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pendo.io/pivot to learn more. Hi
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everyone, this is Pivot from New York Magazine
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and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Cara
1:49
Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. I
1:51
don't know what to say. We have to talk about
1:53
Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sanchez at the White House State
1:55
Dinner for Japan's Prime Minister. Wait, hold on. She
1:57
wore this to the White House? That outfit she
1:59
wore. I think she looked great. I loved it.
2:01
I liked that she did it. I have to say I
2:03
know everyone's trashing her for it and Saying she belongs at
2:06
Mar-a-Lago, but I just love that she did
2:08
it. He looked thrilled. I'm
2:10
liking this couple. There's a couple
2:12
reasons I like her outfit. Yeah. Oh,
2:16
god! I walked right into that. You
2:18
didn't even get it. I walked literally
2:21
in disoccure. I was like, what? And then
2:23
I'm like, oh my god, he literally made a boob
2:25
joke right in front of me and I didn't hear it. He
2:28
looks like an 18-year-old
2:31
who went
2:34
to prom with the hottest girl who lost a
2:36
bed and has to go to prom with him.
2:38
I mean, look how happy he looks. And
2:41
by the way, I just want to say regarding
2:43
his midlife crisis, I am so here for it.
2:45
I am too. I just think it's fantastic. I
2:47
think the guy is literally- People wanted me to
2:49
jump on it. I couldn't. I was like,
2:52
what is wrong with that? If loving her
2:54
is wrong, I don't want to be right. That's
2:56
what I have to say. All I got to say is,
2:59
sometimes divorce is a good thing. Like,
3:02
Bo Cepesos and Mackenzie Scott get to be
3:04
the people they want to be. She gets
3:06
to give away billions of dollars anonymously. He
3:08
gets to buy a yellow, canary yellow
3:12
Corvette teetop and crash it into
3:14
a hair transplant clinic. I mean,
3:16
this guy is literally like a
3:19
midlife bomb detonating over and over and over. But
3:21
it's great. It's great content. It's amazing. I mean,
3:23
it brought a little Trump back to the White
3:26
House. Good for him. It did bring a little
3:28
Trump back to the White House. Good for him
3:30
and good for them. And by the way, I
3:33
have met both her
3:36
first two husbands. The football
3:38
player, I forgot his name.
3:40
Is it Tony? What's his name? He's
3:42
this big, handsome, articulate, charming
3:44
guy. I mean, he's just like
3:47
the most impressive man. Patrick Lysol.
3:50
Fantastic. Like a total
3:52
fucking baller. Tall, handsome,
3:55
smart. I mean, okay.
3:58
She must be literally the most... captivating
4:00
woman in the world. I
4:02
don't know. I don't know. Anyway, I liked it. Oh
4:04
my God. All the haters just leave
4:06
them alone. Good for them. So what? It's
4:08
not inappropriate for the white. I was thinking the Trumps
4:11
were there with like blood trees. Come on.
4:13
Like it doesn't bring it down. It was funny. It was
4:15
fun. It was fun. Leave
4:18
them alone. Like I'm alone. Look,
4:20
you do. I'm being mean to them. I'll cry. I'll
4:23
do that crying thing. He's the world's richest man. He gets to be...
4:25
Good for... Jeff, you do Jeff. That was
4:28
quite a list of people there. Did you see the
4:30
list? I
4:32
didn't see the list. I'm totally sequestered right now. I
4:34
have no insight into it. No. First
4:36
time ever I looked at a list, but it looked like
4:38
a fantastic get together. And you know, we're cycling
4:41
up to Japan because
4:43
of China. Obviously we're trying to create better
4:45
relations, but this is who was there. It
4:47
was Robert De Niro there with his new
4:49
wife who he just had a baby with.
4:51
He looked so sexy. He
4:53
was like dead sexy, by the way. He looked when he
4:55
walked in. He was very handsome. It was like
4:57
a very sexy dinner. And
4:59
then they had Chrissy Yamaguchi who looked
5:01
fantastic and looked like she was having
5:04
a great time. She the ice skater?
5:06
Yes, she is. Yeah. Yeah.
5:08
But she does not. Tim Cook was there with Lisa Jackson
5:11
who works at Apple and a range
5:13
of things. Jamie
5:15
Dimon was there. I want to meet Tim's partner.
5:17
I want to know... I'm sorry. I
5:20
want to know who Tim's talking. He doesn't have... I don't
5:22
know about that. I don't think he does. He's so
5:24
big and handsome. The rich. I agree.
5:26
I think he dates. I don't think... Yeah,
5:29
okay. All right. In any
5:31
case, I want to... I love how we're not allowed to talk
5:33
about Tim Cook as if he's a saint. The pain
5:35
from fate of gayness. He's a
5:37
big handsome man. Tim, you're
5:39
not getting any younger. Okay. God
5:42
is here for you. By the way, I've got a great pick up line for him.
5:44
I would like to move along. Go ahead. Go ahead.
5:47
He should say to any hot young man he
5:49
meets, there's only going to
5:51
be seven planets after you see what I do to
5:53
Uranus. Oh, no. That
5:55
is such a... I hope all the gays come after you
5:57
for that and I'm not going to defend you in any
5:59
way. I know I've
6:02
ordered some. Always job where ads
6:04
are have as hundreds. He's.
6:06
Not saying outside. Whenever a copy the
6:08
big handsome game and get out there,
6:10
I'm. Continuing run the manual the scene
6:13
Bathroom Japan for people who don't know
6:15
I did it did interview with from
6:17
recently sign saying they're from isn't just
6:19
had those negotiations. Over the automakers seen
6:22
the say or oh yeah that the smart
6:24
union guy more union guy he would say
6:26
I'd imagine such. A cool that type of.
6:28
I dug em off and by certain
6:30
has looked fantastic. I like that. I
6:32
like when they just. An American woman.
6:35
I'd like when these are not are the things I think we
6:37
look good as the country. As a White House has
6:39
meant to be hungry or nicer than you
6:41
could pull this off by got the fab
6:43
padded in and so. You. Got to
6:45
come out. Since then you got this total like
6:48
whoa crowd. My name is to do a fundraiser
6:50
for the president and I will wear Lauren Sanchez
6:52
is alpha. Oh they did. We don't
6:54
want you back and address remember we got you. Added the
6:56
dress number. With. Him, for
6:58
that absurdity of penis is. Great
7:01
and terrible in that dress. You
7:03
in the by the way with. I have more legs
7:06
and a bucket of vida. Y was a
7:08
Roman I would have an amazing legs, all
7:10
substance. In
7:12
my head sets really nice. Yellen
7:16
as their sin. Ill since anywhere and plan as it
7:18
looks, I'd love a dinner. I covered them As a
7:20
young reporter for the was imposed. I used to have
7:22
a balding those and night as I'd like to go
7:24
to when we should go to months and that. Will.
7:26
Never get bogged down for it. You gotta work
7:29
on add all the same you keep talking about
7:31
the courses. you do it army yeah I see
7:33
get an invitation. Went to school would like to
7:35
do her dance. With center do a
7:37
lot or country get new businesses. If
7:39
it's a state dinner, it's a state
7:42
dinner with voluntary. We had ordered Prime Minister's
7:44
but I I'm going to a party tonight
7:46
at the Us ambassador his house here and
7:48
eat him a sustainable fashion which I could
7:50
give a shit about that it was in
7:52
sustains us and no rhyme or consumption culture
7:54
folks for any. We got lucky. Guess is a
7:56
open Ai is going on the offensive. As a company.
7:58
Tackles numerous Last and Paramount's possible merger
8:01
with Sky is is getting a little
8:03
messy. Posts are friend of his it
8:05
is Washington Post reporter Isaac are in
8:07
stores and who has a new book?
8:09
Finish what we started the mega movements
8:11
ground war to end democracy the to
8:13
follow our last one with that would
8:15
rip recruit, spend yet and never get
8:17
the like that interviewed by the way.
8:19
But first David Chang, some on the
8:22
suit who finds itself in the middle
8:24
essentially crunch drama muscle go his trademark
8:26
chile crunch, spicy oily Christie parliament popular
8:28
in Asian countries. After sending cease. And
8:30
desist Letters to manufacturers. Using the name
8:32
the brand has been accused of trademark and
8:34
generic cultural products. Some critics it's imperative to
8:36
move to trade marking catch up and suggested
8:38
it's mina is monopoly behavior a company in
8:40
Denver previously on the trademark and send a
8:43
cease and desist. Letter to Mama Soco who
8:45
it's and said work to purchase a
8:47
trademark for itself. It's got your branding
8:49
person, What? they actually crunch. I think
8:51
silicone stuff all over the place at
8:53
Mean Asia. and also any time you
8:55
are an Asian market there's a million
8:58
silly financing. This seems crazy observed for
9:00
for muscle to and David Chang to
9:02
do. he looks like an asshole. Were
9:04
your thoughts. On like this marketing
9:06
thing boy inside the majority about
9:08
I just started out as good
9:10
idea of the matters. Our ability
9:13
to protect Ip is really important.
9:15
whether it's someone's likeness, whether it's
9:17
said that panzer the chemical context
9:19
of the pharmaceutical, America's version and
9:22
our economy relies on what you
9:24
would loosely called intellectual property protection
9:26
ability to legally protected This has
9:28
gone crazy. This reminds me of
9:30
when Paris Hilton side a trademark
9:33
Deaths Ha L Re. Are
9:35
that high end of a site and someone said
9:37
the know. You. Can't trade Martha.
9:39
So the reason why we have
9:41
thoughtful judges and law in and
9:43
and cases is that we can
9:45
say are right, There is a
9:47
line here because when you have
9:50
is it's been weaponized in the
9:52
sunsets. These especially big companies are
9:54
well resourced, Company sends cease and
9:56
desist letters to everyone for anything
9:58
that smells of anything remotely. The
10:00
you could have the means of suppressing competition
10:02
and also the use it as a means
10:04
of trying to get on earn pr. For
10:07
example, Amazon will fall apart and. For.
10:09
A not only a floating warehouse
10:12
which is probably. Physically.
10:16
Impossible. For the next couple centuries
10:18
they will file a patent for
10:20
a. Projectile. Descent
10:22
sealed up there float and warehouse and
10:24
the reason they do with it's is
10:27
they know the reporters at Forbes and
10:29
other business magazines, troll patent filings and
10:31
and right about them. So Ip Protection
10:33
has taken on all the stuff for
10:36
nuance including intimidation including well resourced monopolies
10:38
de casa because if you get a
10:40
cease and desist letter in your small
10:42
company you're sort of inclined to say
10:45
and my really gonna take on this
10:47
well resourced company or my just gonna
10:49
find another name but this is. An
10:51
example of a gone Haywire. These are
10:53
generic terms and I believe the court
10:55
will say sorry this term has become
10:58
generic. You can't own it. I.
11:00
Think that this is exactly what each other as
11:02
in the people he said of losing their minds
11:04
on on on the internet. Here it's really important
11:06
with his his done here they can. I agree
11:08
with you like it did, this is it's it.
11:10
What do you think it's gonna end up. It'll
11:13
be dismissed. Dismiss sounding, he won't
11:15
be able to sit. Cease.
11:17
And desist. Now it's. A
11:19
guy and it'll be the this will be
11:21
in as you call illegal harassment or say
11:23
you have no domain over the name and
11:25
and you should pay back the legal fees
11:27
to the people were you're creating new know.
11:31
whatever, whatever you call it a superfluous or
11:33
whatever glitter an issue around the trademark office
11:35
to play city. He doesn't the
11:37
trademark. great. The. Onset World.
11:39
But but if it's trademark about
11:41
right there are like okay.the trademarks.
11:44
And all. right? Side to I
11:46
disowned by I don't know. Ill
11:49
I like. This is a this
11:51
is for Ip lawyers bud your
11:53
ability to maintain your ability to
11:55
and to encourage people to make
11:58
the requisite investments in developing. Important.
12:01
Differentiate an intellectual property is really
12:03
important to provide up production at
12:05
the same time, you have to
12:07
ensure that does a competitive marketplace
12:09
where people who are trying to
12:11
develop their own ip don't bump
12:13
into ip that's been inflated beyond
12:15
reasonable protection. Night. Or and
12:17
moving on to more controversial subject abortion decision
12:20
in Arizona. the highest court in the state
12:22
upheld the eighteenth Sixty Four. I'm not getting
12:24
folks eighteen, Sixty Four. The Lincoln Was President
12:26
law that would ban abortion at conception with
12:28
no exceptions for rape or incest or the
12:31
doctors at risk for two to five years
12:33
in prison for providing abortions. The ruling is
12:35
on hold for fourteen days being sent back
12:37
to lower court. The here additional arguments Voters
12:40
that overturn the ban and they probably well
12:42
if abortion rights good server the get the
12:44
message on the ballot and they probably can.
12:46
It looks like they're going to ah
12:48
what a friggin messier carry like is
12:50
losing our mind because you've courses for
12:53
this and now she's against as soon
12:55
as he's running for senator against Ribbon
12:57
Diego in in in Arizona Ah a
12:59
bad a Donald Trump received claim that
13:01
he wouldn't sign of several bore Sudan
13:03
is it comes to a I bet
13:06
he does sign it and kill lot
13:08
he's lying about. That said on of
13:10
it'll ever get to his death getting.
13:12
Because and Fc becomes president all a lot
13:14
of as. But I don't know what
13:16
to say. I mean obviously fodder
13:18
for jokes and everything else but
13:20
this is not. This was not
13:22
like I don't the Republicans good
13:24
shooting themselves in their tiny little
13:26
seed. Yard or In and
13:29
a sign for I was gonna happy to see this
13:31
as a arm. Are more a
13:33
dead Or I was worried that people with
13:35
say tides and sent back to the states
13:37
people who want to terminate a pregnancy can.
13:40
Actually I was worried that people are going
13:42
to think oh this isn't that big a
13:44
deal and I think. A. Loss
13:46
I'd does bring home in Arizona
13:48
I think is now technically a
13:50
swing state, that Jesus's people are
13:52
fucking insane and this has gone
13:54
way too far. And either I
13:56
think it's I think this essentially
13:58
what this. We
14:00
have done is basically
14:02
inaugurated. Senator Guy.
14:05
I guess I just think they're gonna go.
14:07
I think they're gonna have a field day
14:09
with carry late as so I did. This
14:11
is a reminder. That. These laws
14:13
are important. And that it did.
14:15
This isn't a group of people looking to
14:17
moderated around a thoughtful discussion around. it's they're
14:20
looking for the handmade sale. And.
14:22
This is a minute so I
14:24
saw this. And it's a
14:26
dangerous game to play. But I was sort of
14:28
happy because I thought that the public in Arizona
14:30
need to see just how fucking crazy does people
14:33
are. They going to up you know
14:35
when they were saying oh now they got
14:37
that one. Is it Know they want the
14:39
whole saying you don't understand the one it
14:41
everywhere. They don't want it In some states
14:43
they want New York not to be able
14:45
to have abortions. I want nobody's worsens even
14:47
in cases of rape or incest. Or and
14:49
it's you know, this isn't it is. and
14:52
I and Trump totally missed the boat on
14:54
doing that. There is a place where you
14:56
could probably get most people to be okay.
14:58
I'm largely because. You know you do. You
15:00
know that isn't getting. Didn't see a piece and
15:02
trying to say they wanna have abortions up until
15:05
birth. It's not what they want this Such a
15:07
lie. When. Need sadists state of not
15:09
be able. To to have abortions And
15:11
no one is allowed to have abortions up
15:13
until. Worked at each in Anadarko data
15:15
that. Add. That find that I think
15:18
this really is effective Like this woman that
15:20
Sepsis can't have kids or thing is is
15:22
this is just nonsense and this is what
15:24
I've been talking to live in saying this
15:27
and are so last week and that be
15:29
early the sleep is this is a big
15:31
topic for people not just women. Anyway I'm
15:33
speaking of Political South hundreds of creators on
15:36
threads and and has set matter an open
15:38
letter asking the company to reverse it's moves
15:40
to limit the reach of political contents days
15:42
that is running from the room and Khan
15:44
and Political Content says it's handle. Is so
15:47
badly at every single time Before said he
15:49
decided not to deal with the company's decision
15:51
is impacted to be to the Counts. Posting
15:53
on issues like abortion, Lgbtq rights and disability
15:56
one time and kept having abortion rights is
15:58
replacing a decline in the to ten million
16:00
to eight hundred thousand sledders. suggest that medicine
16:02
that ears often are out of restrictions rather
16:05
than making it default settings through the huge
16:07
mistake from matter. just a dumb they just
16:09
they want to get out of a thing
16:11
they do badly and so they just said
16:14
we're not going to do it anymore There's
16:16
a this company is constantly just. Speaking
16:18
of shooting itself in the foot, they're just. That
16:22
you know, this is their idea of
16:24
getting rid of political misinformation by killing
16:26
everybody likes his sister up. I honestly
16:28
these people just don't have any kind
16:30
of like ability to make a good
16:32
decision on these things. I
16:34
don't know your thoughts on this well
16:36
for a long time. Matter
16:39
has said that we're not subject to the
16:41
same liability no one gives a second to
16:43
thirty bit of philosophical acres where the bulletin
16:45
board and we can control what people put
16:47
up sir, that's there are that by virtue,
16:50
the fact they've decided to remove all political
16:52
content or at least diminished it's visibility there,
16:54
acknowledging their an editor third knowledge in our
16:56
media company. And by the way, I actually
16:58
think. They. Have the right to
17:01
do that because they are a media
17:03
company but if they have the right
17:05
to do that, we can see them.
17:08
They are subject to the same laws
17:10
defamation, slander, misinformation that every other but
17:12
media company is subject to. and personally
17:15
I don't like it does. I love
17:17
Jessica Yellin Contents: It's called news not
17:19
noise way to does get up to
17:22
speed and like. Ninety. Seconds
17:24
and she tries to do a good job
17:26
of just balls and strikes. And unfortunately because
17:28
matters like we're just not good at the
17:30
some you don't want to allocate resources around
17:33
fact checking. we don't want of anything
17:35
resembling a responsible media companies. We just rather
17:37
leave the room and not have any events
17:39
find you to to make that choice. But
17:42
then guess what, you're an editor which means
17:44
you're media company. Which means you can
17:46
be sued fly. I mean just like in
17:48
some always pointing out like if telesis
17:50
say decides to back biden city blocks.
17:53
Sites. Is our political yeah? Yeah. it's
17:55
ridiculous be just as the city
17:57
users i second things up doesn't
17:59
mean You have to hurt the good
18:01
users who are trying to have good political
18:03
discourse. I mean, seriously, Mehta, like get yourself
18:05
together and pay the price it costs for
18:07
being a media company. And that's what you
18:10
are. I hope
18:12
this convinces, I've, recently
18:14
I've been talking a lot in events I'm
18:16
doing for the book. I'm like, they're a media
18:18
company. Let's stop pretending. They're a modern
18:20
media company, but they're a media company. And
18:23
if Wuppert-Moorock can get sued, and believe me,
18:25
I'm thrilled he did and lost, they
18:28
should be able to get sued. Anyway, all
18:30
right, let's get to our first big story, speaking of that.
18:36
OpenAI and Mehta are getting closer to releasing
18:39
new AI models capable of reasoning and planning,
18:41
according to a new report in the Financial Times.
18:43
Both companies confirmed they're working on models that will
18:45
be more sophisticated when it comes to problem solving
18:47
and handling complex tasks. The
18:50
ability to reason would bring the technology
18:52
closer to artificial general intelligence, where
18:54
AI has some form of human level
18:57
cognition. And I don't like to anthropize
18:59
these things, but it's reasoning. They have
19:01
reasoning. It's not human reasoning, but it's
19:04
reasoning. What do you think
19:06
about this next step? And this is a fear
19:08
game for a lot of people. Elon
19:12
Musk, as usual, had to weigh in because he can't shut
19:14
the fuck up. I sent an interview, my guess is that
19:16
we'll have AI that is smarter than any one human
19:18
probably around the end of next year. I
19:21
think that's probably correct. I had
19:24
been in a meeting many years ago where
19:26
they said AI was like
19:29
a dolphin now and it's going to surpass humans
19:31
and then go way past humans in thinking. I
19:34
don't think that's the big thing. But do
19:36
you see any
19:38
kind of problem with this, obviously? There are
19:41
a lot of ways fraught with potential problems.
19:43
When you say this, do you mean the
19:45
speed of its development? The speed of its
19:47
development, which seems natural that this would happen.
19:49
Well, the author of Sapiens, his analogy
19:51
was a really interesting one. He said
19:53
at some point it was just amoebas
19:55
and then eventually these amoebas
19:58
evolved to terrain. and the Soros-Rex's and
20:00
it took billions of years. He
20:03
said, what AI now is an amoeba, but it'll
20:05
get to T-Rex in about 10 years. And
20:08
I think he's right. I don't think you
20:10
can slow it down. What I think you
20:12
can do though, is put in place pretty
20:14
stringent regulation and also bilateral
20:17
cooperation. We actually just, remember we
20:19
had Senator Warner and he said
20:21
that the American public doesn't realize
20:23
that behind closed doors, there's actually
20:25
more bipartisan cooperation. I
20:28
think there's more, I think that's also
20:30
true of bilateral cooperation across countries. Even
20:33
Iran, North Korea and the US come
20:35
together and say, okay, we're not gonna
20:37
have battlefield technologies where we can blind
20:39
soldiers in a nanosecond. We're not gonna,
20:42
we're gonna try and slow down the development
20:44
of bioweapons because we realize that could just
20:47
be bad for all of us. And
20:49
so I don't think, what
20:52
I don't like is the hand wringing and all the posturing
20:54
and the catastrophizing. I think what we
20:56
need is just really, and
21:00
I continue to flex the name drop, but
21:02
I've had some dialogue with the DHS and
21:04
I might play to their greed and
21:07
get them working, give them
21:09
economic incentive to help develop the
21:11
regulation and regulatory bodies. Because,
21:14
and create economic incentive here. The
21:17
only thing I ever see these companies react to is
21:19
money. They pretend to give a flying fuck about the
21:21
world and all that. And maybe they do in their
21:23
spare time, but their day jobs are just getting more
21:25
and more money. I mean, create economic
21:28
incentives to have the equivalent of kind of
21:30
the iron dome missile shield. There is
21:32
no reason why we can't have defense and
21:35
guardrails that are sophisticated as
21:37
the missiles or the problems themselves. Yeah, I agree
21:39
with you. I, you know, this new privacy bill
21:41
that Maria Senator Cantwell, I'll be interviewing her very
21:43
soon about this, but you know, it has a
21:45
lot of money things in it. Like there's some
21:47
fees and there's some incentives, you know, in it,
21:50
which I think is important. And
21:52
also, speaking of which, there's legal issues
21:54
too, which is great. Liability is a
21:56
great cleaner, is a very clarifying situation
21:59
for many companies. We're getting
22:01
some insights into OpenAI's legal strategy. The company's
22:03
been hit with more than a dozen high
22:05
profile lawsuits in government investigations in the last
22:07
year. The company has hired about two dozen
22:10
in-house lawyers to work on issues including, especially
22:12
copyright according to the Washington Post. As the
22:14
Post put it, these actions underscore the new
22:16
reality OpenAI is at war. One
22:19
of their strategies is to paint it as a
22:21
bulwark against China. They have other strategies. I've heard
22:23
them all from them. In New York Times, this
22:25
has a very significant lawsuit against OpenAI. I
22:27
urge everybody to read it. The
22:29
tech companies are saying that training is not
22:32
the big deal. They're not really stealing. They're
22:34
just training. It's not. They're
22:36
trying to use fair use and everything else.
22:38
I think it's Sarah Silverman suing.
22:40
It's a whole range of people from the New
22:42
York Times. It's Sarah Silverman to authors
22:45
and things like that. Of course, I had my
22:47
own experience with AI making
22:49
Kara Swisher books. You'll
22:51
have that with your book coming out soon. What
22:54
do you think of where these copyright lawsuits are?
22:56
I think my fear is that we make the
22:58
same mistake we did. I mean, the two- We
23:01
weren't suing before the first time, but go ahead.
23:03
That's right. The two original sends I see as
23:06
making the internet ad supported and not
23:08
having micropayments. I think that led to
23:10
just terrible places. Two, back
23:13
in the odds, traditional media
23:15
companies should have bound together and demanded that
23:17
these companies pay their
23:20
fair share to crawl our data and
23:22
slice up the block of cheese and then sell it
23:24
for more money. Again,
23:26
the thing I've told this story before, the thing that
23:28
brought home to me, I had dinner with the managing
23:30
editor of the New York Times once at a board
23:32
dinner and it was a guy named Bill Keller. He
23:34
had to excuse himself early from the dinner because he
23:36
was negotiating the release of one of his journalists from
23:38
the Taliban. I'm like, okay,
23:41
that's what the New York Times has to do. The
23:43
New York Times has to negotiate the release of a
23:45
journalist and Google just pulls up a dump truck
23:48
and takes money from us. They don't put
23:50
their people in harm's way. They don't fact check
23:52
anything. We had
23:54
an opportunity to bind together. News
23:57
Corps, you know, News
23:59
Corps, Congress. And then Condon asked everyone,
24:02
I wanted us all to bind together, that was my
24:04
idea, and then say, you are not
24:06
allowed to crawl our content and we're going to have
24:09
a bidding, a licensing war between Microsoft Bing, which was
24:11
viable at the time, and Google and anybody else. And
24:14
there was all this antitrust concern and we fell
24:16
into the idolatry of innovators. We thought, no, we're
24:18
going to make money, they're going to send us
24:21
traffic. We're at that moment now, except
24:23
companies seem to be smarter. The only thing I don't,
24:26
I'm worried about here is they're being atomized. The
24:29
New York Times should not be going at this
24:31
alone. There should be. Well,
24:33
Barry Giller wanted them all to go together.
24:35
Yeah, they did. And that's how they absolutely
24:37
should have done it. They should
24:39
all be speaking with one voice, similar to the
24:42
way that there's a group representing all music artists
24:44
that says that KROQ, K-Rock, 106.7,
24:46
the best radio station in the history
24:48
of the planet, that says if you're
24:50
going to play the cure this number
24:53
of times through the year, you owe
24:55
us X dollars. And
24:57
it's an ecosystem that works. It's
24:59
really interesting that people don't think about, and we'd love to
25:01
talk about this at some other point, not today, is these
25:04
companies still don't have a business plan and it's
25:06
got to have to be advertising or something. None
25:09
of these AI companies have a business plan yet
25:11
of how they're going to make money. Open AI has a bit of a
25:14
... They have a plan. A little bit. They have a
25:16
little ... It's small. It's a small subscription,
25:18
et cetera. How
25:21
they're going to make money here in a big way
25:24
is going to be an interesting thing. And there's plenty
25:26
of money if they do it right
25:28
with these media companies, right, in cooperation
25:30
and everything else. I think they're going to tend
25:33
towards not wanting to give them much of
25:35
the pie eventually, but we
25:37
should not be giving away the milk for free,
25:39
as they say, in the old cow metaphor. So
25:41
anyway, we'll see where it goes. I think they're
25:43
going to win some of these copyright lawsuits and
25:46
then we'll see. And then they have their arguments
25:48
and maybe we'll bring them on and hear from
25:50
them about their arguments. It'll be good
25:52
for people to get illuminated on what each side
25:54
is saying, even if they're not supporting the Marissa
25:56
Mayer, it's still early. And according to Shel Samberg,
25:58
we're proud of our ... progress, but we need
26:00
to do better. They're
26:03
going to deploy the same number of... Yeah,
26:06
same nonsense. Sam Altman is Sheryl Sandberg with
26:08
Hush Towns. He's very attractive. He's very nice.
26:11
He gives you the illusion that he gives a flying fuck,
26:13
and he's going to deploy his army of
26:16
lobbyists, and they're going to try and say
26:18
it's about progress. They'll use Jingo Wispy. Will
26:20
China's AI weaponized warriors are coming for us?
26:22
They will pull out the same table. We're
26:24
here to help. And our
26:27
golden girls, the Walking Dead Congress
26:29
will want to be part of the young... To
26:31
serve man. It's a cookbook. And
26:34
the same thing, not as bad, but the
26:36
same thing is happening again. And
26:40
they absolutely need to bind together and say, you
26:42
crawl any of our data, any of
26:45
our data. I
26:48
want to have Tom Petty's, even the losers,
26:51
for our opening song. We can't play five
26:53
seconds of it. There's no fair use. That
26:56
would cost $80,000. I looked into it. $80,000
26:59
a year. But oh, but
27:01
OpenAI can crawl every article in history
27:04
off of the New York Times. All
27:06
right. We'll see where it goes.
27:08
All right, Scott. Let's take a quick break. We come
27:10
back. We'll talk about why shareholders are
27:12
not thrilled with Paramount Global's merger plan and speak
27:15
to a friend of Pivot Isaac Arnzorff about the
27:17
rise of the MAGA movement. And
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that's it for today's show comes from Deloitte. If
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drink smartwater.com. Scott,
29:34
we're back with our second big story. Paramount
29:36
Global is facing some headwinds in the midst
29:38
of exclusive merger talks with Skydance Media. That
29:41
is run by David Ellison, son of
29:43
Larry Ellison. I've done an interview with him. He's a
29:45
really interesting guy. He does the Star Trek and
29:48
Mission Impossible movies and I've been top gun
29:50
too. He's a very successful movie maker. Paramount
29:52
has currently lost more than one-third of its
29:55
market value since early December when reports about the
29:57
possible merger first come out. That's kind of interesting,
29:59
Cheryl. These are worried about the deal structure would.
30:01
Unfairly benefit Sherry Redstone the way it's
30:03
formulated and I that we could go
30:05
into it. I guess I'm you adjust
30:07
for. Directors are also cited to step
30:09
down from Paramount's weren't coming weeks Clinton
30:11
was two daughters are pissed about that
30:13
that There's a lot of rancorous Under
30:15
current terms read since National Amusements Company
30:17
receive over two billion dollars in cash
30:19
and Sky Dancer the first step of
30:21
the deal and Paramount Global would. Acquire
30:24
Sky Dance in an all star
30:26
feel bad Europe: five billion, very
30:28
complex national news and controls paramount
30:30
global and so. Would advantage there
30:32
were read: some families are paramount.
30:34
Also has had a twenty six. Billion
30:37
Dollar or cash offer from private equity
30:39
firm Apollo Global Management. To you and
30:41
I know Mark Rylance be good but they
30:43
went there going with side against as it's
30:45
better for sure Iran Zone and is the
30:48
Pyramids Board formed a special independent comedic value
30:50
companies options. The board seems to be trying
30:52
to push back on audio by threatening quitting.
30:54
That's a serious and has control here to
30:56
she's a controlling shareholder so what do you
30:59
think? Scott I'd love to hear. Your side
31:01
there's no doubt about it. Sherry and the
31:03
bankers him to his sock this up so
31:05
bad they had it and it's I can't
31:08
they have a last time a company with
31:10
this type of assets and even though it's
31:12
in a declining industry decision I like how
31:14
can a yellow terms everything some cash flow,
31:17
all kinds of shit and and he he
31:19
adds in the midst of merger talks in
31:21
the stock as off twenty four percent I
31:23
mean you just never see that and what
31:25
you have here is do class herald assistant
31:28
structure where the one shareholders and block everything
31:30
despite the fact. Is sitting on a melting
31:32
ice to have every day crosses arms and
31:34
says no I want a premium to what
31:36
other shareholders who gets to the other shareholders
31:39
of said sorry girlfriend were going to try
31:41
and block the skill and what's obvious here
31:43
is that. When. There's only two
31:45
bitters, and once a financial better. Is.
31:47
Clear, this is kind of shaping up
31:50
to be assailed auction and then shareholder
31:52
see internal strife. This assists. This is
31:54
not only a clusterfuck, but it's you
31:56
know, Mom's addicted to diet pills and
31:58
Dad's a pet. While but the neighbors
32:01
didn't know. Now everybody knows who I meet.
32:03
It's allows. it's a seems there's dirt upset.
32:06
Their. Dirty Laundry is is being. This
32:08
company can't get it's shit together. The
32:10
shareholders are at war with own Das
32:12
the stump see there's an answer seen
32:15
warfare. All the strategic players that sit
32:17
on the same have said we don't
32:19
even want it and a financial buyer
32:22
Apollo was in there. If Apollo was
32:24
in their it means the cash flow
32:26
alone at the price it's out right
32:29
now is justifiable. Meaning the thing as
32:31
have sailed auction and then you have
32:33
Allison in their. What's gonna happen? Or
32:35
it ear Mr. Deal maker what's gonna happen
32:38
here From your perspective which should happen and
32:40
what will happen. That. There's the assets
32:42
are good for someone the obviously it's
32:44
at rock. Rowan wouldn't business around if you
32:46
didn't think it was interesting. On isn't an
32:48
opportunity I think Alison, i'm Roman, are grown
32:50
ups. And I think they're going to
32:52
split the baby. I think they're gonna end up
32:55
each stating. Adding to things going
32:57
to be sold for parts I think
32:59
the movies I'd adding sir now said so
33:01
that a one player and sir now
33:03
so to go to another Let's see
33:05
has literally overplayed her hands for five years.
33:08
In They're did No one believes her,
33:10
She can't bluff, and there's only two
33:12
people in the world who are are
33:14
even interested in this thing right now.
33:17
And at some point and they're not precluded from
33:19
I don't think from partner is saying okay I
33:21
want the studio you're going to take the cable
33:23
assets. Wanted to stress asset good bank, bad banks
33:25
that I think this ends up. she has to
33:28
get out now to see doesn't get out the
33:30
Sox going to go another thirty or forty percent
33:32
down. With she doesn't have to consider has.
33:34
To raise the she could home for right
33:36
track I'm sure she did. She could continue
33:38
sequence. She can stop shooting yourself in the
33:41
seat for bankers if she has. I see
33:43
tap your stupid woman or I'd she's made
33:45
some stupid moves here but they're going to
33:47
say to her if we don't do this
33:49
is your company's off another thirty or fifty
33:51
percent next year. Ever notice every day she
33:53
doesn't close a deal de Cinco Sound and
33:55
Route instead alone is worth like a lot
33:57
more to five years ago right assistant like.
34:00
Oh my God, this is one of the,
34:03
this was an iconic brand trading
34:05
at a very strong multiple. Off
34:07
24, you can put out
34:10
a rumor, and CEOs and bankers do
34:12
this saying there's been an inbound
34:14
inquiry or we're open to selling the
34:16
company. The stock pops 10 or 20%,
34:18
the stock's gone down here. So
34:21
this is, I think this is gonna be
34:23
sold for parts. And who wins, Apollo or
34:25
Skydance? The answer is yes. Yes, that's a
34:27
really smart thing. So you think there's, Mark
34:29
is on the phone to this guy and
34:31
saying, hey girl. It
34:34
strikes me that first off, this thing
34:36
has become. Who calls who in that
34:38
situation? This thing has become an ungangly
34:40
robot built in a factory of lesser
34:43
robots. It's got subscale parts, they're all
34:45
assets, but there's not really a ton
34:47
of synergy here at subscale. I
34:50
would imagine Skydance wants certain assets
34:52
and not others, whereas Apollo just
34:54
wants cashflow. These guys
34:56
are adults, they're super smart. The
34:58
bankers and Sherry have demonstrated neither
35:00
of those things. They're gonna
35:03
split the baby, they're gonna buy the same. Yeah,
35:05
the board, this board move was something else. That
35:07
takes a lot for, those people are like. That
35:09
means they're at war with each other. Those people are professional board
35:12
members on that. It's done on Ostrab,
35:14
a whole bunch of people. They don't do this lightly,
35:16
because they love being on the board. Yeah,
35:19
they love being on board. It means it's one of
35:21
those boards. And being on private planes and everything else.
35:23
Yeah, it means the boards, it means individual board members
35:25
have lawyered up, they're not speaking to Sherry. It's
35:28
gotten really fucking ugly, and every board member
35:30
on this board is regretting going on the
35:32
board of this thing, and it's now thinking
35:34
about reputation and getting sued and being 100%.
35:38
Yeah, yeah, all right, well, we'll see where
35:40
it goes. Sherry, get with it, come on. Even if
35:42
you have control, you don't have control anymore. I think
35:44
that's pretty much it. I think she should
35:46
start dating Lauren Sanchez. Well, I'm sure you're
35:48
gonna tell me a dating story about you
35:50
and her someday, but anyway. Well, you had
35:52
mentioned Senator Cantwell before, and I just can't
35:54
comment on it, because she and I, we
35:57
don't talk publicly about our work-life. God is
35:59
dating back to. Gotta feeling None of
36:01
these people. Nor has have any insists
36:03
and parents had some saga be asking
36:05
says the demo. About that to to
36:07
say that's my job since. In. Fact: Excoriating.
36:09
history. Anyway, Nesting and our
36:12
friend? The ticket. Prices
36:19
aren't stores Is a national political reporter
36:21
for The Wash Impose, an author of
36:23
Finish What We started, the mega Movements
36:26
Ground War to end Democracy. Isaac Welcome.
36:28
Say so much Roger early think we
36:30
talked about these issues. Run dictatorships, With
36:32
Ruth Than Yachts and I were your are
36:35
follow the or follow to do with others
36:37
Importance on and it's in public. I'm thinking
36:39
about a lot of Sussex. I'm thinking about
36:41
Steve Bannon almost continually at Whoo You write
36:44
about a lot and I wish I'd appreciate
36:46
for people understand how important years and all
36:48
this but this is a book where for
36:50
one sell itself is not the main characters.
36:53
They said it's about Mag as a movements
36:55
Talk about why you wanted to dig into
36:57
it and why you made Steve Bannon. Such
36:59
a big cancer you it's absolutely correct
37:02
to do so. but talk about that
37:04
will think you're yeah it's on the
37:06
book. It is kind of like a
37:08
a search to discover Trump or near
37:10
me shows up at the very beginning
37:12
and then we see people kind of
37:14
hearing him and trying to contact him
37:17
on boudoir sweets. Meet him until the
37:19
very end of you know. Part of
37:21
that was just like you know what
37:23
else is there say about the most
37:25
famous person in modern human history But
37:27
part of it is also. Likes, you
37:29
know the I started the reporting at
37:32
a time when Trump was was actually
37:34
out of a picture right? This was
37:36
early to mid twenty twenty one. He
37:39
was basically and hibernation at More Lago
37:41
and it was actually the movement on
37:43
be was his supporters as. Hardest.
37:46
And guided by Ben in who
37:48
through their activism at the ground
37:50
level paves the way for Trump
37:52
to make this comebacker was not
37:54
at all clear or inevitable that
37:56
we would be where we are
37:58
now, right? you been. And I think
38:00
of him as a marketer in a lot of ways.
38:02
I pay a lot of attention to him, he says,
38:05
because he's quite brilliant on communications, marketing. And he has
38:07
a media background for people who don't know. And he
38:09
was part of a lot of weird things, too, including
38:11
the biosphere. He's a longtime media executive. He's a little
38:13
Roger Ailes in that way. So let's
38:16
talk about a couple of things. You interviewed him several
38:18
times over the last few years. You
38:20
write he believes that the MAGA movement could, quote,
38:23
represent a dominant coalition that could rule for 100
38:25
years. Sounds
38:27
very Third Reich in that regard. And I
38:30
recently interviewed Tim Ryback about
38:32
how Hitler did a similar kind
38:34
of revival of himself. Talk
38:37
about Bannon's role here, and especially
38:41
before and after January 6, because he's got
38:43
his own legal problems, obviously, which he has
38:46
tried to squirrel out of. Yeah,
38:48
well, there was the
38:50
first indictment for the fundraising for the
38:52
wall that he and the other people
38:54
involved were actually spending on themselves, allegedly.
38:58
Trump helped them out with pardoning him for that.
39:00
And that actually really helped him in that moment
39:03
right after January 6, when,
39:05
again, Trump sort of disappeared.
39:08
And a lot of
39:10
pro-Trump voices were disappearing from,
39:13
were getting deplatformed from mainstream
39:15
social media and weren't
39:17
getting a lot of mainstream news interviews either.
39:20
That really kind of supercharged the
39:22
development of this alternative ecosystem of
39:25
MAGA media. And Bannon
39:27
really became the son
39:30
of that solar system. And it helped that
39:32
he had the validation
39:34
of that Trump pardon. But
39:37
you're also right to think about Bannon. Really,
39:39
the weird period for Bannon was
39:42
when he was a White House or campaign strategist.
39:44
I mean, he came on through Breitbart. He came
39:46
on as a media figure. And so there's
39:48
something very natural about him as this
39:51
outsider media figure, actually. Yeah, one
39:53
might compare him to Goebbels, honestly, would in a
39:55
lot of ways. But also brilliant
39:57
the way I hate to compliment Goebbels.
40:00
but he was brilliant in terms of selling Hitler. Talk
40:03
a little bit about what is his
40:05
role. His role has developed. He
40:07
obviously was on the outs and then he was
40:09
in trouble legally. And then he came back after
40:11
the pardon. He has his show, The
40:13
War Room. I spent
40:16
a lot of time focused on Steve Bannon, I have to tell
40:18
you, myself. Talk
40:20
about, what would you say? You called
40:22
him the son. How would you explain
40:24
that a little further? Well, actually, I literally just
40:26
came here from The War Room. Before this, I
40:28
was doing an interview on his show where
40:31
neighbors on Capitol Hill said, I've
40:33
just gone through the looking glass and
40:36
back out. But, you know. About your
40:38
book. Yeah, exactly. About your book about
40:40
him. Because it's kind of their story.
40:43
But the case for their story not being,
40:46
when I first heard about that
40:48
Bannon was telling Trump supporters that
40:50
they needed to go become low-level
40:53
officials in the Republican party, it's
40:56
sort of like, okay, well, you know. But
40:58
there's a lot of stuff that people
41:00
talk about online. And what matters is,
41:02
does it actually cross over into a
41:04
real physical political action? And what became
41:06
amazing to me about this story is
41:08
that it was, is that I would
41:10
call around to local party
41:12
offices all over the country, but focusing on
41:15
the key states. And say, like,
41:17
are people coming out of the woodwork to
41:19
be precinct chairs? Which is like a nothing
41:21
position that no one's ever heard of. And
41:23
the answer was yes. And so that's when
41:26
I knew that, that that is actually
41:28
the power of Bannon, is that what
41:30
happens on his show doesn't stay on
41:32
his show. It
41:35
actually crosses over into action. And
41:37
he's very intentional about that. The,
41:39
what he is trying to give
41:41
his listeners a
41:44
feeling of empowerment and agency.
41:47
And particularly in that particular
41:49
time after January 6th, when
41:52
many Trump supporters were so confused
41:54
and disillusioned and disoriented about what
41:57
happened, that guidance was crucial. Happy
41:59
with. as a person. Like
42:01
you were on the show, obviously, I wouldn't say you're
42:03
friendly with him, but you know him and spend time
42:05
with him. How do you assess him
42:07
as a power figure? He's
42:10
very smart. He really does
42:13
read. I mean, he reads voraciously.
42:15
And, you know, I kind
42:20
of, there are times when I feel like it's
42:22
Steve Bannon's world and the rest of us are
42:25
just living in it. He does understand
42:27
like a, he is a
42:30
generational talent as a political
42:32
strategist in kind of understanding,
42:35
both understanding the mood of at least
42:38
a part of the population and understanding
42:40
how to channel that into meaningful
42:42
political action. Nice to meet
42:44
you. This guy is such an interesting character. What
42:47
do you think his endgame is? When he, I
42:49
don't know if he's married or when
42:52
he's with people he trusts, you
42:54
know, he's not a young man. And they say,
42:56
what is your endgame here? Like, what are your
42:58
goals? What do you want to accomplish? If you
43:01
were to try and look into
43:03
his soul or his head,
43:05
what do you think the endgame is for
43:07
Steve Bannon? Well, there was a point in
43:09
the reporting where he said very explicitly to
43:11
me, I'm not
43:13
in the rebuilding business. I'm in the
43:16
tearing down business. Right. So he, he,
43:18
he views the, the, he views history
43:21
as a cycle of, of
43:23
building up and tearing down. And he
43:25
wants to be an active agent of
43:27
that tearing down. And so
43:29
that something new can be rebuilt. And
43:32
what he has in mind is,
43:34
is rebuilt is redefining the two
43:37
party system. So instead of having
43:39
two national pluralistic parties, you'll have
43:41
a left wing globalist elitist party
43:43
and a right wing populist nationalist party.
43:46
And he thinks that's a rubric for
43:48
the nationalist party to dominate. Right. Of
43:50
course, he's using the word nationalist, which
43:52
has its recurminations Of that. Do you, so
43:55
he doesn't want to be there. He just wants
43:57
to, he wants to, you know, I Always say
43:59
some people just want to burn. down the world
44:01
and that they know they're like they want to
44:03
change them like no, no, no, they want to
44:05
burn it down for the next saying. kind of
44:07
say. How did he react to that idea that
44:09
people are kind of onto Oma? Nothing? anybody cares
44:12
right? Correct. Still talk, He talks to you right?
44:14
It was very I wrote him once. he wrote.
44:16
with that and five seconds. it was really something
44:18
to say, right? And you don't usually get that
44:20
from figures because he's got his fingers. He knows.
44:22
Who? Everybody is correct but as
44:24
you know as a media's figure
44:26
he appreciates the the importance of
44:28
media Your He's not one of
44:30
these people around Trump who are
44:32
like Rhonda scientists who like and
44:34
really believe we make stuff up
44:36
com and where the enemy on
44:38
he's much more like Trump in
44:40
the sense that he is is
44:42
dying to use I saw for
44:44
his his purposes. You know he
44:46
is unapologetic about using terms like
44:48
nationalism and nationalism is a hell
44:50
of a drug but he is
44:52
a little bit sensitive about and
44:54
we got into this a little
44:56
bit on the air just now.
44:58
He is a little bit sensitive
45:00
about this idea of ending democracy.
45:03
And as he points out. Accurately
45:06
that I'm that this precincts
45:08
strategy, what the Trump supporters
45:10
are doing is using the
45:13
machinery of democracy to. Try
45:15
to achieve their political objective that, but
45:18
it's important to understand that Democracy Ah
45:20
sin, and not at the end of
45:22
a rifle, but at the hands of
45:24
it's elected leaders. Democracy. The hello that
45:27
This is precisely what a gym my bags
45:29
book is about it. See that? The Hitler
45:31
Youth Democracy To End Democracy. That's that's the.
45:33
That's the old to mean. That's this
45:35
nonsense when he saying to anyway scotland.
45:38
What role is he playing in the
45:40
election for twenty twenty four of? from
45:42
what I understand he is the of
45:44
He has not. Be. Odd the
45:46
Terror campaign Ceo like he was
45:49
in Twenty six. Team on T
45:51
is not frequently in touch with
45:53
Trump himself like other advisers. T
45:56
is in touch with some members
45:58
of Trump's team. Fairly
46:00
regular basis arms, but
46:03
it's helpful to. To
46:06
Trump to have that little bit
46:08
of Canucks critical and plausible distance
46:10
while at the same time you
46:13
have ban in kind of as
46:15
a laboratory for developing the movement
46:17
that fuels Trump and an intensive
46:20
and ah I would imagine it.
46:22
Either. Wounded in see called trump loses his instrument
46:24
right a dead heat when he saw him from
46:26
and dell know the. The elevate escalator
46:29
and to Trump Tower it's he thinks
46:31
it's to eat. Finding it feels like
46:33
eating since. Is not dumb, but that
46:35
is just the instruments to getting what. He
46:38
wants correct or he
46:40
thinks that Trump viscerally
46:42
understand the aesthetics of
46:44
power and how to
46:46
make himself. A vehicle
46:48
of vessel for their grievances and
46:51
desires of a lot of Americans.
46:53
And and Trump has the charisma
46:55
and the same and the stature
46:58
to do that. Arms but. Fan.
47:00
And is is embedded in Trump
47:03
has slightly different goals in of
47:05
to everything for Trump is about
47:07
himself and when when When when
47:10
Ben and describes him as his
47:12
instrument what he's talking about is
47:14
trying to channel the movement. Into.
47:18
An institution of the parties
47:20
where it's in, transcend the
47:22
limits of being a cult
47:24
of personality around a single
47:26
leader and actually achieve the
47:28
durability through the party structure
47:31
that it would need to
47:33
be a hundred year old
47:35
regime. Yeah, that's why it's not
47:37
gonna work to Teflon. Anyway, it's it's dinner
47:39
and dizzy week for down something and legal
47:41
team trying to put a stop that nice
47:43
money child's not working and slated to begin
47:45
next week. He loves to do those delay
47:47
tactics and I know even falling all that,
47:49
I just would love you to. Talk about
47:51
that Trump legal issues helping him with these
47:54
mega supporters It's you've been chronicling. Yes, Oh,
47:56
there are. There is an amazing moment where
47:58
I I happens to. The on had
48:01
a cigar party on the sidelines
48:03
of the Georgia State Republican Convention.
48:05
Oh wow, that sounds like fun.
48:08
It ended up being the night
48:10
where Trump got indicted the second
48:12
time. And so I
48:15
was in them. If you know I
48:17
was actually in the position of of
48:19
being with these Trump supporters when they
48:21
were finding out in real time or
48:23
even in some cases being the one
48:25
to break seduce to them and seeing
48:27
how they reacted in if it helps
48:29
me understand because. I think I'm you
48:31
know, for people outside the movement,
48:33
there's very much a sense of
48:35
like what is relayed all about.
48:37
like pay has made to a
48:40
porn star or ah, mishandling classified
48:42
information. Like, how could that be
48:44
up something that anyone else could?
48:46
Things could happen to them. But
48:49
if you, if you believe that that's
48:52
all made up. ah. Politicized.
48:54
Charges planted. Evidence says
48:56
just to stop him
48:58
from his political opponents
49:01
then. Then. You see
49:03
it as well. What chance do I
49:05
have as they can do that to
49:07
him with all his power. And I
49:09
mean these are people in the Georgia
49:12
Party who who knew, people who had
49:14
been subpoenaed or charged or because of
49:16
January Six or the the Say Collectors
49:19
investigations And so it. It was personal
49:21
to them and there was a way
49:23
in which the there actually was something
49:25
very powerfully relayed all about the sense
49:28
of alienation of how can this be
49:30
happening in America that I'm. That it
49:32
did that to support is very strongly
49:34
identify with with when you see trumpet
49:36
and it all caps truths about how
49:38
can they be taking away my my
49:41
business and how can they be putting
49:43
the on trial in this is so
49:45
unfair near it sent the Grievance industrial
49:47
complex i call it do when when
49:49
as yeah no bannon how did it
49:51
change your view on politics in America?
49:53
Yeah I'm the only way that. That.
49:56
I ever became constable understanding what happened in
49:58
the last for you. was to understand
50:01
it in a much longer
50:03
timeline. And that there was
50:05
actually a lot of continuity between
50:07
what we call MAGA and
50:09
the dawn of
50:11
the modern conservative movement with Barry Goldwater.
50:14
And the issue was that it was
50:17
systematically marginalized by the Republican
50:19
Party for many decades. And
50:21
it, you know, kind of
50:23
made an outside attempt with
50:26
with Papi cannon and with the
50:28
tea party, but it never until
50:30
Trump had someone with the charisma
50:32
and the resources and the fame
50:34
and the wherewithal to mainstream it.
50:37
And that
50:39
to me was really the only way
50:41
it made sense is how this
50:43
could spread so, so far so
50:45
quickly was to understand that it
50:48
was actually something very deeply rooted
50:50
in American political culture. Absolutely. Yeah,
50:52
they never got their chance really, you know, and
50:54
now they've got their guy. He's right about the
50:56
instrument part. He's right. It is
50:58
a lot of marketing too. And tapping
51:00
into long held feelings by not
51:03
much of the country, but enough of the country about
51:05
grievance and being left out and
51:07
left behind and beyond
51:10
that and just being it's never your fault. That's
51:12
the other part, which of course, it's never their
51:14
fault. They could possibly never imagine
51:16
they did anything wrong that
51:18
deserves this kind of treatment. But
51:20
it'll be interesting. So do you have any predictions
51:23
about what's coming with this? Where
51:26
it ends up? Does it have the strength?
51:28
We just earlier talking about, you
51:31
know, the abortion thing, there's a lot of hits
51:34
it's been taking at the same time, it still
51:36
continues to have remarkable resilience. When you're looking
51:38
at it, I'm not asking you make
51:40
a prediction. How do you feel
51:42
about its resilience? I think there are two sides
51:44
to that coin. The way
51:46
that the party infrastructure is
51:48
more unified and consolidated behind
51:50
Trump is a huge asset,
51:53
especially, you know, as
51:56
an offset to like
51:58
the mess of his legal troubles and
52:01
the RNC's finances and you know whatever is
52:03
going on with that campaign the fact that
52:05
you've got the field organization out there in
52:07
the party and it's full
52:09
of really died in the
52:11
world Trump supporters is
52:13
meaningful. The flip side is
52:15
that Democrats and
52:18
the book deals with this strand
52:20
of the story also how Democrats and
52:23
some anti-Trump Republicans figured out
52:25
a way to use an
52:28
anti-MAGA message effectively to
52:31
wedge off Republicans who
52:33
are uncomfortable with MAGA
52:35
and what they see is how
52:38
the party has changed and gotten
52:40
more extreme and that's really an
52:42
underappreciated story about how
52:44
the midterm results surprisingly
52:48
were so favorable to the Democrats and
52:50
that's key to understanding
52:52
the bid that the Biden campaign is
52:54
making and that is gonna I think
52:56
you know it's a vanishingly small slice
52:59
of the electorate but it's gonna be
53:01
a close election and that could be
53:03
decisive. Yeah absolutely I've always been
53:05
amazed how and Bannon does
53:08
this beautifully how much losers can pretend their
53:10
winners and convince you of that they didn't
53:12
lose it's really they've lost everything over the
53:14
past couple of years and they continue to
53:16
act like they're the biggest winners ever and
53:18
that's a strength of Bannon to do that
53:20
you know don't believe your
53:22
lion eyes anyway anyway this
53:25
is a really important book there's several books
53:27
recently that I think are really substantive Isaac's
53:29
is one of them which
53:31
is called finished what we started the MAGA movement's
53:33
ground war to end democracy thank
53:35
you so much thank you man
53:38
that's Steve Bannon I watch him carefully Scott
53:40
I really do yeah they pay a lot
53:42
of attention to him anyway one
53:44
I really urge you to read this book he's
53:46
a really he's someone we think of as an
53:48
unmade bed and kind of a schlub but he's
53:50
certainly not anyway one more quick break we'll be
53:52
back for predictions hey
53:58
everyone this is Jesse damn Fox host of Good
54:00
One, a podcast about jokes. I
54:02
am proud to announce that I have personally
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Featuring interviews with Mike's family and
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now only on Peacock. Hi
54:34
everyone, I'm Brené Brown and this is Unlocking
54:36
Us. In this podcast
54:39
we'll explore ideas, stories, experiences,
54:41
research, books, films, music,
54:44
anything that reflects the universal experiences
54:46
of being human, from the bravest
54:48
moments to our most broken-hearted moments.
54:51
Some episodes will be conversations with the people who
54:53
are teaching me, challenging me,
54:55
confusing me, maybe ticking me
54:57
off a little bit. And some days I'll
54:59
just talk directly to you about what I'm learning and how
55:01
it's changing the way I think and feel. The
55:04
first episodes are out now. We're going
55:06
to do three or four part series every quarter, so
55:08
about 12 to 15 episodes a
55:10
year. Unlocking Us will always
55:12
drop on Wednesdays. And now
55:14
you can find me wherever you normally listen
55:17
to your podcast. You can get new
55:19
episodes as soon as they are published by following
55:21
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55:25
And as always, stay awkward, brave,
55:27
and kind. Okay,
55:36
Scott, before we do predictions, I just want to note
55:38
some news that just came in. O.J. Simpson
55:40
has died at the age of 76. His family posted
55:43
a statement on X. During this
55:45
time of transition, his family asked that you
55:47
please respect their wishes for privacy and grace
55:49
to Simpson's family. I don't know what to
55:51
say. I have no regard for him, so
55:54
I don't want to say rest in peace. I don't know. What
55:56
do you think? I think he's a murderer, and I hope he suffered. Took
55:59
two innocent lives. lives was
56:01
exonerated by a jury
56:03
that fell into the trap of
56:05
identity politics and incompetent prosecution and
56:07
go straight to hell, boss. Yeah.
56:10
I think I'm with you on that one, Scott Galloway. All right. Let's
56:12
hear a prediction. Well, on that note. We're
56:15
so... Like, I did a thing
56:17
the other day and I said someone should die. I
56:19
think I was talking about Alex Jones because he's so
56:21
heinous and someone's like, you shouldn't wish death on people.
56:23
I said, I think I shall. I think I shall.
56:25
Anyway, let's hear your predictions. I'm not going to kill
56:27
him. Yeah, I know. There
56:30
are some people that deserve one retirement plan.
56:35
My prediction is super boring. I
56:37
think big bank stocks are about
56:40
to kick off their earnings tomorrow when
56:42
this releases with JP Morgan. I
56:45
think they're going to beat their earnings expectations
56:47
because the general... Their stocks would have been
56:49
priced into their stocks was the assumption
56:51
that interest rates were coming down and big
56:54
banks kind of live and die by their
56:56
net interest margin and that is they loan
56:58
out money to mortgages for 7% and
57:01
they pay you kind of 3% or 4% and
57:03
that margin is where they make the bulk of
57:05
their money. People are
57:07
assuming that the interest rates they were going to have
57:09
to offer people because inflation was declining was going to
57:12
come down. It hasn't. In
57:14
addition, there's been some consolidation. Some regional banks
57:16
have gone out of business and also there's
57:18
been a flight of capital from regional banks
57:20
who are worried about an SBB-like situation into
57:22
the biggest banks. We're
57:24
also seeing the IPO markets come back a
57:26
little bit. I just think it's champagne and
57:28
cocaine for these guys and I think that
57:31
despite the fact they have actually outperformed the S&P and
57:33
had a great year, I still think they're going to
57:36
continue to outperform and they're going to surprise the upside
57:38
this week. Yeah, they also though were looking for
57:40
a rate cup. They looked like they're not getting one.
57:42
For some reason, Jamie Dimon has been a little irritating
57:44
lately in his pronouncements. Have you noticed that? He's been
57:46
a lot of pronouncing and he was wrong the first
57:48
time about where the economy was going. Now
57:50
he's sort of... It's impossible to prove
57:52
it. Gloomy-dooming it. I
57:55
think he'd make actually a pretty good Treasury Secretary.
57:57
He's going for it for whatever administration he's second
57:59
up to Trump. Fucking up to
58:01
bind. He was at that Japan party
58:03
with Mrs. Ser Ms and shows yesterday.
58:05
Go. Around resisted
58:07
arm. Is
58:10
unless the were not women. the just
58:12
barely been fairly been cut out early.
58:15
But. I am going to the embassy and
58:17
sustainable facets. To wonder
58:19
she that you know. you know if I got
58:22
over his house state dinner I have a hard
58:24
time taking between you and any other I would.
58:26
I kind of want to go with you in
58:28
a weird way if. You know it's a
58:31
man and only that Scott with the
58:33
that would be great if we can
58:35
earn on average from and get a
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bonus. ah I see likely to want
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to read but good we define dry
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goods. And then go up were somehow the
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up in the residence. Audio
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and assign us to healing to branded sign.
58:47
Are you the entire the Sex Goddess? I
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wouldn't Pastries in my purse? Yes. Exactly. Over
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the you're not wearing the dress, what would
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they do? There's not a make a due
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date around.damage to run away I'd How the.
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Us is a J Six the hostages.
59:00
It's it's. It's nice. This
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is all they broke the law this go
59:05
somewhere else of a jail I'm you're the
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only did have ever had of the White
59:09
House human family added you trust our where
59:11
it's a good boy you are such a
59:13
good boy Their asked me to Santa leader
59:15
and summarizes best behavior for the Secretary of
59:17
State. Stops and goes Kara Swisher Facilities Crisis.
59:21
This Caesar cipher semi nicer
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to or. Any way listen as we
59:25
want to hear from you send us your questions
59:27
about this is sec or whatever is on your
59:29
mind on and my mag.com/pivot to send. A. Question for
59:32
the shower Call Eight Five Five Five one. Tip:
59:34
it's okay Scots this issue such a good
59:36
substitute show today. I think I like the
59:38
lights that before we go up and were
59:40
nominated for a Webby award and we need
59:43
you to vote for us. It's a link
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in the episode discuss since we're in second
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we need to get the first place and
59:49
any We'll be back on Tuesday with more.
59:51
Didn't vote for us for the web. Desperate
59:54
for other people's affirmation that is
59:56
addicted to people's other people's affirmation.
59:59
So please. My habit in any
1:00:01
case lead us out of his show
1:00:03
produced learn Amazon Marcus and are driven
1:00:05
earning retired engineer the services. Thanks also
1:00:08
to Do Burrow the midst of area
1:00:10
and he sat through i his box
1:00:12
mean as executive producer of audio Make
1:00:14
sure you subscribe to show every listen
1:00:16
to podcasts I never listen if if
1:00:19
if New York Magazine and Vox Media
1:00:21
you discover the magazine and York mag.com/odd
1:00:23
Will be back next week for another
1:00:25
breakdown of all things tax and doesn't
1:00:28
as rest in peace and wholesome Son.
1:00:30
And Ronald Goldman.
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