Episode Transcript
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0:07
All right, it's Friday, which means
0:09
it's time for another roundtable extravaganza.
0:12
And joining me are two Rubin
0:14
Report veterans, one, a professor of
0:16
health policy at Stanford School of
0:18
Medicine, Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, and the
0:20
other, an addiction medicine specialist and
0:23
host of Ask Dr. Drew, Dr.
0:25
Drew Pinsky. Doctors, gentlemen, welcome
0:27
to the show. Thank you
0:29
as always. Thanks. I feel that
0:31
for a moment I should put on my glasses too,
0:34
otherwise I really look like the dumbest of the three
0:36
of us, which it's true, but people shouldn't know that
0:38
just by the glasses, right? That's like the key to
0:40
the whole operation. I'll take mine off
0:42
and see, no, that's not gonna work. Good. Okay,
0:46
we're gonna just dive into a couple interesting things
0:48
happening this week, not purely political, just a little
0:50
bit of the cultural stuff and some COVID stuff
0:53
and some science stuff and some Ozempic stuff, which
0:55
I don't know that we've talked about Ozempic on
0:57
the show before, but I thought you guys would
0:59
be perfect for what I wanted to dive into
1:02
today. So first I just wanna show you, we're
1:04
gonna show you two videos here. I think there,
1:06
I'm not sure if there's audio on them, so
1:08
we can talk over them, but these are Biden
1:10
at the G7 yesterday. And something
1:12
is going on with this guy, and I'm gonna
1:14
try to do this without being glib since I
1:16
have two serious guests on the show, and just
1:19
take a look at this. And
1:36
then this is the one, really, watch this. Just
1:44
starts wandering off, look at them all, try to,
1:46
McCrone, look at who's gonna get, who's gonna get
1:48
him, who's gonna get him, Oh, Loni, she's in
1:50
charge, it's her country. And... And...
1:58
And... And now the
2:00
slow motion. Something
2:06
is clearly not right here. We all
2:08
can see it. It seemingly is getting
2:10
worse. What should
2:13
we all feel about this? Beyond the
2:15
moments of sort of glibness and humor
2:17
and everything else, Drew, you first. Well,
2:21
it's sad, right? Let's feel bad for
2:23
him as a human being. I
2:25
practice straight internal medicine now, and most of
2:27
what I do, in fact, is geriatrics. And
2:30
so when I look at, again, I don't
2:32
know him. I'm not his doctor, but there
2:34
are certain things that as physicians, we can
2:36
sort of observe and describe like a rash
2:39
or a certain behavior, or in this case,
2:41
what you describe, Dave, as the slow motion.
2:44
He has motoric slowing. He
2:46
has rigidity. He has
2:49
what's called a mask-like facies. The other
2:51
day, we saw him standing with this wild,
2:54
stuck smile on his face while
2:56
everybody else was dancing. So
2:58
when you add up the motoric
3:00
slowing, the rigidity, the mask-like
3:02
facies, those are called, I'm
3:05
describing what we see. Jay, what
3:07
are those called? They're features of? Parkinson's
3:10
disease. Parkinson's, exactly. Or we
3:12
call them Parkinsonian features. And
3:14
in elderly patients, Parkinsonian features
3:17
develop in a variety of neurological conditions,
3:20
even just aging itself. It doesn't mean
3:22
you have Parkinson's disease, per se, but
3:25
it is part of a common
3:27
neurological decline associated with aging. Now,
3:29
the other thing we saw was
3:31
he seems sort of disorganized and
3:34
overwhelmed. That is also a very
3:36
common thing with aging, where people
3:38
feel like they can't process what's
3:40
coming in and take a man
3:43
that age with those constellation of
3:45
symptoms, throw them in an airplane,
3:47
new time zones, multiple stimulations, overwhelmed,
3:49
can't handle it. So this could all
3:52
just be the effect of an aging
3:54
brain. It could be something progressive. It
3:56
could be Parkinson's disease that's also associated
3:58
with cognitive problems. problems like we're seeing.
4:01
But what's interesting is if you remember when
4:03
he was cleared by his doctor, they went,
4:05
oh, his doctor says he's fine. And so
4:07
does his neurologist. And nobody went, hey, why
4:10
does he have a neurologist? Why
4:12
did he need a neurologist? So
4:14
clearly somebody is treating these conditions
4:16
we're seeing. Now add anti-Perkinsonian medication
4:18
in and that can cause all
4:20
kinds of cognitive problems. Jay, do
4:22
you disagree with anything I said?
4:25
I'm so glad there's another physician
4:27
here. I don't disagree with
4:29
it. I have to say, it makes me
4:31
uncomfortable, but for a couple of reasons. One
4:33
is I'm a research doctor, not
4:35
a practicing physician. So I shouldn't
4:38
weigh in on that. And I
4:40
also feel uncomfortable when doctors diagnose
4:43
other people. We're not diagnosing it. We're describing.
4:45
That's what I'm saying. You are not doing
4:48
that. What you're doing is you're describing what
4:50
you're seeing. And as a
4:52
citizen, I want to know what
4:57
my leaders, what they're facing. I
4:59
mean, they're human. We're voting for humans,
5:01
right? The leaders are human. And
5:03
it could be forgivable. But if there's real
5:07
things that I should worry about, they should be
5:09
honest about that. Like trying to hide it and
5:11
pretend like it doesn't exist, when people can see
5:13
that it kind of does, is really distressing. And
5:16
then the question is like, are there are the
5:18
decisions that are getting made all made by him?
5:20
Are they really, are they really, is he really
5:22
in charge? There's a lot of like questions I
5:25
think any citizen legitimately could ask. And it
5:27
doesn't matter what party you're in. Doesn't
5:30
it feel to- By the way, Dave, I
5:32
just got to say, I worry more about,
5:34
you know, people are very worried about what
5:36
they're seeing and the slowing and all this
5:38
stuff. But listen, if he is taking medication,
5:40
because sometimes he moves around a little better
5:42
and that's usually medication. And those
5:44
medicines cause very strange cognitive changes. So I almost
5:46
worry about that more than some of the things
5:49
that people are worrying about in their common discourse
5:51
about what's going on with Joe Biden. Right. And
5:53
Drew, you sort of hit this, but we're all
5:55
sort of sympathetic to someone of a certain age
5:57
with all the time zones and flying and pressure.
6:00
and everything else, even if he was cognitively 100%, and
6:03
again, we're not diagnosing him, you'd still accept some level
6:05
of, we've all had jet lag, you fly to Europe,
6:07
you go to- I don't know about you guys, I've
6:10
always wondered how they do that. I've
6:12
gotten older, I really wondered how they
6:15
do it, but if I were advanced
6:17
age with neurological symptomatology, it's like, oh
6:19
man, that's brutal. Well
6:22
then, let me ask you guys one other thing
6:24
on this, not on the medical side, but purely
6:26
on the political side. It strikes me that it's
6:28
fairly obvious, let's say that he's probably on medication
6:30
or that there's a small group of people that
6:32
know what's really going on here. This
6:35
seems not to be hyperbolic, like it could
6:37
be the biggest political scandal in 50 years,
6:41
or something like that, since Watergate, if
6:43
that actually is the case. Does that
6:45
sound totally off the reservation to you,
6:47
Jay? No, I think
6:49
that, okay, so
6:51
like you can go back in American history and look
6:54
at FDR, right? So the press and the White House
6:58
hid his disability from the American
7:00
public. Suppose
7:04
that the American public had known, would they have
7:06
undermined, I mean, the guy obviously was cognitively still
7:08
all there. He was making decisions sharply
7:10
to the end of his life. There
7:15
was also, I think you can go back and look at Ronald
7:18
Reagan, right, toward the end of his
7:21
time as president. There were
7:23
allegations of this, and
7:25
there was some question, this
7:28
strikes me as qualitatively much, much worse
7:30
than either of those two, right?
7:33
FDR wasn't cognitively, there
7:35
was no question about his cognitive capacity. Ronald Reagan,
7:37
by the end, you could start
7:39
to say it's slow, but I didn't, I
7:42
was young then, so maybe I wasn't seeing it, but
7:45
I didn't see anything close to this. Here
7:47
what we have is, in real time, if
7:49
you have elderly parents or grandparents and you've
7:51
seen this, you don't really need to be
7:54
a doctor to say, look, something's not right.
7:57
Well, that changed right before, well, right before we
7:59
started. I mentioned to Jay that
8:01
I spent a lot of time with my grandmother
8:03
who had dementia in her later years and I
8:05
was taking her to geriatric doctors and to the
8:07
cognitive people and all that. And so much of
8:10
what I see in him is the same thing.
8:12
The rigidity in the hands, you mentioned something about
8:14
that, but also the emotional dysregulation, which you see
8:16
with Biden in a lot of these speeches where
8:18
it sounds sort of monotone and then he starts
8:20
screaming out of nowhere. So there's just a whole
8:23
bunch of pieces here. Listen,
8:25
and Jay mentioned two historical antecedents, but
8:27
there's one more egregious one, which was
8:29
Woodrow Wilson, who was in bed, brain
8:31
dead with a stroke, massive stroke, and his
8:34
wife ran the government for three months. So
8:36
what was our takeaway from that? Did we
8:38
learn anything from that experience as a country?
8:40
Or we just went, oh well, moving along,
8:43
move on. I
8:45
don't know, it seems like we've been challenged by this. And
8:47
there's an interesting thing in what Jay was just sort of
8:50
shining a light on, which is we
8:52
are living a lot longer now, a lot
8:54
better. And so we're gonna have older people,
8:56
well, look at our Congress, in positions of
8:58
power and decision-making, and look for JMI's
9:00
profession, there are things in place to
9:02
make sure we don't stay in too
9:04
long for what happens to us when
9:06
we're aging. There should probably be something
9:09
like that in place for our government
9:11
leaders too, given the reality of people
9:13
living so long these days, and reasonably
9:15
so. And as Jay said, it's human
9:18
beings in these positions, no one else.
9:21
And by the way, although it's not about age
9:23
specifically, as you both mentioned, Reagan was younger than
9:25
Biden when he left office, and there is another
9:27
guy running right now who's not that young, that's
9:29
of course Donald Trump. And we wanna just, I
9:31
thought it would be interesting to juxtapose Biden, what
9:34
we just showed you at G7, versus
9:36
what Trump was up to this week. We'd
9:38
like to extend the invite to Joe Biden if he'd like
9:41
to come on this podcast. Yeah, I think he should. You
9:43
know what chance you have of getting a mic? I'd say
9:45
less than 1%, okay? You
9:48
did that, I'd actually watch that one. Oh,
9:52
no way, we got gifts. We're
9:55
gonna talk for a lot of money, just thank
9:57
you. Oh, no way. Thank you, president. split
10:00
it up here. This is a this is your mug shot.
10:04
Yeah, can you. This
10:07
is what we're. No
10:10
way. Should we
10:12
put on now? That's
10:15
crazy. That's amazing. It sells. Well
10:17
Elvis had one. Frank Sinatra had
10:19
one. This shirt. But Weaver clips
10:21
them. A
10:23
long time ago, we've been. He
10:32
does not disappoint. I
10:36
don't know exactly where you guys are on
10:39
on Trump. That's actually
10:41
largely irrelevant. The reason I thought that was
10:43
interesting is if you just look at his
10:45
ability to joke and be a reverend and
10:47
silly and not disappoint and the energy and
10:49
all of that. The movement
10:51
just moving fluidly. Look at the how
10:53
people move their arms when they don't
10:55
have neurological impairment. That's all. Jay,
10:59
I mean, it's just so star. I think
11:01
you're going to vote on that if nothing
11:03
else. I mean, he's he's
11:05
a he's definitely a great entertainer and you
11:07
can see that and Drew, I
11:10
completely grew. He is cognitively just
11:12
what you know, I don't know if you want to say all there
11:14
depending on your opinion of all there for
11:16
Trump, but I'll say
11:18
this is like there's nothing. There's no deficit at all.
11:20
Right. Like you're not worried that you're what you're worried.
11:22
You may be worried about what he what he what
11:25
his policies are or whatever, but you're not worried at
11:27
all about his capacity to say
11:29
and think what he believes. And and and
11:31
so that's that's just a very striking difference
11:33
in the physical movement difference. Again, you're sort
11:36
of you're shining lights on little interesting things
11:38
here. And isn't that what
11:40
leadership is speaking, having
11:42
their thoughts and their decision making
11:44
and their point
11:46
of view. That's what we want. That's what we
11:48
want from. Alita, but Dave, why can't
11:51
you get him on your podcast? I'm I'm
11:53
I'm I'm disappointed. We've had Trump on once
11:55
and I don't want to say too much,
11:57
but okay, good. There's been a little. contact
12:00
recently, stay tuned on that.
12:03
Let me just mention one other thing on this
12:05
on the media side, because you guys remember a
12:07
couple of years ago when Donald Trump on a
12:09
rainy day walked down those stairs, no, not stairs,
12:11
he walked down a ramp slowly and
12:13
everyone was on CNN 25th Amendment, we
12:16
gotta get rid of him, versus how the
12:18
media covers Joe Biden. That, I
12:20
think we can connect to a lot of things that
12:22
you guys do specialize in on the COVID side and
12:24
misinformation and all that. That
12:27
to me is the craziest part of this,
12:29
that the media is pretending that we all
12:31
don't see a thing that we all very
12:33
obviously see, Drew. I
12:35
wish this was the only thing, as you said,
12:37
the COVID side, it was the same thing. I
12:40
wish this was the only thing that they were
12:42
obfuscating and distorting around, but you know what? They're
12:45
doing us a favor because people are running
12:47
away screaming from their viewership and they're not
12:49
listening and they're going to sources like you
12:51
and other sources to try to get their
12:54
news because they realize that what is coming
12:56
out of mainstream media is just an abomination
12:58
and it's not a secret. And people that
13:01
stay with it, stay with it for unclear
13:03
reasons, sort of to get their point
13:05
of view massaged maybe, but I'm
13:07
so glad we're with Jay today, by the
13:09
way, you mentioned the COVID misinformation, all that
13:11
nonsense. For me, Jay Bhattacharyya, I've told him
13:13
this before, I'm gonna say it again, is
13:15
the poster child for the excesses of COVID.
13:18
That's the man, this is the man they
13:20
chose to silence and what
13:22
were Fauci's word to- Devastating
13:24
takedown. Devastating, devastating takedown. Jay
13:27
Bhattacharyya needs a devastating takedown.
13:29
And I'm really mad at
13:31
the congressional leadership for not
13:33
bringing in all those emails into
13:36
the hearing on Dr. Fauci because that to me
13:38
is a smoking gun of
13:40
the excess of we're right there. Well,
13:42
we're gonna get to some COVID stuff in a sec, but actually Jay, why
13:45
don't you pick it up there and then I'll give us a nice segue.
13:47
Yeah. Drew, I appreciate
13:50
the kind words and the devastating takedown
13:52
is insane, but actually let me just
13:54
push back just slightly on the media.
13:57
Although I do share your hopeful take, there is
13:59
some aspect that it's just, if
14:01
you have a political leader that
14:03
the media like, they
14:06
don't, you know, the media actually is really important to
14:08
hold political leaders, especially our
14:10
presidents to account. If they, if they
14:12
are allowed to, you know, do
14:15
whatever nonsense they want without being held to account
14:17
by the media, it's very difficult to get the
14:19
American public to pay attention to it. A
14:21
lot of the nonsense during COVID happened because
14:24
especially after Biden got into office, I spent
14:26
with the vaccine mandates and all that normal
14:28
media. If he'd had a president they didn't
14:30
like, they would have, they would have questioned
14:32
a lot of the things that they did.
14:35
Instead, they, they, they were like
14:37
a Praetorian guard for Biden with
14:40
a censorship with all kinds of things that normally I
14:42
think what Americans would just look at, look and say,
14:44
are you kidding me? And I think
14:46
it's very dangerous that the media has, has
14:49
taken sides in this way. It
14:51
would be much, much better for the
14:54
Republic if the media were a reasonable
14:57
constraint on the behavior of Democratic
15:00
presidents and they're not. And
15:02
by the way, that the best argument for what
15:04
you just said there would be that Donald Trump
15:06
for whatever his flaws were during COVID and whatever
15:09
anyone might think about warp speed and everything else,
15:11
he never mandated the Vax. But had he, had
15:13
he mandated the Vax, the very same media that
15:15
was telling you that you had to get vaccinated
15:18
would have said that it would have killed you.
15:20
You're both nodding in agreement on that. So why
15:22
don't we move this to the next COVID topic
15:24
because this is absolutely wild. Dr.
15:26
Mike Yeeden, who is the former, one of
15:28
the former vice presidents of Pfizer is now
15:31
saying that the COVID vaccines were
15:33
actually designed to reduce
15:35
fertility. Take a look at this. If
15:37
you followed me, you'll know I, over
15:39
30 years in research
15:43
in the pharmaceutical industry and biotech.
15:47
I trained in toxicology and I
15:49
worked with colleagues designing experimental
15:51
molecules that would hope to
15:53
become medicines. That
15:56
gives me the credentials
15:59
to stand as it were, in the
16:01
shoes of the designers
16:03
of these vaccines and
16:05
answer the question, what were you
16:08
thinking when you made these
16:11
design decisions? Now,
16:13
you can go and watch any of my interviews or cut
16:15
to the chase. And
16:17
you may not believe it, but I am
16:20
sure, not slightly
16:22
but sure, these
16:25
materials were designed intentionally
16:30
to harm, maim,
16:33
and kill, and to
16:35
reduce human fertility. That
16:38
is my verdict. And
16:40
I can stand it up. I will be in court. It's
16:43
pretty important, Costa Rica, very shortly. And
16:46
I'll be using exactly this argument
16:48
that I will give the detail.
16:51
That's the first point. So don't
16:53
take these injectables. Don't take the
16:55
next lot either. They will also
16:57
be designed to harm you. Earl,
16:59
mRNA-based materials are dangerous.
17:02
Don't take them. All
17:05
right, that is a former VP advisor.
17:07
Obviously, I can't speak to
17:09
the claim there specifically. Jay, this is a
17:11
little more your department. I mean, we've heard
17:13
all sorts of stuff about mRNA technology now,
17:16
even from Robert Malone, who owns more patents
17:18
on it than anyone else. What do you
17:20
make of this stuff at this point? OK,
17:23
so first, I don't think he's right. I
17:25
don't think that specifically in
17:27
one point, he's not. In
17:30
my experience with drug developers and others, I
17:33
don't see that any of them
17:36
would intentionally design a molecule
17:39
in order to create
17:41
infertility. And that
17:44
just doesn't ring true with me. I
17:46
don't see anything in the makeup of
17:48
the vaccine that
17:51
just from this molecular sequence or whatever that
17:53
screens out this is going to cause infertility.
17:57
That particular thing doesn't make sense. But
18:01
it may, like the question of does
18:03
it cause infertility? Right, does
18:05
it cause birth defects? Those
18:07
are empirical questions that are actually weird,
18:10
often answered after you've rolled the vaccine
18:12
out because the randomized trials don't have
18:15
pregnant women in them, they generally don't have, they
18:17
don't ask that kind of question. They
18:19
don't have the sample sizes to address it. Those
18:22
are not enough time, right? I mean, there's just
18:24
so many other times. So that's why I don't,
18:26
I think he's being hyperbolic in ways that I
18:28
don't agree with. I do
18:30
agree with one part of this, and maybe the sum
18:32
of the spirit of it, in the sense that
18:35
I think that the regulatory agencies have
18:37
been very, very slow to look
18:40
at these kinds of side effects
18:42
from this vaccine. And
18:44
they were motivated in large part because they thought
18:46
that if people thought that there were
18:48
these kinds of side effects, or if they actually identified
18:50
these kind of side effects, no one would take the
18:52
vaccine. I don't
18:54
understand why that would be a bad thing. If
18:57
one were to find that there
18:59
was fertility defects caused by
19:01
the vaccine, then you should not be recommending
19:04
it to pregnant women, to women that are
19:06
trying to get pregnant, or just generally to
19:08
younger people. It
19:12
would make no sense to do that, right? So that would
19:14
not be a bad outcome. And yet
19:16
the regulatory agencies, because they were afraid
19:18
that it would cause vaccine hesitancy, I
19:21
believe that's the motivation, did not act
19:24
as rapidly as they should have and as
19:26
rigorously as they should have to identify
19:28
the side effect profiles of this vaccine
19:30
like they would normally for other drugs
19:33
and products. True, can
19:35
we stick with the intent part for a minute? Because
19:37
Jay, I totally hear you, we have no way of
19:39
knowing the intent. But I think what a lot of
19:41
people are probably thinking while they're watching this is, the
19:44
intent is actually irrelevant at this point.
19:46
These people, they didn't maybe intend to
19:48
lie about six feet social distancing, but
19:50
they did. They didn't intend to lie
19:52
about masks, but they did. So in
19:54
a weird way, I fully
19:57
understand the argument, but I
19:59
don't think it even. the
24:01
vaccine was entirely safe, when they had no way
24:03
of knowing that was entirely safe, even after the
24:05
randomized trial was done. Drew,
24:07
you mentioned Joe Freiman, who's
24:09
a fantastic scientist. He reanalyzed
24:11
the COVID vaccine trials
24:15
for the mRNA to see what
24:17
the rate of adverse events were. He found a
24:19
one in 800 measure of
24:21
serious adverse events in the randomized trial.
24:24
That doesn't mean no one should take the vaccine. What
24:26
it does mean is that you wanna be very careful
24:29
about who you recommend it to. Older people, the
24:31
balance of benefits and harms, do
24:33
they make sense to recommend it? Wait, Jay, can you explain
24:35
that? That is way higher. Now, I'm sorry, for a moment,
24:37
I couldn't remember who he was. I was actually at the
24:39
panel that you were at that DeSantis put together, Jay, here
24:41
in Florida, and Jay Freiman was there and mentioned that. The
24:43
one in 800 is way, way higher than
24:47
a normal vaccine, right, for injury. Oh,
24:50
ridiculous. Yeah. Yeah, I mean, what's
24:52
one of these things where like, okay, you're in
24:54
the middle, it's December, 2020, everyone's scared to death
24:56
about COVID. You have this product that all of
24:58
a sudden has promises to
25:01
reduce the symptomatic
25:03
infection rate by 95% for a couple of months.
25:05
The question is, how do you use it? 1-800
25:08
is a big number. Now,
25:10
serious adverse events doesn't mean necessarily
25:12
killing you. In fact, what
25:14
it means is like, you know, severe reactions,
25:18
rarely it'll get you in the hospital, but it's
25:20
not something you wanna ignore, right? But it's much higher,
25:22
as Drew said, than most vaccines that are on the market.
25:25
So the question is, how do you use
25:27
that thing? How do you use that product?
25:29
The reasonable way to use it is to
25:31
say, look, let's look at the high-risk people
25:33
for whom this product might, the benefits might
25:35
outweigh the harms and recommend it for them
25:37
carefully, you know, making
25:39
sure it's not like, you know, too
25:41
aggressively and with informed consent. And for
25:43
younger people for whom the benefit almost
25:45
certainly does not outweigh the harms, don't
25:47
recommend it and certainly don't mandate it.
25:49
Yeah, oh yeah, for sure. But
25:52
I would, to follow what you're asking, look,
25:54
look no further than your food sources to
25:56
look for things that have been covered by
25:58
lobby groups and scientists. Now,
28:00
Jillian Michaels went on Sage Steele's
28:03
podcast and talked a bit about
28:05
that. You will plateau on this drug.
28:08
Not an opinion, fact. Fact,
28:12
Google that. I'm encouraging
28:14
to Google. Don't trust me. Google
28:17
it for yourself. You will
28:19
plateau on the drug. Your
28:22
body is homeostatic, which
28:24
means over time it's seeking
28:27
a balance. GLP-1
28:32
is a hormone, incretin. It's a hormone.
28:34
So when you are giving the body
28:36
a hormone exogenously, over
28:39
time the body is like, oh, I'm gonna
28:41
stop making this on my own. Oh,
28:43
I'm gonna develop a tolerance to
28:45
this. Tolerance, yep. And you will
28:48
plateau on the drugs. Google
28:51
it. Now then, what
28:53
are you going to do when
28:56
they stop working physiologically?
28:59
Do you think you're going to get off of it because
29:02
you will gain all of the
29:04
weight back? All of the meta-analyses
29:07
show us this. Google
29:09
it. It's not my f***ing opinion, okay?
29:13
So here's the bigger problem.
29:15
Now when the drug stops working, if
29:19
you choose to get off of it, because
29:21
it's also very expensive, you're handcuffed to this
29:23
drug for the rest of your life, Google
29:25
it, okay? So
29:27
we get off of it. You've
29:30
got a couple of issues. Fact,
29:33
there is, quote, let me quote Peter
29:35
Atia. Hopefully he's more credible than Dr.
29:37
Terry DeBrow. He will tell
29:39
you that in his practice, according
29:42
to the DEXA scans he does with his
29:44
patients, he sees muscle loss
29:46
at a, quote, alarming rate. He
29:49
uses these drugs as a
29:51
last resort and he won't even put patients
29:54
on them until he does a
29:56
DEXA scan to make sure that they're not older and in
29:59
a dangerous position in
32:00
our profession, it's the weirdest thing. We've
32:03
gone backwards on it for sure, Drew. And during the, I
32:05
mean, I was just, if you've
32:07
mentioned cost-benefit analysis or benefit-harm analysis,
32:09
you were a fringe epidemiologist back
32:12
during the COVID era. It
32:15
strikes me that this is, obesity
32:17
is a particularly dangerous area for drug
32:20
intervention because of the fact that it's
32:22
so common, I think, what
32:24
is it, like 40% of the American population or more
32:26
are obese, or adult population are obese.
32:30
And because people so desperately want to fix it. And
32:33
so it's really easy to take advantage
32:35
of people. And so this drug, Ozempic,
32:37
it was first used in diabetics. There
32:39
were good reasons to use it in
32:41
diabetics, and it kind of worked for
32:43
diabetics. The expansion of
32:45
it to use for the entire
32:48
population wide is not
32:50
at all surprising that you're gonna see portions
32:53
of the population that take it have these side
32:55
effects, have some side effects that we didn't anticipate,
32:58
and some of which we did anticipate. I'm
33:00
reminded of an earlier weight
33:02
loss drug, this FenFen, yup. And
33:05
that, same exact, like it was very, very popular for
33:08
a while until there was a major
33:10
side effect identified with lung, such, yeah. Much
33:15
of a valve deterioration. That too, and all
33:17
of a sudden, it was like, okay, this
33:19
was just poison that was put
33:22
on the population. I just, it looks
33:24
to me like the same kind of trajectory.
33:26
All right, so again, as
33:28
the layman here, I mean, this just to me
33:30
is just like another one where you're both exactly
33:32
right. They are going to end up saying that
33:34
there's all of this side effect, nobody should be
33:36
on this. But Drew, can you talk a little
33:38
bit about how does this stuff go from being
33:40
a niche medication for something
33:43
to then, what then happens
33:45
in the system after that, that it
33:47
then just gets commercialized to everybody as
33:49
Jay's talking about? It's a great question,
33:51
it's a great question. And I'm sure
33:53
everyone wants to blame the drug company,
33:55
but the drug company is duplicitous. They
33:57
blow wind into the sail of what.
38:00
because he's like monopolized, but
38:02
then he turns into this philanthropist and finds
38:04
success in the public eye as being the
38:06
good guy. What
38:09
you have is this like weird scientific,
38:12
the scientific isn't the weird thing,
38:14
but this mindset of engineering solutions
38:17
to problems that are complex
38:19
social problems that require
38:22
careful understanding of
38:24
all the trade-offs. And his instinct
38:27
is always seems to be in
38:29
both his philanthropy and his capitalist
38:31
work before, is to like a
38:33
very, very simple technological
38:36
solution which runs roughshod
38:38
over all of the subtleties and often ends
38:40
up causing more harm than good. I mean,
38:42
I think in this case, I don't know,
38:44
maybe his technological breakthrough is a good one,
38:46
I have no idea, but I don't think
38:49
that, I'm not gonna be eating any of those cows if
38:51
I can avoid it until I understand a little more about
38:53
them. But isn't that the
38:55
point? So he's going to invent something, or I
38:57
guess he has already, or is investing in this
38:59
company that's going to do something to cows so
39:01
they don't burp as far as much. And that
39:03
will be either the meat wheat or it will
39:05
be the artificially engineered meat that he
39:07
will also somehow profit from. By the way,
39:09
this is the same guy who created Microsoft's
39:11
Windows, which as you're right, he got into
39:13
a major antitrust lawsuit over it, but that
39:15
was the thing that put viruses on computers.
39:18
And now he's supposed to be in charge
39:20
of our viruses of our bodies, Drew, help
39:22
me. It's a corollary to what
39:24
I was saying before. By the way, did he
39:26
say get beef without cows? How exactly- Well,
39:29
I think he means artificial. He means artificial.
39:31
He doesn't mean beef, he means something else.
39:33
He means something made out of molds. But
39:36
I like the fact that he's at
39:38
least thinking more broadly about the problem
39:40
of burping primarily, cows burping.
39:43
Maybe we can make cows not burp.
39:45
I like the idea that he's at
39:47
least doing that than just saying in
39:49
the ideology of beef bad, cows bad,
39:51
which was crazy. But it's the same thing
39:53
I was complaining about with my physician
39:55
colleagues. Now there's a corollary which has
39:57
infected all of us. It was irrational.
40:00
irrational certitude, irrational
40:02
certitude, when it comes, like Jay
40:04
said, to very complex problems. We
40:06
should have a rational uncertainty. We
40:08
have a, the current pandemic is
40:10
hubris. We need humility. Yeah,
40:13
so Jay, can you talk to that for a
40:15
moment? Cause I really, since Drew credited you, I'll
40:17
do the same thing. That one of the reasons
40:19
I did not go crazy on COVID on this
40:21
show was that you were either the first or
40:24
second expert that I had on, and you were
40:26
kind of sobering. So I was like, let me
40:28
just pace this thing out a little bit. But
40:30
it seems to me that to your point, guys
40:32
like Bill Gates are looking for problems all the
40:35
time and they will do things not knowing, well,
40:37
okay, the cow can't burp anymore. Maybe we've now
40:39
somehow changed its molecular structure and the meat that
40:41
you're gonna be eating is going to do God
40:43
knows what to you. Yeah,
40:45
I think Drew hit
40:47
it right on the head. This is hubris,
40:50
right? This is scientific hubris. Like somehow, I
40:53
mean, when I say science, I don't mean
40:55
actual science, which I love, which I
40:57
think is like a fantastic way to learn
41:00
about the world and improve the world.
41:02
I mean, capital T, capital S, science,
41:04
with a trademark sign, that's the problem.
41:07
Like you have this like something
41:10
that's, where's the skin suit of science
41:12
and promises, it's like these hucksters promising
41:14
you just, let's build a monorail, it'll solve
41:17
all our problems. I mean,
41:19
it just comes across that
41:21
way. It's like someone who's
41:23
like wants to sell you something rather than really
41:26
grappling, like these are real problems.
41:29
These are not things that we can just ignore, but whatever
41:32
we choose to do is gonna come with
41:34
trade-offs. It's not gonna be magic
41:36
and he's promising magic. And I think
41:39
that that is what makes me uncomfortable
41:41
watching him. It made
41:43
me uncomfortable watching him during the pandemic and it makes me
41:45
uncomfortable watching him talk about cows and
41:47
methane. There's
41:50
no magic here. Yeah, I wanna
41:52
just highlight that again, is also say that
41:54
science is a procedure, it's a process. It's
41:57
a way of trying to uncover the truth
41:59
in the world. And my friend
42:01
Harvey Reish distilled it down to one phrase that
42:03
I thought was so exactly right on. He
42:06
goes, look, it's just a scientific process.
42:08
It is an instrument that tells us
42:10
the null hypothesis is either informative or
42:12
not informative. That's science. That's it.
42:14
The null hypothesis either told us something or
42:16
didn't tell us something and we build from
42:18
there. And I want to say one other
42:20
thing about Jay being so measured at the
42:22
beginning. I had the same experience, Dave, early
42:24
on. Although I noticed his Twitter feed has
42:27
become a little more lively lately. He's got
42:29
a little more unspoken. I have noticed
42:31
it. I like seeing it. I got to tell you. Yeah.
42:34
It might be time to go back to being an anonymous again. I
42:36
don't know how to watch it. By
42:38
the way, Jay, I got the Monorail reference. He
42:40
went all the way to Ogdenville. I'm pretty sure
42:42
it was the best episode of, I almost said
42:44
Seinfeld, of The Simpsons ever written by Conan O'Brien,
42:47
believe it or not, around 1994. All
42:50
right, guys. Well, it's always a pleasure having you on. I feel a
42:52
little smarter. I think the audience did here. I'll put
42:54
on my glasses so it looks like three stars. Oh, look at
42:56
you. There you go. Have a great weekend and
42:59
I'll talk to you guys soon. All right, guys. Thanks.
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