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the best people. Guaranteed. Hello
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from Washington, I'm Chuck Todd and this is
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the Chuck Toddcast. So my guest today is
0:41
Jonah Goldberg. It's kind of what
0:43
some in our space might say an emergency podcast
0:45
type of thing. This is one of those I
0:47
beg Jonah to come on because this has been
0:50
one of the weirder weeks. Jonah of course is
0:52
the co-founder, editor-in-chief of The Dispatch. Generally
0:54
one of the smartest columnists working today
0:57
and he wrote something that I want to
0:59
dig into but before we get started I
1:01
do want to remind you stick around. We
1:03
have a listener question. I always love it
1:05
when my producers want to call it a
1:07
viewer question. It's like I don't ever
1:09
want viewers of this podcast. No video. Nobody needs to
1:11
see what Jonah and I look like and
1:15
please remember to submit your questions to
1:18
vchucktoddcast.gmail.com and don't forget
1:20
the the the. But
1:23
the reason I wanted to talk to Jonah is because this has been and
1:27
as I previewed this for him he said don't jinx it
1:29
but this has been perhaps one of
1:31
the weirdest week we've had in a long time.
1:34
A brain-eating parasite in Robert F Kennedy
1:36
Jr. Stormy Daniels is testifying the day
1:38
Israel goes into Rafa. A
1:41
sidebar story was Marjorie Taylor Greene trying to
1:43
get rid of another speaker of the house.
1:45
We have a U.S. senator who decided it would be
1:48
good politics for him to hang out
1:50
at a hush money trial with Donald Trump.
1:53
A member of Congress is saying that the Ku Klux
1:55
Klan is the military wing of the Democratic Party. I
1:57
don't know if Jonah saw that one this week. That
1:59
was Scott Perry. His I'm He's
2:01
convinced that that's what's really happening and that replacement
2:03
theory, of course, is real. It
2:06
it's just and and Johnny was writing about all
2:08
of those topics. But. The. Year that
2:10
the the brain eating parasite I think triggered
2:12
him as well and was sort of the
2:14
whole mess of this week's. Really?
2:18
Anna want to quote him to him before
2:20
every bring a month and forces in. I'm
2:22
Mm taken away his best lines but I
2:24
doubt that on, but he ended his columnist
2:26
ways with. My basic point is, where is
2:28
this? Our politics are so stupid right now
2:30
because the elites with the loudest voices in
2:33
academia, politics, and media don't like the idea
2:35
of normalcy and normal politics. Elite universities are
2:37
in this mess because they got high in
2:39
our own supplies. and the faculty lounge. political
2:41
elites on the left and right. They
2:44
get high on their own supply and cable tv. Green rooms.
2:46
And. On Twitter or what used to be
2:48
Twitter x Both parties trade power in Washington
2:50
because they win by promising to be more
2:52
normal than the other party. But. Once
2:55
in power, they don't behave normally. So.
2:57
The voter throw them out and give the other party a
2:59
chance. At. Feeling advancing. The
3:02
Silent Majority in America is neither a
3:04
reserve army of would be socialist or
3:06
nationalist proletariat, it of assay of normal
3:08
people wanting politicians to be normal to.
3:11
Jonah you at eight? you if. I
3:14
see like you ever found a voice in this
3:16
era in in this that we've been in for
3:18
for some time. I mean I think. It.
3:20
Is clear when you last fox for what
3:23
they were doing it you know, Vince, Your,
3:25
your, you were at. See yourself. I think
3:27
of where the Republican party in the conservative
3:29
movement is going. And I really think though
3:31
that. You. Been capturing the Zeit
3:33
guys to sort of. Abnormal.
3:36
And and I do think that political media
3:38
in general has normalized some really bad behavior.
3:41
And. That's what. Why? The Dispatch was
3:43
founded. That's. You know
3:45
some of the. Fantasies.
3:47
i have as being the samuel l
3:49
jackson of the media going enough is
3:51
enough for let's get these mf snakes
3:53
off this mf plane you know arm
3:55
which is why i feel about these
3:57
political extremists that have hijacked everything on
4:01
But do we laugh or cry? Hello,
4:04
both, I think. I mean, and first of all, thanks for having me. And
4:07
let me put it this way. I
4:09
have a particular peeve, personal grievance about
4:11
all of this, because for most of
4:13
my career, I was
4:16
the guy that the normal people, the responsible
4:18
people would say, hey, Jonah, maybe you should
4:21
rein it in a little bit, or that
4:23
goes too far, or that joke's a little
4:26
iffy. I missed those days, right? I
4:28
do too. I was presented, that was my lane.
4:31
And then the problem was that
4:34
I got laughed by all of these
4:36
people that didn't have
4:38
a leash.
4:42
My leash was I wanted to be on the outer
4:44
edge of being funny or weird
4:47
or whatever of normalcy. My
4:50
center of gravity for American politics was
4:52
still normal stuff. And
4:54
then all of a sudden with the rise of Trump, and
4:57
also I have to say it probably goes back to
4:59
Occupy Wall Street and the Tea Party stuff, but the
5:02
rise of Trump all of a sudden made people
5:04
want to
5:07
overturn norms. I
5:10
know it's supposed to be about norms that makes people
5:12
angry, at least on my former side. And
5:16
they wanted everything to be an open, that
5:21
you could question the elites, you could float
5:24
conspiracy theories, you didn't have to care about
5:26
facts and stuff. And what I resent is
5:28
being put in the frickin' position of being
5:30
like the finger wagging cold saying, stop this.
5:34
That's not my lane. But a lot of the people who used
5:36
to lecture me about that kind of thing, Bill
5:39
Bennett type saying, hey, don't work blue on my
5:41
radio show. They
5:44
all embraced all that stuff. And it left people like
5:46
me and Steve Hayes and a few other people to
5:48
say, I guess we're the
5:50
ones who are going to have to pick up the banner
5:52
of stop taking crazy
5:54
pills. And this is, I mean,
5:57
I could bring up what's going on between.
6:00
break in Kendrick Lamar, I
6:02
guess. I'm tiptoeing on this
6:04
because I don't follow it, but the fact that
6:06
this is even a thing, I think
6:08
it shows you what screwed up about our culture in
6:11
that, you know, this whole crazy
6:15
is rewarded, abnormal
6:17
is rewarded, and normal
6:19
is punished. Normal isn't
6:21
watched. There's no ratings for normal,
6:24
right? There's no, and
6:26
this is why our politics
6:28
are who, you know, this
6:30
sort of input-output, and I kind
6:32
of think, you know, I mean, I look at the, I
6:35
look at, we did a crosstab of your
6:37
media diet and your presidential vote, and it
6:39
turns out you are what you watch. Yeah,
6:42
no, I think that's right. And they are what you watch, so
6:44
like, I think I have a pretty good
6:46
record of not being a Marxist, but
6:50
sort of one of the sort of classic
6:52
sort of Marxist or neo-Marxist, whatever, interpretations
6:55
of late capitalism is that
6:58
the technology, the
7:01
industrial system that we live
7:03
in, manufactures consent and
7:06
channels people into all sorts of modes
7:08
of thinking that supports the regime.
7:10
I don't want to get too deep in the weeds
7:12
of Frankfurt School of this or whatever, but there's kind
7:15
of a Marxist analysis to do of all this, which
7:17
is that, you know, Marshall McLuhan, I'm not
7:19
calling him a Marxist, but Marshall McLuhan said, you know, the
7:21
medium is the message. And
7:24
when we were growing up, you know, because
7:26
Gen X were the best generation because we
7:28
grew up in an
7:30
era of basically there was still
7:33
a broad
7:37
popular culture that everyone tapped into.
7:40
Right. And so I think that's enough to sort
7:42
of navigate the transition to the sort
7:44
of balkanization of the culture in a way. And
7:50
but the technology of social
7:52
media, of streaming, of bespoke
7:54
media consumption, both news and
7:56
everything else, it creates
7:58
an environment where everybody's, you know, Everybody gets to
8:00
go find
8:02
the crazy that ratifies
8:05
and reaffirms their
8:07
crazy. Which means they think they're mainstream.
8:10
That's right. Yeah. Because all
8:12
they do is they're just hearing from people that
8:14
agree with them. So I'm not crazy anymore. Right.
8:17
Because look at all this. Right. And
8:19
so there's a thing in sociology called Dunbar's number that
8:21
our brains are actually only wired to know people as
8:23
real people of about 150 to 200 people. And
8:27
everybody else is sort of an abstract other kind of
8:29
thing. And one of the problems that
8:32
you get is that you can
8:34
pick almost any conceivable topic
8:38
and find 200 people, nevermind 2000 people
8:41
on the internet who agree with you. So
8:44
all of a sudden, this is not a
8:46
great analogy, but I think
8:48
it illustrates things. It's a flawed analogy, but it illustrates
8:50
things. If you were
8:53
a pedophile 100 years ago or
8:55
50 years ago, it
8:57
probably took you considerable work to
8:59
find other pedophiles. Right. It
9:01
was all underground. It was like weird
9:03
magazines that are illegal. Can't
9:05
use the mails, that kind of stuff. There's a
9:07
lot of sort of like testing out conversations with
9:09
creepy people, that kind of thing. But
9:13
now you can find people who say,
9:15
hey, you're not alone. You're not weird.
9:19
And by the way, they ratifies you.
9:21
Levi Paraisza, who's a big progressor, founded
9:23
MoveOn, he actually wrote a book about
9:25
this I think it was like 10
9:27
years ago, 15 years ago now, where
9:29
he used the example of 9-11 trutherism.
9:33
And that if you just sort of 9-11 is a
9:35
hoax or something like that and you put that in
9:37
Google, he was talking then about how just and this
9:39
was about how he was trying to
9:41
make the case that, look, the tech companies have some responsibility
9:43
here. And he
9:45
said, you don't seem crazy if
9:47
you put it in Google and you see the
9:49
50 different links,
9:52
you know, writing similarly about what you
9:54
think you think. Same thing with like
9:56
the fake moon landing. I mean, you go down a long list of
9:58
this kind of stuff. And then it, you know,
10:01
but what makes everything- We have
10:03
flattened, I don't even, we
10:06
have flattened language, right? There's no truth
10:08
or false, it's just language, I guess.
10:11
And also, again, getting back to the technology
10:13
thing, the ability
10:16
to manipulate stuff on screens,
10:19
from just moving text around, never mind fixing pictures. They
10:21
brag about it. The Apple, the new phones, they brag
10:24
about, hey, look, I can, when you throw your kid
10:26
up in the air, have you seen that ad where
10:28
they show you this cool
10:31
technology to edit your photos? Yeah. They
10:34
show somebody throwing their kid up in the air, and
10:36
then they pause it, and then they
10:38
move the kid even higher. Yeah. So
10:40
it looks like you've thrown your kid up higher
10:42
and caught it, and like, hey, buy this phone,
10:44
you can do this too. Right. And
10:46
so the problem is that we don't, when
10:49
you intermediate almost everything we get through
10:51
screens, the screens
10:53
seem, it's like Plato's Cave, you start to think that what
10:55
you see on the screen is the reality. And
10:58
when the stuff on the screen is super manipulatable, you
11:01
start to internalize that and start thinking
11:03
reality is kind of manipulable. And
11:05
it just breaks down the barrier between
11:07
reality and sort of fiction in ways
11:09
that I don't think we've really thought
11:11
through or come to completely understand. And
11:14
then there's this added problem that turbocharges everything, which
11:16
we have got incredibly
11:19
irresponsible elites who
11:21
have figured out how to monetize all of
11:23
this stuff. Right? The biggest
11:26
small donor people
11:28
in Congress are the ones who,
11:31
you know, Marjorie Taylor Green, AOC,
11:33
right? They're not interested in moving
11:36
actual legislation and working the legislative
11:38
process. They're interested in speaking over
11:41
the heads of the mainstream media to
11:43
their narrow casted focus groups,
11:45
cultivated, acquired audiences, and getting
11:47
donations at 10 and 15 bucks a
11:50
month at a time out of them. And so you
11:52
have this collective action problem. Donald Trump, I mean, I think
11:54
no one's going to argue with me, at least on this
11:57
podcast, about Him being irresponsible elite. I
11:59
Just watched a video. Him excoriating
12:01
Robert F. Kennedy. Ah,
12:04
because he's lying when he says he's a real
12:06
anti vax or and that he's faking it and
12:08
it is is is just a political opportunists, is
12:10
not a. Are authentic, Anti
12:12
Vax or and this the guy now
12:14
trump loses his mister or operation warp
12:17
Speed right? But the it feels no
12:19
compunction, know reluctance to sort of just
12:21
say whatever works for Moon pander to
12:23
the audience and embrace, but I think
12:25
is fundamentally kind of an evil position
12:27
in the first place. Ah, I'm. For.
12:30
Personal benefit. That's not what. President's.
12:32
How presents are supposed to behave. And
12:35
yet there's no. but did this goes
12:37
back to we've lost be accountability infrastructure.
12:39
There. Was, as you said when it was
12:42
a collective culture, there was also a
12:44
collective sort of accountability infrastructure whenever that
12:46
is. You. Know which was.
12:49
Which. Is to say that you're like oh Bill
12:51
Cosby bad person We all agree. Rep right? Like
12:53
you know where where Now I don't. you know?
12:56
You know, one of my favorite examples of how this
12:58
is truly changed and where I think you can. You.
13:01
Can run for office now and just deny anything.
13:04
On the Bernie Marina. Campaign
13:06
and on Have you followed The end of that
13:08
primary campaign? there was a. There
13:11
was a oh and account you oh
13:13
clearly bonobo dump were burning. Marino had
13:15
a an adult friend finder, accounts or
13:18
right mail like a dating her dying
13:20
rates and he just simply said oh
13:22
somebody made it as a joke. And
13:26
is you know, had enough people say
13:28
it reinforces. Maybe that is what it
13:30
was ripe. The point was in our
13:32
it in this fragmented culture you can.
13:34
You can create your own truth. You
13:37
can create your own everything without ever
13:39
having to face any skepticism. That.
13:41
Might be there if we were in more of a
13:43
collective culture. I mean look, I'll give you know one
13:45
here on Kennedy. Not. Bugs me
13:47
about the feel sorry for the weird pun
13:49
there. But me about the year worm parasites
13:52
story. Isn't the only version of
13:54
events that we have. Version of this story
13:56
that we have is from Kennedy. Is
13:59
in. And I'm still trying to figure
14:01
out why the reporter in the New York Times didn't try to
14:03
find out why was it so important in
14:05
his divorce deposition that he have a faulty memory.
14:09
That's a good point. You know, so and oh
14:11
by the way, how come we didn't talk to
14:13
any doctor that actually diagnosed this? How
14:15
come we didn't, you know, and
14:18
I don't know why he would make up this story? So
14:21
that may be why you're like, well, why
14:23
would somebody make up this story? But there was
14:25
no, like it's the strangest thing where everybody just
14:27
ran wild with it. We have
14:29
no cooperation anywhere. Yeah. Well,
14:31
I mean, our baroque Kristi Noem, right? I mean, like she
14:35
shot her dog, bragged about it in her
14:37
own book. And
14:41
there was a time when, first of all, when
14:44
a candidate would have listened
14:46
to her advisors who said, A, don't
14:50
tell this story, or B, if you're going to tell
14:52
this story, don't tell it this way, right?
14:54
And then completely blows up in her face. And
14:59
she's utterly shameless about like just pressing on
15:01
with the book tour and trying to
15:04
turn it into a thing. I mean, this
15:06
is sort of one of my great frustrations
15:08
with the sort of the sort of MAGA
15:11
write crowd these days is she
15:13
screws up. She's not
15:15
being quoted out of context. Like it's literally her book,
15:17
which she wrote her own audio tape for. Raw audio
15:20
book. I love that. I love that you said
15:22
where she read the audio book because we now know she didn't write it.
15:25
For sure. Right. But she
15:27
did read it. Yeah. And I come from that
15:29
old school world of journalism where if you put your name on it in
15:32
the byline or the author title, it's yours. And
15:35
she just- By the way, have you ever thought of holding
15:38
fundraising emails that politicians sign their
15:41
actual words and make them own those quotes? That
15:43
would be good. I've always thought
15:46
about every time I used to prep on me, hey,
15:48
let's do this with a fun- and you realize it's not
15:50
going to go anywhere. But I've always been tempted. Politicians
15:54
put their name on These fundraising
15:56
and they're like, they say the dumbest things.
15:58
Yeah, yeah, yeah. In any promise
16:00
me I stopped. I still want to know
16:03
why I'm a bit of free speech guy
16:05
and all that stuff. but like. Why?
16:08
Can you promise? You know, Ten
16:11
X matching if you donate Now. right?
16:14
A system is like secure. These people
16:16
mad. Isn't it illegal? Legal.
16:18
Is a the promise of this? You're absolutely right The
16:20
Turks I everytime I see that of my were at
16:22
that would be illegal. With. Some is
16:24
this must mean the caps right mm thick and
16:27
somebody like be mathematically impossible for like of I
16:29
max out to you you can't ten x my
16:31
met my my max out without breaking the law
16:33
right? right? Yeah, and I just like, but they
16:36
said they get away with it and all that and but
16:38
I'm going to get to the broader point. I mean. You
16:42
know there was a reason why Ron Paul when
16:44
he had those Races newsletters. Had.
16:46
To put him out as
16:48
basically mineo grasp, you know,
16:51
sonos.on because. Back.
16:53
In today's a gatekeepers and are a lot of problems
16:55
without I there's a in I I'm but. As
16:58
long record of being a media critic about what
17:00
does the old sort of liberal mainstream media monopoly
17:02
got away with him You know what does a
17:04
lot of things to be pointed out about the
17:06
flaws of it's but at the same time if
17:08
I really must Buckley in a hands George Will
17:11
on handful of other people said this person's a
17:13
crackpot. They were getting on
17:15
meet the press they were writing for National
17:17
Review. They were getting an op ed in
17:19
the Last Imposed and the gatekeepers has the
17:21
ability to sort of. Can
17:23
find the the realm of acceptable
17:26
speeds and many of the reinforce
17:28
this point Megan Mcardle makes is
17:30
like. Back. In
17:32
the days of a common culture when newspapers were
17:34
king, Advertises.
17:38
for like in a home insurance
17:40
or her slow our did not
17:42
want some hard. Core.
17:44
Crazy marxist or Nazi or
17:46
something. Writing. Op Eds.
17:49
And so there was this pressure of just sort of what
17:51
is the. Acceptable boundaries of
17:53
discourse kind of thing, and out.
17:55
There are no gatekeepers because that's the gates
17:58
don't matter is of and everyone can. Just
18:00
go straight over the head and send whatever
18:02
message they want. And their
18:04
incentive structure is not bound by like
18:06
rules of the core of normalcy or
18:09
a that's. What? Does it look
18:11
at the business model? like take the crazy
18:13
week I put in? Basically, if you're. In
18:16
a most of the Mit a major media
18:18
sites have only been able to cover to
18:20
stories. They've only acted as if there's only
18:22
two stories that exist. the Trump trial and
18:24
Israel and Gaza rep. you know, some derivative
18:26
of Us on it. There isn't Cm with
18:28
a meeting because campus stuff all that. but.
18:31
This. Is. At.
18:34
The. Inability to. Cover
18:37
other stuff. Man, and I
18:39
think that. That. Where.
18:43
I. Say this: You don't control your
18:45
distribution for the dispatch and we don't
18:47
control our distribution, right? You have to
18:49
somehow fit in. To. An algorithm for
18:51
one of the tech side so that that
18:53
maybe you can get in front of somebody
18:55
that should like your material. but you better
18:57
write your headline just the right way. In
18:59
all this stuff and and this is where
19:01
it feels like we're We've lost control of
19:03
this. right? Eat. The gatekeepers of
19:06
the are they are the tech algorithm
19:08
companies I think. And they're They're only
19:10
driven by audience. Yeah, other
19:12
women want to. Reasons why you design that
19:14
especially we did to be newsletters from first
19:16
is to get around some of that weird.
19:18
We are less interested in traffic for it's
19:21
own sake than a lot of places because
19:23
we don't do the program at Rak U.
19:25
major business model, not a traffic be because
19:27
the minute you rely on traffic, you gotta
19:29
write a lot more Barron Trump stories. Absolutely
19:31
right. The Barron Trump stories of a non
19:33
story. Okay, from. He's. Going to be
19:35
a delegate he's eighteen is the praise former
19:37
President Son is at his and holy s.
19:40
But. If it might got a got a lot
19:42
of traffic you're like wow, okay let's keep
19:44
doing it and us that aren't and it's
19:46
let's not a big stores. I would also
19:48
say again, I am. I'm trying very hard
19:50
to stay out of media criticism because I
19:53
think of sort of the lowest form of
19:55
journalism Know it's A. That's why I'm obsessed
19:57
with the tech companies because we're all stuck.
19:59
Having. To play by their rules of
20:01
traffic. And. Alpha and of
20:03
In of Thing and of the The
20:05
into the financial incentive structures that they
20:08
basically created by fi jacking the business
20:10
model of of Legacy Media. Yeah,
20:12
although I think there's probably less since
20:14
minutes. I don't think it's a conspiracy
20:17
by the big companies are not a
20:19
conspiracy. it's just driven by. It's more.
20:21
Profit. My more traffic steeping people
20:23
on platforms. No, I'm not. I'm not
20:26
creating a You know, I'm not trying
20:28
to be Robert Kennedy, your home and
20:30
place A It's just is right. This
20:32
is in. This is how markets work.
20:35
Yeah out but I'll I would also say and
20:37
this is why I brought up media criticism is
20:39
that. Not. Only are basically only
20:41
two. Stories. This week
20:43
I'm. I don't think they're being
20:45
covered very well and I save us. Embassy in
20:47
and guy, you're an embassy guy. I'm not going
20:49
to get into specific presented as a thing like
20:51
that, but like. I'm. There.
20:54
Was a time this gets it this sort
20:56
of no filter out throw out whatever he
20:58
wants. A time when
21:00
if people of college students
21:03
were out there openly embracing
21:05
an internationally and federally recognized.
21:08
Terrorist. Organization sinuous. That would be
21:10
news. And yet there's a lot a
21:13
cleanup. There's a lot of like, oh,
21:15
they're mostly peaceful. Oh, there. You
21:18
know this is just part of the grand
21:20
tradition of protest. like? okay, but when you're
21:22
actually saying gas The jews, that's not. Anything
21:25
other than what is right. the text is a
21:27
Texan, the statement like that and similarly on like
21:29
the trunk trial stuff. Particularly.
21:32
Cable television it is very difficult.
21:35
To find people who are saying.
21:37
Even if Trump is guilty of all this. Would.
21:40
Happen years like on the merits, like on
21:42
the actual our family business. Is
21:46
this really. A proper
21:48
use of our journalistic resources. Is
21:50
this a proper function of the
21:52
judicial system? I'm. You know, Basically.
21:55
They're taking to misdemeanors.
21:57
and multiplying them into a cell
22:00
felony and it
22:03
has not Worked to the
22:05
benefit of the people who think this was the thing that was
22:07
going to kill Trump in the first place But
22:09
the addiction to sort of covering this thing wall
22:11
to wall Regardless
22:14
of the actual Merit
22:16
legal merits of the case is
22:19
part of the fan. It's part of the audience capture problem,
22:21
too Well, look, I blame I blame
22:24
I Blame
22:27
this on the OJ coverage back
22:29
in the day because I think it changed
22:31
the mindset of news executives They found
22:33
out that you can make money on news if you
22:35
make it more compelling if you cover what people want
22:38
to watch it just changed it just
22:40
changed the mindset a little bit and
22:42
and You know when when
22:44
when a choice was made and and
22:46
at the end of the day All of
22:48
these cable channels say what's going to get us the most
22:51
eyeballs today? Yeah, right
22:53
and it's covering the trial. Let me ask you this
22:55
Do you think it'd be better or worse if this
22:57
were televised if the trial were televised? for
23:00
society Probably worse
23:04
So too I think look I Brian lamb
23:06
was a hero of mine Was
23:09
a lot that is just glorious about C-SPAN.
23:11
It was a mistake to put cameras in
23:13
Congress It would be a mistake to put
23:15
cameras in the Supreme Court Transparency
23:18
is are you good with audio? Like
23:20
I'm I actually split the difference. I
23:22
do not like TV I
23:24
think audio in the Supreme Court has been very helpful Yeah,
23:27
I generally do any and I think frankly
23:31
Having live audio all the time wouldn't
23:33
create the same theatrical problems that
23:36
television does. I think that's
23:38
right I think that's right and if that's
23:40
the compromise, I'm fine with it. But you
23:42
know the cameras
23:46
in congressional hearing stuff like
23:49
I remember when Bill Barr testified and
23:53
Over some very important issue that everybody agreed
23:55
on the left and the right was a
23:57
very important issue about the Mueller probe or
23:59
something that. And I watched
24:02
as every single
24:05
senator on both sides
24:08
just gave speeches that repeated what
24:10
the speeches from the other
24:12
people in their party said,
24:15
because each of them needed to send their
24:17
own video to their own constituents to raise
24:19
money off of. And no
24:21
one seemed at all interested
24:23
in actually asking Bill Barr any of
24:26
the questions that the hearing was for,
24:28
because that's sort of what cameras do,
24:30
and when aided with
24:32
particularly sort of the era of YouTube stuff, is
24:35
it's everyone's mugging for the
24:37
mob outside of the Capitol
24:39
rather than actually doing the
24:41
work. And I
24:44
think we see that problem all over the place. Let
24:47
me pause there for a minute. We'll be right back
24:49
after a quick break with more with Jonah Goldberg. You're
24:51
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T-Mobile and Verizon, January 2024. Let's
26:01
try to end where
26:04
you began, which is,
26:06
how do you think we should
26:08
bring normal back? And who's in
26:11
charge of this? I mean, and I
26:13
say, we all are, voters
26:15
could be, but how do we do it?
26:17
How do we create an
26:19
incentive structure for normal? Yeah,
26:22
I mean, I have a whole wish list. I would radically
26:25
change primaries. I think primaries were a
26:27
mistake. No party primaries, right? I'm
26:30
now, all, everybody needs to vote in
26:32
primaries. Or
26:34
California system, top two, what do you think? So
26:38
I'm okay with the
26:40
rank choice stuff or jungle. I mean, there are all
26:42
these different terms for the, but the basic idea is
26:44
an improvement over what we have now. But
26:47
I would argue in a lot of ways that the
26:50
72 starting with the McGovern stuff, but primaries
26:52
at all were a mistake. The
26:56
American Political Science Association in 1950 had this
26:58
major report where they said democracies are the
27:00
stuff that happens between the parties, not within
27:02
them. And we are
27:05
the first industrialized democracy in the
27:07
world whose parties
27:09
have voluntarily given up the ability to
27:11
pick their own candidates. And
27:13
we've outsourced it to the angriest people on the left and
27:15
the right who represent like 9% of
27:17
the electorate. And most of them don't like
27:19
their own parties. They just hate the
27:22
other party more, right? So primaries I
27:24
would do a lot with, and I
27:26
can go down a long list of things, but the
27:29
overall goal needs to be
27:31
to incentivize both parties to
27:34
try to be majority parties. I
27:37
used to call it the 60% thing. Something
27:40
happened in, I think 2004, I'm going to
27:42
throw an idea by in a second here
27:44
that I've been workshopping.
27:48
Bill Clinton wanted 60% approval rating. Okay.
27:52
Ronald Reagan always wanted a 60% approval rating. We
27:55
grew up in an era where that's when you knew
27:57
you were successful, 60, because
27:59
you You were getting people that approved of your job that were not going
28:01
to vote for you. That's
28:03
when you knew you were doing a good job. That was the
28:06
measure of it. And
28:09
I, micro-targeting, when
28:12
we learned too much about the voter, we
28:16
actually, campaigns became smarter, more efficient,
28:18
and they figured out persuasion's
28:21
unnecessary. The
28:23
best way to win a campaign is to get more
28:25
people who already support what you want out there. Just
28:28
go find those people. We changed the way we
28:30
looked for voters. And you and
28:32
I grew up in an era where the
28:34
October ads were all about trying to
28:36
win over. Remember, every October ad used
28:39
to be the Democratic senator talked about
28:41
all the Republicans they worked with and
28:43
the Republican incumbent talked about all the
28:45
Democrats they worked with because everybody
28:48
was on the assumption that the last 10% of
28:50
undecided voters were vacillating. And
28:52
obviously, we learned later that wasn't true.
28:54
Okay? I think that's never been true.
28:57
Most swing voters swing between voting and not voting. Right?
29:00
They're not actually vacillating between the two parties. There's
29:03
a slice. There's always a slice. But for
29:05
the most part, and then that
29:07
actually conditioned both parties to get
29:10
more partisan. I think that's
29:12
absolutely true. There's also just this theory of we turn
29:14
up the gain on our base and
29:16
that'll solve the problems. I
29:18
think, I want to be very clear, I'm against,
29:20
for constitutional reasons, mandatory voting. I don't think you
29:23
can compel people to vote. But I thought it
29:25
does, right? Australia does, yeah. But
29:29
as a thought experiment, if
29:31
everybody voted, all
29:33
of a sudden, politicians would
29:35
be incentivized to ignore
29:38
their base past a certain point and
29:40
try to solidify the big chunk in the
29:43
middle, which is what we grew up with. When
29:45
we grew up, you ran in the primaries a
29:47
little far to the left, if you were a Democrat and a
29:49
little far to the right, to get a
29:52
slice, a plurality of the base. And
29:54
then when you got the nomination, you
29:57
ran to the center because that's where the vote was. this
30:00
first? Like Nixon articulated, yeah, you run to the
30:02
right in primaries and then you run to the
30:04
center. I think it was, of all people, somebody
30:06
who's seen as a big partisan, but
30:08
Nixon also wanted to win. Yeah.
30:10
And look, Nixon understood American politics
30:13
really, really well. Really well. You
30:16
can room for ample criticism,
30:18
but this is a guy who was on
30:20
a lot of national tickets and took and
30:22
ran in California and understood politics really well.
30:24
And at the end of the day, the
30:29
way you get back to normal in politics, I mean, there's
30:31
all sorts of stuff in education and I
30:34
think Javan Heit with getting the phones out of
30:36
schools will be a long-term good thing and all
30:38
that. But the basic
30:41
way to think about it is how do
30:43
you create an
30:45
incentive for both parties to want
30:47
to be majority parties? Yeah.
30:50
And they don't right now and for
30:52
all sorts of institutional incentives and
30:54
collective action problems and they don't have
30:56
the ability to police their own members.
30:59
And so long as that is the case, everyone
31:01
is going to be running to be just
31:05
slightly less crazy than they're portraying the other
31:07
party to be. And then they do the
31:09
fan service and swing for the fences when
31:11
they get into power and they prove that
31:13
they're not normal either. And we
31:15
get this pendulum, we should not be trading the
31:17
White House and Congress as often as we have
31:19
been for the last 25 years. But that's what
31:21
you get when you're just trying to get to 50.1%
31:23
of the electorate. It's
31:26
funny you say that. This is why I constantly
31:28
worry that we're repeating the
31:31
period of politics that we had
31:33
between Andrew Jackson and Abraham Lincoln. And we
31:35
had seven presidents in 28 years because we
31:37
were constantly... The voters
31:39
were looking for somebody that would bring the country together
31:42
and that person would inevitably fail. And
31:45
then sometimes their own party data man, sometimes
31:47
they just didn't seek reelection, whatever it was.
31:50
It feels like we're in a similar era. I
31:53
agree. I mean, the era of good feelings, which
31:55
we all forget from AP history, was this period
31:57
where we didn't have two parties. And
32:00
so there was, everyone thought, oh, this will be
32:02
great. America will be unified. And it turns out
32:04
strong parties are really good for democracy
32:06
because what they do is they
32:09
protect their brand, they
32:12
discipline their, their Mavericks and
32:14
their irresponsible yahoos, and
32:16
they try to build majority coalitions. Weak
32:19
parties create strong partisanship because people internalize
32:21
this stuff and they don't want to
32:23
compromise. And so now we have this
32:25
situation where both parties are
32:27
basically free floating brand names and you
32:29
get the not Republican or Democratic nomination,
32:32
you're the party. And that's not the way it's supposed to be.
32:35
How do you tell people that anything's going to change
32:37
all that much no matter who
32:39
wins this election? When I
32:42
say change, I consider, I think we, there's,
32:44
it's a massive fork in the road on
32:46
American foreign policy. All right. I
32:48
want to, I'm going to sit that caveat aside. I'm not going to sit here
32:50
and say there's no difference between electing Biden and
32:52
electing Trump. That's not what I'm
32:54
saying. But is the country going
32:57
to be more unified after this election? No.
33:00
Exactly. And that is going to
33:02
be how, how do you
33:04
expect the public to react to the fact
33:06
that no matter what happens in
33:08
this election, we're going to be a pretty divided country. We're
33:11
not going to be happy about this. Yeah.
33:14
I mean, um, are
33:16
we the UK? Is that what's going to happen? Well,
33:19
it's funny. A lot of people in our politics want us
33:21
to be the UK. They run as if we're a parliamentary
33:23
democracy and we're not, right? You know, you have people running
33:25
in primaries saying on day one of my presidency. How many
33:27
prime ministers would we have had in the last 10 years
33:29
if we'd had a parliamentary system? Exactly. You
33:32
know, but in some ways that might've been good in so far as
33:34
like, sometimes you can
33:36
only learn your lessons by exhausting
33:38
all the stupid decisions. And
33:42
I thought that's what Churchill said about America. He
33:44
did, you know, or as Edmund Burke, founder of
33:47
modern conservatism said examples, the school of mankind and
33:49
he will learn it no other. But
33:51
I think Ed Koch said it better. Ed
33:54
Koch was asked this after he lost, um, for his,
33:56
I think third term after his third term, he's actually,
33:58
if he's ever going to run again. And
34:01
he said, no, the people of
34:03
New York fired me and now they must
34:05
be punished. And
34:07
I think that like America
34:09
is getting the government and
34:12
the politics it deserves because we
34:14
have really crappy leadership. We also have
34:17
really crappy followership in this country and
34:19
people aren't taking their citizenship seriously. Institutions
34:22
aren't taking their role seriously. And
34:24
everybody is saying, let
34:26
a thousand flowers bloom and let your freak flag
34:29
fly and normalcy gets thrown under the
34:31
bus in that situation. You know, it's interesting about that. I remember
34:33
the first time I went to Israel, the
34:36
biggest thing that impacted me, it's like, wow,
34:41
being a citizen is a part of your job. Like
34:44
citizenship is right in front of your face when you're
34:47
in Israel. You're constantly
34:49
thinking about it in ways that I
34:51
really, it was one of those things I didn't
34:53
fully appreciate until I was there
34:56
with Israelis and sought and felt it and
34:58
understood it. And then
35:00
you realize, well, we haven't been, our citizenship
35:02
hasn't been tested. It is now. Right.
35:05
We're being tested now, but this was 20 odd years ago
35:07
for me. And
35:12
it's unfortunately, I think we don't
35:14
fully appreciate our citizenship until it's
35:16
at risk. I think that's right. The
35:19
Israel thing is also a good illustration of another point, which
35:22
is that I'm
35:24
a big, what is two thumbs and love of
35:26
the founding fathers, this guy kind of person. But
35:31
I think the constitution is great and all that. We have a
35:33
very good system that is set up. We're not adhering to it,
35:35
but it's a good system to set up. Israel's
35:37
political system is crazy town. It's
35:40
terrible. Right. Talk
35:42
about weak parties. Talk about a weak party problem. Yeah.
35:45
It's absolutely ridiculous. They have weak
35:48
government institutions and strong civil
35:50
society. And at the end of the day,
35:52
your country is going to be
35:54
healthier with a stronger, strong civil society and
35:57
weak institutions than the other way around. Tanya
36:00
Rice believes
36:03
that that's why democracy is not at risk right
36:05
now because she still thinks our civil society is
36:08
too strong for one term,
36:10
for some president to screw it up in one term.
36:13
Do you buy that?
36:15
I think the catastrophization about civil war
36:17
and that kind of stuff is overdone.
36:20
Right. You know, Trump is having
36:22
a hard time getting protesters to show up outside of
36:24
his courtroom. The idea that he's going to get millions
36:26
of people to pick up guns, I think
36:28
is very unlikely. He got more people here in January 6
36:30
than I thought. I didn't think
36:32
they were all coming. Yeah, but look, my point is
36:34
that I think there's going to be violence. I
36:37
think there's going to be lots of bad things, but
36:40
it's sort of like I would always ... There are
36:43
people, for listeners who don't know, I'm
36:45
a very anti-Trump guy, right? But
36:48
I will often tell people I don't think Trump is Hitler.
36:51
And people say, how are you defending Trump? And I was like,
36:54
dude, I think he's going to make somebody
36:56
who's an Hitler. You become really shy of
36:58
being Hitler and still be a bad dude,
37:00
right? It used
37:02
to be that Hitler was considered the maximum
37:05
bad, but now it's like the minimal threshold.
37:07
Well, isn't it Godwin's Law, right? Once you invoke Hitler, debate's over, right? Yeah.
37:10
Is it Godwin's Law, right? On the internet? And
37:13
so I think there are bad things. And I think there's going to
37:15
be violence no matter who wins. But I don't think it's going to
37:17
be systemic government-threatening
37:20
violence. I think it's going to be ugly
37:22
and stupid, and people should be thrown in jail who do
37:25
it. But
37:28
I do think, again, that's sort of my point about this
37:30
country's still full of really normal
37:33
people. When you actually go
37:36
out in the real world and you have a
37:38
conversation with somebody at a bar or a baseball
37:40
game or whatever, they're like, I'm not going to
37:42
shoot people because I don't like the Democrats or I
37:44
don't like the Republicans. They
37:47
care about normal things. And what's the problem
37:49
is, is our politicians don't want to do
37:51
the normal stuff. I don't know if you
37:53
spent any time reading an interview
37:55
that Washington posted with Tom Selleck this
37:57
week. I saw it and I read it. I
38:00
read it because I'll be honest, I always dreamed of
38:02
being magnum. Meets. His two best
38:04
friends owned a bar. And. Had a helicopter
38:06
that's but in a work for go. As far as
38:08
like when you're when you were thirteen. isn't that the
38:11
dream? I don't know what editor why not? why I
38:13
was in South Dakota right? Know it was one of
38:15
those my dad Ny that was like as a it's
38:17
a searing memory of my late father and I like
38:19
we enjoyed Magnum together. And. You know
38:21
what? Selleck said Something I was so happy to hear
38:23
him say with does It was clear that I think
38:25
the reporter thought they were going to have a political
38:27
discussion where the money goes. You. Know
38:29
what I thought? America? The best thing about America was
38:31
as if we all agree to disagree. And.
38:34
It's only son. And I
38:36
thought you know what what happened a that
38:38
now that's a guy who's a product of
38:41
a previous era of out of of how
38:43
politics works is a guy said always had.
38:45
He's. Always been conservative overtraining. In any case,
38:47
stuff out ads on Tv for National Review.
38:50
Was there any any any step down? and
38:52
and and and I think he regrets it
38:54
Now Now not because he regrets his political
38:56
positions, but he hates that people wanted to
38:58
find him a certain way, that when he's
39:00
just a. I've I've.
39:02
Been lucky, have enjoyed acting. I'm an American and
39:04
a in a great that we disagreed and was
39:07
great about the peace. A quoted a lotta Ted
39:09
Danson. You're. Going about their really good friends
39:11
and are we know? Dance of the Big Liberal goes?
39:13
Yes, And we're good friends and it
39:15
was likes to think that that was an oddity. It's
39:18
like that used to be the norm. My
39:20
dad's best friends and him they have disagreed
39:22
on politics today. That.
39:24
Same cohort wouldn't wouldn't hang out with each other.
39:26
they disagreed on politics I think that's right and
39:28
that and that give so thing about how. Politics.
39:31
Especially the stuff that parties and Congress do.
39:34
So. That the rest of us don't have
39:36
to do politics, and because they're not doing
39:38
their jobs, it's that talks and spills out
39:40
into normal America. I mean, If.
39:43
And and is see it, illegal. There's a
39:45
great line by Michael Jordan when someone asked
39:47
them the indoor some democrat or whatever and
39:49
he knows. look. Republicans. Buy
39:52
sneakers to. We don't know if he actually said it,
39:54
but did he have? By the way, it's the hard
39:56
against Jesse Helms race or their it. It's always been
39:58
one of those. Something
40:00
like it, but nobody's quite you know for what it's
40:02
worth But I cuz I know I'll have somebody that
40:04
says you know he might not have said that like
40:06
fair enough But my point is is like yes lanes
40:10
right they want to they have to look sort of
40:12
be Join in this
40:14
grand culture war stuff And
40:16
I think that's one of the reasons why you have
40:18
it's one of things fueling the breakdown and trust is
40:21
like we just think everybody's got an agenda and The
40:24
leaders aren't asking my colleague you all live in
40:26
likes to say The
40:28
first question any leader of any institution should
40:30
ask is what is my role here and
40:34
A lot of leaders of in
40:36
higher education and corporate America, whatever They
40:39
think they need to be branded with politics and
40:41
go outside of their lanes when I don't
40:44
think they need to do it But they're being
40:46
told that they do well. I don't want
40:48
to I know We
40:50
want to I've been trying to land this plane, and I know
40:52
I apologize no no no no I keep circling and I could
40:54
go but Boy, I
40:57
really hope that universities start to hire presidents
40:59
who think about the academic institution first and
41:01
just don't hire presidents Who are good fundraisers
41:03
you know the problem with with most you know and
41:06
I think about what's happened to? higher
41:08
ed So many university presidents
41:11
their full-time job is raising money yeah,
41:14
and and then how do you raise money? You
41:16
have to there's all sorts of ways
41:18
sometimes you have to convince people to and maybe
41:20
you take big big donations from
41:22
oh Some
41:25
Gulf State countries billionaire
41:29
And then suddenly you're have agreed to teach only
41:31
a certain thing at a center for Middle Eastern
41:33
studies You know I mean and it's all it's
41:35
all been done because The
41:37
university president's only job is how much money
41:40
have you raised for the endowment? Yeah?
41:42
No, I think that's right I mean there's donor
41:44
capture is a thing that this doesn't happen with
41:47
with think tanks and Campaigns
41:50
that happens all over the place and That's
41:53
one of the reasons why we got this populist
41:55
stuff and the sort of Margie Taylor green model,
41:57
which is that Hers is
41:59
a small donor. The donor capture in some ways
42:01
yes moment Where all the institutions on the
42:03
right that led the charge to go with
42:06
Trump were ones that were dependent on mass
42:08
donor bases are mass customer bases. Talk Radio
42:10
Heritage Foundation. Places like that were all demographic
42:12
went one way and you had to go
42:14
with look, I'm not going in a nice,
42:17
but you and I have a lot of
42:19
colleagues in this business in the the Media
42:21
space on One and associated journalism space. Who.
42:25
Changed. Their tune on different politicians in order to
42:27
continue to make a living. Guess.
42:30
And correct, that is Aaron statement. And
42:32
it is. Ah, and they've been able
42:34
to thrive because of. It. There's. No.
42:37
No Accountability. Know. I think
42:39
that's right. I mean there are a lot of
42:41
people in this guy from the smith French revolution
42:43
eight and seventy years and forty A says you
42:45
know their go the people I must go with
42:48
them for I am their leader and there's a
42:50
lot of that out there right? There's a lot
42:52
of Ferris Bueller as who want to jump in
42:54
front of afraid and pretend that are leading. And
42:56
I know that bumper sticker where if the people
42:59
will lead the leaders will follow. Unfortunately,
43:01
that turner to be true. It
43:05
just turned out we the wrong people eating. In
43:08
Any way. Do.
43:11
You sometimes wonder if we're living in a
43:13
multiverse simulation and that this isn't real steps
43:15
you. How often have it's when the ear
43:18
worms story broke Did it? I mean disease
43:20
your big science fixing. I do often the
43:22
often think that maybe. Life
43:24
imitating. signed Six Hundred. So.
43:26
I've been joking now for seven
43:29
years. Sat on earth to where
43:31
I I'm supposed to lives in
43:33
as a huge scandal because Miss
43:36
Daniels. Eight soup at the
43:38
resolute desk. Without. A napkin and
43:40
people are outraged by it, right? I mean, like
43:42
those are the kinds of things I want people
43:45
to be outraged for us as it is else.
43:47
But that's not the world that we live in,
43:49
and it's It's so difficult. Like.
43:51
A friend of mine thinks that never what I
43:53
think with Steve Harvey. Read. The
43:55
wrong winner at the Oscars. The trait
43:57
get a moon miami the one that.
44:00
The Mood over Miami? Whatever one thinks. That's
44:02
what tore a hole in the universe and
44:04
everything's been getting weird ever since then. I
44:06
don't know but like it does feel like
44:09
that, it does. it's it's a beard. The
44:11
bingo card gets weirder all the time. I
44:13
mean by my friend had like Nc Wieners
44:15
laptop stories. You don't mean like
44:18
there was. There were some really bonkers like
44:20
Japanese game show crazy things that have happened
44:22
the last ten years and we got six
44:24
more months and it's of this the normal
44:26
ill. You. Know I actually does like. You
44:30
know I don't. At we keep. Referring.
44:33
To the weird Kennedy story. But if both candidates
44:35
continued to attack Kennedy. I'm
44:37
I'm I'm keep waiting for a boomerang effect
44:39
with him. And
44:42
you know mate, maybe that's maybe that's
44:44
the president. The
44:46
the are craziness deserves. Well.
44:50
I feel like making wishes with monkey bars and
44:53
I'm getting what they wish for for non the
44:55
where they want home in. This is why the
44:57
Plane of the Apes is Evan Revival. Go
45:02
anywhere for stroke mess and yelling at the
45:04
Statue of Liberty or my friends thank you
45:06
for doing this or yelling Soylent Green as
45:08
people thank him. A friend said to be
45:11
here. Are
45:17
right before our we go. We've.
45:19
Got a question from Daniel. Daniel Rights
45:21
I check and team every presidential cycle.
45:23
You hear a lot about third parties,
45:25
but they almost never pop up during
45:27
mid term elections. Why don't third parties
45:29
make. Ever. Make serious attempts
45:31
at lower offices or is it
45:33
a ballot access issue? tenant recruitment,
45:35
money, or all three? Ah, he,
45:38
Are you off? Another five No
45:40
Labels members up in such a
45:42
closely divided house could wield serious
45:45
influence. Look, I've actually asked this
45:47
very question to Angus King. Back,
45:50
I'm obsessed about this idea of the following
45:53
that you note here with the house but
45:55
I would know that with the senate to
45:57
angus King is somebody who got one is
45:59
an. Now, he caucuses with the
46:01
Democrats. But if you had
46:04
Angus King, Lisa Murkowski, Joe Manchin, Kirsten Sinema,
46:06
let's just take those four. If
46:09
they basically said, we are going to decide
46:11
who the majority leader is, we're
46:13
all going to vote the same way. Well,
46:15
that would give a, quote, third party or an
46:17
independent caucus, or, you know, and perhaps you'd have
46:20
two or three others might join. Maybe John Tester
46:22
would join. Maybe Lisa Murkowski would join. You see
46:24
where I'm going there, right? Or Susan
46:26
Collins, excuse me, to put
46:28
in there. So it is
46:30
something that I
46:33
do know that No
46:36
Labels is now realizing that
46:39
the president, you know, it's sort of like if you want to
46:42
get traction with
46:45
having a moderate sort
46:47
of third way, if you're trying to create a moderate, I
46:49
don't know if you can have a centrist party, right?
46:52
I don't know if centrism, you know, I always say this,
46:54
you can't be a radical moderate, right?
46:57
By definition, if you're comfortable
46:59
with moderation, you're not really
47:01
radical. Of course, I always say
47:03
I'm a radical moderate. I want compromise. I want
47:06
that sort of thing. But you get my point.
47:08
It's sort of, you know, a moderate
47:10
says, well, you know, I can, yeah, the one
47:12
hand on the other hand, all right, I see
47:15
both sides of this. Okay, I hear you. It's
47:17
hard to sometimes create a political movement out of
47:19
that, if you will. But perhaps the extremism that
47:21
we're starting to see in the basis of the
47:23
two parties could suddenly
47:26
drive interest in, hey, I'd actually
47:28
like more of a blank
47:30
slate, you know, type of leader. I
47:32
thought, for instance, that the
47:35
perfect person for no labels would
47:37
have been Bill McRaven, simply because he
47:40
wasn't a member of a political party and never had been
47:42
a member of a political party. He was in the US
47:44
military. So basically, his party was
47:46
America, right? He worked for America. He worked
47:48
for, didn't matter if it was a Republican
47:50
or Democratic administration. And I thought
47:52
that he could have used that as a defense. You
47:54
know, what's your position on the border? I don't have
47:56
one. But you know what I'm going to
47:59
do? I'm going to solve the problem. That's what we
48:01
did in the military. We had a challenge in front
48:03
of us and I got the
48:05
experts to decide What's the best path
48:07
forward? This is the result we need
48:10
What's the best path forward to get there give me three
48:12
or four different paths and I'm gonna choose which path I
48:14
think is best You know, I
48:17
I don't to me that's leadership right to
48:19
me That's what a that's what you would expect from
48:21
a CEO of a company And it
48:23
is what I think in theory what the founders
48:25
thought we were gonna have In
48:27
our chief executive that in some ways that they
48:29
would be sort of above politics, right? Not a
48:31
member of a faction per se So
48:34
that they were you know where their their
48:36
their bias was to the country first Versus
48:39
a faction or a political party or an ideology.
48:41
Obviously, we're far afield of that I
48:45
actually think you're gonna start to see more
48:47
independent and third-party candidates for the midterms and
48:50
for these offices simply because
48:52
of this Continued frustration
48:54
that nothing seems to get done right
48:56
and I think and
48:59
the dysfunction that people feel you know,
49:01
if you compare this I I
49:03
look at this this era is not it's
49:05
not the first time America's had this sort of Polarized
49:08
moment where it doesn't feel like anything moves
49:10
and everything's at a
49:13
almost standstill. We were we were pretty
49:15
paralyzed as a country Following
49:18
the Civil War during his
49:20
reconstruction tried to get going and then didn't
49:23
and and our politics were very polarized and
49:25
very divided and You
49:28
had you know, very close presidential election We had five
49:30
straight that were decided by five points or less The
49:32
only other time that's happened is in the last five
49:34
of the last six presidential elections They've been decided by
49:37
five points or less that only other time that's happened
49:39
is in is from 1868 to 1892 You
49:42
know what also happened in that period though? A lot of
49:44
third parties popped up to run for Congress you
49:47
had the you know, the the silver
49:49
party you had a greenbacks party I think
49:51
I'm gonna miss some other ones here my
49:54
apologies for not researching that part of
49:56
it more but I do
50:00
think that there's going to
50:02
be more attempts at this. You
50:04
have Andrew Yang trying to put together what he
50:06
calls the forward party, a
50:08
centrist party, and he specifically was
50:10
trying to recruit candidates for
50:13
state offices and his argument, state level,
50:15
state representative, things like that. And
50:17
he's saying, hey, this could be a trickle-up effect. You
50:20
start to give, you start to show
50:23
people on the smaller offices that there's a
50:25
third option and then they
50:27
start to expect to see it no
50:29
matter the election that you had. So
50:32
most third-party presidential candidates, if they've had any sort
50:34
of success, they've only had success because it's been
50:36
a rich guy or a famous guy, right?
50:39
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ross Perot,
50:41
Teddy Roosevelt, George
50:43
Wallace, you see where I'm going here, right?
50:45
You either have some sort of fame
50:47
or infamy if you're George
50:50
Wallace, if you will, or you just had a
50:52
bunch of money, like Ross Perot was able
50:54
to do. So I do
50:56
think if there is, that
50:59
if no labels would be better off spending
51:01
some time if they want to moderate the two
51:04
parties starting in Congress and
51:06
finding, you know, not just the problem
51:08
solvers caucus, but maybe getting
51:10
that kind of... I don't think we're there yet, but
51:12
a few more motions to vacate for Speaker of
51:14
the House, a few more 50-50
51:16
Senate's, 51-49, all of those things. And
51:23
maybe that'll grow. But
51:26
I've long thought that there are four or
51:28
five senators sitting there right now who are
51:30
not comfortable with the direction of their parties
51:32
are going, that you have to
51:34
make a choice, which party do you want in charge?
51:36
Well, they could have more say if they banded together
51:38
and said, look, we'll give you the majority
51:41
if you're going to give us X, Y, and Z. Until
51:46
some centrists decide to sort of take
51:48
the power back themselves, I
51:50
don't think we're going to see that. But look, your
51:52
observation is correct. The opportunity is there
51:57
if real attention and resources were
51:59
put in. to right now
52:01
the only time you see successful third party candidates for
52:03
Congress are when one of the
52:05
two major parties bombs in that state.
52:07
Angus King won because the Democrats didn't
52:10
nominate anybody. Bernie Sanders won as an
52:12
independent because the Democrats didn't nominate anybody.
52:14
Lisa Murkowski was able to
52:16
win because the Democrats decided to stand
52:18
down in that race. So you see
52:20
where the different ... that's
52:22
the only place we've seen that kind of
52:24
success so far. You
52:28
know, I do think this is something you could feed and
52:30
build on if there were efforts,
52:33
but you know, the shiny metal object is the
52:35
presidential race, right? Get you more attention, get you more
52:37
of this. So
52:39
it all depends on where your head is. If
52:41
you really want to reform the two parties from
52:43
their extremes, your idea
52:46
of getting some third
52:48
party to basically represent the deciders of
52:51
who's got the majority is probably
52:53
the best way to do it. So
52:56
thanks for that question because you picked out a
52:58
hobby horse of mine. That's something
53:00
that I wish some of these centrists would
53:03
realize that they'd have more power if they ...
53:07
Thank you for that. If you have
53:09
a question or a thought or a
53:11
comment or an observation, email at achuckpodcast.gmail.com.
53:14
Don't forget to subscribe. You've been
53:17
listening to the Chuck Podcast from NBC News. If you
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