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Banks Are Finally Realizing What Climate Change Will Do to Housing

Banks Are Finally Realizing What Climate Change Will Do to Housing

Released Tuesday, 18th June 2024
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Banks Are Finally Realizing What Climate Change Will Do to Housing

Banks Are Finally Realizing What Climate Change Will Do to Housing

Banks Are Finally Realizing What Climate Change Will Do to Housing

Banks Are Finally Realizing What Climate Change Will Do to Housing

Tuesday, 18th June 2024
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Episode Transcript

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Wireless. European

10:00

Mortgage Federation, European Covered Bond Council,

10:02

says there are huge risks to

10:04

economic productivity if people can't secure

10:06

homes that protect them from the

10:08

worst effects of climate change. In

10:11

Heat Waves, he notes worker productivity falls,

10:13

meaning a negative impact on GDP. Conversely,

10:16

he speaks of a kind of energy

10:18

retrofit butterfly effect. If people make their

10:20

home cheaper to cool or heat, perhaps

10:22

they will save money, which they may

10:24

spend on other things, their children's education

10:27

say, which in turn improves their children's

10:29

chances of a comfortable life and

10:31

maybe of buying a climate-safe home themselves in

10:33

the future. But there

10:35

is still perhaps a sluggishness to recognize

10:38

the storm that is coming. Energy

10:41

efficiency does little to protect properties from

10:43

the sharper effects of climate change, stronger

10:46

storms, rising seas, wildfires, and floods.

10:49

As governments become unable to cover the

10:51

costs of these disasters, lenders and insurers

10:53

will likely end up exposed to the

10:55

risks. The US National

10:57

Flood Insurance Program, for instance, is already

11:00

creaking under the weight of rising debt.

11:03

As the damage piles up, it

11:05

could well be that the markets

11:07

will become more efficient and the

11:09

incentives to harden properties become stronger

11:11

because nobody's bailing you out anymore,

11:13

says Rolf Thummey at Imperial College

11:15

London, who consults for insurance firms.

11:18

Ultimately, climate change impacts on housing will

11:20

force some to move elsewhere, suggests Burt.

11:23

Given the irrevocability of some scenarios,

11:25

such as coastal villages that could

11:27

be lost to the sea, or

11:29

communities that become doomed to endless

11:31

drought, there are some assets

11:33

that no amount of hardening or retrofit

11:35

will ever save. The structural

11:38

utility of these properties will, like

11:40

water in a drying oasis, simply

11:42

evaporate. To lessen the

11:44

burden on people who are most at risk

11:46

of losing their home to climate change, affordable

11:48

loans might one day be targeted at consumers

11:51

in these areas to help them move to

11:53

safer places, says Burt. Lenders

11:55

who don't take this approach and who

11:57

continue offering mortgages on homes destined come

12:00

to climate change may soon rue the

12:02

day. If you're trying to support

12:04

those markets, Bert says, you're throwing good

12:06

money after bad. Thanks

12:09

for listening to Wired. My name is Zeke

12:11

Robison, and for more stories like this one,

12:13

visit us at wired.com. Like

12:16

what you learned? Subscribe everywhere you

12:19

listen to podcasts and get

12:21

more science news at wired.com/science.

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