Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:00
This podcast is supported by Apollo
0:02
Global Management, ensuring a brighter, bolder
0:04
future means investing in tomorrow today.
0:07
That's why Apollo is financing solutions
0:09
to some of the world's most
0:11
complex challenges. Apollo's customized capital solutions
0:14
for businesses help drive innovation and
0:16
growth, powering a more resilient future.
0:18
Apollo, investing in tomorrow today. Learn
0:21
more at apollo.com. When
0:24
you buy Kroger brand products, you
0:26
feel like you're winning. That's
0:29
because they offer proven quality at lower
0:31
than low prices. In
0:33
fact, we guarantee that you and
0:35
your family will love how Kroger brand
0:37
products taste. Or you get your money back.
0:40
So next time you're shopping for the
0:42
family, look for delicious Kroger brand
0:44
products. Because they'll make you all
0:46
feel like you're winning. Shop now,
0:49
in store or online. Kroger.
0:51
Fresh for everyone. Bloomberg
0:57
Audio Studios. Podcasts,
0:59
radio, news. Hello
1:05
and welcome to the Money Stuff Podcast,
1:07
your weekly podcast where we talk about
1:09
stuff you lead into money. I'm
1:12
Matt Levine and I write the Money Stuff column for
1:14
Bloomberg opinion. And I'm Katie Greifel, a
1:16
reporter for Bloomberg News and an anchor for
1:18
Bloomberg Television. What's going
1:21
on, Katie? We're going to talk about trader school
1:23
and hedge funds. Then we're going to talk about
1:26
fake M&A. And then we're
1:28
going to talk about kind of M&A. Real
1:31
but weird. Let's get to it.
1:33
Let's get into it. So
1:37
trader school, we're talking about 0.72, Citadel,
1:39
the list goes on, other giant hedge
1:44
funds basically creating an in-house
1:46
trading school to turn their
1:48
nines into perfect tens. Yes,
1:50
this is a Bloomberg News
1:52
big take article today, yesterday.
1:56
It doesn't matter. Time is a construct as we
1:58
keep going over. a big take article
2:00
at Bloomberg about how these hedge funds are
2:03
building their own in-house trading schools. Here we
2:05
are talking about it. Yeah.
2:07
Reading this, I kind of
2:10
feel like shouldn't you have an in-house
2:12
training program anyway? So a couple points on that.
2:14
One is that, no, historically, all
2:17
of the buy side used to hire
2:19
from the sell side, right? It used
2:21
to be that if you're a hedge
2:23
fund, the way you acquired new talent
2:25
was from the banks. What's
2:27
happening here is the banks are less of
2:29
a source of talent for these places, in
2:31
part because banks get rid of prop trading,
2:33
and so the ability to source good risk
2:35
takers from banks has gone down, but also
2:37
in part because these places have gotten huge,
2:39
and it's just like you're not looking to
2:42
identify one good trader from somewhere. You're looking
2:44
to mass produce them, and so having a training
2:46
program is kind of a new need for these
2:48
big firms. It used to be a hedge fund
2:50
was like one manager, and when that manager got
2:52
rich enough, the program went
2:54
away. So having this very institutional
2:56
structure is kind of a new thing, and
2:59
so you need a training program. The other
3:01
thing about it, though, is not just training
3:03
incoming people to be good analysts. It's taking
3:05
the people who are analysts and have been
3:08
there for a while and trying to find
3:10
out if they will be good portfolio
3:13
managers and promoting them to being portfolio managers
3:15
as carefully and scientifically as you can. So instead
3:18
of being like, yeah, you've been here a while,
3:20
here at Manager Book, it's like taking
3:23
the analysts and seeing if they'd be good at
3:25
managing a book and teaching them how to manage
3:27
a book. So two points. So we're
3:30
talking about it as Trader School, and the
3:32
article talks about it as Trader School. What's
3:34
more fun to me is this
3:36
sort of dystopian vision where it's actually
3:38
just like a factory and you're just
3:41
putting this person into the machine. It
3:43
does some combination of lights and sounds
3:45
and things to the person that they
3:47
spit out as this stock
3:49
picker. Well, that is sort of how these
3:51
things are supposed to work, right? The idea of
3:54
these multi-strategy hedge funds is they're very scientifically managed
3:56
and they really carefully monitor your trading and they
3:58
make sure you're not just doing it neutral to
4:00
all the factors. And if your portfolio goes down by a
4:02
little bit, they like pull some capital. And if it goes
4:04
down by a little bit more, they fire you. You
4:07
know, it is like an alpha factory, right? It is
4:09
like trying to somewhat dehumanize the
4:11
management of traders. So yeah, it is a
4:13
machine that flashes some lights at you. But
4:15
wait, I also wanna take it seriously as
4:17
a school. Because I would like
4:19
to go to trader school. I wanna audit a class at
4:22
trader school. I don't think I would do very well. So
4:24
I don't wanna receive a grade at the end, but I
4:27
would like to see what happens. Apparently
4:29
they grade them out of 10, right? Yeah, right.
4:32
Usually the analysts come in as nines and they're supposed
4:35
to leave as 10 portfolio managers. I think I'd come
4:37
in at like a two. I
4:39
was gonna say I'd be a solid one,
4:41
maybe a two on a good day and
4:43
maybe come out as a four. I'm
4:45
in a point of four, yeah. A point of four as reasonable.
4:48
Two points on that. One is
4:50
that I hope that by saying that
4:52
you wanna audit a class at trader school, you
4:55
have manifested that and that we will be invited
4:57
to audit a class at point 72 or set
4:59
it over. Anyone's
5:02
trader school, any multi-strategy hedge fund that wants
5:04
to have us audit a class at trader
5:06
school and maybe do some field
5:08
recording. Doesn't even have to be top tier, we
5:10
go. We don't need to
5:12
go to like the Ivy League of trader school.
5:15
I'd be willing to go in state, but yeah.
5:18
I would love to do that. That
5:20
would be our first like field podcast
5:22
recording. I feel like we'd learn a lot at trader
5:24
school and so would our listeners. And so would possibly the hedge
5:26
fund that hosts us. I mean, point
5:28
72 sounds like it is the place
5:31
to go because the article mentions that
5:33
more than half of Steve Cohen's stock
5:35
pickers have come through its program rather
5:38
than big expensive outside hires that they've
5:40
had to make. It does seem
5:42
a lot cheaper to run a trader school than to pay
5:44
someone a $50 million guarantee to come be
5:47
a portfolio manager. Yeah, I mean, maybe
5:49
it's less good for you, that star stock
5:51
picker, because you know. Right. It's like you're like
5:53
on the rookie contract, right? Like you get paid like
5:55
an employee rather than in a bidding war for your
5:57
talent. Yeah. The other thing about trader school is my.
6:00
dream has always been to do my job as like I
6:02
write my newsletter for like I do my podcast
6:04
right thank you six months of the year and
6:07
then I go like intern
6:10
in a financial job somewhere for six months
6:12
of the year like wouldn't that be fun
6:14
I feel like this company would
6:16
let you do whatever you want I know but like
6:18
who would hire me for that like who like
6:20
hopefully some of our listeners but who would be
6:22
like oh yeah come like do a bad job
6:24
at our job for six months and then go
6:26
write about it right heavy-handed section
6:29
we've ever I know please have
6:31
us come into your thing yeah I didn't mean
6:33
it that way it's so it's hard to know
6:35
what these jobs are like unless
6:37
you've done them in some way yeah and I
6:39
feel like I could learn a lot by like
6:42
spending a few months me too I
6:44
mean I feel like I was born and raised
6:46
inside this building I think I've been here since
6:48
I was 23 years
6:50
old isn't the point of
6:52
journalism to go out and have broadening experiences
6:54
and really get to know the industries and
6:56
the people that you cover yeah and
6:59
I've had some jobs in finance and that was nice
7:01
but I haven't had all the jobs in finance yeah
7:03
you know I'd like to you know manage a little
7:05
portfolio for 4.72 I feel like that could be
7:07
good I feel like that's something you do
7:10
in high school right you sign up and have like
7:12
a paper portfolio well I think the traders school
7:14
is to train them to run a real portfolio
7:16
but yeah some of these schools do have you
7:18
run a paper portfolio yeah I think I bought
7:20
like shares of Hot Topic okay that sounds right
7:22
yeah I feel like this is at least the second
7:24
appearance of Hot Topic on this show I
7:27
spent a lot of time at Hot Topic what else
7:29
should we say about this I mean again it seems
7:31
like a cheaper way of doing things there's
7:34
a lot of conversation in this article about
7:36
the talent war going on in hedge funds
7:38
right now I think that it's
7:40
just like these funds pay so much to
7:42
portfolio managers they charge clients so
7:45
much there's so much demand for this and
7:47
I think part of it is like these
7:49
are places that are pretty
7:51
good at identifying Alpha
7:53
and being able to say like we can
7:55
strip out all the elements of luck and
7:57
market exposure and just identify who is skillful
8:00
at managing investments, and then we can
8:02
offer you that sort of pure uncut
8:04
investment skill. And the clients apparently love
8:06
that because it's uncorrelated to everything else
8:08
and it usually goes up. And
8:10
so they're willing to pay basically whatever fees
8:12
these funds charge. And given
8:15
that, it's clear that there's the shortage of people
8:17
who can generate alpha. And it's
8:20
not clear that that would be like a natural shortage,
8:22
right? It's just like, there's only so many people who've
8:24
like come through the pipeline of becoming portfolio managers at
8:26
.72 or whatever. So if you
8:28
can train more of them, like you're
8:31
filling this like enormous unmet demand, and you
8:33
can make a lot of money, right? If
8:35
you can like bring someone in cheaply and
8:37
turn them into a $50 million a year
8:39
portfolio manager, like, yeah, it's a great business.
8:42
I don't think I have any ideas, but
8:44
wouldn't it be fun to like do a
8:46
thought exercise of like, what would your trading
8:48
school look like? Like, what are they learning
8:50
in trading school classes? What are they learning in
8:52
training school classes? So I think that we're sort of exaggerating by
8:54
saying this is trading school, right? Like this is like- But isn't
8:56
it fun to go along this flight of fancy? Sure.
8:58
So I think that this is like a
9:01
lot of it is like some sort of
9:03
combination of like actual classes and like mentorship
9:05
and meetings and whatnot for like existing analysts
9:07
who want to move into portfolio manager roles
9:09
where they're trying to figure out if they'd
9:11
actually be good at it. But I will
9:13
say there are people who run trading schools
9:16
and those people are the big prop trading
9:18
firms, right? Oh, I thought you were going to say
9:20
the people that keep trying to scam you on Instagram. Oh
9:22
yeah. I don't think those people even run
9:25
trading schools. I think those people just run
9:27
Instagram ads. But no, like Jane Street and
9:29
Susquehanna and all those sort of big prop
9:31
trading firms are very invested in training people
9:33
how to think like traders because you can't
9:35
really hire people out of school who know
9:37
how to do that. If you're hiring investment
9:39
bankers, it's like some combination of like, can
9:41
they do a DCF model and like, will
9:44
they work really hard? And there are ways
9:46
to figure that out. But knowing if people
9:48
are good at operating under uncertainty and like
9:50
estimating probabilities in their head and sort of
9:53
being decisive and like taking risks in the right way is
9:55
just harder. And so a lot of what these firms do,
9:57
both in their like lay out, they're like, they're like, they're
9:59
like, they're like, lengthy interview process and
10:01
then like in their internship programs is
10:03
like they sit them down to like
10:05
play poker every night and they play
10:07
like fake trading games where they evaluate
10:09
their ability to like make these decisions.
10:11
So it's a really like very organized
10:14
trading school where they're trying to see
10:16
who is like overconfident, who
10:18
is too timid and who has like the right
10:20
ability to take risk. There were
10:22
some examples in the big take at Citadel
10:25
for example trainees are taught how to back
10:27
pitches from colleagues lower down the food chain.
10:29
At Ballet Asney they
10:31
get a limited pot of cash then they
10:34
have to deliver returns that match or beat
10:36
the firm's older hands. Point 72 wants its
10:38
cadre to think like CEOs meaning they'll need
10:40
to create and run a book of ideas
10:42
all while getting total buy-in from their teams.
10:44
That doesn't quite fit my
10:46
fantasy of my dream trading school. Right
10:48
because this is not really a trading school.
10:51
This is a like developing... It's like soft
10:53
skills. Yeah it's like developing like senior portfolio
10:55
managers. Like that's a management job, that's an
10:57
investing job, but it's also like a risk-taking
10:59
job. Whereas like if you're like a 22
11:01
year old at Jane Street you're being taught
11:03
to have... Indian options. Yeah. Yeah.
11:06
Right. There's great stories in Michael Lewis's book
11:08
Going Infinite about... Who? Just kidding. About
11:11
Sam Beckman Fried's training
11:14
days or internship days at Jane Street where
11:16
he like learned to like make
11:18
positive expected value coin flip bets with his
11:20
fellow interns right. Part of the goal of
11:23
the training program was to like have
11:25
the interns bet against each other and sort of see
11:27
who was good at betting and who was good at
11:30
like finding and exploiting edges. I would
11:32
not want to go to that trading school, but
11:34
I like the idea of the trading school as
11:36
a sort of like Darwinian fight between the interns
11:38
for like, you know, there's only so many jobs
11:40
and whatever intern can like out trade the fellow
11:42
interns gets the job, you know. See
11:44
again that's something I would like to audit since I
11:46
would do terribly in that program, but boy would it
11:48
be fun to watch. Right. Right.
11:50
I find it stressful. Yeah.
12:00
Apollo Global Management. When it comes
12:02
to building and financing stronger businesses,
12:04
Apollo turns some of the world's
12:06
most complex challenges into growth opportunities.
12:09
Apollo's customized capital solutions help drive
12:11
innovation and growth, turning the great
12:13
businesses of today into leaders of
12:16
tomorrow. As one of the world's
12:18
largest alternative asset managers, Apollo is
12:20
helping to fuel the real economy
12:22
by generating investment grade credit, helping
12:24
to fill gaps in America's financial
12:27
ecosystem and providing greater access to
12:29
more resilient and diverse pools of
12:31
capital. By providing companies with access
12:33
to flexible financing solutions and partnering
12:35
with management teams to help grow
12:37
their businesses, Apollo is there every
12:39
step of the way to drive
12:41
positive outcomes for companies and power
12:43
economic growth. Apollo, investing
12:46
in tomorrow today. Learn
12:48
more at apollo.com/private investment
12:50
grade. Meet
12:52
Gary. Gary's about to become an Einstein
12:54
in an instant. Whoa, Einstein
12:57
hair, I like it. That's
12:59
right Gary, because you're using Salesforce
13:01
powered by Einstein AI to connect
13:03
data, predict business trends, generate personalized
13:05
content and wow customers. I do
13:07
feel a lot smarter. Because you're not
13:10
just Gary anymore, you are Gary
13:12
empowered by Einstein AI. Did you
13:14
hear that team? I'm an Einstein. Oh,
13:16
can I get a selfie? The number
13:19
one AI CRM. Now everyone's in Einstein
13:21
with Salesforce. I
13:23
would find fake M&A stressful. Yeah,
13:33
this is so good. Virgin Orbit,
13:36
a space company, went bankrupt like last year.
13:39
But before that, it sort of announced that it was
13:41
in its last stages, like it furloughed all of its
13:43
employees. And this guy
13:45
named Matthew Brown sent them a LinkedIn
13:47
message being like, hey, I would like to
13:49
invest $200 million in your company. And they
13:51
were like, hey, great, that sounds good. Thank
13:53
God. And they like negotiated the deal with
13:56
him. And eventually the deal
13:58
fell apart. probably because
14:00
he didn't have the money. SEC
14:02
brought a case against him this week, certainly
14:05
claiming he didn't have the money. And in fact, he
14:08
sent a screenshot of his bank account showing
14:10
like $182 million to Virgin Orville, but
14:13
it was a doctored screenshot and actually it had less than
14:15
$1. Strange
14:17
amount of money to have in your bank account.
14:19
Yeah, quite a discrepancy. So, deal
14:22
fell apart and the SEC sued him for
14:24
fraud saying that it was a fake takeover
14:26
offer. But what I think about it
14:28
is like, I read a lot about fake takeover offers
14:30
and they're all the same, which is that someone buys
14:32
stock in a company and then puts out a press
14:34
release saying, hey, I'm taking this company over and the
14:36
stock goes up and they sell the stock and then
14:38
they fizzle away. But this guy did
14:40
not do that. He did not buy stock in
14:42
the company. He did not put out a press
14:44
release. He might've just been doing it for fun.
14:46
This upsets me because I don't understand the
14:48
motivation. So he says it's real, right? I mean,
14:50
he gave a statement saying, no, no. The SEC case
14:52
is full of misrepresentations. I love his statement, actually. Let
14:55
me read it for you. The SEC's
14:57
complaint is filled with egregious errors, fabrications
15:00
and biased allegations that undeniably
15:03
favor the culprit and the
15:05
culprit is Virgin Orbit's management. I
15:08
love that he says that they're the
15:10
culprit here for doing due diligence. Yeah,
15:12
right. I mean, I have talked to
15:14
previous fake takeover guys and they're like,
15:17
why won't this company take my calls?
15:19
I'm offering to give them all this money as soon
15:21
as I can raise it. But the company won't take
15:23
my calls. Virgin took his calls. They signed an NDA.
15:25
They sent up a term sheet. They like sat down
15:27
and negotiated a deal with him. Eventually
15:30
started asking questions like, do you actually have this
15:32
money? Could you put it in escrow? And he
15:34
walked away. But I don't know, it was the
15:36
motivation. He says it was real.
15:38
I would like to think that he just
15:40
wanted to be on TV. He did this
15:42
thing and he did eventually get
15:44
on CNBC to talk about his proposed deal.
15:47
He could have just started a fake AI company
15:49
and gotten on TV that way. But
15:51
this is so fun. I don't know. There are a lot
15:53
of ways to get on television, but this is a good
15:55
one. And you grew up in this building. I grew up
15:58
as an M&A lawyer. And I always thought that like. drama
16:00
of negotiating deals was kind of interesting and exciting. And
16:02
he not only got to go on TV to talk
16:05
about his deal, he got to like actually negotiate a
16:07
deal. Like he like got a term sheet, he was
16:09
like doing calls with the CEO. He
16:11
had a lawyer involved, but he's like, let's not bring
16:13
the lawyers into this too much. I'll just negotiate this
16:16
deal together. So I don't know, seems
16:18
like it would be fun. I would totally role
16:20
play negotiating an M&A deal. This is another thing
16:22
I would do. Besides go to trader's school, I
16:24
would role play negotiating M&A deals for fun. And
16:27
this guy might've done that. I would find
16:29
that so enormously stressful. Not if you
16:31
knew you weren't gonna do the deal. That's
16:34
true. You know, oh, you know, instead of
16:36
$200 million, like $210 million, you're like sure,
16:38
$210 million. I'm not paying
16:40
that money anyway. But the other thing is like
16:42
the SEC claims that what he was trying to do was
16:45
extract money out of Virgin. So
16:47
what happened is that, you know, he
16:50
was like, I'll put in $200 million. And then
16:52
at some point he sent them an email complaining that the
16:54
deal had leaked. This is before
16:56
he went on TV, unclear whether the deal
16:58
leaked, but he said, I want a breakup fee.
17:00
So if this deal doesn't go through for
17:02
any reason, if I can't actually invest the
17:04
$200 million, I want you to pay
17:06
me like 3%, like $6 million, right? Which
17:10
is an unusual ask. But
17:12
even people get breakup fees, but not for like deciding not
17:15
to do the deal. But if it had
17:17
worked, if Virgin Orbit had said, sure, we'll give you
17:19
$6 million. If you can't give
17:21
us the $200 million, then
17:23
he might've walked away with $6 million. But wouldn't
17:25
that have been clawed back? Yeah, of course. It's
17:28
not a good plan. Because they were going into bankruptcy and they did
17:30
in fact go into bankruptcy. Like the idea that they'd pay them $6
17:33
million for like pretending to do an equity investment,
17:35
not that likely. Again, this just
17:38
seems totally, totally stressful. The CNBC
17:40
appearance in and of itself was
17:42
pretty weird. I didn't watch it. I don't think I could
17:45
watch it. I find it very stressful to watch. It
17:47
was stressful to watch. We fully
17:49
plan on transacting with the company
17:52
within the next 24 hours. I
17:56
have positions in over 13
17:58
space companies. companies and
18:01
I view them all as neighbors. He
18:04
did not seem like an experienced
18:07
investor in space investor. Yeah. I would also
18:09
struggle to name 13 space companies, but that's
18:11
I think he would have as well. That's
18:14
a good joke. It
18:16
felt stressful and it did not make
18:18
me confident that the deal was going through. What do
18:20
you do after this? He's 34, right? So
18:22
I don't know. Maybe he has a long career of, you
18:25
know, fake M&A in front of him, but I feel like
18:27
this kind of blue is covered. Sometimes these
18:29
things are like people who actually do do a
18:31
little investing and bite off more than they can
18:33
chew. Right. And like maybe he can go invest
18:36
money in other companies and be like, yes,
18:38
he got it all wrong that time. Yeah. I'm good for
18:40
this one million dollar investment. I don't know. I
18:43
mean it this time, but you also
18:45
think about Virgin Orbitz
18:48
perspective during all of this, because this was
18:51
sort of like a white knight savior
18:53
moment. Yeah. They did start asking him questions
18:55
like, do you have the money? But like they
18:58
definitely like, you know, he sent them
19:00
an email and they engaged, right? Like he sent them
19:02
like a cold LinkedIn message. Anything done over
19:04
LinkedIn. I mean, come on. There's like no record
19:06
of him, right? Like he's, you know, he's like, I've invested $750
19:08
million in space companies
19:10
and they're like, sure you have. Right. Anyone
19:13
was good, right? Like they would take anything at
19:15
that point, right? Like this is not the, you
19:17
know, the top person on their list of potential
19:19
investors, but at this point they're like a week
19:21
from bankruptcy, they're like, yeah, we'll take what we
19:23
can get. And so they'd returned his calls, right?
19:25
It is tough for them, right? Like they jumped
19:27
all in on engaging with this guy who turned
19:29
out to be fake apparently, but not a lot
19:31
of other good options. Yeah. I think
19:34
someone from the company I read called it
19:36
an unneeded distraction. Sure. What was a very
19:39
critical time. And I'm sure they... Yes and
19:41
no, right? I mean, like, was
19:43
he distracting them from other better investment?
19:46
Maybe, probably not, but maybe. This
19:52
podcast is supported by Apollo Global
19:55
Management. When it comes to building
19:57
and financing stronger businesses, Apollo turns
19:59
some of the world. world's most
20:01
complex challenges into growth opportunities. Apollo's
20:04
customized capital solutions help drive innovation
20:06
and growth, turning the great businesses
20:08
of today into leaders of tomorrow.
20:10
As one of the world's largest
20:13
alternative asset managers, Apollo is helping
20:15
to fuel the real economy by
20:17
generating investment-grade credit, helping to fill
20:19
gaps in America's financial ecosystem and
20:21
providing greater access to more resilient
20:24
and diverse pools of capital. By
20:26
providing companies with access to flexible
20:28
financing solutions and partnering with management
20:30
teams to help grow their businesses, Apollo
20:33
is there every step of the way
20:35
to drive positive outcomes for companies and
20:37
power economic growth. Apollo,
20:39
investing in tomorrow,
20:41
today. Learn more
20:43
at Apollo.com-slash-private-investment-grade. Meet
20:46
Gary. Gary's about to become an Einstein
20:49
in an instant. Whoa, Einstein
20:51
hair. I like it. Try
20:53
Gary, because you're using Salesforce powered
20:55
by Einstein AI to connect data,
20:57
predict business trends, generate personalized content,
21:00
and wow customers. I do feel
21:02
a lot smarter. Because you're not just
21:04
Gary anymore. You're Gary, empowered by
21:06
Einstein AI. Did you hear
21:08
that team? I'm an Einstein. Oh,
21:10
can I get a selfie? The number one AICRM.
21:13
Now everyone's in Einstein with Salesforce.
21:22
Let's keep the conversation going on M&A and let's
21:25
talk about a weird M&A
21:27
that's going on with Brad Jacobs
21:29
and QXO.
21:31
I'm not familiar with the naming structure for
21:33
his companies, but he's like a- XBO,
21:36
QXO. Right. He's like a
21:38
logistics guy who likes, I guess it's just-
21:40
There's certain letters that he loves. Right. He's
21:43
a fan of an X, but not only an X like Elon Musk. He also
21:45
likes O's. Yeah. X is an
21:47
O's. Anyway, so he ran
21:49
XPO. He's made a lot of
21:51
money doing logistics and he wrote
21:53
a book called How to Make a Few Billion Dollars. I
21:56
have it on my desk. I
21:58
still haven't made a few billion dollars. But it's
22:00
like such a good aspiration. It's like not
22:02
$1 billion, not like a
22:05
lot of billion dollars, but a few billion dollars. A few billion.
22:07
Get comfortable. Yeah. Even since
22:10
these businesses are like rolls up smaller businesses, he goes
22:12
out and acquires a bunch of smaller companies and
22:15
he's decided he's going to do
22:17
that in the building products distribution
22:19
business. Sexy. Yeah, it's like companies
22:21
that distribute, I don't know. It's
22:24
important, okay. Like I haven't read the book,
22:26
but this is apparently how you make a few billion dollars.
22:28
You find like a large lucrative kind of
22:30
boring niche and then you buy all the companies in
22:32
that space and you know, make them more efficient. You
22:34
consolidate an industry. Yeah. So
22:36
he's done that before. His plan is to
22:39
do it in this building products distribution space.
22:42
So he started QXO. And QXO,
22:44
like he's raised like $4.5 billion. Like
22:46
some of that is his own money. Some of it is from big
22:48
outside investors. And you know, he's like got
22:51
a $4.5 billion fund to go out and
22:53
buy building products distribution companies and
22:56
roll them up into a big QXO thing. And then,
22:58
you know, make a lot of money out of it.
23:01
But he didn't do it as like
23:03
a fund or as a private company.
23:05
He did it by acquiring this little
23:07
public company called Silver Sun Technologies, which
23:10
is like a real company. It sells. Software.
23:13
Yeah. It's like, it like
23:15
sells business software to, it like
23:17
resells business software to businesses and then
23:20
consults them on how to use the software.
23:22
It sort of seems like it's vaguely in
23:24
the same like building products universe, but it's
23:27
like selling software instead of building products. Anyway,
23:29
it exists. It's a real company. It's a public
23:32
company, publicly traded, small. Has like, you know, $1.5
23:34
million of net income a year on
23:37
like 50 million of revenue. And like, you
23:39
know, it was like a 15, $20 million market
23:44
cap. So it's like a small company, but it's a public company.
23:47
And he called them up, apparently through
23:49
Goldman, like his investment bankers called up Silver Sun
23:51
and was like, we want to put in a
23:53
billion dollars into Silver Sun, take it over. We'll
23:56
own basically all the stock, but not all the
23:58
stock. Most of it, 99%. some of
24:00
the stuff. And we will change its name
24:02
to QXO and make it into this, you
24:05
know, platform for rolling up, building products,
24:07
distributors. And Silver
24:09
Sun was like, yeah, sure. And so
24:11
he bought Silver Sun for a billion
24:13
dollars. Insane. And so now he owns basically
24:15
all of it. It was like a $25
24:18
million market cap. Yeah, it was like as low
24:20
as like 15ish or something to go out, like not that
24:22
long ago. But yeah, it's like double
24:24
digit millions. Yeah. So now he
24:26
owns like basically all of it. But there's a little bit, there's like 600,000 shares
24:29
that trade. And all
24:32
these people, not that many people, like the people
24:34
who buy the 600,000 shares, you know, there's like
24:36
retail demand for people who want to invest alongside
24:39
Brad Jacobs, right? They're like, we've read, he's a
24:41
guy who can make a few billion dollars
24:43
a few times. He's the guy, yeah. This is
24:45
a good plan. He's going to make money doing
24:47
this roll up. So let's put our money into
24:50
it. But like, there's so few shares that are
24:52
publicly available that they're trading at like, they've
24:54
gone down there in like the 70s now, but like there were like $230 a
24:56
share a
24:59
couple of days ago, which if you
25:01
multiply that by like the total shares,
25:03
like the people who put in the $4.5
25:06
billion to actually do this
25:08
company, you get a market cap
25:10
of like almost $200 billion. So
25:12
I think that the retail
25:14
investors buying the stock do not
25:17
quite understand how the
25:19
capital structure works. And so they're buying the
25:21
stock at a price and applying a $200
25:24
billion valuation for a company that again, is
25:26
just a fund of cash, right? Yeah. It's
25:28
just a $4.5 billion pot of money that
25:30
Brad Jacobs will use to go out and
25:32
find companies. But right now it doesn't do
25:34
anything, except has this tiny little tech business.
25:36
Well, to be fair, this is an
25:39
extremely weird capital structure. Oh, yeah. Like,
25:41
why is my first question? Like, why not just
25:43
do this the normal way and eventually IPO and
25:45
go about it that
25:47
way? Like, why buy this small cap with the
25:49
plan to spin it off? I went
25:52
back to a December 2023 interview
25:54
that Brad Jacobs did. And
25:56
he said, basically, we're putting it into
25:58
a small cap, we're going And to
26:00
spin that company back to the legacy
26:02
shareholders in a few months when the
26:04
deal closes, the Silverstone shareholders will have
26:06
their company back. They'll also have a
26:08
$2.5 million dividend and they'll get a 0.3% share
26:11
in my new company. Like that is a
26:14
lot of steps. Yeah, by the
26:16
way, they didn't do that. They were planning to do that.
26:18
Yeah. They changed their mind and
26:20
they didn't spin out the legacy business to the old
26:22
shareholders. They're keeping the legacy business, which by the way
26:24
is like, it's a small business, but it has like
26:26
200 employees. It's not like a nothing. It's like a
26:28
real company that does stuff. They're keeping the legacy business.
26:30
They're not spinning it out to the shareholders and instead
26:33
of paying them $2.5 million, they're paying them like $17
26:35
million, which again is like sort of around where
26:37
the market cap was before Brad Jacobs came along. Why do
26:39
it? I don't know. It's weird.
26:42
I mean, he had Goldman Sachs like calling small caps
26:44
for it. Importantly, they called and they didn't send a
26:46
LinkedIn message. Yeah, right. I mean, that's
26:48
the normal way to do M&A is like your
26:50
banker knows someone who calls them rather than sending
26:52
a cold LinkedIn. But anyway, the answer
26:55
is it's nice to be publicly traded sometimes.
26:57
It gives you some advantages in fundraising. I
26:59
think that a big part of the answer
27:01
is probably if you're doing a roll up,
27:03
you want to be able to give people
27:05
stock and it is perhaps more convenient to
27:07
be able to give people publicly traded stocks.
27:09
So if he's going to buy a small
27:11
building products distribution company, he can be like,
27:14
you know, I have this pot of money. I have
27:16
like $4.5 billion. I can give you some money
27:18
for your company or I can give
27:20
you some of my publicly traded stock or some
27:22
combination of them. And so, you know, if you're
27:24
rolling up these businesses, people who have built these
27:26
businesses over time want to have some continued economic
27:28
exposure to the thing they built. And so like
27:30
you can give them stock. It's like, you know,
27:32
you'll still have some diluted economic
27:34
interest in the thing you built. There's
27:37
a bit of a problem where like what price do you
27:39
give them the stock at because he is like raising money
27:41
at, call it $9 a share, which
27:43
is like kind of roughly like you're
27:46
putting in cash into a fund, right? Like you're buying it
27:48
at like sort of the cash value of the fund. But
27:51
like meanwhile, the stock is trading like $70 a share
27:53
because it's like people's hopes. So I
27:55
don't know the first roll up he does, the first
27:57
acquisition he does, like is he going to pay? in
28:00
stock valued at $9 a share or $70 a share. Yeah,
28:03
it feels, I mean, in some
28:05
ways similar to the DestinyTech situation
28:07
and DXYZ. Yes. When we're talking about
28:09
enormous, enormous premiums here. Right, exactly.
28:12
DestinyTech is a pot of
28:14
money that owns, it's like a pot of shares
28:16
in private companies. And, you know,
28:19
it's like cool private companies that retail
28:21
investors can't invest. That's like, you know, SpaceX
28:23
and whatever. And so when
28:26
they took DestinyTech public, there was more
28:28
demand for the shares than the actual
28:30
value of the companies it owned. And
28:32
so it was trading at like 1000%
28:34
premium to net asset value. This is
28:36
a little bit like that, right? Like
28:38
this is your chance to invest in
28:40
Brad Jacob's private investment vehicle, rolling up
28:42
the building products distribution business. But
28:44
the trade-off is like, you're not really investing in
28:47
that. You're really investing in like the
28:49
sort of Mimi retail premium to the
28:51
actual value of the company. Because
28:54
like if he does really well and like triples the
28:56
value of the company, that's still way less than what
28:58
people are paying for their retail stock today. Yeah.
29:01
I also am curious about
29:03
how Silver Sun executives
29:06
feel. Because in some ways, it kind of
29:08
feels like winning the lottery, I would imagine.
29:10
Like, how did he pick this company? I
29:14
think that the bankers most have had a list of
29:16
very small companies that we could acquire. Because it's not
29:18
like he paid them a billion dollars, right? It's like
29:20
he put a billion dollars into the company. And like
29:22
the existing shareholders, what do they get? They get a
29:24
dividend, right? Which is in round numbers, like 50 to
29:26
100% of the value of their shares, right?
29:29
They're getting paid in cash. And then they
29:32
also keep their shares, which have, you know, gone
29:35
up from like nothing to $200. I would sell
29:37
them right now. Yeah. I think a lot of them probably
29:39
would have. Yeah. Yeah.
29:42
Again, it just feels like winning the lottery. Like
29:44
this is so strange. It's very strange. Yeah.
29:46
Now there's always been this sort of
29:48
like industry of little
29:50
public companies that are
29:52
useful for reverse mergers because every
29:55
so often someone wants to become
29:57
a public company, not by doing an
29:59
IPO. life
33:28
needs more Cedar Point and that's what you'll get
33:30
with the 2024 summer pass
33:32
get unlimited visits through Labor Day plus
33:34
free parking enjoy spectacular rides unforgettable live
33:37
shows and drive the sky on top
33:39
thrill to the world's only triple launch
33:41
vertical speedway it's all yours for just
33:44
three payments of $25 after initial payment
33:46
online only plus applicable taxes and fees
33:48
but hurry this offer won't last long
33:51
so what are you waiting for get
33:53
your summer pass today only at cedarpoint.com
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More