Episode Transcript
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0:00
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yeah, Data is no Smoothie Kings
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New lemonade lineup of for a
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limited time. Who. Stars Day.
0:30
Basically the entire world makes fun of this man,
0:33
okay? At Magaland
0:35
they don't appreciate what a
0:37
global planetary joke
0:40
Donald Trump is to the world. They
0:42
think of Donald Trump as this tough guy who
0:44
scares everybody. Well he's, you know, he scares everybody
0:46
in the same way that, you know, a five
0:48
year old walking around on a roof holding a
0:50
bomb might, might, might
0:52
scare you. But he's not, you
0:55
know, he's weak and pathetic and
0:57
stupid. I mean most old people
0:59
think he's an idiot. Hello
1:06
everyone and welcome to George Conway Explains
1:08
It All to Sarah. I'm
1:10
Sarah Longwell, publisher of The Bull Work and because
1:13
I'm not a lawyer, that's my good friend George
1:15
Conway from the Society for the Rule of Law
1:17
to explain the legal news to me. And
1:19
George and I are both remote because we are both
1:21
traveling or wait, I'm remote. Are you a root? Why
1:24
are you in your house? Yeah, well I'm
1:26
in my house, so that's remote enough. Okay,
1:28
we're remote because I'm in Denver. George is coming
1:30
to Denver next week. We're going to do our
1:32
show together at the Aspen Ideas Festival, which
1:35
will be after the debate. And
1:37
so it should be a good time for us to get together. We
1:40
also should have a verdict
1:43
by then from the Supreme Court on the immunity
1:45
case, which we do not have currently. I
1:48
thought maybe we get some
1:50
decisions today, but they didn't do anything. Yeah,
1:52
no, we should have something by then. But
1:54
it's Thursday evening. I'm pretty sure we're going to
1:56
have something by then. It would be a surprise
1:58
if I kicked it over. We'll see.
2:00
OK. Well, since we don't have those,
2:03
we don't have anything from the Supreme Court, I
2:05
want to start with the New York hush money case, because
2:08
on Tuesday, the New York Court of Appeals,
2:10
which is the highest work in New York,
2:12
declined to hear Trump's gag order appeal, and
2:15
the court dismissed the appeal upon the
2:17
ground that no substantial constitutional question is
2:19
directly involved. What do you think? Good
2:21
call? I think that
2:23
no substantial constitutional question was directly involved.
2:27
I think they were right. After,
2:29
on this record, I don't know how the
2:31
gag order could not be sustained. And
2:34
so he loses again.
2:37
I think the real question would be to what
2:40
extent the gag order restrictions will remain
2:42
in place going
2:44
forward in the future. But I
2:47
think this was an appeal of what his prior
2:49
challenges to the gag order, which were meritless
2:52
and remain meritless. I think the question will
2:55
be exactly who will he
2:57
be restrained from in the future going
2:59
after. I think it definitely
3:01
should be jurors. I think maybe not. I
3:04
think the question of whether or
3:06
not he can talk about witnesses now is a little
3:08
bit less
3:10
significant as a practical
3:12
matter, because he's guilty and witnesses
3:15
all testified. I mean,
3:17
he's still subject to gag orders in
3:19
these other cases, and particularly the one
3:21
in D.C., where all
3:23
the people he dealt with in
3:26
his administration who now may
3:28
testify against him are potentially
3:30
the subject of his ire.
3:33
And that could get him into trouble in the future. Okay,
3:35
so I wanted to ask you about the gag order, because
3:37
he's going into this debate, right? And
3:39
he's going to get asked about these court
3:41
cases. And if Biden's doing anything right, he's
3:43
at least playing some offense on
3:46
these court cases. How does a
3:48
gag order across the board here impact what he
3:50
can say during the debate? Well,
3:53
I mean, I think, I mean,
3:55
to the extent the gag orders
3:57
involve witnesses in cases that he.
4:00
that are still in play.
4:02
I mean, he can't talk specifically about
4:04
witnesses, but he can make general declarations
4:06
of innocence. He can actually
4:09
attack the court, which he's been, you
4:11
know, he figured out he was free to do for a
4:13
very long period of time. And
4:15
he's gonna declare his innocence. He can do all of
4:17
those things. There's nothing that prevents him. What he can't
4:19
do is he can't say that
4:21
so-and-so who's gonna test Mark Meadows, I don't know,
4:23
I'm just picking a name out of a hat
4:26
who my or who's gonna test. I suppose he
4:28
thinks Mark Meadows is gonna give bad testimony when
4:30
he's in January 6th trial in the future. I
4:33
mean, he can't trash individuals like
4:35
that. But I don't think
4:37
it's necessarily rational for him to wanna
4:39
do that, because that just gets him
4:42
into the muck of what he's accused
4:44
of. Of course, just
4:47
because it would be irrational
4:49
for him to get into that level of detail doesn't
4:51
mean that he wouldn't just make
4:53
stuff up about these people and talk about them
4:56
and get himself into trouble, because that's Donald Trump.
4:58
He can't control himself. Well,
5:00
this is where I have sort of a broad
5:02
observation about things that are helping Trump, right? If
5:05
you asked me what is the best thing that
5:07
ever happened to Donald Trump, it would be getting
5:09
kicked off Twitter, right? Because
5:12
everybody who imposes a gag order
5:14
on Trump is basically helping Trump.
5:17
When I think about the debates that's upcoming
5:19
and the rules that are gonna be helpful
5:21
to Trump, the fact that they're gonna cut
5:24
off the mics after your time
5:26
is up, to me is a
5:28
huge benefit for Trump. I agree with that. I
5:30
would just let him, I would
5:32
give, what I
5:34
would do is I would give them the
5:36
power to cut him off, but
5:39
I wouldn't necessarily cut him off when he's ranting
5:41
and raving, because I think American people need to
5:43
see that. And I think the real question is
5:45
how is CNN going to exercise that
5:48
prerogative? I
5:50
don't think, you know, is it gonna
5:52
be necessarily immediate, or are they gonna
5:55
hold a little bit on the trigger
5:57
finger because it'll...
6:00
make things a little more exciting and more interesting
6:02
and frankly more informative for the American public. I
6:04
absolutely agree with you. We
6:06
want this guy foaming at the mouth and he will phone
6:08
with the mouth and he'll give him the opportunity. I think
6:10
one of the things that Biden campaign needs to do going
6:13
into this debate over Monday, Tuesday,
6:16
Wednesday of next week is
6:18
start going after Trump in ways that make
6:21
him very annoyed. Talking about
6:23
the convictions, making fun of his slurred speech,
6:25
doing all of those things, but doing it
6:27
in overdrive in the three or four days
6:29
leading to the debate and doing
6:32
everything you can to basically create
6:36
narcissistic injury in this very deranged
6:38
and very disordered
6:41
individual who
6:43
can't really take the criticism, can't take
6:46
the heat and can't take the specifics
6:48
of what he has done and
6:50
what he, you know, about his
6:52
own, the facts of his
6:54
own life. Yeah, you know,
6:57
I was thinking about your views on
6:59
Trump's narcissism just as it relates to
7:02
how he's been the last, I
7:04
don't know, since
7:06
he was, since he has basically been out
7:08
of the White House, he has cocooned himself
7:11
in a right wing ecosystem that
7:13
is so friendly, so
7:15
devoted to him that like he
7:18
doesn't take much of a punch ever,
7:20
you know, nobody, he doesn't, nobody's
7:23
ever going after him, right? He's always
7:25
with syncophants, always with people who don't
7:27
challenge him. And so I wonder
7:31
if Biden is able to go on offense
7:33
to some degree, and I think that it
7:35
would really behoove Biden from a number of
7:37
ways, both from a sense of like, oh,
7:39
look at Biden the fighter, look at Biden
7:41
taking it to Trump, Biden looks sharp. And
7:43
I think Biden is at his sharpest when
7:46
he's engaging back and forth, like in the
7:48
State of the Union, his
7:50
best moments were when Republicans were heckling him and
7:52
he was pushing back. Yeah, no,
7:54
he gets energized. I mean, he's a you
7:56
know, he's got that's has that Irish in
7:58
him. Gets the Irish. makes
10:00
him look weak and small because he doesn't
10:02
really have many friends. And
10:04
once he's out of that cocoon, as you point out, Sarah,
10:10
he doesn't have any protection. It's
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you know, you must have prepared lots
11:16
of people for big moments, right? Or
11:18
you yourself must have prepared for big
11:20
moments to be up in front of
11:22
the Supreme Court. Arguing cases.
11:24
So there's a lot of prep in
11:26
those things, making sure you
11:29
like figure out. Preparing witnesses
11:31
to testify is the big one. Totally. So
11:34
like, how would you prep Joe Biden
11:36
for this? Because I got to say, you've
11:38
said a couple of things in here that I think are interesting,
11:41
but I would view as a challenge if I
11:43
was prepping him because you want him to both
11:45
be presidential, right? Look like he
11:48
has command of things, Joe Biden, while
11:50
also sort of pushing
11:52
Trump, but without doing it in such a way
11:54
that it looks unserious. Yeah, I mean, I think
11:56
that that's exactly right. I mean, I don't think
11:58
this is... This is not going to be a
12:00
policy debate. So we don't, I wouldn't
12:02
have the president pouring over
12:05
policy items because he actually, he's extremely
12:08
well versed in the policy items. He
12:10
doesn't really need help in that regard.
12:12
There may be three or four things
12:14
that he'll want to emphasize, factoids
12:17
and accomplishments that he'll want to
12:19
emphasize from time to time. But
12:22
by and large, what I'd be doing is I'd
12:24
be preparing him to attack Trump in very relatively
12:32
gentle tone, in
12:34
a relatively gentle tone, by just saying matter of fact,
12:37
my opponent is
12:39
an adjudicated rapist. My opponent is a
12:41
convicted felon. My opponent is a pathological
12:44
liar. My opponent lies about everything. I
12:46
just say it in a matter of
12:48
fact way and
12:52
then when Trump reacts to it, have
12:54
a series of one-liners saying, this
12:56
is exactly my point. He cannot
12:58
handle this. He's
13:01
not well. Look at him.
13:03
He's about to lose it. Do you need to
13:05
talk to your lawyers, Donald? Do you need
13:07
to talk to your shrink? No, I wouldn't do the shrink thing
13:09
maybe, but that's the kind of
13:12
thing. Just practicing the attitude, I think,
13:14
is going to, is the
13:18
most essential thing. And the other thing about Donald Trump and
13:20
preparing for debate for Donald Trump, I've never done it. I
13:24
defer to people who actually have done it. If
13:28
you took the last 15 speeches
13:31
he's given, rambling,
13:33
craziness, you
13:36
could get two things out of them. One
13:38
is you're going to get about five or
13:40
six things, maybe 10 or 15, that you
13:42
know he absolutely will say because
13:45
he says the same things over and
13:47
over again. The man has not
13:49
had an original thought since 1987. So
13:53
it's like he's
13:55
easy to prepare for. You
13:58
know what his pitches are. good.
14:00
There are the same pitches and they're usually in
14:02
the same order. And
14:04
so I think he's not
14:07
that hard to prepare for. And
14:10
in terms of, I
14:12
mean, I think this is going to be at
14:14
all attitudinal and it's
14:19
going to be a lot of theatrics. And
14:21
I think it's about drawing him out and
14:23
making him look like the crazed lunatic that
14:25
he actually is. And I think
14:28
Joe Biden will be successful in this if that's what
14:30
they're going to try to do, which is what they
14:32
should do. Because, you know, I
14:35
mean, he's got one
14:38
billion times the emotional intelligence of
14:40
Donald Trump. Hey, y'all, it's
14:42
Tim Miller and I'm the host of the Bulwark podcast,
14:44
which comes out every weekday afternoon, rain
14:47
or shine, hangover or no hangover.
14:49
Here's what's special about this podcast
14:51
and my colleagues at the Bulwark.
14:53
Number one, we're all united in
14:55
a mission to preserve democracy and
14:57
defeat the bad orange man. Number
14:59
two, as outcast Republicans, we have
15:01
no future career prospects in government.
15:03
So we can tell you the
15:05
truth. No BS. And number three,
15:07
as we get to the home stretch of the election, there's
15:09
going to be good days and there's going to be bad
15:11
days. So you're going to need a place
15:13
where you can come, where you can
15:15
hear from experts who can talk about
15:17
what's important in the fight to defeat
15:19
Donald Trump. So check out the Daily
15:21
Bulwark podcast with all your Never Trumper
15:24
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15:26
with different perspectives and backgrounds who are
15:28
ready to talk about the news of
15:30
the day. Find the Bulwark podcast on
15:32
Apple podcasts, YouTube, Spotify or wherever you
15:34
get your podcasts. You
15:38
know, the interesting thing about trying to debate Trump is
15:40
that I think
15:42
for Joe Biden, he can't really go too
15:44
hard. I mean, he
15:47
needs to look presidential, but also for Joe
15:49
Biden right now. So much of this debate
15:51
is about him showing he can do the job.
15:54
Right? Like people want to see state of
15:56
the union, Joe Biden. They want to see
15:58
like if he's a little ago. aggressive, good,
16:00
like that, that is going to help. He's
16:02
got a, he's got a, you know, the
16:05
right wing media ecosystem has
16:07
just nothing but feed people,
16:09
images of Joe Biden that look like
16:11
he is in a senior citizen's home
16:13
being spoon fed oatmeal. And when he
16:15
exceeds those expectations. He's on
16:17
drugs. Yeah, he's on drugs, right? Like
16:20
Trump's already out there. He's on drugs, they got him
16:22
jumped up. Yeah, Trump's already out there
16:24
trying to like lower expectations by being
16:26
like, wow. Which is very unusual for
16:28
Trump. That's very unusual for him. Well, you
16:30
know, it's funny. I was on with Maggie Haberman on CNN
16:33
last night. I had her say Cooper and she was saying
16:35
she had new reporting. This is Trump
16:37
is preparing very hard for this. And
16:39
he's actually preparing. Look, I mean,
16:41
Maggie knows, Maggie knows
16:43
more than anybody about what's going on in
16:45
Trump world at any given time. And
16:48
I'm sure they are trying to prep him, but my
16:50
understanding of what the preps have been in the past,
16:53
both from reading it in the newspaper
16:55
and hearing otherwise is that he
16:58
doesn't actually do debate prep the way you
17:00
or I would do debate prep. You or
17:02
I would stand up with a podium and
17:05
we'd have somebody dressed up as Donald
17:07
Trump, if we were, you know, President
17:09
Biden. And we
17:11
practice one liners, we practice
17:14
answering particular kinds of questions,
17:16
we practice, you know, and we'd have, you
17:19
know, I mean, that's what my
17:21
friend Philippe Raines did in 2016. Apparently
17:25
not sufficiently well. He
17:28
played Donald Trump in prepping
17:31
Hillary Clinton. I mean, I love Philippe. I'm sure Philippe did
17:33
the best job he could. But
17:37
he doesn't do it that way. He doesn't like
17:39
doing it that way. He wants to sit around
17:41
at a table and listen to
17:43
people talk and then talk over them, which
17:46
is what he does. I mean, it
17:48
reminds me of one time there was this violence
17:51
about trying to prep a guy for
17:53
a Supreme Court oral argument. And he
17:55
just said, instead of actually standing up to the podium
17:58
where we thought we were going to ask him. questions
18:00
and pretend to be justice as he just said, I
18:02
just want to come in and, you know, talk
18:04
about the case. And it's kind of like what Donald
18:06
Trump does. I don't, I don't
18:08
know that that's particularly effective. Um,
18:11
but I don't know what would be effective with this
18:13
man. I mean, really with him, it's going to be
18:15
a function. His success in this
18:17
debate, Donald Trump is going to be, to agree
18:19
to which he's able to exercise emotional control for
18:22
90 minutes or two hours or whatever
18:24
the, the time limit is. And that's why you saw, I
18:26
think, I don't know if you saw the clips this morning,
18:28
but there was a clip I saw on Twitter of,
18:31
um, Newt Gingrich basically saying Donald
18:33
Trump has to be calm and
18:35
presidential. And it's like, dude,
18:38
when have we ever seen that? So,
18:41
um, you know, this
18:43
is the thing is that if Donald Trump, the
18:46
best thing he could do for himself is to
18:48
say very little and just be chill. Like
18:50
if he could do that, because he lost, in
18:52
my opinion, he lost the election. Last
18:55
in 2020 during that first
18:57
debate. I remember going to focus groups after that
18:59
first debate and people were like, just
19:02
happened. Why, what was that? And,
19:05
and people sometimes, you know, it's,
19:07
it's interesting. Um, because this
19:10
time you have these two functional incumbents, uh,
19:12
and you'd be some things that
19:14
don't usually matter like vice presidents,
19:18
uh, or debates. Uh,
19:20
I think they matter a ton
19:22
this time. And they matter more last century because we
19:25
were in COVID and they weren't like campaigning as much.
19:27
And so it was a, one of the bitter opportunities
19:29
to see them, but Trump coming out, fooling at the
19:31
mouth and Joe Biden standing there just being like, would
19:34
you shut up, man? Like that, that
19:36
was, I mean, and I think
19:38
he could, I think Joe could have done a better job
19:40
than I think he got a little mad that you don't
19:42
really want to show that you're mad. You want to show,
19:45
look at this guy. Yeah. Seriously.
19:48
That that's the attitude he's got to convey. And I think,
19:50
I mean, I think, I mean, I don't
19:53
actually, when I think about it, there are very few
19:55
politicians in American life
19:57
today, I think they'd handle that.
20:00
way Joe Biden could. I think
20:02
he's actually got the perfect emotional makeup
20:04
for it, and I
20:06
think he's going to do a great job. And
20:09
so that's the way I see this
20:11
shaping out. And I think the real
20:13
key for the Trump people is to
20:15
try to keep this guy under emotional
20:18
raps for 90 minutes
20:21
without falling asleep. That's the trick he used in the courthouse.
20:23
He can't use that. But
20:26
he's got to
20:28
disassociate himself from all of his anger
20:30
and all of the things that trigger him. And
20:36
he may not come in the way, I think
20:38
he's been told, look, that first debate in October
20:40
in Cleveland where you gave your opponent, you
20:43
tried to kill your opponent with
20:45
the virus. Just joking. That
20:50
was terrible. That didn't work out. People didn't like
20:52
that. So I'm sure he's been told that a
20:54
thousand times since then, then, and
20:57
since. And so I think he's not
20:59
going to, I think he's even said at some point,
21:01
I think he was quoted somewhere saying he understands he
21:04
can't go in, you know, loaded for
21:06
bear the way he was four years ago. But
21:08
that said, the
21:10
Biden campaign needs to bring some of that
21:12
back by poking at him. And
21:14
they need to start poking at him on Monday
21:16
morning, you know, just get
21:19
all the way to Atlanta. Okay.
21:22
Do whatever they can to so
21:25
that he hears Joe Biden
21:27
and Joe Biden surrogates making
21:30
fun of him and
21:32
talking about his 34 felony convictions
21:36
and his rape verdict and
21:38
the defamation verdict and that he's a fraudster
21:41
and that he doesn't, you know, he doesn't, he
21:44
doesn't know Estonia from
21:46
Latvia. I don't know. Whatever you
21:49
actually confuse. Neither do most voters
21:52
with the Balkans once. No,
21:55
he's so he's just so out of it. Donald
21:58
Trump is Okay,
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like the chicken things. Let me go, here's
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one I like. This
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is the alapeno lime cheddar
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chicken. Yeah. Very good. Nice.
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23:53
Oh, can I? Tomato, basil,
23:56
cavatappi, and Italian sausage. Look at
23:58
that. You know, so- don't quite factor
24:00
should get it. We should do like a George, you
24:03
know, favorite meals list or something. I'm just going to
24:05
have lunch. See ya. No,
24:08
no, no. Cause we got to talk about Mar-a-Lago in
24:10
the classified documents case. There's a little bit there. Cause
24:13
it's a better food than you get at Mar-a-Lago. I'm sure.
24:17
It's a busy week or two in judge
24:20
Keihan's courtroom down in Florida. First of all,
24:22
on Monday, judge Keihan denied another of Trump's
24:24
motions to dismiss the case, right? That was
24:26
good. Yes. Yeah.
24:31
Well, I mean, you know, I mean, it's fine. It's
24:35
fine. Well, the question is, what's she going to
24:37
do from now on in? I mean, I don't
24:39
know. I have no idea. I mean, she's hearing
24:42
these crazy motions on
24:45
whether or not the special counsel
24:47
is properly constitutionally
24:49
appointed, which he clearly is.
24:52
But part of me wants like
24:54
hopes like, okay, maybe you want to
24:56
get that wrong. Maybe we want her to get that
24:58
wrong. And throw
25:01
out the case. And that would bring her
25:03
up to the court of appeals. And
25:06
maybe, maybe,
25:08
maybe, maybe they'll throw her off the case. I
25:10
mean, I think one of these days that could
25:12
happen. And, you know, one of
25:15
these days, if she does something sufficiently
25:17
screwy enough, that, I
25:19
mean, that's the best. I think
25:21
the course of justice would be best impacted
25:24
by that sequence of
25:26
event or her making one more egregious error
25:28
and getting tossed off the case. And then
25:30
maybe that's a better question. I need you
25:32
to explain this Jack Smith thing to
25:34
me because I don't really understand. So
25:36
we're recording this on Thursday. And so
25:38
on Friday, tomorrow, Cannon's holding a hearing
25:40
on the question of whether Jack Smith's
25:42
appointment as a special prosecutor was unconstitutional.
25:45
Why would it be unconstitutional? The
25:48
way, what's an issue here is the
25:50
kind of officer the
25:53
special counsel is. And the
25:55
constitution effectively distinguishes between two kinds
25:57
of officers in the executive branch.
26:00
branch, leaving apart the president and
26:02
the vice president, who are constitutional officers. The
26:05
Constitution distinguishes between principal
26:08
officers and inferior officers.
26:10
And basically what it says is that
26:13
principal officers have to be appointed by
26:15
the president, subject to the vice and
26:17
consent of the Senate. They have to
26:19
be Senate confirmed. And all
26:22
other officers, the inferior officers, they
26:25
can, there are different methods by
26:28
which Congress can designate those
26:30
people to be appointed. They can
26:32
be even appointed by judges if
26:34
Congress so chooses. In fact, U.S.
26:36
attorneys can be chosen by judges
26:38
if there is not a
26:41
Senate con from me available.
26:46
And so what the argument is
26:48
by Steve Calabresi, who's
26:50
a professor of law at
26:54
Northwestern, has this screwball argument
26:56
that he's been making since 2017, after
26:59
the Mueller
27:01
appointment, that we're arguing
27:03
that a special counsel appointed
27:07
pursuant to the Department of Justice regulations by
27:09
the attorney general is
27:11
not an inferior
27:13
officer and must be Senate confirmed. And
27:15
the argument is based on a number
27:17
of faulty premises. One of
27:19
them is that somehow, just because U.S. attorneys
27:22
are confirmed by the Senate,
27:24
then therefore they are
27:26
superior officers, not inferior
27:29
officers, and therefore a
27:33
special counsel is the equivalent. And that's just
27:35
baloney because all
27:38
it takes for somebody to be an inferior officer is
27:40
that they report to somebody. And
27:43
the U.S. attorneys report to the attorney general.
27:45
They actually don't need to be Senate confirmed
27:47
except that Congress provided that they should be
27:49
Senate confirmed. And so
27:51
the same is true of basically everybody
27:53
else who works in the Department of
27:55
Justice other than the attorney general because
27:59
everybody reports to them. the Attorney General, and the Attorney
28:01
General, of course, reports to the President. And
28:03
so there is just no decent,
28:06
no sensible argument. And
28:09
it's amazing that the court is
28:11
even holding oral argument on this.
28:13
There's no sensible argument that the
28:15
special counsel who was appointed by
28:18
the Attorney General, who can be
28:20
fired by the Attorney General, whose
28:22
office can be created, modified, or
28:24
abolished by a regulation written
28:27
by or amended by the Attorney
28:29
General. There's no basis to conclude that he's
28:31
anything but an officer that's inferior to the
28:33
Attorney General in the United States, which is
28:36
all that matters. Now, why
28:38
she's taking it that seriously? I mean, is it just
28:41
because she doesn't know any better? Is it because she's
28:43
trying to run out the clock for Trump? I
28:46
cannot tell you. It's probably some kind of,
28:48
I don't know. I mean, it's probably some
28:50
combination of motives there
28:52
that I can't quite figure out. And
28:57
this motion shouldn't be given the time of
28:59
day. I mean, it was litigated in the
29:01
Mueller era into the
29:03
D.C. Circuit, the U.S. Court of Appeals
29:06
for the District of Columbia Circuit, and
29:08
they roundly rejected it in a very,
29:10
very persuasive opinion. And there's
29:15
no argument that this
29:17
guy, I mean, who is the preacher of
29:19
the Department of Justice Regulation is not inferior
29:21
to the person
29:23
who wrote the regulation, which is the Attorney General in
29:26
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32:00
a bad argument. Because
32:02
I, you know, I mean, if he, if she grants
32:04
one of these crazy motions that he proffers
32:07
out there, I mean, and it's really
32:09
a no brainer, which
32:11
it is, you know, I think,
32:13
I think there's a chance he could get, he could get her
32:15
kicked off the case. And that would be, you know, that would
32:18
be, it's not gonna help us this year, or, you know, it's
32:20
not gonna matter this year because this case is never gonna go
32:22
to trial in 2024. But
32:24
I do believe that, you know, ultimately he should be
32:26
brought to justice for these, you know,
32:28
these are the open and shut
32:30
crimes of the century. Totally.
32:35
All right, well, we're still waiting for the
32:37
immunity decision from the Supreme Court, and we're
32:39
really close to the end. So
32:41
we should get it soon. Do you wanna make any
32:43
predictions? Like if you had any? No,
32:45
I mean, the one prediction I will make is
32:47
that he will lose, big, he
32:50
will lose his argument that there,
32:52
you know, that he has some kind of
32:55
an absolute immunity from criminal prosecution. I think
32:57
what the
32:59
wrinkle may end up being, and
33:02
I can't say for sure. I mean, it's
33:05
to read tea leaves on
33:07
exactly how everybody's gonna vote for that
33:09
oral argument transcript is a treacherous task.
33:11
But I do think there
33:13
is something to the view, and
33:17
I think the best expression of
33:20
it is from Professor Trevor Morrison
33:22
of NYU, who
33:24
basically says that he
33:26
could see the court making,
33:29
you know, saying yes, generally speaking,
33:31
there is no specialized special immunity
33:33
for the president. But
33:36
if there were a statute that
33:38
were passed or were applied
33:40
that would unduly infringe
33:46
the president's core powers, as
33:48
defined in, you know, the
33:50
famous case, the Youngstown-Thiele-Sheesar seizure
33:52
case, which is, I
33:54
think, familiar to kids
33:56
who take American government in high school. Yeah,
34:00
there could be some circumstances where it
34:03
would be unconstitutional because you would be harming
34:06
the President's ability to do his job. But
34:09
that's not even remotely at issue
34:12
here. So, you know,
34:14
I think it's very possible that we're
34:16
going to get a relatively clean decision
34:18
that will actually enable a
34:21
trial to occur sometime
34:24
in the fall. I
34:26
don't think it would be completed in the
34:28
fall, but it could easily
34:30
start in the fall. I'm not sure necessarily
34:33
that that is a good thing politically anymore.
34:35
I thought it would be a good thing
34:37
politically to get the thing going as soon
34:39
as possible. But, you know, one of the
34:41
things we saw with
34:44
the New York trial is
34:46
it kept Trump off of people's radar screens,
34:48
much the way he was platforming on Twitter
34:50
did. And so I don't know.
34:52
I don't know. I don't necessarily think
34:56
it's going to be helpful to get him off the
34:58
campaign trail. I think the American people need to see
35:00
as much of him as possible. So,
35:03
you know, I'm kind of now of
35:05
two minds of whether
35:08
I'd like the timing of the case
35:10
at this point, even if
35:12
it goes to trial before the
35:14
election. I mean, we want to see this
35:17
man babbling
35:19
and screaming and saying
35:21
crazy stuff everywhere. And
35:24
if he's tied up in a Washington courtroom playing
35:26
the victim, I don't know whether that's necessarily going
35:28
to help, particularly in a case where
35:30
the witnesses aren't going to, you know, the testimony isn't
35:33
going to be televised.
35:36
Yeah. So that's a new viewpoint.
35:38
That viewpoint of mine has
35:42
changed over time. I mean, I would have preferred to
35:45
see the trial much earlier. I think all
35:47
of these trials should have been conducted earlier.
35:49
I think the Mar-a-Lago case should have been
35:51
tried in the spring,
35:53
and he'd be guilty by now. He
35:56
doesn't have a defense in that case. So
35:58
I wish. all of these things
36:01
that happen more quickly but they haven't and you know
36:03
that's fine at the end of the day he's
36:06
gonna show his face to the American people next
36:08
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36:10
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36:12
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you can trust. Yeah
37:16
I really agree that what we saw in
37:19
the New York hushway case of him being
37:21
in the
37:23
courtroom and just like coming out and making these
37:25
statements and it keeping him off the trail it
37:27
just it kept us looking backwards at
37:29
the you
37:32
know Stormy Daniels stuff which had
37:34
literally while it was literally being
37:36
litigated it had already been litigated
37:38
in the minds of voters and
37:40
so the earlier weekend or it
37:42
is better to get people looking
37:45
forward at the things that Trump will
37:47
do in a second term he'll
37:49
be the danger he'll be and so you know
37:52
I agree
37:54
with you that's a little tricky because you do want
37:57
the salience of January 6 to
38:00
be high, you do want people to remember it, man, I'll
38:03
tell you, voters have short memories. And so,
38:05
you know, if there was something going on that was
38:07
drawing people's attention to them, I don't
38:09
remember during the January 6th committee, it
38:11
really did have a like, depressing effect on
38:13
enthusiasm for Trump. Because it is, when
38:15
people are focused on it, they're like, oh,
38:17
that was really bad, you know? Right. Yeah,
38:21
I agree with that. I just think
38:23
that taking them
38:25
off the airwaves for six weeks before the
38:27
election could actually help them. I
38:30
do think, I do think I
38:32
would like to see some proceedings in the
38:34
case, just, I mean, just speaking out of,
38:37
purely politically, I wouldn't mind seeing
38:39
something come out that reminds people of
38:42
what happened on January 6th and puts pressure on
38:44
him so that he becomes defensive
38:47
about it and starts talking about the, you
38:49
know, protecting the hostages and pardoning the hostages
38:52
and all of the crazy stuff that he
38:54
says. I think that stuff is harmful
38:56
to Trump. So
38:58
I don't know, I mean, I think it's all
39:00
gonna come out in the wash anyway. I think we're gonna
39:03
hear a lot about January 6th, I think we're gonna hear
39:05
a lot about it from Trump. I
39:07
think that, I saw something interesting
39:09
yesterday, where basically a local news reporter,
39:11
I forget where he's from, but he
39:13
was basically talking about the outreach that
39:16
Trump campaign is making to local news
39:18
organizations. And essentially, if
39:20
you talk about the stolen election, we're
39:23
not gonna talk to you, is
39:25
basically what they're being told. Because
39:28
his handlers don't want him talking about
39:30
2020, they don't want him talking
39:32
about January 6th. Now, that's
39:35
a different thing from actually keeping him from
39:37
talking about it, but they actually
39:39
want reporters in local markets to
39:46
stay away from that because they don't wanna talk about it. They
39:49
don't want him talking about it. And, you know,
39:51
I think it's the job of the rest of us
39:54
to make that conversation happen because he'll
39:56
oblige us, okay? He wants to talk
39:58
about it. And I don't think... I
40:00
think that's one of the problems that we're going to see
40:03
over the next three months,
40:06
four months, is that Trump's
40:09
people and Trump are going to
40:12
be not on the same page about what Trump
40:14
wants to talk about. Right.
40:17
But that goes back to my point I think about
40:20
everybody protecting Trump from himself. Like,
40:23
I understand why the local news organizations are
40:25
doing it, but also, you
40:28
know, really annoys sort of swing
40:30
voters when Trump talks about 2020. They're
40:33
just like bored by it and find it
40:35
aggravating. The more he does
40:37
that, the more I think he turns off swing voters
40:39
and more it's about him and his grievances, not about
40:41
issues that voters care about. And
40:43
so again, everybody's sort of protecting Trump from
40:46
himself these days. Right. And
40:48
that is helping him out, although I will say... Right.
40:51
That's why I say that the object of
40:53
the Biden campaign and everybody working against Trump
40:56
is to provoke him into talking about these things
40:59
that his people don't want him talking about. And
41:01
it's really not that hard to do. So
41:05
anyway, that's... Well, and I will leave
41:07
you and our
41:09
listeners with, you
41:12
know, we have seen post-conviction
41:14
some real movement in the polls. And,
41:17
you know, there's just a big Fox News
41:19
poll that came out yesterday, showed
41:22
a big swing among independents where Joe
41:24
Biden is now winning in that poll
41:26
up by two points. But
41:28
the most important thing is that directionally there's an
41:30
NPR Marist poll, National Poll, there's been a bunch of
41:33
polling, says the conviction that is all directionally showing Joe
41:35
Biden. Starting to tick up a little bit. And
41:38
I don't think it's about the conviction, per se. Although
41:42
I do think that is something that I think
41:44
it's about Trump coming back into frame for people. Correct. And
41:47
I think the more people... I think it's a combination, yeah. The more
41:49
people, the Donald Trump. Yeah. The less
41:51
they like him, the more they remember, oh yeah,
41:53
this guy. This guy is the worst. Oh, they
41:55
remind me of Donald Trump. Yeah. They
41:58
remind me of Donald Trump. Yeah. those
42:00
press conferences that he had, and they
42:03
had to turn those off, and oh,
42:05
all the crazy stuff during COVID, oh
42:07
my gosh, yeah, no, it's miserable.
42:09
And that's gonna be part of what's going on in
42:13
the debate like we talked about. I mean, is he
42:15
gonna go off like a lunatic like
42:17
he did four years ago, and remind everybody of what
42:19
they didn't like? And the job of
42:22
the Biden campaign is to try to get him to do
42:24
that, to bait him into doing that. It may not happen
42:26
the first time, although I think it can if
42:28
it's, I
42:31
don't think he can emotionally control himself for
42:34
long periods of time. And I think sooner or later, we're gonna
42:36
see him go off the rails. All
42:40
right, George, as always, thank you for
42:42
explaining the legal news to me and
42:44
to our listeners. Yeah,
42:46
not as much legal news as there
42:49
is. Although we got a lot of legal news
42:51
coming down the pike. Next week is gonna be
42:53
a big monster show with the immunity
42:55
case, we'll be post-debate, and so
42:57
I can't wait to talk to you then. To
43:00
our listeners, don't forget to hit subscribe, leave
43:02
us a review on your podcast app, email
43:05
us at askgeorgeatthebullwork.com, and we will see you
43:07
guys next week. Bye. Well,
43:10
George Conway, he's a man with a
43:12
plan, got to sit down with Sarah
43:14
Longwell, take a stand, explain all the
43:16
legal problems they're piling high. With
43:19
Donald Trump, oh my, oh
43:21
my, oh my.
43:24
He said, Sarah, let me break
43:26
it down for you. There's obstruction
43:28
of justice, corruption to the legal
43:30
tangles and troubles that grow in
43:32
fast. It's a storm
43:35
that's gonna last and
43:37
last. Oh, Conway,
43:40
tell Longwell about it.
43:42
Those legal problems can't live
43:44
without it. From
43:47
the moment to the Russian ties.
43:52
Oh, Sarah, listen close.
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