Episode Transcript
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0:03
In
0:06
DC, on January sixth. In fact,
0:08
he organized a bus trip to go down there. He's
0:10
been asked to hand over documents and information
0:13
about efforts to
0:13
Undue the certification of the twenty twenty election
0:16
Pennsylvania, which he called compromised
0:18
and corrupt. Geoprene, it will
0:20
seize the power that we had given to us by
0:22
the constitution and as well by you,
0:25
providence I pray for the leaders in the
0:27
federal government God on the sixth of January
0:29
that they'll rise up with boldness. You'll bless
0:31
these letters. Meet Doug Mastriano.
0:34
The
0:34
Republican nominee for governor in Pennsylvania,
0:37
the birthplace of American democracy. Mastriano
0:41
is a state senator who tried to help Donald
0:43
Trump overturned the results of the last election,
0:46
and he was at the US capital on January
0:48
sixth. As governor,
0:50
he'd have a lot of power over Pennsylvania's elections.
0:53
including what happens to the swing state's twenty
0:56
electoral votes. Electoral votes
0:58
that could easily determine the next president.
1:01
I'm Doug Mastriano, and I get to
1:03
appoint the secretary of state who's delegated
1:06
from me the power to make the corrections
1:08
to elections, the voting
1:10
laws, and and everything and we're gonna
1:12
clean it up. Well, I might even have to reset
1:14
voter registration and start all over again across
1:16
the state. There's stroke of a pen here. I can decertify
1:19
every single machine in the state.
1:21
doesn't
1:21
seem great. Also,
1:23
Mastriano has ties to extremist Christian
1:26
nationalist groups, opposed his same
1:28
sex marriage, and says he'd sign a
1:30
law to ban abortion with no exceptions.
1:32
issue in
1:33
a mother's womb. You know, my body, my
1:35
choice is ridiculous nonsense here.
1:37
if you think
1:38
about But wait, there's more. In
1:40
twenty fourteen, Mastriano posed for
1:42
a faculty photo at the Army War College
1:44
where he taught for a few years. For
1:46
some weird reason, everyone in the picture was
1:48
given choice to dress up as a historical figure.
1:51
Guess it was the only faculty member to
1:53
choose Confederate soldier. That's
1:57
right, Doug Mastriano.
1:59
The state
1:59
senator who represents,
2:02
Gettysburg.
2:04
So yeah, that's the guy running
2:06
for governor of Pennsylvania. And even
2:08
though the polls currently show him down by a few
2:10
points, he could absolutely win.
2:14
In twenty twenty, Joe Biden won Pennsylvania
2:16
by a little more than eighty thousand votes.
2:18
Even though he turned out more democratic
2:20
voters, than any presidential candidate
2:22
in history. That's
2:25
because Trump's megabase broke turnout records
2:27
too. not sure if you've noticed,
2:29
but they still seem pretty fired up. Hello,
2:32
Pennsylvania. Hello.
2:35
I'm thrilled to be back in this incredible
2:38
commonwealth
2:39
with the thousands of proud
2:42
So once again, Pennsylvania will be one
2:45
of the country's biggest battlegrounds in this election.
2:47
The campaign between masteriano and Democratic
2:50
attorney general Josh Shapiro is
2:52
one of the most consequential races in the
2:54
country. Meanwhile, control
2:56
of the senate could come down to the contest between
2:58
Republican nominee, Memmott Oz, a
3:01
Quack TV doctor from New Jersey, and
3:03
Democratic nominee John Federman. Pennsylvania's
3:06
six foot eight Lieutenant Governor A
3:08
hoodie wearing, goatee sporting progressive
3:10
who was described in the Atlantic as hacked
3:13
together from spare parts in an oil
3:15
street, Pittsburgh, Chopper Garage.
3:17
SO FAR IT SEEMS TO BE WORKING FOR HIM. Reporter:
3:19
HE HAS BEEN LEADING IN THE MOST RECENT
3:22
POLLS AND SOME OF THEM BY QUITE A BIT.
3:25
The stakes in Pennsylvania and for democracy
3:28
are huge. The question
3:30
is, do enough people know that?
3:32
are enough people paying attention. Can
3:34
John Josh Shapiro, and other Democratic
3:36
candidates motivate enough of the voters who came
3:38
out to defeat Trump in twenty twenty? especially
3:42
when a lot of those voters are feeling disconnected from
3:44
politics and disappointed with the direction
3:46
of the country. Our organization started
3:48
because we are working class
3:51
people and we come out of real And
3:53
we saw that nobody in Western Pennsylvania
3:55
from the Democratic Party to the Republican
3:57
Party to whatever political
3:59
party you're coming from, right,
4:02
was actually talking to people in a
4:04
day to day way about what their
4:06
life was like. That's
4:07
Alex Wallach Hansen, the field director
4:09
for Pennsylvania United, a group of nonprofit
4:11
organizations who helped flip Pennsylvania to
4:14
Biden in twenty twenty. Elections
4:16
are a choice on
4:18
one Tuesday in November where you gotta
4:20
wake up and you go pick between two people.
4:23
Right? Or you picked a knot. But the vast
4:25
majority of people in our community are
4:27
not waking up with a pre formed
4:29
and pre figured analysis of
4:31
politics and connecting into their lives and how they
4:33
see the world because they're not in organizations. They're
4:36
not connected to the political establishment. They're
4:38
not connected. to any way
4:40
where they touch power and see it show
4:42
up in their lives.
4:46
So
4:46
when political establishment people,
4:48
the media, when they tell
4:50
the story of oh, voters in Pennsylvania
4:53
have
4:53
been persuaded by the
4:55
Republican Party message or have been persuaded
4:58
by the, you know, the politics of fear and
5:00
hate and division. That may be
5:02
true for some people, but the vast majority of
5:04
people who are voting are just showing up and
5:06
picking between two people on that given
5:08
day. And there's so much complexity that
5:10
goes into that. I
5:12
went to Pitt's burg earlier this summer to talk to some of
5:15
the voters that Wallach was talking about.
5:17
There are people who aren't that connected to politics
5:19
and aren't following the news that closely. but
5:21
people who still usually show up on election
5:23
day to pick between two candidates. They're
5:26
the kind of people that political scientist, Diana
5:28
Kruppnikoff, was telling us about in the first episode.
5:30
In order
5:31
to understand the divide between
5:33
the parties, Democrats, and Republicans,
5:36
we have to understand this divide
5:38
between those who pay a tremendous amount
5:40
of attention really focus on politics,
5:42
and those who pay much less of
5:44
attention politically. In
5:46
this focus group, I spoke with nine disengaged
5:48
Democrats. All were from the Pittsburgh area.
5:51
None were daily news consumers. And while
5:53
all of them were leaning towards voting in the midterms,
5:55
only three said they'll definitely cast
5:57
a ballot. All of them voted for Biden
5:59
in twenty twenty, but two of them voted for
6:01
Trump in twenty sixteen. For
6:03
context, I talked to these voters a few
6:05
days before the start of the January sixth hearings.
6:07
We spoke about the hearings, democracy,
6:09
abortion, the economy, inflation, guns,
6:12
and of course, politics, including
6:14
Pennsylvania's big mid term races. A
6:17
few weeks later, I sat down with a group of experts
6:19
in Pennsylvania politics to help break
6:21
down what the voters said. So
6:24
I'm Malcolm Kanata. I'm a state representative
6:26
here in Pennsylvania. And just
6:28
not too long ago, I finished
6:30
my bid for the US Senate and the Democratic
6:33
primary was the first openly LGBTQ
6:35
person of color to run for US Senate in American
6:37
history. My
6:38
name is Rebecca Katz. I am the founder
6:40
of new deal strategies and a
6:42
chief adviser to senate candidate,
6:44
John Fitterman. Hi,
6:46
Spiel. My name is Dan Wagner. I'm the chief
6:48
executive officer of CIVUS Analytics.
6:50
We're a multipurpose data science technology
6:53
an analytics firm, and we do a lot
6:55
of work supporting political campaigns, advocacy
6:57
groups, etcetera, with their
6:59
analytics challenges. Before this, I
7:01
was the chief analytics officer for the two
7:03
thousand twelve Obama campaign, and that's it.
7:06
After
7:06
the break, we hear from Malcolm, Rebecca,
7:09
Dan, and nine Pennsylvania voters.
7:23
Becca,
7:23
I can't believe this is our first time meeting with
7:25
all these guys. We didn't even have our
7:27
own coffee a moment. They're doing
7:29
it with the pod safe. They
7:33
brought the whole crew together. I don't think I've seen
7:35
you in, like, fifteen years. mean, maybe more,
7:37
but I don't wanna say how old we are, so I'm gonna
7:39
stop it.
7:39
I literally just had this conversation with Tommy in
7:41
the office. I
7:42
went to Pittsburgh to talk with voters who Democrats
7:44
absolutely need if we want to win in November.
7:47
People who cast their ballot for Joe Biden in
7:49
twenty twenty, but aren't totally sure what they'll
7:51
do in the twenty twenty two midterms.
7:53
As you'll hear, they feel pretty down about politics
7:55
in the state of the country, and they're not following
7:57
the news as closely as you probably are.
7:59
afterwards, I got together with Dan, Malcolm,
8:02
and Rebecca to talk about what we heard.
8:03
Thank
8:04
you all for doing this. Dan, I
8:06
will go out on a limb and say that
8:08
most wilderness listeners are
8:10
very politically engaged voters who follow
8:12
political news quite closely. How do you think
8:14
they compare with the broader electorate? they
8:16
look nothing like them. I mean, part of
8:19
our job, unfortunately, is to be analytical and
8:21
part of it is a stereotype. Mhmm. The
8:23
average Pod Save America listener is
8:25
probably late thirties,
8:28
probably
8:28
eighty percent or likely
8:30
white, probably fifty fifty male female
8:32
is probably
8:33
concentrated fifty
8:35
percent plus in urban areas
8:37
isn't probably entirely college educated
8:39
filling the gaps. They
8:41
probably share a similar cultural
8:43
standard same standard of living
8:45
standard, same feelings of
8:47
anxiety about recent policy, etcetera.
8:50
And the average non Pod
8:52
Save America person probably has
8:54
not gone to college or has gone to part
8:56
of college and is living through debt right
8:58
now. They consume their
9:00
news through some combination of cable
9:02
news, but more likely through
9:04
Facebook. They are looking at the political
9:06
process right now through deep anxiety
9:08
because they're going through his historical
9:11
collapse in their standard of living as a
9:13
result of inflation and rising home prices.
9:15
And they are thinking about how
9:17
their families are going to get by
9:19
and politics as last not
9:21
first.
9:22
Yeah. I think that's about right. This guy's
9:24
good. It was
9:26
good. You pretty much nailed our audience.
9:28
Malcolm, you just ran in a statewide campaign in
9:31
Pennsylvania. How
9:33
important is it to reach voters who aren't
9:35
frequent Twitter users or cable
9:37
news viewers? in your opinion. What was
9:39
that like? Our
9:41
our challenge was that there were
9:43
a lot of voters who did
9:45
not know who we were in
9:47
a huge state
9:49
like Pennsylvania, if you
9:51
are not able to
9:53
engage folks who fall into those buckets
9:55
with Dan's just so accurately described
9:57
where politics is last,
9:59
not
9:59
first. And that's the type of family I
10:02
come from. you
10:03
know, I live six different places by the time I graduated
10:05
high school. My mom worked
10:07
all of the time. And so, you
10:09
know, she was a good democrat, but she was,
10:11
like, not paying attention
10:13
to all the twists and turns of
10:16
politics except for the real
10:18
quality of life concerns that were
10:20
front and center, you know, the levels
10:22
of gun violence in our communities.
10:24
And frankly, if you, you know, no
10:26
folks from North Philly, violence
10:28
was a crisis before it became
10:30
something that national folks wanted to
10:32
cover. We're dealing with mass shootings
10:34
multiple times in the year. I
10:36
think we benefited from
10:38
me being able to just talk honestly and
10:40
openly about my experience in
10:42
some cases to the chagrin of
10:44
my staff. I'm not like a fucking talking points person.
10:47
I just kinda say what I think, and it'll
10:49
work or not work. And what I
10:51
think is that we are
10:53
not delivering on a government that actually
10:55
works for those working families. You
10:57
know, all they
10:58
got is me. And so that's why I have a
11:00
big mouth about the needs of working people.
11:03
Rebecca,
11:03
how important is it to reach voters
11:05
who aren't frequent Twitter
11:07
users or cable news viewers? How does
11:09
that factor into your campaign strategy?
11:11
It's very important. You know, we always
11:14
say campaigns are not won or lost
11:16
on Twitter. You have to actually go out and
11:18
talk to the people. they consume news
11:20
differently and you actually have to talk about
11:22
things that they care about and you have to make
11:24
them believe that you
11:25
will do something for them.
11:27
now, the biggest problem we have is no one no
11:29
one thinks anyone's gonna do anything for
11:31
them. Alright. Let's
11:32
get to the first clip. I asked voters how
11:35
they feel politics, media, and the way things are going in
11:37
America. Here's some of what they said.
11:39
Scale
11:39
one's ten. How important
11:41
are politics in your life?
11:44
I
11:44
wanna say zero, but I prefer I'm gonna
11:47
say two. Okay. That's alright. I mean,
11:49
266I
11:51
just I can't watch the news.
11:53
I I stay out of it and I have to
11:55
just not have it as an influence of my
11:57
life. It's just it very important to
11:59
me
11:59
since this whole pandemic
12:02
started, my whole thing was to stay in
12:04
your lane. Be the best you you can be.
12:06
You're not gonna fix this political shit
12:08
show. A husband and I,
12:10
we don't ever watch the news anymore
12:12
because it's a negative. A lot of it's, you
12:14
know, kinda drunk along the the party
12:16
lines, whether it's a portion of
12:18
the gun. COVID. I
12:20
just feel like everything's kinda
12:22
split these days. You're you're afraid
12:24
to talk up to your neighbors, not
12:26
knowing, like, what side effects are
12:28
on? Is anyone else
12:30
afraid to talk politics with
12:32
people that, you know, and your neighbor's friends
12:34
and family? You know, I would agree with that. He seems
12:36
like a lot of people have pretty hard stances,
12:38
but she'd never know. I feel like it's
12:40
uncomfortable now no matter what way
12:42
you think. used to be, I think, a lot
12:44
easier to talk about stuff like that.
12:46
I always just say that politics
12:48
provides people, so that's why with
12:50
family and stuff like that, I
12:52
don't even get into
12:53
it because, you know, there are
12:55
certain people, man. You would just give
12:57
two words and just
12:59
take off one other
13:02
especially anchoring that. It's
13:04
exhausting. I tend to
13:05
go down the middle a lot, and we would think that
13:07
that would make it easier
13:08
to find common ground, but it
13:10
seems more and more that it not one
13:12
hundred percent in agreement with someone. They
13:14
are just completely irate,
13:16
and everybody's always so marked
13:18
up in angry.
13:19
So Knowing that these are
13:22
all registered democrats who voted
13:24
for Joe Biden in twenty twenty, did these
13:26
comments surprise anybody? Nope.
13:28
they're
13:28
not surprising. They're just depressing.
13:31
Right? I mean, I think we
13:33
all know that this is gonna be a tough
13:35
year. Those brewers are confirming it.
13:37
I mean, John, you know better than anybody
13:39
how important it is for voters to have hope
13:41
and to look into the future and they
13:43
don't have trust in government. They don't
13:46
believe anyone's fighting for them.
13:48
It's it's bleak.
13:49
Malcolm, you've been an elected official,
13:51
but you've also been an organizer for for most
13:53
of your life, like what strategies have
13:55
you found helpful in reaching
13:58
disengaged voters like these? I
14:00
always think it's A12 step.
14:02
Right?
14:02
First, we should acknowledge the fact that people
14:04
have every right to be frustrated.
14:06
And listening to that,
14:09
the thing that stuck with me was a woman who said,
14:11
I'm just exhausted. And
14:13
I think people are exhausted in
14:15
terms of, like, just things
14:17
in their daily life that government is
14:19
not helping with. and
14:20
they're exhausted by this
14:23
constant political conversation
14:26
that's about what's the next news
14:28
clip on whatever your
14:30
favorite nighttime talk news
14:32
show is. And so the first thing
14:34
is is to really acknowledge that
14:36
pain then you have to talk to people about the possibilities
14:38
when you have a government that
14:41
is more reflective. When you have
14:43
candidates, who are gonna do something, and
14:45
they're gonna do something because they
14:47
understand what you're going through. They're talking to you
14:49
from a real place. And I always feel
14:51
like voters can feel that. Dan,
14:52
why do you think that most Democratic
14:55
messaging fails to reach
14:57
or move these voters?
14:59
I'll
14:59
answer a little bit backward. But the most interesting
15:02
statistic that came out of the
15:04
twenty twenty election was that when you
15:06
looked at Democrats' vote
15:08
for issues and ballot
15:10
elections relative to support for
15:12
Biden. In many
15:14
cases, you saw support for Democratic
15:16
ballots positions up
15:18
by fifteen percent versus Democratic
15:20
candidates.
15:21
Medicaid, minimum wage,
15:24
credit, rates, on things like payday
15:26
loans in Nebraska, and this happened all over
15:28
the country. Alignment
15:30
in terms of voting behavior with
15:32
Democrats but
15:34
not supporting presidential candidates
15:37
or Democratic candidates. And
15:39
so the question you have to ask yourself is,
15:41
why is it that voters are so
15:43
misaligned between support for an
15:45
issue, which is
15:46
the product, and
15:48
then the candidate which is functionally
15:51
the brand. and I'd probably be interested more in
15:53
hearing Rebecca's feelings about this. But
15:55
in terms of, like, the core diagnosis,
15:57
ten percent of these people probably highly represented
15:59
that room. They're aligned with democratic positions
16:01
but are aligned with Democrats because what has
16:03
become really a broken brand over the last
16:05
twenty years. Yeah,
16:08
Rebecca, what do you think about that? Because
16:10
one thing that struck me and we'll
16:12
listen to some of this in a bit is they'll
16:14
say that they don't like both sides of both sides
16:16
of your stream. But then when you get into the
16:18
issues, they seem a
16:20
little more solidly democratic than you'd think
16:22
from how they describe themselves. Right.
16:24
I mean,
16:24
I think they don't like a lot
16:26
of the leadership in Washington, and
16:28
they don't think those people
16:30
are relatable. It's almost
16:32
like they think everyone in Washington is like a
16:34
a leather meat cake to the masses.
16:36
Democrats should be the party of working
16:38
people, and we cannot connect
16:40
the way that we used to. I think
16:42
it's because, honestly, that a lot of
16:44
the folks have been in Washington, have been
16:47
in Washington for many, many,
16:49
many decade case. And it's like,
16:51
you know, role get overturned and a
16:53
Democratic leader will say, what? You may
16:55
expect that to happen. There's no passion,
16:57
there's no sense of urgency they're
17:00
just watching everything kind
17:02
of fall apart. And
17:04
normal people are watching
17:06
it too. And they're losing their minds and
17:08
like screaming into the void, and we
17:10
have to find candidates who give
17:12
a dent, and who who can show them that
17:14
they give a dent.
17:14
Yeah. So like we
17:17
said, you know, it was clear from this group that even
17:19
though they felt disengaged from politics
17:21
itself, they had very strong feelings about a
17:23
lot of political issues that
17:25
started with the economy and inflation, which was on
17:27
just about everyone's mind. Let's take a
17:29
listen. A lot of food
17:31
items
17:31
seem not only in insurance
17:33
apply, but just You just want
17:35
to weekly go up and up and up and up. You
17:38
have my chicken
17:38
wings anymore. It's like flame and y'all.
17:41
Mhmm. Okay. Yeah.
17:43
I would on two boys has definitely
17:45
impacted us over the past month or so,
17:47
like, grocery store. Yeah. My
17:49
rent is going up
17:51
significantly. So the
17:53
uncertainty of empty
17:55
store shelves
17:55
and gas prices
17:58
to go get the things. So, yeah,
17:59
it's sad for especially those
18:02
who don't have the
18:04
means. And, I mean, I'm being a lot more
18:06
frugal than it was before. That's
18:08
for sure. especially the cost of
18:10
gas. It's very expensive. Now
18:12
it would cost over a hundred dollars to
18:14
fill up my jeep. So going
18:16
up quite a bit. So gas
18:18
prices and inflation have come up in
18:20
every single focus group,
18:22
usually unprompted, usually early
18:24
on in the discussion. heard
18:26
a lot about healthcare, housing, rent, the
18:29
baby formula
18:29
shortage. Malcolm, when you were on
18:31
the
18:31
campaign trail, What
18:34
did you tell voters who were
18:37
annoyed to say the least that these economic
18:39
problems haven't been fixed with
18:41
Democrats in charge of Washington?
18:43
the
18:43
truth, the fact
18:44
that big oil companies are
18:47
breaking in more money than
18:49
they've ever made that all
18:51
these meat processors are
18:53
making so much money. Forget which
18:56
union it was, but they
18:58
tweeted out record profits are
19:00
stolen wages from workers. And I think that's
19:02
exactly right. I do think that people
19:04
they want somebody to blame when there
19:06
was a big problem. And I don't think
19:08
we've done enough to
19:11
tell people the truth about where
19:13
the blame should lie
19:15
in corporate greed that is
19:17
out of control and
19:19
that gets to run unabated. And here's the
19:21
challenge for president Biden. Everybody
19:23
knows president Biden. Everybody doesn't know
19:25
the CEO of ExxonMobil. Right?
19:27
no
19:27
Democrat should be
19:30
out there talking about inflation without
19:32
talking about corporate greed. Right? We
19:34
we have villains out there and people need
19:36
to know who they are. And we need to be
19:38
crystal clear about like it didn't
19:40
have to be this way. These executives are
19:42
making money on the backs of working
19:44
people. and nothing is changing.
19:46
And until we have real messaging
19:48
coming out of DC, people are
19:50
gonna blame Democrats because Democrats are the ones
19:52
who control even though Republicans are the ones making
19:55
things worse. Here's
19:55
my question though. I feel like we get
19:57
to this point
19:59
a
19:59
every cycle. Like, why don't
20:02
Democratic politicians focus enough
20:04
on economic issues? Because even if
20:06
you are someone who just wants
20:08
to win, and you're just looking at the
20:10
polls and you're just listening to
20:12
focus groups and you're listening to your
20:14
advisors, they're gonna tell you that
20:15
economic issues are top priority
20:17
for most voters. And yet,
20:20
we always have this problem where it seems like Democratic
20:22
politicians do not focus enough on economic
20:25
issues. they're not real people. Like, they're not, like,
20:26
they're not. They're so
20:29
programmed and poll tested and they talk
20:31
like robots. Right? I mean,
20:33
Like John Federman, the reason that people
20:35
like him right now is because he's talking like
20:37
a normal person. And that seems to
20:39
be this like crazy, like, head
20:41
exploding thing among folks. Like,
20:44
look that he's at Costco too. You
20:46
know, we have programmed
20:48
so many politicians that you have
20:50
to have this, like, rich donor network and come from
20:52
a law firm and do all these things that they've
20:54
lost touch with regular people.
20:57
That is
20:57
the problem. think if we get more
21:00
candidates out there who understand what
21:02
folks are going through, I think we're gonna win
21:04
more elections. I just hope democracy is
21:06
still here. of you when that
21:08
finally
21:08
happens. I would just underline that. I said this
21:10
every day on the campaign trail. If we wanna
21:12
change the Senate, we have to change the senators. And
21:14
I think that that's true for all of these
21:17
positions, like, what the
21:19
hell are we doing? I mean, our candidate
21:21
should be, like, working mom. It should
21:23
be the show people who we
21:25
are trying to reach because there is
21:27
a fluency there that you
21:29
cannot learn. You have to know that
21:31
stuff and communicate with people Rebecca
21:33
was saying. And just as a, like, a person. I
21:35
was like, well, I don't know why that's so hard. I
21:37
don't know why that's hard. Well, so there's
21:39
definitely the normal person problem that
21:42
Democratic politicians have. I think
21:44
another problem is
21:45
Democratic politicians can sometimes talk about
21:48
economic issues, but those
21:50
issues don't always break through the media filter. The media
21:52
doesn't love to cover
21:54
economic issues, economic debates,
21:56
at least anymore, but
21:58
How should campaigns
21:59
handle that sort
22:00
of media reluctance to
22:03
actually cover economic
22:05
issues? They should make
22:05
it part of their message and hammer it every
22:08
damn day. I mean, this is the problem. Like,
22:10
we don't have a message right now.
22:12
If it's the only thing they were to be
22:14
talking about, that would get covered. Right?
22:17
And The problem is
22:17
that everyone's just trying to do whatever
22:20
Sunday press conference to just get in
22:22
the news and get a hook and be exciting. And
22:24
at the end of the day, you
22:26
gotta connect with people and you gotta make it in
22:28
a way that reporters
22:30
will care about. And it's just about it's
22:32
packaging, honestly.
22:32
Dan, what do you think? There's a
22:34
few problems. One is I'll disagree with the
22:36
premise that Democrats don't talk about
22:39
economic issues. I
22:40
think they do. I think that
22:42
the delivery is poor, routinely
22:45
poor. Second, they are
22:47
often caught in the cultural debate
22:49
promoted by the media. So they'll say, like, I
22:51
believe that minimum wage should go up. Well, what do you
22:53
think about trans people in bathrooms? What do you
22:55
think about whatever? Because that's the thing that's
22:57
gonna raise the ratings of those different
22:59
media channels because there's revenue
23:01
attached to a cultural battle. And
23:03
you have people on both sides
23:05
that will engage in that, and
23:07
they'll raise advertising revenue for their
23:09
different channels. And so, unfortunately, like the media
23:11
capitalist track prevents
23:13
a lot of the solid delivery from Democratic
23:16
candidates because these cultural things, they have
23:18
incentives to run against those. Just
23:19
to interrupt for a second, but Democrats always take the bait though.
23:21
That's the problem. It's not just that -- Only one hundred
23:23
percent. -- cultural issues thrown at us is
23:25
that they they are weak about it and
23:27
they don't, like, address the bully head
23:29
on. But the
23:30
majority of news consumption is not done
23:33
through the news media, it's done
23:35
online. And they've done a very good
23:37
job creating simple
23:40
messages that elevate cultural
23:42
differences between Americans with
23:45
consistent
23:45
overwhelming delivery through their
23:48
parties through their packs, etcetera, that do a really good job
23:50
of reinforcing a brand of
23:52
super out of touch,
23:55
fancy elites that even though they're
23:57
promoting the delivery of their economic argument
24:00
get smoked out by the amount
24:02
of content they're putting on the Internet that
24:04
is really, really effective and how it
24:06
brands that's the democratic party. So
24:09
here's a real world issue.
24:11
that
24:11
sort of comes into play here. Like, one
24:14
issue that's received a lot of coverage in the
24:16
media recently is gun violence,
24:18
unfortunately, because we've had so much
24:20
of it IN twenty twenty two. Reporter: A
24:21
DEADLY
24:22
SHOOTING AT A FOURTH OF JULY PARADE
24:24
IN HYALEN PARK IN THE
24:25
INVESTIGATORS CALLED THE SHOOTER A WHITE SUPREMASIST
24:28
WHO TARGETED BLACK PEOPLE.
24:30
IN THE LAST thirty MINUTES POLICE. Reporter: WHAT IS
24:31
THE DEADLIEST SCHOOL SHOOTING IN STATE HISTORY. THE
24:33
nineteen CHILDREN WHO WERE KILLED THE EVALDI
24:35
COMMUNITY ALSO MOURNING TWO TEACHERS. IT
24:37
ALSO CAME UP IN THIS GROUP
24:40
Here's
24:40
a clip.
24:41
I'm Jewish, and I had friends
24:43
who passed in the tree life massacre.
24:46
Oh. And
24:50
Anytime anything's on a news, just
24:52
as triggers. Just Yeah.
24:55
Yeah. Sorry. do you think
24:56
in general we should
24:58
have more
24:58
gun laws, fewer
25:00
gun laws, or the
25:02
same as we have?
25:04
smarter gun laws. I mean, I believe in
25:07
in people who have the right to bear
25:09
arms. But when you
25:11
got it, the weapon is is made to
25:13
mass kill people. no
25:15
dig into that.
25:16
It's a
25:17
more strict and
25:21
state wide government wide
25:23
ones with, like, more strict background
25:25
checks, waiting periods,
25:27
application fees
25:29
or something. think people should still be able
25:29
to keep their guns or hit them, but it should
25:32
be a lot more complicated. In
25:35
your
25:35
opinion, why do you think we
25:38
don't have new kind
25:39
of laws. When is lobby? They're gonna lobby.
25:42
Mhmm. Yeah. Alright. They're very, very
25:44
powerful. A lot
25:45
of money. been growing for our I
25:47
think it's a voting issue too for people. I
25:49
have a lot of friends
25:50
that are very passionate about no more gun
25:52
laws or or for no change in gun laws.
25:55
And so think it's a platform that they
25:57
would vote on
25:58
for representatives that
25:59
would either refuse or
26:02
or
26:02
block legislation that would increase
26:04
regulations around peace. sale guns. I have
26:07
a lot of friends and family members
26:08
that fall into that category as
26:10
well. But if I ask them directly, do you think
26:12
that there should be universal back home checks? they
26:15
would probably all say yes. So I think
26:17
that it gets logged in with, like, these more
26:19
extreme things and people get afraid then
26:21
that it's gonna kinda tumbled and spiral
26:23
there instead of taking it by piece and really looking at
26:25
what might be effective without actually,
26:27
like, imprinting on people's rights. I don't
26:29
think they should be any
26:32
fifteen, but
26:32
I think it should be a lot more difficult to
26:34
get on it. Dan, how do
26:36
you think this group of disengaged Democratic
26:38
voters matches up to the broader electorate
26:40
on gun control? Hi. Yeah. I
26:42
would say that their opinions match up with
26:44
around sixty percent of American voters. I was
26:46
actually surprised maybe in in
26:49
a good direction. that
26:51
most of these voters in in that
26:53
last guy that was talking about don't
26:55
ban AR-15s that make them tougher. That was the Trump
26:57
voter. We're actually a little bit more
27:00
forward on gun control than I thought there might
27:02
be. The voltage
27:03
you're there, the senate is not. Right?
27:06
Right. The V. R. out front of where
27:08
the politicians are here. Malcolm,
27:10
how
27:10
central should gun violence be
27:12
to Democrat's midterm message? And and how far
27:14
can candidates go in a state like Pennsylvania?
27:16
I think
27:16
the same was true when you're having a
27:19
conversation about quote unquote culture
27:21
wars. I think we have to believe
27:23
in something and we have to fight for you
27:25
know, I remember a conversation you and
27:27
I, John, had a long time ago and it sits with
27:29
me forever when you're talking about
27:31
another voter who said, you know, Trump's a liar,
27:33
but he's the most honest liar. I
27:35
know. I think there is something to
27:37
be said about people
27:40
believing that you believe something. And
27:42
so I think whether it's guns,
27:44
whether it's standing up for trans
27:46
folks, our response to that can't be, well, like,
27:48
let's just not talk about it course, Republicans have
27:50
won on that issue. I
27:52
don't think that they have, but I think that
27:54
we're really, you know, clunky
27:57
in terms of how we engage on
27:59
those issues sometimes. I do think that
28:01
sometimes we are afraid of
28:03
championing ideas and things that are
28:05
a common sense and that beads
28:07
supported by broad majorities of the
28:09
American people. Like, why are we
28:11
afraid? Just to echo those,
28:12
but I think voters are
28:14
dying for Democrats to go on offense. Right? We
28:16
we're just we're so scared. And if you
28:18
give voters a choice, they will pick strong and
28:21
wrong over week and right every
28:23
single day of the week. Right?
28:25
And what we have to do is get is
28:27
have strong and right. Yeah.
28:28
I guess my question is from, like,
28:31
a message prioritization standpoint. Like, you guys have a
28:33
message calendar, and we just talked about how
28:35
important it is to have the candidate talking about
28:37
economic issues, like, every single
28:39
day. And then the
28:41
supreme court overturns Roe v Wade, and then there's
28:43
another mass shooting somewhere. And
28:45
obviously, you don't wanna be afraid of that. You don't wanna shirt
28:47
from that. You wanna say what you believe and you wanna
28:49
be strong about that. But, like, How do
28:51
you navigate an environment
28:53
where all these different issues pop
28:55
up even as you know people keep talking
28:57
about the economy you need to talk about all the time? How do you
28:59
balance that? Listen,
29:00
the Republican candidate for governor
29:02
in Pennsylvania wants to
29:04
go after doctors who
29:06
are helping women get abortions, you know, their states. You know, like
29:08
it is a different kind of landscape
29:12
out there. And I think Democrats
29:14
need to show exactly what
29:16
the public candidates are for and what
29:18
they're for.
29:19
These are economic issues. If you
29:21
were forced to have a child
29:24
that you cannot have right now because of the
29:26
situation in your life or because
29:28
it's gonna put at risk of the life of
29:30
your partner, right, who's just birthing that child
29:32
in the first place. These are economic
29:34
issues. When people in communities like mine, there
29:36
is a shooting and folks are traumatized
29:38
and it's like tough to get to
29:41
work. or you can't get to work your block is
29:43
freaking blocked off from yet
29:45
more police tape. I don't think these things
29:47
are like separate things.
29:49
Dan, what do you think? I think there's a
29:50
few troubling patterns when you see
29:52
it in the data. One
29:55
is that
29:56
communication and process as
29:59
opposed to
29:59
consequences never works. Mhmm.
30:02
And number two is a lot of the language.
30:04
And by language, I mean, the actual words
30:06
that we
30:07
use to talk about things,
30:10
have calcified in people's minds
30:12
so much that they're no longer effective in
30:14
how you talk about them. In
30:16
the case of row, or guns, etcetera,
30:19
a lot of what we found
30:21
is that talking with
30:24
words like supreme court
30:26
or judges or whatever. Either
30:28
people, they ignore it or
30:30
rather in a testing environment has no
30:32
effect. What does have
30:34
an effect? What always
30:36
has an effect is speaking to the
30:39
consequences of a policy
30:41
or the consequences of
30:43
a candidate. So what does that
30:45
mean in the case of Roe?
30:47
What that means in the case of Roe is
30:49
that a woman who is
30:51
sexually assaulted has
30:53
a very real possibility of being
30:55
incarcerated for up to two years in the state
30:57
of South Carolina. But making
30:59
it very real that it's not about go
31:01
to us. It's not about this. It's not about that. What is very real
31:04
is that women are no longer free.
31:06
And freedom is a very
31:08
powerful word in the United States.
31:11
and this is no longer about choice,
31:13
row is about freedom. In the
31:16
case of
31:16
guns, guns are no longer about guns,
31:18
guns are about the safety of our children.
31:21
And unfortunately, a lot
31:22
of Democrats are over the age where they no longer have
31:24
to experience the anxiety of being a parent
31:26
today, which is kind of
31:27
a sad thing. Right? The people
31:29
on this call, like, we we know the anxiety
31:31
of that situation given our
31:34
age.
31:35
The challenge of that session
31:38
is it seems like it's a lot
31:40
of process and they're
31:41
not talking about the consequences on
31:44
what these decisions mean for American
31:47
freedom. using
31:47
that word explicitly and American safety
31:50
and the safety of our children to
31:52
grow up in a society where they are safe and
31:55
free. And
31:57
there's a different sort of words that we should
31:59
start using in a world where a woman can
32:01
be incarcerated for treating her own body.
32:03
and a world where a kid going to Highland
32:05
Park can be murdered in front of their
32:08
parents. Freedom,
32:09
freedom safety,
32:10
safety These
32:11
are words that Carl Roeve would have used in the
32:14
nineteen nineties. These are now words that
32:16
Democrats should be owning because they are
32:18
core to our own culture. and
32:20
they are core to what Americans are
32:22
thinking about every day, especially parents
32:24
who are very, very
32:26
scared. After
32:29
the
32:29
break, a reality check on the impact of
32:31
the January sixth hearings, and our
32:34
panelists dig into what rights are on the
32:36
ballot for Pennsylvania
32:38
this fall.
32:48
Welcome
32:50
back. So we left off from our panel talking
32:52
about what to make a voter's
32:54
fears. And jumping right back in,
32:56
I asked Malcolm Rebekah and Dan to dig into
32:58
what's really at stake for folks in Pennsylvania
33:00
this upcoming midterm. So I think
33:02
we'll definitely have a language issue like
33:05
you mentioned in this next issue. I asked
33:07
which issues don't get enough media
33:09
attention. and people
33:11
said things like the economy and health care and
33:13
education. And then I asked which issues are getting too
33:15
much media attention? And here's what I heard.
33:17
I was
33:18
gonna say, like, old stuff.
33:20
Like, I saw the news tonight when I
33:22
was eating dinner before I came here today,
33:24
talking about the the capitol ryan last year.
33:27
Like, I feel like it's time to move on
33:29
when, like, there's a lot of issues right
33:31
now, like, inflation, gas
33:33
prices, and everything else.
33:34
Like, I wish the politicians would focus on things
33:36
now instead of stuff that happened almost
33:38
two years ago. Andrew
33:41
mentioned the January
33:43
sixth attack on the investigation into
33:45
January sixth. How
33:46
much are all of you paying attention
33:48
to the investigation into the January sixth
33:50
of the tax? No. No. No. Not at all.
33:52
Not at all. Oh, no. She don't occur. So
33:54
did any of you plan to watch
33:56
the prime time period this week?
33:59
if I didn't watch didn't have
33:59
that ever heard of that institution.
34:02
I didn't know they were here recently. Okay.
34:05
I mean, my biggest concern with
34:07
it is more about the,
34:09
like, the background of why not the or why seemingly
34:11
remote people can get caught up in?
34:13
Now, few
34:14
stipulations. This was, of
34:17
course, right before the hearing started. Most of the group said they were concerned
34:19
something like generous this could happen again. And
34:21
just about everyone also later said
34:23
that Trump is at least partially
34:25
to blame. Most people said fully to blame. But
34:28
clearly, it's not the top issue on
34:30
voters minds. So
34:30
my question to all of
34:33
you is How
34:33
do Democrats get voters to
34:36
care about? The
34:37
ongoing existential threat
34:40
to democracy? without talking about it a lot. Dan, what do you
34:42
think? I think it's
34:43
another time when we
34:46
democrats, whoever
34:46
you wanna call it, missed
34:49
vacantly believe that people care about process
34:51
over consequences, hearings,
34:53
that sausage
34:55
making, all that
34:58
stuff, etcetera. The reality is that these people murdered police
35:00
officers. All the matters,
35:02
the matter they murdered cops, you
35:05
don't you don't need like all this other kind of things around
35:07
it. And I don't think January six is
35:09
the point, but you wanna use it
35:11
as an element of the brand
35:14
narrative that you're trying to build.
35:16
And
35:16
we have this incredible moment now because
35:18
we both have a Scottus decision I
35:20
think the exercise that everybody should be doing right now, every
35:23
campaign, party committee,
35:24
whatever, is
35:26
to the to look at the electorate
35:28
and say forty five percent of the electorate
35:31
is Republican,
35:33
sixty percent of Americans
35:36
find this decision deeply unpopular.
35:38
But more importantly, among
35:41
that forty five percent
35:44
of Republicans nearly twenty to twenty five percent of them actually
35:46
disagree with the policy.
35:48
But you really need to fixate
35:51
on this part of the electorate, these
35:53
Republicans, twenty percent of their electorate, is now
35:55
sitting in a position being like, what the
35:58
fuck just happened, dude. This
36:00
is this
36:00
is messed up. And how do we think
36:02
about capturing that twenty percent
36:04
of their population, which when you
36:06
add it up, you're talking about twenty million Americans.
36:09
who are in the Republican camp have always voted
36:12
Republican and now deeply disagree with
36:14
this decision, twenty million
36:16
Americans. This is a huge
36:18
critical mass. And
36:19
exactly digging into who those twenty
36:21
million people are is gonna be the
36:24
difference between whether we win and
36:26
whether we lose. and it's an
36:28
opportunity, but the framing of how we do it is
36:30
really, really important because
36:32
it's
36:32
a lot of folks and they could go either
36:34
way. So
36:35
I thought democracy was a particularly important issue to raise in Pennsylvania because
36:37
of the governor's race where a
36:39
victory by Republican Doug Mastriano would
36:41
put a supporter of Trump's
36:43
attempted coup in charge of one of the most important swing states in
36:46
twenty twenty four. But in this
36:48
group, which had plenty to say about both
36:50
senate candidates that we'll hear in
36:52
a bit, there were only two people who had opinions about
36:54
Mastriano, even though those two people said he
36:56
was one said he was dangerous, one said he
36:58
was radical. and only one person
37:00
had an opinion on Josh
37:02
Shapiro. Though that woman said she loved
37:04
him. Do
37:04
you guys think that Shapiro can
37:07
make
37:08
Mastriano's extremism and
37:10
democracy a central issue in this campaign.
37:12
Should he? I mean,
37:13
I think Shapiro
37:16
will probably going on democracy, but even harder, I would say, on
37:18
abortion. Because that is, I think, where the
37:20
voters are. Because if Doug and
37:22
Mostiano is elected governor,
37:24
abortion is
37:24
done
37:25
in Pennsylvania. There's no exceptions. Howard
37:28
Bauchner:
37:28
I think that
37:30
Mastriano has just a
37:32
terrible record that should hero can
37:34
just kind of poke at and expose him a little bit. Malcolm, what do
37:37
you think? You know,
37:38
I think on the Republican
37:39
side, we have two
37:42
folks who are out of touch, out of
37:44
their damn minds. And so I
37:46
think that those things are gonna really
37:50
matter and I hope that I'm almost calling Governor Shapiro a good
37:52
Forti and slip there. But I but I hope that
37:54
that the team plays
37:56
every day when he said
37:58
that his number one issue, if he were governor,
38:00
Bantoor Rebecca said, and Doug Mystrano said this,
38:02
his number one issue is
38:04
banning all of abortion. I mean, you don't have
38:06
to get creative with this. You don't
38:08
need to do anything. You
38:10
just play that. So I wanna
38:11
get to the subject's near and dear
38:14
to Malcolm and Rebecca's heart, the
38:16
Pennsylvania senate race. Towards the end of the
38:18
session, I asked the group if they were planning to vote
38:20
in the midterms And if they had settled
38:22
on a specific senate candidate,
38:24
here's what they said. For those
38:25
of you who are planning to vote,
38:27
how many of you have made up your mind's vote were
38:29
you voting for? I didn't.
38:32
Okay. I didn't. I voted the primary for
38:34
federal. If you may have your right voted
38:36
number? Yes. Okay. Yes. I've read I've
38:39
I've researched. He might look. strange, but
38:41
I think he has some things that I
38:43
thought might
38:43
be good for the
38:46
number. Maybe
38:48
his he seems down to
38:50
earth more, maybe crazy.
38:52
I don't know. But I
38:54
just thought that he might be
38:56
something new that we need. I don't particularly
38:58
like him, but I respect his impact. Like, he didn't
39:01
go to, like, the
39:02
lieutenant governor's mansion or he turns
39:04
down a lot of that, like, he's
39:06
not impressed by people's money. He's not gonna be bought
39:08
off. Like, I don't like him, but
39:10
I respect that about him. I think they're like,
39:12
that's a nice band. See if he's hands
39:15
up for he believes in. He took a a
39:17
town like Claire that really put a lot of
39:20
work into A hundred percent form because
39:22
he's one of the people when you asked him
39:24
a question, He will
39:26
answer. And if he doesn't know, he's gonna
39:28
search for it. And
39:30
does he
39:31
have some flaws pecky, have
39:33
it, at least he's on his box floss compared to the other ones
39:34
trying to sweep them underneath the carpet. He
39:36
he seems like he's very aggressive of
39:38
what he does in a good way.
39:41
And he's not, like, your typical politician
39:43
than I respect. What do you all
39:45
think about?
39:45
Or political nominee for senator,
39:48
doctor Oz? scared. Yes. You know, scared. He's
39:50
on pencil razors. No.
39:52
No. What's he what's
39:54
he doing
39:56
there? Like, how was
39:58
that even allowed? Like, someone
40:00
who's not from the state? It would run
40:02
for one of our senate seats, which is
40:04
so one and then win.
40:06
That's what it's about. He's prepared. Yeah. Like, what does
40:08
he really care about Pennsylvania? If you
40:10
can't even leave live here,
40:12
then you have no idea.
40:16
And he's
40:16
a little bit of fraud. Fraud. Yeah. He's a doctor.
40:18
Right? He has a show that has a lot of influence
40:20
and he he's been episodes where
40:22
he's pushed alternative medicine that might be
40:24
dangerous for for
40:26
people. So that just shows a compromise
40:28
of integrity whether or not
40:28
he actually believes what he's saying. I
40:31
mean, that's That's it
40:31
when we put some in a a bad word in
40:33
that sense. So
40:35
Rebecca, the only somewhat
40:37
negative comment about Federman was from that
40:39
guy who said he didn't like him but still respected
40:41
him. That happens to be the only person in the
40:43
entire group who said he'd consider voting
40:46
for Trump in twenty twenty four again. It's maybe the best
40:48
focus group review I've heard of any candidate
40:50
in three years of doing the
40:52
wilderness. So As someone working
40:54
with him, my question is, how
40:56
much of the
40:56
appeal do you think is unique
40:59
to your guy? And
41:01
how much can be replicated by other Democratic
41:03
candidates? I mean, you don't wanna
41:05
get
41:05
to a situation
41:08
where, like, hopefully, we win. And then everybody's going around wearing, like,
41:10
diggies and cartons. You know? You're like
41:12
trying to be hit. Like, it works because it's
41:14
not fake.
41:16
Right? Like, he is this is who he is, and
41:18
I think people respect that. What I will say is, yes, John
41:21
will say he doesn't look like a
41:23
typical politician because even
41:26
look like a difficult person. Right? They think
41:28
they know that he understands
41:30
what they're going through. And that that
41:34
personal connection It doesn't have to
41:36
have the look of John Federman for a candidate to connect with a voter. And
41:38
I think we've spent way
41:40
too long with cookie cutter
41:44
candidates that get the whole machine behind them. think
41:46
voters are hungry for somebody different who
41:48
can speak to what they're going through.
41:52
And to the point we're saying earlier, like, it's not just about processes,
41:54
it's about, like, speaking to these
41:56
consequences of people's lives. Malcolm,
41:59
you were in
41:59
against Federman in the primary. Obviously, they
42:02
had just in case just
42:04
to just to catch people up
42:06
Obviously, he had name recognition and and money, but what qualities
42:08
do you think helped him win? And what do
42:10
you think he has to watch
42:12
out for in the general?
42:15
So I
42:15
think to Rebecca's point, it's
42:18
not about somebody being
42:20
John, because John is John. I suspect
42:22
I'm the the old American America that can say that
42:25
he lives directly across the street of
42:27
a of a steel mill. I can my
42:29
family and I live in an
42:32
old car So we're not gonna be able to have a
42:34
candidate who can replicate
42:36
him. We're not gonna have a candidate
42:38
who can be a black
42:40
gay kid from North Philly. You're not gonna be able to
42:42
replicate that exactly. And I
42:44
think that that really
42:46
matters that you can
42:48
have candidates who are themselves. And I think that that is something that that
42:50
John absolutely has. You
42:52
never get candidates like this
42:53
who can get through a
42:56
primary. There must be other candidates like this, but usually there's
42:58
an establishment candidate who Washington likes
43:00
and they think is more electable.
43:04
And that person can just go in and and win the primaries, and
43:06
then that becomes the candidate. Yeah.
43:09
Dan is odds
43:10
the perfect foil for
43:12
Federman? And do you think that there are lessons
43:14
for other Democratic candidates either
43:16
from how Federman campaigns for
43:20
himself or how he campaigns against Oz because I know as
43:22
I'm following this whole thing on on
43:24
Twitter, every time I see Rebecca having a good
43:26
time with Oz and
43:28
the houses I'm like, I I keep
43:30
saying for him like, God, Democrats used to
43:32
run campaigns like this all the time. This is a
43:34
fun campaign. Why why don't Democrats do
43:36
that anymore? That's twenty
43:38
dollars for crude tape, and it's outrageous. And
43:40
we got Joe Biden thing for this. I don't I
43:42
guess, I'll I'll disagree with the premise that
43:45
candidates who are themselves do
43:48
better because doctor Oz, I think has been
43:50
himself, but
43:52
he's just He's just the sociopath.
43:54
Too sure. So by virtue of
43:56
him, showing that he's sociopath, I'm I'm
43:58
not sure that's gonna that's
43:59
gonna help
44:02
him win. But I think, like, from a like a
44:04
campaign tactical point of view, what I
44:06
think they're doing successfully
44:08
is framing a brand of their
44:10
opponent very early on. It's something that we did in
44:12
two thousand twelve, and we
44:14
committed resources around it. And
44:16
so I think a lot of these
44:18
Democratic candidates, the challenge
44:20
with, like, a conventional messaging schedule is,
44:22
okay, I do this and I make my dumb contrast ads
44:24
and I do this. is it takes away
44:26
from the creativity of,
44:28
like, really solid campaigning is
44:30
I need to create
44:32
create a narrative a narrative about
44:34
my opponent to make people believe XYZ
44:37
about them, in this case, that
44:39
he's a rich sociopath. and
44:42
do that very early and often. So you're kind
44:44
of like setting the bio of your
44:46
opponent and that takes a lot
44:48
of creativity It requires a really solid digital team, which a lot of
44:50
people don't have, and it's not entirely
44:52
formulaic. So just watching the race from the
44:54
outside. It seems like it mimics a lot of the
44:56
successful campaigns
44:58
especially the creativity. And and John, I didn't get to
45:00
answer
45:00
your other point about not that they need my advice
45:02
they beat me, but still I'm gonna give my advice
45:05
nevertheless. Yeah. Please. Two
45:08
words. Well,
45:08
three words. Philadelphia and
45:09
black voters.
45:10
And obviously, I'm gonna work
45:13
my tail off to help
45:15
in that regard but I think, you know, the
45:17
more time that John can be in in Philly,
45:20
and I know Rebecca's listening to me, the better.
45:22
Because these are voters who
45:24
are not voting for doctor
45:26
Oz. Let me be very clear. They're not fucking
45:28
vote for doctor Oz. But the question
45:30
is, are they going to stay home
45:32
just because they're frustrated? and I hear that
45:34
frustration every single
45:36
day and cracking that night of getting
45:38
that turnout in Philadelphia, you know,
45:40
as high as we possibly can. That's
45:42
gonna be a big part of making sure John wins,
45:44
Josh wins, and every everybody else wins. So I'm always
45:47
pro having statewide candidates come
45:50
to Philadelphia. On that
45:52
note,
45:52
you've all been very
45:54
generous with your time, Malcolm Kenyada, Rebecca
45:56
Katz, and Wagner. Thank you so much for
45:59
joining the wilderness. Thank you. Good to see you. Good to do.
45:59
Thanks
46:00
so much,
46:02
John. We started this episode
46:04
talking about the threat to democracy from mega
46:06
candidates like
46:08
drug master Riano. It's a threat that all of us who
46:10
follow politics closely understand
46:12
well, since it's rightly received a lot of
46:14
media coverage. We're all
46:16
familiar with the headlines from the January six
46:18
hearings, the investigations into Donald
46:20
Trump, and the assault on voting rights and
46:22
Democratic norms that's coming from right wing courts and
46:24
state legislatures. We
46:26
feel a sense of urgency around these issues
46:28
because we consume news about them every
46:30
day. The voters I
46:32
talked to in Pittsburgh were either too busy to
46:34
follow politics too confused by
46:36
all the details or too disgusted
46:38
by the spectacle. They
46:40
felt a sense of urgency around a set of issues
46:42
that have also received lots
46:44
of coverage. but tend to have more personal and immediate
46:46
impacts. The cost of food and gas and
46:48
rent, mass shootings and
46:50
abortion bans. And
46:52
they don't have much confidence that politicians
46:54
can fix those problems. At least not
46:56
the same kind of politicians that haven't fixed them in
46:58
the past. Which
47:00
helps explain why they
47:02
seem to like John Federman. It's not
47:04
like he's new to politics. The guy's been in
47:06
an elected office since two thousand six, versus
47:09
a mayor, now is lieutenant But he doesn't look like a
47:11
typical politician and he doesn't talk like
47:13
a typical politician. normal
47:16
human being would talk to their friends. He's
47:18
not scared of saying something a little weird or
47:20
off. He generally says what he thinks.
47:23
a quality that even a former Trump
47:25
supporter in our focus group appreciated.
47:27
He's not impressed by people's money.
47:29
He's not gonna be bought off,
47:31
like, I don't like him, but I respect that about him.
47:33
I think they look that's a nice stand. See
47:36
he stands up for what he
47:38
believes in. For the vast
47:39
majority of voters who think that the country is headed in
47:41
the wrong direction, a candidate who doesn't seem
47:43
like a typical politician can
47:46
be appealing. It's a
47:48
sentiment we also heard from the swing voters I spoke to
47:50
in Virginia. I just you know, it
47:52
comes down to why can't we bring
47:54
a better
47:56
candidate forward I think we need new energy, new
47:58
blood. In a normal midterm
47:59
year, you might listen to these voters and think that
48:02
while an outsider like Federman has a
48:04
decent chance, most
48:06
longtime Democratic incumbents don't.
48:08
If people think that Washington is broken, they
48:10
tend to punish the party that's running the place. And
48:12
it's possible that happens in a lot of
48:14
these toss-up prices, especially in the house.
48:17
But it's also possible that twenty
48:19
twenty two is different. And
48:21
that's because the alternative to
48:23
voting for Democratic governance however imperfect it
48:25
may seem, is voting for candidates like Doug Mastriano
48:27
and doctor Oz. Magoloyalists
48:30
who are out of touch Wackos
48:32
at best and dangerous
48:34
threats to democracy at
48:36
worst. The key for Democrats though
48:38
is to make that case to voters in a way
48:40
that connects with the fears and
48:42
anxieties that are on the minds of
48:44
people who don't pay that much attention to
48:46
politics. If Democrats
48:48
want disengaged voters to care about
48:51
saving democracy? They have to campaign like democracy
48:53
is worth saving. A
48:55
true grassroots democracy or
48:57
you listen learn from the people you want to
49:00
represent, or you show that you actually
49:02
give a shit about their problems and are willing
49:04
to fight like hell to
49:06
fix them. When people
49:06
choose not vote, it is because they don't see something to fight
49:08
for and somebody who wants to fight for
49:11
them. And so we can't
49:12
settle for somebody who is gonna do
49:15
the bare minimum. this moment in our country, we have to be
49:17
putting people forward who are fighting for what real people actually
49:20
need. This is Alex from Pennsylvania
49:21
United, the organization we heard from at the
49:24
beginning of
49:26
this episode. The ones who are trying to reach disconnected voters one door
49:28
at a time. That's how we can
49:30
start to rebuild people's faith
49:32
in democracy. And as
49:33
PA united organizer, Lishan McBride, tells
49:36
us, that's how we can
49:37
start to enlist the next generation in the
49:39
fight to save it. I'm
49:41
a
49:41
mother of eight children,
49:44
thirty grandchildren. And
49:46
when I go Canvas, it meant
49:48
the world to have my eighteen
49:51
year old granddaughter. And
49:53
her saying, y'all go, okay. Now
49:55
what do I do? Now what you
49:57
know, and I'm showing her on
49:58
her phone. So I
49:59
have now just put something in
50:02
her that
50:03
I know I'm gonna see
50:05
her fight again. for
50:06
something that's so important to her. And I'm
50:08
not scared of
50:09
a conversation that might not
50:11
be so positive. That's okay
50:14
because that's real.
50:16
We are real people talking
50:18
to real
50:18
people on the other side
50:21
of the door. So expect anything.
50:24
Don't settle
50:25
for nothing and
50:27
just keep knocking. Keep
50:30
talking and keep rocking.
50:33
Keep knocking.
50:34
Keep talking and
50:36
keep rocking. I like it. And
50:40
speaking of getting future generations
50:42
involved, next week we're headed to Orange County,
50:44
California. A former Republican
50:46
stronghold where I'll talk to a group of twenty
50:48
somethings who helped turn the area blue
50:50
by casting their very first ballot for Joe Biden. The
50:52
question is, will they
50:53
show up
50:56
again? How many of
50:58
you plan on voting in the midterm elections this November? What is that?
51:02
Yeah.
51:04
so we got some work to do. See
51:06
you next time on the
51:10
wilderness.
51:22
The Wilderness
51:26
is an original podcast from crooked media.
51:30
Season three is produced by Dust Light Productions. I'm
51:32
your host, John
51:33
Favreau. From crooked media, our
51:34
executive producers are Sarah Geismar,
51:37
Katie Long, and Me. Special
51:39
thanks to Alison falsetto and Andy Taft for production support, and
51:41
to Mike Koleshek from Benadson Strategy
51:43
Group who helped us with
51:45
our focus groups. From
51:47
Dust Light, our executive producer is Michelle
51:50
Youssef. R when Nick's is our executive
51:52
editor. Stephanie Cohn is the
51:54
senior producer. Tamika Adams is
51:56
the producer and Francesca Diaz is the
51:58
assistant producer. This
51:59
episode was sound designed by Tamika
52:02
Adams. Valentino Rivera is our
52:04
senior engineer. Martin Fowler is the composer. Thanks to our
52:06
development and operations coordinator at
52:08
Dusley, Rachel Garcia, and to Chrissy Mehren
52:10
for archival
52:12
legal review. If
52:14
you wanna learn more about how you can take action
52:16
in the fight for our democracy, head over
52:18
to Vote Save America dot com slash
52:25
midterms.
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