Episode Transcript
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0:00
The CEO specifically, their
0:02
job is to become great at fundraising. The
0:04
multistage firms have a product
0:07
for seed that changed the
0:08
market. That signaling risk I feel is the
0:10
single most overstated part
0:13
of the ecosystem. This is twenty VC with me,
0:15
Harry Stebbings. And if that's one criticism of twenty
0:17
VC is that I do not push back enough.
0:19
Well, today, that ends with this fantastic
0:21
and really quite fiery debate. There's no
0:23
one that has joined me for a debate on portfolio
0:26
construction. The Nadir and long term
0:28
friend in the form of David Tisch, managing
0:30
partner of Box Group, of the leading early
0:33
stage venture firms over the last decade,
0:35
having invested in over five hundred seed
0:37
stage startups, including planned, ramp,
0:40
strip, flat sport, air table,
0:42
and more. Now David and I have very different
0:44
views on portfolio construction, and so this
0:46
is a real discussion I would love to hear
0:48
your thoughts. Let me know what you think if you like the
0:50
spicier, more debating Harry coming
0:52
out. Huge thanks also David for putting
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20VC. You
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have now arrived at your destination. David,
3:44
I am so excited for this. This is one
3:46
of the favorite discussions I write
3:48
a schedule. I'm like, I don't know really why I'm writing
3:50
it because I know we're not gonna say to it at all, but
3:52
thank you so much for joining me, David. Thanks
3:54
for having me
3:55
back. Harry, excited to do this. Are we sparring
3:57
today or we're just gonna have a light fun
3:59
conversation? Oh, no. I'm ready for
4:01
Jew. This is like a fight for the death. Okay.
4:03
Ready to go too. Tell me, for those who
4:05
missed all first sure. How did you make your
4:07
way into van share in a super sick about
4:09
sixty seconds?
4:11
Yeah. I I grew up loving the Internet,
4:13
and that's what I fell in love with as a kid.
4:15
And I never under stood what the career
4:17
path into this world is. And I actually
4:20
don't think there is a traditional one. I
4:22
think everybody finds their own way. And my
4:24
way was I joined an organization
4:26
called Techstars early on. And when I did
4:28
that, I signed up to be an investor in
4:30
Box Group. At that time was my side hustle.
4:32
And then in twenty twelve, left Techstars
4:35
to do Box Group full time. So now I'm
4:37
eleven years into that full time
4:39
Box Group
4:39
journey. So I'm old in this I absolutely
4:42
mourn your newer portfolio for audio construction. I
4:44
wanted to do a little bit of on chat psychology.
4:46
And so I believe there were all functions of our history,
4:49
David. And so what are you running from
4:51
do you
4:51
think? You're getting deep parry
4:53
really quickly. I feel like I've seen
4:55
the Internet evolve and out
4:58
of vision for what was gonna happen and a
5:00
lot of that ended up
5:01
happening. And I feel like I watched
5:03
it and wished that I
5:05
participated in some of it and I think
5:07
the history of being
5:10
the AGIM and watching the evolution
5:12
of this pushes me forward. Can I ask
5:14
a personal one again? Someone asked
5:17
this and they said, your family is very
5:19
successful. And they said, were you running from
5:21
the perception of being one of the family
5:23
members and wanting to strike out on your own? There's
5:26
a lot of nuance in that answer.
5:28
I'm an individual. And have my own ambition
5:31
and desires and goals
5:33
that are not necessarily a touch to
5:36
the history of my family. At the same time,
5:38
I have an immense appreciation for
5:40
the blessings of coming from
5:43
a group of people that worked really hard and
5:45
found success. And so it's not this
5:47
rebellion or desire to strike out
5:49
on my own. I love what I get to do and
5:51
it happens to be in a different world
5:54
than what other people have
5:56
done. It's not negative lens
5:58
of it versus a positive final
6:00
one for
6:01
you, dig deep
6:01
on portfolio. The success has many different
6:04
kind of connotations and meanings. What
6:06
does success mean to you Yeah. I
6:08
think I take the personal perspective
6:10
of successes building a life that you're
6:12
content with and whether that's family
6:15
or or friends or the people that surround
6:17
you the core of that answer is
6:19
there. And then on the work side, our goal
6:21
is to be part of other
6:23
people's journeys. This is a job
6:25
that actually isn't about us, but really
6:28
about the founders were fortunate enough
6:30
to have the opportunity to work with.
6:32
And watching them succeed brings
6:34
us both emotional and
6:36
psychological
6:37
success, but also financial success. So I think
6:39
there is real alignment in the
6:41
success of the people we're able to work totally
6:43
agree with you that I always say for me it's I wanna
6:46
be seventy five and in an arm chair and
6:48
have grandchildren running around and I want
6:50
them to point at companies and me to be able to say,
6:52
oh, box group or twenty v thing. Is
6:54
there a word? Right? That's mine. I wanna
6:56
move to the fund itself. So you raised a hundred
6:58
and twenty seven and a half each. I think two hundred
7:00
and fifty five total. Between two funds in
7:02
twenty
7:03
one. Can you just walk me through the portfolio
7:05
construction in terms of how many companies
7:07
per fund for each
7:09
one? Don't think the details are
7:11
as interesting. I think the model is what's
7:13
probably more interesting. And so our
7:15
goal is to work with the best
7:17
founders were able to have the opportunity
7:20
to work with. And I think more than anything
7:22
that's not putting our business in
7:24
front of the founder and not making our
7:26
needs important enough
7:28
to stop us from investing
7:30
in a company. And so it really is about
7:32
agility and flexibility as we
7:34
think about deploying capital. At the
7:36
sea fund level, our goal is to back
7:38
people at the company formation or
7:41
soon after. So in a traditional seat round,
7:43
we're happy to be the second third biggest
7:45
check on a cop table. Pre seat
7:47
around. We're happy to lead it. And so I
7:49
think the goal is to say
7:52
how much money are you looking to
7:54
raise how much money is available for
7:56
us to put
7:57
in, and let's find a place
7:59
where we're both content with that arrangement.
8:01
Okay. So you have a hundred and twenty
8:03
seven and a half million in one. I have this conversation
8:06
with you. My pre seed pawn often where I saw we
8:08
can only get hundred. Now I have a thirty
8:10
three million dollar seed and a hundred and ten
8:12
million euros growth fund. There's no point in me writing
8:14
a hundred k checks. Doesn't make sense.
8:17
Where is that barrier fee of not
8:19
letting business get in the way and
8:21
a too small
8:22
check. don't have one and
8:24
I don't necessarily walk
8:26
in and say this doesn't make sense
8:28
if the core of the
8:30
decision is this is a company that
8:32
we want to be part of. And
8:35
can I build a portfolio of
8:37
only a hundred k checks that feels
8:39
like a bad decision? Can I build a portfolio
8:42
where there are exceptions to
8:44
the norm throughout in different ways?
8:46
Yes. And are individual
8:49
exceptions capable of creating
8:51
venture returns on a individual
8:54
company basis? Probably not.
8:56
Now there's exceptions to that role. If you
8:58
put a hundred k into the best company
9:00
of a generation, it was likely
9:02
a good decision. So you can
9:05
fake rationalize the mouth version
9:07
of that answer, and you can
9:09
logically rationalize a handful
9:11
of other direct actions as to why
9:13
that is a logical decision. I
9:15
think it's easy to put up
9:17
rules. It creates consistency and
9:20
it aligns to fund math, and
9:22
I appreciate that. But we truly
9:25
hold to the idea that we wanna invest
9:27
in companies we're excited about And if
9:29
what we're able to invest is
9:31
not in perfect alignment with
9:34
the
9:34
math, we're willing and able to make
9:36
exceptions. Do you worry that by having
9:39
that stance and being open in that way,
9:41
I can say to founders, and everyone else
9:43
can say to founders, your Frankles of the world,
9:45
your IAs of the world, We love Damien.
9:48
He's awesome, which I'm sure we all
9:50
do, but he'll take a hundred k. Let's
9:52
push him down. We can get him down to And
9:54
so the messaging means that you're saying
9:56
I will be able to go
9:57
down. And that's something that I'm always very
9:59
careful. I'm asking your adviser on statement. I'm
10:01
not asking, do I worry about everything? But
10:03
I'm focused on founders
10:05
more so than other VCs. And I think
10:07
if we can build a brand and a reputation
10:10
with the founders that were enough to work
10:12
with, their goal is gonna be to
10:14
give us an aligned amount of
10:16
allocation and around and not treat
10:19
us in that pushy way.
10:21
And I think there's a history
10:24
that's thirteen years deep of
10:26
box group building great relationships with
10:28
founders where people want to work with
10:30
us and won't take that
10:32
approach to it. It tends be when we're late
10:35
to company and there's not a lot of allocation
10:37
left that flexibility matters more
10:39
so than other VCs pushing
10:41
us around.
10:42
One thing that I think is troubling is almost
10:44
hundred k or two fifty k in the generations
10:46
of when you were a little bit before me, but I was
10:48
doing this eight years ago. You know, it was like that,
10:50
yeah, five to ten million preseeds and
10:52
seeds. For the last five years, we've seen twenty
10:55
five million seeds. And then the hundred and
10:57
two fifty is really very different. How
10:59
do you think about price sensitivity at
11:00
precedency? Do you take the same less if,
11:03
hey, it's fine? Or are you much
11:05
more sensitive that. Our goal is to invest
11:08
as much as we can in the
11:10
company that we're excited to invest
11:12
in, and it's not maximizing checksized.
11:14
So we write a five hundred k, seven
11:17
fifty k million dollar check.
11:19
We do that as the core of our business.
11:21
It is a target in
11:23
the majority of companies that we're
11:25
able to work with. Valuation is
11:27
the second piece of that. So you get
11:30
to ownership in each company
11:32
through those two basic numbers. Is
11:35
there a strong rule on
11:37
any of this? No. But on a
11:39
port Folio basis, we
11:41
find a balance of all these
11:43
things. Valuation is
11:45
not something that is in a
11:47
investor you actually control. I
11:50
just don't believe that the market as whole
11:52
controls that. So if a founder gets
11:54
enough optionality, for their
11:56
round that they're able to raise at a valuation
11:59
that you as an investor don't like.
12:01
You've two options. Invest or don't
12:03
invest. If you get the opportunity to
12:05
invest and this is the deal. You can say yes
12:08
or no. I can sit here and complain
12:10
about evaluations, but if I'm
12:12
a founder, My job is to build a
12:14
company that is a lot bigger than
12:16
whatever valuation I'm raising, my
12:18
seat and pre seat. My job is
12:20
to take the capital and create immense
12:23
value so that the next round and the next round
12:25
are bigger. If a company goes
12:27
well, the precede the seed, those are
12:29
the lowest points you're ever
12:31
going to be able to invest in a company
12:33
hot. Would I like to own
12:35
more of the best investments we've ever
12:38
made? Would I like for us to have ridden
12:40
a bigger checker evaluation to
12:42
have been cheaper? Sure. But that's
12:44
not realistic. You have
12:46
to be more than anything patient
12:49
and long term and consistent. And when
12:51
I look at our business, those are the three
12:53
things that we hold true to. And
12:55
on a deal by deal
12:56
basis, valuation is a
12:58
fact and not a pain. I
13:00
think I love this debate and you
13:02
don't.
13:04
I I don't know if it's a debate. I just
13:06
debate because five hundred to seven fifty
13:08
David means that if you write a hundred
13:10
checks at seven fifty, which
13:12
you're not. You're at seventy five
13:15
million
13:15
deployed. Okay. So say one twenty seven
13:17
takeout fees where, say, a hundred
13:19
just like total. And so you've got a hundred companies
13:22
and you're only at seventy five million for it and what then
13:24
you've got twenty five percent left for reserves.
13:26
Is the fund not too big? My fund's too
13:28
big if I can't produce outlier
13:30
returns. That's my job. So
13:33
I need to produce outlier returns.
13:35
That's my responsibility to
13:37
our investors, our LPs, is
13:39
to produce outlier returns. The
13:41
way that we're able to do that is
13:45
funding companies that have
13:47
amazing outcomes. And the
13:49
math works itself out. So I
13:51
don't obsess over the
13:54
ownership and the portfolio construction
13:56
in a way that I think it matters
13:59
on a deal by deal basis. I think it
14:01
matters on a portfolio basis. If
14:03
the perfect alignment is we own
14:06
the most ownership in the
14:08
best companies in that given
14:10
font. That's the goal. I'm with you, but then
14:12
I'm also looking at a lot of
14:14
outcomes. And bluntly, you have a billion
14:16
dollar
14:16
outcome, a two billion dollar outcome. And actually,
14:19
when you only return ten million or twenty
14:21
million really just doesn't make a difference.
14:23
Our belief is that if a founder is able
14:25
to build a company from the MultiStage to
14:27
a billion or two billion dollar outcome, there's
14:29
gonna be a lot of people that's a life changing
14:32
outcome for. And those are the
14:34
journeys that we're signing up to be part of.
14:36
I don't view it as a dismissive
14:39
outcome. Can I build an entire
14:41
fund off of billion two
14:43
billion dollar outcomes? If there's a high
14:46
enough percentage of the companies that we invest
14:48
in that end there. Sure. But is
14:50
that the ambition when we set
14:52
out to deploy capital? That's
14:54
the target outcome for every company?
14:57
No. We need to have and hope to have
14:59
some outcomes that are bigger than that. And
15:01
you're investing whether in your world
15:03
and your numbers at twenty five at fifty
15:06
million dollar entry points are at five
15:08
or ten million dollar entry points. That
15:10
founder that embarks on that journey, exiting
15:12
at a billion two billion dollars as long as they
15:14
didn't raise an egregious amount of capital
15:16
and get offensively diluted along
15:19
the way, they're gonna have a wonderful day.
15:21
And they're gonna have a wonderful life changing
15:23
moment in that
15:24
journey. That's what I'm here for. I get
15:26
you. I didn't mean it dismissively, but
15:28
I do mean it mathematically for fun returns.
15:31
I'm a seed investor. We're here for
15:33
the dreams. Erika,
15:36
I hate me reserves wise. From the fund,
15:38
how much do you have in reserve? You wanna
15:40
put as much money as you can into
15:42
the best companies in the portfolio. The
15:45
math has to work. It's my job
15:47
to make the mouth work. Somebody is
15:49
investing in our firm because that doesn't
15:51
think we need to make the mouth
15:52
work. It doesn't seem too much math other
15:54
than just let's just invest in the best fan of
15:56
what? Yeah. But actually, also Dave, the
15:58
thing he studied in Vancouver, which you know this,
16:01
I'm sure, is in the good times yeah,
16:03
let's invest in the best founders. And
16:05
that works when you're shooting in
16:07
good times is ten x funds and everything
16:09
is great. But in the bad times when
16:11
you do the studying, actually the
16:13
intense portfolio managers are
16:15
the difference between one x
16:17
or naught seven x and two x.
16:20
Because they've religiously managed a huge
16:22
amount from reserves, liquidity, and
16:24
everything in
16:25
between. But are we in the bad times right now
16:27
from a seed investing standpoint? I think
16:29
we will be. Yeah. From seed investing.
16:32
Yeah. I think twenty my my job is
16:34
to fund a ten year journey. And
16:36
so the macro change
16:38
in the environment impacts our
16:41
prior investments much more
16:43
so than our future investments. To
16:45
see around tomorrow becomes relevant
16:48
in the customer side of the market
16:50
in the next one to four years.
16:53
It becomes relevant in the venture market in
16:55
the next one to three years to
16:57
raise another round. So the macro
16:59
of today doesn't have this
17:01
immediacy in terms of
17:03
its impact on our seed
17:05
business and our deployment of
17:07
the font. What was it? How And
17:10
we have on the reserves that I have
17:12
to deploy into the preexisting the
17:14
prior investments? Okay. Is it for
17:16
sure? How does it? We have to
17:18
use the capital thoughtfully, and we
17:21
have to back again the
17:23
companies that we are most excited
17:25
about. And I just don't believe in
17:28
evaluating venture,
17:30
especially seed venture on
17:32
a minute to minute year to year
17:34
basis. It is an incorrect use
17:37
of energy and mind.
17:39
If you're investing over our
17:42
fund life is a ten year plus
17:44
fund, our companies are
17:46
going on a ten plus year journey.
17:48
In a moment in time, you can make up illiquid
17:51
private valuations. You can mark things up.
17:53
You can mark things down. It's a snapshot
17:55
in a business where snapshots make no
17:57
sense. And so I don't
18:00
operate on short term. My
18:02
whole life is oriented around
18:04
long term. And I'm super content
18:06
living there and actually trying as
18:09
hard as possible to both
18:11
live there in a Zen like consistency
18:14
and get greater what we do.
18:16
Our job is to back amazing
18:18
people. In good times, in bad
18:20
times in times where every
18:23
series b is punishing, our
18:25
job is to help people navigate that,
18:27
not obsess over our business
18:29
because we believe that our business is going
18:32
to work out over the long
18:34
term. If we back great
18:36
companies. I love you, David. I don't think
18:38
planning reserves is minute
18:40
to minute over manipulation of our
18:42
model. I think it's bite
18:44
bluntly. I am dodging your question
18:46
and not getting into the details because
18:49
I believe you're a politician.
18:52
You don't, but I foolily don't
18:54
think how we go about
18:56
managing that is that important
18:59
in the abstract, which is what our
19:01
conversation is gonna remain in. It has
19:03
to because you're not sitting inside
19:06
of the decision room looking at
19:08
each decision that we have to make
19:10
and understanding why we say yes and
19:12
why we say no to specific company. Our
19:14
job is to deploy follow
19:16
on capital into ideally
19:19
the best places we can. And it's the same
19:21
with the Opportunity Fund, the follow on
19:23
the Growth Fund. Our job is to lean
19:25
into investments that
19:28
have the chance to have outlier
19:30
returns to that single investment
19:33
in on a portfolio basis to
19:35
the whole portfolio. If I was trying
19:37
to build this business to what you said before,
19:39
1X2X funds, I should go do something
19:41
else. I I totally agree. I think, Bonnie,
19:43
if the majority of any funds over five hundred
19:46
million return, one action in the last vintage, that'll
19:48
be heroes. So I think there's a little bit of
19:50
a restructuring going on in terms of how people
19:52
think about upside. On growth, not so
19:54
much Friday. You said about us, is this
19:56
the crash I think so. At the
19:58
twenty one, twenty two entry prices
20:00
that we saw, David, I'm being honest online.
20:03
Yeah. I'm in good companies. But they
20:05
were not cheap. And then on top of that, gonna
20:07
be go I mean, like mine are lucky, but many
20:09
aren't bluntly. They're gonna be going out raising
20:11
in twenty three, some in twenty four.
20:13
I would say we're in the mid of the shit we got
20:16
in high, a Stebbings down the
20:17
tubes. And I'm with you on the ten
20:19
year view. But actually some great companies
20:22
take time to build some need a lot
20:24
more cash to build, and the cash has gone.
20:26
So in down rounds, in
20:28
sideways rounds, in so
20:31
many of the long lasting
20:34
great companies of prior
20:36
vintages as well. It is not
20:38
catastrophic that Tisch
20:40
is hard and there are bumps in the road for
20:42
a company to build. It's not this
20:44
gigantic net negative for founder
20:46
that they raised at a high valuation. If
20:49
they can power through a
20:51
bump in the road. It's a net negative if
20:53
they don't build a good company. If you
20:55
don't build a product, you don't build
20:58
a business model, If you don't build revenue
21:00
growth, that the market views
21:02
as good enough, that's the
21:04
problem. The valuation to me
21:06
is the investor's problem. And I
21:09
just don't like I don't
21:11
believe that my sympathy
21:14
sits for all the VCs that overpaid
21:17
on things that they did. Again,
21:19
back to this, you could have said no.
21:21
If you thought something was too expensive, you
21:24
could have said no. So if you said yes,
21:26
am I losing sleep over
21:28
the fact that people's portfolios are too
21:30
expensive? don't know. Not my problem.
21:33
Okay. When you think about downarounds, that's
21:35
you said that. I see everywhere. I'd be like, oh, like, there's
21:37
gonna be a wave of downarounds. We wave of downarounds.
21:40
And then we mentioned Albert Banga before this when I
21:42
said about much I enjoyed having him on the show. He
21:44
tweeted that I've been in Bancha for eighteen
21:45
years, and I've only had two down rounds. They're
21:48
much rare than people think. They destroy
21:50
company morale. And where
21:52
do you say Jean will see a load or Jean
21:54
Albers riding actually, they're much rarer. Well, there's
21:56
just the thing that has not
21:58
happened over the past three to four
22:00
years, and it's really before twenty one
22:02
and and twenty two, is that companies
22:05
have shutdown. And that's going
22:07
to happen. And that's actually the
22:09
math that hasn't played out over
22:11
that four year period in that when you
22:13
see seed to a graduation rates
22:16
and a to b graduation rates. They
22:18
went from a historical consistent
22:21
set of numbers, call it, if you're great at
22:23
this seventy percent c to a. And
22:25
if you're great, fifty to seventy percent
22:28
a to b. And over that nineteen
22:30
or eighteen to twenty two period,
22:33
it went to basically a hundred percent of companies
22:35
that raised the seed got an act. Maybe it was ninety
22:38
ninety five, but that's inevitably
22:40
going to mean that certain companies don't
22:42
work out. And they're gonna not work out
22:44
when they're later and bigger. And that
22:47
is going to happen in the next
22:49
eighteen to thirty six months. As
22:52
runway runs out, as companies come back
22:54
to market, as the businesses didn't
22:56
work. And there's not an M and A market
22:58
to do aqua hires or small
23:01
acquisitions, companies are gonna shut
23:03
down. That founder dream is gonna
23:05
come to an end and there's gonna be a bunch of people that
23:07
work there that believed in the
23:09
company that had equity in the company that hoped
23:11
for economic returns from the company
23:13
that are not gonna get it. And those
23:15
are not downroads. That is the death
23:18
of a startup that we just haven't experienced
23:20
over the past four years. And
23:23
I assume we're gonna have that throughout
23:25
our portfolio, and I assume that's gonna happen
23:27
in everybody's portfolio, although everybody
23:29
likes to say that's going to happen, but my
23:31
companies are great. It's unrealistic that
23:34
the mouth skews out. Downrounds are
23:36
to Albert's point, right, they're
23:38
going to be traumatic on company
23:40
morale. But if you can figure
23:42
out how to rally around that and a founder
23:45
can figure out how to compensate the
23:47
people that work there in a way that makes
23:49
them reenergized to go build
23:51
and tighten and move forward. It's
23:54
just like a bump on a long
23:56
journey. think USV is also world
23:58
class and they have an amazing ability
24:00
to select unique quality companies
24:03
and have been long term
24:05
partners for almost every investment they've
24:07
ever invested in to see them through the
24:09
tough times in a unbelievably
24:11
supportive way. And it's why they're world
24:14
class VCs. I think the thing that worries
24:16
me is actually the misalignment in
24:18
expectations on pricing. I mean, you
24:20
said our pricing, oh, like, we're not the ones
24:22
that that and whatever. We disagree on
24:24
a lot, David, but we'll just go with this. Founders
24:27
are coming in still and they're going, I want
24:29
twenty, twenty five and it's
24:30
like, are you seeing the market. If
24:32
somebody gives them not, then the market
24:35
is that. Everybody can ask for whatever
24:37
they want and everybody can say yes or no. That's
24:39
the way this business works. If somebody says
24:41
yes, that's the price. Sure. But it's
24:43
bad advice. I would not want people
24:45
to hear this and
24:46
go, oh, wait. What I would say
24:47
the founders is actually, hey, go out with twelve
24:49
and half or fifteen. And you know what if
24:51
me and Dave both want it and so does
24:53
Albert and so does if you're gonna get twenty
24:55
five, you're gonna get twenty five, but don't
24:58
start at twenty five because I'll say thanks so
25:00
much. No. But that's the choice
25:02
you made, and that's the choice the founder makes. And if the
25:04
founder wants to go talk to two hundred, three
25:06
hundred, four hundred seat funds, which there
25:08
are these days, And one of them says yes and
25:10
gives them money at twenty five. So
25:12
there's three variables. Right? It's how much
25:14
money are you raising, at what price and from
25:17
who. And you can optimize try
25:19
to optimize all three. You can try to optimize
25:22
one or two. I think each founder
25:24
takes an approach that's specific to
25:26
them. To each one of those variable.
25:28
If I were starting a seed company,
25:31
I would try to optimize all three.
25:33
I'll get as much money as I need can
25:35
at whatever price I can from
25:38
the best people that I can raise
25:39
from. And I think that is The job of a
25:41
founder in each round is to
25:44
think about those three variables and try to optimize
25:46
the ones that are most important. David, which one would
25:48
you let slip? Can I have too? It matters
25:50
the gap between who if you're
25:52
talking about my top choice versus
25:55
my fifth choice. That's a
25:57
fine compromise. My top choice versus
25:59
my hundredth choice, that's not a
26:01
fine compromise. So I think figuring out
26:03
who you wanna work with is vital. I'd actually
26:05
put that as the most important, but I think
26:07
a bit fluid in you don't
26:09
just pick one person. So I would not over
26:12
optimized for a single person, but
26:14
I would put that first. The second is how much
26:16
money is vital. You need enough
26:18
money to make enough progress. To
26:20
hire enough people to use that capital
26:23
effectively to build your company and the
26:25
third is price. So I think you end up
26:28
having and should compromise on price.
26:30
You can get the other
26:31
two. It's not
26:32
opinion basis. It's pure stats. Are
26:34
you seeing prices reflective of the change
26:36
of market? Because I'm not seeing seed and
26:38
pre seed pricing go down in the way
26:40
that people would think or expect. I agree
26:43
generally with that. I think there's too
26:45
much sound bites on Twitter saying I'm seeing
26:47
crazy cheap valuations. We're
26:50
seeing bifurcation of the market. I
26:52
think the biggest thing that happened and really
26:54
happened again. I think people are trying to isolate
26:56
twenty one. The first part of twenty two is
26:58
equally frothy as this standalone
27:01
period, but it started before that. So I would
27:03
go back to two thousand eighteen, nineteen, and
27:05
then into twenty, which was this weird year
27:07
with COVID and the shift to Zoom,
27:09
but the multi stage firms have a
27:11
product for seed that change
27:13
the market. They write a five million dollar
27:16
check at a twenty to thirty million dollar
27:18
valuation per your post, and that five
27:20
million dollar check could be seven. So you're seeing
27:22
rounds of five to seven at twenty to thirty
27:24
per year post, and that's a product
27:26
that hasn't changed. And I don't think it's going to
27:28
change. And I think it totally evolved
27:32
the seed market to say, are you raising
27:34
from a multisage fund? If so, that's
27:36
the style standard deal that
27:38
you can go get. And if you're not raising from
27:41
a multistage fund, there's a different deal
27:43
on the table. That's a two to four million
27:45
dollar round, maybe you can stretch it to five,
27:47
and that's being done at a ten to
27:49
fifteen million dollar valuation. But
27:51
single digits, it's not the norm. Now
27:53
at the same time, if you're early
27:56
enough and at the sort of
27:58
friends and family as it's called are the
28:00
angel round, there's a different
28:02
structure of that round, but it comes back to this.
28:04
How much money? Price oh. And I think
28:06
if you Tisch have those angel and friends and family
28:08
rounds. When I see people spin out of any ratters,
28:11
oh, not that person who's spinning out
28:13
of a company with a great reputation.
28:15
In reality, Canon should go get
28:18
bit more money because they have a
28:20
different track record than the person
28:22
who is totally unproven and
28:24
needs to get some capital to
28:27
show their idea and their ability
28:29
to build the thing they wanna build is
28:31
realistic. And so there is a cohort
28:33
of companies that come out of big companies
28:36
that raise very healthy seed rounds
28:38
that are gonna build great companies and
28:40
there are a lot of companies in that
28:42
category that are not gonna be great. That's
28:44
the inevitability of the world
28:46
that we invest into where there's
28:48
going to be more failure
28:50
than success. There will be more failure
28:53
than success. In each of those journeys,
28:55
there's a team of people that had a
28:57
dream that had to do work out. And I think
28:59
the venture conversation removes
29:02
that emotional and psychological
29:05
hit the founders and the early employees
29:08
take from a failed journey. And I
29:10
try very hard in our business not
29:12
to trivialize that because I think it's important
29:14
to not
29:15
again, take my business and make
29:17
it a founder's problem. Do
29:18
you think that one thing that's different is I'm speaking to
29:20
a lot of GPs at multistage funds and they're
29:22
going, I'm underwater with board commitments
29:24
my series a's. My Riyadh's
29:26
Stebbings them from ripping those
29:28
seljets. You know exactly, but what they're
29:30
doing David in Europe at least from my perspective
29:32
they're saying to their principles, I'm underwater.
29:35
You go write the seed checks. I'm watching
29:38
doing that for a long time. This
29:40
is not new
29:40
behavior. It seems like you've being much more
29:42
aggressive now. It's safer and easier to
29:45
deploy a seat check if you have a huge fun than
29:47
it is to write a series a or a b check
29:49
at this moment. Exactly. Is
29:51
it gonna get worse with their intrusion and
29:53
deceit? It's not even worse. It's been
29:55
this way. I think the idea that it hasn't
29:57
been this way and this is a net new thing
29:59
is just told incorrect. Since
30:01
twenty eighteen, multisage firms
30:04
figured out that the competition
30:06
for series a is so steep.
30:08
And there's only one winner that
30:10
if you don't take risk on seed,
30:13
you might not have a shot at the eye.
30:15
And so there they've been slanting
30:17
earlier for a long time. And if you talk
30:19
to each one of these firms, whether it's dedicated
30:22
capital, whether it's dedicated people,
30:24
whether it's a certain amount of time firm
30:26
wide. They've been writing that five
30:28
million dollars seed round for
30:31
long before the twenty one period
30:33
and long after this new downturn
30:35
weren't. So you said there's two variables there
30:37
in terms of seed around totally agree with
30:39
you. How would you advise founders that listen,
30:41
may have hundreds of thousands Which one's
30:43
right for
30:44
me? Amount of money, valuation. And
30:47
if you go to a multisage firm
30:49
and feel like they are the
30:51
right fit for you in terms of who?
30:53
I don't think it's a general wrong
30:56
thing to do. There's not a generic answer
30:58
to any of these questions. It's so founder specific.
31:01
What are you working on? What are the capital needs?
31:03
What's the background of the investors
31:06
that you're working with? I do think it's
31:08
important to surround yourself
31:10
with a group of people, group, not
31:13
individual people that can
31:15
be a bit different in their perspective. So
31:17
what we do at box group and what
31:19
we hone ourselves in on is
31:22
being aligned with founders. We
31:24
say we wanna be a friend of the founder, and
31:26
we mean that in the longest
31:28
term, most authentic way possible.
31:30
So if you work with a multisage firm,
31:32
and they write the lead check, we're happy to
31:34
be the second biggest check-in the round. If you wanna
31:37
work with a seed lead, a traditional seed
31:39
firm, we're also happy to be the second biggest
31:41
check-in that if you wanna do a pre seat
31:43
or a small seat and you want us
31:45
to write a term sheet and write a adorably
31:48
nice check alongside a group of amazing
31:51
angels, we're also happy to do that.
31:53
And our job is to help you get to the next
31:55
round. And then help you get to the next round and
31:57
the next round. And in doing so, there's
31:59
some operational stuff that an
32:02
investor can help with, but that is always
32:04
overstated. What we are world class
32:06
at is helping companies raise money. Because
32:08
we live there and we've been doing that for long
32:10
time. And it doesn't necessarily mean
32:12
if you raise your mom a multistage farm, it's gonna
32:14
be harder or easier. And doesn't necessarily
32:17
mean if you raise from a seed firm, it's gonna be harder,
32:19
easier. How great are you
32:21
building your
32:22
company? That is the horror variable
32:24
of what's gonna make your next round easier.
32:26
Do you agree with the signaling words to everyone
32:28
place? Is everyone No. Why? Because none
32:30
of the next set of investors really
32:33
care every investor thinks that they
32:35
have their own opinion, and they're right, and
32:37
they're not really looking for someone else's opinion
32:39
to create their opinion. And the firms
32:42
don't care about the other multistate firm.
32:44
That signaling risk I feel is the single
32:46
most overstated part of the ecosystem.
32:49
I think series b and later
32:51
signaling risk matters maybe series
32:53
a to b, it matters a little bit. If
32:56
your series a lead is not doing their
32:58
pro rata in your b, that is a material
33:01
data point. But if your seed
33:03
lead multistage firm is not
33:05
doing
33:06
it, there are ways to navigate that as
33:08
a founder and we are very happy to help
33:10
you do that. Actually totally agree with you on that.
33:12
The one that I do say which I do believe is the
33:14
incentive misalignment which is me and
33:16
you both warned a great next
33:18
round with a great price. For
33:20
the company. If a multistage firm
33:22
come in and lead the seed and it works
33:24
well, they don't want to have a
33:26
super high price on the natura and they want to close
33:29
it in. And then take it into the trees themselves
33:31
and get a good price. Correct. Do you
33:33
agree with that? Correct.
33:35
Yeah. And look, there's also a reason sometimes
33:37
multistage firms are not gonna follow on. Let's
33:39
that by fifteen percent of accompanying the seat
33:41
around, that's a lot. Keeping pro
33:43
rata at fifteen might
33:45
be good enough versus needing
33:48
to get to thirty, which is a lot
33:50
of the company. Or fifteen to
33:52
twenty two isn't this necessary SARY
33:54
Optimization. I don't think it's black
33:56
and white. What I've struggled with in
33:58
my venture career is watching investors
34:01
put out generic advice. And founders
34:04
read generic advice and assume
34:06
that it applies to them. Every single
34:08
company is very different
34:11
and each specific variable
34:13
in that company drives to
34:15
how to build. And I think our
34:18
job as early stage investors
34:20
is to provide a customized
34:23
service to founders. At Box
34:25
Group, we spent a ton of time trying
34:27
to under and all the dynamics at
34:29
play and give very nuanced
34:32
specific advice and tactical
34:34
advice how to achieve
34:37
that specific company's goals.
34:39
The hardest part is when it's not
34:41
gonna work. And I'm not
34:43
here to kill
34:44
companies. I'm here to provide as
34:46
best as I can honest advice and
34:49
do so with a goal of
34:51
achieving success in whatever the
34:53
next thing you have to do as a company. You mentioned
34:55
about being the best at getting into the next
34:57
round. I love that in terms of simplicity. We seem
34:59
to be agreeing more and more. My question too
35:01
is, when you look at the companies that do
35:03
graduate, I find there's this disparity
35:06
between ones that I think will do very well in fundraising
35:08
markets. And then those that do run, like, wow. I
35:10
wasn't expecting that to do well in fun.
35:13
Because when it comes back to this generic thing, every
35:15
investor in the market has
35:17
a different view of the types of people
35:19
and the types companies they're looking to back.
35:21
Venture gets viewed as an
35:23
asset class and it's not. These
35:25
are all very small businesses with
35:28
independent investment styles
35:30
and independent investment beliefs.
35:33
And in some way, the best thing a company
35:35
can do is go to as many investors
35:37
as they can get in front of because
35:40
everybody's totally different. Just because you're
35:42
a series a or series b or a seed firm,
35:44
there's such uniqueness to
35:46
each approach that the idea
35:48
that we can predict perfectly, of
35:50
course, is just a stretch. I do, at
35:52
the same time, think what the meme
35:55
and the sort of content world has done
35:57
a disservice to founders, and I think we're
35:59
past this, is telling founders, put your head
36:01
down, build a prod don't worry about fundraising.
36:03
It's distracting in Illinois. The CEO
36:06
specifically, their job is to
36:08
become great at fundraising. And they need
36:10
to view that as a core competency
36:13
that they should take responsibility
36:15
for getting better at learning
36:17
and be world class at. And to
36:19
your point, sometimes when
36:21
you see companies raise a lot of money
36:23
at crazy valuations, It's
36:26
because the CEO became
36:28
great at fundraising and pulled
36:30
the company forward. Is that a
36:32
net positive or negative? It's not
36:34
black and Tisch. a net negative if
36:36
they can't execute and build a great company.
36:38
It's a net positive if they can because
36:41
you've done your job. You got your company
36:43
money at a valuation that was not
36:45
punishing
36:46
to the dilution of not just you as
36:49
a founder, but to your employees as
36:51
well. And that's a good thing. I'm again
36:53
pretty much in agreement with
36:54
you. It's starting to feel nicer again. I normally
36:56
only agree. It's only because I we know each other
36:58
that I feel like out. I would like you to
37:00
disagree. I came here to
37:02
spark, but I know I really but what'd you advise
37:04
founders? You said me five because I also don't
37:06
want my founders to man, we both have whole companies,
37:08
so you get like fifty in pounds. I don't want
37:10
them that distracted. I want like a
37:12
home type messaging Don't give away
37:14
to
37:14
you. But like, how do you advise them? How many
37:17
the right way to play it? So I think first
37:19
off is just listening to that.
37:21
What do you want? How much time
37:23
do you wanna spend on this? How much
37:25
risk do you wanna take in this process?
37:28
Understanding their psyche is
37:30
super important and so a lot of the time
37:32
the beginning is what's your style?
37:34
Where are you going to excel? Are you
37:37
distracted by fifty conversations? There
37:39
are certain founders that are not, and that's
37:41
a strength for them. It's a weakness
37:44
for other people that then you shouldn't push
37:46
them to do. And so I think it's
37:48
really helpful for us to again view
37:50
each journey, each company, and
37:52
each step in the process is very
37:54
specific. I believe very
37:56
strongly, founder should consistently
37:59
be building great relationships at
38:02
every step of the way on their journey
38:04
in every single category. So
38:07
long term potential customers, long term
38:09
potential partners, long term potential
38:11
acquirers, and long term potential investors.
38:14
Mark Suster wrote that blog post years
38:16
ago, invest in lines and not dots.
38:18
Right? And it's dot core
38:21
view of how the world works. In
38:23
twenty twenty one, that frothy moment
38:25
that we love to isolate, everything
38:28
became transactional. You could
38:30
show up one day, meet six
38:32
firms and have six term sheets. And
38:34
everybody spent about eighteen minutes
38:37
making that decision. The transactional shift
38:40
happen because of speed and
38:42
power. Is that how life
38:44
should work? Probably not. Not
38:47
how our business should work. It's to
38:49
disservice the founders because they
38:51
don't get to know the people that
38:53
they're transacting with. Other than
38:55
by back channel reputation. And
38:58
that's challenging. So in a
39:00
world where you're not optimizing for
39:02
purely speed, the more
39:04
you get to know somebody, the higher probability,
39:07
if both sides like each other, there's
39:09
a deal to be had. And I view that the
39:12
same way invention. So I don't overly
39:15
arc orient towards don't talk to
39:17
investors until you're raising or
39:19
ignore all the inbound and play hard
39:21
to get. If you wanna get to know somebody, get to
39:23
know them. And if it's not gonna be this massive
39:25
distraction to you to have breakfast one
39:27
day, which you're probably gonna have anyway.
39:29
Have breakfast. Oh, okay. Do you think you you
39:31
spoke a lot about kind of the generic nature
39:33
of content? I am a producer of such
39:35
generic nature of
39:36
content. Yeah. You probably hate this.
39:38
Do I have to listen to nothing to
39:40
eat it? I think it's risky for founders
39:43
to listen to things that are not specific
39:45
to them and believe them and take them to heart
39:48
and act upon them. That's totally
39:50
decoupled from you building
39:52
a business, a content machine machine and
39:54
creating content. The value of
39:56
that content creation for
39:58
the investor is enormous. You
40:00
get brand recognition. You
40:02
get deal flow. You get people
40:04
valuing your distribution channels.
40:07
They wanna let you get into companies
40:09
that are hard to get into because you
40:11
can help them grow audience,
40:14
those are incredibly valuable
40:16
things. Again, we decoupled
40:19
the message from the value.
40:21
I played hockey in high school and
40:23
my hockey coach was a amazing man
40:25
who taught me a lot of lessons and there's a quote
40:27
that live
40:28
on, which is don't believe everything you read in
40:30
the newspaper.
40:31
Tony Negruth. And I view
40:33
TikTok. I view podcasts. I
40:35
view blogs and Twitter. As
40:38
in essence a newspaper. And I
40:40
think it's important just not to believe everything
40:42
you read a newspaper. And I think it's hard when you are
40:44
a operator and you see someone in a space
40:46
or someone raise some crazy round and
40:48
some frothy price and you're like, look
40:50
at what they did, let's get to the details.
40:53
There's probably more more about story to
40:55
whatever you
40:55
read. No. I totally agree. I think it's about having the self
40:57
awareness. Actually,
40:58
that bit was really helpful. The rest,
41:00
not so much, and that was probably a little bit
41:02
too much in that. Here's what I will take.
41:04
I will apply to me and I will take and
41:07
not just do it, but I will process it
41:09
and do it in my way, in my style
41:11
that's customized to me. Like the
41:13
other line that I talked to founders
41:16
a lot about is make to watch the Facebook
41:18
movie, which is inspiring. And
41:20
people can say it's a good movie, Madam. It's
41:22
amazing. Doesn't
41:23
it? Everybody wants to do it. And
41:24
that's why I became a VC. I was thirteen
41:26
and I told you to hear an ambassador face from
41:28
us. To me, it's the most magical
41:31
story of our industry. And
41:33
you can be overly critical, but
41:35
that's the goal, but make your own movie. You
41:37
know what you're not gonna do, you're not gonna
41:39
replicate that movie. You're not gonna replicate
41:42
anyone else's movie. So figure out
41:44
what movie is yours and make
41:46
that. And do that for minute one.
41:48
So you are taking such a bet when you
41:51
start a company on yourself. You're saying,
41:53
I know Stebbings, nobody else knows,
41:55
or I'm gonna do something better than everybody
41:58
else. And then you start listening
42:00
to outsiders, and you start
42:02
hedging that risk. You already took
42:04
the risk. Don't hedge it. Just keep
42:06
compoundingly betting on yourself. Take
42:09
advice, learn, iterate, but
42:11
don't compromise to bet on yourself
42:13
because that's the binary thing that you did
42:16
that you should lean
42:16
into. David, one of my biggest things that lost me,
42:18
I think, probably many years was the
42:20
work with investors who have not chosen me. When very
42:22
brilliant investor, but I thought I had to
42:24
be like them. I spent hours doing
42:26
cap table construction and doing all
42:28
the skills of cohort analysis is just
42:30
know me, David. You know, I spent the first
42:32
half in this podcast telling me why my
42:34
model sucks because everybody else's model
42:37
is different. And so in that dumb one Hey,
42:39
your model sucks. To zeta and have a model.
42:41
In some way, I am doing what
42:43
I believe is my way
42:46
of building this business. And if
42:48
everybody else does something else.
42:50
Awesome. I'm not judging them. I
42:52
hope they're successful. I'm gonna do it
42:54
our way. I need to be successful to
42:57
our stakeholders. And to myself
42:59
and our team. I have three amazing
43:01
partners. I have three
43:03
other amazing investors on our team where
43:06
seven person investment team. I owe
43:08
them immense responsibility just
43:10
like they owe me to all of us
43:12
seven do great work together. Our
43:15
job is to return as
43:17
much capital as we can to
43:19
our investors that's who we
43:21
work
43:21
for, but we work in service
43:24
of the companies that we invest in
43:26
and the reason we do this job
43:29
is because we get to work with people
43:31
who have dreams and help them achieve
43:33
those dreams. That's the package. We've
43:35
mentioned at trying to be other
43:37
people. I also made mistakes in last years
43:39
with liquidity. I
43:40
could have and should have sold in some big
43:42
winners. How do you think about Wednesday
43:44
cash off the table? Carefully, we
43:46
try hard and really align ourselves
43:48
with founders long term. And so our goal isn't
43:50
to look at the secondary markets constantly
43:53
in private companies. At the same
43:55
time, my job is not to manage public
43:58
stock. I have investors who are very
44:00
capable of making their own decisions
44:03
in the public markets that I don't feel
44:05
the need to try to say, I know better.
44:07
That's an easy lesson. Let
44:09
your LPs
44:11
own the thing that they own when you can't.
44:13
And in between there is all this gray. I
44:15
don't have a sound bite for you that you can
44:17
put on TikTok. Trust me. That will be Manny
44:19
from this show, my friend. But
44:22
if you wanna ask in terms of other
44:24
lessons, the last years we've learned a lot.
44:26
If that was and this is personal, so this is
44:28
not anecdotal, tonight, but this is just you
44:30
to can say. Is there any lessons that
44:32
you have from seeing how you invest over the last
44:34
years and what you've taken from that
44:36
period? As entrepreneurs founders, I think
44:38
the lessons is Stebbings a company's heart.
44:41
It's hard in every single market
44:43
because the market isn't consistent. And so even
44:45
if you start a company in a hot frothy market
44:47
where you're getting overfunded and high valuations,
44:49
it doesn't mean that's gonna be the status quo
44:51
for the extent of the company and things change.
44:54
And it's really hard. You're going to go
44:56
on those ups and downs, going in eyes
44:58
wide open to knowing what you're signing
45:00
up for is important. And just because
45:02
you can a company doesn't mean you should start
45:05
company because that's something you're gonna see
45:07
through all the way. It became very easy
45:09
to raise seed funding and to start a company.
45:11
And everybody got to do that.
45:14
I don't think people went in his eyes wide open
45:16
to the challenges that they were signing up for,
45:18
and I think it'll end in a lot of
45:20
a failure. On the investment side, it was
45:22
very hard to not be transactional.
45:25
Speed became a core
45:27
tenant of the market and it was at every
45:29
round. And so seed a, b
45:31
were happening in hours to days
45:34
versus weeks. And we
45:36
participated in that because that's
45:38
the game on the field, but the
45:40
transactional nature of
45:43
the industry. It's not the
45:45
most filling way to do this
45:47
business. It doesn't lead to
45:49
relationship building. It's not that
45:51
if we wanna be best friends with every
45:54
company that we invest in. It's that
45:56
we want to get to know you so we can try
45:58
to help you. And we want you to get to know
46:00
us so you can know how to
46:02
ask us for help. And when you're doing
46:04
things so quickly, a
46:07
lot of that authentic, actual
46:09
deep relationship building that I think
46:11
is
46:11
fulfilling. It's fulfilling either promotionally
46:14
or psychologically, but actually long
46:16
term it it allows you to feel support
46:18
that got removed from the industry for a bit. You
46:20
mentioned the transnational nature. Did
46:22
you raise the law set of funds? Two thousand
46:24
twenty
46:25
one. How fast will they be deployed to your
46:27
fund cycles? We are trying to be
46:29
super responsible with our LP's
46:31
capital. So three,
46:33
I think we, the hardest part
46:36
of a seed model and
46:38
a non concentrated seed model,
46:40
is the reserves. We've come full circle.
46:42
So how much of the fund
46:45
makes sense to reserve when
46:47
the initial dollars are deployed
46:49
up to that percentage is when we
46:51
need a new fund. And so what
46:53
I've seen happen over the past couple of quarters
46:56
is there's been a slowing of
46:58
what we've view as like opportunities that
47:00
we're excited enough to invest in at the
47:02
MultiStage. And so our deployment capital
47:05
per quarter has gone down, I need to
47:07
see a play out over the next couple quarters
47:09
to know when it makes sense to switch to the next set
47:12
of
47:12
funds. For the opportunity fund, how do you
47:14
do the upside scenario plan that? Is it If
47:16
we can project out A5X,
47:18
then we'll
47:19
engage, is it a three every
47:21
every single investment out of our opportunity
47:23
fund needs to be able to have
47:25
a outlier outcome because
47:28
it's a net new
47:28
investment. It's not attached to the
47:30
pro rata of the seed fund.
47:32
And so when outlier investment plan. Is that
47:34
a fund no time? Or is that A5X? It
47:37
matters what the risk profile is. It meets
47:39
up upside. The whole fund can't be
47:41
built off of underwriting a company to
47:43
A3X outcome because you're not
47:45
gonna be perfect, and it that's
47:47
out to three x, and that's not the inherent
47:49
goal. And it needs a real upside. In certain
47:51
ones, you have unknown exponential
47:54
upside and other ones that are probably later
47:56
and more established in, you know, industry
47:58
where you can get to a more predictable
48:00
outcome. Are gonna have more confined
48:03
upside. Did you make LPs invest in
48:05
the two alongside each other? The word
48:08
make is such a strong word, Harry.
48:10
I don't make anybody do any Tisch is
48:12
invest in both the long side each. Our investors
48:15
are aligned with the strategy that
48:17
we go after at the biz this with. And
48:19
I feel very much our job
48:21
is to have a business and a
48:23
structure
48:24
that aligns with LPs and
48:27
find LPs that feel a lot aligned
48:29
with.
48:29
Okay. But you said that alignment. There are some
48:31
areas where VCs and founders
48:33
are not aligned. And think it's important founders
48:35
know that where do you think the most prominent
48:37
areas those would
48:38
be. My job's to work for founders. We
48:40
get upset when founders are
48:43
dishonest or renegotiate
48:45
agreements Those are the areas that
48:47
I find to be upsetting and
48:50
not what I signed up for. We are
48:52
honest with who we are how we
48:54
work. We put our word first and we
48:56
try to live up to that. I like to work
48:58
with people who do this. I agree. I always
49:00
say life, liquidity is is sometimes not
49:02
my problem. Now, on a portfolio basis,
49:05
it's my problem. On an individual deal basis,
49:07
it's their company, and I'm here to support them.
49:09
And we truly live by those
49:12
words. Can I give them advice? Yes.
49:14
Is advice meant to be listened to?
49:16
No. It's not my job to tell a
49:18
founder what to do. I can gives
49:20
strong advice, but it's
49:22
their company. I respect that
49:25
structure of the
49:26
relationship. Final one for if the mistake
49:28
is gonna be much more costly to them
49:31
than it is gonna be to me. I I think not enough
49:33
easy to talk about the portfolio approach versus
49:35
the single company approach. Final one for the
49:37
Great Fire because David I could talk to you all day.
49:39
What does Vancha look like in five years in
49:41
your mind in the early stage? Do we see the
49:43
even further product as of multistage
49:45
found money at seed. Do we see tigers
49:47
and co2s come there as well and do it
49:49
also? Yeah. Do the boutiques survive?
49:52
How I thought the crossover funds were
49:54
coming to seed imminently if
49:56
the market maintained the
49:58
up moment that it was having. So
50:00
I think if you didn't have the turn
50:03
of the market in twenty two, you were going
50:05
to see enormous amounts of capital.
50:08
Pointed at seed, whether that was
50:10
good, bad, or right or wrong,
50:12
we didn't get to see that play out. I think
50:14
the multisage firms have, as I
50:16
said, been doing seed for a while, will continue
50:18
to do it. There will probably be less investors
50:21
because what this has
50:23
done is push out the tourists. And
50:25
think the tourists were dangerous, and the tourists
50:27
were not here for the long term.
50:29
And that was capital that doesn't make sense
50:32
for founders who are here for the long term
50:34
to be working with. Who were the tourists? Whether
50:36
the tourists were cross over funds
50:38
that came in just because the
50:40
numbers looked good and wanted to
50:42
grab onto that. It's people that are I
50:44
go back to USB. USB is the opposite
50:47
of a torus. They are so focused
50:49
and long term in every single thing
50:51
they do. They're consistent. They're loyal.
50:53
They live by their commitments. I
50:56
have immense respect for the long
50:58
term nature of their business.
51:01
When I look at what we wanna do at box
51:03
group, we are who we are, we are who
51:05
we say we are and we're gonna continue to be that.
51:07
And that's the business we wanna build. And
51:09
that, to me, aligns with the
51:11
timeline of starting and building
51:14
a company. And so investors who are
51:16
here, whether that's early stage
51:19
funds that started, and then
51:21
fund did things because they were going up and now are
51:23
getting nervous and questioning Or
51:25
it's crossover funds that
51:27
showed up at the last minute.
51:29
Think you pointed out Tiger and co too. They're
51:31
easy to criticize, but they've been
51:33
investing in tech for a long time. They've changed
51:35
their model. They've changed their velocity. They've done
51:37
things differently at points, but
51:39
they have been investing into
51:42
private startups at a consistent
51:44
basis for a long
51:45
time. I think for their capital base and for their LPs,
51:47
will actually still perform to an
51:49
averagely good level given
51:51
they have different expectations, which is great. It's
51:53
for their investors, but I'm not sure on them. I
51:55
think they'll be okay. Yeah. The tourists
51:58
to me are the ones who came in because it was
52:00
hot and they felt that Vancha was crummed.
52:02
And if we're I've taught you an idea how to do portfolio
52:04
construct and they wanna go to every drinks party with
52:06
every VC in
52:07
LA. They wanted to And there's there's it
52:09
more depth to that too if it came in because
52:11
it was hot and they're not gonna stick with
52:13
it. And I think when you have investors
52:16
who, you know, two years into your company's journey
52:18
are no longer doing this business. It's
52:20
not the best group of people to have
52:22
around the table. We are going to run whether
52:24
you like it or not the same model
52:27
for a long time. And I think what that
52:29
does is it aligns us with founders who
52:31
are also going to build their business
52:33
for a long time. We are consistent. We're not gonna
52:35
suddenly be a series a lead next year,
52:37
we're not gonna scale the
52:40
size of an entry
52:42
point and where we focus our business
52:44
because our view is if we hold true
52:46
to who we are, we're actually maintaining
52:49
that relationship with the founder for the extent
52:51
of the journey. David, I wanna move into a quick
52:53
file. I could talk to you all day. We had a mixture
52:55
of that. That was some degree. We did great. It was
52:57
awesome. Right? Okay. Ready to rock and
52:59
roll? Yeah. What would you most like to change about
53:01
the world adventure? I would like that
53:03
the ability for founders
53:06
who are treated unethically by
53:09
venture capitalists to be able
53:11
to confidently discuss
53:13
that publicly. Not casual
53:15
bad behavior, but actual bad behavior
53:17
gets policeed out. I think it's really important
53:20
that we find a way to
53:22
expose preparatory behavior.
53:25
And that's not aggressive valuations.
53:28
That's not structuring rounds. That
53:30
is harmful intent
53:32
to hurt founders, behavior, by
53:34
VCs. I've seen that. When a company
53:37
and a tier three shitty
53:39
VC come together, bad
53:41
things can happen. I saw a VC try
53:43
to personally bankrupt a founder.
53:45
That is unacceptable to me. And
53:47
there are tactical ways did they do
53:50
that? And when that happens, my
53:52
view is I don't care if that company failed.
53:54
I don't care how much money we as a fund
53:56
lost. My job is to protect that human
53:59
from bad
54:00
actors. And I wished that
54:02
all of those examples got exposed.
54:04
That's fascinating because one of my problems is
54:06
CCs are actually willing to do the work because they're worried
54:09
about poor MPS. I've had things where the
54:11
company is actually doing terribly, and
54:13
we need to step in and help the founder
54:15
I'm talking way past the
54:17
performance and into truth analysis
54:20
ever. Gene will see that come back in the next cycle.
54:22
Yes. What's the trend that you were seeing
54:24
that others are ignoring,
54:25
David? The trend to me that's
54:27
most interesting is that people are
54:29
bored with today's consumer
54:32
products. None of them are fun. What's
54:34
fun on your phone today? The fun
54:37
has moved to content. Content
54:39
is TikTok, content is YouTube,
54:41
and content is if you're
54:43
into certain things Discord or
54:46
Reddit or Twitter or whatever
54:48
those niches of the world
54:50
and you can call them communities and
54:52
sometimes they are, but sometimes they're
54:55
just content. And in reality, content's always
54:57
been fun. People have always watched TV.
54:59
People have always watched movies. That time
55:01
is actually still pretty consistent. It's just shifted
55:03
into more diversified places
55:06
where you are consuming content. And then you
55:08
go back to the early days of mobile
55:10
and the early days of the Internet around connecting
55:12
with people and whether it's photos,
55:14
sharing or different versions about
55:16
the social part of the Internet, it feels
55:18
like it's become very boring. And I
55:21
long for the days when not
55:23
gets exciting again. We are open
55:25
for consumer social businesses.
55:27
We would love to fund them. We get excited
55:30
about them. I think you're at a point where
55:32
the generation, the twelve to
55:34
eighteen year olds, and then separately, the
55:36
eighteen to twenty five year olds have
55:39
not experienced native products
55:41
for them built by their generation
55:44
that are
55:44
fun. I did the Prestige be real.
55:46
I would give them you did a great job there.
55:48
Thank you very much. What I thought was interesting was
55:50
you have Antoine Martin and Sami who's obviously
55:52
now starting a new
55:53
company. You have a mic and Kevin in
55:55
Instagram and then you have Chad too. Because then
55:57
there's renaissance of the 0GV ones
56:00
who are
56:00
coming back with v two's, which I think is interesting.
56:02
Oh, see the v ones too. So if if there
56:04
are new people out there who are starting something
56:07
that are v one, please. Stop with
56:09
the v two is it's at a hundred. Tell me who
56:11
if they send you a deal, do you take it most
56:13
seriously? You feel like Oh, yeah. They're good
56:15
at this business. Oh, it takes a question.
56:17
We take most founders
56:19
in our portfolio who send us
56:21
things very seriously because
56:24
they know who we are and they're choosing to
56:26
send things to us. And we appreciate that, and
56:28
that to us is as strong of a sort of
56:30
feedback loop as it gets. What's the nicest
56:32
thing anyone's ever done feet? My wife
56:34
married me. That was nice. What's the secret
56:36
to a happy marriage, David? Mutual respect
56:39
and trust. It's trust. Loyalty
56:42
and trust. And it's pretty simple.
56:44
What's the hardest element of your role with books
56:46
today? Weaking up tomorrow and finding
56:48
the next deal. That's my job. How do
56:49
you I I remember
56:50
when New Mexico. Yeah. And I obsess over
56:53
tomorrow, and I spend less time on
56:55
yesterday. Does
56:56
the firmware help? Because sometimes it can't
56:58
really not, but I Our job
57:00
is to make an investment tomorrow. And
57:02
that's gonna be our job hopefully for the
57:04
next thirty years. What's the best investment
57:06
advice you've ever received? Investors invest.
57:09
Bradfeld said that to me when was
57:11
just starting my career, and it
57:13
stuck with me. appreciate that line.
57:15
My job as an investor is to invest.
57:17
Pretty simple. Who do you think is most underrated
57:20
engine in the ecosystem? I don't know if they're
57:22
underrated. I think the Karl's and brothers
57:24
have built a investment portfolio
57:27
that's probably quite unique and
57:29
doesn't get discussed as much
57:31
as some of the louder operator angels
57:34
out there. It feels like they just like
57:36
in building stripe do things at this unique
57:38
quality that extends to all portions of
57:40
their life. What do you believe that fear around do you
57:42
believe? I don't think geography matters
57:45
for startups, and I think we're based
57:47
in New York because we live here and
57:49
we wanna live here just because we're based in York
57:52
doesn't mean that we vest only in New York.
57:54
And Greg, our partner lives in San Francisco
57:56
because he wants to live in San Francisco. I think
57:58
geography gets overrated. Final one,
58:00
my friend. What are the next five years hold for
58:02
you? Where's Box Group in twenty twenty eight?
58:05
I truly hope Box Group
58:07
is exactly where we are today. We
58:09
don't want to be different
58:11
than who we are today
58:13
because we have immense belief that
58:16
staying consistent is the best way
58:18
to hone in on being world class at
58:20
your craft. And so this is our craft.
58:22
Our craft is seat. We wanna be world
58:24
class at pre seat and seat investing in
58:27
people with dreams and ambitions who
58:29
are going out to build ten, fifteen,
58:31
twenty year, and much longer term
58:33
companies, and we would like to be there day one. And
58:35
so five years from now, I hope the answer
58:37
is the exact same. David, listen, it wasn't
58:39
quite a jewel or a fight to the death, but it was
58:41
a discussion for
58:42
sure. We had a great time here.
58:44
I can't thank you enough, my friend. Thank you
58:46
so much, and you're a star. Thanks
58:47
for having me. Well,
58:50
there you have it a more debating Harry
58:52
you like it, then you can see more on YouTube by searching
58:55
for twenty v c or going to twenty v
58:57
c dot com. But before we leave you today,
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