Podchaser Logo
Home
"Will Trump '24 Come Too Soon?"

"Will Trump '24 Come Too Soon?"

Released Thursday, 7th July 2022
 1 person rated this episode
"Will Trump '24 Come Too Soon?"

"Will Trump '24 Come Too Soon?"

"Will Trump '24 Come Too Soon?"

"Will Trump '24 Come Too Soon?"

Thursday, 7th July 2022
 1 person rated this episode
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:00

the presenting sponsor pod save america is simplisafe

0:02

home security no matter what crazy things going

0:04

on in the world home should like the safest

0:06

place on earth for every family with

0:08

simplisafe, advanced professionally, monitored home

0:10

security someone is always looking

0:12

after your home and family, love

0:15

it, love simplisafe he's been protected for years

0:17

you been i and have set

0:19

it up with better set it up himself is that

0:21

at myself works really well and it

0:23

keeps its on this case,

0:25

it's kept us safe customize

0:27

the perfect system for your home and just few minutes simply say dot com slash cricket go today and

0:30

clean me free indoor, security camera plus

0:33

20% with interactive, monitoring go to simply say dot com slash cricket

1:00

however i'm the only

1:02

show donald trump podium sleepy pre

1:05

midterm presidential announcement joe

1:07

biden tries to escape to escape midterm presidential

1:09

rights and with november just four months

1:11

away democratic pollster some in the late

1:13

going to talk about where the country is on abortion

1:16

inflation both parties and

1:18

more before we start quick

1:20

word from at votesaveamerica we

1:23

are all furious about the

1:25

radical right-wing supreme court's decision

1:27

to end the constitutional, right?

1:29

to an abortion in the

1:31

what to do about from directly

1:33

supporting patients, who need abortions right now,

1:35

to electing pro-choice candidates

1:37

in 2022 and building a progressive

1:39

majority over the long-term, you can

1:41

find everything you need to fight back in

1:44

our funk bands, action plan at

1:46

vote-save-america dot com slash row

1:50

also a huge thank you everyone

1:52

who's already donated a total of more than a million

1:55

dollars to these causes including

1:57

the thousands of you who have signed up to volunteer

2:00

in the midterms just since the decision came

2:02

down thank you i'm

2:04

also if you have a chance had over to the crooked store

2:07

we are having a huge summer sale on all your

2:09

favorite merch now through a

2:11

friday the eighth a which is i

2:13

guess tomorrow you can take fifteen percent off

2:15

site wide end up to ninety percent of new

2:17

sale items this is our last summer sale so

2:20

if you get your eye on something now's the time

2:22

to nab it before it's gone for good as

2:24

always the crooked store donate a portion

2:26

of every order to vote writers

2:28

a nonprofit working towards ending voter

2:30

suppression via voter id education and

2:32

assistance go to cricket dot com slash

2:35

store to check it out dan

2:38

we're back from the brakes got and we get some

2:40

news that happened over the bridge i try not paid

2:42

too much attention the the news

2:44

over the july fourth break but

2:47

i did see the story as i was leaving for

2:49

vacation caught my eye about

2:51

our friend donald trump assist us

2:54

so we're fast approaching meter madness but

2:56

we're going to spend today talking about the to our

2:58

current twenty twenty four front runners will almost

3:00

certainly affect this november's elections

3:03

are won former presidents who may be on

3:05

the cusp of announcing again and one current

3:07

president who's tumbling approval rating is

3:09

hovering close to his predecessor that

3:12

predecessor donald trump has

3:14

according to a new york times piece from over

3:16

the weekend reportedly quote surprise

3:18

some advisers by saying he might

3:20

the clear his candidacy on social

3:23

media without warning even

3:25

his own team and aides are

3:27

scrambling to build our basic campaign

3:29

infrastructure in time for an announcement as

3:31

early as this month

3:35

then what do we know about why trump may want

3:37

to do this other than the are comes razor explanation

3:39

that he's a deranged sociopath

3:41

driven by mixture of boredom narcissism

3:44

and vengeance well

3:48

i think use uber you nailed

3:50

it that's it no notice this huge out a good

3:52

spirit gonna raise we gotta

3:54

we don't have to scratch much for the upper the medicine

3:57

why do it like it since we did we do have tied to

3:59

philly

3:59

or i will offer them additional emotions

4:02

a wedge you did not include analysts

4:04

wind his weakness in the others and security

4:07

i mean nip what is driving this

4:09

is a donald trump or sitting in

4:11

more lago stewing in his own juices

4:13

watching the january six

4:16

hearing sort of betray him to be the complete

4:18

and utter the rage lunatic that he

4:20

is he sitting in florida watching

4:22

rhonda santas be com sort of the belle

4:24

of the republican balls and his own

4:26

backyard and nine right before his eyes

4:29

right he sees these polls that

4:31

show depending on when york yeah baby

4:33

right to censor gaming he's becoming alternative

4:35

a lot of people talking up ride

4:38

to santos and i think trump ,

4:40

all of his idiocy and much of the preceding

4:42

paragraph you read his as exhibit a

4:44

of that idiocy he does

4:46

have like an instinct for like raul

4:49

political power how you get

4:51

it how you use it

4:53

whether or not you're losing it like not power

4:56

for the sake of doing something but just the tarp

4:58

sick of having i think he can probably sense

5:01

something slipping from him and it

5:03

as he does it reassert his dominance

5:06

on the republican party once again become

5:08

the center of discussion on his

5:10

terms not listed in cassidy hutchinson

5:12

serves hutchinson you

5:14

know could be he he could see the know if he

5:16

had would maybe lose this and so i think that

5:19

is what is driving the speculation

5:21

causing him to vent to aids we

5:23

have all the cow the us here that's trump's

5:25

has lots of things he says essex to as a

5:27

to say it's a it's and proceed to lead them to reporters

5:30

and oftentimes those things do not come

5:32

to pass on but i think those

5:34

release that is was driving this desire

5:37

of his to and else for president

5:40

and twenty twenty two the

5:42

being maybe his i read checkmark truths

5:44

aren't the traveling as far as he thought they

5:46

would where we know that the it a lot of reporting

5:49

we know that that is one of his great frustrations is

5:51

that he's teeny tiny

5:53

little social media companies does

5:56

not is that getting the attention to which

5:58

he has become accustomed on the other so if

6:00

i were to have and we'd up until now bantam

6:02

i do think he might said

6:05

that

6:06

were he to announcer president he might get

6:08

back on other platforms

6:11

get more attention here he is a deadly

6:13

feel like he's struggling to get his

6:15

statements out there be either vs

6:17

the route truth read truth or

6:20

like really poorly edited very long

6:23

written statement which i presume as like sacks

6:25

to people or something

6:27

especially view on closes the deal

6:29

right when he came off right back on twitter

6:31

and get his they from his read chapters

6:33

blu tack and then is up to the

6:36

i'd be really to the sea turtle side

6:38

note and probably topic for offline butts

6:40

very interested to see like what the conversation

6:42

at twitter would be pre closing

6:45

of the deal if trump or to announce for president

6:48

knowing what than likely future owner

6:50

what is going to do it just becomes much

6:52

harder to it

6:54

should be harder when you can see the our conversation

6:57

shifting around his bags

6:59

and suspension said facebook twitter etc

7:01

as he has a it's active candidate for present

7:04

yeah i mean if is the this is the fundamental problem

7:07

the cutting him off twitter doesn't solve has never solved

7:09

is that the republican party is

7:11

still one of two major political parties in america

7:13

and he has largely captured or

7:16

a big chunk if not they

7:19

almost all of the republican party and

7:22

therefore because it is still are

7:24

treated as treated legitimate political institution

7:26

political institution if he gets the nomination

7:28

than he gets all the coverage that comes with that you

7:30

know whether and and that's that's

7:32

what twitter would face can i offer an alternative

7:35

idea here sir what atwitter

7:37

let trump back on the kick the rest of us off i

7:41

mean again a problem is ah

7:44

yes the frogs on either you know my

7:46

position is the one must buys twitter and shuts

7:48

down that's an ama i am supportive of that's

7:50

and very good swimmer feelings about that so

7:52

happens i am on the record

7:55

i'm still you talk about the legal and financial

7:57

implications of trump deciding

7:59

to run now instead of later

8:01

than ten we can do the politics but just just

8:03

the legal and financial implications for

8:06

it would be truly one of the stupidest

8:08

decisions for says or said it has ever

8:10

been the

8:12

living room and right now our first

8:14

the possibilities are not or is it may

8:17

even suggest that it's more likely

8:19

rapids but right now trump has about

8:21

a hundred million dollars parts in a super

8:23

pacs he can spend that money

8:25

on political travel he had spent it on ads for any

8:27

other candidates he could spend it on staff

8:30

polling on

8:32

today that you seek it probably spend it on shrimp

8:35

cocktail still almost anything right at

8:37

this seats were

8:39

he to announce it in any person

8:42

rebels and peter tools example the

8:44

right keep your you have the right one hundred million

8:46

dollar check to that superpower they went

8:48

after trump spent that money to give right other hundred

8:50

my knowledge acts word front to

8:52

announce for present between

8:55

a day he announces and the republican

8:57

convention into and twenty twenty four peter

9:00

thiel or any other american walk in

9:02

atlanta can give donald trump a total of two

9:04

thousand and nine hundred dollars they

9:06

give them any more money after that he

9:09

cannot spend that money until he has been

9:11

a d officially becomes the republican

9:13

nominee so he would even though he has a

9:15

huge grassroots fund raising or mates he

9:17

would basically put himself

9:19

had a massive massive initial

9:21

dissonance candidates often really try

9:23

to wait as long as possible to officially announce

9:27

their presence or campaign because they want to shorten

9:29

the clock to they think they're going to be the nominee

9:32

between the day they announce he

9:34

and the convention when they can then smart spending what are called

9:36

general election fuck you get the right to checks

9:39

once are the primary twenty eight hundred dollars once

9:41

of the general it's when i have heard i was there are some complications

9:43

around other things had that's the basic gist

9:45

of it's so he would basically be cutting off

9:48

his nose despite his face finance way to do

9:50

that and if he were to be involved in a it's

9:52

ah protracted primaries

9:55

could have real trouble having enough money to

9:57

spend against someone who has waited

9:59

longer spends one of their primary

10:01

money it's and twenty twenty three and

10:03

early twenties twenty four set of in twenty twenty

10:06

i'm trying to figure out how he thinks

10:09

you can get around this by doing it earlier

10:11

or what he thinks about these potential consequences

10:14

which i can come up with is that he thinks

10:16

that you know they'll

10:18

get enough media coverage that he

10:20

won't have to do much else besides sit for

10:22

interviews and then if he wants go do a rally

10:25

he charges everyone comes to the rally ten

10:28

twenty twenty five bucks a head and

10:30

he just does this sort of grassroots fund raising

10:33

strategies of he gets his rallies he gets his interviews

10:35

that he has to spend much more money and tell the race

10:37

really heats up

10:38

hiring that as possible another theory

10:41

he could have as if the federal elections commission

10:43

which is charged with enforcing said was has

10:45

the force in power of a if

10:47

an amoeba made out of butter less it's

10:49

success it's either way there

10:51

is a way to do with where you

10:53

would basic ways with

10:57

so far are in the

10:59

grey areas of the law that

11:01

he would sort of offload much of his

11:04

staff in polling to a super pac

11:07

and then we're just sort of raise money for himself

11:10

the greenery that was only he's gonna run ads now

11:12

or things like that's and woods essentially

11:14

the you see a world in which state

11:16

parties pay for the rallies it's wings wings human

11:19

is get any further people

11:21

and now that that gets more complicated as a presidential

11:24

candidates as he would have to offset

11:26

some of those costs by it's ah

11:28

easy just picked off like that the mean

11:31

our qb finals or jokes trump trump doesn't live

11:33

in the gray side of the law try trump lives in the

11:35

lawless side of the lot more than south pacific

11:37

oceans a cd rcmp finance laws are

11:39

as it's even donald trump would ask

11:41

you work hard to break some sorry

11:44

to let's say what would you think what the political implications

11:46

of trump deciding to run now

11:49

pros and cons for donald trump

11:51

or ya democrat donald trump for dot listless surfer

11:53

dandruff

11:54

for for donald trump i think the pros

11:57

would be he would just short circuit

12:00

the conversation that

12:02

that is happening at the lead levels of the party about

12:04

whether he is the best person to and

12:07

he would get so far ahead of everyone else in

12:09

there would be a wave of people who

12:11

would endorse him right away candidates looking

12:13

for his endorsements his sort of

12:15

collection of supplicants

12:18

people who want attention and so he would

12:20

like gain momentum and the know in

12:22

his mighty theoretically reestablish

12:25

himself as the the inevitable

12:28

and eventual republican nominee it's when twenty four

12:30

he said starves ah

12:33

any momentum that rhonda santas princess

12:35

is getting on so that was sort of a the

12:37

argument for

12:40

it in addition to rethink the thing we reference earlier

12:42

about possibly getting more attention a lot

12:44

which would give him a better platform to fight

12:46

back against that you're in his mind to the

12:48

january six hearings and

12:50

in whatever various legal troubles he has

12:53

on the horizon

12:54

han com for

12:57

donald trump the con

12:59

would be why i mean we mention

13:01

the fact that it would really

13:04

make his actual eventual presidential

13:06

run and much more challenging financially and logistically

13:09

the the com would also be let's

13:12

say the democrats do better

13:14

than expected in these matters that

13:18

and happened while after trump's announcer president that

13:20

would be i think it pretty devastating ah

13:23

reinforcement of the argument that he eats

13:25

it might be republicans worst candidate to run

13:27

in twenty four

13:30

yeah megan the i'm making the midterms

13:33

the referendum on donald trump instead

13:35

of joe biden or even like introducing

13:38

donald trump as a character in the midterms

13:41

who is not just hovering out there

13:43

for twenty twenty four but as right now

13:46

trying to become president again and then

13:48

making every single republican candidate in a tough

13:51

race the where their loyalty

13:53

to donald trump as he's running for president

13:55

is probably something i'm guessing a lot of those republican

13:58

strategist who have candidates

13:59

in competitive districts in competitive states probably

14:02

don't want to do yeah as a general rule i

14:04

would bet if he did a poll of republican strategists

14:07

democratic strategists every single

14:09

republican strategists who's not getting rich on

14:12

trump stereoscopic committees with think this is a

14:14

terrible idea in every democratic

14:16

strategists would hope that it happens

14:19

yeah the i saw

14:21

somewhere in the in the piece about this

14:23

and me or times the he also think this would

14:25

like

14:26

help him get ahead of potential criminal

14:28

charges coming out of both a january

14:30

six hearings and so

14:33

, potential criminal charges coming out of

14:36

of the department of justice may do after

14:38

the january six hearings and hearings the

14:41

grand jury in georgia which is georgia just

14:44

subpoenaed a few of his buddies rudy

14:46

giuliani lindsey graham couple

14:49

other a couple other buffoons will

14:52

who would do you make that argument that he is he

14:54

thinks was good help him get ahead of potential

14:56

criminal charges school make of potential

14:58

of sense to me well certainly legally

15:00

there's not a lot evidence they would make sense

15:03

i to see how it's so hard to try to like

15:06

take a trip into donald trump's pea brain

15:08

to figure out why he thinks certain things but

15:10

if i were to try to do that i

15:12

guess or be to possible

15:14

ways in which he might think this what

15:16

happens one is

15:19

and i don't really think he would think that's because it's like a

15:21

slightly more complex thought dance he

15:23

would have but his if

15:26

if merrick garland i don't know this to be the case

15:29

and i don't believe to be the case but if if

15:31

the department justice or having real conversations

15:33

about the political optics of prosecutors

15:36

of the department of justice pursuing a

15:38

criminal conviction of their bosses

15:41

most likely twenty twenty four opponent

15:45

the fact that he is actively running to replace

15:48

joe biden would potentially

15:50

add to that can the only that's really

15:52

what's happening around to censor what it is i the other way

15:54

it the more simplistic way as this

15:57

picture the world and watch merrick

16:00

garland hold a press conference or

16:02

probably nightmare girl and some us attorney somewhere

16:04

hold a press conference and says we

16:06

are announcing that at yale graduate today

16:08

indicted donald trump for criminal conspiracy

16:11

to bottle of of us they

16:13

will then ensue a conversation

16:16

about whether it is a wise decision for

16:18

the republican party to choose

16:20

as their nominee someone who

16:22

is currently indicted for trying to

16:24

overturn a lesson and down trump can say

16:26

ah

16:28

i'm already announced i'm already running

16:31

the , you ever that visit

16:33

mystery of a big another political

16:35

con for him to is that like you know

16:39

the january six hearings if they do nothing

16:41

else if if d o j doesn't move

16:43

if george doesn't turn out to be anything have

16:45

reminded americans of

16:47

what a fucking criminal donald

16:50

trump is light i think his his it

16:52

is hurt his approval ratings

16:54

again which were sort of like he was

16:56

outta sight outta mind for little while he's actually

16:58

doing okay him being thrust back

17:00

into the spotlight any time you thrust back into

17:02

the spotlight doesn't always reminds americans

17:04

have you know what an asshole years

17:06

at least most americans there

17:09

you know there's like a recent politics has like sixty something

17:12

percent of the american think he shouldn't run again

17:15

i will tell you like it just in some of these wilderness focus

17:17

groups have done the few trump voters who have been in

17:19

the groups which aren't many aren't like

17:22

yeah no i'm no i'm and joe biden

17:24

in the democrats and and to get vote democrat but i do

17:26

not know one not a single person wants

17:28

donald trump's to run for president again

17:30

who is not the mag a base that has already

17:33

excited there's not gonna be more excited by

17:35

the fact that donald trump announces for president they are

17:37

as excited as if it gets the

17:39

whole trump's the day he announces whether

17:41

it's this month weathered six months from now whether to

17:43

year from now they are going to be they're excited

17:46

at rallies it's just going to happen right

17:48

but there's you know that's that's that bases

17:51

not enough to win the presidency and

17:54

i wonder if announcing right

17:56

at the moment when the a

17:58

large parts of the country the are reminded

18:01

of what you did around january six now you tried

18:03

to overturn the last election the

18:05

best political idea as

18:08

, to just like waiting because you know

18:10

everyone has a fuckin you know

18:12

pea brain memory now because the social media

18:14

but if you just waited like five months

18:16

after the january six hearing system

18:19

is a myth and announced in and different environment

18:21

perhaps like i'm sure most republican strategist

18:24

want after ice want midterm that isn't

18:26

great for joe biden the democrats vendor

18:28

in better shape and it's it is pretty wild yeah

18:30

pretty think trump probably believes

18:33

down deep somewhere that somewhere has that he

18:35

shuffling of milk

18:36

and so he does it wastes

18:38

it's just the longer he is not

18:41

the kid i to smell that store and even he he

18:43

could smell of self right now it's

18:46

like it just yet a sort of like i've tried

18:48

to imagine to imagine think he's going to do this

18:50

i would like the preceding fifty minutes

18:52

us really smart funny chatter

18:54

about this aside i thought of going to the earth's

18:56

for the idea of for the campaign finance

18:59

the reasons i'm

19:01

like i used a fight hard imagine going to file

19:04

with the as they've been to canada see what the as he

19:06

says before the selection it's

19:08

i'm like hey you wanna get

19:10

have a couple of rich people give you all this money

19:12

you can spend forever do

19:15

you wanna go around raising two thousand nine

19:17

hundred dollars the

19:19

you're gonna want to do that's good that's work but

19:22

you do see a robber he's when he comes out he posts

19:24

are he truth something and it's as see

19:26

how it is a group of something that sets

19:29

the right your civic right is about how it is

19:31

that's why i'm laughing sergeant exact right

19:34

to separate a city goes on hannity

19:36

and any scenery the odds

19:39

is steve bannon form and and they go to lindsey

19:41

graham like lindsey graham down from said you run for president

19:43

to support him is like yes and that

19:45

are all the rest of the fucking yahoos a like the i gotta

19:47

say yes to as another son is like

19:49

thirty seven of fifty republican

19:52

senators have endorsed donald trump you

19:54

know it'll be a by greg abbott running for election

19:57

and then you just you see and you just like rhonda

19:59

santas just sitting at home by yourself

20:01

in florida trying to ban your own books is a

20:03

purchase legs so i can see a worldwide

20:06

is that the right way you do it but if you were just like

20:08

what like care about is maintaining

20:11

control of this party enough to your

20:13

the rest out later you

20:15

can sort of see a world and wedged that

20:17

works better for hidden do with

20:20

and donald trump maintaining control has

20:22

always been about maintaining attention alright

20:24

it's a it's an attention game we have courses

20:26

as politics today in the social media age i'm

20:29

you just mentioned the other a fucking yahoo's

20:31

run to santas and the rest if you were

20:33

de santis or or one of the more

20:35

delusional potential trump opponents like

20:37

a a mike pence or a or mike

20:39

pompeo we didn't early trump announcement

20:42

give you pause about your own candidacy

20:44

do you think that would effectively freeze

20:46

them out

20:47

i think the reaction is

20:49

not the timing of trump's announcement but the reaction

20:52

to it they give you some

20:54

costs but i i

20:56

don't like mike pompeo what

20:58

she of my conte oh pauses as i

21:00

please make up a of licenses out of their

21:03

that was whatever now that i got back yard to be residents

21:05

by like someone a

21:08

like a very smart wired and political reporter

21:11

told me something a few weeks ago it's

21:13

that about rhonda santas guess it was asking

21:15

like is like i presume he comes gonna run

21:18

that would you say this challenge and

21:20

it never told me as it the santas really

21:25

has worked at rubio in

21:27

christie what happened from

21:29

them from missing their shot in

21:31

two thousand they were the stars

21:33

of the republican party stay passed up

21:36

on that because they thought they either couldn't beat obama

21:38

or whatever it was and then by the time

21:40

they ran for years later they were old

21:43

had no one cared a they were basically never reveals

21:45

making penis jokes onstage with donald

21:47

trump's right like that's where you end up and

21:49

like this is is moment right and this

21:52

person even told me that it's like

21:54

zombies people around us into said as cited obama

21:57

as someone to to like who understood

22:00

that you ryan when you have your shot

22:02

if you if you don't run then you'll probably never gets

22:04

a shot again so i think there's a you know is that is true

22:07

that's i think he probably runs

22:09

anyway as if he wants to be president this is it will

22:11

be his best chance whether trump runs or not

22:14

they ask how often do you speak to hugh hewitt

22:20

well sir john a higher prices

22:22

i just read a lot time of the nixon library just

22:24

a recent research systems of

22:26

exists into in there now diversity

22:28

this was a this was a ah

22:30

not a desire to stand proceeded

22:33

ominous

22:34

the about giving to santas advice

22:37

i agree with all that that he does the to just you

22:39

decide if trump bought decided to run but like

22:41

from the get go right

22:44

out of again you have to have your

22:46

case if you're around santas

22:48

why not just why

22:50

you why not donald trump you

22:52

cannot do the twenty sixteen thing

22:54

of which is pretend donald trump isn't

22:57

there and will make the case for myself

22:59

i'm worried about attacking him because if i

23:01

attack him and he'll go after me and

23:03

then someone else will rise like i think

23:05

you need to have at

23:08

least an implicit case if not an explicit

23:11

case why it should be you and not donald

23:14

and i don't know i don't know front pages have got

23:16

have got that and and but we'll see

23:18

i mean that indicates a data from solace or

23:20

yeah you could lead to i don't win again when

23:23

you got yeah you got the you got the election close

23:25

enough for joe biden to steal right in the

23:27

because that because they'll have to say that the election was stolen

23:30

to keep up appearances girl

23:37

how

23:39

did merch has brought by beam did you

23:41

know the poor sleeping cause weight gain mood issues

23:44

poor mental health and lower productivity yes

23:46

yes yes sure did and yes burnham

23:48

a tombstone also

23:51

sleeping less than six or seven hours per night is linked to

23:53

reduce white blood cell count now

23:55

many people realize this but having a consistent nighttime

23:57

regina so important and a beam

23:59

a better tomorrow starts tonight

24:02

we love beam dream you know they've

24:04

got this great sleep product called the dream powder

24:06

which is they're healthy hot cocoa today

24:09

are listens get a special discount on a brand new

24:11

delicious new summer flavor of dream powder

24:13

sea salt caramel i love me out

24:16

of loves the saga caramel stuff sea

24:18

salt caramel dream parties just like the caramel

24:20

drizzling your summer ice cream cone but with only

24:22

sixteen calories better sleep has

24:24

never tasted better it contains natural

24:26

sleep promoting premium ingredients triple

24:29

lab tested know thc and

24:31

you wake up refreshed ninety eight percent of people

24:33

surveyed fall asleep faster and taking been

24:35

dream and ninety nine percent of people experience

24:37

better sleep quality he just mix stream

24:39

into hot water and milk stir and you enjoy

24:41

before bedtime okay i love this problem got

24:45

an early flight tomorrow don't want to be

24:47

you have to wake up super early so i really want to get to

24:49

bed tonight tsunami like ten i'm i'm going to

24:51

pour in some see south caramel and to maya

24:54

into some and mix it up tonight now

24:56

and enjoy a delicious drink can help me sleep

24:58

at area know from and ago

25:01

if you don't love it

25:02

you can get your money back guaranteed if you want to try beams

25:04

new sea salt caramel dream powder it's

25:06

only available for a limited time so be sure to grab

25:08

some before it runs out at the end of the summer get

25:11

up to thirty five percent off when you go to shop beam

25:13

dot com slash cricket and use code cricket a check out

25:15

that shop b e a m dot com

25:17

slash cricket and use code crooked for

25:19

up to thirty five percent

25:22

the america brought by article articles

25:24

launch their new line of outdoor products for summer twenty

25:26

two think oversized statement lounges

25:28

streamlined dining pieces an easy to style

25:30

sofas for all your backyard needs with

25:33

forty two new pieces plus a selection of bestsellers

25:35

from seasons past article has what you need

25:37

to outfit the deck of your dreams the summer article

25:40

combines the cure a son of a boutique furniture store with

25:42

the comfort and simplicity of shopping on mine

25:44

their team of designers focuses on beautifully crafted

25:46

pieces quality materials and durable construction

25:49

the dedicated to a modern aesthetic of midcentury

25:51

scandinavian industrial and bohemian designed

25:54

to get fast of horrible shipping available across

25:56

the usa and canada and it's free

25:58

on orders over nine hundred ninety nine dollars all

26:01

in stock items are delivered in two weeks or

26:03

less they got fair prices you save up to thirty

26:05

percent over traditional retail prices articles

26:08

able to keep their prices low by cutting out the middleman

26:10

and selling directly to you know showrooms

26:12

no sales people and know retail markups

26:14

articles offering our listeners fifty dollars

26:16

off their first purchase of one hundred dollars or more

26:19

to claim you can visit article dot com slash

26:21

crooked and the discount will be automatically

26:23

applied at checkout that's article dot com

26:25

slash cricket to get fifty dollars off your first purchase

26:27

of one hundred dollars or more

26:30

positive america's broad you by squarespace square

26:33

space is the only one platform for building your brand

26:35

and growing your business online stand out

26:37

with the beautiful website engage with your audience

26:39

and sell anything your products content you create

26:42

even your time squarespace makes it easy for

26:44

creators and educators to monetize their content

26:46

and expertise in a way that fits their brand with

26:49

member areas you can unlock a new revenue stream

26:51

for your business and free up time in your schedule by

26:53

selling access to gated content like

26:55

classes online courses or newsletters

26:58

you can also stand out in any in box with squarespace

27:00

email campaign cost email subscribers

27:03

and convert them into loyal customers start with

27:05

an email template and customize it by a playing your brand

27:07

ingredients like said colors and logo built

27:09

in analytics measure the impact of every

27:11

cent squarespace has powerful

27:13

blogging tools to share stories photos videos

27:16

and update categorize share and schedule

27:18

your posts to make your content work

27:20

for you go to square space dot com slash

27:22

cricket for a free trial and when you're ready to launch

27:24

use the offer code crooked to save ten percent off your

27:26

first purchase of a website or domain that

27:29

square space dot com slash crooked offer

27:31

code crooked

27:32

okay

27:37

let's , it was the man who is currently the democratic

27:40

front runner for twenty twenty four joe biden

27:43

biden has an average approval rating of thirty

27:45

nine percent right now or

27:47

that's the lowest of any president at this point in his

27:49

term since harry truman and

27:52

in the same recent same harvard harris poll

27:54

shows the generic midterm ballot it

27:56

an even fifty it an democrats

27:58

and republicans seventy one percent of all voters

28:00

say that biden shouldn't run for reelection this

28:03

has unsurprisingly lead to

28:05

a mortal week of stories in the new york times

28:07

washington post politico i and

28:09

other outlets that arm all these stories are are

28:11

heavy on complaints light on advice

28:14

from various names and mostly unnamed

28:16

or democratic strategist and lawmakers ah

28:19

f from everything about the white house's message to

28:21

their management to joe biden strategy

28:24

ah but of course the lowest blow by far came

28:26

in a cnn peace the lead with an anecdote

28:28

about how joe biden has even lost the support former

28:31

will and grace star deborah nothing then

28:36

how does any white house move on from someone

28:38

like someone like is important that we play

28:42

the debra messing anecdote in historical

28:44

contexts he says i always suspicious

28:47

if you know what of with i've all the mall

28:49

the responses that i thought were

28:51

coming to that question this is not one businesses

28:54

such , a pseudo they want

28:57

you and your can be depressed for some physicists

29:00

deserve

29:02

and be the next and presidency effectively

29:04

ended when a dozen republican senators went

29:06

to the white house and told next and to resign

29:10

it really feels like the perfect twenty twenty

29:12

two version of that is debra messing yelling

29:14

at a white house aide on as you can call

29:18

the lead of the piece

29:20

of the lead of the cnn be it's just having

29:22

a to add you know why or why i brought it up

29:25

the lead that's you know that is a

29:27

and and great right i can hear you and i are

29:29

talking about it you know at mission

29:31

accomplished a cat in all seriousness

29:34

most of us are angry frustrated

29:37

disappointed about where we are right now where the countries

29:39

right now i guess the question is

29:42

how much of our current predicament

29:45

can be blamed on the by the administration how

29:47

much is beyond their control of all

29:49

the current critiques out there which

29:51

you think affair which do you think or

29:53

not that

29:56

of us had is a multi

29:58

for question about

30:02

say here charts i started writing have access

30:04

to since it's my

30:06

, the smell good against other

30:08

to see his i'm not a mess you

30:10

can do whatever you want but it's an honor the next to us

30:13

as or is that the more they want us are worth of rise

30:15

worth yeah if you ask most of our questions be

30:17

president only have to answer the part

30:19

they want to answer but this answer but

30:21

we're here

30:22

the reform our try to answer all that what i

30:24

think the i don't

30:26

want to stipulate i'm very biased

30:29

on this course i'm biased because

30:32

i worked in the white else as you did i

30:34

know how fucking hard those jobs are i have

30:36

been story that debra

30:38

messing and to get excited but it's it's or is very

30:41

much like this ah i guess

30:43

our versa and odds the democratic

30:45

story was when bryan cranston

30:47

who was playing lbj on

30:50

broadway i

30:52

think scenario maureen dowd where he said that barack

30:55

obama was not doing a good enough jobs

30:57

twisting arms like that was or vs ever

30:59

miss i have really i have liked a lot of the stuff for

31:01

my memory but i'm i'm i hope

31:03

i hope that i have many many i graduate

31:06

assistants ah by

31:08

disease or dinner and i also

31:10

want your mind and he has a very

31:12

good percent during a really fucking

31:14

her job to the best disability and old people to work

31:16

in one else are also her friends and we also

31:18

know they're really fucking smarts in a working their

31:21

asses off and they in in a really

31:23

really hard marmots said

31:25

so i got all the say

31:27

that i'm quite bicyclists what i think

31:31

the vast majority of the political problems for joe

31:33

biden are because we are

31:37

in era of historic

31:39

inflation we now have a said

31:41

raising interest rates to combat that inflation

31:44

we now or about might have a recession because

31:46

the said is raising interest rates to combat that inflation

31:49

you have a word russia you have a pandemic the won't

31:51

go away you have a radical right wing

31:53

republican party overly plotting and

31:55

insurrection and often very widow the democrats

31:58

have to the happy stop

32:00

that's that leads to a whole bunch of

32:02

position very little of that is

32:04

under the drug control job and

32:08

that is not to say that the responses

32:11

could not be better they cannot be

32:13

faster they cannot be louder like is

32:16

your mind you we every single thing he can

32:18

to the on inflation no

32:21

but , he did you everything he could would it make

32:23

a gigantic difference in the what people were paying

32:25

at the pump or the grocery store now

32:28

was the response to the

32:30

from everyone in the park that is

32:32

president to the ruling en route

32:36

insufficient into and to slow yes

32:38

is it a completely fair for take that of that with six

32:41

weeks notice the white house has not yet released

32:43

or executive actions one had process

32:45

but if they had nailed that one hundred percent

32:47

and and everything that was in the

32:49

very useful plans

32:52

a tweet threads and op eds for out by locals are sworn

32:54

may i say i think that would still feel

32:57

insufficient to people because you have the supreme

32:59

court filled with

33:02

justices who were appointed by president

33:04

who washed elections taking

33:06

away constitutional rights from people for the first

33:08

time in modern history like there is nothing the president

33:10

could say that's going to solve that insults

33:13

the big the vast could they be doing better

33:16

absolutely debated everything perfectly

33:18

with your by be a fifty percent of democrats on

33:20

the glide path to victory no

33:23

of course not like did there is a weird there's

33:25

a tendency to focus on the stylistic versus

33:27

the structural the the crux

33:29

of the political problems or structural might it

33:33

yeah i mean look i i'm

33:35

obviously i share all of your biases

33:37

and i'm i think that

33:40

but i also like when we

33:42

or

33:43

resistant to criticize the by

33:45

my house i will say it's not just because

33:47

i i liked joe biden personally and we know

33:49

lot of people in white house but i think it's

33:51

it's more because we have

33:53

been in those jobs and we have faced

33:55

this set of circumstances are similar set

33:58

of circumstances where the

34:00

power you have a finite in so much as beyond

34:02

your control and i think

34:04

that like seventy percent of the job of

34:06

being president is substance

34:09

and what you get done and thirty percent

34:11

his performance but that the media

34:14

coverage is like seventy percent

34:16

performance and thirty percent what you get dance

34:19

and i think on the performance side the

34:22

commute you know and know and saying

34:25

these words i agree i sverige

34:27

media know your say of you know because

34:29

in the white house he would beat brock

34:31

obama has a communication problem and

34:33

all of us worked in communications and we were like

34:36

it's not our fucking fault that we're trying to dig

34:38

out of recession and that we couldn't

34:40

, the version of the affordable care act that we wanted

34:43

and that congress isn't playing along with what we want

34:45

to do and all this other bullshit that happening

34:47

and yet the critique would be that

34:50

problem is not emoting enough his outperforming

34:52

and of is not the same storyteller that he wasn't

34:54

the campaign trail and the reason

34:56

for that the there are many reasons for that

34:59

you are constrained by the officer the presidency

35:01

of your constrained by what you can say when you're pressing

35:03

had stayed you constrained by the white house itself

35:06

both of physical nature of the way has the inability

35:08

to get outside to do big rallies like is all

35:10

this kind of shit i do think

35:12

that particularly in

35:14

rock obama second term

35:16

thanks to you and a lot of the people

35:18

who are still there you guys figured

35:20

out creative ways to

35:23

meet the moment in terms

35:25

of where the the media

35:27

environment had shit how the media environment had changed

35:30

and you get creative and a room

35:32

is more responses to the news cycle and

35:34

i do think that we

35:36

don't love the fact that you know as into by new

35:38

identified folks rightly prided themselves

35:40

during the campaign on like not responding

35:43

to the twitter crap of the day and

35:46

we all know how much the twitter cycle

35:49

of the day sucks right but i

35:51

do think the nimble

35:54

the and responding to the news cycle it's

35:56

something that this white house has not

35:59

been great ass and

36:01

you know we've had with his but like yesterday

36:04

he went to ohio when

36:06

day and he did it and event about pensions

36:08

and and and how the american

36:10

rescue plan saved a lot of people's pensions

36:13

which is something that i'm sure is very popular

36:15

in is also is really good

36:17

policy right congratulations he did it by

36:20

it is weird to be giving a speech about that

36:23

when we're a week out from the

36:25

supreme court overturning roe v wade and

36:28

you know there was more sort of the there was more

36:30

there was a horrible mass shooting or over the fourth

36:32

of july weekend and you

36:34

know then you could tell him what he wanted to do what he on the set

36:36

like the does not have he said he

36:39

sort of like worked through a lot of the executive actions

36:41

executive has and also in the fucking

36:43

set you still have the one thing

36:45

that you didn't mention beyond his control his you don't

36:47

really have really true senate majority

36:50

because joe manchin is basically a fucking republican

36:52

in tears and cinema the fucking weirdo assessment

36:55

, a some the so system ago we've

36:58

never a good if they democrats control russians and democrats

37:00

don't really control washington because we don't

37:02

really control the senate and we've heard was

37:04

million fucking times we talk about it for two years

37:06

now and it's like enraging to keep talking

37:08

about it but like if i was president

37:10

when i go out there and say like get rid of the filibuster

37:13

and i'll codify row and i'll get rid of the filibuster

37:15

for everything yes of course and joe biden is now

37:17

said that for voting rights and for robbie wait what i

37:19

say that i want to expand the supreme court that

37:22

it's not the most right wing radical court and

37:24

generations yeah of course i would and

37:26

then you know joe manchin would say fuck you if

37:29

you know what i'd be able to do but that method because

37:31

he gets a vote rate and so but

37:34

i do think that like there

37:36

are a whole bunch of ways that joe biden and

37:39

then what i also include the democrats in congress

37:41

made who said he should not get off easy on this

37:43

list that i am still five minutes and

37:45

democrats in congress should be out there showing

37:48

a sense of urgency and showing

37:51

that this is the fight of our lives and

37:53

and acting like they are going to run

37:55

through a brick wall for the american people

37:57

every single day will that

37:59

me substantive progress in

38:01

congress probably not

38:04

not until this election but will

38:06

it potentially build the political

38:08

coalition we need to

38:10

win a real majority and

38:12

also earn the trust of people who

38:14

want to believe that if we do get that real majority

38:17

were gonna make real progress

38:19

yeah maybe

38:20

and like we can criticize performance all we

38:22

want but performance and and

38:24

and the urgency and a passion

38:26

behind performance is one way to

38:28

build the trust and the political majority

38:31

you need to deliver real change and i do

38:33

think on that front they can be done that i

38:37

i remember it taking frock

38:39

obama and all of us

38:41

myself in particular while

38:44

to figure out that sometimes the job

38:47

of the president is to say the thing that

38:49

people want to the speak to

38:51

their sadness their fears

38:54

their anger i remember i'm not going to meet people

38:56

where they are for i am with acts

38:58

or friend units are you sick all the pastoral role

39:00

of the president that even if you had i remember

39:02

very clearly the

39:05

and christmas eve i think

39:07

twenty two thousand two thousand when the shoe

39:09

bomber

39:10

habit

39:11

for about we're just spencer a brutal

39:13

year obama was in hawaii raul

39:15

on i was on my first day off in

39:18

basically since two thousand and seven at that points

39:20

and the idea was to the president go out and

39:22

speak about this terrorist

39:25

attacks were nothing happens no one was hurt

39:27

know was injured know lives were lost and plane crashed and

39:30

we didn't know all the fact that we didn't we know with we

39:32

thought it might be al qaeda but we didn't really know

39:34

sir the president go and speak i

39:37

remember very clearly some people's namely robert

39:39

gibbs or press secretary say he actually has been speaking

39:41

and myself arguing on a call

39:43

with the president he should not have any why why are

39:45

we just narrating the events

39:48

that was a huge error on my part

39:50

rubber was right i was wrong and because

39:53

people as wanted to see their president that

39:56

kind of concerned and i think democrats

39:58

want to see the president and congressional leaders

40:01

share their anger and urgency

40:04

and since our is and or has generally been moments

40:06

were biden has done that right his speech on

40:08

january six was a huge part

40:10

of that right the voting rights be to give the next day

40:12

in georgia was another part of it i thought

40:14

some of his remarks the

40:17

after the doll decision are quite

40:19

good book what i think the

40:21

challenges are exists chance at every

40:23

democrat in leadership currently

40:25

faces is you

40:28

have to be a part of the conversation

40:30

twenty four seven like in this media environment

40:33

or but you are either serving dinner or

40:35

you are did right i guess what it is

40:37

and if you're not out there talk to be more talkative audience

40:40

the concept machine is either season

40:42

on the people you're talented feet on earth's feeding on you

40:44

ads biden and i think that that

40:47

is a huge there

40:50

is a vacuum and it is being filled by

40:52

it's republicans attacking biden and democrats

40:55

criticizing buttons and

40:57

i get that isn't chromosomes you like i just in

40:59

my head and i'm trying not even to like room

41:02

referred to my old white house elves

41:04

like i know exactly how that tensions

41:06

have that got on the calendar it's before

41:09

i already for a lot of people for a long time

41:11

when can we traveled to the first day weekend travel

41:13

because of all x y and z we're

41:16

going to go there with already booked the place

41:18

because we said the advance team out weeks ago the labor

41:20

department is paying for the trip because it's

41:22

a pensioner this so they're doing

41:24

it so we can't switch it to an abortion advance

41:26

or something like i know exactly

41:29

how it happened in there is a real if this is

41:32

what's really hard in this is one thing we're trump's

41:34

nothing by it really trump i'm not saying

41:37

that be very clear mind one

41:39

thing we're trying social media use was it advantage

41:42

was he was able to respond

41:44

faster than the traditional

41:46

ways in which president's can

41:48

do things because it is a fucking aircraft carrier

41:50

to get things in motion to other things

41:53

in the second term obama really started doing it

41:55

just walk into the briefing because

41:57

you can't do that you gotta be want to take questions

41:59

when it but you can just walk down there

42:01

and do it and you can be there five minutes after

42:03

the bad thing happens you don't have to like call

42:06

the pool and scopes seat

42:08

outs take down the what

42:10

the state dinner set up in the east room and

42:12

go like you can just do it and south or

42:15

there's no easy answers here at like as like as everything

42:17

perfectly is that does that change a ton

42:19

know of course not like i have my sympathy

42:22

goes out to the president's team for operate

42:24

in this media environment which is the issue

42:26

of epic proportions are

42:28

it's hard but i will say it is

42:30

also i think it's a a joe biden problem

42:32

to solve and it's not even necessarily a white house

42:35

problem because you know there's dana

42:37

milbank in the martian post read this column that the

42:39

joe biden folks have been sending around and the

42:41

and the dnc has been sending around about how like

42:44

actually you buy new saying all the things value

42:46

people want him to say and that when he gives remarks

42:48

about ah dobbs or about

42:50

guns or about republican book

42:52

bans he's calling of extremism he's calling

42:54

i would boss at this is on kind of stuff and read

42:57

the column nearly guess i guess he is saying

42:59

those words in the remarks but they're not really getting

43:01

through because he's not he

43:03

doesn't have the passion assists right

43:05

and like we have see like you said we have

43:07

seen moments where joe biden can summon that

43:10

kind of passion and he has to figure

43:12

that out for himself and that's not something

43:14

because there's a lot i think there was more people in that

43:16

way has the know with a message should be

43:18

com but he he's the one

43:21

to has to deliver then you can only be

43:23

but it can also just how he delivers is

43:25

how often he delivers it right there is a it's

43:28

like there is a political communication

43:31

involves to six what you say

43:34

and how you get people to then i think

43:37

fine for much for for much of his presence he has said

43:39

the right say right with you by your potter policies

43:42

he started out them in light of a really smart

43:44

instinctual not be honest ways to

43:46

express outrage in a lot of moments he

43:48

could be funny but are not people

43:50

aren't you're going to get us on the prom and i think it's

43:52

just as people want to like dig deeper into

43:54

the same groups armor for a long time there was a

43:56

podcast and at as refined interviewed

43:59

our friends shot

43:59

away

44:01

they're not sure a cursory i'm not on

44:03

his podcast couple months ago it's about like democratic

44:05

communications in the white house and all of that

44:07

that i think is an absolute must was

44:09

in in gets to some of the question

44:11

seekers this isn't just bite rights like where

44:13

the congressional leaders were other people in congress nearby

44:16

there's like a handful of smart people like

44:18

elizabeth warren or a oh seats to

44:20

be chris murphy on guns here we're getting out there

44:22

have either message or but the vast majority people are just

44:24

tweeting out library grants and not

44:26

commanding the sheriff public attention that they need

44:29

one piece of knew that i hesitate

44:32

to refer to as even potentially good is

44:34

it chuck schumer in joe manchin have reportedly made

44:36

a deal on one piece of a new reconciliation

44:38

bill or punchbowl reported wednesday

44:41

that schumer cent tax to the senate parliamentarian

44:43

have an agreement among all fifty senate democrats

44:45

on a provision that would allow medicare to negotiate

44:48

for lower prescription drug costs think

44:50

there's also an out of pocket top of

44:52

two thousand dollars per year per person

44:55

there's no word about other possible reconciliation

44:58

provisions on climate taxes or healthcare though

45:00

i saw in our slack just before

45:02

reserve recording that you center on a piece that

45:04

i guess they're getting a little closer on that

45:06

though mentioned spokesperson said hours there's

45:09

still no deal there's a lot of said there were trying

45:11

to figure out i mean

45:12

can we bang our heads against the wall are once

45:14

more for old time's sake on this or what

45:16

specific which were different i

45:19

mean i read that story mated

45:21

spokesperson is quoted in punchbowl talking

45:24

about how they're not near in agreement on methane

45:26

emissions which emissions the same problem is that every

45:28

single time is theoretically ductless

45:30

soda like i don't want

45:32

to be on brand is a

45:34

glass half empty guy just like wake me when you have

45:36

a deal i'm not going a i'm not going to exert any

45:38

intellectual or emotional investment

45:42

in hoping for

45:44

thinking about plotting about some sort

45:46

of deal it's it's there's like five minutes

45:49

period of time or there's not a lobbyist in

45:51

each of jamais his ears and he

45:53

puts his name of that a line i will celebrate

45:55

with can set a but until then just

45:57

leave us alone possible sorry

46:01

unavoidable since i don't arrive in honestly

46:03

i just i simply cannot read river hello

46:06

to my school poke pierre punchbowl once time

46:09

for a long ago manson like sell

46:11

us when we come back i'll talk more about with

46:13

the current political climate might mean for the midterms

46:16

with democratic pollster and strategist so

46:18

into it

46:24

the americas brought about zip o'connor many

46:27

of us are super excited to travel the summer

46:29

that have you ever thought about all the people that make a vacation

46:31

truly great like the hotel

46:34

concierge knows the best places to visit

46:36

or the tour guide with all the great stories ah

46:38

rember when sir john favour

46:40

and i flew on a separate fights and

46:42

lover to new york we had shows there and

46:44

done i landed in richmond virginia for some

46:46

reason that's right now we're trying to get the jfk ah

46:49

and ah the vulgar language

46:51

so nice giving out free water yeah

46:53

evolution with every how many of [unk] histone how

46:55

many bad travel stories have you heard reverence is tweeting

46:57

at the airline the angry things these these

47:00

the these folks jetblue folks they

47:02

were handing out waters they were given us economy

47:04

now giving them a friend well yeah well they are

47:06

all you know what i'm sure they got here's the

47:08

thing that i bet they got some of their employees on zip

47:11

recruiter or their outstanding talent

47:13

is crucial for a successful business and if you're hiring

47:15

you can find talent for rules like these and more do my boy

47:17

always sticks atlantic yeah

47:19

when you trade for free a glad

47:22

the piloted a when you tried for free a zipper hundred

47:24

dot com slash cricket zip recruiter uses its

47:26

powerful technology to find and match the right

47:28

candidates up with your job you can easily review

47:30

these recommended candidates and invite your top choices

47:32

to apply additionally zip recruiter has a complete

47:35

suite of tools that makes it easy

47:37

to filter review and rate your candidates plus

47:40

four to five employees who posted on zip recruiter get

47:42

a quality candidate within the first day so

47:44

travel to this easy to remember website

47:47

destination zip recruiter dot

47:49

com slash cricket that's where you can try zip

47:51

recruiter for free again that's

47:53

zip recruiter dot com slash cricket c r

47:55

o o k e d zip recruiter is

47:57

the smartest way to hire

48:01

now a word from our sponsor better help

48:04

love itami discuss ways you take care of your minds

48:07

it will mindfulness meditation the

48:09

house go for walks but

48:11

your phone down in the other room

48:14

i target

48:16

i switch from podcasts to on something

48:19

called music that on

48:21

the i find that find don't need to be

48:23

in constant conversation and all times fact

48:25

times was listening to have sort of strict scrutiny and

48:27

scrutiny flush the toilet and toilet panicked that panicked thought

48:29

that our hosts would hear me wow wow

48:32

that's real mindfulness to get away switch that's

48:35

good i take walks with the phone might

48:38

get alvarez you a thing though you should just

48:40

sucked bugger how are we care for

48:42

our minds affects how we experience life so it's important

48:44

to invest time and care into keeping them healthy there

48:46

are plenty of ways to support a healthy brain like learning a new

48:48

language or taking power naps there's also

48:51

better help online therapy better help us online

48:53

therapy that offers video phone and even live chat

48:55

only therapy sessions so you don't have to see

48:57

anyone i'm camera if you don't want to it's much

49:00

more affordable than in person therapy and it's available

49:02

worldwide but are helpful assess your needs

49:04

and can match you with your own accredited therapist

49:06

in just under forty eight hours visit

49:09

better help dot com slash psh enjoying the over

49:11

two million people who've taken charge of their mental

49:13

health with the help of an experienced professional or

49:15

listeners get listeners percent off their first month in better health

49:17

dot com slash psc that's better

49:19

that's better l p dot com slash psh

49:27

and we're back with the midterms just four months

49:29

away and democrats still searching for a clear

49:31

message amidst the onslaught of bad news

49:34

we thought we'd bring back one of the smartest strategists

49:36

and pollsters in the business to help us make sense

49:38

of at all cylinder like welcome back to the pot

49:41

thanks i love being banned thank you

49:43

for your it's do the now offer

49:44

we love haven't yet so

49:46

i'm wrong track numbers are as high

49:49

as they've ever been joe biden approval

49:51

rating is as low as it's ever been you

49:53

talk to voters all the time how much

49:55

of this reflects concern

49:57

over inflation and

50:00

gas prices among the broader electorate and

50:02

how much of a t think reflects the

50:05

predominant media narrative about you

50:07

know democrats being disappointed in the yeah

50:09

by the administration

50:10

i think it's mostly

50:13

they're broader narrative and the uncertainty

50:16

of every family every

50:18

time you turn around ah

50:20

democrat republican or independent your hit with

50:22

something new the inflation

50:24

the war of law the highland park

50:27

buffalo

50:28

new name ads are storms

50:30

floods yellowstone national park

50:32

causing wonders yellowstone national

50:35

park close i mean it's just

50:37

slightly the people just feel as one

50:39

millennials said this country's a dumpster

50:41

for hockey or and i think that's

50:44

worth of liquor feel like so

50:46

are you know you that we had we had you're facing

50:48

the grown have the right direction ah

50:51

but that's different than saying who

50:53

is working on your behalf where we have

50:55

an eight point advantage who cares

50:57

about people we have a six point advantage

51:00

is a tattoo environment i'm not kidding it's

51:02

easy to be demoralize five

51:04

minute break grow v wade being a return

51:07

and where that leaves with for a control on marriage

51:09

equality interracial marriage the

51:11

say sir

51:12

it very clear for the twenty

51:14

twenty two election why you

51:16

know i just as damn this in the in our last

51:19

segments i'll ask you to

51:21

what kind of advice would you give joe biden

51:23

right now knowing that much

51:25

of this is beyond his control or

51:27

beyond any president's control ah

51:30

as you know we've seen from all our years

51:32

and democratic politics but you

51:34

know what is within your control as executive

51:37

actions that you can take got your message

51:40

what you emphasize what you focus on every

51:42

day what it what advice would you give him right

51:44

now

51:45

i think you're doing a lot of what they should be doing and

51:47

they have to do it on steroids that the first

51:49

piece of advice i'd say and i think

51:51

that you see a dramatic change in

51:54

a private message in the last

51:56

six months which is don't say things

51:58

are good had a big

51:59

people wonder what planet iran they wonder

52:02

as one for assassin phocuswright

52:04

what neighborhoods you economists living

52:06

at the think that has imposed a

52:08

bag of boots so be intact there's

52:11

something every day ped use

52:13

every lever at your disposal

52:15

and frame up a contrast don't let

52:17

this be a referendum this election the

52:20

real choice and frame of that choice for

52:22

people they're doing a lot

52:24

the administration's doing a lot i still

52:26

think they have some work to do in terms

52:29

of packaging it in a way that people

52:31

notice said

52:32

remember it it's hard to get coverage

52:34

for a second

52:35

ah but do something

52:37

every day frame it as show the contract

52:41

the guy you know and pass something

52:43

as far when desperately need to get

52:45

prescription drug reform fast we

52:47

need to get as the on

52:50

a see a subsidies extended

52:52

this a lot we can be doing we need to

52:55

the think they've been the like nimble

52:57

enough on figuring out sort of what

53:00

messages to push out every day like

53:02

you know where we're talking on thursday on

53:04

wednesday i know he didn't events at brendan

53:06

event know high oh it was about

53:09

pensions and and some of the work

53:11

they've done to save peoples' pensions which is

53:13

great work and i'm also sure without

53:16

being a pulsar myself that myself that really well

53:19

the same time you look at the news

53:22

and you know there's more mass shootings

53:25

were , only a week out from the supreme

53:27

court overturning roe v wade like do

53:29

they need to sort of be more in the news

53:32

cycle with news cycle they have him saying

53:34

or is important to just get those economic

53:36

messages out no matter what

53:38

i mean it's important to get the economic messages

53:40

that no matter what and the have been pretty aggressive

53:44

the gun message and on

53:46

on a roll v wade and the vice president

53:48

has been very active under of the way but

53:51

i do think you're identifying a problem

53:53

which is for saw there's so much going on

53:55

the profits anything

53:57

and then i think in some

53:59

ways is has

53:59

i get delivered to real people's cables

54:02

before they're gonna really a processes

54:05

but i do think there is the packaging problem

54:08

i think all of this needs to be packaged

54:10

shudder and overall umbrella that

54:13

is the contract where for the

54:15

people were for the will of the people

54:18

they are for the corporate special interests

54:20

they are for their own power there

54:22

is a real choice here here is

54:24

someone who will not allow an abortion

54:27

even in cases of rape and incest and

54:30

there is a party that is fighting mean

54:32

kane abortion care and

54:34

birth control and support

54:36

children that are born with

54:38

a child tax credit and is a party

54:40

that took said child tax credit away

54:43

from three and a half million four

54:45

kids they didn't just not do

54:47

it states that get away that

54:50

something that's really serious so

54:52

i think we've got a framing problem of how

54:54

to connect all of these thoughts in

54:56

a way that people can go and say yeah that's

54:59

my guy

55:00

that's my party there on my side

55:02

they're getting something done

55:04

speaking about the midterms are you surprised

55:06

to see the gap between bidens

55:08

lower approval ratings and and polling that

55:11

shows democratic senate candidates like raphael

55:13

warnock and john fetterman holding their own

55:15

against republican opponents in to very

55:17

competitive swing state

55:19

yeah and in fact we're gonna pick

55:21

up sentences i think that's a pretty safe project

55:23

said and sam i

55:25

think freestyle senate campaigns are like

55:28

has campaign had the ability

55:30

to develop their own message they have

55:32

enough money they get enough

55:34

press attention that

55:36

they can develop their own for fun as a

55:39

nice are big people in their states

55:41

and so is ron johnson

55:44

how is tim ryan

55:46

ryan a big figures are

55:48

treated our a bush valentine in a serious

55:51

sleeper candidate in my opinion so

55:53

i think the senate races have the money

55:55

to develop their own dynamics and voters

55:58

that will be in the state and in iowa

55:59

the year in twenty twenty

56:01

joe biden didn't have as much such as as we

56:03

might have hoped he had some code charles st george

56:06

although i think the georgia races brought him as much

56:08

as

56:08

the brought the georgia rates

56:10

but he didn't have a lot of coaches

56:12

i don't think is anna when you rotten for senate

56:15

in your say to you need to look at the presidents

56:17

of the side of the supports now and

56:19

these democrats are setting up

56:21

a populace five for setting up a change

56:23

message and they're setting up a contract

56:26

that's what we need to do presidential hm

56:29

it it sounds like you do think that will be harder to

56:31

pull off for democratic has candidates

56:33

much harder in the house i think i

56:36

think we need waves or what influence

56:38

the house and the structure right now and

56:40

the narrowness of the margin makes it facts

56:42

but i think there's some things working in our favor

56:45

the number of candidates that we have that are

56:47

taken a strong stand on opposing

56:50

the overturning roe v wade the number

56:52

of people that are wrapped up in the nominees

56:54

they have wrapped up in jail

56:56

the way sex which is turning out to

56:58

be a big ears

56:59

the of the economic distinctions

57:01

if we could i think we need to get some more

57:03

individualized vote for

57:05

just a package it's less just vote

57:07

online prescription drugs and

57:09

like the civil go back and explain

57:12

even if we lose explain to their voters

57:14

why they think that if you drive forty

57:16

miles from detroit to windsor and

57:18

you say three hundred and ten dollars

57:21

on insulin i'd like to see that

57:23

the republicans that can explain that

57:25

we've been not talking about abortion a little bit just

57:27

about every poll has shown that around sixty percent

57:29

of the country disagrees with the supreme court's

57:32

decision to overturn roe v wade and

57:34

you obviously look deeper into this polling and and conduct

57:36

focus groups how would you advise democratic

57:38

candidates in competitive states and districts

57:41

to speak most effectively about

57:43

abortion in the run up to the midterms

57:46

if i think that the abbey stream

57:49

decision and they stream ah

57:51

ah nature of what the candidates

57:53

the fall

57:54

there's really no guess quite easy we

57:57

scan strongly for what was the

57:59

last

57:59

the two years

58:01

that women can make their own crucial

58:04

decisions with their family their faith their doctors

58:07

and that you cannot make this

58:09

and should not be

58:10

you're hearing this decision as a politician

58:12

sure you have want in their shoes until

58:15

you have faith he circumstances this

58:18

is basic healthcare abortion

58:20

care if basic healthcare and now they're

58:22

going further they wanna eliminated any

58:24

cases of rape and incest and health of the mother

58:27

they want to eliminate birth control they

58:29

want to eliminate in vitro fertilization

58:31

which has helped so many families have

58:33

children they want to go question and

58:35

investigate miscarriages at

58:38

this this too far this

58:40

is a deal breaker for a lot

58:42

of women and it's motivating for

58:44

a lot of women to come out that's

58:46

a key factor for us because

58:49

right now are sides more demoralize

58:51

where friday as they thought they were promised

58:53

so out there

58:55

frustrating things are getting dance

58:57

and this is a real motivator the choice

58:59

is motivating

59:01

the even candidate should be spelling out a more decisive

59:04

mid term strategy around abortion on

59:06

a o sea has urged candidates to do

59:08

this or in democratic leadership but

59:11

david plouffe has urged them to do this and say specifically

59:14

you know if we hold the house and went to more senate seats

59:16

in november we will have

59:18

eliminate the filibuster and codified roe v

59:20

wade you think that's level of specificity

59:22

would help with voters

59:24

the would help a lot because what we

59:26

know is that the positive

59:28

the asset models as a lot better than

59:30

the

59:30

get up and a failure and

59:33

when we just focus on the negative we're

59:35

getting some women in our focus to say

59:37

i'm worried it's too late i'm worried we've

59:39

already lost it's know there is something

59:41

we can do it with in our hands it's with

59:43

in our grass and weekend

59:45

codify row and we have all

59:47

the ingredients manson has said

59:50

he would go along biden has

59:52

said he would go along every what he sees

59:54

the need for this we are unified and nests

59:56

so i agree strongly the should make an initial

59:58

but we should say what popular alternative

1:00:01

yes the governors have been very

1:00:03

strong about this then the ages

1:00:06

canada for nasa sleeper race for this is

1:00:08

gonna make him feel different they said

1:00:10

i won't prosecute i won't extradite

1:00:12

and a lot of businesses are jumping

1:00:15

in and new polling out today

1:00:17

shows voters overwhelmingly

1:00:19

support their employers getting

1:00:21

engaged in this as well and the businesses

1:00:24

that they buy

1:00:24

i'm getting engaged

1:00:26

the mentioned obviously democrats want to make this

1:00:29

election a choice and not a referendum

1:00:32

the using that also applies to you mentioned

1:00:35

you know some of that our bases is is fairly

1:00:37

demoralized right now you talked to some

1:00:39

demoralize democrats and you talk about

1:00:41

the choice they say yeah of course republicans are awful

1:00:43

but why , i come out to

1:00:45

vote just because you know i'm

1:00:47

going to try to stop something from worse

1:00:50

from happening is that the best we can do or are we

1:00:52

going actually anything out of my vote would you would

1:00:54

you sort of think about what with in terms

1:00:56

of those voters

1:00:57

i think you i think you've identified

1:00:59

a key problem with she has we can

1:01:01

to try to motivate people with a negative as

1:01:03

he far more effective to notice and motivate

1:01:06

people with a positive that's what we get and twenty

1:01:08

see that's what we getting twenty twenty we

1:01:10

stored twenty four as it

1:01:12

was against trump said it was as

1:01:14

for something kids it was for

1:01:16

protesting health

1:01:17

so even when you're against

1:01:19

a set of actors you can be

1:01:21

for something is your own words suggested

1:01:24

around choice same thing with prescription

1:01:27

drug and a we should

1:01:29

be the people that are taking the wrong

1:01:31

positions democrat or republican

1:01:33

we have the power to do that

1:01:35

the you basically just you can't forget about both sides

1:01:37

have a choice make it a choice election make it about

1:01:39

what republicans are going to do and what they've

1:01:41

already done but also makes

1:01:43

her you'd tell people what democrats are going to do

1:01:46

if we give us a bigger majority

1:01:47

i think we need some more votes on the record

1:01:50

like on prescription drugs like

1:01:52

on our family care

1:01:54

you name it we've got a lot of opportunities

1:01:56

outage have making a wealthy pay their fair share

1:01:58

what they owe and

1:01:59

so that we can do what we need

1:02:02

to do and these are contrasts

1:02:04

where we can have a positive and negative and

1:02:07

a free fall few votes short okay

1:02:09

it still makes it within gold the party

1:02:11

is clear the candidates that you're voting

1:02:14

for are clear let's support them

1:02:16

and must select a couple more of them and take

1:02:18

this fact

1:02:19

last question

1:02:21

we were just talking about how donald trump might

1:02:23

announce his presidential bid before the

1:02:25

mid terms or how do you think that would change

1:02:28

the dynamics of the race and how

1:02:30

would you advise our midterm candidates to adjust

1:02:32

their message if that happened

1:02:34

ha ha ha ha i think it would be

1:02:36

amazing because

1:02:38

voters do not want donald trump

1:02:41

and they are they are of women voters in

1:02:43

particular who do not think

1:02:45

maybe he has some good ideas but

1:02:47

the way he did things we can namco back to

1:02:49

that division we cannot go back then

1:02:51

i think he's getting i think the january six

1:02:54

hearings are doing a really good job

1:02:56

of showing someone who are

1:02:58

and cited and mob plan violence

1:03:00

content is treason or in my opinion

1:03:03

and opinion voters the thing is at least

1:03:06

at criminal that should be in jail so

1:03:08

jail think that couldn't

1:03:11

be better it's ironic and it's a

1:03:13

pure ego play because the trump voters

1:03:15

are already jerry energize you

1:03:17

don't need to do this to energize their base

1:03:20

but it well i think have an opportunity

1:03:22

to energize airbase because twenty

1:03:24

twenty two is the first vote against

1:03:27

donald trump card back and twenty twenty four

1:03:29

that's a good messages any right

1:03:32

there for a cylinder

1:03:34

like thank you so much as always for joining positive america

1:03:36

we appreciate your ticket

1:03:37

thank you fell like

1:03:43

they go into like for joining us today and

1:03:46

have a good weekend everyone will see you next week five

1:03:48

one

1:03:54

how did america is a cricket media production

1:03:56

the executive producer is michael martinez our

1:03:58

senior producer is the gardener bernstein or

1:04:01

producer is hailing use and olivia martinez

1:04:03

is that are associate producer it's mixed

1:04:05

and edited by andrew chadwick kyle

1:04:07

segment in charlotte landis sound engineer the show

1:04:10

thanks for telling you so many eight or sandy gerard maliki

1:04:12

for ari schwartz andy taft and

1:04:14

justine how for production support into

1:04:17

our digital team elijah cone tb

1:04:19

bradford my lil kim in amelia months

1:04:21

you are episodes are uploaded his videos

1:04:23

at youtube dot com flash crooked media

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features