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Trump on Trial, Big Bank Earnings, and Guest Charles Duhigg

Trump on Trial, Big Bank Earnings, and Guest Charles Duhigg

Released Tuesday, 16th April 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Trump on Trial, Big Bank Earnings, and Guest Charles Duhigg

Trump on Trial, Big Bank Earnings, and Guest Charles Duhigg

Trump on Trial, Big Bank Earnings, and Guest Charles Duhigg

Trump on Trial, Big Bank Earnings, and Guest Charles Duhigg

Tuesday, 16th April 2024
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Episode Transcript

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good neighbor, State Farm is there. Talk

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to your local agent today. I.

1:19

Everyone this this cave it from New York

1:21

Magazine In the Box Media podcast network. I'm

1:23

Kara Swisher and I'm late today because of

1:25

Scots friend Jonathan Height. We were chit chat

1:27

and about his book. The Anxious Generation says

1:30

Scott got anxious which is his state of

1:32

play. Hello Scott. How are? I'm glad to

1:34

see who's good Finally getting a little bit of press

1:36

on his book. The yeah. I

1:40

was great. It was a great discussion guns your

1:42

colleague he likes you a at all. So.

1:45

Anyway, how you doing. Really well weekend

1:47

of football I went through assume our

1:50

to the first call those on a

1:52

manner where some what's that it's all

1:54

the pro clubs or have these kind

1:56

of our jobs and the Cotswolds that

1:58

are very. fancy and

2:00

nice and you can take walks

2:03

and all sorts of... I don't

2:05

know how to describe it. It's like

2:07

Soho Farmhouse, you know what Soho Farmhouse is? Yeah. It's

2:10

like those that get even fancier.

2:13

Wow. I've tapped into this list of

2:15

A-list gay friends and they're just so

2:17

fucking fabulous and in such great shape.

2:19

It's very intimidating. Is it? Why? They're

2:22

just impossibly good looking and successful. They're

2:24

beautiful. They have... Hold on, I'm getting something that

2:26

I just got in the mail. They're

2:28

impossibly good looking gay men. This is

2:30

Algebra of Wealth, a simple formula

2:33

for financial security, Scott Galloway.

2:35

That's right. It came with a pin that seems

2:37

to have fallen off with a little money sign.

2:39

That was cute. Dad, he needs the

2:42

Benjamin's for the male pros. Yeah. Anyway,

2:44

so you like the gays. I

2:46

had a nice... You know, I did

2:48

my Jennifer Aniston... Oh, yeah. ...Reece Witherspoon

2:50

interview. You sent me pictures. I didn't recognize

2:52

who they were. What? I

2:55

didn't recognize them. I

2:57

just saw that they've clearly... I didn't know

3:00

that they have adopted an 11-year-old boy... Oh,

3:02

wait. That was you. Never

3:04

mind. Never mind. Yes, they're quite beautiful

3:06

and gammon, as they say.

3:09

And I'm not gammon, is the word.

3:11

You're looking good, right? Most

3:13

importantly, are they hot? Do they look good in person?

3:16

They do indeed, and they're actually lovely. I would say

3:18

I was going to focus on them. Who cares? Talk

3:21

about their hotness. They're quite beautiful. Yeah, they are good

3:23

looking. Okay. And also, super

3:25

sorry. Reece Witherspoon could

3:27

run a corporation. Boys, she knows

3:30

a lot about AI and not-safe

3:32

knowing, actual knowing. And

3:35

I did the whole cast of The Morning Show,

3:37

which you like and I like, on stage at

3:40

the Paley Center. Who's the biggest surprise there

3:42

in terms of how interesting they are in terms

3:44

of character? Oh, Tig Notaro, who plays the... Who's

3:46

that? Tig Notaro plays the Chief of Staff to Jon Hamm,

3:48

the lady who tells them to get focused and

3:55

stop smiling, and she's the Chief of Staff. She's

3:57

the famous stand-up comedian.

4:00

And she's playing a dramatic role here and

4:02

she's fantastic and very funny, very funny, but

4:04

she was, she's, the whole cast is great.

4:07

It's hard to do a panel of like

4:10

nine people or ten people and then

4:12

right next to you is sitting Reese

4:14

Witherspoon and Jennifer Aniston. So it's,

4:16

it's a little bit disconcerting, but it worked out

4:18

well. It worked out well. Good. I'm

4:21

glad that sounds like fun. Yeah, it was. It

4:23

was really fun. And let me just say just

4:25

today, let's have a shout out to Alex Wisher's

4:27

birthday. Happy birthday, Alex. Well, you know,

4:29

it's not like you to bring your kids into

4:31

the podcast. Oh wait, it's been a week. Oh,

4:33

stop it. They're the best. They're so good. So

4:36

great. Anyway, so we've got a

4:38

lot to get to today though, including Donald Trump's

4:40

hush money trial. It's getting underway

4:42

in the late, latest trial, latest earning news.

4:44

Plus our friend of Pivot is New Yorker

4:47

writer Charles Duhigg, which this is a cool

4:49

book called another popular book along with Jonathan

4:52

Hight's book, Super Communicators, How to

4:55

Unlock the Secret Language to Connection. But

4:58

first, we have a lot of things to talk about. Barry

5:00

Diller is hoping to turn the Daily Beast around with new

5:02

leadership. The publication hasn't made a profit since its start in

5:04

2013. And Diller

5:06

has considered selling it. He's bringing in

5:08

former president of Disney ABC television group,

5:11

Ben Sherwood, and former chief content officer

5:13

of hers, Joanna Coles, who called me

5:16

just a second ago, but I haven't talked to her about it. Sherwood

5:19

and Coles will get equity states for half of

5:21

the Daily Beast and receive salaries. Coles

5:23

will be chief creative and content officer,

5:25

and Sherwood will become his chief executive

5:27

and publisher. Diller

5:30

wrote me a while ago to ask if I knew of

5:32

any editors, which I didn't. And

5:34

I know they lost their CEO and stuff like that. Will

5:37

this work? I mean, these are very long

5:40

time professional media people. They're friends of ours.

5:43

Ben is not necessarily a friend of ours, but Joanna

5:45

certainly is. Yeah, I'm doing a call later this

5:47

week with Joanna, and I assume it's to talk about

5:49

this. I'm a big fan of Joanna's. I would

5:51

just look at this as a startup that has a

5:53

brand with some awareness. When

5:56

I first heard about it, it felt like, okay, when

5:58

I hear that... Rush or

6:00

UB40 are still touring. I get excited and

6:02

think, do I really care? Is there any

6:04

value there? The Daily Beast, the

6:06

Daily Beast brings some awareness and nothing else. But

6:10

having said that, Joanna's talented. I assume

6:12

that Ben is talented. Barry's obviously a

6:15

talented person. So I just think

6:17

of it as a startup where

6:19

they're adopting a brand that has

6:21

some awareness, but trying to resuscitate

6:24

or find some sort of new strategy. The

6:27

Daily Beast is worth nothing but its

6:29

brand value. And its brand value is only

6:31

worth its awareness. So it's a startup is the

6:33

way I see it. Talk about that

6:36

idea of reviving brands versus just starting

6:38

afresh. Because you've seen puck happen or

6:40

the information, et cetera, or others

6:42

over the many years that are

6:44

new. Well, okay, so

6:47

name something you purchased previously. Name

6:50

the last thing you bought where you had never heard of

6:52

the brand before. A puck. Puck.

6:55

Okay, you had heard of the brand. But it was new.

6:57

That was an upstart brand. Yeah, it was an upstart brand, yeah.

7:00

But you'd heard about it, it was

7:02

everywhere. My point is, awareness is literally

7:04

the foundation in letter A of brand

7:07

building. And even unfortunately,

7:09

it's been taken to a place where now

7:11

we have personalities online who decide I'm

7:13

gonna wallpaper over my mediocre work with

7:15

just awareness no matter how I get

7:17

it. And that's true of

7:19

politicians. It's just name recognition. When

7:24

I sold my company in 2007, I've

7:26

sold two or three companies. Every time

7:28

I sell them, I get a call from someone saying I

7:30

should run for office because it's clear that the primary criteria

7:33

for running for office is that you're gonna put 10

7:35

or 20 million of your own money into it.

7:38

And the first test they do is

7:41

name recognition. So it's

7:43

the same with brands. It's much easier to

7:45

launch Diet Coke than it is Tab or

7:48

a new Coke brand. And

7:50

the Daily Beast, the question is, does the Daily Beast

7:52

bring more baggage than

7:55

its awareness connotes? And I think

7:57

it's an okay brand. I don't think it's

7:59

a strong, it's been too. There's so much drama that

8:01

my sense is it does

8:04

come with a little bit of baggage, but on

8:06

the whole, people know it. It does feel kind

8:08

of elegant and aspirational and hip. I think Joanna

8:10

is the right person for this because

8:12

she's all of those things, but

8:14

this is a startup. I hope it

8:16

doesn't come with any legacy assets, including

8:18

whoever the team was there. Maybe it

8:20

does, but I would want to start

8:22

brand new and go into

8:24

whatever we call this world now. Attempts

8:28

like this, like Air Mail with Graydon Carter,

8:30

there's all these attempts to do that. It's

8:32

interesting. It's hard to build

8:34

a media brand. That's

8:36

why we're so special. Anyway, good luck, Joanna

8:38

and Dan. So

8:41

Google says another thing, because it says it's

8:43

starting to remove links, speaking of people who

8:45

actually have the power in news, to remove

8:47

links from California news websites for search results

8:49

for some users. The move comes in response

8:51

to California Journalism Preservation Act, which would make

8:54

online ad companies pay publishers for content appearing

8:56

in search results. Google said the

8:58

bill is the wrong approach to journalism. It

9:00

would create business uncertainty. Supporters

9:02

of the bill say it would help news publishers get

9:04

a fair share of the ad profits. The bill is

9:07

pending in the California state legislature. This is their move,

9:09

is to remove the links all over the world, not

9:11

just here, but they've done it before.

9:14

They're not going to pay too much for this muffler,

9:16

as they say. Thoughts? Well, when you only really

9:18

have three toll booths bidding for

9:20

all attention online, between 40

9:23

cents on every venture capital dollar are

9:25

spent on Amazon, Meta, or

9:29

Alphabet. Literally

9:31

they're the toll booths online. And

9:33

when you think about the tens of thousands,

9:36

if not hundreds of thousands, if not

9:38

millions of retailers, media companies, small businesses

9:41

that all need to acquire customers

9:43

online or reach people online, they

9:45

have absolutely almost nil leverage over the two

9:48

or three platforms that are the toll booths

9:50

for the entire internet. So

9:52

what the government has done is it's kind of stepped

9:54

in here and to a certain extent said we're going

9:56

to unionize for you and we're going

9:58

to force them to give a portion of their proceeds

10:01

to you. Now, California tends to lead the nation

10:03

on this kind of stuff. I

10:06

find it's typically a blunt instrument and they're not very

10:08

good at this stuff. Important. Where we really pay the

10:10

price for a lack of journalism

10:12

and funding is when

10:14

you're covering state corruption or local

10:16

corruption at, you know, in the

10:18

Pomona courthouse. You know, kind

10:20

of as you call them, I think, dumpshoe reporters.

10:23

When you don't have an ecosystem where you can

10:25

pay for that, you just end up with small

10:27

time corruption everywhere and a

10:29

lack of scrutiny. So I'd like that the government's

10:32

stepping in here and saying, look, you make

10:34

so much money and there's a public service

10:36

around supporting these news outlets that we're essentially

10:38

going to transfer wealth. I don't, I don't,

10:40

I'll be curious if it holds up. I

10:42

hope other states adopt it. What do you

10:44

think, Carrie? You're in this business. They

10:46

probably, they probably think it doesn't matter to have these

10:48

links there. They're trying, you know, as you know, we

10:50

talked about last week, Facebook trying to escape news. And

10:52

one of the things that was, we'll talk about in

10:55

a second is the situation in the Middle East. It

10:57

was very hard on threads to get a lot of,

10:59

you know, it was two day ago news. And so

11:01

the question is, is it help them or hurt them

11:03

not to have news, right? That's, they

11:05

know, they know whether it helps or hurt, or is it

11:07

just enough to have fun

11:09

videos to dancing Beyonce, etc,

11:11

etc. They know what works.

11:14

And I suspect they wouldn't cut these if they knew

11:16

that these things aren't worth the money, right,

11:18

for them to pay for them. I

11:21

think it's a power play. I think they're trying to do, I

11:23

think they're trying to threaten these folks and say, not only are

11:25

we not going to give you the money you deserve, you're not

11:27

going to get any traffic. Right. That's right. So take your

11:29

two cents on the dollar and be happy with a

11:31

bitch or we're like. Yeah, that's what they're doing.

11:33

That's what it is. I don't know how important the

11:35

news is to their sites. I just, I would like

11:38

to know and I would love there to be a

11:40

lawsuit so that we can find out. So

11:42

anyway, we'll, we'll see where it goes. This is,

11:44

this is an ongoing thing. It's happened all over

11:46

the world. And it has to do also with,

11:48

with AI too. This is how much of these,

11:50

are these companies going to start really paying the

11:54

freight That they are getting from

11:56

these media companies and have gotten them because they

11:58

certainly damaged them. Any companies have

12:00

gotten damage themselves by not being part of

12:03

the you know not being by allowing these

12:05

companies to run over them many years ago.

12:07

So I will say I really would love

12:09

to know how much it does contribute though

12:11

is because they will tell us and anyway

12:14

they know but. But. What does

12:16

represent So I. This

12:18

is California stepping him because of a

12:21

failure the deer day and the Ftc

12:23

to let is committed to big such

12:25

a there. So few bitters on content.

12:28

That the content creators assists the city business.

12:31

And it doesn't support newsrooms and so what

12:33

They want his content for free or and

12:35

they'll find little creators are conspiracy theory and

12:37

unfortunately they'll have a content or did not

12:39

act act and it's ended up than a

12:41

were at the we're now in a kind

12:43

of a post truth world So the fact

12:46

that the government had to step in here

12:48

I I think the government should step down

12:50

but I think a better way to have

12:52

done this would be directed com is that

12:54

such as there's more bitters on this content

12:56

for and. And people differentiate themselves because they

12:58

do. They run, they run the table. They

13:01

run the casino essentially. Anyway, we need to

13:03

their briefly get into situation the Mideast. or

13:05

lot of big news. Over the week, Iran

13:07

has launched more than three hundred drones and

13:10

missiles at Israel over the weekend in retaliation

13:12

for an airstrike on an Iranian consulate in

13:14

Syria. Israel said it's shutdown ninety nine percent.

13:16

Of the projectiles fired by Iran under

13:19

his Iron Dome system. With the help

13:21

a lot of help from the Us,

13:23

Western Allies and Arab partners are present.

13:25

Biden has told it Israeli Prime Minister

13:27

Netanyahu, the Us will not provide support

13:29

from the counter at yet another town

13:31

or attacks and wouldn't bidens options here.

13:34

I mean, let's focus focus on that.

13:36

It's because a conflict. the Middle. East

13:38

in this moving into original more is. Literally

13:40

the last thing that should be

13:42

happening here. Has

13:44

another at that you know and it

13:46

continued mideast conflict without any kind of

13:48

him. Any wherever bruises and you am

13:50

here. This is not dead for the

13:52

global com is not good for people

13:54

they are there needs to be in

13:56

an end to as I think most

13:58

people see else. Third set. where it's

14:00

moving. Any thoughts? Well,

14:02

I mean, my views are not in the

14:05

mainstream here. Listen, I'm talking about your emotional things about

14:07

this. I'm talking about the global economy. I'd like to

14:09

think my emotions are based on facts and how I

14:12

see things. So, look, I

14:14

think Iran is at the center of

14:16

almost all chaos in the Middle East

14:18

right now. This was an extraordinary victory

14:20

for not only the West, but

14:23

Arab nations who see prosperity and see

14:25

peace in the Middle East as a

14:28

key criteria and want normal relationships with

14:30

Israel and see not

14:32

Iran, but the Islamic

14:35

state, this fundamentalist

14:37

group in the mullahs ruling

14:40

over an increasingly younger population in Iran and

14:43

their proxies Hezbollah and

14:45

Hamas, they see them as

14:47

agents of chaos. And I believe

14:50

Biden got it

14:53

in my view almost entirely right. And

14:55

that is he has coordinated and

14:57

provided support for what is, in my opinion,

14:59

one of the biggest victories in recent history

15:01

in the West in terms of military. They

15:04

sent ballistic missiles and drones

15:06

over and the entire damage done

15:08

was that one veteran seven-year-old girl

15:10

was injured. And

15:12

this is the great Iranian, the superpower

15:14

in the Middle East supposedly is

15:17

totally impotent, totally

15:19

flaccid against the superior

15:21

technology, the democracy of the support

15:24

of other democracies and that is Israel.

15:26

This is an enormous win for

15:28

the West. I think where Biden screwed up and I want

15:30

to be clear, I think the White House has been steadfast

15:32

here and deserves a lot of credit around the support of

15:34

our ally. I think it

15:36

made absolutely no sense to

15:39

say we want support of counterattack. Why would

15:41

he take that off the table and

15:43

diminish Israel's threat deterrence ability?

15:45

I suspect it's because it's Netanyahu

15:47

and that he counterattacks as his business.

15:49

Well, he can say it privately. Yeah. Why would

15:51

he say it publicly? Why would he signal to

15:54

Iran that you are in a

15:56

stronger position on this issue

15:58

than Israel? Why would he publicly? state

16:00

that. How does that do anything but seed

16:02

advantage from our ally to Iran, the

16:05

purveyor of chaos and violence in the

16:07

region? Well, I think he's going

16:09

for peace here, right? I think he wants

16:11

everyone to calm the fuck down is my

16:13

impression of the situation. Because I

16:15

do think the impact of a conflict of

16:17

this escalating out of control is

16:19

rather severe, right? It just only takes,

16:22

you know, this is... All

16:24

right. I realize it would sound like a war hawk here.

16:26

Yes, you do. Those are the

16:28

same arguments made in 1939 and 1940 for us not to get

16:30

involved in that war

16:33

again in Europe. And

16:35

as long as Iran has these

16:38

proxies that have on their flag, death

16:40

to America, death to Israel, the Houthis,

16:42

I wonder, quite frankly, I don't believe

16:45

in half measures here. I think that...

16:47

I understand, but it's a counter attack from

16:49

an attack that started with Israel. So I think

16:51

that's the point he's... Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa,

16:53

hold on. Are we talking about the counter attack against embassies,

16:56

the embassies in Argentina in the 60s and 70s? This

16:59

is... Hold on, hold on. Scott, we're not doing

17:01

this. We're not doing this here because we're not experts on it and

17:03

we're not going to, okay? Well, you don't need to be an expert.

17:05

We can read the fucking newspaper. I do

17:07

read the newspaper, Scott. We're talking about trying

17:10

to contain a situation and that's what I

17:12

suspect he's doing. I'm not defending that he

17:14

shouldn't say... I think he probably should have

17:16

said it privately, but I think what he's

17:19

pulled off here is rather astonishing in terms

17:21

of getting everybody together to push it back.

17:23

And so let's stick with that. Stick

17:26

with that because that's... We need to have... We're not

17:28

pieced in the least. That is never going to happen,

17:30

it feels like, but we definitely have to have a

17:33

de-escalation of constant attacks and

17:35

counter attacks. The tension, the

17:37

decision they have to make, and it's really difficult,

17:40

is that one, Biden's common

17:42

here, and it was powerful, and I see

17:45

the argument, was take the win, right? Yeah.

17:47

A lot of people think Iran signaled

17:49

this and it was performative and that

17:52

they do not want to escalate. Right.

17:55

Iran doesn't want to escalate and Israel

17:57

has their own play pretty full right

17:59

now. And we have our

18:01

own issues and don't want a wider regional conflict

18:03

and take the win and stand down. I think

18:05

that is a really powerful argument. On

18:08

the other side, we have a

18:10

weakened Iran that looks feckless or

18:12

looks at least diminished who continues

18:14

to develop their nuclear capabilities and

18:16

continues to sow chaos, including Americans

18:19

and Israelis with their proxies at

18:21

every move. And what happens if they get a

18:23

nuclear weapon? So and right now the

18:26

war machine is sort of lubed. I do not

18:28

take the view. I take the former that it's

18:30

probably time to stand down. But

18:32

we consistently through history, when we are in

18:34

a position of strategic advantage, when

18:37

you have an enemy, you locate, you

18:39

track and you eliminate. And

18:42

there is an argument to be made here

18:44

that it should be a coordinated... We

18:47

have the cloud cover, quite frankly, to go in and

18:49

take out some nuclear capabilities in Iran. And

18:51

I think it's something that I'm sure people much smarter

18:53

than me in the Defense Department

18:55

are talking about. We

18:57

always have a tendency to say the Israel

19:00

and its allies should only fight back to

19:03

a truce that we can never go on

19:05

the offense. Well, okay. All right.

19:08

Well, I think an impact... Thank

19:10

you, Dr. Kissinger. But

19:14

I think the impact on the global economy right

19:16

now would be devastating all

19:18

over the place. There's

19:20

bigger things at play. And I think how

19:22

they handled this with the coordination is exactly

19:25

the kind of thing we should

19:27

always be thinking about as a country. And

19:31

I think he doesn't get enough... And

19:34

I think that the attacks by the

19:36

right wing in this country is crazy

19:38

right now. We used to be

19:40

able to just agree, good job, and

19:42

nobody... The right wing is immediately accusing

19:45

him of all kinds of nonsense. And

19:47

there is, speaking of which, uniting and

19:49

things like that, having handled something so well,

19:51

it's... He'll get a bump for

19:53

this. Yeah, he should. We

19:55

don't even realize it this morning. We will realize it in

19:57

seven days and in 30 days. is

20:00

the biggest geopolitical victory for the West. I

20:02

would agree. That's repelling back the Russians and

20:05

Ukraine. I kept saying he was so glad

20:07

he's in the Situation Room and not Trump.

20:09

That's all I was thinking. I agree. Anyway,

20:13

let's move in to our

20:15

first big

20:17

story. Goldman Sachs is out with

20:19

his first quarter earnings and it's good news

20:21

for CEO David Solomon. He needs it. Profits

20:24

rose 28% from one year ago to $4.13 billion. Shares

20:28

increased 16% to $14.21 billion,

20:30

beating analysts' expectations. The bank

20:32

reported its best earnings for shares since

20:34

the third quarter of 2021. At

20:37

the same time, JPMorgan Chase

20:40

earnings, since you had some predictions last

20:42

week, the company reported more than $13

20:44

billion in profit and $42 billion in

20:47

revenue, beating estimates. But guidance

20:49

for net interest income came in lower than expected,

20:51

that said. And the shares fell

20:53

on that news. It's probably the stock's

20:55

worst day in four years. So talk a

20:57

little bit about these two, about these numbers. Goldman

21:01

has moved away from consumer lending and also

21:03

offloaded some of its shitty businesses. This is a

21:05

David Solomon got them in too in

21:08

recent months. What else should it be doing?

21:11

And Jamie Diamond is warning about an unsettling

21:13

global landscape, which we just discussed that could

21:15

threaten the economy. And

21:17

Wells Fargo and Citi also reported better

21:19

than expected profits in revenues and lower

21:21

net interest income. So give

21:23

us a big picture, since you talked

21:26

about the stocks being up and now

21:28

they're slightly down. But talk about the

21:30

overall banking situation. It's a great time

21:32

to be a bank, investment banking. They had enough,

21:35

kind of what I'll call the dry period

21:37

over the last two years of low investment

21:39

banking fees, gave them cloud cover to, quote

21:41

unquote, be more efficient, lay off some people.

21:45

The net interest margin or net interest income,

21:47

although they say it's actually going down because

21:49

people are moving their deposits into high yield

21:51

accounts. But investment

21:53

banking is up again. Their

21:56

IPOs are starting to come back, all the ways they kind

21:58

of traditionally make money and also. So the money they

22:00

make on deposits, which is more JP Morgan and Goldman.

22:04

And also there's just no getting around it. There's

22:06

been a pretty serious consolidation. And

22:08

that is people now want, if

22:11

you're going public, but there aren't a lot of

22:14

companies going public, everybody wants Goldman and JP Morgan

22:16

on the cover. In addition,

22:18

they have had huge inflows of assets

22:20

under management, which is how JP Morgan

22:22

makes money. These companies are

22:25

really well managed. Jamie and David are

22:27

both grown ups with fantastic colleagues

22:29

and a bench. They continue to attract

22:32

amazing human capital. The kids that go to

22:34

work for these companies out of NYU and

22:37

other skills are just so

22:39

talented and so hardworking. And

22:41

so the market's coming back off a lower

22:44

cost base. Their

22:47

wealth management businesses are consistently

22:49

low growers, but steady, predictable

22:51

income. And there's

22:53

a consolidation in the industry. It's a great

22:56

time. It's a great time to be

22:58

a bank. What about the

23:00

net income, his worries about

23:03

not just the unsettling global landscape,

23:05

but this net interest income coming

23:07

in lower? Well, that's because typically people

23:10

were putting money in CDs,

23:12

which were paying like And

23:14

they were getting the split. And

23:17

then they loaned it out at three and a half.

23:19

This is two years ago for a mortgage. So it's

23:21

two and a half. Now for a brief while, people

23:23

still were putting money into CDs and low interest bearing

23:25

accounts and their net interest margin

23:27

exploded. Now people are wising

23:29

up and say, if I have cash, I'm going to put it

23:32

in something with a little bit longer duration and I'm going to

23:34

get 5%, 5.5%, which has kind of starched out

23:38

that delta, consumers are smart. There's a lag,

23:40

but consumers are start. The thing,

23:42

and I'm not advising Jamie Dimon, but if I

23:44

was advising him, I think Jamie,

23:47

my sense is Jamie kind of fancies

23:50

himself the next treasury secretary and

23:52

he makes a lot of kind of

23:54

prognostications about the economy. And

23:56

my sense is after following the economy, making a ton

23:58

of money, I think it's a good predictions, watching

24:01

economists, I am absolutely certain

24:03

that almost nobody has any fucking idea. Yeah,

24:06

I would agree. And it is on

24:08

a balanced scorecard, the job as the CEO

24:10

of, in my opinion, of JP Morgan, their

24:12

job is to predict the future. It's

24:15

to set the company up for success

24:17

despite a variety of futures. And

24:19

that is to say, here's our bread and

24:21

butter. This would survive a recession.

24:24

Here we're well set up. Here are some bets in

24:26

case the economy continues to scream. I

24:28

want to explain as the CEO of a company

24:30

like JP Morgan, scenario planning. And

24:33

that is here are three or four different possible

24:35

outcomes for the economy in the next 12 months.

24:37

And this is why JP Morgan is well positioned

24:39

to take advantage in any scenario. But trying to

24:41

predict where the economy is going to be in

24:44

12 months, good luck with that. Yeah,

24:46

he's been doing that. He was wrong the last one. He

24:48

also had some mistakes. You know, he's talking a lot.

24:51

He looks like he's trying out for Treasury Secretary all

24:53

the time. Hundreds. It's really,

24:55

I like, stop it. I think he'd be great. Great.

24:59

He doesn't need to talk so much. You know, for

25:01

a banker, he talks too much. That's my

25:03

feeling. The guy's a leader. My

25:06

guess is like a lot of these guys who got a pretty healthy

25:08

ego. But there's a difference

25:10

between, I'll give you an example. The

25:14

right financial leader, the wrong financial

25:16

leader. Mark Rowan felt very

25:18

passionate about anti-Semitism on campus. He

25:21

took real action. He

25:23

affected change. And quite frankly, he is

25:25

withdrawn to being the CEO of Apollo.

25:28

Bill Ackman gets involved, gets drunk on the

25:30

fame, gets drunk on the power, and now

25:32

has decided that he needs to weigh in

25:35

on all things higher ed, all things DEI.

25:37

He has handled it poorly. I

25:39

think David Solomon, I don't want to

25:41

say sticks to his knitting, but is pretty

25:43

focused on Goldman and his prospects. Jamie

25:46

is a huge national leader. He has

25:48

huge respect. He gets a lot of business

25:50

that way. But if I'm whispering

25:52

in his ear, I'm like, just, I would

25:54

probably pull it back a little bit. Yeah.

26:00

My hard not to and your guy like that. The I got

26:02

it that he has to be a little more. Able

26:04

to take criticisms? That's how I will say

26:07

this though I've spoken about it every morning.

26:09

Events where you have the wealthiest people literally

26:11

in the room and he'll stand up and

26:13

he'll say yeah we should all everyone in

26:15

this room to pay more taxes. He's not

26:17

afraid to say that set of I think

26:19

he's he's is also advocating to his credit

26:22

is advocating for a negative income tax which

26:24

is basically you be. I like when's the

26:26

last time the head of the largest bank?

26:28

I'm an ace and advocate? Yes, I'm in

26:30

London for Center. And to do that when

26:32

he says his secretary that selfishness and thanks

26:34

anyway he's gonna get the job team you

26:36

need to are you don't need to. It's

26:39

almost like selling task the sales you know

26:41

that express since he's selling. Yeah, buying a back

26:43

don't buy about the. I write has like I'm

26:45

like okay got it you only presence as

26:47

I say okay all right let's go on

26:49

a quick frankly come back. Donald Trump's first

26:51

criminal trial begins us and lord sake and

26:53

as it starts continues to fall at at

26:55

truth so south and will be back with

26:58

a friend of pivot Charles Do Hague about

27:00

how to be a super communicate and we

27:02

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30:23

we're back. Former President Donald Trump's criminal trial

30:25

over hush money payments is getting underway in

30:27

the Manhattan courtroom. And this week,

30:29

just today, the first time in American history that

30:32

a former president will stand trial in a criminal

30:34

case, Trump faces, for those who want to keep

30:36

track of this, he faces 34 felony

30:38

counts of falsifying business records. He says he

30:40

plans to testify, though it's unclear if it

30:42

will actually happen. He says a lot of

30:45

things. This is the porn star one, everybody.

30:47

So just so you know, this is not

30:49

the documents one or the insurrection one. This

30:53

is the porn star one. And whether

30:55

he was, oh, anyway. This

30:58

is the first of Trump's four criminal trials.

31:00

The latest New York Times Sienna Poll

31:02

shows candidates in virtual tie with Trump at

31:04

46 and Biden at 245. Biden's come up

31:06

quite a bit. The five

31:09

major broadcast and cable networks also put out joint

31:11

open letter over the weekend, urging Trump and Biden

31:13

to participate in televised debates ahead of the election.

31:15

That's gonna be a lot of posturing back and

31:17

forth. And finally, the stock

31:19

price of True Social's parent company, Trump Media,

31:22

continues to slide, plunging more than 15% on Monday after

31:24

the company filed to issue millions

31:26

of additional shares. Trump Media has lost about $3.5 billion

31:29

in value since its public

31:31

debut last month. There's another three

31:33

to go. Ultimately, what happens with

31:35

this stock, obviously, the Washington Post profiled several

31:37

Trump supporters and investors say they're in it

31:40

for the long haul. I felt sorry for

31:42

them, because they seemed idiotic, but willfully so.

31:46

I don't know if Trump can liquidate his

31:48

holdings. This is what we said it was.

31:50

So thoughts on our latest Donald Trumpness? Let's

31:52

keep this one short. I

31:55

think he's probably found guilty. I don't think he

31:58

serves any time and it increases the level. likelihood

32:00

he's reelected president. I don't like

32:02

this case. And the

32:04

only thing I'm fairly certain,

32:06

well not really, I

32:08

think Trump Social, whatever we're calling it now, will

32:10

be single digits.

32:13

The people have gone in here for whatever reason. Nobody

32:15

went in here for business fundamentals. They went in for

32:17

it because they thought maybe it was a meme stock

32:20

or they wanted to support Donald Trump. And

32:22

I just got to, I mean, when

32:25

you wake up, I think, well, I don't know what the

32:28

people were thinking here. But I know what they're thinking now

32:30

and that is I've lost two thirds of my money if

32:32

I bought at the peak. Right, but they're happy. Yeah, and

32:34

there's- Some of them are like, I'm going to buy more,

32:36

but go ahead. You should read that piece. I

32:39

guess that's,

32:41

this company could be, I don't know

32:43

what it's at today, 20 bucks. This

32:45

company could be at a dollar a

32:47

share in 30 days. There's

32:49

no floor here. It's a company doing $4

32:52

million in revenue. And

32:54

by the way, I think people should

32:56

be able to buy stock in whatever they

32:58

want and the directors and him, if and

33:00

when lockup comes off, they should be able

33:02

to sell their shares. But for

33:04

the people investing here, be clear. You're

33:07

investing in some sort of,

33:09

you're not investing in a company. It's a

33:11

scam. Well, it's not even a

33:13

scam. You're just investing in a meme stock

33:15

or you're investing in support of him, but

33:17

you're not, you might, it's like the

33:19

way I think of it, think of it as a campaign contribution.

33:21

You're not getting that money back. And

33:23

whenever I give money to politicians, I got to be

33:26

honest, I feel good about it when I do it.

33:28

And then a year later, I think it was like

33:30

it never happened. Did anything really come of that? I

33:32

don't. Yeah, a lot of people putting

33:34

their life savings into it. And they think it's

33:36

like that George Soros is doing this story is

33:38

just like, I know that he's being taken advantage

33:40

of. I'm like, it's like, it's a shitty business.

33:42

That's why it's doing this. Like, let's just be

33:44

clear. It's

33:46

the business is terrible. It's a terrible

33:49

business. And also they're losing subscribers, etc,

33:51

etc. Everything about it. It's not a business.

33:53

It's not an actual business. And they just

33:55

continue to insist they want to love Donald

33:58

Trump, just send him your check directly. Just

34:00

send him your money directly. I feel bad.

34:02

I felt bad for these people when I was reading this

34:05

story and I thought, you're a bunch of idiots so I

34:07

don't feel bad in any way whatsoever about

34:09

you. So we'll see. And so you

34:11

think the trials don't matter? I don't agree with you.

34:13

I think these trials are a chippity-chipp-chipp for women especially.

34:16

Women are already like with the abortion thing and

34:18

I'm like, oh yeah, he was a rapist with

34:21

the Eugene Carroll and oh, he likes porn stars.

34:23

I don't know. I just don't. The

34:25

reminders. So first, listening

34:28

to you, you evoked the right

34:30

analogy. And the analogy is the people who give

34:32

money to these televangelists who are flying private, you

34:35

know, people who spend their welfare checks giving

34:37

money to these... Anyways, to me it's the

34:39

exact same thing. I

34:43

think this case probably

34:45

helps them because I think it rallies

34:48

his base who feel he's

34:50

being unfairly persecuted. I don't

34:52

think this is a good case. They

34:55

always do. I've read a

34:57

lot of analysis. There's a lot more here than meets

34:59

the eye. I think he's... Look, it's

35:01

pretty... If they can make a pretty clear thing,

35:03

he'll never testify by the way, people. He'll never

35:05

get on with it. A hundred percent he won't. You're

35:07

absolutely right. No way. He's finished

35:09

if he testifies. I think

35:11

he... By the fact, I don't know if

35:14

you've been seeing some of his speeches. He's

35:16

got some cognitive difficulties that are really quite

35:18

profound. The whole thing about Robert E. Lee,

35:20

he's flurring words. He cannot get on

35:22

the stand. I think it will show quite

35:24

a lot of cognitive problems, I suspect. Well, and

35:26

he'd perjure himself. He can't do it, no. He

35:31

can't take the stand the same reason that Elon

35:33

Musk was never going to take the stand because

35:35

he would either have to basically say, I've

35:38

lied over and over, or he would have

35:40

to lie. When you start lying on the

35:42

stand, there's potentially real prison time.

35:44

There's perjury. But this

35:47

case, I think the Nuclear

35:49

Secrets one, I think the election interference,

35:51

I would stay focused on

35:53

those. But we'll see. It reminds me of the

35:55

fact that he's a pig. Like

35:57

I don't know. I just more... No,

36:00

no, it's just reminder. Like you haven't been reminded in

36:02

a while. You're like, oh, yeah, the rapist. Oh, yeah,

36:04

the pig. Oh, yeah, the porn stars. Like, it's like,

36:06

do we want this again? And I think that's how

36:08

I look, the numbers of Biden, as I said, are

36:11

starting to grow again, because people are like, oh, this

36:13

fucking guy. Yes. All the, all the polls, like as

36:15

I predicted, I'm good on the political stuff.

36:17

I'm not as good on the business stuff

36:19

as you are, but I'm better on the political stuff. I

36:22

just think we'll see where it goes. But Trump media, oh, you put

36:24

it on. Will I get too emotional? I get

36:26

too emotional. You do. Some of your facts

36:28

are not factual. But anyway, feelings are not

36:30

facts. Yeah, that's not

36:32

fair. It is a little bit fair. Yeah,

36:35

it's not fair. It's fair.

36:37

Anyway, in the case of

36:39

Trump media, Scott is 100% factually correct.

36:42

In any case, don't buy that stock, people.

36:45

And if you have to just send them the money,

36:47

just walk over Mar-a-Lago and drop off a bag of

36:49

money. Anyway, let's bring in our friend

36:51

of Pivot so you and I can learn to communicate

36:53

in a more super way. Charles

37:00

Duhigg is a writer at The New

37:02

Yorker and author of the new book

37:04

Super Communicators, How to Unlock the Secret

37:06

Language of Connection. Welcome, Charles. And I

37:09

just was saying previously I admire your

37:11

beard. You're going in the Malcolm Gladwell

37:13

School of Weird Hair Situations, follicular.

37:17

You know, Scott could do the beard too if he

37:19

wants. He's got it started there. He's got it started.

37:21

Then he'll look like he's from like the 18, 1864, say

37:23

Arizona. I

37:26

look like Lennon if he was less sexy. Oh,

37:28

yeah. You

37:30

don't have the eyebrows for it. Anyway. By the way,

37:32

Charles, you look, I got, we saw

37:34

you at South by Southwest, right? Yeah. Yeah.

37:37

That just, you know, the beard ages you. Maybe you're looking

37:40

for that, but the beard absolutely adds to my hair. I'm

37:42

actually hoping that I look about a, you know, 85, 90.

37:45

That's great. Sounds like it's working. No, I

37:47

remember, I remember you, you're like a young

37:50

spry guy. I met this young spry guy

37:52

at South by Southwest and Cara goes, that

37:54

guy's such a hitter. His book is great.

37:56

She just, she very rarely compliments people as

37:58

much as she compliments people. complimented you. In

38:01

any case. In any case. First

38:04

of all, explain to us what exactly is

38:06

a super communicator you write in this book

38:08

actually came about when you realized you weren't

38:10

communicating well in your marriage. So let's get to

38:12

that. Yeah, that's exactly right. Or at the New York Times, right? I

38:14

was on the Twitter

38:29

and I was like, why aren't you supporting me? You're

38:34

supposed to be on my side. And then she would get upset because I

38:36

was packing her for giving me good advice. And

38:38

I wanted to understand what was going on. And

38:40

so I went out to researchers and I asked

38:42

them, you know, why am I miscommunicating? I'm a

38:45

professional communicator. And what they said is,

38:47

well, look, we're living through a golden age of understanding

38:49

communication. And one of the things that we know now is

38:51

that we think of a discussion as being about one

38:54

thing, but it's actually many different kinds of conversations. And

38:56

in general, they tend to fall into one or three

38:58

buckets. Practical conversations

39:00

where we're solving problems, we're making plans

39:02

together. But then there's emotional conversations

39:04

where I tell you what I'm feeling and I don't

39:06

want you to solve my feelings. I want you to

39:09

empathize. And then finally, there's social conversations about how we

39:11

relate to each other. And if

39:13

you're not having the same kind of conversation at the

39:15

same moment, that's when you miscommunicate. I

39:17

was having an emotional conversation. My wife was having

39:19

a practical conversation. And so we couldn't really hear

39:21

each other. I know that. I'm always like,

39:24

what's the solution? I don't really care about the

39:26

feeling as much as the solution, which is interesting.

39:28

So what do you see as the main reason?

39:30

I mean, of course, it's hard to like say

39:32

one reason that people struggle to communicate effectively, but

39:34

talk about a few of them. It's

39:37

usually because for a couple of reasons. First

39:39

of all, that we don't we're not having

39:41

the same kind of conversation. Remember that that

39:44

wave of like tech CEOs doing layoffs over

39:46

Zoom. So obviously,

39:48

when you're laying someone off, that's an emotional

39:50

conversation. And yet they were treating it as

39:52

a practical conversation. This is why we're laying

39:54

you off. Here's the benefits you're going to

39:56

get. This is what's best for the company.

39:58

Somebody hearing that they're being. losing their job, they

40:00

don't want to hear about the practicalities. They want to

40:02

hear someone who empathizes with them.

40:05

And so having the same kind of conversation

40:07

at the same moment is critical. Another thing

40:09

that's really important is asking more questions. Super

40:12

communicators ask 10 to

40:14

20 times as many questions as the average

40:16

person. And as reporters, we know this, right?

40:19

The power of questions and particularly asking deep

40:21

questions, questions that ask me about my values

40:23

or my beliefs or my experiences. Like

40:25

if you meet someone who's a doctor, instead of saying, where do

40:27

you practice medics and saying, Oh, what made you decide

40:30

to go to medical school? That's an invitation for

40:32

them to say something real. And

40:34

then finally, the thing that super communicators do

40:36

is they prove that they're listening. They ask follow

40:38

up questions that show they're paying attention. They

40:40

might do this thing called looping for understanding where

40:42

they repeat back what they heard you say.

40:44

And when we feel listened to,

40:47

that's when we become more likely to listen

40:49

in return. Oh, that's an

40:51

interesting technique. So that's so what you've just

40:53

said to me is no, no,

40:56

you're very good at it. Yeah, no, I'm not. Do

40:59

you want me to explain it? Yeah, that's

41:01

what he does. Scott, go for it, Mr.

41:03

Communications. My, you've

41:06

sort of outlined my dad said, you know,

41:08

my dad said this to me when I

41:10

was much younger and I didn't register how

41:13

important it was or how many subtleties to it. And

41:16

it sounds like it's a lot of what your name

41:18

to you is used to say, communication is with the

41:20

listener. Can you talk about

41:23

something I didn't figure out how as much

41:25

older is the power of silence, just

41:27

looking someone in the eye and make

41:30

sure that you know that you are

41:32

not waiting to speak, that you're

41:35

listening to them. Can you talk about the

41:37

power of silence and sort of

41:39

acknowledging the point, if you will? Absolutely.

41:41

Absolutely. Creating those spaces for silence

41:44

is critical. And what's interesting is

41:46

that speaking is such a cognitively

41:48

intense activity that oftentimes we

41:50

don't really pay attention to how people are

41:53

acting when we're speaking. Right?

41:55

And so the way that we create that

41:57

silence or we create that proof of

41:59

listening is when they stop talking what we

42:01

do. For instance, think about

42:03

how powerful it is. If you just said something profound

42:05

and someone says, wow, that gives me a lot to

42:08

think about, let me take a second just to think

42:10

about what you just said. In that

42:13

moment, what you're really doing is you're saying, I am

42:16

listening to you. I promise I'm listening to you. And

42:18

then if you ask a follow-up question, or if you

42:20

say, here's what I hear you saying, and tell

42:22

me if I'm getting this wrong, what

42:24

we're doing is we're proving that we're listening.

42:26

Because you're exactly right. Many people, particularly in

42:28

a hard conversation, a conflict conversation, we

42:31

suspect in the back of our head, this person isn't

42:33

listening. They're waiting their turn to speak. And

42:35

we have to prove that that's not

42:37

what's happening. And when we do, it

42:39

transforms a conversation. So one

42:42

other thing you just talked about, reference to

42:44

Zoom communication. A lot of communication happens on

42:46

text or video or social media, which

42:49

is a very different level of communication, which is

42:51

not about listening in any way, some of the

42:53

time it is, but usually it

42:55

isn't. How does technology

42:57

play into what we're writing about? Because often

42:59

when Scott and I get into Beast, it's

43:01

over as text. You know what I mean?

43:03

Like I'm thinking, which he takes the wrong way.

43:05

No, one of us gets into a Beast. The other just sits

43:07

there and thinks, what the fuck is she texting me for? 3am.

43:09

No. I don't respond, Cheryl.

43:12

But then when we talk, when we talk. I

43:14

listen. I'm the winner. I'm the super communicator. No,

43:16

you're not. No. I just listen. No.

43:18

In any case, we

43:20

always solve it when we talk together. Yeah. Even

43:24

over the phone. Even over a phone. It makes

43:26

a huge difference, right? In

43:28

the book, there's this story about a CIA

43:30

officer who is a terrible CIA officer. He's

43:32

sent over to Europe to try and recruit

43:34

spies and he's terrible at his job. And

43:36

he learns this lesson, which is different

43:38

types of communication have different rules and different

43:40

strengths and weaknesses. And what's interesting is if

43:43

you look at 100 years

43:45

ago when phones became popular, there were all these articles

43:47

that said, no one will ever have a real conversation

43:49

on telephone because you can't see each other face to

43:51

face. And at the time

43:53

they were right. If you look at early transcripts,

43:56

it's people using phones like telegraphs or sending stock

43:58

orders and grocery lists to each other. other.

44:00

But of course, by the time we're in middle school, our kids, we

44:03

can have phone conversations that are some

44:06

of the deepest conversations of our life. And it's because

44:08

we learned how to use phones. And

44:10

when you're talking on the phone, you tend to, without realizing

44:12

it, overemphasize your words a little

44:14

bit more. You put more emotion into your

44:16

voice because you know the person can't see

44:18

your expressions. And when

44:20

it comes to digital communications, the same

44:23

thing is true. There are certain rules. If I

44:25

say something sarcastic to you, you can hear the

44:27

sarcasm in my voice. If I type something sarcastic,

44:29

you're going to take it seriously and you're going

44:31

to be pissed off. And so

44:33

we just have to remind ourselves of what those

44:36

rules are, that there's some conversations that have to

44:38

be telephone, have to be face to face. And

44:40

if we do them online, then we

44:43

have to overemphasize politeness, we have

44:45

to overemphasize emotion, we have to

44:47

under emphasize sarcasm. So

44:49

first off, I think storytelling, someone asked

44:51

me, what is the core confidence

44:53

you would want to give to your kids? I've been

44:55

thinking a lot about high school crayons, and hands down,

44:57

and I am going to buy your book and

45:00

give it to my two sons. I think

45:02

the competence that will stand the test

45:04

of time is storytelling. You're on a

45:06

podcast with two people who have made

45:08

their living storytelling. If

45:10

you buy into that, and you have sons

45:13

or daughters, and you want them to become

45:15

great storytellers, what exercises

45:17

or what hacks would you recommend for acquiring

45:20

that skill? Yeah, it's a great question. And

45:22

the first thing to understand is what happens

45:24

when we communicate. So when we're

45:26

in a conversation, the reason it's powerful and

45:28

communication is homo sapiens superpower, right? It is

45:31

the thing that has set us apart from

45:33

every other species. When we're

45:35

talking to each other, our bodies start to match

45:37

each other, right? During this conversation without us realizing

45:39

it, our breath patterns are matching each

45:41

other, our heart rates are starting to align. And

45:43

most importantly, the neural activity that the brain activity

45:46

that both of us have, all of us have

45:48

are starting to mirror each other. And

45:50

within that neurology, that's known as neural

45:53

entrainment. And then when you think

45:55

about it, it makes sense. Because if I describe an

45:57

emotion to you, if I if I describe an idea,

45:59

you actually experience that idea or that

46:01

emotion a little bit. That's what makes it powerful.

46:04

And that's our brains aligning. So

46:06

when it comes to storytelling, the thing to keep in mind

46:08

is, my goal is not

46:11

necessarily to tell you the most

46:13

polished story on earth. My

46:15

goal is to take you on a journey with me, right?

46:17

Many people who when they tell stories, they

46:20

focus on the beginning and the end. But

46:22

it's the middle, the journey through the middle

46:25

that makes it a story. If you think

46:27

about the movie Cinderella, the beginning as the

46:30

father dies, that's two minutes. The ending as

46:32

she lives happily ever after, that's like 45

46:34

seconds. The rest of the movie is

46:36

the middle. And when we

46:39

bring people on that journey, we invite them

46:41

to align with us, to

46:43

entrain neurologically. And that's incredibly

46:45

powerful. But when people have

46:48

less of an attention, obviously, people

46:50

have less attention now, and especially when they're distracted

46:52

by a phone or whatever it happens to be.

46:54

But the thing is certainly, we're

46:56

in a persistent partial attention is where we

46:59

all live now. Does that

47:01

affect that? Because it's very hard to

47:03

have. I've had many fewer longer conversations

47:05

than I used to. I'm starting to talk

47:07

like I'm starting to tech. You know what I mean? They're

47:10

usually more logistical and

47:14

that kind of thing. What happens in

47:17

that space? And can people get, like you said, if

47:19

you can adapt to phones, you can adapt to social

47:21

media too. Absolutely. Absolutely. Well,

47:26

time is less important than

47:29

authenticity. So if I tell you

47:31

that I had this incident

47:33

with my wife and we couldn't hear each other

47:35

and I went to these researchers and I talked

47:37

to them, that takes me 40 seconds

47:40

to explain, but it's a little bit

47:42

of a story. You get to come with me. You get

47:44

to envision me and my wife not getting along because that's probably

47:46

something that happens with you guys and your wives, right? And

47:49

so- Never. I'm sorry,

47:52

go ahead. And so what I think

47:54

what happens is that, particularly when

47:56

we're on social media, if we use social media

47:58

as a way to simply broadcast to- scream

48:01

rather than to interact, we'll fall into

48:03

that pattern throughout our life because it

48:06

becomes a habit. And

48:08

so the thing to do is to remind ourselves

48:10

that the goal of a conversation is not to

48:12

convince the other person that you are right and

48:14

they are wrong. It's not to impress them. It's

48:17

not for them to like you. The goal of

48:19

a conversation is simply to understand how they see the

48:21

world and speak in a way that they understand how

48:24

you see the world. And when you

48:26

hold yourself to that standard, I'm not

48:28

going to continue or discontinue this conversation

48:30

until I can try

48:32

and understand what you're saying and help you

48:34

understand me. It makes

48:37

everything healthier. Can I do a

48:39

follow up? We're obviously in election year. It seems

48:41

like candidates are not that doing that. It's a

48:43

dunk, dunk, dunk. No one ever listens, you know,

48:45

even more so than anybody else of

48:48

all public facing people. They're the worst,

48:50

I think. Is there anyone who's a

48:52

super communicator that you see on the

48:54

campaign trail? What's really interesting is if

48:57

you go to rallies, and this is true of both Trump

48:59

and Biden, and you pay attention to when

49:01

they get off script, what they're doing is

49:03

they're proving that they're listening. Setting

49:08

aside what he's saying and the craziness coming out of his mouth,

49:10

when that audience applauds, he leans into the

49:12

applause. He leans into whatever he's saying. That's

49:15

why he starts saying all these crazy things.

49:17

He's proving to them that he's listening to

49:19

them. And Biden's doing the same thing in

49:21

his rallies and he's trying to do it

49:23

right now with his public statements. You're

49:25

exactly right. One of the reasons

49:27

I wrote this book is because we have

49:30

forgotten how to communicate, right? This used to

49:32

be taught in schools. Your parents took a

49:34

course called HOMEC or interpersonal relations, and

49:37

as schools got more technical, it fell out of the curriculums. But

49:39

this is important, and our brain is

49:42

designed to be amazing at communication. If

49:44

we teach it the right skills, it

49:46

makes it into a habit very quickly.

49:48

And so super communicators is about that

49:51

handful of skills that we know helps

49:53

you connect with other people. Yeah,

49:55

it's interesting. I do think you learn to

49:57

communicate without talking. I think I've learned having

49:59

small... Turner's we talk a lot but

50:01

not speaking were internet. Mean, there's a

50:04

lot of nine communication communication happening.

50:06

Scott Final Question. For you

50:08

your dispatchers are unaware little bit about you

50:10

to have kids. I do I but I

50:13

twelve year old and fifteen year old of

50:15

here. it's your if you're in the midst

50:17

of a junior second tour of Iraq and

50:19

businessmen I reserve exactly right. What about the

50:22

How Has your study of spin, a super

50:24

communicator and the best summers practice has changed

50:26

the way you interact to do children, it's

50:28

actually transformed. It's an end in two ways

50:31

that the first thing is that I mention

50:33

that deep questions the with that really is

50:35

as it's about asking not about the facts.

50:37

Of someone's life but how they feel about their

50:39

life and I used to ask my kids like how

50:42

was your day fine did you learn a thing school

50:44

know? did you have fun know right You guys

50:46

had this like it's is like pulling teeth to

50:48

have a conversation with them and then I started asking

50:50

said about the facts other day I sort of acid

50:52

same things like stay I know that you hung

50:54

out with Jasper after school with what do you

50:56

admire about Jasper? why do you like him. And

50:59

suddenly it's like opening this book. You know my

51:01

kid is like who is very courageous when his

51:03

courage mean it will. He rode his bike off

51:05

the roof. Or that

51:08

correct sir. What else is a dud? Or

51:10

it turns out Jasper can talk to girls

51:12

and I proved that I'm listening to the

51:14

My Ass and these the questions about how

51:16

they feel about through as to their experts

51:18

in that and then I repeat back to

51:20

them I say oh that's interesting what do

51:22

you mean by courage I prove to them

51:24

that I'm paying attention that I want to

51:26

learn from them. His and then added know

51:28

I'm glad they're not in this know they

51:30

love it is. They love things right. I

51:32

mean, you have older kids care, you know, like

51:35

when the teenagers. They're

51:37

They're just bursting at the seems to be

51:39

experts on things and scherzer narayan you and

51:41

distance to think they're an expert on his

51:43

their own life Yet this airstrip that. She's.

51:45

Silks and give a sort of these are

51:47

our Scott nice or Communicators you. Guys are

51:50

super communicators parser nights. I mean it's the thing

51:52

is I've been listening to some of the podcast

51:54

that you've been in care about i'm for your

51:56

books he had and the thing I love about

51:58

it is that you go in and. Have

52:00

something to say right? you have use your

52:02

coming and not just waiting for a question,

52:04

you're coming in with something you wanna share

52:06

of but at the same time you're also

52:08

listen to that hosts are interacting with them.

52:11

And us might not walk away completely agreeing

52:13

with each other. But. You walk

52:16

away understanding and connecting with each. and

52:18

yeah, yeah, you guys, you guys are

52:20

different. super communicators. Give everybody one quick

52:22

tip for we go. What's the one

52:24

girl has to do? The. One thing

52:26

you have to do is today. Ask

52:28

a question that you wouldn't have asked otherwise,

52:30

and make it a question that. Seals.

52:33

To you like it's personal like he like

52:35

does that one. Yet. With

52:38

yeah, why did why did you decide to become a

52:40

journalist Like what was like growing up? where have you

52:42

grew up with you love about your neighborhood isn't. Those

52:45

questions or gives an invitation to someone else

52:47

me up to tell you who they really

52:49

are. The. I think I told status as

52:51

something though he does. My son does everyone

52:53

yes and I borrowed it is. I think

52:56

it works really well. He he looks at

52:58

somebody doesn't know and he says how's your

53:00

day, go and an eye as to tell

53:03

you it changes dynamics constantly where we're at

53:05

rather than just rush past And it works

53:07

For was powerful. It's very much so. Anyway,

53:09

Charles you Hague Super communicators had will not

53:12

the secret language as connection is out now.

53:14

They serve. Drinks. Wrapping me.

53:18

A. right? Scott that was interesting isn't it is or

53:20

was that have good book I like and I

53:22

just books a lot of a lot of city

53:24

where and his stories of the times and now

53:26

at the New Yorkers Anyway we'll be back for

53:28

wins and sales. Everyone,

53:33

this is just a Fox has of

53:36

Good One a Podcast About You. I'm

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proud to announce that I personally one

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the streaming and there's a new doc

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our own filter podcast. Good One a

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Show about Jones Falls my perfect meal

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as he developed new material to give

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personal story. Santa features interviews of my

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53:59

Meyers. Awesome. There's an awful a

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cassette good one. A show about

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You is streaming now only odd

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confusing me, maybe to keep me

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55:00

as always say awkward of phrase

55:02

and and. Okay,

55:11

it's.let's hear some wins and sales You.

55:13

Go first this asleep world servers.

55:15

I just wanna have a close

55:17

the loop on Charles. So I

55:19

do think that storytelling is the

55:22

core components that's gonna text amateurs

55:24

the time live in the two

55:26

of us have made extraordinary live

55:28

in. Some have interesting lives in

55:30

influence. Because of our story capability,

55:32

Storytelling is now incredibly important. But.

55:34

Storytellers. Are. Super attractive

55:36

to the other. sucks because they're important to

55:38

survive of the species as is the reason

55:41

and Mick Jagger get stuck. Paying.

55:44

Almost fifty years has to do is

55:46

his junior and it was colossal together

55:48

by pierced Hears Voices are great storyteller

55:50

sort of our minds of but also

55:52

just a pro tip to the to

55:54

the young men and women out there

55:57

and and dating A mistake I was

55:59

made on the date. Was.

56:01

I always felt like I had

56:03

to sell every silence with words.

56:06

And. Coffee talking and outskirts. And

56:08

here's what. Here's what I think

56:11

it's a hack in dating and

56:13

made in early on be really

56:15

comfortable with silence. And

56:17

I would be a dinners and there be

56:19

a partner conversation and I would just stare.

56:22

I would just stop and stare politely and

56:24

smile nicely. and my dates and so it

56:26

almost became uncomfortable. And see

56:28

would say. What's

56:31

going on earth would already? Why? Silence? I

56:33

just enjoy listening. it says I'm confident it's

56:35

as I don't need to fill every word

56:37

and then to just be very emotive and

56:39

say i know I just like looking at

56:42

you or I just like listening to Audacious

56:44

like let out of the. Tests

56:47

because of the spray tan. By the

56:49

way, if anyone's ever depressed out there,

56:52

my first piece of advice from people

56:54

com it's implement our might have you

56:56

thought about a spray tan since contains

56:58

does U S and Contains No, but

57:00

I used. I do use man make

57:02

up. I use a clinic brown so

57:04

indecisive with the snow moisturizer and I'd

57:06

look fucking rain. And to me I

57:08

look at me as as it Forty

57:10

Eight today. Enough Forty nine. Anyways, Silence.

57:12

Young men and young women embrace it.

57:15

It reflects, complicated. Now you wins in sales.

57:17

Go ahead anyway. my when

57:19

he is ah this multilateral

57:21

on Defense of Israel. This

57:23

guy and bastard James Jeffrey

57:25

it's from the will from

57:28

sarcomas summed it up for

57:30

me said the Iranians by

57:32

their massive but failed military

57:34

response Israel's Damascus strike. Have

57:37

brought the entire October Seven, Gaza

57:39

discuss him back to the key

57:41

underlined factor around. and it's products

57:43

around on it's proxies. decades long

57:46

effort to dominate the region and

57:48

tanks stability at the expense of

57:50

Arab states and of Turkey, Israel,

57:52

and United States and Europe. Three

57:54

hundred projectiles. Not one made

57:56

it through the shrapnel of one injured a seven

57:59

year old girl. Isn't this

58:01

with American aircraft carriers took

58:03

out rounds, American F fifteens

58:05

took out drancy, Israeli Iron

58:07

Door Down, and the Arrows

58:09

Defense systems? Jordanians took down

58:11

drones over over most of

58:13

these things. Never even got

58:15

into Israeli air space. When

58:17

the West and it's allies

58:19

coordinate, we are an insurmountable

58:22

fool. And crane it's But

58:24

I mean, Israel has the

58:26

technical superiority, the most vibrant

58:28

economy, and the most potent.

58:31

Political system in terms of it's allies.

58:33

And. The fact that everyone got together regardless

58:35

of what they think of the current administration

58:38

and said there's you know, there's a bad

58:40

administration and then there's someone so in chaos

58:42

throughout the region. And for

58:44

them to coordinate and such a sophisticated

58:46

manner with this type of success he

58:48

does have real moment a victory for

58:50

the west. About my when. I'm

58:54

my, My sale is I'm

58:56

becoming. Incredibly. Awesome!

58:58

With the term Bernie Sanders around,

59:00

I've been thinking a lot about

59:03

Daniel Kahneman. He.

59:05

Had our tax policy, It's

59:07

gone from. I mean, every year.

59:10

taxes get lower on corporations and

59:12

the wealthy for the most part,

59:14

and Daniel Condiments research showed that.

59:17

Essentially there is a correlation between

59:19

money and happiness is absolutely middle

59:22

income people are happier than normal

59:24

or and wealthy happier the middle

59:26

income but at a certain point

59:28

it the returns to menace. And

59:30

it just got me thinking if you. And.

59:33

A Safari. My presentation, if above call

59:35

five or ten million dollars. You.

59:37

Don't get any incremental happiness. But

59:40

you can, but the difference between thirty

59:43

and sixty grand for a low income

59:45

family is extraordinary in terms of their

59:47

wellbeing and happiness. Than

59:49

why on earth would we not have marginal tax

59:52

rates of ninety percent above a certain level? I'm

59:54

in a might be ten million, but if you're

59:56

not giving up anything at that level, But.

59:59

Your readers. Meaning a massive amount,

1:00:01

a good well, health and happiness about us

1:00:03

antenna gone back to where Eisenhower was needed.

1:00:05

At a certain income level we should have

1:00:08

pretty aggressive. A pretty.

1:00:10

Pretty. Aggressive tax rates and the

1:00:12

thing that we don't get in

1:00:14

the Us is we figured out

1:00:17

the hard part. Whether it's whether

1:00:19

it's child poverty, universal pre K

1:00:21

homelessness, veterans affairs, their nations all

1:00:23

over the world that have figured

1:00:25

out these issues. The. Hard part

1:00:28

is the resources. And

1:00:30

the fact that we can grow the economy

1:00:32

by a court of a trillion dollars. In

1:00:35

of five minute earnings call means we've actually

1:00:37

got the hard part figured out. So.

1:00:40

I think did of what I'll call

1:00:42

my sale is. The weaponization

1:00:44

or the lie that we can fake

1:00:47

of is problems out. And

1:00:49

med progressive or non progressive tax

1:00:51

rate somehow result in greater well

1:00:53

being for the nation. They don't

1:00:55

beat the incremental from going from

1:00:58

ten to twenty million dollars. I'd

1:01:00

agree. you get absolutely no utility,

1:01:02

you get absolutely no happiness. So

1:01:04

my sale is this myth that

1:01:06

menthol man it in this part

1:01:09

of the side guys that we

1:01:11

need that lower taxes on the

1:01:13

wealthiest non corporations is part and

1:01:15

parcel of a growing economy and

1:01:18

important for people's. Well being and happiness?

1:01:20

it's not. It doesn't add any incremental happiness

1:01:22

anybody. And if you work on a corporate

1:01:24

side. The. Higher the tax rate

1:01:26

them or reinvestment. There isn't a comic

1:01:28

as be a fifty percent corporate tax

1:01:31

rates companies go well. Why wouldn't we

1:01:33

take a chance to open another plan

1:01:35

or hire more people Cause we get

1:01:37

kind of fifty percent off. So my

1:01:39

sale is this tired, outdated and false.

1:01:42

Or mythologies that really low tax rates

1:01:44

on the most profitable companies and are

1:01:46

mega earners somehow add value back to

1:01:49

the Commonwealth. They don't. They reduce our

1:01:51

happiness. Sadness at Mark Cuban, of course.

1:01:53

just just tweeted. I'd add that it's

1:01:55

taxes. I pay what I have smiled transfer

1:01:57

to Iran to and and eighty eight million

1:01:59

dollars. I'm actually have done so much me

1:02:01

I'm proud to. Pay. My taxes every single year

1:02:04

tag a former president you know who doesn't

1:02:06

he actually correct is two hundred and Seventy

1:02:08

Six million and two hundred Eighty eight. But

1:02:10

I that I was funny. But my When

1:02:13

A is obviously your new book the Algebra

1:02:15

of Wealth and I only read at I

1:02:17

haven't had a timer get it yet because

1:02:19

I just got it in the males. I'm

1:02:22

very excited to read it and very. For divorce I'm

1:02:25

it. centered on and you don't need to read

1:02:27

it. Your dancer both smoked. Don't read it. I

1:02:29

was just thinking how many give it to Alex

1:02:31

in a second once I looked through it's I'm

1:02:33

excited. To look at it was cited

1:02:35

for your book and them said it's about yearbook. I

1:02:37

know you have a lot of as and said I

1:02:39

will probably be attending one of your events as opposed

1:02:41

someone else who didn't communicate. Zone super with my

1:02:44

own Anyway, I probably wealth. And

1:02:46

then my sale at you know we. right

1:02:48

now I don't have you noticed, but right

1:02:50

now I'm a Tesla is laying off ten

1:02:52

percent of it's workforce right now it's today

1:02:54

and they that as a lot a number

1:02:56

of executives at the has has set. It

1:02:59

on leaving. Ah, Senior Vice President

1:03:01

eighteen your company. That means leaving.

1:03:03

Saw another one row on Patel is leaving.

1:03:05

He meant business of Elements. This was a

1:03:08

really company that was really on the cutting

1:03:10

edge in his last the way and that's

1:03:12

to all we were saying in this. When

1:03:14

a lead with competition with people obviously not

1:03:17

keeping up in terms of new products not

1:03:19

taking your eye off the ball it's a

1:03:21

shame. it's a damn saying that it it

1:03:23

was inevitable they're gonna lose some market share

1:03:26

because that's the way those disease pioneered. It's

1:03:28

an industry it's incredibly spite of. This is

1:03:30

a fail because it didn't quite have to

1:03:33

happen this way. Either now or everyone's cutting

1:03:35

back in this area is just as it

1:03:37

shows you that if you take your eye

1:03:39

off a ball as of the have a

1:03:42

really exciting product you can really get into

1:03:44

trouble and I allowed nicht as with any

1:03:46

rancor towards this first is the same because

1:03:49

this isn't this is an industry leading company

1:03:51

away from the stock price went from is

1:03:53

toxic doesn't that So it's a real sale

1:03:55

on his behalf for taking his eye off

1:03:58

the ball. I think personally so. It A

1:04:00

I wish it wasn't a sale. In a lot of is,

1:04:02

oddly enough, will. But to be fair of those people who

1:04:04

have been there fifteen or eighteen, Yeah, nurse. They.

1:04:06

Have recognized Norm Us even with the drawdown

1:04:09

i'm sorry Dave. Enormous, They have recognized enormous

1:04:11

economic security, which is what a for profit

1:04:13

company has forced to. Those people have done

1:04:15

really well. Yeah. Absolutely. Anyway, I'm

1:04:17

I, just it just and they have done

1:04:19

really well. but they didn't They needed to

1:04:22

make changes and that's what they dead and

1:04:24

ah and ten percent the word for sustained

1:04:26

suffer for it anyway. But that's what happens.

1:04:28

Unfortunately, I'm in any case we want to

1:04:30

hear from you. Send us your questions about

1:04:32

business sector, whatever is on your mind, go

1:04:34

to nymag.com/pivot to send. A question for the

1:04:36

shower. Call Eight Five Five Five One Pivots. Don't

1:04:38

forget to vote for us in the Webby awards

1:04:41

at the Lincoln Description. We need to be number

1:04:43

one because it will still the giant empty space

1:04:45

and our souls. And

1:04:47

Scott we would like when we would

1:04:49

like to win amps of he's got.

1:04:51

That's the show. Will be back on

1:04:53

Friday with more. Meanwhile this week on

1:04:55

Prof to Eat Insects that interview with

1:04:57

certain professor at Cal Newport to hear

1:05:00

his ideas on slow productivity and for

1:05:02

on with Kara Swisher. As I said

1:05:04

will bring you my conversation with Jonathan

1:05:06

Heights anyway please. Results got. To do

1:05:08

so was produced by Learn A Missouri

1:05:10

Markers and Killer Griffin earn a retired

1:05:12

engineer. The Sub Southern sausage arose Milford

1:05:14

area of the soccer ozarks Meters executive

1:05:16

producer audio measures subscribers show area with

1:05:18

the parker Thank you for listening a

1:05:21

Pivot New York Magazine boxmeer you can

1:05:23

subscribe to the magazine in a more

1:05:25

mag are com bust pod who we

1:05:27

back later this week for another breakdown

1:05:29

of all things test and business. Thank

1:05:31

you to his majesty King Abdul with

1:05:33

a sec him and the good people

1:05:35

of Jordan First Port of America. And. Advance.

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