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It's the Lockdown Podcast
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two pigeons bemoaning the fact you
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can stream DirecTV satellite-free. DirecTV
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gives you access to apps like Netflix and
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terms. It's like that one amazing dumpster with
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one place. How am I supposed to
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and restrictions apply. It's
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up to Eric Stokes this season to
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at Fanduel, make every
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moment more. As
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That's right, there's something for everyone every
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to get started. As
3:17
I was thinking about the players with
3:20
the most on the line here, the
3:26
two names at the top of the list,
3:28
Eric Stokes and Josh Myers are
3:30
part of what
3:33
is right now a
3:35
truly terrible draft class for the Green Bay Packers.
3:41
And it is up to them and
3:43
more likely just Eric Stokes to
3:46
fix that. Now Josh Myers,
3:49
you know, I think it's possible that
3:54
he could have a good enough season to get
3:58
extended and move forward. it
4:00
doesn't seem like that's going to happen because
4:04
they're already giving Elton Jenkins snaps
4:07
at center. The
4:10
rest of this class though, let me remind
4:12
you, Eric Stokes first,
4:16
Josh Myers, Amari Rogers,
4:20
not in the NFL, Royce Newman, probably
4:23
shouldn't be in the NFL. Now TJ Slayton, I
4:26
think he's gonna get a contact extension, a fifth
4:28
round pick, that's a home run. But Shmarjahn Charles,
4:31
can't play. Colvin Landon, not on
4:33
the team. Isaiah
4:36
McDuffie, a
4:38
fine backup linebacker, a really good pick late
4:41
in the seventh round, given what
4:43
he's given them, but it's not someone
4:45
that they want in
4:47
meaningful roles for this team moving forward. They proved
4:49
it to us when they said, Edger and Cooper,
4:51
Tyron Hopper, come on down. And then
4:54
Kylan Hill, who look like the steal of this
4:56
draft class, couldn't
5:00
get his act together apparently. Having
5:05
a day three where you
5:07
get TJ Slayton and Isaiah McDuffie,
5:09
that's pretty good work. But
5:13
neither of those guys are
5:15
team building blocks. Not
5:17
really. Eric
5:21
Stokes as a rookie looked like he could
5:23
be. And
5:27
we just haven't seen it. But
5:31
in a lot of ways, he is the pivot point
5:33
of this season, not because if he's
5:36
not healthy or not good enough,
5:39
they don't have someone to put
5:41
in his plays. It
5:44
is a good option
5:46
to have to have Carrington Valentine. He,
5:49
to me, is similar to Christian Watson
5:52
in that if he is healthy, if
5:54
he plays his best, I
5:57
have such faith in
5:59
his gifts. Based on not just
6:01
college tape or or pre-draft assessment because
6:03
I didn't actually love Eric Stokes in
6:05
the pre-draft process But
6:08
watching him as a rookie the
6:10
confidence he had The
6:12
ability to not panic to play
6:14
press To
6:17
run with anyone to close down space
6:19
to get beat over the top and
6:22
close down space like no one I've ever
6:24
seen And
6:28
then It just wasn't the same
6:30
in 2022 he gets hurt He
6:33
loses much of the 2023 season
6:36
when he is out there. He was out there too
6:38
early and He gets
6:40
hurt again, then he gets back out there He
6:42
has to play way too much because they don't have any corners like
6:45
they're Everyone their own mass unit
6:47
on that part of the ball And
6:51
it just never looked right he
6:54
never looked the same If
6:59
he is what
7:01
he was as a rookie just that guy It
7:05
is an enormous benefit to this
7:07
team with Kishan Nixon and Jair
7:09
Alexander and you add Xavier McKinney
7:12
And whatever you get else out of the safeties The
7:16
secondary can be pretty good if Eric Stokes
7:18
looks like that guy If
7:22
he looks like that guy to start the season and
7:24
can become some better version of himself
7:26
after that By the
7:28
end of the season he's starting to
7:31
realize the vast potential that he has
7:34
I mean
7:37
That's a that's a I cannot understate
7:40
how vital that would be Because all
7:42
of these teams that you're gonna face
7:44
in the playoffs. They have multiple
7:48
receivers and
7:50
Defensively we talk about this all the time
7:52
every day or they know this Defense
7:57
coverage is a weak link
7:59
system You are only as
8:01
good as your worst player if
8:05
There are no weak links and
8:08
this is something that like the Patriots
8:10
are are just proof positive of
8:14
For 20 years. They were awesome
8:16
defensively without Consistent
8:20
no doubt Hall of Famer's like they had to rel Reavis for
8:22
a little bit They had some they
8:24
had some really terrific players come through there
8:28
But there's no there's no like
8:30
hey we had Brian or lacquer for 10
8:32
years Hey, we had Ray Lewis for 15 years
8:34
like they didn't have that But
8:37
what they did is always always always have a
8:39
roster full of guys who just know where to
8:41
be know what they're doing You
8:45
don't need that that high-end high-end talent,
8:47
you know, they get the
8:49
Dorell Reavis for a year They get the Stefan Gilmore
8:51
on one contract That's there
8:53
for them If
8:56
the Packers can get to that place where there's just nothing to
8:58
pick on and The
9:01
last couple years like the guy to pick on has been Joe Barry
9:04
if that's not the case anymore
9:06
Eric Stokes is such a Ceiling
9:10
razor not just a floor razor because like the floor
9:12
to me is set by
9:14
Carrington Valentine Because
9:17
if Eric Stokes isn't good enough, you have Carrington
9:19
Valentine who in year two
9:21
he's gotten bigger. He's gotten stronger That
9:24
is Your baseline, you
9:26
know, you're gonna get at least that but
9:29
Eric Stokes can take them to the moon
9:31
because that's where his potential is and This
9:34
2020 draft or 2021 draft. Excuse me It
9:40
looked in the moment Like
9:42
the Packers press there were there were misses
9:46
All over the place and in real time. It was like Some
9:49
of the ones in the middle rounds especially now TJ Slayton
9:51
again, it turns out he's a useful player He's gonna start
9:53
this year for the Packers This
9:56
was not a good draft of
10:00
right now. But if Eric Stokes hits
10:03
his potential this year by
10:06
the end of the season is playing like the guy who
10:08
is the more fully realized version of the guy we saw
10:10
in 2019 as a rookie. Then
10:12
you come out of it with a backup guard, a
10:16
starting defensive lineman, a linebacker that if
10:18
he doesn't start is a quality backup
10:20
for you and a starting caliber
10:22
corner. That's a great draft.
10:26
That's a great draft.
10:30
But if Eric Stokes can't play, can't stay healthy,
10:34
it goes from a great draft to a bad
10:37
draft because you have no
10:39
real impact players. And
10:44
when you're about to pay the quarterback
10:46
a bazillion dollars, you
10:49
just can't afford to have that. And that's the reality
10:51
where the Packers find themselves right now. Luckily, Brian
10:53
Utikins, it appears 2022, 2023, those look like 2023, especially looks like
11:02
they look like incredible
11:05
drafts. We'll
11:07
see about this latest one. But they need something
11:12
out of Eric Stokes. And if they get it, if they get it, Eric Stokes can take them
11:14
over the top. That's
11:20
the beauty of it. He can take them
11:22
over the top. Now,
11:29
the interesting thing about the last couple of drafts being so good and Eric Stokes
11:31
being such a pivotal person in the 2021 draft is if you go back and
11:33
look, the draft's the story. The
11:39
draft's to start the Brian Utikins era. It's
11:45
not great. And we're going to look at next
11:47
on locked on Packers. of
12:00
the original cost. An example, our Augusta
12:02
model, normally $42,450, is being sold for
12:04
$16,500. Our
12:10
Biloxi model, normally $36,825, is being sold for $14,500.
12:12
This includes delivery, excluding
12:20
California, Oregon, Washington, Arizona, Idaho,
12:22
Alaska, and Hawaii, but we
12:25
will pay partial shipping to
12:27
those states. These kits
12:29
have not been manufactured and there is no
12:31
time limit on delivery. This
12:33
is a log home kit that
12:35
includes complete blueprints from foundation details
12:37
to roof stack sheets and a
12:39
construction manual. Any do-it-yourself or
12:42
builder can erect the logs. Kits
12:44
do not include any part of
12:46
roof, windows, or doors. Please
12:48
call 704-602-3035 for availability. You
12:55
can also visit
12:57
our website at
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www.americanloghomesandcabins.com. Today's
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episode brought to you by our friends at
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Fanduel. I love sports. I love them
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so much I never want them to stop, but
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with the playoffs over, we
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get fewer games and
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the sports aren't sportsing like I want
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them to. But Fanduel lets me
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Fanduel, official sports betting partner of
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going to talk about some stuff Brian Guttekin doesn't. want
14:00
you to hear about in just a second. Are
14:04
you watching Fox Sports or ESPN on your TV all day?
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Have to turn down the volume with all
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that shouting? Make the switch to Lockdown Sports
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app, part of the Lockdown
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Podcast Network. You're a team every
14:29
day. So
14:32
I went back and was
14:35
looking and every once in a while I
14:37
like to go back and see
14:42
as I go through the models and the different things
14:45
that the packers look for, the drafts, I like to
14:47
go back to the drafts and just sort of reassess
14:50
what's going on. And
14:52
the first Brian Utikin's draft, he
14:57
absolutely nails Jair Alexander and
15:00
then gets the future first. It
15:03
is about as virtuosic
15:07
a start as a drafter as
15:10
you can get. Ted
15:14
Thompson took Aaron Rogers. This
15:17
is a organization
15:20
that just must have a thing.
15:22
But Josh Jackson, nothing.
15:25
Orham Burks, not on the
15:27
team. He's a fine player, but they traded up in the third
15:29
round for him. J.M.
15:33
Moore couldn't play. J.K.
15:35
Scott, they used a draft pick on a punter
15:37
he couldn't play. They
15:40
used a draft pick on Hunter Bradley, he couldn't play
15:42
as a long snapper. They
15:45
drafted three receivers, only one of them
15:47
turned into a meaningful contributor. That was
15:49
Mark Wizz, Valor Scaling. The rest, James
15:51
Looney, Kendall Donnerson. Now you
15:53
get an all pro in a draft. That's
15:55
nice. And
15:58
you get an all pro plus a robo.
16:00
rotation-level receiver a Rotation
16:03
level receiver that now two championship
16:06
caliber teams have decided we're
16:08
good But
16:10
that another championship caliber team is like we
16:12
need that guy It's
16:16
because you get the future first out of it
16:19
you have to say it worked But
16:22
it's not a great draft by any means 2019
16:28
got better right Roshan Gary a
16:30
little head scratching in the moment, but we've seen what he's become
16:33
Darnell Savage The lauded
16:35
pick in the moment. He's no longer on the team
16:38
Part of that is I think usage part of that is
16:40
money Some of the things they had
16:42
to do this contract to make all the numbers work Part
16:45
of the reason why I don't think he ever came back, but then you hit
16:47
on that one Jenkins absolutely, no doubt you
16:51
hit on Kingsley Kiki and and
16:53
then It
16:56
doesn't it doesn't go great he
16:58
gets essentially kicked off the team After
17:04
that like tie summers a nice special teams player, it's
17:07
for Sean Gary and Ellen Jenkins. Those are two core
17:10
members of your team But
17:13
it's certainly not how you build a franchise
17:18
For the long term you need more success
17:21
than that now If you
17:23
if you make sure like if you find a
17:25
gyro Alexander and we're Sean Gary
17:27
and an Elton Jenkins in Three
17:29
drafts or two drafts three guys three core pieces
17:31
three of the best players on your team We're
17:33
doing over the leap things that I would love
17:35
for you to subscribe to we're doing our top
17:37
90 players. I Promise
17:40
you those three guys are gonna be in the top ten and
17:44
They are in the top ten at their respective
17:46
positions like they're really really good players But
17:51
you it just doesn't work to build
17:53
the roster that way We
17:57
talked about 2021 Now,
18:02
the 2020 draft, you
18:05
may recall Jordan Love. That's
18:08
a home run. And I said at the
18:10
time, it doesn't matter what else
18:12
happens in this draft. Getting
18:15
Jordan Love, if he's good, makes
18:18
it a good draft. Well,
18:21
that's still, I still think that's true, especially because
18:23
Jordan Love has exceeded even my
18:25
expectations of what he could be. I
18:31
mean, the rest of this, AJ Dillon
18:34
got a one year special
18:36
dispensation deal. Josiah
18:38
Deguara, gone.
18:42
Camille Martin, long gone. John Runyon Jr,
18:44
gone. And
18:47
the rest of the, Jonathan Garvin has a very
18:49
nice career playing professional football, not in the NFL.
18:53
Do you even remember what happened to Simon
18:55
Stepanek? There
18:58
was that moment when it seems like Vernon Scott was going to get
19:00
an opportunity. That was a fun
19:02
four minutes. It
19:05
really was an up and down
19:07
run for Brian Gudekins to start his drafting. And
19:12
the players that he hit, he hit monster,
19:16
monster. But
19:18
the 2021 draft, which is the
19:20
last draft we can fairly assess
19:24
because you need three years and
19:26
really you probably only need two. So we have a good
19:28
idea, the 2022 draft, like Zach Tom,
19:30
really good. We know that. We
19:35
have question marks on Sean Ryan, on Romeo Dobbs,
19:37
on Christian Watson, on Quay Walker, on Devontae Wyatt.
19:39
That's why it takes three years. This is a
19:41
pivot point year for that group too. I
19:45
think that group has the most to gain of
19:48
anyone as we head toward training camp. We're
19:50
going to talk about that to close the show. In
19:57
the first handful of seasons, this did not go great. And
19:59
one of the reasons why I bring this up is
20:02
first of all I wanted to highlight Eric Stokes, but
20:06
as much of a heater as I
20:08
think Brian Gudekind has been on, 22,
20:11
23 especially, it just
20:15
ebbs and flows. That's
20:17
just how it works. There is no
20:19
science and
20:23
you're going to have stretches where
20:26
you only hit on a couple of
20:28
guys. You only hit
20:30
on Jair Alexander, Rashawn Gary, Jordan
20:32
Love and Elton Jenkins, all
20:37
core players, mostly
20:39
premium positions and
20:41
we're talking about guys who are like pro bowl, all
20:44
pro cal... like Elton Jenkins is an all pro caliber
20:47
player. Jair Alexander is an all
20:49
pro caliber player. Rashawn Gary, pro
20:51
bowl caliber player I think in
20:54
this game has a chance to get in
20:56
that all pro conversation. Jordan Love has a chance to
20:59
get into that all pro conversation. If
21:01
you hit, you better hit big, but
21:04
in 2022, it's depth, it's all these other
21:06
guys, 2023, is
21:09
there a super duper star from the 2023 draft? We'll
21:14
see, but like Jaden Reed, Luke
21:16
Musgrave, Tucker Crafton, Tavian Wynn, Karl Brooks, Lucas
21:18
Van Ness, up and down the line, these
21:21
guys, it's like we know already they're good
21:23
NFL players. That's
21:25
crazy. We know
21:27
already they're good NFL players and
21:31
they can be even better. You have to have
21:33
both. You have to have the years where you
21:35
hit on at least one stud if you're not going
21:37
to get the depth and then you're going to have
21:39
to get lucky in a draft where
21:41
you do what Brian Gudakins did in 2023 and
21:44
like hit all of them, like all
21:46
of those guys. They're not just
21:48
starting the way that Ted Thompson guys used to
21:50
just start because he refused to add in free
21:53
agency. But we know Brian Gudakins will add in
21:55
free agency. They're all going to
21:57
start because they're good or they're going
21:59
to play meaningful roles. because they're good.
22:03
We don't even know who the best receiver on this team is. And
22:06
there are reasonable arguments for like four
22:08
guys. And
22:13
two of them were drafted in 2023. Two
22:16
more were drafted in 2022. You
22:22
have to have both.
22:27
Now, there are heavy
22:30
expectations for all
22:32
these players because there has to be, because they
22:34
need them to perform on cheap contracts. The
22:39
2022 class right now is
22:41
in the same position that Eric Stokes and Josh Myers
22:43
and those guys were in last year. The
22:46
Packers have decisions to make. And
22:50
if those players turn out to be good, they're
22:53
going to get contracts. That's
22:55
why they have the most to gain this
22:59
year. We're going to talk about it next on
23:01
Lockdown Packers. The
23:25
$26,825 is being sold for $14,500. This
23:31
includes delivery, excluding California, Oregon,
23:34
Washington, Arizona, Idaho, Alaska, and
23:36
Hawaii. But we will pay
23:38
partial shipping to those States.
23:41
These kits have not been manufactured and
23:43
there's no time limit on delivery. This
23:46
is a log home kit that
23:48
includes complete blueprints from foundation details
23:50
to roof, stack sheets, and a
23:52
construction manual. Any do it
23:54
yourself or a builder can erect the
23:56
logs. Kits do not include any part
23:58
of roof, windows, or. Please
24:01
call 704-602-3035 for availability. You
24:07
can also visit
24:10
our website at
24:12
www.americanloghomesandcabinets.com. Today's
24:16
episode brought to you by our friends at
24:19
BetterHelp. Sometimes
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we will compare ourselves to other people. To
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other people. And they
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now available on the free Fire TV Channels
25:49
app. A
25:51
lot of this is timing. And
25:55
so in a year, the
25:57
Packers have to decide on Daunte Wyatt and Clay
25:59
Walker's. Fifth year options In
26:04
a year It's
26:06
going to be time to start discussing Romeo
26:08
Dobbs and Christian Watson extensions
26:14
Same for Zach Tom What
26:18
is the future of Sean Ryan now remember The
26:21
first round guys they get the four-year contract
26:23
with the fifth year option everyone else. It's
26:25
four years and If
26:28
you're a core player You
26:31
are not going into year four of
26:33
a four-year deal, which
26:36
will be 2025 On
26:39
a lame duck year you are getting paid especially if you
26:41
are like not just a core
26:43
special team or if you're Christian Watson
26:46
you become one of the wide receiver one or
26:48
wide receiver two And
26:50
that becomes clear or if quay Walker takes a
26:52
step forward. He's gonna get Starting
26:55
linebacker money eventually they can just pick
26:57
up his fifth year option first But
27:00
all those decisions are coming. They
27:03
will be they will have been made by this time next
27:05
year We'll know if Sean
27:07
Ryan is part of the future in Green Bay We'll
27:11
know What the Packers
27:13
think of quay Walker and Devontae Wyatt are they?
27:16
foundational pieces for the Green Bay Packers Where
27:20
does Christian Watson and
27:22
Romeo Dobbs fit into the
27:25
Packers pecking order and hierarchy and
27:27
where does Zach Tom? Fit
27:33
into the NFL landscape as one
27:35
of the best offensive linemen in the league because He's
27:37
gonna want a lot of money and he's going to
27:39
deserve a lot of money Kingsley
27:42
and Ibarra a Rotational pass
27:44
rusher is someone gonna pay him to be
27:46
a starting pass rusher. I Think
27:49
he could do that. I think he'd be a good starter
27:51
on there are some teams right now today He could walk
27:54
into their rooms and upgrade their rooms as
27:56
the starter He's
27:58
like outside linebacker for the I'm
28:01
going to get the verbiage down
28:03
by the time we open. By
28:06
the time we open training camp. But
28:12
that means there's a lot on the line and a lot to gain.
28:15
A lot to gain. Yes, the
28:17
packers gained by those players doing well.
28:21
But in the case of the receivers, for example, they
28:23
have answers. In the
28:25
case of Kway Walker, they have answers.
28:28
In the case of Devontae Wyatt, you
28:30
know, Kenny Clark, Carl
28:32
Brooks, and it may be the case. The
28:35
Packers are waiting on Kenny Clark. Because
28:39
they want to see what Devontae Wyatt has. And if
28:41
in the first six, eight games, he's
28:44
not doing much. Maybe
28:47
they'll cut the check then. Now, it seems like Vontae Wyatt's not even
28:49
going to be a starter. So I don't even know what we're talking
28:51
about here. Just pay Kenny Clark. I still
28:53
don't know why we're waiting on this. It's probably
28:55
the Jordan Love thing. You want to get it done. Know
28:58
what the cap looks like. OK, boom. Here
29:00
comes the Kenny Clark extension.
29:05
But then that makes the decision on Devontae Wyatt really interesting
29:07
because you have to pay him. That.
29:13
Starter level money that comes with the fifth
29:15
year option. To
29:18
maybe not be a starter. And if
29:20
you want the space heater with
29:22
T.J. Slayton next to Kenny Clark, Ken
29:25
Devontae Wyatt and Kenny Clark play together. And if you're
29:27
going to extend Kenny Clark, then why
29:29
would you use the fifth year option on Devontae
29:31
Wyatt if he's a backup? Like that doesn't make
29:34
any sense. So there's a
29:36
there's a lot of the line here financially for these
29:38
guys, too. But
29:40
it's it's about the future of the
29:42
team as well. The Packers have decisions to make.
29:44
And so they're going to have to learn a
29:46
lot about these guys in, you know, 17 games
29:49
is not a lot of time. I understand you're hoping that it's
29:51
1920 games, right? But.
29:55
You never know what you're going to get. And
29:57
so these guys, Christian, why don't
30:00
you? can make a boatload of money. If he's
30:02
the number one option in this offense, I've
30:04
said it before, I'll say it again, they can be the best
30:06
team in the league offensively.
30:10
They can be, and I think he
30:12
has the talent to be one
30:14
of the best receivers in the league. Those
30:16
guys make $30 million a year. Maybe
30:19
the Packers don't wanna pay that, but if
30:23
he's that good, you gotta do it. So
30:26
there's a lot to
30:28
be gained from those guys this year. They
30:34
might look at it as a lot to prove, and
30:37
that is true to a point as well, but
30:39
there's a lot to gain here too. All
30:43
right, we are a little bit of
30:45
a modified schedule this week with the fourth, but we
30:47
are gonna have shows, at
30:49
least I think four shows this week. The
30:52
last one will come out on the fourth, listen
30:54
to it over the course of the weekend if you want, but
30:56
we're still gonna be here the rest of the week. We'll
31:00
be a little bit lighter next week because I will be with
31:03
family, so it's
31:06
July. It's July, we
31:08
made it to training camp month, but it's
31:10
three weeks away, and I don't want
31:12
this show to be homework when everyone should be enjoying
31:15
their summers too. So back
31:17
tomorrow, much more on locked on Packers as
31:19
always. Follow me on Twitter, Peter Underskorbukowski. Follow
31:21
the podcast on Twitter, locked on Packers. Like
31:23
us on Facebook, subscribe to the podcast, iTunes,
31:26
Spotify, Google podcasts, wherever you find podcasts, you'll
31:28
find locked on Packers. And anytime you wanna
31:30
come hang out with us over on our
31:32
social medias, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube, you
31:35
can subscribe there so you can stay locked
31:37
on Packers. American
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