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Democrats Are Panicking About Biden. How Did They Get Here?

Democrats Are Panicking About Biden. How Did They Get Here?

BonusReleased Saturday, 29th June 2024
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Democrats Are Panicking About Biden. How Did They Get Here?

Democrats Are Panicking About Biden. How Did They Get Here?

Democrats Are Panicking About Biden. How Did They Get Here?

Democrats Are Panicking About Biden. How Did They Get Here?

BonusSaturday, 29th June 2024
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0:00

This podcast is supported by IBM.

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0:32

Let's create. President

0:36

Biden and

0:42

Donald Trump. And

0:53

in short, it was not

0:55

a great night for Biden. I should be

0:58

dealing with everything we

1:00

have to do with,

1:03

look, if we

1:06

finally beat Medicare. Thank you, President

1:08

Biden. President Trump. This

1:11

has triggered a big freak-out among top levels

1:13

of the Democratic Party, which

1:15

for months has been dismissing

1:18

concerns about Biden's age and mental

1:20

fitness. Often

1:22

getting angry at reporters like me

1:24

for even asking the questions, despite

1:27

the fact that polling and our own

1:29

reporting have clearly shown that

1:32

concerns about Biden's age, physical

1:34

stamina, and mental acuity are

1:36

huge factors in this election. How

1:39

are you feeling about President Biden? He's getting old, and that

1:42

makes me sad because he's really a

1:44

good candidate. He's too old. I

1:46

feel like he's a little out of touch, but I think he's

1:48

too old. At some point,

1:50

the age thing has to come into

1:52

play. I like Joe Biden. He's too

1:54

old. I don't think we should have

1:57

deep senior citizens in office making decisions

1:59

for the country. His level

2:01

of competence worries me with

2:03

his age and mental clarity. I

2:06

won't vote for Joe Biden in November

2:08

because he sneezes away from the high

2:10

seas. I was not expecting Biden

2:12

to run again, actually. I was thinking that

2:14

logically he's old, he was going to step

2:16

down. His age does trouble me

2:19

and he seems to be frail. I think

2:21

he has done. And

2:23

so for the many people who watched the debate or

2:26

who woke up on Friday morning and saw the clips

2:28

and thought, how is this happening?

2:32

Or how did the Democrats let this happen?

2:35

Here's how. From

2:38

the New York Times, I'm Estet Herndon. And

2:41

this is a special edition of The Run-Up. He's

2:54

an excellent president. He

2:56

is very good at presidenting and

2:59

his policies have worked. We've seen them,

3:02

we feel them in our community. And so you

3:04

say, if it ain't broke,

3:07

why go with something unknown when this guy is such

3:09

a good president? And, you know, we like

3:12

Uncle Joe. That's Leah

3:14

Daltrey, a longtime DNC member

3:16

and party official. We

3:19

talked to her in February of last

3:21

year at the DNC winter meeting in

3:23

Philadelphia. This was not

3:25

long after the midterm elections when Democrats

3:27

were riding high. And

3:29

after request to President Biden in his campaign,

3:32

party leaders were set to change the state

3:34

order of the Democratic primary so

3:37

that South Carolina could vote ahead of

3:39

Iowa and New Hampshire. The

3:41

stated reason was a desire to

3:44

support black voters and increase representation.

3:47

But since South Carolina has long been

3:49

Biden's second political home, the

3:51

decision also seemed designed with an eye to 2024

3:55

to scare off any potential Biden

3:58

primary challengers his

4:00

path to the nomination just a little bit

4:02

easier. Acquired coordination of

4:04

sorts. At the same time, Iowa, New

4:06

Hampshire, states Joe Biden, to Biden, South Carolina is

4:08

a state he did well in. Couldn't

4:11

this also be read as a president rewarding

4:14

a state or prioritizing a state that

4:16

serves his political interests? And?

4:22

OK, I don't have a problem with that. He's the president.

4:24

He's the head of the party. So he

4:26

gets to make the decisions that are best for the

4:28

party. Whether his personal

4:30

interests played a role in

4:32

line with our objectives, which is

4:34

to shake up this system to

4:37

ensure that the base of your

4:39

party who shows up every single

4:41

cycle for you have an early

4:43

say. That's interesting because sometimes I've

4:45

been asking folks that question. They've been asking

4:47

like politics is just not evolved to this. We're

4:49

a political party. This is just about the

4:51

representation. It

4:54

was just about. And so I appreciate you

4:56

saying that because I feel like it has

4:58

to be political. I mean, for my this

5:00

is the Democratic Party. We are political. Every

5:02

decision we make is political. So

5:05

I think to say that it's not

5:07

is kind of disingenuous. Yeah. Yeah. While

5:11

we were there, we also spoke with the chair

5:13

of the DNC, Jamie Harrison,

5:16

and asked repeatedly, do

5:18

party leaders have any qualms about

5:20

clearing the path for someone who will be 86

5:23

years old at the end of his second

5:25

term? Poll after poll says the

5:27

majority of Americans do not want Biden to run

5:30

for reelection and includes the majority of Democrats. How

5:32

did the actions with the DNC square with that

5:34

reality? Listen, a poll is a poll. But what

5:36

we do know, concrete, is that Joe Biden has

5:38

delivered for the American people with a very slim

5:40

majority in both the House and the Senate. So

5:43

in the end of the day, I hope folks

5:45

understand, don't bet against Joe Biden. I understand that.

5:47

I guess it's not a question about his accomplishments,

5:49

not a question about the midterms. But that's what

5:51

you run on. No, no, no. But it's a

5:54

question about do you want that person to be

5:56

the person going forward? Joe Biden would be 82

5:58

at the time of 2020. It

6:00

is very reasonable. And we have talked to very

6:02

little voters who like the last four years, but

6:04

still have questions about the next four years. My

6:06

question is about the next four years. Instead,

6:09

ultimately, people vote for somebody who

6:11

can deliver for them. This

6:14

man has been delivering for the American

6:16

people in a way that no president

6:18

has in recent history. And

6:20

so he has the record. He

6:22

intends to run for reelection. We at

6:24

the DNC are going to make sure that Joe Biden stays

6:26

in the White House for another four years. There

6:29

is no inkling that he will

6:31

not be the nominee of our party. I understand

6:33

that. He deserves that. There's

6:36

a reason we were asking these questions in early 2023, because

6:38

it seemed clear at the

6:41

time that the party was

6:43

going to effectively shut down a truly

6:45

open primary process before voters

6:48

had really started paying attention. And

6:51

the only person I could find would speak

6:53

openly about their concerns with what the party

6:55

was doing. Was

6:57

Biden's former primary challenger,

6:59

Julian Castro, who

7:01

famously fell from grace in the Democratic Party

7:04

after going at Biden's age and mental

7:07

acuity? I know the facts

7:09

of what is on Biden versus Trump.

7:11

And I know that you are a

7:14

supportive Democrat. I'm asking whether you think

7:16

it's right that the party has kind

7:18

of coalesced around Biden so quickly. That's

7:21

kind of shut off the doors

7:23

to other challengers or really has

7:25

made that decision so explicitly. That's

7:27

what I'm really asking. Well, I mean,

7:29

I can't blame the Biden

7:32

team for other people not jumping

7:34

into the race. I

7:37

certainly don't hold that against them. I mean,

7:39

he definitely has a track record and has

7:41

done a lot of positive things. I mean,

7:43

there's a lot to be proud of there

7:45

for Democrats. However, what

7:48

I do think the DNC

7:51

should consider is probably think

7:53

about opening up the primary

7:56

to some debates. I

7:58

think that that would probably. And

14:00

that's Joe Biden. So I think he

14:02

is running in part because he's succeeded

14:04

in defeating Donald Trump. And I think he's our

14:06

best option to feed Donald Trump in 2024, protect

14:09

our democracy. I also think he's done

14:11

a good job as president. He

14:13

ran on a very aggressive agenda for president

14:15

to have the country recover from

14:18

the pandemic, to address four crises.

14:20

He saw a crisis of

14:22

the economy in the wake of the pandemic,

14:24

a crisis of climate change, crisis

14:27

of racism. And obviously then the

14:29

health care crisis coming out of the pandemic. And so we

14:31

set to work on day one to try to address all

14:34

four crises. And I feel like we made

14:36

good progress on all four of them. There's a big unfinished

14:38

agenda and he's running to finish that agenda. I

14:40

think he has a track record that merits

14:43

reelection and an agenda that will drive a

14:45

second term and the proven track

14:47

record of taking on and defeating Donald Trump. You

14:50

know, I want to dig deeper there and partly

14:52

go back to 2020 to do that, because you

14:54

mentioned the first one about he's the person to

14:56

beat Donald Trump and he has the proven track

14:58

record there. I remember President Biden's age

15:01

kind of being an open discussion back in 2020. Even

15:04

some folks thinking he should take a pledge to

15:06

serve only one term. Can you take me inside

15:08

the campaign at the time? You were a senior

15:10

advisor. Was there any discussion of his advanced age

15:13

at that point? And how did you all go

15:15

about trying to respond to the pressure of those

15:17

concerns? Well, obviously it was an issue

15:19

in 2020. People raised it.

15:22

But you know, I think he defeated

15:24

it by campaigning, by putting his agenda

15:26

before the country. He had, I

15:28

think, a bold agenda that I think helped

15:30

reject the idea that he was too old because he was very forward

15:32

looking on issues like climate change and

15:35

race and other issues like that. And

15:37

I think that that agenda and his energy

15:39

in the campaign, his success in

15:42

debating Donald Trump in the fall, I think

15:44

all overcame those objections. Age

15:46

was an issue in 2020. It's an issue in

15:48

2024, but it's an issue. And there are other

15:50

issues too. I think the sum of

15:53

the issues favored Biden in 2020. I think they will again

15:55

in 2024. I

15:57

also though remember at the time during the.

18:00

and I'm confident he's reelected to serve all four

18:02

years. I guess there's not really a conflict between

18:04

the results we see in the top, in the

18:07

large portions of the Democratic Party and even the

18:09

polling numbers we see, right? Like the polling tells

18:11

us that Biden has a unique problem that does

18:13

not translate to the rest of the party. And

18:16

a lot of the evidence says that the party,

18:18

when it runs candidates that are not respectfully 81,

18:20

that they do fine. And

18:23

so I guess I'm saying, is there

18:25

anything that Democrats or the Biden

18:27

campaign is doing about

18:29

a question that does seem unique

18:31

to this candidate? Well,

18:33

I think that the president knows that age is

18:35

an issue in the campaign. He said that, he's acknowledged

18:38

that. I think you're going to see the

18:40

president on the stump when we get into the campaign season. People

18:42

will be able to assess the president and how he's doing. And

18:45

I think that he'll be a vigorous

18:47

campaigner on his own behalf. But

18:49

I think we have to make the argument that

18:51

his age allows him to have more wisdom and

18:53

perspective as president at a time of a complex

18:55

and a dangerous world that Joe Biden's the

18:58

person you want dealing with this mess we

19:00

have in Europe with Putin invading Ukraine. And

19:03

you want Joe Biden solving these hard problems because he's

19:05

got the experience to do that. And

19:07

certainly if the choice between Joe Biden and Donald Trump,

19:09

I think Biden's a better choice. You

19:11

know, I have a last couple of questions. I really

19:13

appreciate you kind of being a proxy for us and

19:16

taking this time. You know, I hear what you're saying

19:18

and it reminds me that, you know, Biden's said

19:20

in The New Yorker this week that he's running

19:22

because he's the best suited person to beat Donald

19:25

Trump. But as we're talking here, I've realized, you

19:27

know, two things have changed since 2021. He

19:29

is older and that concern has loomed

19:32

bigger in the American electorate kind of

19:34

mind. And second, you know, the

19:36

original 2020 campaign

19:38

did have that sense of a bridge to

19:40

it. The request to ask people to pull

19:42

that sign of emergency lever. And both of

19:44

those things are different. Does any part of

19:47

you worry that the conditions of this election

19:49

are so different than the one four years

19:51

ago that the president's logic of why he's

19:53

best suited no longer applies? No,

19:56

I think that you seem stuck on this idea

19:58

that he promised a single term between. 2020, which

20:00

he explicitly did not. I guess that's fine. And

20:02

I think that he didn't just narrowly

20:05

get across the line in 2020. He won

20:07

with the largest vote for any candidate for president in the

20:09

history of the country, and

20:11

won overwhelmingly in the primaries against one

20:13

of the largest, most talented fields anyone's

20:15

ever faced, and, you

20:17

know, defeating two dozen candidates in the

20:20

nomination battle for president, including

20:22

a dramatic victory on Super Tuesday in 2020. So

20:25

I think that, you know, his

20:27

victory in 2020 wasn't some kind of just like, you

20:30

know, reluctant act of the American people. It

20:32

showed record levels of vote in

20:35

the general. And I

20:37

think what's changed since then is I'll admit he

20:40

is older, but he also is even more experienced.

20:42

He has delivered results. And

20:45

he also has an agenda for 2024. So

20:48

yes, 2024 is obviously a different election than 2020. It's

20:50

four years later, different issues, but

20:52

the candidates are going to be the same. And I think the outcome

20:55

will be the same. I guess I'm

20:57

not really stuck on the words that he says.

20:59

I'm saying that the words that he said are

21:01

indicative of a larger feeling that we hear all

21:03

the time, which is that an American public did

21:05

not expect Joe Biden to be running for two

21:07

terms. And we hear this from Democrats, independents, like

21:09

across the aisle. I guess I'm saying if you

21:11

don't think that that was a perception of the

21:13

2020 campaign gave to people,

21:16

why do you think it's such a surprise that the

21:18

president's running for reelection? I don't

21:20

know why it's a surprise that he's running for reelection. He

21:23

never suggested otherwise. And

21:26

I think that ultimately the people will speak

21:28

at the polls. And I think

21:30

when they speak at the polls and they have the choice between

21:32

Joe Biden and Donald Trump, they will choose Joe Biden and he

21:35

will be our president again. Is

21:37

saying, okay, I guess I can move on.

21:39

I can move on. You've answered

21:42

the question and I totally understand it. Could anything

21:44

happen this year that would change kind of where

21:46

you are and say, you know, maybe Joe Biden

21:48

isn't best suited to be the Democratic nominee in

21:50

November? Something

21:52

that I can imagine. No. Okay.

21:55

You know, recently my colleague Ezra Klein made a

21:57

kind of explicit case saying that the people Biden

21:59

listens to. Barack Obama, Chuck Schumer, he names some

22:01

other folks, including you, need to get him to

22:03

see that Biden might not be best positioned. I

22:06

wanted you to respond to that sense of argument

22:08

that has certainly been in the air. And I

22:10

guess I actually had a broader question, which is

22:12

like, is that even the thing that's

22:15

appropriate or people even do in your

22:17

position or is it just Joe Biden's

22:19

decision? Well, I think

22:21

ultimately it is his decision and the decision of

22:24

the Democratic primary voters who are voting for him

22:26

in overwhelming numbers to be our nominee. So

22:28

I'll leave it at that. Look, if I

22:30

thought he wasn't the right candidate to be Donald

22:32

Trump, I wouldn't be for him running. But

22:35

I think he is the right candidate. And I think

22:37

that people like Ezra, who haven't really been in this

22:40

business, underestimate how difficult it is

22:42

to be Trump and have a view

22:44

that just any generic Democrat could be Trump. And

22:46

I'll say it's much more complicated than that. And

22:49

I think you need someone with the right candidate profile

22:51

and the right skills. I think that is Joe Biden.

22:53

And I think you defeated Trump once. I think he'll

22:55

do it again. I wonder the

22:57

specifics on candidate profile. What is it about Joe

22:59

Biden that makes you think he's

23:02

harder to caricature? Well, I think he

23:04

has a working class background that resonates

23:06

with voters. You know,

23:08

the man from Scranton, I think

23:10

the fact that he's had a very

23:12

pro union record as president really connects with

23:14

working people. I think that ultimately

23:16

makes it harder for Trump to make him into

23:19

something exotic. You know, he wasn't born

23:21

with a silver spoon. He didn't come

23:23

from privilege. He came from the

23:25

industrial heartland of the country. And

23:28

he's proven that he can go toe to toe with Trump

23:30

on the debate stage and hold his

23:32

own. And so I think that

23:34

to me, performance is a good indicator. And

23:36

he performed in 2020. I think he'll perform again in 2024. You

23:40

know, what both sides agree on is this

23:42

election is the stakes or at least the

23:44

size of them, right? When we go to

23:46

D events or R events, they say the

23:48

country's on the line. And for Democrats specifically,

23:50

it's about the prospect of Trump installing a

23:52

wide range of anti-democratic reforms, changing our political

23:54

system, our immigration system, our judicial system, all

23:57

of the above. And I know

23:59

that for the next six months, I'm going to

24:01

hear arguments from national Democrats in the party saying

24:03

to people who might be upset with Biden or

24:05

might prefer someone younger or might not prefer a

24:07

certain policy here or there, that they should put

24:10

those things aside because the stakes are so large.

24:12

But I do think there is some kind

24:15

of missing acknowledgement that like, isn't it also

24:17

a risky thing for the party to

24:19

do to nominate the

24:21

81 year old incumbent who a majority of Americans perceived

24:23

as too old in the first place? Like, isn't that a

24:25

big risk too? To me, the

24:27

risky thing would be when you have someone

24:29

who's beaten Trump going with an

24:31

unproven national candidate to try to defeat

24:34

someone who has run for president twice before and is

24:36

now running a third time in Donald Trump. So,

24:39

I mean, there's risks on both sides here and

24:41

every candidate has risks and

24:43

what the president de-risks is inexperience of

24:46

the national stage, inexperience to

24:48

deal with Trump. And he has

24:50

those things. And those are assets, I think, in

24:52

the race that some of these public criticisms are

24:54

undercounting or undervaluing. I hear that. I guess

24:56

my last question is, okay, we get the state of play. We

24:59

get kind of where we are, post all the age questions to

25:01

you. The Biden campaign has made a

25:03

similar argument that you have made here, that the stakes

25:05

will eventually bear them out. So is that just

25:07

going to be like a stay the

25:09

course till election day and that the day after

25:11

the election, we'll see type of

25:14

thing? Or is there something

25:16

about the evidence we have seen over sometimes

25:18

or some of the polling we have seen

25:20

or some of the critiques we have heard

25:23

that is going to require the Biden campaign to change the

25:25

strategy before then? Like what do we think might shift? Because

25:27

some of the arguments I hear from you all aren't things

25:30

that have to change. It's just going to be like a,

25:32

we'll tell you the day after and we'll be proven correct.

25:35

Well, I think what has to change about the Biden campaign is

25:37

we have to have a campaign. So, I mean,

25:39

there's going to be an election, the president will go

25:41

out, he'll campaign, people hear his argument. I think they'll

25:43

be persuaded by it. I think the more they see

25:46

him out there on the stump, the more they'll be

25:48

swaged about his age. They see him debating Donald Trump,

25:50

going toe to toe with Trump. I think again, they'll

25:52

be reassured about his age and their doubts about Trump

25:54

will be reinforced. But the thing that has

25:57

to change about the campaign is we need to have a campaign. And that's

25:59

what we need to do. And that will come. And again,

26:01

four years ago at this time, there were a lot

26:03

of doubts about Joe Biden, doubts about whether or not

26:05

he would ever become the nominee. And

26:07

he overcame those doubts. And you could have said

26:09

to me then, well, what's going to change? What's going to change is we'll

26:11

start voting and we'll see him win. And

26:13

that's what it took. So let the

26:15

campaign unfold. So

26:23

that was back in March. And

26:25

for the next four months, Klain's argument

26:28

was basically the party line. Then

26:32

Thursday night happened, sending

26:34

Democratic panic into overdrive.

26:38

Still, that panic is

26:40

mostly coming from people outside Biden's inner

26:43

circle and those close

26:45

to the president. The people who

26:47

would likely need to convince him to step down

26:49

for anything to change are

26:51

still voicing their support. That

26:55

includes surrogates by California Governor Gavin Newsom. We

26:57

have the opportunity to universally have the back

26:59

of this president who's had our back. You

27:02

don't turn your back. You go home with

27:04

the one that brought you to the dance.

27:07

100 percent all in. Former President Obama. Former

27:09

President Barack Obama just tweeted out. He said,

27:11

bad debate nights happen. Trust me, I know.

27:13

But this election is still a choice between

27:15

someone who has fought for ordinary folks his

27:17

entire life and someone who only cares about

27:20

himself, between someone who tells the truth, who

27:22

knows right from wrong and will give it

27:24

to the American people straight and someone who

27:26

lies through his teeth for his own benefit.

27:28

Last night didn't change that. And it's why

27:30

so much is at stake in November. And

27:34

other notable Democrats like

27:36

South Carolina Congressman James Clyburn

27:39

and House Democratic leader Hakeem

27:41

Jeffries. But

27:44

in what may be the biggest tell of all, Biden

27:46

addressed his own performance this Friday

27:49

at a rally in North Carolina. And

27:52

after years of dismissing questions about his

27:54

age or mental fitness, he

27:57

was suddenly singing a different tune. I

28:00

don't walk as easy as I used to. I don't speak

28:02

as smoothly as I used to. I

28:04

don't debate as well as I used to. But

28:07

I know what I do know. I know

28:10

how to tell the truth. I

28:17

know. I know

28:19

right for wrong. I

28:25

know how to do this job. I

28:28

know how to get things done. I

28:31

know like millions of Americans know. When

28:34

you get knocked down, you get back up.

28:40

In some ways, a notable

28:42

shift from a beleaguered candidate. And

28:44

others, a late acknowledgment

28:47

of something voters have long known.

29:05

The run-up is reported by me, Esteban

29:07

Herndon, and produced by

29:09

Elisa Gutierrez, Kaitlin O'Keefe, and Anna

29:11

Foley. It's

29:13

edited by Rachel Dry and Lisa Tobin,

29:16

with original music by Dan

29:19

Powell, Marion Lozano, Pat McCusker,

29:21

Diane Wong, Sophia Landman, and

29:24

Alicia Beitoupe. It

29:26

was mixed by Sophia Landman. Special

29:29

thanks to Paula Schumann,

29:31

Sam Dolnick, Larissa Anderson,

29:33

David Halfinger, Maddie Masiello,

29:35

Mahima Chablani, Jeffrey Miranda,

29:37

and Elizabeth Bristow. Do

29:41

you have questions about the 2024 election? Email

29:44

us at therunupatnytimes.com.

29:46

Or better yet, record your question using the

29:48

voice memo app in your phone. That

29:51

email again is therunupatnytimes.com.

29:55

Thanks for listening, y'all. Adamus

30:01

Pompa This

30:05

podcast is supported by Americans United

30:07

for separation of church and state.

30:09

Americans United defends your freedom to

30:11

live as yourself and believe as

30:14

you choose, so long as you

30:16

don't harm others. Core freedoms like

30:18

abortion rights, marriage equality, public education,

30:20

and even democracy itself rest upon

30:22

the wall of separation between church

30:24

and state. Christian nationalists are attacking

30:26

these fundamental freedoms. Americans

30:28

United is fighting back. Freedom

30:30

without favor and equality without exception.

30:33

Learn more about AU's work at

30:35

au.org.nyt.

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