Episode Transcript
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2:00
of Trevor Dealey. Hello
2:34
everybody and welcome to this episode of the
2:36
Prosecutors. I'm Brett
2:38
and I'm joined as always
2:40
by my indefatigable co-host,
2:43
Alice. Hi Brett. You
2:46
know, Hope Springs Eternal. I wish
2:48
that were me. It's totally you. But
2:50
I'm so fatigable all the time.
2:52
You are not fatigable. You're indefagatable
2:55
much like the glorious
2:58
Irish revolutionaries who won their independence.
3:00
That's so nice. Well, so, you know,
3:02
this is kind of a later night. I mean, it's pretty
3:04
on par with when we normally record. But
3:06
like every time I start recording, I'm like, you
3:08
can do it, Alice. I like have to pep talk
3:11
myself into it. Not because I don't love talking to you, but
3:13
because I am fatigued.
3:15
Yeah.
3:18
Yeah. That's okay. That's
3:21
what the whiskey's for. The whiskey will pep you up. Dude,
3:23
that whiskey will put this fatigued
3:25
Alice straight to bed. Well,
3:27
that's a good point, too. Straight to bed. It
3:30
always has one of two effects, right? Either
3:32
it wakes you up or it puts you to sleep.
3:35
If
3:35
I smell it, it'll wake
3:38
me up. If I drink it, I'll go straight to night night. But
3:42
with all that said, okay, we can't be tired
3:44
today because we have hit theories
3:46
on the Trevor Dealey case. And
3:49
I'm excited to talk about these
3:51
theories. But really, Brett, I know we like touted
3:53
your theory last time so much that I'm hoping
3:56
we get to at least introduce your theory because
3:59
because you guys are about to.
3:59
get like Professor Brett in history class,
4:02
which everybody loves it. I don't know
4:04
if I can do an entire episode
4:06
on my theory, so I think it's best if we can get
4:08
to it today, but we'll see, because we don't rush anything.
4:11
No
4:14
one has ever called us short-winded. It's true.
4:17
It's true. We've
4:19
only had one episode, but that's a testament
4:21
to how little actual evidence
4:24
there really is in this case. And as we go through the theories,
4:26
I think you're going to see that. To recap
4:28
for those of you who might have forgotten,
4:31
Trevor Deeley, ordinary young guy working
4:34
at a bank. He's doing IT work.
4:36
It's close to Christmas time. They're having the Christmas party.
4:39
He goes out to the Christmas party, has
4:41
a lot to drink, great time with his friends.
4:43
Everything seems fine.
4:45
Very late at night. He starts walking home, but
4:47
there's a cab strike and he lives more than a mile
4:50
away and it's pouring down rain. So he decides,
4:52
I'm going to go get an umbrella at
4:55
the office. And as he heads that way,
4:57
suddenly into the camera
5:00
frame is the man in black, the
5:02
sort of mysterious person who's dressed all in
5:04
black, standing out in the rain
5:06
without an umbrella, almost seemingly
5:09
waiting for someone. He
5:11
talks to Trevor as he arrives at
5:13
the back gate of where he works,
5:16
which is a bank of sorts,
5:19
the Bank of Ireland Asset
5:21
Management Company.
5:23
He sort of hangs around outside
5:26
while Trevor goes inside, but Trevor spends, you know,
5:28
30 minutes. He sees a friend, has some coffee. At
5:31
some point, the man in black sort of walks away.
5:33
We then catch Trevor leaving. He's heading
5:35
in the direction of his home. He's caught by another
5:38
camera on a bank
5:40
and he passes by and a few seconds
5:43
later comes a man
5:45
in black, whether it's the man in black,
5:47
it's hard to say, but
5:49
another person dressed all in black
5:51
who seems to be following Trevor
5:54
according to sort of things you read and whether
5:56
or not this is true or not, the Garda, which
5:58
is the police in Ireland. have
6:00
been able to enhance that second video
6:02
some and apparently
6:05
the enhanced video, it appears even more
6:07
as though this is the same person. That's an important
6:09
fact because if it is the same person, awful
6:12
coincidental that you see
6:14
them two different times in two different places
6:17
near Trevor and very
6:19
shortly after he leaves that camera, it
6:21
appears he disappears because he's
6:24
never viewed on any other camera. Obviously
6:26
there are a lot more CCTV cameras
6:28
in Dublin today than there were at the time, but
6:30
there were a lot then as evidenced
6:33
by the fact he was caught on three different cameras,
6:35
but he's not caught on any more. And
6:37
I think most people believe that some point after he
6:39
leaves that third camera, he
6:41
disappears either due
6:43
to accident or due
6:46
to some sort of homicide or
6:48
some sort of kidnapping.
6:49
And we're going to go through all those theories and
6:51
see if we can come to a conclusion on
6:55
what happened here. And we will start
6:57
with a theory that I think is in some ways
7:00
the most popular and it's
7:02
one that we've talked about before. And it's one that
7:04
always comes up whenever anyone disappears
7:07
near a body of water. And that's the very
7:09
simple and straightforward theory that Trevor
7:12
fell into the river.
7:14
Now we know for a fact that Trevor
7:17
did cross the river. He did cross a
7:19
bridge and he may have crossed more than one.
7:22
Is it possible that in his sort of drunken
7:24
state, he just fell
7:27
in. If you've seen the video
7:29
of him passing the bank,
7:31
he is not walking in a straight line.
7:33
Now he's not stumbling, falling down drunk,
7:36
but he's definitely walking like someone who's had
7:38
a lot to drink. Someone who's been drinking for the better
7:40
part of eight hours at this point. He's
7:43
weaving sort of back and forth. Is
7:45
it possible that at some point
7:47
he weaves over the side of a bridge? I
7:50
guess it's possible though. Honestly,
7:52
it seems
7:53
unlikely. Nothing of Trevor's
7:56
was ever found, including his
7:58
rather large umbrella.
7:59
This is one of the things. It's one thing to say that
8:02
maybe his body would have disappeared, but
8:04
the umbrella is this huge thing. It
8:06
was the bank of Ireland branded
8:08
umbrella. There was a big search
8:11
for Trevor. You would think that
8:13
would have been found. The guard did an extensive
8:15
search of the river and surrounding
8:17
canals. They found
8:20
nothing and they have a pretty good
8:22
diving team. And that diving team
8:24
was basically unequivocal that if
8:26
he had been in the river, they would have found him. There's
8:29
always a possibility that
8:30
that's not true. I don't think you
8:32
can ever rule this kind of theory out completely,
8:36
but they didn't find any evidence of him. There's
8:38
also Trevor's phone. Trevor's phone continued
8:40
to ring, which indicates to some
8:42
that it was not underwater. This is always controversial.
8:45
Some people believe in some people will say,
8:47
and even some people in technology will say that
8:49
if a phone is submerged underwater, it
8:51
kills the phone, particularly one in 2000. And
8:54
from that point forward, the phone wouldn't ring. Any
8:56
calls would go straight to voicemail. We know that Trevor's
8:58
phone continued to ring into the
9:01
next day, which seems to indicate it was
9:03
not underwater.
9:05
People often ended up in this river. This is a river
9:07
that, that people drown in unfortunately,
9:09
and they also tend to be found. It
9:12
is a good ways from Dublin to
9:14
the sea and the river itself is rather docile.
9:17
I mean, this is, this is not a river. You're going
9:19
to be swept down. This is the kind of river where a body
9:22
is going to wash up,
9:23
but that didn't happen. And it just,
9:25
it just is the case that people do not
9:27
tend to fall into the river in Dublin and
9:30
never be found again. So if that's what happened
9:32
to Trevor, this case is
9:34
remarkable in its sort of unremarkable.
9:37
It is remarkable that Trevor could have died
9:40
and disappeared like that because it
9:42
just doesn't happen.
9:43
Yeah. And like Brett said, if he's weaving,
9:45
he's clearly not totally sober. But remember
9:48
he was inside his office building for
9:51
at least half an hour and had a cup of coffee and
9:53
had a whole conversation with somebody, you know,
9:55
who didn't indicate that he was a blackout
9:58
drunk or anything like that. So even.
9:59
Even if he wasn't completely sober, he wasn't
10:02
at a point where he
10:04
absolutely could not have walked
10:06
across that bridge without falling over.
10:08
And so that's something to keep in mind too. It
10:11
had been, he'd been drinking for a long time that night,
10:13
but he'd also had a sobering coffee
10:16
and kind of been in the dry with a
10:18
coworker talking for some time
10:21
before he made this trip across the
10:23
river. And that umbrella, that umbrella really
10:25
gets me bright because I think of all the pieces of an
10:27
umbrella, how it's difficult to make an umbrella
10:30
just kind of disappear in the water. It's made
10:32
of metal, it's large, it tends to
10:34
float, especially if something breaks
10:37
on it, it'll kind of pop open, making
10:39
it even larger than its original size.
10:42
Those are, and it's a very distinctive
10:44
looking umbrella that it wouldn't necessarily
10:47
just be passed over as
10:49
would say maybe a shoe or a wallet,
10:51
something like that. So this in
10:54
some ways is Occam's razor, right? Because
10:56
there's a river right there and oftentimes
10:58
with a lot of drinking and a river, the first
11:01
and most obvious answer is not foul play,
11:04
but
11:04
rather a tragic accident.
11:07
But I don't know, it's hard not to
11:09
find a single trace in the canal. This
11:11
isn't like a river that flowed into the ocean. Eventually,
11:15
eventually it went to the ocean, but it took some time and
11:17
the garda was on it in terms of searching pretty
11:20
quickly. Now that leads us to
11:22
another also popular theory
11:24
then, and that's that Trevor disappeared
11:27
on his own. Now
11:29
it's always a possibility suggested in these
11:31
types of cases, but here it really does
11:33
seem unlikely. There's
11:36
no evidence of a disappearance and there's
11:38
no indication that Trevor wasn't a place
11:40
emotionally or psychologically
11:43
where he'd want to disappear. He had
11:45
taken no steps to
11:48
start this new life. So we've talked
11:50
about what you look for. You look to see
11:52
if someone's emptied their accounts, sold
11:54
their possessions to prepare for
11:56
a new life. There's none of that here. He
11:59
had
11:59
taken no steps.
11:59
no money out of his account, and nothing
12:02
was missing from his apartment. It seems like he
12:04
never went back into the apartment at
12:06
all. So not a change of clothes, not,
12:09
you know, some way to get around, not
12:11
passports, nothing like that. And
12:13
so of course people can disappear
12:16
just by walking out of their own lives, but
12:19
it's really hard to start your life completely
12:21
anew without anything to help you start that
12:23
next life. And it doesn't seem
12:25
like he took any steps here to do
12:28
that. So another potential
12:29
option then is
12:32
that Trevor had an argument
12:34
while he had been drinking that night out,
12:37
either maybe at the pub where he was pre-gaming
12:40
or at the club, or
12:42
he'd been drinking for many hours. You know, obviously
12:44
with drinking, sometimes heightened emotions come, and maybe
12:47
he got out of sorts with
12:49
someone and someone was angry at him and wanted
12:51
revenge. This can't be ruled out. People
12:54
can get bad temper drinking and
12:56
fights happen, especially after eight plus
12:58
hours of drinking in a kind of a festive
13:01
mood. However, Trevor
13:03
wasn't alone. He wasn't just drinking by himself. Remember
13:06
he was with colleagues all night
13:08
before, both before he went to the party
13:10
and at the party, and he was with a coworker,
13:13
you know, once he got to his office building. And
13:16
there was seemingly no mention of a fight
13:18
or even an argument by any of these
13:20
colleagues who were with him at any
13:22
point throughout the night. Also, that level
13:26
of response where someone wants such revenge that they're
13:28
going to kidnap or murder, Trevor
13:30
seems just really extreme
13:33
because we don't see anything
13:35
on CCTV where it would indicate
13:37
that there's, you know, high emotions running. He's not,
13:39
he doesn't seem flustered. He doesn't
13:42
seem to be in a state of anger. The
13:45
person in black who he speaks to very
13:47
briefly, that doesn't seem to be a heated
13:49
conversation right there. We see him
13:52
coming in and out of the party, you know, we
13:54
go to the ATM, we don't see anyone
13:55
follow him. He doesn't seem frustrated at
13:57
the ATM as he's getting money. And none
13:59
of- his body language suggests that this
14:02
is a night full of high emotions.
14:04
But on the other hand, maybe
14:06
he
14:07
didn't know he had anchored someone so
14:09
much. Maybe he'd just been seen flirting with
14:11
the wrong girl or something like
14:14
that, where he didn't even realize he was offending
14:16
someone. And so it could be that
14:18
we don't see any behavioral changes
14:20
in him throughout the night and no one around
14:22
him recognizes that anyone else is mad at him because
14:25
the person he has offended is seething
14:28
over something that Trevor is just completely
14:30
oblivious to. Now, if
14:32
the offended person, say maybe a boyfriend
14:34
or a husband, happened to be in
14:37
a
14:37
gang or,
14:39
you know, kind of with a rougher
14:41
crowd, they could have had the means and contacts
14:43
to get back at Trevor. The problem with this
14:45
is the same as many of the
14:47
theories. If there was a hit out on Trevor
14:50
for some revenge, why wasn't his body found?
14:52
Especially if it's a random attack. You know, hiding
14:55
a body is almost as dangerous as
14:57
killing someone. And most criminologists
15:00
agree that hiding a body tends to indicate
15:02
either a more organized attack or
15:05
someone who knew the victim, which
15:07
does not fit with this theory
15:09
of someone who just was angry
15:11
about some kind of random flirtation or
15:13
something that Trevor did that he was unaware
15:16
of. The timing also doesn't seem
15:18
right. It seems hard to believe that he
15:20
would get into an argument with someone.
15:22
And then what? They kind of followed him at
15:24
a distance while he went to the bank
15:26
and then waited off camera
15:29
until he left and then
15:31
followed him again. I guess you would have to assume that the
15:33
second man in black might be this person
15:36
and that the first man in black is a complete
15:38
random person. I don't know. It just doesn't.
15:41
It feels like if that's what happened, he
15:43
never would have made it to the bank. It seems like
15:45
somebody would have attacked him on
15:47
his way to work, not after
15:50
he got there and hung out for 30 minutes
15:52
and got his umbrella and left to me. In
15:55
addition to all the other problems you've identified, I just,
15:57
it feels, it just feels really unlikely
15:59
that.
15:59
that this is some random, heat of
16:02
the moment, angry person that he offended
16:04
that night. Yes, and it seems like it would
16:06
be, if this were like a targeted
16:08
attack by a random person
16:11
because they were an angered boyfriend
16:13
or husband, it would take some time to mobilize
16:16
because Trevor's not known to them.
16:18
Right, exactly, exactly. I
16:20
don't know. I think some
16:22
of the other criminal possibilities we're
16:24
going to discuss I think are a little bit more likely. One
16:26
of those, in the theory that some people suggest, is
16:29
that Trevor had some sort of drug debt and
16:31
was on the wrong side of a gang.
16:34
At that time,
16:35
even now, and everybody knows this, drugs
16:38
and especially cocaine, very commonplace
16:40
in white collar businesses. Apparently
16:42
this was something that was very common in Dublin's
16:45
south inner city at the time.
16:48
You got a big corporate party. You don't have
16:50
to have
16:50
watched a lot of American
16:53
Psycho to know that the
16:55
corporate party scene often involves
16:59
drugs. It's possible that Trevor
17:01
somehow got involved with some sort of drug dealer.
17:03
The problem is, it's never really been confirmed
17:06
that Trevor was into drugs
17:08
or that that was the kind of thing he would
17:11
have been involved in. Drug
17:13
dealers, they were common around that area.
17:15
It wouldn't have been hard to find somebody.
17:18
This was before you had cell phones and
17:21
the internet. That's
17:24
a possibility, but
17:26
not only did people say that
17:28
Trevor wasn't into this kind of thing, his
17:30
bank account doesn't really show it. Trevor
17:32
wasn't running out of money. There was no extreme
17:35
or regular spending that you would expect
17:37
if somebody had a big drug habit
17:39
and a big drug debt.
17:42
While this idea of sort of an organized
17:45
gang that decided Trevor had
17:47
to go and pick this night,
17:50
while it seems more attractive than
17:52
the random attack, it also seems like
17:54
it's pretty much full of holes. If Trevor had
17:56
any kind of debt, it wouldn't have been very big and
17:59
killing someone over
17:59
small drug debt. Pretty dumb
18:02
because number one is dangerous. Number two, you don't ever
18:04
get paid.
18:05
Once again, why hide his body? If you're
18:07
killing him over this, look, drug
18:10
dealers, people who kill people over drugs,
18:12
they don't hide the body.
18:13
They kill somebody in sort of a random attack.
18:16
The body's found in the street. The police never figure
18:18
it out
18:19
and they move on with their lives. The idea
18:21
that they would kill Trevor and then spirit him away
18:24
is pretty hard to believe.
18:27
Now police,
18:28
they did not dismiss this idea out
18:31
of hand. They actually spent a lot of time working
18:33
through the prison system in Ireland,
18:35
talking to people in prison, talking to their informants,
18:38
trying to find out some information about
18:40
what had happened to Trevor. And in fact,
18:42
in 2017, they did have an informant who
18:45
claimed that Trevor had been murdered by
18:47
a gang as a result of some sort of drug deal
18:50
gone wrong and his body was buried in a
18:52
field. The police actually searched that field.
18:54
They didn't find anything related to Trevor, though they didn't find
18:57
drugs and a gun. So it seems like the
18:58
informant had some information,
19:01
but maybe not the right information. We've talked about informants
19:03
before. Oftentimes their information
19:05
is incomplete, if not wrong, altogether. And
19:08
it seems like this informant didn't really know what they were
19:10
talking about.
19:10
And we've talked about this before too.
19:12
They were like, well, why would the informant
19:15
give him information about Trevor, especially if it leads
19:17
to, you know, guns and drugs? Sometimes
19:19
you're just bored in prison or you want
19:22
to work off some time so you provide information
19:24
or maybe they just heard it through the grapevine themselves because
19:27
people talk in prison. So this
19:29
type of information we've talked about so
19:32
much. It's hard to trust informants,
19:34
especially if they have something to get out of it, like maybe
19:37
good, you know, good time served if they are able to
19:39
help the police or just out of sheer
19:41
boredom, you know, they hear things and they want
19:43
to pass it along because everyone wants to appear
19:46
like they have helpful information. So
19:48
it does sound like this person probably had heard of a field
19:50
before and why not? Just
19:52
like we're talking about this as a theory, Trevor
19:55
could have been, you know, murdered by a gang.
19:57
That happens and this gang probably
19:59
did.
19:59
murder people, just maybe not Trevor. Okay,
20:02
more theories.
20:04
We're going to turn through these, and none
20:06
of these seem satisfying yet. And if you're not satisfied,
20:08
stick around because I agree. And
20:10
part of this is it's so unsatisfying because there's
20:13
been nothing found of Trevor
20:15
at all. His body, his possessions, nothing.
20:18
And that's why this is such a mind boggling case.
20:21
But stick with us. We'll keep going through some theories
20:23
with you to explore all the possibilities.
20:25
So another theory is that Trevor had been visiting prostitutes
20:28
in the nearby illicit brothels. Because
20:30
remember that area of town we talked about, there
20:33
were sex workers. There were also,
20:35
you could buy drugs in this area. It wasn't
20:37
terribly dangerous, but it was not maybe the
20:40
best place to be walking at night. So
20:43
it is possible that he could have
20:45
been hiring a sex worker that
20:47
night and had gotten into some trouble
20:50
with the pimps who obviously keep
20:52
control of the books and the money. And
20:54
you do not want to get on the wrong side
20:57
of these guys. Now that
20:59
area by the canal was known as a hub
21:01
for the illegal sex trade.
21:04
And Trevor was a young man. He
21:06
had no girlfriend. Remember
21:08
that Alaska trip we talked about? Whether
21:10
that factors into what's going on here at all, I
21:12
think it at least shines some light
21:15
on some difficulties that Trevor had in connecting
21:17
with women. He clearly misread
21:20
that entire situation. He took
21:22
a cross world trip
21:24
to go visit this woman who did
21:27
not want him there at all. And
21:29
he did not woo her while he was
21:32
in Alaska. So at least in
21:34
recent history, he did not have the best
21:36
luck with connecting with women. And
21:38
we know that Trevor worked in the area and
21:40
he had a well paying job, which
21:43
meant that he could afford to hire a woman
21:45
to have sex with if that's what he wanted. It's
21:48
possible that he had visited prostitutes and local
21:50
brothels on occasion and
21:53
had either witnessed something or done something
21:56
that led to those brothels
21:58
or the pimps targeting him.
23:59
clients back then.
24:01
Trevor was working in the IT section in a small
24:04
team. So even though normally you might think
24:06
a 22 year old guy, very entry
24:08
level type guy, how is he going to have access
24:10
to this kind of information? Because he's in IT,
24:13
he has access to all kinds of information and perhaps
24:16
he found evidence of some sort of wrongdoing
24:18
either by a client or
24:20
by some senior bank managers.
24:23
And in order to prevent him
24:25
from blowing the whistle, he may have been permanently
24:27
silenced. The fact that it all happened on a work
24:30
night out and that it revolved
24:31
around Trevor's workplace does
24:33
suggest a link. This is kind of like the ghost theory.
24:36
Did you ever watch Ghost Alice? The movie?
24:38
Of course. Wonderful movie.
24:40
Terrific movie. It was a little bit before
24:43
my time. I'm not going to talk about how you're older than me,
24:45
but I definitely did watch it.
24:47
Well, for those of you who've seen it and remember
24:49
it, this is kind of the ghost theory where you have a guy who
24:52
has some information. He doesn't even realize what he has,
24:55
but because of that, he is silenced.
24:58
But the problem with this is it
25:00
makes for a good Hollywood movie, but do we really
25:02
have any evidence of it? No, we don't.
25:04
The level of collusion you would need
25:07
in keeping this a secret for this
25:09
long really stretches the imagination
25:12
and no wrongdoing has ever been uncovered
25:14
despite all the scrutiny surrounding the circumstances
25:16
of Trevor's death. If people intended for this
25:19
to be a quiet murder, that's not what it was.
25:21
It became incredibly famous in Ireland
25:23
and was really looked into with a lot of details.
25:26
So you would think
25:27
even if you did this to cover something up, you might accidentally
25:30
end up revealing
25:31
what you were doing and that has never happened.
25:33
And you know, we're talking about the Bank of Ireland.
25:35
This isn't some like, you know, small
25:38
family owned business with a couple of
25:40
employees. This is like a huge
25:42
bank and Trevor, as
25:45
good of an employee as he is, he is. He's
25:48
not like the executive team. You know, he's
25:50
he's not the CEO, the COO. He's
25:52
like he's relatively young. He's a young
25:54
guy in his 20s working a good job,
25:56
but like
25:57
relatively speaking, lower on the totem
25:59
pole. It kind of stretches the imagination
26:01
to think that someone at his level would
26:04
have such important information
26:06
that he would have to be murdered to be kept
26:08
silent. So what
26:10
other theories are there? Because you
26:13
cold water prosecutors keep putting theories out there
26:15
and basically throwing them
26:17
out as soon as we talk about them. Okay,
26:19
we'll talk about another one then. Maybe Trevor
26:22
was kidnapped as a bank employee by
26:24
a criminal gang or paramilitary
26:26
group to extract some code or
26:29
ransom, something to that effect,
26:31
but it all went wrong.
26:33
He wasn't supposed to be killed. He was just supposed to be kind
26:35
of a pawn in a greater scheme of
26:38
bank fraud, but he was accidentally
26:40
killed. Now, some people often dismiss
26:42
the idea of a robbery because they
26:45
affirm that it wasn't a bank full of money,
26:47
but this is a bank asset management
26:50
center. People underestimate
26:52
the potential value of the documents
26:54
or records that could have been in the building that
26:56
night, even if it's not what you traditionally
26:59
think of for a bank to have like
27:01
a vault where you spin the big, you know,
27:03
locked wheel and you open it and it's just filled
27:05
with gold coins and money. Might not
27:07
be that, but it has a lot of documents
27:10
that can be very valuable if in the wrong
27:12
hands. So it's possible that
27:14
Trevor had, again, accidentally stumbled
27:16
across
27:17
some sort of heist
27:19
or other big kind of Ocean's
27:22
Eleven type fraud. And
27:24
he was taken out,
27:26
killed, so that he wouldn't alert or
27:28
identify anyone who was part of this
27:30
heist. Trevor had possibly turned
27:32
up at the wrong time and interrupted, say,
27:35
a stakeout. He went inside the gate after briefly
27:37
talking to that man in black and the man
27:39
in black had believed that what
27:41
Trevor was doing was going inside and alerting
27:44
Peter, the night security guard of the suspicious
27:46
presence of
27:47
this individual outside. Yet
27:51
when Trevor talked to his colleague
27:53
inside the office, remember when he was in there
27:55
having coffee with a colleague from about three thirty
27:57
six a.m. until four oh three a.m.
27:59
He displayed no anxiety
28:02
or fear at all. And he seemed to be
28:04
in a great mood, in fact. He
28:06
wasn't hurried or wanting to report
28:08
something. He just wanted to wait out the
28:11
rain and hang out because he
28:13
had no one to go home to. If Trevor had realized
28:15
something strange was going on, he surely would have
28:17
mentioned it
28:19
in that 30 minute span of time where he was
28:21
behind a locked gate where
28:23
there was security and there was no one
28:25
threatening his life or threatening
28:28
him to not report at that time. And if he'd really
28:31
realized that he was in danger or
28:33
something bad was happening, he could have actually
28:35
just stayed in the building, right? Like if he thought
28:38
that they were staking him out and they were gonna
28:40
wait for him, it's not like he ever had to leave the
28:42
office building. It was a possibility for him to stay
28:44
in there. The CCTV footage seems
28:46
to show that the man in black had been expecting
28:49
or maybe waiting for Trevor. He showed
28:52
very little interest in Trevor's two colleagues
28:54
who stopped briefly by the gate at 3.37 AM. Those
28:57
two colleagues seemed to be pretty drunk. They couldn't
28:59
figure out a way to get into the gate and
29:01
they kind of just left. But that man in black
29:03
didn't really talk to them, didn't pay them any attention
29:06
while Trevor was inside the
29:09
building. So it could be
29:11
that he was waiting for Trevor. It could be that if he
29:13
were that worried, maybe he should have talked to
29:15
the two colleagues, see when
29:17
Trevor was gonna come out. Was he calling someone in there?
29:19
What's going on? But that doesn't seem to be what happened.
29:22
I mean, it sounds really cool. And again, it sounds like
29:24
a movie, right? It sounds like really Oceans 11
29:26
or Oceans 12 or however many Oceans
29:28
there are at this point, which sounds like
29:30
a really cool mission and possible sort of thing. But
29:34
I don't know. And again, I don't know that Trevor
29:37
would necessarily be the person with
29:39
like the keys to the kingdom to be able to walk into
29:41
this intense heist and know what's going
29:44
on. Another theory is that Trevor
29:46
had actually arranged to meet the man in black
29:48
there for some reason. Maybe it was a sexual
29:50
motive. This theory is actually
29:52
more of a recent theory. Re-watching
29:55
the CCTV footage from camera one
29:58
again, Trevor's on the phone as he...
29:59
approaches and passes
30:02
the man in black who's also on
30:04
the phone. So it's possible that
30:06
they might've been on the phone with one another.
30:09
It's also possible that the man in black was
30:11
on the phone to an associate or
30:13
a collaborator and Trevor
30:17
in that first camera view doesn't seem at all
30:19
surprised or uncomfortable to
30:21
find this guy standing alone in kind
30:24
of an out of way place on a horribly
30:27
wet and windy night, who's dressed
30:29
from head to toe in black. Remember Trevor
30:31
kind of walks by and barely pays any attention to him. There
30:33
is a small gap in time, maybe 20
30:36
seconds between camera one and
30:38
two, where Trevor and the man in black
30:40
are present in a blind spot, but
30:42
out of view of both cameras. We
30:44
asked this earlier, were words exchanged then?
30:47
Who said what? What did they
30:49
talk about? They definitely talked
30:52
briefly after, as we see on
30:54
camera two.
30:55
Again, what were they talking about? Was it
30:57
something that was arranged? Maybe they expected
31:00
to see each other there. Maybe they didn't know that
31:02
was the person they were supposed to meet. But,
31:05
you know, when you like walk into a restaurant
31:07
and you're supposed to be meeting someone, but you may not know what they look
31:09
like, maybe you'll get on the phone and say,
31:11
Oh wait, are you that person? So
31:13
maybe they, that's why Trevor had walked by
31:15
the
31:16
man in black at first. Maybe he didn't know who he
31:18
was looking for and then confirmed it. And
31:20
if they were meeting, was it something
31:22
arranged?
31:24
And if so, was it for
31:26
something like a sexual motive? But
31:28
again, that seems really incredibly
31:31
contrived. There's no indication
31:33
that Trevor was attracted to men. But
31:35
then again, Ireland was still only emerging
31:37
from being a pretty conservative Catholic country
31:40
back in 2000. So it might
31:42
be the kind of thing that if you were attracted
31:45
to someone of the same sex, you might hide it. So maybe
31:48
Trevor was and didn't tell anyone, but the bigger
31:50
problem here is it's hard to believe that the
31:52
police wouldn't have located the man
31:54
in black if he was on the phone with Trevor because
31:56
they had cell phone data. So
31:59
while.
31:59
While at first looking at the camera views, it may seem
32:02
like they're on the phone with each other or something like
32:04
that, it would be hard for
32:06
the man in black to go completely unidentified
32:08
with all of Trevor's phone records.
32:10
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And that's one of the problems with this case is you
37:19
go
37:20
through these theories and we've gone through a lot of
37:22
them and none of them are satisfying.
37:24
None of them grab at you. You
37:27
don't feel like, I
37:29
mean, any of them are possible because there's
37:31
so little evidence, but none of them feel that
37:34
good. They don't seem to explain a lot
37:36
of the issues. I mean, probably the one that comes
37:38
to close is this is some sort of heist maybe.
37:41
And the man in black is there for some reason
37:44
related to that. But when you talk about these
37:46
theories, there's nothing in particular that
37:48
feels strong, which is why we
37:51
wanted to introduce
37:52
an alternative theory. One might
37:54
call it
37:56
a conspiracy theory. I don't know. I
37:58
don't know if I want to go that far. You may.
37:59
go that far. Alice may go that far. I'll
38:02
call it that. I think
38:04
we have to go back to something we mentioned in
38:06
the last episode.
38:08
The person who might be responsible for
38:11
Trevor's disappearance, in
38:13
a way, Bill Clinton. Bill
38:15
Clinton, President of the United States for
38:18
eight years in the 90s. Bill
38:20
Clinton, who we mentioned before, who was going
38:23
to Dublin.
38:24
What if he not only
38:26
inadvertently heard the investigation
38:28
because of the cleanup around the area of his trip,
38:31
which might have disposed of evidence or
38:34
destroyed valuable information. But what if it was
38:36
more than that? What
38:37
if the two things, Trevor's disappearance
38:40
and Bill Clinton's visit, were directly
38:43
connected? Not because of
38:46
something Bill Clinton did. What if whoever
38:48
was trying to gain entrance into Trevor's
38:50
building wasn't trying to
38:53
rob it?
38:54
What if they wanted a base from which
38:56
to launch
38:57
an assassination
38:59
attempt? Now, before you say this
39:01
is crazy, we're going to
39:05
lay the foundation for this and then come back
39:07
to this assassination attempt theory. I'm so excited for
39:09
this
39:09
history theory. This is such a good history
39:12
theory. To
39:16
understand why this is possible, you have to know something
39:18
about Irish history. The thing that I think
39:20
probably even most people in Ireland don't understand
39:23
is Americans are kind of obsessed with Ireland
39:25
in a weird way, in this weird sort
39:27
of strange way. In
39:30
college, I was obsessed with Irish
39:32
history. You guys know I was a history major and
39:34
I did mostly American history, but
39:36
I also did a lot of Irish history
39:38
and history of Britain in general,
39:41
became sort of fascinated by it. That's
39:43
sort of, I think, one of the reasons that this
39:46
just immediately jumped in mind for me, where maybe it doesn't
39:48
jump to mind for other people. But let's talk about Ireland.
39:51
Let's
39:51
put on our history hats and
39:53
talk about Ireland.
39:56
Ireland,
39:57
as you guys know, the entire...
40:00
Ireland, for a very long time, was part
40:02
of the United Kingdom. Today it's called the United
40:04
Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern
40:07
Ireland. Why is that? Why Northern
40:09
Ireland? Well, before 1916, you could drop
40:12
the Northern part. Ireland had been under
40:14
the control of England for several hundred years,
40:17
and despite attempted rebellions, seemingly
40:19
every generation, it appeared it might
40:22
always be. But
40:24
then in 1916, you had a small group of
40:26
students and poets who launched
40:29
an uprising on Easter,
40:32
Easter 1916.
40:34
They were quickly defeated as they
40:36
knew they would be. These
40:38
guys were idealist to
40:41
the utmost.
40:42
Patrick Pierce
40:44
was their leader, and he had this
40:46
theory that the only way that Irish
40:48
rebellion could ever happen is with
40:50
some sacrifice, and they were willing to sacrifice
40:52
themselves. And the British just
40:54
fell right into this trap because they arrested
40:57
these guys.
40:58
The uprising is defeated. It's kind of like Les
41:00
Mis, where
41:02
they're all thinking the people of Paris are going
41:04
to rise and then the sun rises and there's nobody
41:06
there and they all get killed. That's basically what happened.
41:09
But the leaders were arrested and they were
41:11
executed
41:12
in sort of a very
41:14
famous series of executions
41:17
in Kilmain in jail just outside of
41:19
Dublin.
41:20
And this was a really bad thing. This was a bad
41:22
decision by the British.
41:24
If they had just sort of
41:26
put these guys in prison and let them out after a little
41:28
while, things might've been fine, but they immediately
41:30
became heroes, martyrs across
41:32
all of Ireland. Britain's in the middle of
41:34
World War I,
41:36
so it's not like they can really deal with
41:38
a rebellion just across the
41:40
strait. And they were ill-equipped
41:42
to deal with this.
41:44
And this group of fighters, this ragtag
41:46
group of fighters called themselves the Irish Republican
41:49
Army.
41:49
And the fighting continued for
41:51
about five years. When the war in Europe
41:54
was over, however, Britain directed
41:57
more and more of its attention to the problems in Ireland.
41:59
And
42:00
the popular opinion in Ireland was that
42:02
the IRA was winning the war and
42:05
they were holding their own. But they
42:07
had some pretty serious problems at this point, including
42:09
with an ammunition supply and the simple fact
42:11
that Britain was able to send more and more men
42:14
to the island.
42:16
But the British were really sick of fighting. World
42:18
War I had been really rough. They lost a lot of people.
42:21
They wanted to make a deal.
42:23
The Irish couldn't keep fighting. The British didn't want to.
42:26
A deal was made and the consequences
42:29
are felt to this day.
42:32
26 of the predominantly Catholic counties were
42:34
granted independence. They became the free state
42:37
of Ireland. But six counties made up
42:39
mostly of Protestants would remain
42:41
part of Great Britain. Some pro-independence
42:44
forces felt betrayed and there was a civil
42:46
war that followed. And even
42:48
when that civil war ended, the IRA
42:51
continued to launch attacks. The IRA,
42:54
which had been the Irish Republican army, which
42:56
had been the Arm of Revolution, was eventually
42:58
banned in the Republic as a terrorist
43:00
group.
43:01
The IRA, the remains, they
43:04
name themselves the provisional IRA or the provosts.
43:07
And these attacks escalate in the 1960s,
43:09
leading to something called the troubles.
43:12
And for 30 years, there was an undeclared war
43:14
raging in Northern Ireland. Massive
43:17
bombings by both the IRA
43:19
and the Protestant Ulster Defense Association
43:22
were killing hundreds of people, including
43:24
Lord Mountbitten. We're going to talk more about him, who
43:26
was the last viceroy of India, by the
43:28
way, and the man for whom Prince William's latest
43:31
son was named, Inter
43:33
Bill Clinton.
43:34
So that's a lot of history. That's like 500
43:36
years of history in a few minutes. But essentially
43:39
it is hard for people to imagine
43:41
what Ireland was like in the 80s and 90s.
43:44
You talked about Belfast and Beirut
43:46
in the same breath. It was not
43:49
the lovely, wonderful place to visit.
43:51
It is now. It was an ongoing
43:54
war in a lot of ways. People were getting
43:56
blown up and killed. Tens of thousands of people were
43:58
killed. it was a real
44:00
problem. It's just hard to imagine that that
44:02
kind of situation was going on in Ireland
44:05
in the 80s and 90s, but it was. And
44:07
Bill Clinton, who had some Irish
44:10
ancestry, and as I said, Americans
44:12
are all obsessed with Ireland, he comes
44:14
in and he is going to change this.
44:17
So the most consequential action
44:19
of Clinton's presidency may be
44:21
his commitment to ending the troubles.
44:24
And his trip to Ireland in 1994 is
44:27
widely credited by forces on both
44:29
sides as beginning the peace process
44:32
that culminated in the Good Friday
44:34
Agreement on April 10th, 1998. The
44:38
paramilitary groups laid down their arms
44:40
and the troubles came to an end.
44:44
It's really difficult to understate
44:46
Clinton's contribution here, and he became
44:48
close to the leaders of Sinn Féin and the IRA.
44:51
When Martin McInnes, the former commander
44:54
of the IRA, died in 2017, Clinton spoke at his funeral
44:59
in Derry. In an 11 minute
45:02
eulogy, Clinton compared McInnes
45:05
to Nelson Mandela. And when
45:08
it was over, Clinton, I
45:10
mean, just to emphasize the complexity
45:12
of all of this, the queen sent a message
45:14
of condolence to McInnes' widow,
45:17
and she had famously
45:19
shook hands with McInnes in 2012.
45:24
Lord Lewis Mountbatten, who
45:26
we mentioned earlier, was the queen's cousin,
45:29
and he'd been the first
45:31
sea lord, the head of the British military,
45:34
the supreme Allied commander in Southeast
45:36
Asia during World War II, and the
45:39
final viceroy of India. He also
45:41
patented a
45:42
polo stick. He'd basically raised
45:44
King Charles III, in fact, he'd been the
45:47
one to introduce Elizabeth and Philip.
45:49
Charles would eventually propose
45:51
to Mountbatten's granddaughter,
45:54
though she refused him, in large part due to the fact
45:56
that she's still reeling from Mountbatten's untimely
45:59
death. Now
46:01
Prince William would eventually
46:03
name his youngest son after Mountbatten.
46:06
It was McGinnis who ordered his assassination during
46:08
a
46:08
fishing trip in County Sligo in 1979 that
46:13
also killed his two nephews. After
46:15
the bombing, the IRA issued a statement
46:18
saying, quote, The IRA claim
46:20
responsibility for the execution of
46:22
Lord Louis Mountbatten. This
46:25
operation is one of the discriminant
46:27
ways we can bring to the attention of the English
46:30
people, the continuing occupation
46:32
of our country. The death of Mountbatten
46:35
and the tributes paid to him will be seen
46:37
in sharp contrast to the apathy of the British
46:40
government and the English people to the
46:42
deaths of over 300 British
46:45
soldiers and the deaths of Irish
46:47
men, women and children
46:50
at the hands of their
46:51
forces. Yeah, and this is the guy
46:53
that Clinton is eulogizing and
46:56
it's this is such a complex
46:58
situation. It's hard to it's just hard
47:00
to imagine. It's hard to imagine that
47:02
you could have this as we said going
47:05
on and
47:05
then you have this piece of cord
47:08
and then everybody's just friends and the
47:10
Queen is shaking hands with the man who did
47:12
this and said this. And
47:14
as far as the United States goes, this is another
47:16
thing I don't know if people in Ireland are really familiar
47:18
with the the people in the United
47:20
States have a really weird relationship with the IRA.
47:23
So the IRA, as you can tell, is
47:25
and I hope nobody blows me up for
47:27
saying this, is a terrorist organization. I mean,
47:29
that's what it is. And it very
47:32
clearly was killing people. But in the
47:34
United States, it was seen as this
47:36
sort of freedom fighting group, particularly
47:39
in places like Boston, where IRA
47:41
fundraisers would go to bars
47:43
in Boston. There's these great stories about this. They just show up
47:45
in bars and take up a collection for the boys,
47:48
which were the guys who were fighting these battles.
47:50
And IRA members would come to the United States and
47:52
buy weapons and then bring them back
47:55
to Ireland. One of the slogans
47:57
was the ballot and the armolite, which
47:59
was how
47:59
they were going to win. They were going to win through
48:02
elections. Sinn Féin was going to take
48:04
over
48:05
and they were going to win through the use of the Armalite,
48:07
which is an AR. That's where
48:09
the AR comes from, an AR-15. So
48:12
they were committed to this fight
48:13
through the 80s and 90s until eventually
48:16
they decided on peace. And it wasn't just
48:19
McGinnis, he was the leader of this paramilitary
48:21
group. It was also Gary Adams, who was the
48:23
political leader, the leader of Sinn Féin.
48:25
He would say, the IRA gave clear reasons
48:28
for the execution.
48:29
I think it is unfortunate that anyone has to be
48:31
killed, but the furor created by Mountbatten's
48:33
death showed up the hypocritical attitude
48:36
of the media establishment. As a member of the
48:38
House of Lords, Mountbatten was an emotional
48:40
figure in both British and Irish politics.
48:43
What the IRA did to him is what Mountbatten
48:45
had been doing all his life to other people. And
48:48
with his war record, I don't think he would have objected
48:50
to dying in what was clearly a war situation.
48:53
He knew the danger involved in coming to this country.
48:55
In my opinion, the IRA achieved its
48:57
objective. People started paying attention
49:00
to what was happening in
49:02
Ireland. It turns out the assassination
49:04
was actually a coordinated attack. On the same day,
49:07
IRA members ambushed and killed 18 British
49:10
soldiers and counted down.
49:12
And the parties responsible for these attacks were eventually
49:15
arrested. They were all released as part of
49:17
the Good Friday Accords. And once
49:19
again, try and imagine
49:21
this.
49:23
Most of you who are listening to this are Americans.
49:25
Try to imagine if something
49:28
similar happened. If like, you
49:31
know,
49:31
the Secretary of Defense was fishing
49:34
in Canada and the Québécois
49:37
revolutionaries took him out for
49:39
free French
49:41
Quebec and issued this kind of statement
49:43
and political leaders issued this kind of statement. Imagine
49:46
the response from the United States,
49:48
what it would be. And oh, by the way, after doing that, then
49:51
killed a bunch of American soldiers. It's just
49:54
mind blowing. It's hard to even imagine
49:56
something like that happening. But it was happening in
49:59
Ireland.
49:59
in the 70s, ended in the 80s, and
50:02
up until the 90s when they reached this
50:05
peace agreement. But here's the thing about the peace agreement.
50:07
They reached a peace agreement, but they didn't solve the underlying
50:09
problem. You still have Northern Ireland.
50:11
And there were plenty of people who had dedicated
50:14
their lives to this war, because that's
50:16
what they viewed it. If you listen to Gary
50:18
Adams, I mean, he's telling you, Jerry Adams, I
50:20
think something actually pronounced his name. He's telling
50:22
you, like, look, this is a war. IRA is saying
50:24
the same thing. Not everybody was ready
50:27
to just let this go. So the IRA
50:29
disbanded as part of this agreement, though lots
50:31
of people think the IRA is still around. But at that
50:33
point, the real IRA
50:36
was formed. On August
50:38
15th, 1998, the real IRA set off a bomb in
50:43
Omaha, Northern Ireland. It
50:45
killed 29 people and injured 300
50:47
more.
50:48
And so when Clinton visited
50:51
Ireland in 2000, he made a point
50:53
of stopping in Dundalk, which
50:55
was a real IRA stronghold. And
50:58
in fact, the place where the leader of
51:00
the real IRA
51:02
lived.
51:03
So that's sort of the situation you've got in 2000.
51:06
You've got the real IRA who was
51:08
very unhappy with the fact that there's
51:10
peace. You have the architect of that
51:12
piece coming to Ireland. And
51:14
not only is he coming to Ireland, he's going to thumb his
51:17
nose in the face of
51:19
the real IRA.
51:20
And it makes you wonder if maybe somebody in the real
51:22
IRA decided we want
51:25
to make a point. We want to do something
51:27
spectacular. So where does Trevor come
51:29
in
51:30
and all this? Well,
51:31
there are some things we want to talk about. The
51:33
key,
51:34
the building,
51:35
the route and the chain.
51:37
These are the four things that I think are important to
51:40
this to this theory, to this insane
51:42
theory of mine. The first, the
51:44
key. So
51:45
Trevor is someone who works at this bank. Imagine
51:48
for a second, the man in black is a
51:50
real IRA
51:52
person who wants for whatever reason to
51:54
get into the building. What is he going
51:56
to need? He's going to need a key. And
51:59
so maybe you imagine, imagine
52:01
he's scoping out the place trying to find
52:03
a way in. Obviously, the IRA was very
52:05
well organized. The way they executed Mountbatten,
52:09
the way they coordinated that with an attack on British
52:11
soldiers, this was a group of people who knew how
52:13
to do things. You could imagine that
52:15
one of those people or a group of those people
52:18
were actually staking out this party,
52:20
looking for a target, someone
52:22
who could get them into the building.
52:25
Trevor just randomly happens to be
52:27
the one person who by himself is
52:30
walking back to that building, where the man
52:32
in black is waiting. What happens as
52:34
Trevor is walking back to the building?
52:37
The man in black gets a phone call.
52:39
When he gets that phone call, he steps off into the
52:41
street and looks down in the direction
52:44
of Trevor. He then allows Trevor to pass
52:46
him, doesn't say a thing to him, lets him pass him,
52:49
then he turns
52:50
and follows him. He actually ends up passing Trevor
52:52
at some point between these two cameras, but he
52:54
just casually keeps going and then hangs
52:57
out in front of the back gate, the entrance
52:59
to this building. It says something
53:02
to Trevor, but he's very casual about it.
53:04
Trevor starts looking for his key. What
53:06
does the man in black do? He looks over his shoulder
53:08
and watches him, sees that he gets
53:11
his key, sees that he can get in through
53:13
the gate, lets him go through. He's
53:15
not going to follow him in. He's smart enough
53:17
not to do that. He knows there will be security. He's
53:20
not going to do that,
53:21
but he now knows that
53:23
Trevor has access to the building.
53:26
Why the building is important will come to
53:29
in a second. He knows Trevor has access
53:31
to the building. Then you see Trevor leave.
53:34
Then you see that video and you see someone who appears
53:36
to be the man in black and possibly an accomplice
53:38
who is a woman and possibly an accomplice
53:40
in a vehicle who passed Trevor. After
53:43
you see those three things, you never
53:45
see Trevor again.
53:46
It feels as though he may have disappeared.
53:49
Why would they want access to the building?
53:52
Let's talk about the route. Let's talk
53:54
about where Bill Clinton went when he went
53:56
to Dublin. This is going to make more sense to those
53:59
of you who are.
53:59
from Dublin, but we will put these maps
54:02
up on the website
54:04
so you guys can see it. So
54:07
Clinton, he begins his trip in Phoenix
54:09
park, which is a big park in the middle of Dublin.
54:11
He lands there in
54:14
Marine one and he's,
54:16
it's right where the U S ambassadors residence
54:19
is located. So he lands there on Tuesday,
54:21
December 12th, 2000, very soon after this party
54:26
that Trevor went to from there.
54:28
He gets in a vehicle and travels
54:31
to the president's house, the president of Ireland,
54:33
who is also located in Phoenix park. The
54:35
president is the ceremonial head
54:38
of government. He's kind of like the
54:40
queen. Hopefully it's not offensive
54:43
to everybody in Ireland, but he's kind of like the queen in
54:45
that he is, he represents the state,
54:47
but he's not, he doesn't have political power.
54:50
So he hangs out with the president for a little while. Then
54:53
they get in a car and they travel to visit
54:55
the tee shock, which is the actual
54:58
political leader of Ireland's named after
55:00
sort of an ancient word for leader
55:02
in Gaelic. So they go to visit him.
55:05
His name is Bertie Aaron and
55:07
he's the actual leader of Ireland. So the president,
55:10
more like the king or queen of England, this
55:12
guy,
55:13
more like the president of the United States. And then
55:15
after this meeting, Clinton goes off and visits
55:17
the Guinness brewery has some Guinness and then
55:20
he heads back to Phoenix park.
55:22
So why are we talking about all this? If you
55:24
look at a map of this
55:26
path that he takes, Clinton
55:29
is driving in a motorcade
55:31
and to get to the tee shocks office
55:34
and from it to the Guinness storehouse,
55:37
the motorcade would have to have
55:39
traveled within a hundred yards
55:42
of the building where Trevor
55:44
worked. It is, if you look at the map,
55:47
very, very close.
55:49
And this would give you an opportunity if
55:51
you were in the IRA. If you're in the real
55:53
IRA, there's
55:54
a couple of things you can sort of imagine they might
55:57
do. One of them is trying to take a shot and
55:59
Clinton that's.
55:59
probably not going to work. It would be
56:02
very difficult to pull that off. But what are they known
56:04
for doing? Car bombs. So you could imagine
56:07
that you would want to put yourself in a situation where
56:09
you can see the approaching motorcade, possibly
56:11
from the top of this building. You're close
56:13
to the route, but not so close that maybe
56:16
you would be uncovered. You set up a bomb
56:18
somewhere, you set off the bomb, and
56:20
that's how you do the assassination attempt. A
56:23
couple things that could have happened. Obviously that didn't happen. Clinton
56:25
visited, he had a great time,
56:28
he thumbed his nose at the real IRA, he flew
56:30
back home, and that was basically the end of his presidency.
56:32
This was the last thing he did as
56:34
president, sort of a celebration of everything he had accomplished
56:37
in Ireland. Well, there's a couple possibilities. One
56:40
is that killing Trevor
56:42
to get that key was actually something that
56:45
raised the heat so much on them, they
56:47
decided to abandon this entire
56:50
operation. That is one possibility. The
56:52
other possibility is the
56:54
chain. So the fourth thing, so we talked about the key,
56:56
we talked about the building, we talked about the route, let's talk about the chain.
56:59
What the man in black would not have
57:01
known
57:02
is that there was also a chain,
57:05
and that if the chain was on the gate, you
57:07
couldn't get in with the key.
57:09
By the time he got there, the chain
57:11
had actually been taken off for a delivery. There
57:13
had been a delivery to the building, the security
57:16
had taken off the chain, and for whatever reason, they
57:18
never put it back on. And that's the only reason
57:20
that Trevor was actually able to get in, because
57:22
the chain wasn't back on.
57:24
It's also possible that this entire
57:27
thing fell apart because they got the key,
57:29
but
57:29
it wasn't enough.
57:31
And that when they got there to try and get
57:33
into the building to set all this up, they
57:35
couldn't actually do it, because the chain was on and
57:37
there was no way to get it off without calling
57:39
security. Trevor could have done
57:41
that. If he had gotten there and the
57:44
chain had been on, he could have called security, he
57:46
obviously works there, they would have let him in. They
57:48
wouldn't let these people in. If they actually had to interact
57:50
with someone in security, that would have been
57:52
a huge problem for this entire
57:55
plot. And you could imagine the entire
57:57
plot falls apart. In
58:00
short, that is my conspiracy
58:02
theory. In short, in long, that
58:04
is my conspiracy theory about
58:06
why these people wanted to get in. It
58:09
was an IRA operation that
58:11
went wrong. And the one other thing I'll say about
58:13
this, we've talked about the body a lot and we've talked
58:15
about how nobody ever found the body. Well, when Bill
58:17
Clinton gave that long eulogy
58:20
at Martin McGinnis's
58:22
funeral, there was one group of people in
58:24
particular who were very upset.
58:27
They were the families of the disappeared.
58:30
And the disappeared are what we call the
58:32
people in Ireland who were kidnapped,
58:35
murdered, and then their
58:37
bodies disposed of by the IRA
58:39
over the course of the
58:41
troubles. This happened a lot.
58:44
There are hundreds and hundreds of these people. The
58:46
IRA was very good at it. If you want to learn
58:49
more about this, there's a terrific book
58:51
called Say Nothing, which is
58:53
told from the perspective of a lot of people who were in
58:55
the IRA that talks about some of
58:58
these instances of these disappeared people
59:00
who the IRA showed up, they grabbed them, they
59:03
never saw them again. If there was anybody
59:05
who could do this, there was anybody who could grab
59:07
Trevor and get rid of him such that
59:09
he would never be found.
59:11
It was the IRA. Brett, that
59:13
was awesome. Because here's the thing.
59:15
We have as much evidence really
59:17
of this theory as all the other ones because
59:20
of the lack of evidence all around, except
59:23
you really do put some flavor with the IRA,
59:25
which is a real ... This
59:28
was all bubbling up around this time.
59:30
So wait, so is your theory that they were going to get inside
59:32
and park the car
59:35
bomb inside the gate because the rest of
59:37
the streets would be cleared for the motorcade?
59:38
So the way they did it, and the way they did it
59:40
with Mount Botan, is they would plant
59:43
the bomb. I mean, they would occasionally do timed bombs.
59:45
So the Orma bombing was a
59:47
timed bomb. There's
59:48
a picture in which some of you will have seen that
59:51
will be in one of our videos, probably this one, of
59:53
a father and a son standing in front of a car
59:56
in Orma and the picture is taken. That is
59:58
the bomb, the car, both the father and son.
59:59
survived, but that's the car that
1:00:02
eventually exploded a couple hours later. That was one
1:00:04
way they did it. That would not have been effective
1:00:06
here
1:00:07
because you wouldn't know exactly when Clinton was passing
1:00:09
through. What you would have needed is a spotter.
1:00:12
So with Mountbatten, for instance, the
1:00:14
way they killed him is they had a guy who
1:00:17
was on the shore
1:00:19
and he was watching Mountbatten
1:00:21
through his binoculars, waiting
1:00:24
for the right moment. The boat gets out into
1:00:26
the middle of the water. They had already planted a bomb
1:00:29
in the boat and then he blew it
1:00:31
up through remote control. So what I'm imagining
1:00:33
is you plant a bomb along the route.
1:00:36
You get into that building, which is close,
1:00:39
but not so close that would necessarily be taken over
1:00:41
by the secret service. You get to the
1:00:44
top of the building, you wait until the
1:00:46
motorcade comes through at the right spot,
1:00:49
then you detonate the bomb remotely. And
1:00:52
so that's how you'd pull it off. I
1:00:54
had a weird instance one time when
1:00:56
I was working in the state, Hillary
1:00:59
Clinton visited as part of her campaign
1:01:01
and she was visiting Martin Luther King
1:01:03
Jr's church, which was right across the street from
1:01:05
where I worked. And I was
1:01:07
at work that day looking out the window
1:01:10
of my building
1:01:11
and Hillary Clinton was standing in the street,
1:01:13
like just underneath me.
1:01:15
And
1:01:16
obviously I would never do anything to anyone,
1:01:19
including Hillary Clinton. But I was standing there thinking, this is
1:01:21
a real security breach because I'm
1:01:23
just here. Like nobody checked me as I came
1:01:25
into the building today and there's Hillary Clinton
1:01:27
right there. You know? So while
1:01:30
the secret service does a great job of
1:01:32
securing locations, they can only do so much.
1:01:35
And I would imagine that this is far
1:01:37
enough away that if you could get into there,
1:01:40
you could pull this off without anybody
1:01:42
noticing. Now, could you plant the bomb? That
1:01:44
would be the harder part. It's possible they just
1:01:46
also never were able to do that. That they had the key
1:01:48
they thought they had a way in, but they were never
1:01:50
able to plant a bomb due to all the security
1:01:53
considerations in a place where they could
1:01:55
pull this off. So that is one possibility. And
1:01:58
look,
1:01:58
is there evidence? quote unquote, to
1:02:00
support this. No. Other than
1:02:03
the fact to me, this seems like it was targeted
1:02:05
at Trevor. It was pulled off very
1:02:08
cleanly with no evidence whatsoever.
1:02:11
And Clinton's arrival in Dublin
1:02:13
was so close in time to this that
1:02:16
it
1:02:16
is a conspiracy theory. But
1:02:19
I mean,
1:02:21
it wouldn't surprise me if something crazy
1:02:23
like this is what happened. So if
1:02:25
one day I'm getting into my car and it
1:02:27
blows up, you know, we were right. Oh,
1:02:30
we'll talk about car bombs and where
1:02:32
you're from at some point in one of these episodes, I'm
1:02:34
sure. But I
1:02:37
like your conspiracy theory. I
1:02:40
agree. There's really no evidence of it. And to
1:02:42
me, it stretches a little
1:02:44
bit that they can be so coordinated and so
1:02:47
good at pulling off the kidnapping
1:02:49
and then disappearance and murder of
1:02:52
Trevor,
1:02:53
but have it go nowhere. You know, it just seems
1:02:55
like that that was so well executed
1:02:58
that for the rest of the plan to fall apart,
1:03:00
but maybe that's how the IRA rolls
1:03:02
like we get as far as we can
1:03:04
and people are disposable, Trevor's
1:03:06
disposable, even if we weren't 100 percent sure
1:03:09
that this would lead us to success
1:03:11
in our assassination plan.
1:03:14
So it could be that it just seems like it's
1:03:16
such a well coordinated plot
1:03:19
that it seems unlikely
1:03:21
that it would just fall so far short of
1:03:23
achieving the end goal. But
1:03:26
let me let me maybe take a spin on
1:03:28
your conspiracy theory for a slightly less
1:03:31
conspiratorial possibility that
1:03:33
still involves a lot of the historical
1:03:35
importance of Northern Ireland
1:03:37
and the IRA as you have laid it out. Maybe
1:03:41
this was not about
1:03:43
assassinating Clinton.
1:03:46
Maybe it was just about making money. Trevor's
1:03:48
disappearance was a year after the Good
1:03:50
Friday Agreement, but could
1:03:52
have been a dissident
1:03:54
IRA group looking desperately
1:03:56
for funding, perhaps the real IRA.
1:03:58
And as As a bank employee,
1:04:01
the real IRA IRA might
1:04:03
have seen Trevor as having some
1:04:05
sort of ransom
1:04:07
value, no matter his role
1:04:09
in the company. The IRA have been
1:04:11
known to kidnap for ransom to fund activities,
1:04:14
and the IRA is good at this kind of thing
1:04:17
like we've kind of talked about. On
1:04:19
December 20th, 2004, for instance,
1:04:22
a group believed to be a part of the real
1:04:24
IRA pulled off a 25.6
1:04:26
million pound robbery of the
1:04:29
Northern Bank in Belfast.
1:04:32
So there's some historical credence
1:04:35
to them being able
1:04:37
to pull off something like this and to use
1:04:40
kidnappings as a way to fund activities.
1:04:43
The only problem here, of course, is that there
1:04:46
was never any ransom demand for Trevor.
1:04:49
He is relatively low on the totem
1:04:51
pole in terms of someone having
1:04:53
value, and it didn't
1:04:56
actually lead to any money that
1:04:59
we know of going out the door for
1:05:01
anybody related to Trevor or not.
1:05:05
Yeah, I think if it was for money, it was still to get
1:05:07
in. I think access to the building
1:05:09
was why this happened. I don't think
1:05:11
this was a random attack. I think the man in black
1:05:14
is responsible or is part of the group who
1:05:16
is responsible. I think they coordinated this.
1:05:18
I think there's a reason they weren't interested in the two
1:05:21
people. The two guys who show up later,
1:05:23
the man in black shows no interest in them. I
1:05:25
think they had already identified Trevor for whatever
1:05:27
reason. He was alone, and
1:05:30
he was the one they were going to go after, and they wanted
1:05:32
to get into that building. Why exactly
1:05:34
is hard to say? Could have been there was some
1:05:36
sort of value there that we're
1:05:39
not thinking of. There
1:05:40
wasn't gold in that bank,
1:05:42
but there would have been valuable things, and maybe they
1:05:45
knew that.
1:05:45
Just to keep going back to movies and stuff, if you guys have
1:05:48
ever seen
1:05:49
Justified, great show, love that show.
1:05:51
Last season, there's a bank robbery where all they
1:05:54
steal is documents. They don't steal any money. They
1:05:56
just steal documents because they know the documents are valuable.
1:05:58
It's a similar thing here.
1:05:59
where for whatever reason, whatever
1:06:02
reason it is, they wanna get in that building.
1:06:05
And Trevor is the key and has
1:06:07
the key, has the literal key. And
1:06:10
like I said, I don't know why, but
1:06:13
you'll never convince me that this was an accident
1:06:15
for all the reasons we said. And
1:06:16
you'll never convince me that this was a
1:06:19
random act of violence for all the reasons
1:06:22
we said. So I think this was an organized attack.
1:06:24
It's also possible the IRA,
1:06:26
a lot of the IRA members basically turned
1:06:28
into a mafia afterwards. Once the sort
1:06:30
of political reasons died away,
1:06:32
they used their skills to do things like
1:06:35
run the drug operation or the gambling
1:06:37
operations or whatever in
1:06:39
various places in Ireland. So it's possible that it is
1:06:42
something like that, that it is the IRA, but
1:06:44
not the real IRA
1:06:45
and not for any sort of political purpose, but just for
1:06:48
some sort of monetary thing. So that's what I think happened.
1:06:50
I think there is some connection there. I
1:06:52
don't know what it is. If
1:06:54
you're somebody who used to be in the IRA and you wanna
1:06:56
reach out and let us know if you think our idea
1:06:58
is plausible. Please don't blow us up. Love
1:07:00
to hear from you. Don't blow us up. That
1:07:03
will just confirm the theory and you don't wanna
1:07:05
do that.
1:07:06
You wanna do the opposite of that. Exactly,
1:07:09
you wanna do the opposite of that. Right, and
1:07:11
you know, hey, we're all about Irish independence
1:07:13
here on the Proscutors. Oh man. I
1:07:18
don't know, I like this. I do like this theory.
1:07:20
I think it's interesting. And really
1:07:23
at bottom,
1:07:24
there's no evidence because I
1:07:27
do think this is targeted because of the complete
1:07:29
lack of evidence. Crimes are hard
1:07:31
to pull off completely undetected and it takes
1:07:33
planning ahead of time. And the
1:07:35
fact that there is so little evidence is evidence,
1:07:38
I think to me, that it was coordinated
1:07:40
and it was targeted.
1:07:41
So that's our theories. We
1:07:43
don't really have any great ones. I mean, we have some good
1:07:45
ones, but maybe not. Any that have a lot of evidence
1:07:47
behind them. Love to hear what you guys think.
1:07:50
Proscutorspodatgmail.com is our
1:07:52
email at Proscutorspod for Twitter, Facebook,
1:07:54
and Instagram. Join the gallery
1:07:57
so you can discuss this and other cases.
1:07:59
with us and hello to all of you on Patreon
1:08:02
listening early in ad free. We love you guys.
1:08:05
Enjoy so much discussing some of these cases live
1:08:08
with you on our YouTubes
1:08:11
and our Get Vocals
1:08:13
though those have been kind of a disaster lately. We tried
1:08:16
though. We went all the different ways. We try.
1:08:19
We want to see your faces and we want you to see our faces. So
1:08:21
thank you guys for being so supportive. Hey
1:08:25
guys, this is Brett with a quick follow
1:08:27
up. You know, when we finished this episode, I thought
1:08:30
to myself, are people going to think we're crazy?
1:08:32
Are
1:08:32
they going to say, you know, the owl theory was
1:08:35
one thing, but now they've really, they've
1:08:37
lost the plot. And look, if you thought
1:08:39
that I can understand with
1:08:42
the IRA really try and blow up a bomb
1:08:44
in the middle of a presidential visit. Well,
1:08:47
you know, it's funny how history repeats
1:08:50
itself. Very recently in April of 2023,
1:08:53
President Biden visited Northern
1:08:56
Ireland and I have an article I'm going
1:08:58
to read to you the headline IRA
1:09:00
terror plot foiled in Northern Ireland
1:09:03
ahead of president Biden
1:09:05
visit police in Northern Ireland
1:09:07
have thwarted an IRA terror bomb plot
1:09:09
intended to disrupt president Biden's upcoming
1:09:12
visit to Belfast on Tuesday. Members
1:09:14
of the paramilitary group, the new IRA
1:09:17
were allegedly looking to purchase bomb
1:09:19
parts and dairy and scheming to build
1:09:21
an explosive device to disrupt Biden's
1:09:23
diplomatic stopover. The
1:09:25
belief is that the new IRA was planning some sort
1:09:28
of attack to coincide with Biden's
1:09:30
visit. Last November, the great claimed
1:09:32
responsibility for detonating a roadside bomb
1:09:35
targeting a police vehicle in County Tyrone.
1:09:38
Thomas Mellon, the leader of the new IRA wanted
1:09:40
a quote unquote spectacular way to
1:09:42
undermine Biden's visit. So
1:09:45
my question for you is, is this a
1:09:47
coincidence? Is this a new idea
1:09:50
or is it a rehashing of
1:09:52
an old plot that at some point
1:09:55
went wrong something to think about?
1:09:57
Thanks for listening.
1:09:59
Alice, is there anything else you want to say before
1:10:02
we sign off?
1:10:02
This has been fun, Brett. I can't
1:10:05
believe we made it through your theory in this episode, but
1:10:07
look at us being shortwinded. There you
1:10:09
go. Look at us. Look
1:10:11
at us. We're so great. Well, as we sail off
1:10:13
to the foggy dew, next week we'll be back with another
1:10:16
case, new questions, maybe
1:10:18
new answers. We'll see. But
1:10:20
until then, I'm Brett. And
1:10:23
I'm Alice. And we are the
1:10:25
prosecutors.
1:10:30
It's really shocking.
1:10:47
Okay,
1:10:48
I'm recording and you're on speaker.
1:10:54
Testing, testing, testing, testing. Man, it's a bad start. Anytime
1:10:58
you want to start that over. Oh
1:11:00
man.
1:11:04
I'm drinking this bourbon.
1:11:06
Are you going to do testing or not? I
1:11:08
just did it. Okay, okay. Yeah, I
1:11:10
heard the clink of the glass. I was like, maybe
1:11:12
he's like three drinks in, you know? I don't know.
1:11:26
Okay. Okay.
1:12:00
It's like, it's this
1:12:02
glass or this, well it's the whiskey
1:12:04
I wanted, the Secret
1:12:07
Santa thing,
1:12:29
party. Oh, is it good whiskey?
1:12:31
Not really. Oh.
1:12:34
I guess there was like a whatever
1:12:36
dollar limit, but
1:12:38
you could still get really good whiskey for $30.
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