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The Sunday Story from NPR's Up
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First podcast. And
9:08
we're back. And Danielle, I'm curious about
9:10
how much former President Trump is campaigning
9:12
on the issue of abortion as someone
9:14
who has traveled to his rallies and
9:16
has been talking to his supporters. How
9:18
central to his core message is the
9:20
issue of abortion? Not
9:22
terribly. And when it does
9:24
come up, his tune on it almost never
9:27
changes. He generally says when
9:29
he brings it up that,
9:31
hey, the Supreme Court overturned Roe and
9:33
now it went back to the states.
9:35
Aren't you glad about that? Everybody likes
9:37
that, he says, which I mean, in
9:39
fact, that's a little debatable, but and
9:42
of course, his crowds love it. But he
9:44
doesn't always bring it up. I was just
9:46
going through his speech in Racine, Wisconsin, this
9:48
week. It didn't come up in that speech.
9:50
So it's certainly not one of
9:52
his central things, which are, you know, other culture
9:55
war issues like transgender
9:57
athletes and sports and also, of course,
9:59
immigration. Mara, I try
10:01
never to use the words unprecedented or
10:04
extraordinary anymore because I feel like those
10:06
words have no meaning in modern politics,
10:08
but I do still think it
10:11
is worth pausing to make the
10:13
point that it is pretty remarkable
10:15
and unprecedented and amazing in modern
10:17
politics that the Republican candidate for
10:19
president is also campaigning and
10:22
saying he will not sign a federal
10:24
abortion ban. That is not a position
10:26
that a Republican presidential candidate could have
10:28
had since Roe. No,
10:31
but he can say that because Republicans, at
10:33
least for now, have won the war. Now,
10:35
they might lose the battle. I mean, they're
10:37
dealing with all the negative consequences of winning.
10:39
Like I said, they worked for 50 years
10:41
to overturn Roe and they finally did. But
10:43
the thing that Trump does that's
10:45
so interesting to me is he
10:48
is running an almost completely base-oriented
10:50
campaign. He hasn't tempered his rhetoric
10:52
at all about January 6th. He's
10:54
talked as harshly about immigrants as he
10:56
ever had. Abortion is the only issue
10:58
where he has, quote, moved to the
11:00
middle. And his move to the middle is, of course,
11:02
to repeat over and over again. It's up
11:05
to the states. They will ask him questions
11:07
like, is it OK for states to track
11:09
women's pregnancy? And he'll say, well, it doesn't
11:11
matter what I think. The states can do
11:14
whatever they want. I don't
11:16
know how far that gets him. Danielle, I
11:18
always think it's important to remember that this
11:20
isn't just about the presidential. You and I
11:22
today, we're just listening in on a call
11:24
with Democratic campaign chairs. And it's
11:26
very clear that Democrats think that the
11:28
abortion issue is critical to both their
11:31
chances of holding on to control of the
11:33
Senate and possibly taking control of the House.
11:36
Yes, totally. And there is something really
11:38
interesting that was said on this call
11:40
by Democratic Senator Tina Smith from Minnesota.
11:42
She was saying that because of a
11:44
law that we have talked about on
11:46
this podcast before, it's called the Comstock
11:48
Act, it is currently on
11:50
the books. And were
11:52
it interpreted in a particular
11:54
quite conservative way, it is
11:57
possible, say some legal experts.
12:00
that it could end the
12:02
mailing of abortion pills, which account
12:04
for more than half of abortions,
12:07
or even that it could quite
12:09
overwhelmingly curtail abortion nationwide.
12:13
And so she said, listen, even if
12:15
you've passed a law, a ballot
12:17
measure in your state protecting abortion, that might
12:19
not be enough. If you live in a
12:21
state where right now you feel that your
12:23
rights are protected because of action that your
12:25
governor and state legislature have, have taken, forget
12:28
about it because Donald Trump as
12:30
president has beliefs wrongly that he has the
12:32
power to roll that all away. Now she's
12:34
going to get Donald Trump there, of course,
12:37
but also this has big repercussions in all
12:39
those other state races, right? Like for example,
12:41
Arizona, where there may be such a thing
12:43
on the ballot, Florida, where it is on
12:46
the ballot for this fall. But besides that,
12:48
they're also very much making the case that,
12:51
hey, Biden says he wants
12:53
to codify Roe. Well, he
12:55
better elect us if you really want that to
12:57
happen. But I know Sue that you can tell
12:59
us that that's not necessarily going to happen. Easier
13:02
said than done. Yeah. Yeah. Well,
13:04
the two, the two states to really watch are the
13:07
two battleground states, Arizona for sure and Nevada, because that
13:09
is what Democrats hope will boost abortion
13:11
rights turnout. I mean, we
13:14
don't think it'll make a difference, much of
13:16
a difference in Montana and Ohio, which is
13:19
where the two embattled Democratic Senate incumbents are
13:21
running for reelection. I mean, that's an important
13:23
point too. I mean, abortion matters. It matters
13:25
a lot in politics until it doesn't. I
13:27
think that it's important to remember that Republican
13:30
governors like Mike DeWine in Ohio and
13:32
Brian Kemp in Georgia handily won reelection
13:34
despite signing restrictive abortion laws. When you're
13:36
talking about Texas and Florida, Ted Cruz
13:39
is up for reelection. Rick Scott, both
13:41
Republican senators, they're heavily favored to win
13:43
despite their own states having restrictive abortion
13:45
laws. I mean, it's an issue that
13:47
bends towards Democrats, but it's important to
13:49
remember that it doesn't mean
13:51
electoral defeat for a Republican candidate. They
13:54
can outrun popular opinion on this issue.
13:56
That's right. But there's also a flip
13:58
side to that in very, very red
14:00
states. states like Kansas, where a statewide
14:02
referendum enshrining abortion rights in the Constitution
14:06
passed overwhelmingly, Kansas isn't any less red,
14:09
but you have to assume that a
14:11
lot of anti-abortion rights voters
14:13
voted for that referendum. In other
14:16
words, they were not willing to
14:19
make Kansas a constitutionally
14:22
anti-abortion state because they care about freedom or
14:24
some other reason, but it's a complicated issue.
14:26
Well, and that also gets back to the
14:28
priorities question, right? Is that if abortion is
14:31
not your top priority, maybe it won't sway
14:33
you against Trump, but you very well might
14:35
be a person who would vote for Trump,
14:37
but also would vote for a ballot measure
14:40
for abortion rights in your state. There are
14:42
a lot of cross-currents, complex voters out there.
14:44
Yeah. All right. That is it for us
14:47
today. We'll be back in your feeds tomorrow
14:49
with the Weekly Roundup. I'm Susan Davis. I
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cover politics. I'm Danielle Kurtzleben. I cover the
14:53
presidential campaign. And I'm Mara Liasen, senior national
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