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The Bear Was Poked With Maria Konnikova

The Bear Was Poked With Maria Konnikova

Released Thursday, 2nd November 2023
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The Bear Was Poked With Maria Konnikova

The Bear Was Poked With Maria Konnikova

The Bear Was Poked With Maria Konnikova

The Bear Was Poked With Maria Konnikova

Thursday, 2nd November 2023
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Episode Transcript

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0:15

Pushkin. Hello

0:20

everyone, I'm backed with the Revisionist Histories

0:22

ombusman Mariya Kanikova.

0:25

This is our third round and

0:27

she's here to grill me on the six

0:29

part series we just wrapped up on Guns in America.

0:32

This is a mail bag in the truest sense

0:35

of the word. We received an unprecedented

0:38

amount of listener mail in this series, and

0:40

Maria's come prepared with a whole slew

0:43

of your feedback. Some

0:45

nice, so

0:47

nice.

0:48

Yeah, well, I

0:50

am surprised at how much

0:52

nice we got, considering

0:54

the subject of this particular

0:57

season of Revisionist History. To be perfectly

1:00

honest, so let's

1:02

start with something really nice

1:04

and positive. Get the good stuff up tops,

1:06

exactly exactly, you know the praise

1:08

sound which, right, that's the feedback sandwich.

1:12

But you had a relatively light episode

1:15

in there about gun smoke, and

1:18

someone wrote in being

1:21

a little bit worried that you got the

1:23

murder rate wrong when you calculated

1:26

the.

1:26

Murders, which I can bring it on this.

1:29

Yes, all right. So basically

1:33

you had this episode where you talked about the

1:35

show that ran for how many years?

1:38

Twenty years, right, almost twenty years,

1:41

and your

1:43

producer Tali Emlin actually

1:47

went through several seasons

1:49

of it and calculated what the murder

1:52

rate would be, and you found that

1:54

it would actually, even though it's insane,

1:57

it is actually eighty times higher

2:01

than what it

2:03

would be in any city

2:05

in the United States today. Yes,

2:07

but it turns out that you might have actually

2:10

undercounted. According to this listener. So

2:13

here's the letter, the

2:15

murder rate in Dodge City was even

2:17

worse than you calculated. You

2:19

compared a season of the show to an annual

2:22

rate of modern day cities. However,

2:24

each episode probably takes place

2:26

in a single day or so the

2:29

entire season probably only

2:31

covered a couple months of time. That

2:34

would make the annual rate five

2:36

to six times worse than you

2:38

already calculated. So what

2:40

do we think about that?

2:42

Okay, I get where

2:44

this critique is coming from.

2:47

I think the some merit to it. I would point out,

2:49

though, when I asked Ally about this, she

2:51

says, if you look at the first two seasons,

2:54

so we have an episode said in

2:56

summer, we have one in winter, we have one on Christmas,

2:59

We've got a blizzard. So

3:01

they are kind of implying that

3:03

what we're seeing unfolding in

3:05

the mythical Dodge City is real

3:09

passage of time and not a series of episodes.

3:11

And also, by the way, the actors

3:14

get older, right, so

3:17

you know, when this starts,

3:19

Matt Dilon's a young man. When Gun Smoke ends,

3:21

Matt Dylan is no longer a young man. So

3:25

maybe the best way to say this is that, you

3:28

know, I think we should probably split the difference

3:30

and say that we were being excessively

3:33

generous to the fictional Dodge

3:35

City in suggesting that their murder

3:37

rate was only eighty times

3:39

higher than the next highest

3:42

American city. And

3:45

you know, maybe it should.

3:48

The accurate number is one sixty.

3:51

That is absolutely crazy. By

3:53

the way, I have never seen Gun Smoke,

3:55

and I had to look it up. The

3:58

first time I heard of it was on

4:00

your show, and.

4:02

I had to get for growing up in Russia.

4:04

This is true. But I also

4:06

had this like brain fart moment

4:09

where Matt Dylan. I was like, wait,

4:11

but Matt Dylan isn't that old.

4:14

Oh you would think of the other man.

4:15

I was thinking of the actor Matt Dylan, and

4:17

so for a second I was like, wait, how

4:19

is Matt Dylan in this show gun Smoke?

4:22

And it was just like this, this total fictional

4:24

universe that I created in my head before I

4:27

looked up what it actually was.

4:29

Years ago, maybe thirty thirty,

4:32

maybe twenty five. I'm at a party in the West

4:34

Village and I realized

4:36

Matt Dillon is there when

4:38

he was really at the height of his fame. He's still famous,

4:40

but he was very I ingratiated

4:43

myself with him and spent a delightful

4:46

evening. It went well past the evening that I

4:49

spent a delightful evening in his company, and I

4:51

can testify that he is

4:54

everybody's charming in real life as he would as

4:56

the movies was jest, he would be.

4:58

That's wonderful. Was he named after the show?

5:01

Well, I think it's obvious he was, right,

5:03

Yeah, because he kind of he looks

5:05

not unlike the

5:09

it's the fictional Matt Dill. Maybe his parents

5:11

had a notion, but who knows whither that or

5:13

like just some agent gave it to him when he was

5:16

nineteen years old.

5:17

Well, I think I think that's amazing. And you

5:20

know, to my credit, I also did not have a TV growing

5:22

up, so notice, so you know, ah,

5:24

we have that in common. So

5:27

we did have this one lighthearted

5:29

reader's email, But

5:32

every other email, or

5:34

at least the vast majority, were about

5:37

one single episode. Do you want to care to guess which

5:39

one it was?

5:39

I'm going to guess it was the assault rifle.

5:41

Episode, and you would have guessed correctly,

5:44

it's that episode.

5:46

Before you go out, before you get into the let

5:48

me just say that there are

5:50

things you do as journalists,

5:52

and you know this well, that are deliberate provocations.

5:55

You do them precisely because you do think you are

5:57

running counter to people's

6:00

expectations and preconceptions.

6:02

This would be one of those. I

6:04

was poking the bear, and

6:07

I guess the bear. The bear was post pair

6:10

was duly poked.

6:12

Mission accomplished. So let's

6:14

get into some of these letters, because when

6:16

you listen to excerpts from

6:19

them, you start realizing that

6:21

it's as if people listened

6:23

to two different episodes, depending

6:25

on where they were coming from. To

6:27

begin with, their own opinions

6:30

about gun control colored

6:32

what they heard you say and how

6:35

they experienced your interviews to

6:37

a shocking degree. I mean, actually not shocking.

6:39

I'm not at all shocked, but it's crazy

6:42

reading these and seeing just

6:45

the opposite responses. So they

6:47

will write things like, let's

6:50

see, the gun rights guy was more genial

6:53

than the gun control guy, but he

6:55

was just as misleading. All

6:58

he did was smile while he made

7:00

you look left when you should

7:02

have looked to the right. And

7:04

then they have all of these figures behind that

7:06

saying that, oh, well, they're saying that

7:09

that you know, he is

7:11

saying that it only takes three seconds

7:13

to do this, but mass shooters

7:16

are there's going to be so much going

7:18

on and his math is wrong and this is wrong,

7:20

and that is wrong, and

7:24

they say that you were led astray. But then

7:27

you have someone saying, Malcolm,

7:30

you know, I'm so proud of you for finally seeing

7:32

the light now and now I'm quoting.

7:34

Now, let's remember that the problem in America

7:37

is a murder problem, not

7:39

a weapon problem. So

7:42

you have two very very

7:44

different points of view, right, and

7:47

let's talk about that. How

7:49

can people walk away from

7:52

the same episode, listening to the same

7:54

data with just completely

7:56

opposite perspectives.

7:58

Well, I mean, it shouldn't come as a surprise that

8:02

people's when people listen

8:04

to something that they

8:06

feel strongly about, they have a subjective reading,

8:10

nor, you know, nor

8:12

does it surprise me now after thirty years of

8:14

writing books that people

8:17

don't read or listen to the end.

8:20

You know, I wrote a book called my

8:23

second book, Blink, was a

8:25

book that looked critically

8:27

at When I say critically,

8:29

it examined, brote the pros and cons of snap

8:32

judgments, but you had to keep

8:34

reading. It started out on the pros

8:37

and then as I dug deeper got

8:39

interested in the cons. The number

8:41

of people who either supported

8:44

or loved that book or hated that book because they

8:47

perceived it as being a book

8:49

about celebrating snap

8:51

judgments was limitless. You

8:53

know, anytime you tell a story that has a twist, you're

8:55

going to leave some portion of people along

8:57

the way. And I think this episode

9:00

is a proof of that. Like basically

9:02

where I end up. Remember, as you

9:04

know, is a gun is a gun as a gun.

9:06

Parsing these these distinctions between

9:08

gun is a pointless exercise

9:11

that leads you away from the central issue, which

9:13

is that having lots of lethal

9:16

weapons floating around in a society

9:18

is not the best idea.

9:21

Right. Obviously, when you were doing these

9:23

interviews, you you know you want

9:25

to do the interview, and you never want to You

9:27

don't want to antagonize a person you're interviewing

9:30

in the middle of the interview, especially when they're

9:32

holding a gun. But I'm actually just curious

9:34

from a personal perspective, if if you care

9:37

to comment, were you kind

9:39

of were you persuaded by

9:42

by these arguments so that

9:44

it actually doesn't

9:47

make that much of a difference, and

9:49

that you you know that

9:51

that we should that

9:54

were barking up the wrong tree when we're looking

9:56

at this guy legislation.

9:57

I was there two persuasive things in

10:00

the reporting a persuison. One

10:02

was with my gun expert,

10:05

the guy I've shot within North Carolina, Greg

10:08

Wallace. And what's persuasive

10:10

about his discussion is

10:12

not how fast you can shoot

10:14

a semi automatic weapon versus an automatic weapon,

10:16

although that the thing is relevant. The real

10:18

core issue he was getting at is said assault

10:21

rifle bands don't ban assault

10:24

rifles. They ban a subcategory

10:27

of assault rifles which qualify

10:29

for the band not because they are more lethal, but

10:31

because they have certain cosmetic features that

10:34

make them unattractive or mean

10:36

looking. Right, Really, what you're getting

10:38

so he's his function

10:40

in the story is to remind us that, look,

10:43

this is a bullshit exercise. You

10:45

may think that an assault rifle ban bands assault

10:47

rifles, it does not, Right, The

10:49

fundamental platform of the

10:52

AR fifteen remains

10:55

untouched by these bands.

10:56

Right.

10:56

You can still use the basic weapon, you just can't

10:59

use some of these accessories. That's the point

11:01

of with the number two is it

11:04

is not a distinction without a difference to

11:07

point out that a semi automatic

11:09

weapon is not the same as an automatic weapon.

11:11

They are fundamentally different. And if

11:14

people are under the illusion that

11:17

an assault weapon is

11:20

basically like a machine gun, the wrong,

11:23

right. Yeah, And that's not a trivial mistake.

11:26

Right.

11:27

So a lot of these as I'm reading through on

11:29

this one in this one letter, a lot of

11:31

them, you know, are fussing

11:33

around in the kind of minor

11:36

details of these distinctions, and it's just

11:38

like, it's not the point. The point

11:41

is, like, what we're setting out to do here is

11:43

not actually what we're doing A and B.

11:45

This brings us to the second persuasive character

11:47

in that the most persuasive character in that episode

11:50

was the er doctor. Yeah, the

11:53

guy in DC who had studied mass

11:55

shootings and points out that the

11:59

truly lethal weapon in the hands of a mass

12:01

shooter is a handgun and

12:03

not an assault rifle. And that's

12:05

because what makes a gun lethal

12:07

is not just a

12:10

matter of its ballistic properties.

12:12

It's a question of how it's used. And

12:15

there are so many quote unquote advantages

12:17

to a handgun in

12:19

the way it's used that it makes it, at the end

12:21

of the day, a more dangerous weapon in a mass shooting. There

12:24

is a whole kind of really

12:26

weird academic subculture

12:28

devoted to the analysis

12:31

of mass shootings, and you would

12:33

be surprised how divergent those findings

12:35

are from a lot of our preconceptions

12:39

about what happens in a mass shooting.

12:41

That's really interesting, and I actually saw that

12:44

as a thread throughout this entire

12:46

season of Revisionist History,

12:49

just how strong identity

12:52

politics and our sense of who

12:54

we are and how we define ourselves is

12:57

when it comes to parsing

12:59

the world and those definitional

13:01

issues.

13:02

Yeah, the other moment, you know, in the assault

13:06

Rifle episode, you know, it ends with me confronting

13:08

this

13:12

this anti gun lobbyist,

13:14

big time opponent

13:17

of the Second Amendment in Washington, and I

13:19

think the reason he gets very upset,

13:22

and actually we didn't even use the parts of the

13:24

of the conversation where he was most upset. And

13:27

I think one of the reasons he was so upset is that I

13:30

was out flanking him on

13:32

the left, and

13:35

I was taking a more anti gun position than he

13:37

was. And not only that, in order to outflank

13:39

him on the left, I was using right wing

13:41

arguments or right wing facts. You

13:44

know that that episode is if you think

13:46

about it structurally, that's what it

13:48

is. It's taking arguments most commonly

13:51

used on the right to

13:53

draw a highly liberal conclusion. It's just confused.

13:56

It's just confusing to do that.

13:57

Malcolm, you have come a long way

13:59

from your debating fiasco.

14:04

Don't even get me started. We

14:08

will be right back BacT more from

14:10

the mailbag.

14:27

All right, well, let's go back

14:29

to guns, because I do want

14:31

to talk about some of the other episodes.

14:34

I think that one theme that we

14:36

haven't touched on, but that is,

14:38

you know, deeply connected to all

14:41

of everything. We have been discussing,

14:43

the racial and the socioeconomic

14:45

underpinnings of all of this and

14:48

the fact that it's kind of woven into the

14:50

fabric of the country. And

14:55

you know, you you talk

14:57

about in these are different episodes. There's

14:59

Chicago, you know, there's there's DC, there's

15:03

and you have you have Alabama. You

15:05

have these very different

15:08

geographically parts of the country, urban,

15:11

rural, and yet you

15:13

have some of the

15:16

exact same reasons why we have

15:20

still despite all of the

15:22

incredible medical stuff

15:25

that's happened, and despite

15:27

how many lives are saved now that wouldn't

15:29

have been saved in the past, we still

15:31

have these huge disparities, and we still

15:34

have people dying who shouldn't be dying

15:36

because either they're the wrong

15:38

color, or they're in a place where they

15:40

seem like they're the wrong color, or

15:43

they're in a place that's so economically

15:45

marginalized that you

15:48

know, they can't get to a trauma center, probably

15:51

because that area was the wrong color at

15:53

some point, and it's just

15:57

it's heartbreaking, but it's still the reality.

15:59

Yeah, this reminds me of

16:02

and I think I'm getting this right, something

16:04

I read years ago about what is the

16:06

in fact, what is the effect of enrichment

16:09

programs on test score

16:12

gaps between black and white kids

16:15

and reading ritual programs

16:17

increase the testcore

16:19

gap, they don't decrease it, even though they're intended

16:22

to decrease it. But what they do is

16:24

if you give reading enrichment to someone who reads

16:27

a lot, they're going to

16:29

reap the most of that boost. If

16:31

you give a reading enrichment to someone doesn't read much,

16:34

they're not going to get much out of it because they're not reading

16:36

to begin with. So something

16:39

that we introduced as a way to narrow

16:41

the gap ends up widening the gap, which is a

16:43

reminder that not all innovations do what

16:46

we have an assumption. Sometimes I think that

16:49

the purpose of an innovation is to shrink

16:51

the gap between the haves and have nots. This

16:54

is so often violated that it's time

16:56

we shelve that notion and understand that

16:59

innovations are just energy.

17:01

You know, they can be put to whatever use we

17:03

want, and sometimes what they do is just turbocharge

17:06

existing inequities. And I think macare

17:09

is an example of this exact

17:11

thing. That you can't put

17:13

trauma centers everywhere too expensive.

17:16

You can only put them in places where you can justify

17:19

them economically. And what

17:21

are those places, Well, those are wealthy places. So

17:23

you put them in wealthy places, and they have the effect of

17:26

making the quality of healthcare

17:28

provided in wealthy places, which was already better

17:30

than everyone else everywhere else even better.

17:33

Right, So when everyone

17:35

who goes to a hospital gets you tod for a gun

17:38

shot dies, we don't

17:40

notice the difference between good hospitals and bad hospitals.

17:43

But when you put a trauma center in one of

17:45

those places and you don't have another one, then you begin to notice

17:47

it's a huge difference.

17:48

Right.

17:49

I was just at something when we were talking about AI,

17:52

and everyone's you know, we're obviously very excited

17:54

about the possibility

17:56

that AI will transform all

17:58

manner of things. It's really unclear

18:01

whether AI lifts all boats

18:03

equally, closes the gap

18:05

between haves and have nots, or widens the gap.

18:07

Patoo has no idea. Anyone

18:09

who tells you that they know which way it'll go, doesn't

18:12

you know, it was fooling you.

18:14

That's that's a very good point.

18:16

And I mean, if I had to bet on one outcome

18:18

or the other, I would say probably it's not going to

18:20

lift all boats equally, just because

18:23

also who's going to have access to AI,

18:26

right, and who's going to have access to

18:28

the technologies, and who's going to have the time

18:30

to learn how to use them? Yeah, so

18:33

who knows? Who knows?

18:35

On that one? I'm actually an optimist.

18:37

Good, I'm glad.

18:38

Well, at least I'll say this that over

18:42

time, I would expect it to

18:45

close the gap, not even

18:48

so quite explicitly. It's obvious

18:50

to me it lifts all boats. It's obviously

18:52

in the short term, people with access

18:54

to the technology will benefit the most. So I'm interested

18:57

in making a medium to long term. I

18:59

think in meetium to long term it does not merely

19:02

lift all boats. If I had to put

19:04

my money on something, I would

19:06

say it would close the gap that

19:09

the farmer in Bangladesh

19:13

benefits more from AI than the

19:16

than the factory farmer

19:19

with fifty million dollars in equipment

19:21

in Iowa.

19:22

I hope you're right.

19:23

These days, I'm only really optimistic about one thing, and

19:25

that's it. Everything else is bad.

19:28

All right, All right, well, well let's cling to that.

19:31

So now back to the optimistic

19:34

news of the trauma centers. But

19:37

I was one of the things that I am

19:39

curious about is how strongly

19:42

do you actually agree with this idea of moral

19:44

hazard that you raise

19:46

in relation to the

19:49

improvements and care, because

19:52

I don't know if I actually buy that.

19:54

You don't buy that. No, So the argument

19:56

was that doctors have become so

19:58

good at saving lives that

20:00

it's relieve the pressure on the

20:03

rest of society to do something real

20:06

about the gunman. Exactly that

20:09

if doctors had done nothing over

20:12

the last fifty years, this is the counterfactual

20:15

the murder rate would be. We

20:18

probably have four or five times of spending homicides

20:21

in a given year. Let's say we had, we'd have one hundred thousand homicides

20:23

as opposed to twenty thousand homicides. And

20:26

at one hundred thousand, the current

20:28

American policy set of policy positions

20:30

would be untenable. We would jump

20:33

up and down and say enough stuff. Now, do

20:35

I think that there is some truth in that? Yes.

20:38

However, then I

20:40

thought, after I'd finished the episode

20:43

and I was writing this next book, I'm working on

20:46

doing something on the opioid crisis, and I realized,

20:48

Oh, we're at one hundred

20:50

and twenty thousand

20:52

opioid whatever it is, one hundred and ten thousand opioid

20:55

deaths a year and hasn't

20:58

really moved the needle. We didn't even talk about it.

21:00

Yep.

21:01

So, and also, opioid

21:04

deaths are not dissimilar to

21:09

homicide deaths in a sense that it's clustered

21:11

in various parts of the country,

21:14

various slightly younger age groups.

21:17

You know, the fact that we spend an enormous amount

21:19

of time arguing about mass shootings

21:21

when mass shootings are what, less than one

21:23

percent of total homicide deaths in a

21:26

given year, and very little time on the

21:28

remaining ninety nine percent, suggests

21:30

to me that maybe it wouldn't make a

21:32

difference. Maybe the moral hazard thing is just a kind

21:34

of intellectual nicety. The

21:37

opioid thing would suggest that if

21:40

it's the wrong people dying, really

21:42

hard to get people upset.

21:44

Yeah, I mean, that's, to be perfectly

21:46

honest, that's exactly what I was thinking when I

21:48

was listening to this. I was saying, I actually think the moral

21:50

hazard argument is bullshit, and

21:52

that we wouldn't care, and

21:55

that it's just these days we

21:57

also are so immune

21:59

to a lot of this stuff where

22:01

you're just like, oh, yeah, you know, I

22:03

guess more people are dying.

22:05

And here's the

22:08

so here's the let me make a let me return,

22:10

let me do another backflip and say,

22:13

Okay, here's here's here's

22:16

a here's a moral hazard argument, And maybe

22:18

that it's a it's a mechanism argument. So

22:21

moral hazard is as a term

22:24

is used most frequently in the insurance industry.

22:27

If I ensure you against a risk, I

22:29

make your motivation

22:32

to avoid that risk, I diminish your

22:35

class. Example would be you live in a flood

22:37

zone and I

22:40

give you flood insurance, or the federal government you

22:43

know, provides flood insurance. Nobody

22:45

moves from South Beach. Yep, logically

22:48

you should live in South Peach. In fact, they're building.

22:50

They built billions of dollars in luxury

22:52

house against South Beach in the last ten years, precisely

22:55

because the builders are and

22:57

the not not just builders, the

23:00

purchasers of those apartments are reasonably

23:02

sure that in the event of an environmental catastrophe,

23:04

they will be bailed out by the government. So why not

23:06

why not live in paradise until you get there? The

23:09

answer to that is that

23:12

just because one institution

23:14

or body insures against risk

23:17

and provides a mechanism for moral hazard

23:19

doesn't mean everybody does. So what's

23:21

happening in Miami is that sure,

23:25

if the hurricane wipes out your house,

23:27

the Feds may bail you out, or the statement bail

23:29

you out. But in the meantime,

23:32

no private insurer is

23:34

writing you up policy, right,

23:36

so you're other self assuring or you're naked.

23:39

The cycling that's happening that I suspect

23:41

may soon happen, and there are people talking

23:43

about this now, is maybe

23:46

when you buy a house in

23:49

South Beach, the mortgage

23:52

rate is three points higher,

23:54

maybe it's ten percent. Maybe the bank

23:56

just says, you know what, why am I

23:59

writing a mortgage for an

24:01

apartment in South Beach that's the same

24:03

as an apartment on a mountaintop

24:06

in Maine when the odds

24:08

that one will be swept away in a hurricane are

24:11

a thousand times higher than the other. But

24:13

really, by a quirk of history, we have

24:15

national mortgage rates. Why

24:18

are mortgage rates national if risks are not

24:20

equal across What happens

24:22

when we start localizing mortgage rates. That

24:24

is a way in which moral hazard

24:27

problems can be corrected

24:29

by the market. Right, But it's

24:31

a very.

24:31

Different kind of moral hazard. Right. It's actually

24:34

you can't draw this then

24:36

equivalence there, because one is a personal

24:38

choice you're making, right, You're you're

24:41

choosing to buy a house knowing that it'll

24:43

be fine or not. The other one

24:45

is the way that you're looking at policy legislation

24:48

where you don't think it applies to you, where

24:52

oh, well, you know, I'm

24:54

not the one dying, or

24:57

you know, I think I think it's a it's a slightly

24:59

different decision making calculus. And in

25:02

one case, you're talking about kind

25:04

of discretionary spending.

25:07

I mean, obviously having houses

25:09

isn't discretionary, but you know what I mean buying

25:11

but buying a condown in South Beach certainly is

25:14

versus you know, life

25:16

and death and policies

25:19

that are on a more

25:22

fundamental global based.

25:25

Yes, But here my point was I should

25:27

restate my point. My point is that moral

25:32

hazard is a term that applies

25:34

to any kind of policy

25:37

that removes the kind

25:39

of necessary pressure for behavioral

25:42

change. Sure, my point is, using

25:44

the mortgage example, was that just because

25:48

one mechanism removes pressure doesn't

25:50

mean there are other mechanisms that can't exert it.

25:52

So and you can see that with housing. What

25:55

I'm wondering is, in the case of if

25:57

we had one hundred thousand homicide

25:59

deaths every year, or if

26:02

we continue to have these one hundred and whatever

26:05

plus, is

26:08

there another mechanism by which on

26:11

a non effected populations might

26:13

be affected. So

26:17

you can imagine if

26:19

you live in downtown

26:21

San Francisco and

26:24

you see the results

26:26

on a day to day basis of what the

26:28

opioid crisis is doing to vulnerable

26:31

communities, that's a kind of pressure.

26:33

Sure, So what if what

26:36

if I imagine that you're the way

26:38

you think about the opioid crisis if you live

26:40

in downtown Sanrancisco, it's very different

26:42

than if you lived in Marine County. So

26:45

what happens if Marine County starts

26:47

to look like downtown San Francisco.

26:49

In other words, there is not it's

26:51

not absolutely clear to me that the kinds of pressures

26:55

that would change people's thinking

26:58

in a place are always going to be confined

27:01

to downtown San Francisco and downtown

27:03

LA And right, there's a there

27:05

could be there's a scenario where people living

27:07

in suburban enclaves begin to

27:10

be confronted with the consequences

27:12

of social policies in a way that they're not now right,

27:16

Sure, Sure.

27:17

I mean I get that argument, and

27:19

I think and I think that that's actually that

27:21

that's a valid argument. But I just don't see,

27:24

you know, how we're going to get without

27:27

massive horrible things happening to the world.

27:29

How we're going to get more in county looking like downtown

27:31

San Francisco. It's just a you

27:34

know, it's a it's a nice what if exercise,

27:36

but but it doesn't seem like an actual

27:38

solution.

27:42

We are going to take a little break and be back with

27:44

some final thoughts.

27:57

So so we had you know, we've talked about

28:00

a lot of problems, and

28:02

so we had one letter that finally

28:04

turns to the question of okay, so what do

28:06

we do? But here's here's what this

28:09

letter from South Carolina asks. My

28:12

request is this, I need help

28:14

with the So now, what if

28:16

Malcolm were in charge of this topic, what

28:18

would he do? Copy Canada's

28:20

rules, build a new hospital in Chicago

28:22

in a certain gun violence prone area, force

28:26

all cities to report bullet contact injuries

28:28

and not just fatalities. So I'm Malcolm,

28:31

You're now in charge of this.

28:34

Well, all of those

28:36

things. I mean, I

28:38

think we have to accept rist fall that there's no one

28:41

there is no one thing we can do here. Probably

28:44

have to do twenty things. The

28:47

big my big takeaway

28:49

from doing that series was I came

28:51

away fundamentally disillusioned. In

28:54

the power of conventional

28:57

government approaches to solve the problem. I

29:00

don't. Actually, I was struck in talking to people

29:02

who are on the front lines of this epidemic

29:05

how infrequently people talked about gun

29:07

control. I mean, they talked about in passing, but it

29:09

is just not The majority

29:12

of gun violence in this country

29:14

is people to people with the

29:16

legal guns. You can change, you can

29:18

pass all the laws you want. They're

29:20

not being touched by that. I mean, there are little things

29:22

Washington could do around the margin, but just

29:25

changing the conversation so

29:28

that we're not arguing in the abstract about

29:31

which law does this and which law does that. A

29:34

couple of seasons ago, I did this episode on homelessness

29:38

and they spent a lot of time in Jacksonville, Florida,

29:40

which has an exemplary homelessness program,

29:43

by the way, and someone involved

29:45

that program said, we had this conversation which

29:48

I didn't use in the episode. I've thought about

29:50

all the times long time since. She

29:52

said, you know, they do account of their homeless

29:54

populationship, so they have a really really accurate picture

29:56

going back for years how their population

29:59

has fluctuated over time. And she

30:01

said, you know, there aren't more homeless

30:04

in Jacksonville today than there were five

30:07

years ago. In fact, is less, but

30:09

they're more visible. And then she went

30:11

into the long discussion of why

30:14

all the reasons why they might be more visible, and

30:17

it was really interesting to me because we

30:20

do make this mistake where we confuse

30:23

the severity of a problem with the visibility of

30:25

a problem. And

30:27

the thing that causes pressure is

30:29

not severity, it's visibility. And

30:32

so when the homeless are visible in

30:34

Jacksonville, you get movement

30:37

behind it. So now when the problem is

30:39

it's actually small than it used to be in the past, but

30:41

there's urgency now because they're visible, and

30:44

when it was this huge problem that was hidden, there

30:46

wasn't the same kind of So like that

30:49

distinction so often

30:51

I think allied that distinction

30:53

between urgency and visibility.

30:56

So I think, though, what I hope to get from the series

30:59

is not that it pass a law or

31:01

ban ar fifteens or whatever. I

31:03

think I just wanted to make the problem more visible.

31:06

The last episode is called sin is the Failure

31:08

to Bother. To Kat, I'm not so interested

31:11

in what people decide to do to solve the problem,

31:13

because there's a million ways to get it the problem. It's

31:16

not even just one problem. I'm mainly

31:18

interested in trying to get people to care and

31:21

to think clearly about what they're caring

31:23

about.

31:25

On that really really happy note,

31:27

thank you for an inspiring and

31:30

optimistic conversation. By the way,

31:32

we're probably you know, we don't have time. But

31:34

I loved the Shockley episode. I

31:37

thought it was so much fun and

31:39

I hope people listen to the end. That

31:41

last sentence. Just what

31:45

an amazing, amazing reveal. I

31:47

mean, Freud would have just like been been

31:50

there. Oh

31:52

Freud's back in a big way,

31:55

but it was. It was such a great episode. I

31:57

love it. Thank you, Ray, all right, thanks

31:59

Malcolm.

32:02

This episode of Revisionist History was

32:04

produced by ben A, daph Haffrey, Tali

32:06

Emlin, and Jacob Smith. Editing by

32:09

Serah Nix, original scoring by

32:11

Luis Kira, mastering by Jake Gorski,

32:13

an engineering by Nina Lawrence.

32:16

I'm Malcolm Cloudwell.

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