Episode Transcript
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it's planet many some and here
1:01
out there it was raining range year it was
1:03
set than other day and be a long
1:06
, of my coffee house up the
1:08
my elbows and cases to follow
1:12
follow that found it so
1:15
happens when it
1:18
many here today for me a question
1:23
Yeah, it's Planet Money. What's your mystery? Your
1:25
help with a very particular problem?
1:28
Is ratchet
1:30
phone. Yes, this is Planet
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Money. What needs investigating? i have
1:35
a money mystery that planet money
1:37
could solve
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hello and welcome the planet money america
1:42
barris just a detective dame
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so the sent our very best come soon
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You NPR.
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It's not easy,
2:57
being a detective for Planet Money every
2:59
day. I get questions from folks, just
3:01
curious as i and
3:03
these days there seems to be one
3:05
question that everyone's
3:07
worrying about
3:11
yeah i has and the syria
3:14
for so i have a question so
3:16
a question that i had regarding my i
3:18
don't know if there's any day dad's has served
3:20
as diverse as rather different indicators they're
3:22
coming would show what are the early indicators
3:24
of those and more browser that are
3:26
we headed far as i said you
3:30
are listeners wanna know we
3:32
in a recession are we not
3:35
how do we know so we
3:37
put be one and only married
3:39
out and the case
3:41
she found that sometimes the answers
3:43
lie in unexpected places
3:46
so the thing about calling a recession
3:48
is that it relies on indicators
3:50
the main one being gdp but
3:52
that is a lagging measurements many it
3:54
comes after the fact so we
3:56
could be in a recession for months but
3:58
we can't make laughter
4:00
mary there are earlier size you
4:02
found someone says she has the answers
4:05
because of a somewhat unorthodox
4:07
economic indicator
4:09
i went to an expert who has been doing field
4:11
research collecting empirical evidence
4:14
on her it leading indicator i
4:16
don't even know it's like and
4:18
are appropriate the same i handle there
4:21
are no swears and arm hi
4:24
i'm at reverse cowgirl sixty nine or
4:27
my eyes potentially them though
4:29
we're not using reverse cowgirl sixty nine
4:31
real name because her family doesn't know
4:33
about her job she is a stripper
4:36
in new york city and city and weeks ago
4:38
she did a viral tweet that says
4:40
strip club tips are leading indicator
4:43
of a recession and she would know
4:45
because she keeps a meticulous spreadsheet
4:48
of her weekly earnings
4:50
they started doing that because i wanted
4:52
so which outfits were working well and
4:54
i was like i need to know whether i'm crazy
4:57
or like this dress as a good dress
4:59
wait what dreck what was your best wrath of
5:01
a i have a wondrous or always or three well
5:03
it's a sparkly herbalists
5:05
metallic cut out dress that like just like under
5:08
boobs are like the main attraction
5:11
yeah and identify with my highest
5:13
earning draws on weekdays
5:16
it also thinking a lot about
5:18
current events like what's happening in the world because
5:21
it can have a really big effect on
5:23
how much she will make into any
5:25
given night you pay a house feet away
5:27
which can range anywhere from like sixty dollars
5:29
like two hundred dollars on it may so
5:32
it's like a always a gamble he always up
5:34
like think ahead of how the night's gonna be the before
5:36
you even go and
5:38
of course a planet money we love a good spreadsheet
5:40
let us she noticed that makes you think we're in a recession
5:43
so as with any industry there
5:45
are ebbs and flows to the calendar
5:47
year and reverse cowgirl
5:49
sixty nine told me that in new york
5:51
where she works january is
5:54
generally the worst ah it's right
5:56
after the holidays the weather is crappy people
5:58
just or hunkered down it only the february
6:01
things start to pick up a little bit more
6:04
and by march things are back to basically
6:06
normal getting into the good swing of things and
6:09
this year things were kind of following that
6:11
pattern you know january was roth said you're a
6:13
two and then march was
6:15
really shaky i know if it wasn't like him
6:17
increasing the way it was all right like it normally
6:20
increases like i have previous years
6:22
obviously it wasn't just
6:24
hurt either she told me that there's this great
6:27
camaraderie in the locker room where
6:29
the dancers all talk and counsel each
6:31
other and in march when it felt like every
6:33
night with kind of a wash the other women
6:35
would say hey it's not just you everybody
6:38
didn't make a lot of money tonight something
6:41
is going on
6:42
some of the order the answers were even saying
6:44
yeah this feels like
6:47
two thousand and seven because the high
6:49
rolling regulars though wales they're
6:52
not coming in as much any
6:53
when you start noticing i thought
6:56
the whales quote unquote a whale is like
6:58
the customer who is gonna spend a lot of money
7:00
when the whales start dying is
7:02
when rep you know the strip clubs in trouble
7:05
the we're in a recession wow
7:08
patrick leech and relievers as and
7:10
we need at least two quarters with
7:12
negative gdp growth and
7:14
so far we have one
7:16
the and according to reverse cowgirl sixty
7:18
nine it does seem likely are on track
7:21
for another so she would say yes
7:23
we're in a recession
7:24
that's right folks he hardly hear when strip
7:27
said start lack in gdp disconcerting
7:30
thank you so much marry kill one
7:33
down anymore to go to my character
7:38
for my next case i had a handful
7:40
of clues and curious
7:43
question hey
7:46
printing money
7:47
recently he come from brookline i'm
7:50
ten years old i in
7:53
why dollar bills green and
7:55
why do other countries have different colors
7:57
for different amounts we don't yeah
8:03
the pondered this question is slowly
8:05
swivels in my chair then
8:08
the not on
8:10
the door the shadowy
8:12
figure long was character
8:14
from the past
8:16
if the hostess podcast now is off
8:18
hosts and a show called let's a problem jacob
8:21
goldstein eric a bears the
8:24
jacob this is a big question one
8:26
i've often wondered about why
8:29
is our money
8:29
mean so at the green dollar
8:31
goes back to the civil war back to
8:33
the mid eighteen hundreds and at the time
8:36
it was actually a a weird rare
8:38
thing for the government to print paper
8:40
money's what was normal at the time was for private
8:43
banks to print paper money okay
8:45
yes and insects in
8:47
the decades before the civil war there
8:49
were actually thousands of different
8:51
kinds of paper money in the united states printed
8:54
by private banks all across the country
8:56
it's a in a came in all different colors
8:58
you know there was orange money as yellow
9:00
money and some of it had pictures of wales and some
9:02
of the had answers of bankers and wales anything
9:04
everything it was a wild money
9:07
era okay then
9:09
we get to the civil war the government
9:11
needs money to pay for the war and so
9:13
they do what governments do when they need money they
9:16
printed it they decide on this
9:18
temporary emergency money on
9:20
they're going to print the back wait
9:23
for this is our big moment they're going to arrest
9:25
the back in green the
9:28
and in that people called
9:30
these bills greenbacks
9:33
i guess is still technically slang for dollar
9:35
bills you might hear some likes grizzled
9:37
detectives talk about your noses and thirty three
9:39
greenbacks i hear that all the time
9:42
ah why green
9:44
the a cab fare questions ah
9:46
clearly part of it was anti
9:49
counterfeiting you know black and white
9:51
photography was emerging at this time
9:53
rights with the printing is all in black and whites
9:56
you can make counterfeit bills us
9:58
with a camera and so by printing
10:01
the backs in green it was harder to counterfeit
10:04
also apparently green it's a just
10:06
worked what like it didn't rub off it it worked
10:08
well as in four months a half
10:11
so for those reasons we wound
10:13
up with green money it wasn't
10:15
zach temporary money it went away and
10:17
then we get to the nineteen
10:19
twenties or by this time
10:21
we have the federal reserve's us year
10:23
old central bank the sad part of them in in the late
10:25
twenties they come out with this new
10:28
series of paper dollars
10:30
and that is the money that is
10:32
boring uniform in size
10:35
green that is the money
10:37
that looks like the money we have now okay
10:39
so that explains how we got
10:40
money but why don't we teens it now
10:42
to something more multi colored that's a lot
10:45
the other countries have done yet so fun
10:47
why don't we yeah well
10:49
one idea for why don't we is
10:52
the dollar really is a global
10:54
currency much more than any other money
10:57
or in fact the value of of
10:59
us paper money outside the u s is
11:01
greater than the value of paper money
11:04
inside the u s size and you know that's
11:06
good for united states it gives us
11:08
a kind of power and so you know
11:10
we don't wanna like mess with have hit like it's
11:13
not broken so it's a brand essentially
11:16
and i'll go they have good brand yeah yeah
11:18
but wait ah sounds
11:20
like the end but there's one really
11:23
interesting thing we haven't talked about yet okay
11:26
i asked you to bring a ten
11:28
dollar bill or did you do have
11:30
one i'm going to find a ten dollar bill and here
11:33
hundred and two of has given up for
11:35
case i'm looking at it now okay
11:37
what color
11:38
then it actually to me looks kind of cream
11:41
colored there's a flame
11:42
yes a flame there's a fling at what color
11:44
is the flame that's
11:46
hank planet read his death
11:48
read is yeah also to the right of
11:50
hamilton a reddish we the people the
11:52
that pill so there's
11:54
no with the it is green on the back i
11:56
should say there's green pentagon the backs of destiny
11:59
that's what it is
12:00
it is a peach colored bill with read
12:02
on it and if you look
12:04
at other denominations
12:07
issued over the past more than a decade
12:09
now all these colors have actually
12:11
been sneaking onto dollar bills and
12:13
sort of we didn't notice like frankly
12:15
to be honest i didn't notice i've been covering this
12:18
verse more than ten years and until i
12:20
was working on this i assumed would dollars were
12:22
green like that always and they aren't just
12:24
green anymore said us government's been sneaking
12:26
color onto our money and we never even noticed
12:29
what else are they say that with okay
12:34
thank you so much for joining us oh so
12:36
find a comeback
12:42
and we'll be back to solve a few more mysteries
12:45
right
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support for npr and the following message
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a sea of red light blinking on
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the michigan
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james miller of yeah calling from lead massachusetts
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i have a question my wife
13:54
is pregnant with our first child we're
13:57
good pretty worried about the current baby formula shortages
14:00
i was surprised to hear that there are only four
14:02
major suppliers of formula in the us
14:05
at all the question is this
14:08
the new explain how or why the market
14:10
has consolidated down to only four companies
14:13
thanks
14:15
and to answer your question i have whale
14:17
and long as a host at the indicator
14:20
on the case hey whalen
14:22
at your service eric as or eight so question
14:24
number one which is something i too
14:26
was wondering about when this all started happening
14:29
how on earth and the age of the baby industrial
14:31
complex and sets a wildly competitive
14:34
marketplace did this monopoly
14:36
happen
14:37
you have to go back to the eighties this is
14:39
a time when the government was really worried
14:42
about families being able to afford
14:44
formula the cost of formula was rising
14:46
very quickly so through this
14:48
program called wick women infants
14:50
and children right exactly it's a government
14:53
nutrition program they try to make
14:55
formula more affordable and
14:57
a way they didn't would fundamentally
14:59
changed the landscape of suppliers
15:01
that we have today because the
15:04
with the program is run by each
15:06
individual states and each seats
15:08
program as formula manufacturers
15:10
to submit bids which ever company
15:12
offered the biggest discount thought the sole
15:15
source contract so you get
15:17
the entire states with market and basically
15:19
total market dominance okay why
15:22
is that well so
15:24
grocery stores would dedicate the most
15:27
to sell space you whatever formula branch had
15:29
that sole source contracts and then
15:31
non which shoppers would end up by matt
15:33
brand to because that's all they saw
15:35
when they went to the grocery store so thanks
15:38
to this spill over a fact the wick
15:40
system of awarding sulfur contract
15:42
ended up reading this winner takes
15:44
all market for formula in each state
15:47
so like a state allowed monopoly set
15:49
up from the eighties is the reason we have sworn
15:51
it is today exactly
15:53
and actually it's gotten even more concentrated
15:56
because states now band together and
15:58
so for example i have a group of
16:00
twenty four states that all pick the
16:02
theme exclusive formula manufacturer
16:05
because it's like collectively they get an even
16:07
better deal so i'm it's like a
16:09
winner takes twenty four you know right
16:12
thanks to being on the case one any
16:14
time paris
16:21
then we've been closing cases left and right
16:24
but there's one case last they
16:26
blanchard
16:27
that for as will if it you know sometimes
16:29
we'll get questions and was be like oh
16:31
yeah like i've always wondered that same
16:33
thing all the time this is not one
16:36
of those questions okay
16:39
what a money this randy so simple livermore california
16:42
have you ever noticed there are not numbers
16:44
on us coins instead we spell
16:46
out once and five cents and quarter dollar
16:49
so plan and money maybe you can solve this
16:51
important mystery
16:54
though i'm like randy i'd literally never
16:56
notice that coins only have written out numbers
16:58
but we are here to serve this is
17:00
a listener questions episode and so
17:03
on since we've got a few seconds of recording
17:05
yeah i called up dennis tucker
17:07
sees numismatist which
17:09
means he stays coins and money and
17:12
he's been looking into this for us so was
17:14
there a single person responsible
17:16
for written out numbers on coins you
17:18
have a culprit as
17:22
well i don't know if know if call him a culprit
17:24
but disease or certainly i had a character
17:26
of note and his name is christian
17:29
go christian chris in
17:31
go brecht christian go over access
17:33
rights he was born in
17:35
the seventies eighties the seventeen
17:37
eighteen so this story goes back nearly to the
17:39
founding of the country christened
17:42
go back to the time was growing up in pennsylvania
17:45
and even when he was a kid we
17:47
a journals and sketchbooks
17:49
from that period the show the he was really pretty
17:52
talented and if
17:54
you happened to be an artist in philadelphia then
17:57
you would catch the i have meant officials as he
18:00
did the correct goes to work for them and he
18:02
doesn't get the job he really wants which is chief
18:04
engraver he does get a job
18:06
as second engraver and go brecht
18:09
is not just an engraver
18:11
he's an engraver who also happens
18:13
to be an artist it's during
18:15
this period that go brecht starts
18:17
to come up with all of these coin designs
18:20
that are radical departure from
18:22
what others before him had done so
18:24
before go brecht american coins
18:26
had these seeing more more
18:28
traditional designs think like roman
18:31
busts engraved on coins
18:33
they were usually a woman in profile
18:35
she's the personification of liberty
18:38
go back to had a different vision his
18:41
design was fresh it will it was knew
18:43
it was a a full figure of liberty
18:46
you don't see seated and she's very much in control
18:48
of her destiny and her surroundings
18:50
she has flowing robes
18:53
this casual posture it's kind
18:55
of livelier and the mint
18:57
totally embraces this before long literally
18:59
every silver coins in circulation
19:01
has this new liberty seeded
19:04
design as it was known and every
19:06
american would have used these coins and
19:09
more to the point of our listener randy's question
19:12
there was another radical departure
19:14
in go breaks design
19:16
how the numbers are written if if
19:18
you look at the way the denominations are spelled
19:21
for for gold bread
19:23
it was a combination of numerals
19:26
and abbreviated sent signs for
19:28
example so a half time
19:30
which was a denomination back monday are
19:32
would have been five see period
19:35
go , a change that to halftime
19:37
spelled out now a lot has been lost
19:39
to history and we don't know why go brecht
19:42
made this change dennis doesn't
19:44
want to speculate too much skill he's a please
19:46
proper historian yeah
19:48
the theory
19:49
brecht didn't get the job he
19:51
wanted remember he's only the second
19:54
engraver maybe some of his
19:56
artistic innovation of was a
19:59
weed the
20:01
strike back at that and just kind of
20:03
say this is what i'm capable of doing
20:07
i'm i'm not your grandfather's coin designer
20:09
you know i'm a modern man i'm a modern artist
20:12
and here's how i'm going to interpret
20:15
modern coinage
20:16
and you know his legacy is now lasted
20:18
for some two hundred years like
20:21
to go look at some change the written out
20:23
numbers on those coins that
20:25
go brecht but there's this
20:27
twist a new set of quarters is
20:29
beginning to be released honoring american women
20:32
so like my angelo sally ride and
20:34
, mint is allowing the artists who designed
20:37
these quarters to go with a numeral
20:39
design if they want to to that
20:41
happens it'll up and nearly two
20:43
centuries of tradition that started with
20:45
christian go practice in some
20:47
ways that seems feels seems
20:50
at a no go brecon
20:56
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20:58
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in it money today's episode
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was produced by samuel a horse kessler
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with help from will have prevents it was
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edited by chest sang and engineered
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