0:00

Welcome! You're listening to

0:02

the Malcontent News Russia-Ukraine War Podcast,

0:05

the show that cuts through the fog of

0:07

war and updates you about the ongoing conflict

0:09

in Ukraine. Don't forget to

0:11

like, comment and subscribe on Apple

0:14

Podcasts, Spotify and Google Podcasts. Hello,

0:17

I'm Marina Yevshan, your host of the Russia-Ukraine

0:19

War Report Podcast, and today is July 3,

0:21

2024. It has been 3,810 days since Russia

0:23

started covert military operations

0:28

in Crimea, 10 years

0:30

and 134 days since the

0:33

start of the Russia-Ukraine War, and

0:35

2 years, 130 days since Russia expanded

0:38

as war regression. Today's

0:40

podcast looks at events that happened on

0:42

Tuesday and Wednesday morning. During

0:45

the podcast, you will find the Russia-Ukraine

0:47

War Map helpful to visualize the areas

0:49

discussed. The Russia-Ukraine War

0:51

Report is compiled by our team

0:53

from around the world. Today's report

0:55

includes information from our direct contacts

0:57

and journalists in Ukraine, the Russian

0:59

Ministry of Defense, the General Staff

1:01

of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

1:03

Morning Reports, Operational Commands in North,

1:05

South and East of Ukraine, Open

1:08

Source Intelligence, Our in-house

1:10

team of analysts and geospatial experts,

1:12

and pro-Ukrainian and pro-Russian mov-loggers and social

1:14

media channels with a track record of

1:17

trying to be accurate. We

1:19

have one mission – the truth, because

1:21

the truth matters. Here

1:29

is my daily assessment. There aren't any changes

1:31

from yesterday, so if you want to skip

1:33

ahead, I don't mind. I won't

1:35

even know. 1.

1:38

Russian forces are experiencing an equipment

1:40

shortage, particularly armored vehicles, which is

1:43

impacting mobility and logistics, stunting the

1:45

ability to take advantage of any

1:47

breaches of Ukrainian defensive lines. 2.

1:51

Russia will continue to make tactical

1:53

gains during its current offensive, but

1:55

the lack of strategy, low troop

1:57

morale, poor quality and

2:00

logistics issues make it unlikely there will

2:03

be any new breakthroughs in 2024. We

2:07

maintain the world is caught in

2:09

the mutually assured destruction and stability

2:12

paradox. Russia

2:14

is setting conditions to commit further acts

2:16

of aggression in Europe. Russia's

2:19

sustained attacks on Ukraine's energy

2:21

infrastructure, which has destroyed over

2:23

80% of its combined thermal

2:25

and power plant capacity, is

2:27

a continuation of Russian crimes

2:29

against humanity that started in

2:31

October 2022, as outlined

2:33

in two arrest warrants issued by the

2:35

International Criminal Court on March 5. Russia's

2:40

trampling of international humanitarian law has

2:42

been accelerating since March 22. We

2:46

maintain that the willful ignoring of

2:49

blatant Russian war crimes by international

2:51

watchdog is encouraging escalation. The

2:55

attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure have

2:57

incrementally increased the chance of an

2:59

intentional nuclear accident at multiple nuclear

3:02

facilities in Ukraine. Over

3:09

the last 24 hours, Russian attacks

3:11

targeting civilians and civilian infrastructure

3:13

killed seven and wounded at

3:15

least 41. One

3:18

person remains missing in Nipro, where 70%

3:20

of the apartment building destroyed on June

3:22

28 has been searched. The

3:26

Vakayas, that's the Russian aerospace forces, dropped

3:28

two FAP-500 Umpakag light bombs

3:31

on the city of Kharkiv, wounding

3:34

four civilians, including two children, aged

3:36

12 and 15. 4

3:39

more people were wounded across the Kharkiv

3:41

oblast by Russian air and artillery strikes.

3:45

Russian attacks across the Donetsk oblast killed

3:47

two and wounded nine. In

3:51

the Zaporizha region, one civilian

3:53

was wounded by artillery shelling

3:55

near-occupied Polohy. The

3:58

city of Khruzon was heavily shelled. leaving

4:00

one dead and wounding 11. On

4:18

the night of July 1 and 2, Russian

4:21

artillery targeted residential areas and

4:23

a hospital, and firefighters responding

4:25

were targeted in a double

4:27

tap attack. Fortunately,

4:29

there were no injuries. In

4:33

the Dnipropetrovsk Oblist, Russian forces

4:35

heavily shelled the Newkoply region,

4:37

striking apartment buildings, two schools,

4:39

a pharmacy, shops and an

4:41

administrative building. Two

4:43

people were killed and 10 wounded

4:45

with foreign hospital. A

4:48

second artillery attack on Pokhrovska left

4:50

two dead. A

4:52

Kh-59 or 69 guided air-to-ground missile was

4:56

shot down over the Dnipropetrovsk region.

5:00

Seven homes were damaged by falling debris,

5:02

with two people aged 75 and 77

5:04

wounded and one in hospital. Here

5:14

is today's action report summary. As

5:18

projected, Russia carried out air-record 189

5:20

assaults on Monday, and

5:23

through Tuesday evening 136 attacks had been recorded. The

5:28

7-day moving average for daily attacks was 153, also

5:31

a record. At

5:35

the time of our data cut-off of 7 p.m.

5:37

PT, Russia

5:40

had carried out 41 air strikes,

5:42

457 one-way drone attacks and almost 3,000 artillery

5:44

fire missions. Across

5:50

the front lines, Ukrainian forces could

5:52

not contain the onslaught in all

5:55

areas, with Russian forces making several

5:57

advances. Today's analysis

5:59

is about the future of Russia. analysis looks

6:01

at Russian missile and drone attacks in June

6:03

and defense production. Ukrainian

6:06

military analyst Aleksandr Kovalenko provided his

6:09

monthly study of Russian missile and

6:11

drone attacks in June. Russia

6:14

launched 141 missiles at Ukraine, with 89 shot down, at 63% success

6:16

rate. 13

6:23

Kh-59 or 69 guided

6:25

air-to-surface missiles, 17 Eskandar-M

6:27

short-range ballistic missiles, 11

6:30

Eskandar-K ballistic cruise missiles, 68

6:32

Kh-101 or 555 cruise missiles, 21

6:37

Kalibr cruise missiles, 3

6:39

Kh-47M2 Kinjal air-to-surface ballistic

6:41

cruise missiles, and 8

6:43

additional unidentified missiles were

6:46

used. While not

6:48

included in Kovalenko's analysis, the use of

6:50

S-300 and S-400 in-tier

6:53

craft missiles for ground attacks has

6:56

almost stopped. In

6:58

our assessment, glide-bombs have replaced most

7:01

of the strikes, and Russia's use

7:03

of thousands of air defense missiles

7:05

over the last two years to

7:07

strike ground targets was unsustainable. The

7:11

numbering types of cruising ballistic missiles

7:13

used over the last two months

7:15

aligned with previous assessments of Russia's

7:18

defense production capabilities. Russia

7:21

also launched 328 Shahad-136 one-way drones, with

7:25

311 shot down, at 95% success rate. We

7:31

have tracked 14 months of data, and

7:33

the average number of Shahads used per

7:35

month dropped slightly to 345. We

7:40

maintain that the combined manufacturing capacity of

7:42

Russia and Iran is producing 375 to

7:44

400 UEVs a month. Our

7:51

associate Roman Shrike analyzed our

7:53

USI data on Russian artillery

7:55

shell production and consumption. In

8:00

2024 Russia would produce 1.3 million 152 mm

8:02

and 800 thousand 122 mm artillery rounds and

8:11

517 thousand rockets from 122 to 300 mm. This

8:18

is close to other estimates that put Russian

8:20

production of artillery rounds larger than 100 mm

8:22

at 2.7 million per year. Russia

8:28

is estimated to have used 12 million

8:30

artillery rounds in 2022, 8 million in 2023 and

8:35

is on track to use 4 million in 2024.

8:39

Shrike reported that the data suggests

8:41

that Russia is trying to increase

8:44

the production of rockets due to

8:46

Moscow's inability to manufacture new barrels,

8:48

adding, quote, "... the number

8:51

of shells that will pass through a smaller

8:53

number of barrels will only lead to even

8:55

faster wear of them." Now

8:58

let's talk about what happened on the

9:00

battlefield. Ready? Here

9:02

we go. Starting

9:11

in the Kharkiv Oblast we begin

9:13

in the Leipsevov–Chansk area of operation,

9:15

or EO, where Russia carried out

9:17

six assaults. Fighting

9:19

continued in Wovchansk with no change

9:21

to the situation, and Russian troops

9:23

still surrounded in two pockets. To

9:26

the west, heavy fighting continued in Holubokka

9:29

and the forested area east of the

9:31

village. In

9:33

the Kupyinskyeo, fighting continued northwest

9:36

of Sinkivka, east of Stepovano-Vaselyovka

9:38

and Pishana, and restarted north

9:40

of Barustova. In

9:43

the Svatovayo of the Luhaytsk Oblast,

9:45

Russian forces launched ten attacks on

9:47

the eastern edge of Stelmahivka with

9:49

no new advances recorded. In

9:53

the Crimean Na'ev, Russia carried out at

9:55

least 20 attacks. Attempts

9:58

to advance in the direction of a T continued

10:11

east of Nevskaya and Torskaya with

10:13

no new changes to territorial control.

10:22

Let's talk about the Donbass and the northeastern

10:25

part of the Donetsk Oblist. In

10:27

the Sivariskiyo, the number of Russian attacks

10:29

declined, but this is likely a brief

10:31

operational pause. The

10:34

editing team decided to move Belovoryovka

10:36

in the Luhaisk Oblist to the

10:38

Donbass region in Novopodkostan Situation Report.

10:42

The village has been critical to Ukraine's defense

10:44

of Sivariski since May 2022, and with recent

10:48

improvements in the Kriminae I.O., the

10:50

threat of an attack from the

10:52

north has been significantly reduced. Russian

10:56

attacks east of Belovoryovka and

10:58

Vrkhnyokaminskka, north east of Vvanodaryovka,

11:00

near Sperne and south east

11:02

of Vyimka, ended in failure.

11:06

Ukrainian forces made small improvements to

11:08

their positions in Rosdolivka. In

11:12

the Kostantenivka I.O., Russian attacks were

11:14

repulsed in Kalinivka, but Russian troops

11:16

were able to occupy the canal

11:18

district of Cessi Vyar and reach

11:20

the Sivariski-denizden Bas canal. At

11:23

the time of publication, Ukrainian forces had

11:25

not destroyed the remains of the T-506

11:28

highway bridge or the engineered bridge

11:30

for the north, indicating that a withdrawal

11:33

to areas west of the canal had

11:35

not been ordered. Positional

11:38

fighting occurred on the western edge

11:41

of Vvanyovka, and Russian troops continued

11:43

their attempts to recapture their lost

11:45

positions near Klyshivka without success. Heavy

11:49

fighting continued in the Teretsk, N.Y.O., with

11:52

Russian forces carrying out at least 24

11:54

attacks. Ukrainian

11:57

source Deep State reported that Russian

11:59

forces had and advanced from Novoselivka,

12:01

occupied Uryevka and gained control of

12:03

up to 15% of New York.

12:07

There were several unconfirmed reports from

12:10

Ukrainian sources that Russian troops, quote,

12:12

walked into New York. But we

12:14

could not find any pictures, videos

12:17

or supporting information, nor any Russian

12:19

capture claims that didn't quote Deep

12:22

State. This

12:24

comes just days after a geo-located

12:26

video confirmed Ukrainian positions were further

12:29

south of New York than previously

12:31

assessed. NASA

12:33

far information for resource management systems

12:35

showed there was heavy shelling east

12:37

of Toresk and in the southern

12:39

part of New York and Uryevka.

12:43

Most of the activity is in areas

12:45

claimed to now be under Russian control.

12:48

We expanded the grey area to the

12:50

edge of Uryevka out of an abundance

12:53

of caution and will continue to monitor

12:55

the situation. Details

12:58

continued near Pivnichina, Zelizny and

13:00

Pivdena. The general staff

13:02

of the armed forces of Ukraine

13:04

or GSAFU also reported a Russian

13:07

attack in the area of Dilyivka

13:09

was repulsed. The

13:17

situation is also very difficult in the

13:19

southwestern part of the Donetsk Oblist. In

13:22

the FDFKIO, Russian forces pushed Ukrainian

13:25

troops from the western edge of

13:27

Novolaxandryevka and are setting conditions to

13:29

advance on Vosdvuzhynka. Heavy

13:32

fighting continued east of Prohrez on

13:35

the outskirts of Yevgenyevka and Voshut

13:37

in the direction of Novoselivka, Persia

13:39

and in western Sukyl. Intense

13:43

fighting was also ongoing in

13:45

Yasnobrodjevka. Members

13:47

of the 47th Motor Infantry Brigade

13:50

released a statement on their official

13:52

Telegram channel about the recent claims

13:54

of female penal units operating in

13:56

the region. Quote, Recently,

13:59

in fam- The nation appeared in the

14:01

public sphere that Russia is recruiting imprisoned

14:03

women for the war in Ukraine. In

14:06

other areas of the front, even a hold

14:08

attachment was spotted. We

14:11

still observe isolated cases in

14:13

our area. In

14:15

the video, Quick Sidebar, they are

14:17

referencing a video released yesterday. You

14:20

can see a group of men and only

14:22

one woman. We don't

14:24

care about gender, we see the enemy

14:26

with weapons, we destroy them." A

14:31

geo-located video showed that Russian troops

14:33

had advanced on the north shore

14:35

of the Kharlivskya reservoir to an

14:37

area of dachas that overlooks Kharlivka.

14:41

A Russian soldier threw a satchel of

14:43

explosives into one of the houses, destroying

14:45

it. Based on the

14:47

new information, we updated the map. On

14:50

the other side of the reservoir, fighting

14:52

continued on the western edge of Netailova.

14:56

In the Vokhladaryo, heavy fighting

14:58

continued in Krasnohorivka, where the

15:00

Ukrainian 46th Air Mobile Brigade

15:02

released a grim assessment. The

15:06

enemy continues to advance in the

15:08

city. The situation is very complicated.

15:11

In the near future, the occupiers will go

15:13

to the northern part. In

15:15

the future, we will gain access to the

15:18

southern face of the defense near Nevliska. Further

15:22

south, significant fighting continued in the

15:24

eastern part of Horyivka, in Paryskovivka

15:26

and on the eastern edge of

15:29

Kostyantinivka. Russia

15:31

also carried out significant attacks in

15:33

the Vremivka Eyo. We

15:36

moved Staromayorska from unoccupied no-man's

15:38

land to under military control,

15:40

due to continued reports of

15:42

attacks in the direction of

15:44

Makaryivka. Ukrainian forces

15:46

reported they repulsed a series of

15:48

Russian assaults near Urozhina. Ukrainian

15:58

sources claimed that the missiles took the

16:00

time to strike, southeast of occupied Sevastopol,

16:02

destroyed a storage area for Shehad 136

16:04

one-way drones. Satellite

16:08

images from Planet Labs, released by

16:10

the United States state media agency

16:12

Radio Liberty, confirmed that a warehouse

16:14

had been destroyed at a known

16:17

Russian military compound. Yesterday,

16:19

we published a video showing the

16:21

site was hit at least twice

16:24

and the sound of secondary explosions.

16:33

Russia released another video showing

16:35

an Iskander-M missile with cluster

16:37

munitions striking another airbase in

16:39

the Poltava Oblist, the Poltava

16:42

military airfield. The

16:44

video showed a single M24 Hind

16:46

attack helicopter was targeted, with a

16:49

drone directing the strike. Unlike

16:51

the attack on July 1, the results

16:53

were inconclusive and the Russian video did

16:56

not show the results of the strike.

16:59

That typically means the attack

17:01

was unsuccessful. And

17:04

that's what we know. Tomorrow

17:06

is Independence Day in the United

17:08

States. There won't be

17:10

a podcast on Thursday or Friday. There

17:13

will be a Situation Report published for

17:15

our subscribers and if there are any

17:17

major events, we'll update our social media

17:20

channels. Stay tuned. Your

17:23

support of My Home Ukraine helps us

17:26

make history and protect the future for

17:28

all.