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0:00
This. Year a very important public
0:02
figure turns eighty, he centers his wish
0:04
for his birthday. My wish is for
0:06
everyone to practice wild fire safety because
0:08
only you can prevent wildfires. That sounds
0:10
easy enough, but you don't know who
0:13
it is Now of course you do
0:15
it. Smokey Bear. Let's all make sure
0:17
smoke is wish comes true by learning
0:19
his Wild Fire Prevention tips and Smokey
0:22
bear.com because Smokey Bear lives within us
0:24
All brought you by the Us to
0:26
a Forest service, your state Forest or
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in the Ad Council. If.
0:33
The Twenty Twenty Four Presidential election were
0:35
a road trip. I
0:37
think we be at the part where you start to wonder.
0:40
Are we there yet? We
0:43
know who the candidates are, but they're
0:45
still such a long way to go
0:47
until November. And one of the things
0:49
I've noticed about the questions that while
0:51
habits and again as that you're starting
0:54
to mix it up. Who do
0:56
you think Trump is going to pick for V
0:58
P? And how do you think that that's going
1:00
to influence voters? You're asking about different
1:02
people What makes a swing state? Different
1:05
races. I was curious
1:07
how other elections this
1:09
year's senate elections gov
1:11
Congress be affected by
1:13
the fact that this
1:15
year is such a
1:17
high stakes presidential election.
1:20
Anything to distract from the top of the ticket?
1:23
So today. We're
1:25
answering your questions by setting the
1:28
main characters of Twenty Twenty Four
1:30
aside and talking about people who
1:32
aren't. Name charm provided. Summer
1:36
candidates, summer officials, and some
1:38
are a little weird. But
1:41
they all could have an impact on the election
1:43
come fall. On
1:45
the road to Twenty Twenty Four. Were not
1:48
there yet but we are getting a
1:50
little closer. From
1:52
the New York Times. I miss that her into
1:54
this is the run up. The.
2:00
No. Me. Ha
2:03
A A long time coming
2:05
I saw. This
2:08
as as as as the years
2:10
in the making years in the
2:12
great again. Okay, so let me introduce
2:14
someone who's going to help me answer your listener
2:16
questions. This. Is just bed good.
2:18
She writes the on Politics newsletter for the
2:20
Times. And. Also a pow. Ssds,
2:23
how's it going? I'm so glad
2:25
you're on the run up. High
2:27
as dead. It is so exciting to
2:30
be here assess. You. Know. Right before
2:32
we started recording, I was trying to remember
2:34
where we first met. Do. You
2:36
remember, actually don't. I
2:38
don't remember when we first met that.
2:40
I do remember when I knew we
2:42
be friends. Forever that was with
2:44
wouldn't have a nervous than what
2:47
Does Answers Physicists. That would
2:49
be said nights that you ran out
2:51
of gas on the side of I
2:53
Ninety Three on the way to an
2:55
Elizabeth Warren event. you are covering worn
2:57
for the times I was covering. Her
2:59
job you called me.
3:02
You ask for a rescue. And.
3:05
I. Provided that rescue. You
3:07
did you did this I was in a
3:09
massive prices on the side of the real
3:11
aggressive of my own making For the record
3:13
I just live with was mostly to about
3:16
as a did briefly ignored began face read
3:18
out of death of the middle of the
3:20
highway in the middle of a snowstorm in
3:22
New Hampshire in a like you know who
3:24
would save me sit. At
3:27
a very badly j with us have some
3:30
jazz. we loaded up with the side of
3:32
the roads and we're so happy that you
3:34
are back at the time. After
3:36
leaving for a stand. Ah,
3:38
assess the here's what we're here to
3:41
do. just. We've gone through our listener
3:43
questions and they're mostly focused about people
3:45
who aren't biden or Trump, but can
3:47
still have a huge impact on this
3:50
race in November, and I figure that
3:52
we could go through some of them.
3:55
Arm and we're gonna call on some
3:57
helps I think Anna are lovely Run
3:59
up. There is going to help us go
4:01
through some of these questions. any there? I.
4:04
Guess. I am extremely helpful conversations
4:06
us Now I feel like you know
4:08
as someone who is in the car
4:10
with the stared at while reporting lot
4:13
I should just you know to look
4:15
at act as if you're. On some oil.
4:19
So. How are we going to do this? Yeah.
4:21
So I figure what we're going to do
4:23
is were going to call on where I
4:26
am now calling a run up tradition work
4:28
in a use the wheel which if people
4:30
don't remember the last time we answered listener
4:33
class sense I brought a said a wheel
4:35
of third party candidates. We spun out, we
4:37
talked about what was going on in the
4:39
race, the time and so what I've been
4:42
here is I've kind of you know compiled
4:44
some specific names and that's kind of speak
4:46
to some of the listener questions that we've
4:48
got. but to. Be. Clear and all of these
4:51
names are names of people who could affect
4:53
the race who are not named. Joe Biden
4:55
Encounter. Yes, that's it. So.
4:57
The names are. Tammy. Baldwin
4:59
Drugs Canon. Larry. Hogan,
5:02
Kendrick Lamar, Taylor Swift's
5:04
and Cricket. Assess
5:06
assess As and. It's
5:09
it's. like. Yeah.
5:13
It's it's people walk into a bar or did
5:15
other looks like. You
5:18
know, like a job though is a hip L
5:20
B. base of rhythm was that big either. but
5:23
I go out with you that. Ah
5:25
Ok so I will get to
5:28
spank. Cook. Up
5:39
a number of. Wasn't
5:42
expecting the music. Can
5:44
be baldwin. Yeah. I
5:46
mean. I'll take this one. I
5:48
mean, we were just in Wisconsin and
5:50
one of the things that really came
5:52
through which I think it's further reflective,
5:54
And the New York Times polling that
5:56
we got about swing states and battlegrounds
5:58
is that for a lot of them,
6:00
the crowds. There's a lot of good
6:03
signs once you looked underneath the presidential
6:05
level. And so someone like Tammy Baldwin
6:07
is the senator from Wisconsin who was
6:09
running for reelection in his race is
6:11
considered. Pretty. Critical for the hopes
6:13
of democrats trying to hold on to the
6:15
senate. But. In a state like
6:17
Wisconsin, parliament's fans pretty unique see one.
6:19
her last senate race by a significant
6:21
was causing significant margin think was more
6:23
than double digits and then when we
6:25
talk to people this year there every
6:28
once in pretty much agreements that Baldwin
6:30
is in a pretty good position to
6:32
win reelection. And I think that speaks
6:34
to a kind of larger dynamic happening
6:36
right now where if you look at
6:38
the Democratic party to the lens of
6:40
Joe Biden there is all of these
6:43
problems you can talk about and all
6:45
of these signs of dissatisfaction. In the
6:47
Rose and and and when and I
6:49
were and Wisconsin's a couple weeks ago,
6:51
there was a couple we met outside
6:53
of a Walmart and Malachy. Yeah, We
6:56
actually taught them as they were finishing up their shopping. For
6:58
our have long have you been and with thousand the
7:00
you have a long time badger. I'm a long
7:02
time dead to I was born in Wisconsin,
7:04
I love Wisconsin and this lady was a
7:06
very enthusiastic Democrats. She was wearing a pin
7:08
for Climate Change in voting networking about twenty
7:11
hours a week to get out of. Oh.
7:13
Wow Wow. I'm determined
7:15
level that. Are
7:18
my brothers? I'm retired, can't. Be
7:20
tired of us and you
7:23
know. She supported by than that I'm
7:25
aware she really lit up was in
7:27
when we asked her about the down
7:29
ballot possibility it's will be asked her
7:31
about, will be heard from Governing Eve
7:33
or is about a more moderate future.
7:35
For Democrats and Republicans of the
7:37
I wonder what you all think
7:39
of that likes you all think
7:41
that there is or something in
7:43
the air where people want more
7:45
bipartisanship one more modern races? Are
7:47
those corners so rigid that. That.
7:49
Seems like a pipe dream. Where we
7:51
appreciate Tony Versus and thought Tammy
7:53
Baldwin is also running for senate
7:56
again. Her three issues
7:58
as a three Ws for with guns. Wellness
8:01
Water and Work. And.
8:03
So she is trying to his
8:05
at medium message that could have
8:08
to all people and I wish
8:10
you well. Tammy Baldwin I'll be
8:12
supporting and donating to use. And
8:15
the only reason someone like a Baldwin
8:17
can win in the state of Wisconsin
8:19
buy a bigger margin that we typically
8:21
from presidential level is because there's some
8:24
people who are willing the crossover and
8:26
vote for a republican and someone like
8:28
her arm for that as a democratic
8:31
senator. and so she does better and
8:33
rural communities than we seen a lot
8:35
of democrats typically do, keeps the margins
8:37
fairly low in suburbs that are considered
8:40
armed republicans and then a along with
8:42
that motivates a democratic base. Problems.
8:45
Up by nine percent in the latest
8:47
New York Times poses forty nine percent
8:49
of registered voters and have the only
8:51
has forty if you're up I nine
8:53
percent in Wisconsin. That's basically a blow
8:55
out, at least at this stage. And
8:57
so when you're seeing Republicans really focus
8:59
their synod efforts and places other than
9:01
with concepts that sort of a tacit
9:03
recognition that Baldwin as a candidate and
9:05
the Democratic Party there as pretty much
9:07
position someone to have an individual brand
9:09
outside of what we think of as
9:11
the problems with the National Democratic Party.
9:14
Just a probably. Applies to more in a
9:16
candidates than just pod. When I'm thinking about
9:18
like the testers of the world. He
9:21
does. It does absolutely. And there's
9:23
another element of those Baldwin race
9:25
ancestors. Race is the Democratic senator
9:27
representing Montana, which is a pretty
9:29
red states that has sent him
9:31
back to the senate ten again.
9:33
although he has let's get a
9:35
the it's has that all up
9:37
this year. But another element that
9:39
both of their races have in
9:41
common is this is the kind
9:43
of Republicans that they're running against.
9:45
Man. This. Year: Republicans
9:47
really tried to recruit
9:50
well see candidates who
9:52
could put a lot
9:54
of money into their
9:56
own races but aren't
9:59
super. Dead on a
10:01
national stage. Eric have the who
10:03
Tammy Baldwin is running against in
10:05
Wisconsin is one of these types
10:07
of candidates Timothy see He who
10:09
tester is running against in Montana
10:11
is another on and so were
10:13
in Twenty Twenty two. There were
10:15
some like really messy republican primaries
10:18
and sometimes the kid is it
10:20
that emerged from those wasn't seen
10:22
as the most like electable. This
10:24
time a republican party got a
10:26
lot of the candidates that they
10:28
wanted but now they're starting. To
10:30
find that because the As Republicans
10:33
aren't super tested not so much
10:35
was known about them. They're happy
10:37
to contend with some like stories
10:39
that don't make these candidates for
10:42
great learning experience. Yeah, they're
10:44
inexperienced, their new, their untested and
10:46
that may also be what's at
10:48
play here with Tammy Baldwin Sig
10:50
lead on and we'll see how
10:52
that plays out in Montana in
10:54
Ohio where Sherrod Brown is trying
10:56
to hold the democrats see their
10:58
in a pretty red states and
11:00
some other shoe. And his. You
11:03
know, I think back to what Mitch Mcconnell
11:05
was saying in the Twenty Twenty Two midterms
11:07
about candidate qualities. We were talking about it
11:09
so much in relationship to Donald Trump, but
11:12
it's really the story going forward and overall
11:14
so that's the challenge Republicans have is even
11:16
if you know perv, the New York Times
11:18
Battleground Polling Donald Trump is leading and several
11:21
of those battleground states we did not see
11:23
that translates to Senate and other candidates lower
11:25
on the ballot. That could tell you that
11:27
and makes it easy for Biden the make
11:30
up. That room. By. That's really
11:32
not the full story here. The other story
11:34
is that the people running in those states
11:36
have individual brands that it's been harder for
11:38
Republicans to really tarnished at this point. Yeah.
11:41
Okay, let's keep rolling.
11:45
Spending. Ssssss
11:57
the next. Hogan
12:00
just some allegedly day but. Since. You
12:02
actually spent the day with him for your news. Stories
12:04
your it's ah. So Larry Hogan
12:06
was the very popular Governor of
12:09
Maryland. He was elected and Twenty
12:11
Sports Team handily reelected and Twenty
12:13
a T. And he is a
12:15
republican who managed to make himself
12:17
really popular in a deeply state
12:19
in large part by. there are
12:21
a lot of reasons first popularity
12:24
but one of them is that
12:26
as Trump rose and Twenty Six
12:28
T and Hogan made it very
12:30
clear that he wanted nothing to
12:32
do with him, he didn't support.
12:34
Him and sixteen and once
12:36
from became President, Hogan repeatedly
12:38
clashed with him and much
12:41
like we talked about how
12:43
democrats like Tammy Baldwin of
12:45
distance themselves from the National
12:47
Democratic France, Hogan did that
12:49
with the National Republican brand.
12:51
However, he is now running
12:53
for Senate and. This.
12:55
Race is really gonna be a
12:57
test of whether a prominent Trump
13:00
critics a guy has really made
13:02
himself out to be kind of
13:04
One is a more prominent never
13:06
trump earth in republican politics right
13:09
now. If there's any path forward
13:11
for someone like that, even. In
13:13
a deeply. States He decided earlier
13:15
this year to jump into the
13:17
Senate race after kind of flirting
13:20
with the idea of running for
13:22
President ah possibly on the No
13:24
Labels ticket was she also mutely
13:26
decided not to do former. Of
13:28
just we talking about that. Yes, Yes,
13:30
absolutely so. So the weeks at
13:32
a Senate and border deal collapsed,
13:34
he got a call from George
13:37
W. Bush saying please run for
13:39
Senate, we need your voice Kind
13:41
of like almost like it's like
13:43
to to figures he represents. It's
13:45
kind of bygone era of republican
13:47
politics, saying less, get the band
13:50
back together and and see if
13:52
we could do something going forward.
13:54
So he decided to run and
13:56
the question is gonna be can
13:58
someone like him. Who. The left
14:00
office with seventy seven percent approval
14:03
ratings on back at the beginning
14:05
of Twenty Twenty Three convince them
14:07
moderates. And Independence and Democrats
14:10
of Maryland to vote for
14:12
him. And I think it's
14:14
gonna be really tough going
14:16
because. Voters. In Maryland want
14:18
there to be checks and
14:20
balances on the power of
14:22
Trump should he be president
14:24
a second time and I
14:26
think they're going to be
14:28
really move to give republicans
14:30
another vote in the senate.
14:32
So as much as Hogan
14:34
has. Built. His own reputation
14:37
In Maryland, he is going to
14:39
be running against Trump and the
14:41
idea of Trump's power as much
14:44
as he is against the democrat
14:46
who will be. Running against him. Yeah,
14:48
I thought it was interesting that Larry Hogan
14:50
even got in the senate race, considering that
14:53
when we were talking last time. He.
14:55
Was so. Frankly, Paint
14:57
by the Idea. Of
15:00
the price of where the Republican party
15:02
has gone. Like. When you talk
15:04
to him. How. Was he trying
15:06
to. Wrestle with. His.
15:10
Kind. Of consisting criticism of a
15:12
republican party while now existing in
15:14
In and a candidate were. So
15:18
I six a whole give
15:20
it away like hope. Springs
15:22
eternal. Yell He told me that
15:24
he comes from what he calls the
15:26
Republican wing of the Republican party. Yeah
15:29
yeah, yeah, he. Says that he understands
15:31
that Trump controls the party but
15:33
he thinks that see it can
15:35
be a reasonable republican to kind
15:37
of like bring common sense back
15:39
to the party and he is
15:41
right there He is talking about
15:43
going back right? He's talking about
15:45
going backwards. He something about the
15:47
encouraged with that he gets from
15:49
George W. Bush and it's just
15:51
not clear to me how these
15:54
figures see the path forward and
15:56
I don't know who is is
15:58
gonna work but it's it's. It's
16:00
lot of of. I mean. We
16:02
have asked the never trump republicans. What?
16:05
Is the plan at this point?
16:07
Like. For years.
16:09
Like Like For years.
16:12
Of we've been waiting on this sort of plant. And one thing
16:14
that I don't give. The keeps being
16:16
this like. Point. Down the
16:18
road, right. The plan is all once he
16:20
loses. and twenty twenty, the party's gonna move
16:23
on. Or as then, that twenty twenty primary.
16:25
this gonna move on. Or when there's a
16:27
conviction, there's gonna move on and. More.
16:29
So than me saying that that's an impossible
16:32
thing happened at this point. journalistically, it's a
16:34
thing we have no evidence of half a
16:36
day as I'm like. For
16:38
Larry Hogan. What? Are you
16:40
pointing to to say. That
16:42
the Republican electorate is looking for
16:44
a non Trump opposite. And
16:47
that that lane has shown harder
16:49
and harder to actualize. Then.
16:52
That is true and work. So we know that
16:54
there's donors were anti Trump's We know that there's
16:56
individual voters who are anti Trump. We did a
16:58
you know an episode fully about folks who did
17:00
one of oh for Trump's you know, some of
17:02
which were with the Santas and some of which
17:04
were with Haley. But when you ask, both of
17:06
them, are you willing to give up on your
17:08
principles in order to stop Trump? And
17:10
join together. Said answer was no. right?
17:13
And so I'm like. I. Don't know.
17:15
What? The Republican Coalition looks like
17:18
going ahead with out Trump. And.
17:20
If you're Larry Hogan. Yeah. Know
17:22
you kind of neat that to emerge,
17:24
friends. After
17:31
the break, we keep spinning. This.
17:43
Year a very important public figure
17:45
turns eighty, he said his his
17:47
wish for his birthday. My wish
17:49
is for everyone to practice wild
17:51
fire safety because only you can
17:53
prevent wildfires. That sounds easy enough,
17:55
but you don't know who it
17:57
is Nest of course you do.
18:00
Smokey Bear let's all make your smoke is
18:02
wish comes true by learning his wild fire
18:04
prevention tips as Smokey bear.com Because Smokey Bear
18:06
lives within us all brought to you by
18:08
the use the A for service your state
18:11
forest or and the Ad council. I'm
18:13
Julie Target, some reporter at the New York
18:15
Times. I have been trying to
18:17
understand. Centers and migration so I
18:20
traveled with photographer sorry go to
18:22
Ios to the very end up
18:24
his thoughts mountainous seventy miles try
18:26
to jungle straddling the border of
18:28
Columbia and Panama for hat into
18:30
a river. Covered
18:32
in. My as many used to think
18:35
that this route was impossible, but
18:37
thousands of been risking their lives
18:39
to pass through that area. In almost
18:41
all in the hopes of making it to.
18:43
The United States. We spent nine
18:45
days hiking through the gap and
18:48
weeks building trust and relationships with
18:50
migrants. With smugglers with migration authorities
18:52
season be able to do this reporting.
18:54
We interviewed hundreds of people who have
18:56
made this journey to trying grasp what's
18:59
making. Them go to these lengths to find
19:01
a new life. New. York Times
19:03
journalists spend time in these places
19:05
to help you understand what's really
19:08
happening there. You can support
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this kind of journalism by subscribing to the
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New York Times. Or.
19:14
I L A C Span and. Okay,
19:30
so the next name is Kendrick
19:32
Lamar. Assess Assess Ah, I just
19:34
I got this live. As a
19:36
long time kung fu Timmy fans
19:38
I you know it's been a
19:40
real couple weeks here, but I
19:43
think on the specific political angle
19:45
we are talking about something that
19:47
happened. Last. Week. Where it's
19:49
is that in the wake of
19:51
Kendrick Lamar's very famous feud with
19:53
Drake which has now come and
19:55
gone as Drake has accepted his
19:57
very obvious l ah. Ah,
20:00
The binding campaign put out a distract the
20:02
thing been about clinics that if they played
20:04
a slideshow a pictures of travel with been
20:06
they play Kendrick Lamar's he Forgets His Tracks
20:09
in the background the winter months when they
20:11
changed the lyrics so that it was taking
20:13
aim at Donald Trump rather than during I
20:15
Hate The Way The Walk All Over Women's
20:18
Rights. The. Way that you talk about immigrants.
20:20
I hate the way the dress I hate
20:22
the way that you sneak this on Truth
20:24
so so. And
20:27
the think I think this larger than
20:29
you know tins of Lamar or or
20:32
anything else. I think this also speaks
20:34
to the kind of like pop culture
20:36
moments. And how are campaigns try to
20:38
see themselves as a both ah policy
20:40
and politics, ah entities but also ones
20:42
that are looking the go viral and
20:45
Thompson create just as much as anything
20:47
else. I mean you've seen this in
20:49
the way that the binding campaign is.
20:51
Use tic toc to try to jump
20:53
on latest trends even if Congress passes
20:55
legislate sense that could result. In the
20:58
banning of the app, but it's feals.
21:00
Also like a form of out reads
21:02
and way to drive headlines. this is
21:04
the new version of earned media that
21:07
you know more than a singular television
21:09
ad. These. Campaigns are also looking
21:11
to find themselves or music blogs
21:13
and on wrap blogs and be
21:15
and different types of places. Actually
21:17
recently listen to an interview with
21:19
abiding Campaigns Vigital Director and he
21:21
was saying really explicitly how you
21:23
know they have the prioritize more
21:25
traditional media in favor of China.
21:27
Make sure that they find themselves
21:30
in the places that people are
21:32
going that are less interested in
21:34
politics as I think we can
21:36
see these things like this tracked
21:38
a tick tock, Viral thirsty. Miss
21:40
Content as part of that. But.
21:42
I also think like you know my
21:45
brain also thinks back to and Twenty
21:47
Twenty when democrats got a lot of
21:49
flak for how are they you know
21:52
now to Kente Cloth after the murder
21:54
of George Floyd and that kind of
21:56
seems like an inauthentic message for this
21:58
party to be. Delivering, I think
22:01
back to when Hillary Clinton says that
22:03
she had hot sauce in her bag.
22:05
Ask their beyond say formation video and
22:07
for the record I'm pretty certain we
22:10
couldn't actually did love hot sauce and
22:12
the was legitimately cancer ban came off
22:14
and it became this kind of likes.
22:17
It became just like moments that supposedly
22:19
encapsulated the party's relationships to blackness and
22:21
black culture. So many did the Donald
22:23
Trump this and relationship with Kendrick Lamar's
22:26
Euphoria track last week's The huge response
22:28
on line was about. Oh, here
22:30
they go again. trying to use stuff for
22:32
both. It went viral in a somewhat negative
22:35
random on characterize the whole responses, that's But
22:37
that was a lot of the responses, and
22:39
I do think that that's something that's in
22:41
that air. There's a very thin line between
22:44
leaning into pop culture and coming off as
22:46
an authentic, particularly when the candidate at the
22:48
top of the tickets is eighty one years
22:50
old, right? No one in here. No one
22:53
in both countries thinks that Joe Biden actually
22:55
knows what's happening in the Kendrick Lamar, Drake.
22:57
The and some of that's okay, right? They
22:59
understand. It's a campaign, and voters
23:02
understand that. But I think
23:04
there is a sense that
23:06
political parties have only dealt
23:08
with our community, that the
23:10
margins really. Without. Any
23:12
substance. And. So I think
23:14
that that's what you know. These
23:16
moments kind of exemplify is the
23:18
tough road that campaigns have in
23:20
terms of trying to speak in
23:22
an authentic language to communities that
23:24
don't feel like they have represented
23:26
them. Ah, this is often
23:28
true around what type of events people
23:30
do in. I've seen like people
23:32
try to have taco trucks for Latino
23:35
voters. Like is that responding to
23:37
a legitimate desire? Or is that a
23:39
panda. And I think the line between
23:41
that is just if it comes off as
23:43
authentic, and if just if it feels like
23:46
it's in the natural language of the candidate
23:48
in campaign. And right now you
23:50
know I think that's hard to say for
23:52
Biden Aura Trump, right? Like when Trump
23:54
engages with those communities everyone knows it's a
23:56
photo of fry of I Expect Cdc. Very.
23:59
He very true. Here at least deals
24:01
very disposable. He with these communities blessings democrats
24:03
try to do is try to make it
24:05
seem deeper. I just I'm not there. Are
24:07
we succeed right? Absolutely. And don't let the
24:10
by to get by with Mccain the rest
24:12
of get through the bars. Weird because if
24:14
that's Lilith truth is that you could spend
24:16
a democratic and citizen of of that. it's
24:18
assistance and. Ah,
24:20
let's have that. The
24:33
next name is Judged. can and ah destiny help
24:36
us out here. Yeah, absolutely So
24:38
Judge Irene Ten and is
24:40
the judge overseeing Chance Florida
24:42
trial related to the Mar
24:44
A log out and who
24:46
can forget those photos of
24:48
the documents in the bathroom,
24:50
the classified documents that federal
24:52
investigators asked for repeatedly and
24:54
he would not give back
24:56
and eventually were taken from
24:58
his house at in a
25:00
raid on. So there have
25:02
been a lot of things
25:04
this has happened in Trump's
25:06
trials. Where he just
25:09
kind of seems to get
25:11
lucky break after lucky break.
25:13
and one of those lucky
25:15
breaks was dead. Cnn Being
25:17
assigned to oversee this trial
25:20
after she had previously made
25:22
some favorable rulings to Trump
25:24
that really made you know
25:26
high seas and legal observers
25:28
raise their eyebrows to appointed
25:30
her to the federal bench
25:32
is relatively inexperienced us for
25:35
being a federal judge. And
25:37
just about a week ago see is
25:39
it a decision delaying the start as
25:42
his trial? She had officially had a
25:44
May twentieth trial start dates and she
25:46
is. is this ruling that basically said
25:48
there is just too much stuff to
25:51
work thrills before we can start this
25:53
trial. So I mean this: graph the
25:55
trial delay and not even seventy one
25:57
because we just don't Now. The
26:00
moment with a real victory for
26:02
Trump because once again at his
26:05
lawyers strategy to just delay and
26:07
delay and delay his trial, throw
26:09
all kinds of motions at the
26:12
judges in the trials on. Has
26:15
has worked. Yeah, I mean I think
26:17
back so much to the episode to
26:19
be dead late last year. I'll call
26:21
his Trump going to prison at that
26:23
time. It seems like his January six
26:26
trials will be starting first and that
26:28
that was the one and was Trump
26:30
lawyers least want it to happen before
26:32
the elections and arm and the one
26:34
release worried about was this New York
26:36
taste and we've seen it develop over
26:39
the several months where the New York
26:41
cases the one that's taking place And
26:43
while historic. It does seem like
26:45
a big victory for Trump. That.
26:48
Be beings that seems most politically threatening
26:50
be the case in Georgia this case
26:52
in Florida would such can and or
26:54
the other federal case on January six
26:57
are now as he say very unlikely
26:59
to happen before November. A lot of
27:01
polling tells us that some voters would
27:03
say is down from was convicted of
27:06
a crime before November could change their
27:08
feeling about them but we don't really
27:10
have answers on if that depended on
27:12
which trial with first as I think
27:15
it's an open question about whether whatever
27:17
happens. In New York actually changes his
27:19
political future. but what is on question?
27:22
Is. The. Donald Trump Legal
27:24
Team and Political Team. Wanted.
27:26
To delay these trials particular till
27:28
after he was the officially nominated
27:30
Republicans per the Rnc convention and
27:32
to delay them after the November
27:34
General election where they think the
27:36
heat and when and would be
27:38
much harder to prosecute can make
27:40
the sitting President. And both
27:42
of those delays. Are.
27:45
Seeming. To be things that my come to
27:47
fruition. Ah
28:00
right, Salem's Sms the Princess of
28:02
Pop or sell ssssss Mrs. Assess
28:05
as a lot of words, are
28:07
you okay with that? Because this
28:09
has come up in the last
28:11
couple months As we remember around
28:13
the Superbowl types, there was an
28:15
idea pushed by some Republicans that
28:18
Taylor Swift was being intentionally kind
28:20
of blotting out all of pop
28:22
culture because she was a liberal
28:24
who had previously endorsed by then
28:26
and that they were setting her
28:28
up to be one of. The
28:30
most impactful celebrity endorsers of the
28:32
Twenty Twenty Four Election. Now there's
28:34
an open question about the impact
28:36
of celebrity endorsements in general, but
28:38
if anyone may matter in this
28:40
race it is likely to be
28:43
the person who's every utterance seems
28:45
to be news and ah and
28:47
seems to be at the center
28:49
of American pop culture. And ah,
28:51
we were thinking about this actually
28:53
when we were as see pack
28:55
and Talk To Jack for so
28:57
Big who was one of the
28:59
Trump supporting commentators with famously. Popularized
29:01
other conspiracies like Pizza Gates,
29:03
and has dabbled in really
29:06
kind of messy, icky stuff.
29:09
But. Was one of people pushing this idea?
29:11
That. Taylor Swift was a democratic party
29:13
or plants frankly and we ask them
29:15
about it. Last was a habit like
29:17
we've also blown up as like that
29:19
Taylor Swift's guys who what how that
29:21
the summer M V really think they
29:23
were with a part of a government
29:26
conspiracy whatever city for the government conspiracy
29:28
the other people have said thing that
29:30
made you know me that added on
29:32
to what I said. What I said
29:34
was that a that the biden and
29:36
been mugged by the campaign was unsafe
29:38
and the Democrats would be very smart
29:40
to work towards. Getting an endorsement and
29:42
actually I was talking about ballot harvesting.
29:45
ah using Taylor said as he has
29:47
in the past without them of these
29:49
calls for voter registrations endorsed by Harrison.
29:51
The past. That being said though because
29:53
people that whoa are you attacking gel
29:55
or citizen and attacking shows up. In
29:58
fact I would love for telescope. The
30:00
come to see back the sweaty and
30:02
com as well fully open door if
30:04
they wanna get on board because they've
30:07
seen the policies of this administration and
30:09
they know the four years ago was
30:11
better for I think in that we
30:13
hear some of the recognition of Taylor
30:16
Swift's importance in part in kind of
30:18
power in pop culture and a real
30:20
our understanding that some of these people
30:22
who have such platforms tens rise big
30:25
interests. I remember when Taylor Swift's weeded
30:27
out that vote.org registration think I'm ever
30:29
beyond say endorsing. Beddoe right before
30:31
that Us Senate race in Texas,
30:33
and I think particularly in the
30:35
Trump years of Twenty sixteen to
30:37
twenty, there was a lot of
30:39
pressure on pop him seekers and
30:41
concerts to speak out more about
30:43
politics. I one time interview Le
30:45
Bron James about his efforts with
30:47
more than the both to really
30:49
push voter registration and they were
30:51
also during a campaign to have
30:53
people work as poll workers and
30:56
that was actually fairly successful. You
30:58
saw likes Battleground States really have.
31:00
An influx of poll workers partially because
31:02
of the attention that was placed on
31:04
this now bothers open ton of questions
31:06
around how much celebrity endorsers moved the
31:08
literal needle in terms of votes. I
31:11
do think they can be reflective. Of.
31:13
A larger calls for a moment
31:16
where people in the spotlight. Galvanize.
31:19
Others to point their attention at
31:21
politics. and if we go farther,
31:23
I do think there was some.
31:25
and twenty sixteen to twenty some
31:27
galvanizing around anti Trump miss to
31:29
say that this was an America
31:31
that this in represent larger values.
31:33
I wonder if celebrities and people
31:35
who are going to be willing
31:37
to step in it and the
31:39
same way. And twenty twenty fourth,
31:41
you know the wins around that
31:43
stuff have changed the little the
31:45
current democratic president is pretty unpopular.
31:47
there's pressure. Around whether you're going to
31:49
speak out about things like our international
31:51
conflicts or even some domestic issues and
31:54
the same way that I think that.
31:56
Anti Trump Miss was a safe space for a
31:58
lot of celebrities. The land in a
32:01
more liberal Hollywood's It's gotten a little
32:03
more complicated than that, and so you
32:05
know Taylor Swift and very well. Baker,
32:07
Biden Harris Twenty Twenty cookies again for
32:09
years later. And maybe that counts as
32:12
the same level of endorsements, but I
32:14
bet you have. See, where did you
32:16
that this time? People that some more
32:18
questions. And I think that is
32:20
a kind of thing that's happening furtively
32:22
among celebrities. Is there's been of our
32:25
i feel as a retrenchment from Social
32:27
Justice as part of Brand, partially to
32:29
avoid some of those questions. What do
32:31
think? Just like the think by the
32:33
end of this we get like you
32:36
know superstars for by their north or
32:38
even on the other side. I think
32:40
about the ways that Trump has you
32:42
know, low way called I Black lot
32:44
of like rap endorsers Tiny West famously
32:47
Like How much do we think? The
32:49
Hollywood. Ecosystem is gonna play in
32:51
this presidential race. I
32:53
think that sets as. Good
32:55
as survey said an important point
32:57
like I think the reason that
33:00
see his cell. In else sought
33:02
after his yet see his. See is
33:04
so famous. But I think a big part
33:06
of the reason that see a suicide after
33:08
for the Biden campaign is like this is
33:10
a year where the same two guys are
33:12
running against each other voters and know who
33:14
Trump is. They know what he's like, They
33:16
know who biden as they know what he's
33:19
like and it's Sunni. Them Sea ice. Exactly.
33:21
he nice sized that he also
33:24
needs that as since this Oleksyn
33:26
needs her and less on like
33:28
convincing persuadable voters, convincing swing voters
33:31
to come out for Biden or
33:33
Trump than it is in persuading
33:36
low propensity voters, people who have
33:38
not voted for, for people who
33:40
are feeling kind of apathetic about
33:43
the less sense to to come
33:45
out and sell. And I think
33:47
that's where a figure like Taylor
33:50
Swift could be seen. As helpful
33:52
lesson convincing people who are
33:54
considering Trump to go for
33:56
biden and more just in
33:58
convincing people. Sure they were
34:00
gonna vote or what. really thinking about it and
34:03
kind of putting it on their radar and getting
34:05
them out. One thing that
34:07
Donald Trump is pitching quite explicitly
34:09
in this campaign is a rejection
34:11
of elites. And. When
34:14
the I would say it I would be interested
34:16
in about celebrity endorsers. Is.
34:18
If the tenor in the air. Is
34:21
to intentionally provoke a class of
34:23
people who has not been responses.
34:25
There's a part of the Trump
34:27
premise. That kind of immune. To.
34:29
This because one, he's kind of the biggest
34:32
celebrity of all. And. But to.
34:34
I think what he's pitching. Is.
34:38
To say ask you to that class
34:40
of people And so thats the mood
34:43
the electorate is Ann. Taylor.
34:45
Swift will now overcome. Isn't. Isn't
34:47
yeah? Are I Last but
34:49
not least, Community
34:59
activists. Crickets was.
35:06
A fourteen month old
35:08
wire haired pointer belonging to
35:10
Kristi Noem who is
35:12
now the Governor of
35:14
South Dakota who met her
35:17
untimely end in a
35:19
gravel pit after a
35:21
failed hunt. On and
35:23
we know about this. Not because
35:25
anybody asks Chrissy down if she
35:27
had ever saw her own dog
35:29
in a gravel pit. On know
35:32
We know that this because she
35:34
told us he put it in
35:36
her memoir for all the world
35:38
to see the story of her
35:40
euthanizing her own fourteen month old
35:42
dog and a billy goats who
35:44
is unnamed. For good measure.
35:47
Wait so I've only tangentially fall
35:49
of the story why to Kristi
35:51
Noem tiller dog and why might
35:54
imagine. She
35:56
killed her dog Cricket because she
35:59
had cheated. God in it had
36:01
come to her from a different home where
36:03
cricket had had a heater or problems. And
36:07
Gnome goes out with some
36:09
visitors on this hunt with
36:11
some of her kind of
36:13
more experienced dogs. And the
36:16
dog cricket and and cricket
36:18
is just. Bad. At this,
36:20
I guess it is important if you
36:22
will are a hunting dog to like
36:24
not run after the birds too soon
36:26
as I have not scare them. Out
36:29
of the footage was or that for the life
36:31
of are no doubt. So apparently
36:33
Cricket scared up all these birds
36:35
before the hunters could get into
36:37
range. The day of hunting was
36:39
ruined and on her way back
36:41
with with cricket see loaded a
36:43
bunch of these dogs into the
36:45
back of her truck in kennels.
36:47
Cricket did not have a can.
36:49
Also, Cricket wasn't restrained to south
36:52
of her neighbor's house. Cricket jumps
36:54
out and like kills all these
36:56
chickens belonging to her neighbor and
36:58
then known decides that that this
37:00
dog is untrainable cannot be six.
37:02
And she takes her get new
37:05
and her gun to a gravel
37:07
pit and and kills or. Or
37:09
the governor South Dakota kills her
37:11
dog for being mildly annoying. I'm.
37:15
A lot of like. Why
37:17
does that matter? For November? Well.
37:20
Donald. Trump once said he could
37:23
shoot someone on Says Avenue. And.
37:25
It wouldn't matter. And it
37:27
turns out that that privilege is
37:30
not extended necessarily see while the
37:32
people that he is considering for
37:34
vice president so he is known
37:36
is one of the Sig years
37:38
has been in the makes his
37:40
talked about as a possible vice
37:43
presidential nominee for him on sees
37:45
it kind of combat as. Governor
37:47
of South Dakota since a very
37:49
specific about it feels like a
37:51
job about in. This is is
37:54
it. Out combat as ah, murderous said
37:56
dog However you are but it says
37:58
see the brass computer. South Dakota.
38:00
She's been very, very loyal
38:03
to Trump's is always talked
38:05
in, Op's is always kind
38:07
of backed him to the
38:09
hilt, and this story, which
38:12
just didn't seem to go
38:14
away widely resonated. and her
38:16
likelihood of being chosen for
38:18
his vice presidential pick was
38:21
not that high to begin
38:23
with. But.
38:25
Whatever chance she has, Ah
38:27
from our reporting seems to
38:29
have. Dimmed further. Yeah, I
38:31
mean she's been on television
38:33
china explain the dog away
38:35
over the last couple weeks,
38:37
and in doing so, has
38:39
only dog the pit deeper.
38:41
Ah, rather, thank god the
38:43
gravel pit. Rest. In Peace
38:45
Cricket Even deeper do we know
38:48
who the absence of Vice President
38:50
Trump is more likely to pick
38:52
instead of Gov. Know? Yeah,
38:54
so when I think about
38:56
the kind of options that
38:58
Trump has in front of
39:00
him, that for Vice President,
39:02
I'm thinking about like a
39:04
seal, different categories. There's a group
39:07
of kind of political veterans, not
39:09
people who com with more
39:11
experience, people who come with their
39:14
own constituency. Somebody like Sen. Tim
39:16
Scott. As South Carolina, he
39:18
ran for President Trump, and Scott
39:20
kind of never really locked horns
39:23
during that. Primary they never really
39:25
thought with. Each other directly. Ah, Scott
39:27
was very careful to not make some man.
39:30
He. Was he was very careful to
39:32
not make Trump mad and some
39:34
other people who I think fall
39:36
into that category of political veterans
39:38
of someone like Sen. Marco Rubio
39:40
of Florida who might be seen
39:42
as like a little bit more
39:44
as a palatable to slightly more
39:46
moderate voters figure on the ticket.
39:48
Whether there's an actual swing voter
39:50
who would be swayed by Marco
39:52
Rubio presence on the ticket I
39:54
I I don't know, but that
39:56
kind of would be the theory.
39:58
Their job at least. The Phonic
40:00
is another political veteran who really
40:02
has switched her wagon to Trump,
40:04
has transformed from more of a
40:07
republican moderate to someone who just
40:09
kind of blasts out his message
40:11
at every turn and then you
40:13
can sink more about kind of
40:15
the second category than that, That
40:17
that I think of is like
40:19
that. The Trump and Loyalists, someone
40:22
like Jays aunts who initially in
40:24
his career as a writer, was
40:26
pretty critical of Trump and has
40:28
really just. Utterly transformed and
40:30
made himself someone who defends Trump
40:32
at every turn. Ah, Sarah Sanders.
40:34
She is now Governor of Arkansas.
40:36
She was one of Trump's press
40:39
secretaries during his presidency and so
40:41
it was literally her job to
40:43
go out, talk to the media
40:45
about him, talk about how great
40:47
he was, how loyal she was.
40:49
See him on any group of
40:51
kind of like younger, up and
40:53
coming, it tight, say gears and
40:55
that someone like Representative Byron Donald's
40:57
of Florida on he's a. Second
40:59
term Congress man. He is one
41:02
of not a lot of black
41:04
republicans in the house on so
41:06
he could bring some racial diversity
41:09
to the ticket at a time
41:11
when Trump is trying to ah.
41:13
Make inroads with. Black and
41:16
Latino voters on and then there's also
41:18
some of my to Zach Ramaswamy Who?
41:20
Who? you. Made. A
41:22
name for himself in the primary
41:24
by being Trump to point out
41:27
in away and never ever say
41:29
anything bad about about former President
41:31
Trump's and so ah so yeah.
41:34
So they get about the veterans,
41:36
the wireless and the up and
41:38
comers X Generation. Sensors that
41:40
but not the dog. Taylor
41:43
Swift. The probably. Not the dod
41:45
killers although I was talking to her
41:47
colleague my bender last week and he
41:49
says you know Trump loves a redemption
41:51
story. He loves when people come to
41:53
him and kind of say I did
41:55
something that was Roger I am still
41:57
with you add So it an hour.
42:00
Whatever, but it seems unlikely.
42:02
I did see a have something
42:04
on the Vp search around the
42:06
idea that Trump will be considering
42:08
Nikki Haley. Ah, that.
42:11
Was. Immediately squash down by Trump.
42:13
What? Happened there. So
42:16
that was very interesting because
42:18
whatever the possibilities the I
42:20
have to run through really
42:22
do is reach a constituency
42:24
the Trump has a problem
42:26
with and that is. Moderate.
42:29
Voters right? like like going back
42:31
to the kind of Larry Hogan
42:33
ask Republicans of the world's there
42:35
are not enough of them to.
42:37
Run. The party there are not
42:39
enough of them to to have
42:42
their pack become the presidential nominee.
42:44
For there's enough of them. The Saints: his presidential
42:46
campaign. Exactly. Exactly. And
42:48
so were he to look at
42:50
Nikki Haley who said while she
42:52
was running for President that she
42:54
was not running for vice President
42:57
that she wasn't interested. Were he
42:59
to look at her he would
43:01
be finding a way to tensely
43:03
to bring along the in some
43:05
cases twenty Twenty five, thirty percent
43:07
sometimes even more of republican voters
43:10
in sixties who were backing her
43:12
who didn't like Trump who are
43:14
uncomfortable with has tended to see
43:16
that. Liked the way she kind
43:18
of just throw back to as
43:20
a pre trump tradition of republicans
43:23
so are. You can see I they
43:25
and help each other solve some of their
43:27
problems. Tried provides her a sort of future
43:29
or See provides them an outlet to voters
43:32
who are currently ah luke warm with him.
43:34
But exactly. But. Trump
43:36
said on to sell so she's not under
43:38
consideration. Yes, Trump said I'm to
43:40
social she's not under consideration. There's a
43:43
lot of. Bad. Blood there. Ah.
43:45
going back to Taylor Swift. And
43:48
and and. He. May or never
43:50
ever getting back together. They. Are never
43:52
ever getting back together? exactly?
43:56
I'm just thank you. So Mods I
43:58
you know this was. We how far
44:00
and I think we're gonna help tech as
44:02
a lot of boxes around the people who
44:04
might matter in this race besides by than
44:06
trump and it's also just been hanging out
44:09
so thank you for joining the run up
44:11
and I can't wait so we have more
44:13
listener questions and we can do this another
44:15
week. I can't wait till we have a
44:17
dinner party with all the people we just talked about. Success
44:19
as a threat to. The
44:24
memory of kisses ever go
44:27
about. Thank.
44:34
You so much to everyone who sitting
44:36
question is who keep answering them regularly
44:38
on the show. So please keep sending
44:40
the men. Were game to spin
44:42
the wheel and answer whatever you're curious about
44:44
when it comes to twenty Twenty Four. Email.
44:47
Us at the run up and in
44:50
my times.com That's the run up at
44:52
In My Time that. This
45:15
year a very important public figure turns
45:17
eighty. he sent his his wish for
45:19
his birthday. My wish is for everyone
45:21
to practice wild fire safety because only
45:23
you can prevent wildfires. That sounds easy
45:26
enough but you don't know who it
45:28
is Now of course you do. It's
45:30
Smokey Bear. Let's all make your smoke
45:32
is wish comes true by learning his
45:34
wild Fire prevention tips as Smokey bear.com
45:37
because Smokey Bear lives within us all
45:39
brought to you by the use the
45:41
a Forest service, your state forest or
45:43
and the Ad Council. That's
45:49
the run up for Thursday,
45:51
May sixteenth, Twenty Twenty Four.
45:53
Now the rundown this week.
45:56
Breaking News this morning. President
45:58
Biden moments ago. Thou any.
46:00
Donald Trump said the base.
46:03
As soon as next. Month biderman
46:05
Trump have agreed to face each
46:07
other into debates. The
46:09
first as early as June. Twenty
46:11
Seven. And again in
46:13
September. Some details
46:16
are still being worked out, including
46:18
format and the choice of moderator.
46:21
But the proposed debates or head
46:23
to head matchups without their party
46:26
candidate Rfk Junior. Kennedy.
46:29
Took the axe and accused the
46:31
presumptive major party nominees are polluting
46:33
against them. Meanwhile,
46:36
every. Single one of
46:38
the level. As
46:44
an incoming face to face as the man who.
46:46
Has worked Trump's former attorney and
46:48
Big Sir Michael Someone. Took
46:51
the witness they're going with central
46:53
to the case, told the jury
46:56
about pay me to Stormy Daniels
46:58
and his reimbursed by from Trump's
47:00
legal t Began cross examined in
47:02
common or Tuesday and will continue
47:05
to then. Some.
47:07
Criminal Trial has also brought a number
47:09
of charms potential Bp choice to New
47:12
York to show support for the former
47:14
President. For. Make Ramos
47:16
bombing North Dakota Gov Doug
47:19
Burger and Ohio senator fans
47:21
who denounce with he described
47:23
as part. Of the
47:25
process. Press
47:28
presented with. A
47:33
false. Products
47:36
Political Office and Restates Help
47:38
Primaries on Tuesday. Nebraska,
47:42
West Virginia and Maryland.
47:45
Where. Angela also brooks the Prince
47:47
George's County Executive one the
47:49
Democratic senate primary. She
47:52
defeated Congressmen. David Shrum. spent a record
47:55
sixty million of his own fortune on
47:57
the race. Also
47:59
brooks. Why Debates former Republican
48:01
Gov. Larry Hogan in November?
48:04
What? We know that Maryland has been
48:06
a blue state but it will only stay
48:08
a blue. Say they would put in the
48:10
work. Because
48:13
married. Party
48:18
won a flip This see. Their
48:20
sixty days into the Republican National
48:22
Convention. Ninety Five Days
48:24
until the Democratic National Convention. And
48:27
one hundred seventy three days until the general
48:30
election. We'll see next week. The.
48:40
Run up as reported by me is
48:42
that Herndon the produced by a we
48:44
the Gutierrez degree low keys and manifold.
48:48
Is edited by Rachel Dry and
48:50
was it's okay with the original
48:52
music by them out. Marion with
48:54
Nano Pack has Scion Long of
48:56
the A Landmines. And
49:00
was leaked by some laming. Special
49:04
thanks Paul Assume and abdomen
49:07
prefer and David how many
49:09
mess yellow me he must
49:11
have Lonnie Big Man and
49:14
Jeffrey Moran. Finally
49:16
like the so and when you
49:18
get upset when latest episode fall
49:20
apart from wherever you get your
49:22
patasse. Thanks. for listening
49:24
to on. This.
49:27
Year a very important public figure turns
49:29
a D C centers his wish for
49:32
his birthday. My wish is for everyone
49:34
to bragged is wild fire safety because
49:36
only you can prevent wildfires. That sounds
49:38
easy enough but you don't know who
49:40
it is Nest of course he do
49:42
it. Smokey Bear let's all make your
49:45
smoke is wish comes true by learning
49:47
his wild fire prevention tips and Smokey
49:49
bear.com because Smokey Bear lives within us
49:51
all birds you by the use the
49:53
A Forest service your state forest or
49:56
in the Ad council.
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