMI wasn't playing anymore

51:47

so they had to figure out some other way to

51:49

get cash from Trump to

51:53

Stormy to pay her off before

51:55

the election and so

51:58

they didn't have AMI anymore. So Michael Cohen

52:00

took out a home equity loan and then

52:02

got reimbursed later with checks signed by Donald

52:04

Trump when he was president. And

52:08

Pekka, what's great about Pekka for

52:10

the prosecution is he

52:13

sets up the pattern and the

52:15

motivation and the fact that,

52:18

you know, this was basically all about

52:20

the election. And why that matters is

52:22

that it's a crime in New York

52:24

to falsify business records for any reason.

52:27

And it's a misdemeanor automatically, but

52:30

it becomes a felony if you're doing it to

52:33

effectuate or cover up another

52:35

crime. And the other crime here

52:38

is that all of these payoffs

52:40

were basically done for the purposes of

52:42

influencing the election, in which case they,

52:45

you know, they had to be disclosed,

52:47

which they weren't. And instead, they were

52:49

covered up through the use of these

52:51

false invoices and checks that

52:54

were allegedly for a retainer that didn't exist.

52:56

You know, so you've got 35 counts

52:58

of false business records and every single one is a

53:01

felony. Did you see Trump while

53:03

you were? I did see Trump. How

53:05

does he look in there? Doesn't

53:07

look happy. Yeah. This is the

53:09

reporting is that he seems mad at the world. Doesn't

53:12

he did not look happy. He

53:16

didn't look particularly rested or

53:18

healthy. And,

53:23

you know, I mean, I got a couple of good looks

53:25

at him as he walked down. Did he wave or? I

53:28

did not. I didn't want to create a scene.

53:30

And also I and I wasn't within. I don't

53:32

think I was within his field. By the way,

53:35

I think that's correct. Yeah. I, you

53:37

know, I do occasionally exercise good

53:40

judgment. You know, I know it's boring,

53:42

but. We're straight on

53:44

that seems healthy. So

53:46

what do you like? Are you going to go back down

53:48

to the witnesses you want to see? Yeah, I'm going

53:50

to try. I'm trying to go down there

53:52

as much as possible, consistent with my my

53:56

primary job, which is as an Uber

53:58

driver for my. teenage

54:00

girls. But yeah, I'm going

54:02

to try to go down there next week again. I'm going to try to

54:05

make as much of this trial as

54:07

possible and particularly with, you

54:09

know, the more interesting witnesses. And we've

54:12

got probably another month of this trial, right? Yeah,

54:14

I think this trial is going to go through,

54:17

you know, mid-May to

54:19

maybe, maybe Memorial Day at the worst.

54:23

I would not be surprised if

54:25

the Thursday afternoon before

54:27

Friday afternoon before Memorial Day is when

54:29

the verdict comes. Wild. Hey, you know,

54:32

it reminds me though, the timeline of this

54:34

one is just a quick question that I sort

54:36

of forgot to ask about the immunity question, which

54:38

is it does

54:41

seem like there was a piece in Rolling Stone today

54:43

that was interesting to me because they are somebody on

54:45

Trump's team had kind of gone on

54:47

background and said like, yeah, we don't really

54:49

care how they decide the immunity case because

54:51

we've already won because it's kicked the timeline

54:53

of this to a point where it'll never

54:56

go to trial before the election. Do you

54:58

agree with that? I

55:01

have a nuanced view and fundamental I

55:04

disagree. And here's the thing. There

55:08

are two possibilities here. Let's assume the Supreme

55:10

Court takes as long as it can

55:13

possibly take with this case, which would be based up

55:15

to the end of June, June 28, the

55:17

last Friday in June. And the

55:19

term would end no later than that. If

55:25

Trump loses outright, then

55:29

the trial would occur 81 days after that.

55:31

That is basically the period of time that

55:33

the judge has allotted from that

55:36

was previously the original time between when

55:39

jurisdiction was taken away from her for

55:41

the appeals and the original trial date.

55:44

I did the math today in 81 days after June 28th is September 17,

55:46

2024. And I don't see Judge

55:53

Chutkin saying, oh, too close to the

55:55

election. I'm not going to hold this

55:58

trial. I don't see the justice saying,

56:00

oh, please don't hold this trial. I think

56:03

they're going to say, well, that's when the trial is. That's

56:05

when the trial is. So you could end up, yes,

56:07

I do not think the case will be tried

56:10

to verdict. I will agree with the Trump people

56:12

to that extent. I do not

56:14

think that the case will be tried to

56:16

verdict before the election, but I do think

56:18

that you could end up with the government

56:20

putting on its entire case in September and

56:22

October of 2024, which would be quite something.

56:28

What happens then if the verdict comes down and

56:30

he's elected president? If he's

56:32

elected president and the verdict comes down,

56:34

well, you know, he wouldn't serve the

56:36

time during the time he was president.

56:39

But anyway, that's one possibility. The other

56:42

possibility is, and people are talking about this today

56:44

because they can't figure out what

56:46

the Supreme Court's going to do, whether it's going

56:48

to do some kind of possible remand for further

56:50

proceedings in the district court to figure out what

56:53

stuff is prosecutable and

56:56

what stuff isn't and what, you know. And again,

56:58

I think that's all speculation because we actually do

57:00

not know the rule of law that they

57:03

are going to set to determine what

57:05

is an official act that's prosecutable and

57:07

what is not. But assuming

57:10

they remanded for some kind of factual

57:12

findings before the trial, before you could

57:14

decide to have the trial, well,

57:17

the problem that paces for Trump is if

57:20

I'm Judge Chutkin, I'm going to say, okay, well,

57:22

they need me to find facts, come

57:25

back on July 10th at

57:27

9 o'clock and present your

57:29

witnesses. And basically,

57:31

you could easily see that this

57:34

could entirely backfire on Trump, the idea of

57:36

– they think they've stalled it past the

57:38

election. I don't think

57:41

they've either pushed the trial to

57:43

September, and if they pushed it beyond

57:45

that, it's because they're going to have some

57:47

kind of fact-finding beforehand, and that could happen

57:49

in July or August. So

57:52

I actually

57:55

think that we

57:57

may have another situation in politics where –

57:59

in law. law that happens when the dog

58:01

catches the car, I think getting

58:04

what he wants here may not necessarily

58:06

be what he wants. Okay,

58:09

alright. Did that make sense? It

58:11

did, it did. Okay. So,

58:14

just the one thing I want to ask you about before

58:16

we get out of here. Before I do the eyes? Yeah,

58:18

you can do the eyes while you do this. I

58:20

think you're a talented person, you can multitask. The

58:23

Arizona Grinsher invited 18 people,

58:26

including Giuliani, Meadows, and 11

58:28

fake electors, for scheming to prevent the

58:31

lawful transfer of the presidency. What

58:35

about this? It just like came out, came

58:37

down, there's just... Yeah, you

58:39

know, I'm not surprised. I think there may

58:41

be at least one or more investigations. I

58:44

think there's at least one other state that's

58:46

rumored to be doing it. I forget which

58:48

one it is. But

58:51

I mean, what's good, they

58:53

did this in all those states. They submitted

58:55

false electorals. There's

58:57

no reason why they shouldn't be prosecuted under

59:00

state law in any

59:02

of these states. I haven't had the chance yet

59:04

because of the so much legal activity that the

59:06

former president has been causing in courts throughout the

59:09

country. Yeah, you got to get around the telephone.

59:11

They got it around the high tier. Yeah, you

59:13

got to be sure that it's... Yeah, you know,

59:15

the Supreme Court, Manhattan, which isn't really the Supreme

59:17

Court, this is really the trial court, and the

59:19

Supreme Court of the United States. So, I haven't

59:21

had a chance to read the indictment, I confess.

59:23

But yeah, I mean, it's really...

59:25

And they also got, in this one, they charged Boris

59:29

Epstein. He

59:31

got hit on this one too. This

59:35

is going to be going on for a while. These

59:38

cases are going to be... We're

59:41

going to be living with the 2020 election

59:43

for a couple more years at least, regardless

59:45

of what happens in 2024. I

59:48

just can't sort

59:50

of stress enough how

59:53

wild. And by wild, I don't

59:55

mean it in like a... I

59:57

mean it in the worst way you could possibly mean it. No,

1:00:00

absolutely. Come show up on January 6th, we'll

1:00:02

be wild, as in people are going to die and people

1:00:04

are going to try to overthrow the government. We

1:00:07

are just, we are entering into a crazy time, which

1:00:09

is why George, I'm so grateful, thank you, came to explain

1:00:11

the legal news for me and thanks to all of

1:00:13

you for listening. Don't forget to hit

1:00:15

subscribe, leave us a review on your podcast

1:00:17

app, email us at askgeorgeatthebullwork.com, get tickets for

1:00:20

our live show on May 15th in D.C.,

1:00:22

and we will see you next week. Okay.

1:00:26

Bye. Well, George, try to wake

1:00:28

the man we're playing, got to

1:00:30

sit down with Sarah on, well,

1:00:32

take a stand, explain all the

1:00:34

legal problems they're piling high, with

1:00:36

Donald Trump, oh my, oh my,

1:00:38

oh my, oh my. He

1:00:42

said, Sarah, let me break it

1:00:44

down for you, the destruction of

1:00:46

justice, corruption to the legal tangles

1:00:48

and troubles be growing fast. If

1:00:51

the storm is going to last, there

1:00:53

will last. Oh,

1:00:56

can't wait, oh,

1:00:58

well, I, oh,

1:01:00

legal problems can't live without

1:01:02

it. Oh,

1:01:05

let's do the Russian side. Oh,

1:01:09

Sarah, listen close.

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