Episode Transcript
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Wireless. European
10:00
Mortgage Federation, European Covered Bond Council,
10:02
says there are huge risks to
10:04
economic productivity if people can't secure
10:06
homes that protect them from the
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worst effects of climate change. In
10:11
Heat Waves, he notes worker productivity falls,
10:13
meaning a negative impact on GDP. Conversely,
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he speaks of a kind of energy
10:18
retrofit butterfly effect. If people make their
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home cheaper to cool or heat, perhaps
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they will save money, which they may
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spend on other things, their children's education
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say, which in turn improves their children's
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chances of a comfortable life and
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maybe of buying a climate-safe home themselves in
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the future. But there
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is still perhaps a sluggishness to recognize
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the storm that is coming. Energy
10:41
efficiency does little to protect properties from
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the sharper effects of climate change, stronger
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storms, rising seas, wildfires, and floods.
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As governments become unable to cover the
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costs of these disasters, lenders and insurers
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will likely end up exposed to the
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risks. The US National
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Flood Insurance Program, for instance, is already
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creaking under the weight of rising debt.
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As the damage piles up, it
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could well be that the markets
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will become more efficient and the
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incentives to harden properties become stronger
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because nobody's bailing you out anymore,
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says Rolf Thummey at Imperial College
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London, who consults for insurance firms.
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Ultimately, climate change impacts on housing will
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force some to move elsewhere, suggests Burt.
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Given the irrevocability of some scenarios,
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such as coastal villages that could
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be lost to the sea, or
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communities that become doomed to endless
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drought, there are some assets
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that no amount of hardening or retrofit
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will ever save. The structural
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utility of these properties will, like
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water in a drying oasis, simply
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evaporate. To lessen the
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burden on people who are most at risk
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of losing their home to climate change, affordable
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loans might one day be targeted at consumers
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in these areas to help them move to
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safer places, says Burt. Lenders
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who don't take this approach and who
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continue offering mortgages on homes destined come
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to climate change may soon rue the
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day. If you're trying to support
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those markets, Bert says, you're throwing good
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money after bad. Thanks
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for listening to Wired. My name is Zeke
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Robison, and for more stories like this one,
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visit us at wired.com. Like
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what you learned? Subscribe everywhere you
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listen to podcasts and get
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more science news at wired.com/science.
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