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1:01
Apply in minutes at mercury.com. One
1:12
of the biggest complaints we get here on Pivot
1:14
is we don't talk enough about Elon Musk. Just
1:16
kidding. But with all of
1:18
his recent big moves in AI, brain
1:21
science, geopolitics, he's not going to stop
1:23
making headlines anytime soon. And
1:25
while Pivot is off for the Memorial
1:27
Day holiday, Elon is still probably in
1:29
some undisclosed location plotting his next move.
1:31
So I've assembled a panel of experts
1:33
for this episode of On with Kara
1:35
Swisher, where we discuss what's influencing Elon's
1:37
state of mind these days. I hope
1:39
you'll enjoy it. And Pivot is back
1:42
on Friday. Hi
1:55
everyone from New York Magazine and the Vox
1:57
Media Podcast Network. This is On with Kara
1:59
Swisher. and I'm Kara Swisher. Today we're going
2:02
to do a deep dive into Elon Musk.
2:04
I know, I know, not because
2:06
Enrios wants to spend more time thinking about
2:08
Elon, but because I'm sorry to tell you
2:10
he's very influential and it's impossible to ignore
2:13
him just for that. So I've
2:15
rounded up three of the smartest reporters
2:17
covering Elon for a conversation. I promise it
2:19
will be substantive about his businesses and where
2:21
they're going. Kirsten Grind is a tech
2:23
investigations reporter for the New York Times. She
2:26
was at the Wall Street Journal until recently
2:28
where she has done investigations into Elon's
2:30
drug use and how he parties
2:32
with his company's board members who
2:35
have benefited immensely for being so
2:37
acquiescent. I would say lapdogs.
2:39
Tim Higgins is the author of Power
2:41
Play, Tesla, Elon Musk, and the Bet
2:43
of the Century and a columnist at
2:46
the Wall Street Journal and his weekly
2:48
column is quote mostly but not entirely
2:50
about Elon Musk and it is very
2:52
funny. And Becky Peterson covers
2:54
Tesla, SpaceX, and all things Elon
2:57
for the information. Our
2:59
expert question comes from a billionaire who's
3:02
been infected apparently with
3:04
the woke mind virus. Elon Musk has
3:06
called him a moron and that
3:08
would be... So
3:22
I brought to all three together not to talk
3:24
about Scarlett Johansson but to help us understand where
3:26
we are in the Elon Musk story and what
3:28
it all means for his companies. He's been up
3:30
to a lot lately it seems like even though
3:33
he sucks all the oxygen out of the room
3:35
he seems to be particularly sucking these days. But
3:38
let's start with Tesla, the most valuable of the
3:40
companies in Elon's orbit and also of course
3:42
the iconic company that sort of made him
3:44
the personality he is today I think. So
3:47
I'd love to know how each of you
3:49
all assess it overall.
3:52
Tim, then Kirsten, then Becky.
3:54
Yeah I think Tesla has long been
3:57
Elon Musk's spicy
3:59
mistress right? SpaceX has been his
4:01
first love, his wife,
4:03
but Tesla's that drama that just keeps
4:06
getting his attention. But you almost get
4:08
the sense in recent years that
4:10
maybe he's been a little bit bored with it, right? Model
4:13
3, once it was successful, was
4:15
successful, and there
4:18
are all these other things that were kind of getting his attention. Clearly,
4:22
Tesla as an electric car maker has
4:24
really been a game changer for the
4:27
world, right? It's a huge number
4:29
of good regulators and rivals that
4:31
an electric car could be cool, could
4:33
be profitable, could be desirable
4:35
and has helped move the world towards the
4:37
EV. That said,
4:40
they're a little bit of a precipice. Where
4:42
are they going next? It is
4:44
a little unclear. Is it an electric car company
4:46
or is it a robot company,
4:48
which is the way that Elon is now
4:50
talking about it? All right, Kirstie, you
4:52
don't have to stick with the mistress
4:55
board, Ivanka. I'm feeling very Melania here.
4:58
He seems bored, but go ahead. What are your thoughts on
5:00
the company right now? I do like that analogy,
5:02
though. I mean, it really kind of
5:04
seems like it's some kind of crisis
5:06
point at this stage, right? It's sort
5:08
of in this transformation, as Tim said.
5:11
Elon, I agree, does seem bored. But
5:13
on the other hand, it would be
5:15
super painful for both him and Tesla
5:18
if he left. A lot of
5:20
high-level senior executives, including those close
5:23
to him, have left recently. They're
5:25
obviously in this fight
5:27
over his pay package. So I don't
5:29
know. It's a really interesting juncture.
5:32
Becky? Yeah, I think
5:34
there's always this question of whether Tesla is
5:36
a car company or a tech company.
5:38
And Elon is once again jumping into
5:40
the debate arguing it's an
5:43
AI company and we shouldn't be paying attention
5:45
to the cars. And
5:47
the slowing of car sales, though, are driving
5:49
all of these dramatic cuts and a lot
5:51
of the concern about the stock price. So
5:54
I don't think that we
5:56
can say definitively that it's either,
5:58
but he's definitely trying to convince
6:00
people that the car part of
6:02
the journey is over. Yeah, he's a
6:05
big hand-waver, obviously. But as Kirsten
6:07
mentioned, last month three top executives resigned during
6:09
a two-week span. They were long-time executives. Drew
6:11
Baglino is the Senior Vice President of Power,
6:13
Train, and Energy. He's been around a long
6:15
time. I think it's Martin Vicha,
6:18
the Vice President of Investor Relations, and
6:20
Rohan Patel, the Vice President of Policy
6:23
and Business Development, are all gone. Kirsten,
6:25
this is normal. I know I have covered
6:27
tech companies for years and you have covered
6:30
many companies. People change at the start of
6:32
this. People get rich and they move on.
6:35
Many companies, this has happened. But this is an
6:37
unusual group of people to have
6:40
left and important people at this
6:42
moment. This seems unusual, yes. I
6:44
mean, even for Tesla, where executives
6:46
are either being pushed out or
6:48
fired or leaving because they can't
6:50
handle the workload or Elon or
6:52
whatever it is. This seems like
6:54
a moment in time where a
6:56
lot of people are leaving at
6:59
once and important people. It
7:01
reminds me of other periods of dramatic
7:03
upheaval that we've seen over the course
7:05
of Tesla's limited
7:07
history. This is a company that's about
7:10
20 years old. We seem to see
7:12
these huge swings where, in
7:14
a lot of ways, Elon kind of reinvents
7:16
the company. First, it was when
7:18
he took over as CEO after the company had been around
7:20
for a few years and kind of
7:23
evolving it into the next
7:26
realm, going to the Model S. Then
7:28
we saw it again, the painful
7:30
birthing of the Model 3 and the 17-2018 period. Now, you kind
7:32
of get the same impression
7:38
that the precipice is something.
7:40
We're not quite sure. But it
7:42
is a brutal place. It can be a
7:44
brutal place to work. We have seen a
7:46
lot of key leaders over the time leave.
7:49
Part of that is, in a
7:51
lot of ways, Elon seems to act as
7:55
if he doesn't have the luxury of keeping
7:57
people around in some kind of emeritus role.
7:59
These are the tools that he has in his
8:01
toolbox, and he's going to deploy them in the
8:03
way he wants to do for the current crisis,
8:06
right? Right. No rest and best.
8:08
Right. Exactly. The one big thing
8:10
here, I think, is Drew's departure, I think, was very
8:13
jarring to longtime observers. Here
8:15
was a guy who really had been around
8:17
since the beginning, who in a lot of
8:19
ways kind of was the carryover
8:22
from J.B. Strouble's
8:25
departure. He'd been considered one of the founders
8:27
and had been a close ally of J.B.
8:29
And his departure really, I think, shocked a lot of
8:31
people because he was kind of one of
8:33
the holdbacks to the original crew that was there. Becky?
8:37
Yeah, Drew had a lot of support
8:39
from employees. And I think him, along
8:41
with Zach Kirkhorn, the CFO, leaving last
8:43
year, there is a lot of
8:47
pressure on Tesla to refill the
8:49
executive bench again. There
8:51
was a big effort to convince people that
8:53
it wasn't just Elon at the top. There's
8:56
all these lovable people who are running
8:58
different products and who employees love and
9:01
investors can look up to. And
9:03
now a handful of them are gone. And
9:06
that affects both employees and investors. It also reminds
9:08
me, he likes to be at the center of
9:11
everything. Even though,
9:13
many years ago, Steve Jobs said to me, I'm not Willy
9:15
Wonka and they're not Oompa Loompas because there's lots of
9:17
people here. But
9:19
he actually did think that he didn't, even though
9:21
he called attention to himself because he knew who
9:24
could sell phones, I don't think he relished it.
9:26
I think Elon really, totally relishes that idea of
9:28
the saver complex. But in February, he
9:30
did scrap plans for the Tesla Model 2, the
9:32
$25,000 electric car he'd been
9:35
promising for years, even though it was
9:37
almost ready for production. He
9:40
first had favored and focused a lot
9:42
of attention on the glitch-prone Cybertruck, which
9:44
has been a bust. And
9:47
now he's focused on robotaxes and its AI
9:49
efforts, especially around full self-driving. Tim,
9:53
what's going on here with this? Because this
9:55
was something that everybody thought he should do
9:57
in order to really solidify its huge model.
10:00
market share, which has been declining. He
10:02
seems to be telling the world that
10:04
robot cars are the future, or that AI is the future.
10:07
In a lot of ways, though, it seems as if he's
10:10
acting as if the Chinese automakers have already
10:12
won this great race to
10:14
the bottom to take out costs to
10:16
make EVs affordable, or as affordable, or
10:19
even cheaper, if you will, than gas-powered
10:21
cars. This
10:23
had been the goal for so long. The
10:26
way he's acting now, the idea that the
10:29
cheaper battery-powered car
10:31
is not the future, but
10:33
it is just a step
10:35
towards robot taxis,
10:38
is sending a message to some on Wall
10:40
Street that that's where he's
10:42
taken. That's where he sees the profitability,
10:44
the high margins, is in this next
10:47
leap forward in technology. The
10:49
challenge here is that Tesla doesn't have a
10:51
robot vehicle on the roads that we know
10:53
of at this point. They have not demonstrated
10:55
the ability like Waymo has in the streets
10:57
of San Francisco, where on a regular basis,
11:00
I see cars go by without people in
11:02
them at all. Tesla hasn't
11:04
shown that ability. That's one of
11:06
the big challenges here, is that he's painting a
11:08
future of Tesla being a
11:11
software company that generates money from these
11:13
robot taxis and AI and humanoid robots,
11:16
and not so much caring about
11:18
the metal-bashing business of making cars.
11:23
Right now, though, most of the revenues come from selling those
11:25
cars. Becky, when you're doing this, he's put
11:27
a lot of focus on the cyberhook, which I think is
11:29
just a stunt. I
11:31
honestly think it's a stunt. One
11:34
of the areas that he was doing very well on
11:36
was the supercharger area. He
11:38
fired the supercharger team, even though the charging network
11:40
has been touted by him as a huge competitive
11:43
advantage, and he had struck a deal with other
11:45
automakers to share it. Now
11:47
he's rehired some of them, though not
11:49
Rebecca Tanucci, another well-regarded executive
11:52
there who had resisted cuts. Becky, what
11:54
is happening here? What was supercharger?
11:56
Yeah, the supercharger network was considered one of
11:58
the best things. Tesla has done. It was
12:01
a huge accomplishment for them. And it was
12:03
a huge selling point to customers who were
12:05
wondering if they could take their Teslas on
12:07
long road trips, drive them across the country.
12:10
The Biden administration has bet that
12:12
Tesla's supercharging network will convince non-Tesla
12:15
drivers to drive EVs because
12:17
they can charge them on the network.
12:20
So firing the whole team is
12:22
really confusing for people who are
12:24
on the team, for people who
12:26
are building the superchargers and have
12:28
contracts, have land
12:31
reserves that they were expecting
12:33
to become a supercharger. I
12:36
don't think we really know what
12:38
is happening, but people are
12:40
coming back. Maybe he's realized his mistake, but
12:42
I think there's still a question about how
12:45
small of a team Tesla
12:47
can have running this huge network. What
12:49
guided the decision-making process as far as
12:51
you can tell? It seems
12:53
like he might have gotten
12:56
upset that Rebecca Tanucci had not laid
12:58
off enough people on her team and
13:00
tried to make an example of her.
13:02
Really? Anyone else? Tim? Well, we've
13:04
seen kind of these dramatic
13:08
decisions that he makes and announces the great fanfare
13:10
and then pulls back or readjusts
13:13
in the past. I think about 2019 when
13:16
he announced that he was basically getting rid of all the
13:18
stores, right? And that had been a long time dream for
13:20
Tesla to sell cars just directly on the
13:22
internet. And then lo and
13:24
behold, there was all these contracts on
13:26
his leases on these facilities around the
13:28
world. And by the way,
13:30
stores are very important for selling cars,
13:33
right? People need to be convinced sometimes
13:35
to get over the line to buy those vehicles. And
13:37
so in a lot of ways, it feels like kind
13:40
of classic Elon in that
13:42
he likes to shoot and then
13:44
think about it later. Once maybe
13:46
the decision is maybe not
13:49
as... Didn't play out the way he wanted, right?
13:51
But it kind of gets a little bit of the way he kind
13:54
of operates as a manager in which he kind
13:56
of believes in this power of momentum and the
13:58
idea that... But why would this be a momentum.
14:00
You think money? Right. The
14:02
idea that people weren't moving fast enough, change
14:05
wasn't occurring at the pace that he wanted, and
14:08
so he's just going to start burning it all down. We saw this at
14:10
Twitter turned X. He
14:13
likes to... It's like chaos theory. One of
14:15
the folks that I've talked to over the
14:17
years talks about chaos. He thrives in this
14:20
chaos and sees what shakes out at the
14:22
end. It doesn't always work out, but he
14:24
does like the appearance of movement. Kirsten,
14:26
but at the same time, there is reality. Tesla's
14:29
under multiple federal investigations, including
14:31
a criminal probe by the DOJ, a
14:33
civil probe by the SEC. Talk
14:36
a little bit about them and how concerned
14:38
should Tesla investors be or shouldn't about these
14:40
probes, and what's the role of the board here
14:43
in these probes? Ah, well, that's my
14:45
favorite subject, the Tesla board. One thing
14:47
that is extremely surprising about
14:53
Tesla to me, just to get
14:55
to your first point, is how
14:57
little the investors seem to care
14:59
as well as the directors about
15:01
Elon's antics or really
15:04
anything surrounding his personal
15:07
life or these government probes
15:09
or anything like this. I
15:12
guess as a human citizen, I
15:14
would say you should care. They
15:17
never seem to really care. As
15:20
you know over the years, the
15:22
government has tried various ways to
15:25
look into Tesla and to go
15:27
after them, and nothing really ever
15:30
seems to pan out or get
15:32
traction. The latest we wrote about
15:34
at the Wall Street Journal when
15:37
I was there was about this
15:39
glass house he was building. Elon
15:41
was allegedly using Tesla
15:45
resources to build this
15:47
glass house in Texas.
15:50
Whether or not he was using the resources
15:52
is kind of the point of contention, but
15:55
there was a secret team working on this
15:57
house at Tesla. The whole issue
15:59
was ... was Tesla and
16:01
its employees being used for something
16:03
personal. And you know that nothing's
16:06
come of that yet, these things
16:08
are slow moving. So it's hard
16:10
to say whatever
16:12
comes of any of this. You can talk about
16:15
the board's role here because they really don't
16:17
have a role it seems. They've always to
16:19
me been, I don't even count them, they're
16:21
sort of lapdogs to Elon. Yeah
16:23
several of them over here. And then you say, for people
16:25
who don't know, a Delaware judge voided Elon's
16:27
$56 billion pay package.
16:29
The board is currently campaigning to get it reinstated,
16:32
especially the chairperson Robin
16:34
Denholm. Explain what's
16:37
happening here and the role the board plays.
16:39
You know there's a couple ways to look at the board, right? As
16:42
an investor you might be kind
16:45
of happy with the board given the results of the
16:47
stock over the past 10 years,
16:49
right? Another way of looking
16:51
at it is, you
16:53
know, are they really keeping him totally engaged
16:55
as CEO of Tesla, right? The idea of
16:58
that giant pay package
17:00
in 2018 was concerned
17:02
that he has all these other things
17:04
to occupy his time, that he has
17:07
a wandering eye for entrepreneurialism and activities
17:09
and was supposed to really get him
17:11
to kind of be nailed down there and
17:13
be fully engaged. And in a lot of ways
17:15
it did help in the interim. He brought out
17:18
the Model 3, shares
17:20
went to the moon, became the world's
17:22
most valuable automaker and in turn made
17:24
him among the world's richest men. But
17:27
you know he also became kind of busy
17:29
with Twitter and all these other things and
17:31
now the question I think in some investors
17:34
minds is they being asked to reauthorize
17:36
that pay package is, is he
17:38
really engaged? Are they really
17:41
getting, you know, fully full-time Elon and
17:43
Elon's people would say, well yes he's
17:45
very committed and he works very hard
17:47
and whatnot. But it's obvious that, undeniable
17:50
that his calendar is just so much more
17:52
busy than in 2018. He has X, he
17:55
has his startup for AI, a
17:57
company called XAI. He has a threatened
18:00
to take AI and robotics
18:02
ideas that he has at Tesla elsewhere
18:05
if he's not given a 25% control
18:08
of the company, which raises the
18:10
kind of question of is he got one
18:12
foot out the door or not, especially as
18:14
he's trying to frame the company as an
18:16
AI company. What's happening with this board then?
18:19
So I have to say I
18:21
think this board is unlike any
18:23
board I've ever seen in covering
18:26
business. So just talking about the
18:28
pay package when it was approved,
18:30
the chair of the board or
18:33
the chair of the compensation committee,
18:35
Ira Aaron Price, to
18:37
approve that pay package, longtime friend
18:39
of Elon, has invested in many
18:41
of his companies more than 70
18:44
million we found in Elon's
18:47
companies, has made more
18:49
than 200 million in stock
18:51
on Tesla, has literally
18:53
like said he loves Elon,
18:55
right? Also still on the
18:57
Tesla board. His brother, another
18:59
so-called like independent board member
19:01
at the time that pay
19:03
package was approved, was someone
19:06
who sees literally done drugs
19:08
with over the years Antonio
19:10
Gracias, also invested in all
19:12
of Elon's companies, partied with
19:14
him, vacationed with him, the
19:16
list kind of just goes
19:18
on and on. Even
19:20
Robin Denholm, the chair of the
19:22
Tesla board, who her
19:25
credit I guess does not party with
19:27
Elon, has still made an enormous amount
19:29
of money from being a board chair,
19:31
more than 200 almost 300 million we
19:34
found. It's
19:38
unprecedented and I have to
19:40
say I was shocked when
19:42
I saw her recent very
19:44
rare interview in the FT
19:47
about what she sees her role
19:49
as at the company and she
19:52
literally said well I
19:54
don't think it's my role to kind of
19:56
like and I'm I'm not reading from it
19:58
so I'm paraphrasing here but She said
20:00
something like, I don't think it's
20:02
my role to like police Elon's
20:05
antics. Well, actually, that's exactly
20:07
what her role is. And in
20:09
fact, there's an SEC settlement from
20:12
2018, where she is literally supposed
20:14
to be policing his tweets. Right.
20:17
Right. So it's just completely
20:19
hands off this board, in my opinion. Yeah,
20:21
absolutely. She also said till the Financial Times
20:23
will get it later, if I had a
20:26
magic wand, Twitter wouldn't exist. Yeah. But
20:28
it's a huge headache. It's like
20:30
her headache, right? That's her job.
20:32
Yeah, exactly. We'll be back in a minute. Support
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art of simplified finances. For
23:36
each episode, we have an expert send us a question. This
23:38
one is no different. This one comes from my
23:41
favorite NBA team owner, Mark Cuban. Let's
23:43
hear it. Hi, my name
23:46
is Mark Cuban, and I'm the
23:48
co-founder of costplusdrugs.com. I have
23:50
a mini Australian shepherd whose name is Tux. I
23:52
can take Tux anywhere, put him
23:55
in any situation, and without telling him anything,
23:57
he'll be able to figure out what's safe
23:59
and what's not. He
24:01
is smarter than any artificial intelligence
24:03
out there today, which makes
24:05
me wonder if artificial intelligence is not
24:08
as smart as Tux, how are we
24:10
going to get full-service driving? Thanks. Oh,
24:14
I like a good dunk. Who wants to
24:16
take this one first? How about that? I'll
24:19
take it. Becky? Okay,
24:21
well, I live in New York City. I don't drive a car.
24:23
And, but
24:25
people get hit by cars in the city all the time. I think
24:28
that the dream is that all the cars
24:30
are talking to each other, and they don't
24:32
have to be perfect because the system works
24:34
better than human drivers. That's
24:37
not the world we live in. In San
24:39
Francisco, we see actual autonomous vehicles
24:41
like Waymo getting stuck behind fire
24:44
trucks, getting stuck behind plastic bags
24:46
blowing in the wind. The
24:49
products are getting better. They're
24:52
being developed, but they right now
24:54
are only able to work really well in really
24:57
specific environments. I
24:59
think it's going to be slow. And I think,
25:02
I mean, that's probably one reason why the Robo taxi
25:04
is such a big bet because it's hard to see
25:06
who's going to be buying them and how soon they're
25:08
going to be buying them. I think it's nonsense. I
25:10
think it's hand waving nonsense. It's a great dream. So,
25:12
you know, I'd like to fly with my wings too,
25:14
but that's the way it goes. I
25:17
listen to one from Tesla and talk about SpaceX speaking of
25:19
flying, which seems like a bright
25:21
spot for Musk. Right now, no one can compete
25:23
with the Starlink service. There are competitors coming, as
25:25
always. And as a recent journal article put it,
25:28
SpaceX is one of the investing world's most exclusive
25:30
clubs. Everybody wants to get in on this IPO
25:32
when it goes public. It's COO,
25:34
Gwynne Shotwell is perhaps the most
25:37
stable executive working with Musk, has
25:39
good relationships with the government, et cetera. Kirsten,
25:43
I want you to take this on. How does
25:45
SpaceX seemingly avoid some of the management drama that
25:47
affects Tesla and X? Well, they might not be
25:49
avoiding it. We just don't know
25:51
because they're a private company, right?
25:53
So they're able to really keep
25:56
a lot of things under wraps,
25:58
especially like how the overstating. site
26:00
is working both on the government and some
26:02
of that is at least public, but still
26:05
extremely hard to penetrate understanding
26:07
their relationships with the various
26:09
government contractors. And then of
26:11
course, again, with their boards,
26:14
it's hard to tell who even is
26:16
on the board there at any given
26:18
time. It's a private company. So there
26:20
could definitely be drama, but it does
26:22
also seem like Elon kind of
26:25
treats SpaceX as like a safe
26:27
haven where he moves executives who
26:29
aren't doing so well at other
26:32
companies. He moved his buddy Steve
26:34
Jurvitsen off the Tesla board. He's
26:36
still on the SpaceX board, for
26:38
example. So he does kind of
26:40
shuffle things around SpaceX. But
26:42
it's going to go public, presumably. Yeah,
26:44
the IPO is like people are so
26:46
excited about it. People are talking about
26:49
it all the time. And Elon and
26:51
Glenn have both said that it's far
26:53
away. I don't think that
26:55
they are doing the process right now. I
26:57
don't think they are filing an S1 anytime
26:59
soon. But everyone wants them
27:02
to go public. There's just this complication that
27:04
they have Starlink and that it's this
27:06
giant company. They have government contracts that
27:09
they don't necessarily want to have
27:11
under the scrutiny of the SEC
27:13
or the public markets. So there's
27:15
some questions about how it would even
27:18
be structured. But it
27:20
really impacts how people interact with Musk. Like
27:22
with the XAI fundraising, I talked to people
27:24
who said basically they have
27:27
no choice but
27:29
to like participate because they want
27:31
access. They want to maintain
27:33
access. And the SpaceX IPO is
27:35
the ultimate access. That's correct. Yeah,
27:38
it's a great carrot. But Tim, you
27:40
had an article about Moscow Musk,
27:42
which I love, as some critics have called
27:44
him. I may have done that. They
27:47
say he's a Putin apologist or even
27:49
more shilling for Russia. Musk says his
27:51
companies have, quote, probably done more to
27:53
undermine Russia than anything, end quote. Explain
27:55
the controversy and then weigh in. He certainly
27:58
does like to sidle up to Dick. That's
28:00
one of his favorite moves. It's
28:02
the Musk Doctrine. I will get to
28:04
that. First
28:07
of all, Starlink has been
28:10
helpful in the Ukraine side of the
28:12
war. And Elon was
28:14
kind of cheered on as a
28:16
hero for allowing that and helping
28:18
that. But then he really surprised a lot of
28:20
folks when he wouldn't
28:22
enable that satellite internet
28:24
service in a part of Crimea where
28:27
the Ukrainians wanted to attack the Russians.
28:29
And he was worried it would kind
28:31
of trigger a nuclear war or really just elevate
28:33
things to an 11. And he
28:36
said that he just wouldn't do it because of that. And
28:38
it put him really in this kind of
28:40
interesting position where he is kind of this
28:42
citizen of the world, is
28:44
making decisions that affect wars and
28:46
really elevated the kind of the
28:48
power that he has over kind
28:50
of world events now in
28:52
a very unique way that
28:55
has kind of concerned people. And
28:57
so in his comments that have followed
28:59
regarding Putin and the
29:01
Russians kind of pushing for
29:04
peace talks and raising ideas for how
29:06
that would work, just to
29:08
a lot of experts, a lot of close
29:10
observers of foreign affairs, just
29:13
smacks of kind of influence from the
29:15
Russian side. Now, Musk would say that
29:17
he hasn't talked to Putin and that
29:19
sort of thing. He does
29:21
seem to be favoring the party line,
29:23
which then when you put into
29:26
consideration kind of the role that SpaceX
29:28
is playing and global affairs, worries some
29:30
people. Yeah, worries a lot of people,
29:32
I can tell you. They sidle up to me at Washington
29:34
parties all the time. But Tesla also does
29:37
a lot of business in China. SpaceX is
29:39
a U.S. military contractor,
29:41
as you just noted. In February,
29:43
former Congressman Mike Gallagher said that Star
29:45
Shield, which is a military version of
29:47
Starlink, wasn't working for American troops in
29:50
and around Taiwan. SpaceX denied the allegations.
29:52
Becky, what's happened since February in stepping
29:54
back? How is the Pentagon
29:56
managing Elon's seemingly split
29:58
allegiances in China? He just
30:01
recently was there striking a deal
30:03
to be able to sell more of those cars
30:05
there. Talk a little bit about that
30:08
complication for him and for the
30:10
U.S. I think the federal
30:12
government is in the same position as a
30:14
lot of Musk investors where they have to
30:17
sort of balance access
30:20
and getting their own needs met. In the
30:22
case of national security interests, they probably have
30:24
a lot more leverage. I'm not really
30:26
sure what's happening on the inside with that. Everybody
30:29
else on China where he is because he's made
30:31
some statements that were pretty pro-Chinese. Absolutely. It's
30:33
interesting, right? If you look at the
30:35
revenues that come from China for Tesla, huge
30:38
important part of the business really helped
30:40
Tesla get to where
30:42
it is in large part by allowing
30:45
Tesla to be the first Western automaker
30:47
to open up a factory without a
30:49
joint venture in the country, allowing it
30:51
to fuel massive rapid growth during the
30:54
pandemic, allowing it to really
30:56
kind of be where it is now. So
30:58
you put that in the back of your mind
31:00
and then you see these pro-China comments that he's
31:02
often making and siding
31:05
with China and the debate over where Taiwan
31:07
fits into that
31:10
scenario. It
31:12
worries people. It gets back to the issue of
31:14
Russia. It worries people, right? I
31:16
kind of alluded to it. I think of it
31:19
as the Musk Doctrine where he has business in
31:22
countries where maybe
31:24
there are more tougher ruling
31:28
leaders that have a stronger grasp of
31:31
things. He seems
31:33
very deferential, but in
31:35
other countries such as the US, he's very quick
31:37
to go after every level of
31:39
power and uses that in some
31:41
ways, that defiance as part
31:44
of his power that he gains in places like the
31:46
US. You don't want to be a government official in
31:48
the US being attacked by Elon Musk. It's
31:51
not just him. It's his echo
31:53
verse of followers on X who
31:55
then amplify every criticism and
31:57
every attack to the point where it's very difficult.
32:00
It harder to be a politician in
32:02
the country and be under attack like
32:04
that. So the South About Twitter x
32:06
Families Now fully and officially x that
32:08
times. But and and he is
32:10
not Ceo but the cel that he
32:12
every knows kind of recently was a
32:14
punchline at the Network of Friends and
32:16
everywhere she goes to show that she
32:18
she created with tell mom and pull
32:20
up and. Interface.
32:23
And because a lot being upset about it. Let's
32:26
talk about the business. Of. X right
32:28
now backing. Yeah, we we
32:30
don't have a lot of insight
32:32
into how well ad sales are
32:34
doing. Think it's still pretty much
32:36
an odd run business. The subscription
32:38
business is not very popular. I
32:41
personally and subscribing right now because I
32:43
wanted to try graft and see how
32:45
it works. I don't have any sort
32:48
of daily Sawyer. says. Like
32:50
kind of sarcastic new summary. But.
32:53
There are people who are paying for
32:55
it. I think it's still mostly sort
32:57
of like that. Ilan Stand Universe are
32:59
people who are trying to become influences
33:01
on the platform. And tim
33:03
yeah is it is an ad business doesn't
33:05
seem to. it's clearly not what it wants
33:08
was decline writers but. If
33:10
you think about it is something
33:12
else. It's really an extension of
33:14
his power. As soft power, it's
33:16
definitely having influence right? A He's
33:18
been embraced by a lot of
33:20
people. It's expanded his recent a
33:22
certain areas. It's definitely given him
33:24
a bigger voice and month global
33:26
affairs and a way that you
33:28
don't typically see with most Ceos
33:30
So it in that regard it
33:32
as an interesting Tunis toolbox re
33:34
he goes from the guy who
33:36
had the probably the biggest reach
33:38
says a user. Or least among the
33:40
biggest reach as user to now Nobody can take
33:42
him off of it right in a gives him
33:44
carte blanche to do kind of whatever he wants
33:46
and as long as people are continue to go
33:49
to it and people seem to keeps engaging on
33:51
that gives him a lot of power with a
33:53
flag he does have a he was just the
33:55
car guy before and now. He says south
33:57
at times. Recently published in Investigation Deal
33:59
on. who was right-wing leaders like Javier
34:02
Malle of Argentina, Jair
34:04
Bolsonaro in Brazil, a Neurondra
34:07
Modi in India, and they basically concluded that he's
34:09
lavished them with public praise usually on Twitter and then
34:11
got in favor of treatment for his companies from
34:13
them. Kirsten, talk about
34:15
this Twitter diplomacy. When he was buying
34:17
Twitter, everyone was sort of perplexed, but
34:20
a very sharp availability nurse told me he
34:23
bought the company for international influence for his
34:25
other businesses more than anything else, and I
34:27
think that's borne itself out. Yeah,
34:29
definitely. I mean, it's interesting because
34:32
the Twitter thing is kind of two
34:34
separate trends coming together, right? So, immediately
34:37
after he bought Twitter, he kind of
34:39
rearranged all the systems and the algorithm
34:41
to make sure it was preferential
34:44
to him, right? And you can even just
34:46
see that going on there now. And so
34:48
now this has spread into his
34:51
other, you know, job
34:53
that he wishes to have, which I guess
34:55
is one of a diplomat because he really
34:57
wants to be involved in all these international
35:00
affairs, and much like he was
35:02
doing at Twitter, he's now kind
35:04
of like leaning on these world
35:06
leaders he's buddies with to
35:08
get stuff done. Yeah. And
35:11
is that effective? Is that worth the price
35:13
of the money he's paid for? I think
35:15
in some cases it is effective. As
35:17
you pointed out, my colleagues wrote
35:19
about recently, it is effective sometimes.
35:21
I personally think it's so funny,
35:24
this bromance he has with like
35:26
Argentinian's Malay, right? I mean, all
35:28
the pictures and the fun they're
35:30
having, and it definitely, you know,
35:32
I'm sure he's not just doing
35:34
that for the heck of it,
35:36
right? Mm-hmm. So.
35:40
Yeah. So, Tim, when you, one of the things that
35:42
Twitter acquisition and the tsunami of mostly negative press has
35:44
followed him since he got there,
35:46
and it seems to have taken his toll.
35:48
How much time of mental space would
35:50
you say X occupies for Elon, and
35:53
what is the price? Well, he
35:55
would argue, if he was here, he would probably argue that it
35:57
doesn't take that much time, right? That he's, you
35:59
know, just. one of many children that he loves. But
36:02
clearly it has taken a toll on his businesses,
36:05
right? And if you look
36:07
at recent consumer data at the end of
36:09
last year when he was being very outspoken
36:11
on very contentious issues, you
36:13
saw the share of car buyers who
36:15
identify as Democrats buying
36:19
Tesla drop dramatically, a sign
36:22
that maybe they couldn't stomach where he was
36:24
going politically. That was really the first time
36:26
we've seen this. And it's a bad sign
36:30
for a carmaker, an EV carmaker, because
36:32
in the US, the biggest
36:34
cohort of buyers for electric cars
36:36
are Democrats. Now,
36:38
he has brought Republicans in to the
36:40
Tesla tent, which is very important for
36:43
growing that technology to be
36:45
mainstream. But he definitely needs Democrats. And if
36:47
they're turned off by his issues
36:50
and his antics, that's troubling for the company.
36:53
And Twitter has debt. Nobody has sold the debt.
36:55
It does have a heavy debt load. He obviously
36:57
has rich friends that want to
36:59
get into the SpaceX IPO.
37:02
Why have these banks not come after him? Is
37:04
it just like a rich guy owning a yacht?
37:07
This is his version of a yacht. There's a
37:09
lot of people that think XAI and Grok are
37:11
going to be the key to turning the
37:14
Twitter acquisition around. There's
37:16
people who think he's going to pull
37:18
a rabbit out of a hat, and
37:20
he's going to use Tesla data to
37:22
train these models. And it's going to
37:24
be the smartest AI on
37:27
the planet. And then they'll have been
37:29
in early. He's not having any trouble
37:31
fundraising for XAI. Yeah,
37:34
let's talk about that. So he's already raising $6
37:36
billion to create a competitive to open AI and
37:38
others in which he played a major role in
37:40
the early days and then broke from. $6
37:43
billion is nowhere near enough money to compete
37:45
with open AI, Microsoft, and Google. So
37:47
you're talking a rabbit out of a hat.
37:49
Is it really a rabbit or is it
37:51
a dead rabbit? And
37:54
is it OK to use this other company's data to
37:56
do it? That's another thing. Whether
38:00
a flat a how how ownership of
38:02
that data works I think I will
38:04
be a big issue of in the
38:06
next few months sexy come up when
38:09
I have talked to people about the
38:11
compensation package like if you on his
38:13
disengage that he's still Ceo is he
38:15
gonna use his those resources as a
38:17
smokes make X Ai into this giant
38:20
A I. Company. And
38:22
leave Tesla behind. The herbs.
38:24
or think that's one of. The concerns from
38:26
the people who are concerns. In
38:29
a I say is I haven't really seen very
38:31
much traction. Forgot I talk to people who say
38:33
it's just not very practical. The build on got.
38:36
I'm. I don't think is
38:38
considered. Really? Extraordinary compared
38:40
to the competitors five. Six.
38:43
Billion Dollars is a lot of money,
38:45
and it's money that other companies can't
38:47
necessarily raise. And there's the argument that
38:49
he'll be able to buy enough hardware
38:51
that he in train models to be
38:53
smarter than any other models out there.
38:55
So maybe the money will transform this,
38:57
but there's a lot of competition and
38:59
airspace or it now. and they're pretty
39:01
behind me. Amazon to Steam, Anthropic for
39:03
the him thing. Just like not enough
39:05
money is seems like a sides it
39:07
seems to me I don't else. At
39:09
thoughts: Temur Searchers, Ton. Of
39:11
images you ask why in or why don't
39:14
people upset or why investors go along with
39:16
his? Well if you will get some of
39:18
the long arc of his career, he's taken
39:20
on a lot of things that didn't make
39:22
sense does it first blush that look like
39:24
they were going to fail and his peers
39:26
pulled off these kind of rabbits if you
39:28
will with whether it's the success of Spacex
39:30
or Tussaud's success rate. So. that
39:32
those successes give him credibility his in
39:34
investors are a lot of time are
39:36
willing to kind of hold their nose
39:38
and in that the current drama current
39:40
dramas because they're they're making a long
39:43
term better over time i'm ultimately that
39:45
will be successful that as part of
39:47
the drama around you on mosque and
39:49
why your tracks supporters and detractors as
39:51
he don't know if he's gonna pull
39:53
it off ray is that the time
39:55
it is gonna trip and fall in
39:57
his face or is he going to
39:59
yet again kind of impress everybody
40:01
with some daring feat. Right, in
40:04
that regard, Neuralink, which they recently published a
40:06
livestream video that showed the first patient to
40:08
get the company's brain chip implant, move a
40:10
cursor with his mind, it's now got some
40:12
problems. They're still working on it. They're gonna
40:14
implant another person, but apparently the little strings
40:17
came out of the brain or something like
40:19
that. He and I have
40:21
talked about this a lot, but it's way far
40:23
away, this idea. And there are other companies, again,
40:25
there are other competitors, and that nobody gets written
40:27
about that aren't just his thing. How
40:30
much progress has Neuralink made towards its very heady
40:32
goals, and is it a flash in the pan
40:35
or a real company? I did some research into
40:37
Neuralink. You know, I don't think
40:39
it's a flash in the pan. I think it's a legit
40:41
company. I actually don't think he's
40:43
very involved with it at all.
40:45
It's just, you know, Neuralink
40:47
and the boring company seem to me as
40:50
sort of like, ah, kind of
40:52
like the fun, tiny things he does on
40:54
the side sometimes. But it does
40:56
seem like it has been on track
40:58
to help people with
41:00
disabilities. But this goal of
41:02
all of us using Neuralink
41:04
as a society seems
41:07
many, many years, if not decades
41:09
off. We'll
41:15
be back in a minute. Here's that.
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Clean! Term Supply. Well,
41:58
when was the last time you noticed a federal? You
42:02
know the type. Federal government is passing a
42:04
law or changing a rule and they want to
42:06
hear what you think about it. Well,
42:08
one of those comment periods just kicked off
42:11
and runs for the next two months and
42:13
it's a big one. The
42:16
federal government wants to know what
42:19
you think about their plan to
42:21
reschedule marijuana. Not what
42:23
time you take your smoke breaks, Vicali. Sorry,
42:25
I'm late. It's just like this
42:28
new schedule is totally confusing. The
42:30
federal government is basically trying to
42:32
recategorize weed and it could happen
42:34
as soon as election day. The
42:37
president says it's a big deal. This
42:39
is monumental. But we reached
42:41
out to a cannabis policy reporter at
42:43
Politico to ask if she thought it
42:45
was monumental and she said
42:48
yes, but also no. Our
42:52
conversation is waiting for you at Today Explained.
42:59
So let's talk about his state of mind. He
43:01
is a restless mind. And of
43:03
course, he's gotten more involved in politics. Kirsten,
43:05
you broke the huge story about England's
43:07
recreational drug use, which everybody knew about,
43:10
to tell you, including, thankfully, someone wrote it.
43:12
And yet it took us a year to
43:14
get that story. I get that. I
43:16
understand that, but I'm saying everyone knew
43:18
about it. Everyone knows that you wrote
43:20
about using LSD, cocaine, ecstasy, mushrooms,
43:22
ketamine. Talk about
43:24
his party and the drug use and what role,
43:26
if at all, it plays in his decision making.
43:28
What's changed since you reported on that? And I
43:30
have to say the most important thing about that
43:32
story was the money the board was getting to
43:34
me. That, to me, was
43:36
at the dead center of it. But go
43:39
ahead. Definitely. To be honest, I
43:41
don't think much has changed. I
43:43
mean, I think, again, this comes
43:45
back to the Tesla board especially.
43:47
So something like this, when a
43:51
high level executive, maybe not even
43:53
the CEO, is using recreational
43:55
drugs at a normal company, that
43:57
would warrant a fair minimum. an
43:59
internal investigation. And maybe it could
44:01
be like, you know, a check
44:03
the box is internal investigation. We
44:06
hire an outside law firm. Think
44:08
about if this was like Pfizer
44:10
or Morgan Stanley CEO. None
44:13
of that has happened in this case. The
44:15
government contractors seem not to care
44:17
what kind of drugs he is
44:19
doing or not doing, even though
44:21
it's a clear violation of his
44:23
government contracts. So I think it's
44:25
kind of just the status quo,
44:27
to be honest. Yeah, so
44:29
nothing happened. Nothing. Nothing. Not
44:32
the government, not losing his
44:34
security. To our knowledge, right?
44:36
So I mean, there could be something
44:38
going on. But you know, in that
44:41
Financial Times interview, Robin Denholm even said
44:43
she wasn't aware that he was using
44:45
drugs, I believe, which is just sort
44:48
of unbelievable. Yeah, yeah, so nothing
44:51
at all. Just these taking drugs. That's it. Yeah,
44:53
the executive would have been fired. But you know,
44:56
Tim, I think brought up a really
44:58
good point, which is always super
45:00
important to remember when writing about
45:02
Elon Musk is Tesla has done
45:04
insanely well. SpaceX has done well,
45:06
right? So if you're an investor
45:09
in these companies, why do you
45:11
actually care if he's like doing
45:13
Coke or whatever he's doing, right?
45:16
The company is doing well. So it is.
45:18
There are two sides to this, for sure.
45:20
Well, Tim, last August, you did have a
45:22
column with the headline, Elon Musk's latest antics
45:24
have some asking, is he out of touch?
45:26
According to some of the supporters, he has
45:28
quote, ensconced and distorted reality is warping his
45:31
perspective and threatening his businesses. You've
45:33
had about 10 months to consider a
45:35
question. Is he out of
45:37
touch with reality? He seems to live
45:39
in a bubble, that's for sure, right? A bubble of,
45:42
you know, we've seen over the years, you go back
45:44
to the early days of Tesla, let's just use Tesla
45:46
example, early days, there were people around him who told
45:48
him hard truths. They didn't maybe last long, but
45:51
they did that. And, you know, for
45:53
the betterment of the company, it's
45:55
hard to say that there are people around
45:57
him now who are giving him the same.
45:59
same kind of hard truth. We don't
46:02
know that to be the case. I don't know that to be the case.
46:04
And it's hard to see anybody there tempering some
46:07
of his excursions, right?
46:09
And so that's it. By
46:11
its very nature, you've got a lot of
46:13
people around him who are either hanger-oners
46:15
or kind of supporters or people that kind
46:18
of encourage him to be in that
46:20
bubble-like environment. Then, but I'll
46:22
put that aside, then he's on Twitter
46:24
and he's hearing. He's taking in all
46:26
the negative feedback and seeing it all.
46:28
But then he's also being
46:30
reinforced by this new kind of
46:32
lesion of echoes that kind of,
46:35
whatever he does, support him. And that kind of
46:37
feeds him even more. So it's an interesting dynamic
46:39
where he kind of
46:42
is a guy in his own little world
46:44
where he hears everything he says is just
46:46
great. Yeah, that's certainly true. I've heard from
46:48
a lot of people close to him that are disturbed,
46:50
I would say. They're
46:53
all like, Carrie, you want to talk about it? I'm like, no,
46:55
you should get him some help. That's my feeling. You
46:58
should get him into therapy if you're really worried about
47:00
him, actually. It's not my business.
47:03
But Becky, to Tim's point, do
47:06
people around him who can tell him no push back
47:08
on his bad ideas? Is that a
47:10
problematic thing? Has he lost perspective because he's surrounded
47:12
himself with yes men who slavishly lick him up
47:14
and down all day? How does that
47:16
impact his situation? That's what it is. I'm
47:19
sorry. I've heard from lots of people. I
47:22
think we saw with the Tesla layoffs that
47:24
people who don't do exactly what
47:26
he wants don't last very
47:28
long at the companies. People
47:31
get really scared when they have to
47:33
directly report to him. It's so much better
47:35
to have a manager in between
47:37
because if you're directly reporting to him and
47:39
he's observing everything you're doing, there's
47:42
no way he's not going to find something wrong
47:44
with what you're doing. So
47:46
I don't think there's a lot of space for pushback
47:48
at Tesla or SpaceX.
47:52
So where is pushback? Does it exist? I
47:55
haven't found any pushback. I haven't either.
47:58
Yeah. It's interesting. I talked
48:00
to him about this years ago and I said, you know, there
48:02
was something that happened. I said, well, I've talked to a bunch
48:04
of people that said they told you this was a dumb idea.
48:07
And he says, well, people all the time tell
48:09
me I've got dumb ideas, right? You know, but I
48:11
said I was never going to be able to land
48:13
a rocket and I've done that and, you know, done
48:15
this EV thing. And
48:17
that kind of, you see that clouding some of
48:19
his thinking, right? It's almost as
48:22
if he wants to prove somebody wrong if
48:24
they're saying, telling him no or that's not
48:26
possible, right? And we've gotten to the point
48:28
now where it's just it's like feeding itself,
48:30
right? Yeah, it's a nonsense. Mark Zuckerberg does that.
48:32
They all do that. I was right about this, but
48:34
they don't tell you the times people were right and
48:36
pushed him in the right direction. He never remembers
48:39
that part. I think
48:41
it's a real blind spot. He used to listen to
48:43
a lot of people. I know people think he's kind
48:45
of a troll right now, but he did used to.
48:47
He had a lot of people around him who pushed
48:49
back on him. And now I think there's almost nobody.
48:52
And speaking people who do influence
48:54
him, Tim, you wrote a piece
48:56
about Elon's infatuation with God
48:58
Saad, a Canadian marketing professor, author,
49:00
and cultural warrior who rails against
49:02
the quote unquote, like mine virus.
49:05
It's just one of the right wing thinkers whom
49:07
Elon seems to have glomped onto. I
49:10
feel that COVID lockdowns radicalized
49:12
him more. He was
49:14
upset. The Biden administration ignored Tesla, his
49:16
words. Is there any
49:18
clue to help us understand his obsession
49:21
with sort of strafing immigrants, Jews,
49:23
trans people, black people, gay people?
49:27
And are there any other right wing thinkers
49:29
he's engaging with online besides
49:32
Saad? It's definitely, you
49:34
definitely see, and he's even talked, Elon's talked
49:36
about 2019. He starts to
49:38
see the world a little bit different, but
49:40
then COVID happens and we really start to
49:43
see it differently through his public stances. Right?
49:46
And one of the things that makes it challenging
49:48
to write and to kind of follow him is that
49:51
sometimes he is on the forefront of
49:53
kind of having his fingers
49:55
on the pulse of where society is on
49:57
some of these contentious issues, right? It's not
49:59
that. I don't, you know, immigration
50:01
is definitely contentious. I don't think a
50:03
lot of people would say they support
50:05
illegal immigration, right? But it's the tone.
50:08
It's the tone. It is the things that
50:10
he's saying that goes a little too far
50:12
in a lot of people's minds. It's a
50:14
cruelness to it, right? And
50:17
you know, that is some of the challenge
50:19
of like trying to kind of balance as
50:21
you watch him as a man and as
50:23
a leader. And I
50:25
think Walter Isaacson talks about demon mode, where
50:27
sometimes it just something clicks. And
50:29
I've talked to people over the years who say you
50:31
can almost tell the red mist had come over
50:33
his eyes of just anger and, you know,
50:36
seeing things in a certain way. And
50:38
you know, I guess it's the flip side of
50:40
his ability to be so right on so
50:43
many issues that to think that EVs could be
50:45
a thing or rockets could be a thing. And
50:47
then some of these other social
50:49
issues, he seems to be out of touch with
50:51
a lot of people that are very, very hurtful
50:54
to some people. What do you think
50:56
about that demon mode? I think it's nonsense. But go ahead. Well,
50:59
I think the real issue and
51:01
this speaks to the demon mode is and
51:03
this is not just Elon. This
51:05
has been a problem with other
51:08
executives is you don't know when
51:10
they actually have an actual mental
51:12
health issue versus their drug use.
51:14
And so is demon mode just like
51:17
actually when he's like taken too much
51:19
ketamine? Is it actually because he has
51:21
a diagnosis that we don't
51:23
know about, even though we've spoken about
51:25
other mental health issues? So I think
51:28
it does, I agree, sound a little
51:30
bit sort of like apologetic to him.
51:32
But I think it really more than that speaks
51:34
to the fact that we just don't know and
51:36
won't know and won't know probably.
51:38
Yes. Becky, when you
51:40
talk to people, I think a lot of executives kind
51:42
of want to behave like him and then don't in
51:45
some ways. But do you get
51:47
worries from those who are there at the company
51:49
about that? Or are they just going along for
51:51
the ride? It's totally mixed. There's
51:53
still a lot of people who really look up
51:55
to him, even when I talk to people working
51:58
at the factories. surprises me. They'll
52:01
describe conditions that are unsafe,
52:03
they'll describe bullying, they'll describe
52:05
ways in which just
52:07
the HR has failed them, and
52:10
they'll always say, I don't think Elon
52:12
would let this remain if
52:14
he knew about it. They often
52:16
think that Elon, they see
52:18
him as sort of like a flawed hero, but
52:21
who would not let the conditions of the
52:23
factory slide if he was like there on
52:26
a day-to-day basis. It really surprises
52:28
me because I see it as being a little
52:30
bit more of a trickle down. I think that
52:32
like very high level managers do have an impact
52:34
on what things are like on the floor and
52:37
that they are responsible for what things are like
52:39
on the floor. But no,
52:41
they're still a bit of a
52:43
hero dynamic. He's often not
52:45
blamed. Yeah, it's a little Trumpy. And
52:48
speaking of that, Musk met with former President
52:50
Donald Trump in March. He said he doesn't
52:52
support Trump. I think he's lying. He
52:54
also said he might endorse a candidate closer to
52:57
the election. What's their
52:59
relationship like? Or is RFK Jr. more of
53:01
an attraction to him, Tim? He's been clear that
53:03
who he's not going to support, and that's Joe
53:05
Biden, right? And he
53:08
definitely has embraced the
53:10
Trump populism, the billionaire populism, if
53:13
you will. And
53:15
that can be helpful to the Trump campaign.
53:19
It can help elevate the message. It can
53:21
help kind of amplify that
53:23
message as we get closer to the
53:25
election day in November. And that's beneficial
53:27
to Trump, having Elon
53:30
out there attacking Biden on a regular
53:32
basis and kind of
53:34
amplifying discontent about the
53:36
president. And you definitely want
53:38
that if you are Trump. You don't want it
53:40
the other way, right? Sure.
53:43
So I'd like to end on this idea. Tim,
53:45
one of your recent columns was
53:48
called with Elon Musk as the bad outweigh
53:50
the good. So let's hear from all three
53:52
of you when factoring in everything does the
53:55
bad outweigh the good or vice versa. Are
53:57
we in the Howard Hughes portion of this?
54:00
story. You had a passage I
54:02
want to read, Tim. It was also
54:04
talking about the pay package, but also
54:06
what he was like as
54:08
an entrepreneur many years ago, which is when I
54:11
spent most of my time with him. It was
54:13
also another era for an entrepreneur, one
54:15
before Musk pulled off one of the most
54:17
remarkable corporate turnarounds in a generation and became in
54:19
the process one of the world's richest men. It was
54:22
the era of Elon as the underdog, the
54:24
guy with a chip on his shoulder trying
54:26
to prove Motor City and Bigelow wrong, as
54:29
well as all of those short sellers betting,
54:31
no rooting against him, hungry Elon sleeping on
54:33
the floor, factory Elon staring into the abyss,
54:35
chewing glass, Elon. That
54:39
factory floor thing is so nonsensical. In any
54:41
case, each of you, let's start with you,
54:43
Tim, since you wrote that, then Becky, and
54:45
then Kirsten, you get the last word. People
54:47
always want to know, is he the hero or
54:49
the villain? And I think it depends on the
54:51
day, sometimes it depends within the
54:54
day, right? There's just a lot of gray.
54:56
And I think the long arc of time
54:58
will kind of weigh that. The challenge with
55:00
judging or kind of making an opinion on
55:02
Elon and today is that there's so much
55:04
change. We don't know what Elon we're going
55:06
to get tomorrow or the next week or
55:08
a month or a year from now, right?
55:10
And what do you think it will be?
55:12
That's the drama of it all. You're not
55:14
going to guess. Think about what he has
55:16
already accomplished though. It would then 20 years ago, who
55:19
let the dog out? My dog. 20 years ago,
55:21
it would have been hard to imagine the
55:27
idea that electric cars could be true,
55:29
not even competing, but eating lunches of
55:32
the established car makers. So that in a lot of
55:34
ways is some of his legacy, what
55:36
he's done with space is some of his legacy.
55:38
But now kind of as we get into this
55:40
later part of his life, that will definitely be
55:42
part of that kind of legacy that he leads.
55:44
Becky? I think we're entering
55:47
the era where Elon has competition in
55:49
EVs, competition in reusable rockets,
55:53
and we'll find that his early
55:55
advancements in those two
55:57
areas are some of the best things that he's done. I
56:00
think that the market is just gonna get a lot
56:02
more difficult for him. He's not gonna be the only
56:04
one doing it anymore. The question
56:06
of what he does next, he has so
56:08
many supporters. Like I said earlier, he
56:10
can raise so much money. He's never
56:12
going to be the underdog ever again. But
56:15
will he have the same impact? I
56:18
am open to having my mind changed, but
56:20
I suspect that the best work is behind
56:22
him. Yeah, I would agree with that. Although
56:24
someone asked me if it was ever gonna be... When
56:27
is he gonna get gotten? Like, never?
56:30
He's really rich. Never.
56:32
Never. Kirsten, you get the last word.
56:34
Well, that's kind. I mean, I agree
56:36
with Becky. I think his fan base
56:38
is still completely enormous. But I do
56:41
think Twitter really hurt him. And
56:43
I do think that just from
56:45
what I've seen and even just from the
56:48
willingness of people to talk about him,
56:51
even on background or off the
56:53
record, I think the sentiment is
56:56
changing against him for the
56:58
first time in a way that it
57:00
hasn't in the past. You can even
57:02
see it in San Francisco with all
57:04
the people with the bumper stickers on their
57:06
Tesla saying like, I bought this before I
57:08
knew Elon was crazy. So I do think
57:10
there has been an effect. Yeah, he's a
57:12
butt of a joke now in a lot of ways,
57:14
which I think was unfortunate because he didn't have to
57:16
be that way. In any case, we
57:19
will see what happens. Who knows? Maybe
57:21
he'll go to Mars and stay there. Lincoln Hope.
57:24
Anyway, thank you so much. We
57:26
love your reporting. You'll have plenty of
57:28
material. And if
57:30
you ever run out, you can go over to
57:32
OpenAI and then there's plenty of material there. Anyway,
57:34
thank you so much, all three of you. Thank
57:37
you. Thank you. Thank
57:39
you. The
57:49
special thanks to Kate Gallagher, Andrea
57:52
Lopez-Crizado and Kate Furby. Our
57:54
engineers are Rick Kwan and Fernando Arruda
57:56
and our theme music is by Trackademics.
57:59
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