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don't want to miss it now. Let's get into

0:15

the news. It's the bombshell story

0:18

you probably heard about last night

0:21

that the FBI when they

0:23

conducted the surprise raid on

0:25

Mar-a-Lago over classified documents had

0:27

been authorized to use deadly

0:30

force not only

0:32

this but they were

0:34

instructed to wear plain clothes unmarked

0:36

and hide that they were law

0:38

enforcement. Now

0:41

we are getting the big debate. Some

0:43

people on the right saying no way this

0:45

is standard protocol. It's not that big of

0:48

a deal. The corporate

0:50

press saying basically the same thing there was

0:52

no effort to cause harm to the president.

0:56

And then you have I don't know Dan Bongino who

0:59

actually was in the Secret Service and

1:01

is saying no way this is

1:04

anything but standard unprecedented Marjorie

1:06

Taylor Green says that Biden

1:10

was planning to assassinate Trump a

1:12

very bold claim. But

1:15

I wouldn't I wouldn't say personally that

1:18

I think their intention was purely to take

1:21

out Trump. But I

1:23

think it was part of the well if it

1:25

happens it happens right. Conductor

1:28

raid authorized deadly force unmarked

1:30

police and if

1:33

Trump shows up you know we don't know

1:36

that Trump wasn't there. And that's important

1:38

because I want to go through this debate people are having

1:40

and I will just start by saying

1:43

standard protocol. There

1:47

is no standard protocol for conducting a

1:49

surprise raid on the home of a former

1:52

president. As Dan Bongino also

1:54

points out, it's a protected place by the

1:56

Secret Service. So what surprise

1:58

rate are you doing? That's right.

2:01

They wanted to conduct a surprise raid and according to the Washington

2:04

Post, Trump was unaware. Here's

2:06

fascinating. Now the

2:08

Washington Post has written the

2:10

most insane story. Placating

2:13

everything, saying in order to make sure

2:16

things were calm, they went, they showed

2:18

up unmarked. One

2:21

of the most insane things I've heard. You

2:23

show up to a man's home in plain

2:26

clothes with guns and what do

2:28

you think happens? Now there

2:30

are people like, yeah, but Tim it's standard protocol. Not

2:32

for a president. It's all unprecedented. You

2:36

don't do it. It's got to be done in different

2:38

ways. But

2:40

this is a fascinating case right now. In

2:43

the event, and I will stress this,

2:45

Julie Kelly pointing out, that in

2:48

their their their operation, operational documents,

2:51

they had a contingency plan for the arrival of Donald

2:53

Trump. I've been

2:55

to Mar-a-Lago. I went there a couple weeks ago. First

2:58

time I'd ever been there. I'll tell you this. They

3:02

have security. Okay, we were

3:04

there when the president was there and

3:06

so Secret Service

3:08

is there as well. You

3:10

can't just walk in. You will

3:12

be stopped by security. If

3:15

you are in plain clothes with

3:17

a gun and try going past

3:19

security, you're opening the door to

3:21

some real messed up stuff. Okay.

3:26

They say, well, Trump wasn't there. Is

3:29

this a joke? Trump

3:31

has family. Trump's family

3:33

could be there and

3:36

they authorize deadly force. You

3:39

want to have a surprise raid against a former president.

3:42

You are conducting an unprecedented move

3:45

and what you do then is in your operational

3:47

documents is this is the

3:49

former president under Secret Service protection. No

3:52

law enforcement shall be armed. There

3:55

will be no authorization for the use of force

3:57

in any way. In

4:01

fact, according to the Washington Post last year,

4:03

discussing the story, several

4:05

FBI agents wanted just that. They

4:08

said, no, no, no, no, no, no raid. Just

4:10

call the man and we will set up a

4:12

time. Prosecutors were like,

4:15

no. Storm in, guns

4:17

a-blazing with no warning. You

4:19

know what I think? I don't know that they wanted

4:21

to kill Trump. I think that

4:24

they were more likely hoping for a shootout

4:26

in which they could say January 6th all

4:28

over again. They could

4:30

say Donald Trump's security

4:32

have opened fire on law enforcement and

4:34

then, could you imagine

4:37

Joe Biden being like, ladies and

4:39

gentlemen, Donald Trump has security

4:41

guards shooting at FBI. Come

4:45

on, man. They wanted

4:47

to up the ante. I think

4:50

they were hoping for it. Marjorie

4:53

Taylor Greene makes wild claim Biden

4:55

was planning to assassinate Trump. A

4:58

new court filing unsealed on Tuesday in the Trump

5:00

classified documents case revealed federal agents were prepped to

5:02

use deadly force when executing the

5:04

raid. Greene devoted Trump ally, racked

5:06

up the news furiously suggesting that President

5:08

Biden, his DOJ and the FBI were prepared to kill

5:11

his predecessor. I

5:14

don't remember exactly how I framed it, but

5:18

I think mine was that they were trying to incite a conflict or

5:20

a civil war or something like that. Let

5:23

me see. I want to make sure

5:26

what I posted. Unmarked

5:29

FBI armed already use lethal force at Mar-a-Lago against

5:31

Trump. It was either an attempt to kill Trump

5:33

or incite civil war, maybe both. I

5:36

would say now based on the fact that perhaps

5:42

you can't convey enough information on acts.

5:45

I'd actually walk that back a little bit because

5:48

they had a contingency plan for Trump's arrival

5:51

and maybe a

5:54

bit of an hyperbolic. I think

5:56

that's fair. But I do think that

5:58

the general idea is they wanted a— a

6:01

conflict and I stand by the Civil War part. You

6:03

know I would and I'll tell you why. You

6:06

show up tomorrow Lago, FBI agents, Trump

6:09

security, secret service or

6:12

whatever, open fire because

6:15

unmarked unannounced law

6:17

enforcement, it's dudes

6:19

and khakis with guns raiding your

6:22

property and

6:24

we saw what happened with Ashley Babbitt, right? It

6:27

is well known on the left that

6:30

cops may just shoot somebody. Now

6:33

when it came to Ashley Babbitt, what did they say? Well she

6:35

was an insurrectionist, she shouldn't have been there. If

6:38

a guy in khakis and a polo shirt

6:41

with a gun is walking

6:43

through Mar-a-Lago with his gun drawn,

6:46

you think the security guard is going to be like, time to figure out

6:48

who this guy is? And then

6:51

what happens? Let's say

6:53

Trump security opens fire on this

6:55

guy, media reports

6:57

shootout, Trump personnel

7:01

in a shootout with FBI

7:03

to stop them from searching

7:05

the property. What

7:07

do you think happens to this country? Let's

7:11

do this. We'll go to the debate.

7:13

The debate about whether or not it's real, and I'm going to

7:15

break it all down for you because I think people are wrong.

7:19

This is an unprecedented move. What

7:22

I want to say is when you

7:24

plan a surprise raid on

7:26

a former president unmarked with guns and authorization

7:29

for use of deadly force, I

7:31

don't know exactly what you're hoping to get out of it,

7:34

but it sounds like you know you could

7:36

get violence out of it. Whether

7:38

that is the loss of Trump's life, should he arrive because they

7:40

had a contingency plan for that, or

7:43

as I described, inciting

7:45

mass chaos and reporting nationally some kind of,

7:47

oh, Trump's people are shooting at feds. Here

7:51

we go. Hannah Knowles, who's a liar, says

7:54

a former president falsely accusing a successor and

7:57

rival of posing a threat to his life is without precedent

7:59

in modern US history. This

8:01

is not a news article. This is

8:04

an opinion piece from the Washington

8:07

Post unlabeled as opinion. Trump

8:10

email falsely says Biden was

8:12

locked and loaded to take me out. Actually, that's a fact.

8:16

Biden's DOJ were authorized, locked and

8:18

loaded to take out Trump. That's

8:21

a fact. How are they

8:23

saying it was false? Because they are liars. I

8:26

am not saying I can tell you definitively they

8:28

wanted to kill Trump. What

8:31

I am saying is the Biden

8:33

DOJ authorized the use of

8:35

deadly force at Trump's property for which Trump may

8:37

have arrived. They didn't know. So

8:39

yes, that's true. A

8:42

former president falsely accusing these people are

8:44

evil. Wait till you see this. Donald

8:47

Trump on Tuesday falsely claimed in the campaign fundraising

8:50

email that Biden was locked and loaded, ready to

8:52

take me out during

8:54

the Mar-a-Lago raid for classified documents, an

8:56

extraordinary distortion of a standard FBI policy

8:58

on the use of deadly force during

9:00

such operations. Wait, wait, wait.

9:03

Hold on. So the

9:05

opening paragraph admits the FBI standard policy was to

9:08

be locked and loaded and ready to take out

9:10

the individuals that they are encountering. Sounds

9:12

like Trump told the truth. Trump

9:14

appeared to be referring to a law enforcement document, released

9:17

Tuesday in court filings, in the

9:19

documents case that describes the FBI's plans for

9:21

a court-authorized search on August 8,

9:24

2022 at Mar-a-Lago. FBI

9:27

agents recovered classified material from Trump, blah, blah, blah.

9:29

We get it. They

9:31

say one page

9:33

in the document includes a policy statement on the

9:35

use of deadly force, which says officers may resort

9:37

to lethal force only when the subject of

9:40

such force poses an imminent danger of death or

9:42

serious physical injury to an officer or

9:44

another person, which again proves the point. This is

9:46

what we've been talking about. Showing up

9:48

unmarked. Wait, wait, wait, wait till you see this.

9:50

You're gonna laugh. Trump,

9:52

the presumptive GOP nominee for president and

9:55

some of his allies, like it's a Tuesday, this

9:57

is evidence that Biden's DOJ was prepared to fatally

9:59

shoot him. Yes. In fact,

10:01

Trump was not at his Florida property the day of his search, except

10:04

as Julie Kelly points out, let me see if I

10:06

can find the, uh, Julie

10:08

Kelly says they had a contingency

10:10

plan for the arrival of F.

10:13

POTUS. They will be

10:15

prepared to engage with F. POTUS

10:17

and U.S.S.S. security team. Uh-huh.

10:22

What's up, Washington Post? They

10:25

were prepared for Trump to be there

10:27

knowing they would be arriving authorized

10:30

to use lethal force. What do you

10:32

think happens? Secret Service pulls up,

10:34

not knowing what's going on. Guys in

10:37

T, in polo shirts with guns are,

10:39

are, are guns drawn or out or who knows what

10:41

they're doing. You think Secret Service is going to be

10:44

like, howdy there, mister. What you doing? Or

10:46

do you think they're going to draw

10:48

the weapon and say, on the ground now, drop the

10:50

weapon, drop the weapon. And then the law enforcement agent

10:52

says, don't know, don't move. What do

10:54

you think could happen? Choosing

10:58

a day when Trump was not at the property, despite the fact that

11:00

he continued to plan, I'll add, a former

11:02

president, I love this, falsely accusing

11:05

his successor and rival of posing a threat to

11:07

his life is without precedent in U.S. modern history.

11:10

The comments mark a sharp escalation of Trump's

11:12

baseless attacks. This is not a news report.

11:14

This is remarkable. Washington Post

11:16

running opinions as if it's

11:19

news. Amazing. Trump

11:22

has frequently accused Biden of weaponizing legal, let me

11:24

tell you this. I'll

11:26

give you the raw facts. FBI was

11:28

authorized to use lethal force in their Mar-a-Lago

11:30

raid, a surprise raid on the Trump properties.

11:33

They chose a date when Trump was not there, but

11:35

at a contingency plan, should he arrive, officers

11:38

were instructed to conceal that they

11:40

were law enforcement. Thank you

11:42

and have a nice day. That's the news. Now,

11:44

my opinion is they knew it. This is leading to

11:47

the Washington Post is now, it's

11:49

not even opinion. It just lies, outright lies.

11:54

Here we go. I love this.

11:56

Let me find the, uh, there's

11:58

a really great point where. where

12:01

in this article, let me see if I can, I

12:04

think they said plain, no. Did

12:08

they get rid of it? Let

12:11

me try and find it. Basically, they

12:13

may have gotten rid of it. There's a part

12:15

in this where she writes, they

12:18

were even dressed down to avoid a confrontation.

12:23

And I thought it was in the beginning, but maybe it's

12:25

near the end. Let's

12:28

see if we can find it. I'll just read the

12:30

whole thing. So, FBI agents got approval from a federal

12:33

magistrate judge in

12:35

Florida to search Mar-a-Lago, oh, here we go, I got it.

12:37

After months of efforts to get Trump to hand over the

12:39

documents, agents also arrived

12:41

in deliberately casual outfits to lower

12:43

their profile cackies and polo shirts

12:46

to comb the area and left with more than

12:48

100 classified documents. In

12:50

deliberately casual outfits to lower their profile, I

12:52

mean, they were trying to avoid conflict. That

12:56

was a joke, Brana Taylor. Duncan

12:59

Lemp, I think his name was. We

13:01

know the stories of what happens. Now,

13:03

the Brana Taylor story, her

13:05

boyfriend opened fire on the cops, they announced themselves, but the

13:07

left argues, their view

13:09

is that unmarked cops kicked

13:12

the door in and opened fire on her. What

13:16

do you think happens when dudes who are wearing street clothes

13:18

kick a door with guns? Yeah.

13:21

Well, my friends, I bring you back in time to

13:23

the Washington Post's own article from 2023. Hmm,

13:27

showdown before the raid, FBI agents and prosecutors argued

13:29

over Trump. Take a look at this. Prosecutors

13:32

argued that new evidence suggested Trump was

13:34

knowingly concealing secret documents in his Palm

13:37

Beach, Florida home and urged the

13:39

FBI to conduct a surprise raid at the

13:41

property. But two senior FBI officials

13:43

who would be in charge of leading

13:45

the search resisted the plan as too

13:47

combative and proposed instead to seek

13:49

Trump's permission to search his property. According

13:52

to the four people who spoke on the condition of

13:54

anonymity, to describe a sensitive investigation.

13:58

Prosecutors ultimately prevailed. in

14:00

that dispute. That is to say some

14:02

in the FBI were actually like, are you nuts? You

14:05

can't do this. And

14:07

the prosecutors won. It was

14:09

a surprise raid. Here's the

14:12

FBI says from Axios.

14:15

FBI responds to Trump claim about Mar-a-Lago search.

14:18

The FBI in the statement on Tuesday said

14:20

that their search and former president's Mar-a-Lago residence

14:22

followed standard protocol which includes

14:24

a standard policy statement limiting the use of

14:26

deadly force. Limiting? They

14:29

should have had a policy statement saying no one will

14:31

be armed and equipped for the use of force. They

14:35

are not raiding a

14:37

drug dealer, murderer, gangbanger's

14:39

house. It's the

14:41

former president under Secret Service protection. The

14:45

statement was a response to a true social post from Trump. The

14:48

FBI follows standard protocol they say. Trump's

14:51

allies seized on the post, etc, etc. All right, well

14:53

let's read. Julie Kelly

14:55

points out with the initial document, agents

14:58

brought standard issue weapons, ammo, and

15:00

handcuffs and were instructed

15:02

to wear unmarked polo or collared

15:04

shirts and conceal law enforcement

15:07

equipment. They

15:09

had a contingency plan for Trump's arrival. FBI

15:12

had a medic on the scene and

15:15

identified a local trauma center for anyone injured during

15:17

the raid. Not only

15:19

were they prepared to use lethal force,

15:22

they were prepared to render medical aid in

15:24

the event they harmed someone.

15:28

Now of course. Here

15:31

we have this. We have federal law specifically cover

15:33

former presidents and their families. Is

15:35

there an exemption for the FBI? They

15:37

say this is for threats against

15:40

people under Secret Service. How

15:42

would Secret Service have responded? What about armed

15:44

FBI agents? So

15:47

we've got the shipwrecked crew who

15:49

is a lawyer for some J-6 who says when

15:53

Julie Kelly says why did they have contingency plans when

15:55

he arrived? Shipwrecked crew

15:57

says because they don't control the schedule and you

15:59

always... plan for contingencies. His car would have never

16:01

made it to the front gate of Mar-a-Lago. The

16:03

FBI would have known when his plane landed at

16:06

the airport. This is just so

16:08

much nonsense, but I'm sure your

16:10

revenue from X and sub-stack is through the

16:12

roof. And what if Don Jr., Barron, Melania,

16:15

what if Trump, you know, what if any of these

16:17

individuals were there? What

16:20

if any of these individuals were there? What if? So

16:24

I believe you're not allowed to bring

16:26

weapons into the building at Mar-a-Lago. What

16:28

if there were guests? At

16:31

Mar-a-Lago, there's a bunch of random

16:33

people, okay? So I'm hanging out there and there's

16:36

people having dinner. They're members of a club. It's a

16:38

private club. Dan

16:42

Bongino says, plan

16:44

for contingencies such

16:46

as a US SS Protectee

16:49

and former POTUS accidentally rolling up

16:51

on your unprecedented raid on a

16:54

USC 1752 protected compound. Concealed, by

16:56

the way. I

16:59

strongly suggest you ignore this ignoramus from this

17:01

point on. So many dip-ish

17:03

and reply guys were exposed last night.

17:08

So Shipwreck goes on to,

17:11

here we go. Let's grab some more of these,

17:14

I think. Here we go. Dan

17:16

Bongino says, this is absolutely a

17:18

big deal. Don't buy the BS

17:20

otherwise. It was not a standard

17:22

op. The Mar-a-Lago raid was an

17:24

unprecedented action with significant potential for

17:26

confusion and blue on blue issues

17:29

and conflict. It also

17:31

involved competing equities between federal agencies

17:33

with equal statutory claims to interrupt

17:36

the other's activities. Anyone

17:38

telling you otherwise is dumb, playing dumb.

17:41

I've done more deconfliction with Russians in

17:43

a foreign op I did

17:46

for the US Secret Service than the FBI did

17:48

in their search warrant for at MAL. Only

17:51

a dumbass would pitch the standard paperwork

17:53

line. Go serve a search warrant at

17:55

the White House in the cocaine case while filling out

17:57

your standard paperwork and see how that works out for

17:59

you. What's up? Bongino is right.

18:03

Secret Service shows up, unmarked

18:05

guys with guns on the property

18:07

and they say, we have precedent

18:09

and priority. Get out of

18:11

our way now because we're

18:13

dispatching dogs to search the property because

18:15

you cannot just come in with guns.

18:19

I'm at Mar-a-Lago. Secret

18:22

Service had dogs roaming the

18:24

property, sniffing around. Duh.

18:28

A bunch of guys in plain clothes come

18:30

onto the president's property, his home, and

18:33

Secret Service now has to make a decision. If

18:36

somebody sneaks in with these FBI guys

18:38

in plain clothes and no one's paying

18:40

attention and they can plank a

18:42

bomb or who knows what, how do we check

18:44

for that? We cannot just

18:46

let, that's why they did it in secret.

18:50

So if Trump were to show up, the

18:52

Secret Service likely would

18:54

pull Trump back, tell the

18:57

FBI, get out of our way. GTFO.

19:02

Absolutely insane. So

19:05

I think we have this ship director crew says, let

19:08

me read this one down by Gino first. He

19:11

says, this is what happens when a

19:13

guy reads a book about basketball and then he thinks he

19:15

can go one-on-one with Jordan. This dude

19:17

doesn't know Jack Ish about the significant time

19:19

the US Secret Service spends on deconfliction anytime.

19:22

There's another law enforcement firearm at any of

19:24

their USC 1752 protected areas, precisely

19:27

to avoid use of force anywhere near

19:29

the protectees. So tired

19:31

of reply bros like this dip Ish, who

19:34

never contribute a single thing to debate other

19:36

than cosplay as experts, to which he responded,

19:39

or he's like, oh, I don't want to pull up. He

19:42

says 1752 applies by its terms when a protectee

19:44

is present or expected to be present. Neither was

19:46

true on 8-8-22. Bro,

19:48

that's wrong. They had a contingency

19:51

plan for his arrival, meaning they

19:53

expected the possibility he would be there.

19:57

This is what happens when someone who sits in a training session for

19:59

a few hours. I think he's a lawyer. I'm

20:03

sorry dude. I got to go with Bongino on

20:05

this one. Bongino

20:07

was actually Secret Service. Practice

20:10

and law are two different things. We

20:13

talk about blue laws all the time. It

20:17

is illegal to do certain things.

20:19

You can't sell cars on the

20:21

weekends in Virginia. We

20:24

have these famous laws where it's like you can't put a

20:26

pie on your windowsill on Tuesday evening and

20:28

nobody enforces any of those laws. What's

20:30

on the books and what happens in real life

20:32

are totally different things. He

20:36

says go look up U.S. v. Grossclothes in D.C. and

20:38

see if you can find out the name of the

20:40

attorney who litigated 1752 Repentz and 1611, getting the count

20:42

dismissed. I

20:45

can't say I was the first to the issue but I'm confident

20:47

I understand the statute better than you do. I'll

20:50

put it this way. I don't know if the

20:52

statute matters. Secret Service shows up

20:54

to see a bunch of plainclothes guys with guns

20:56

and they're going to be like get these guns

20:58

off the property now. What

21:02

else do you do? It's a

21:04

private property, it's a home, dudes

21:07

with guns in a Secret Service

21:09

protected location and you have an

21:11

obligation not just to protect the president but a president's family.

21:14

Say, oh but the president wasn't going to be there. What

21:17

about his kids? What

21:20

about anyone else in his family who's under protection? Laughably

21:24

insane. The

21:26

attempt to dismiss this is, is, is, I

21:30

can't, I can't say I'm surprised. One

21:34

thing matters. You want to

21:36

raid a former president and the

21:38

front runner for the next election? What

21:41

do you do? You leave your

21:43

guns behind. You make a phone call

21:45

and say we are coming to serve a search

21:47

warrant. We will be unarmed. Our

21:50

vehicles look like this. Here's what

21:52

you can expect. We will be serving

21:54

the warrant. You arrive. You

21:57

got, you have a legal dispute. absolutely

22:00

insane that anyone

22:03

would try and justify what

22:05

we are seeing with the authorization of use

22:07

of lethal force. On

22:09

top of this, this

22:11

could negatively impact Mar-a-Lago as a

22:13

business because the people who are

22:15

club members there don't want to be at a place where

22:18

the feds might show up with guns and get into a

22:20

shootout. I'll leave it there. Next segment

22:22

is coming up at 1 p.m. on this channel. Thanks for hanging out, and I'll see

22:24

you all then. Well, we've

22:26

got good news. We've got bad news. The good news

22:28

is 13 conservative counties in

22:30

Oregon have approved ballot measures to

22:32

secede from their woke state of

22:35

Oregon and join

22:37

Idaho. Now, it's not legally binding.

22:39

There's a lot of work that has to happen

22:41

before there can actually be a legitimate secession, but

22:44

I think this is good news.

22:47

Why? Yo, this country is at

22:49

odds with itself, all right? You

22:51

got breaking news. The FBI

22:53

was authorized to use lethal force

22:55

at Mar-a-Lago. Whatever you want to

22:58

claim the implications there are. Okay,

23:00

lethal force should never be permitted

23:02

at the former president's residence. You've

23:05

got people fighting in the streets. Yeah,

23:08

and everybody knows that come November, no one

23:10

will accept the results of the election. So

23:13

here we go, ladies and gentlemen. But what's the good news? Well,

23:17

if in states like Oregon the

23:19

more conservative-minded individuals are able to

23:22

join up with more conservative-minded areas,

23:25

it separates the tensions, at

23:27

least a little bit. Now,

23:29

maybe it's not true. I mean, maybe the inverse is true.

23:32

Maybe this just creates more animosity. I

23:34

don't know, but I like the idea

23:36

that people can decide how they are

23:38

governed. That's the point of this country, isn't

23:40

it? The other big

23:42

news, of course, my friends, in the bigger

23:44

picture and the bad news is that we

23:47

have from News10, 47% of Americans

23:49

think a civil war is likely, a new

23:51

poll. Oh, boy. Oh, boy.

23:54

The other day, it's been a minute since

23:57

we at TimCasts have talked about civil war.

24:00

despite the fact that I'm basically the meme of

24:02

Civil War, but the Hodge twins were talking about

24:04

it. And I said, hey, hey, hold on

24:06

there a minute. You know, we're the ones who are always in

24:08

the forefront of this conversation.

24:11

So Hodge twins, you know, actually, no, I was

24:13

I was listening to their conversation. I thought it

24:15

was interesting. And then, of course,

24:17

we see this news pop up. So by

24:19

all means, let's discuss the issues here. First,

24:23

we'll start with what I think is good news in

24:25

general. I don't know that it ultimately is good news,

24:27

but it feels good when people decide

24:30

we will govern ourselves. 13

24:32

set up counties in liberal Oregon have voted

24:34

in support of measures to start negotiations to

24:36

secede from the state and join Idaho.

24:40

Crook County begin the latest to

24:42

approve the Greater Idaho measure following a vote on

24:44

Tuesday. The proposal seeks to move the

24:46

Oregon border 200 miles to the west, meaning

24:48

that 14 counties and several partial

24:51

counties would fall under Idaho state

24:53

lines. Organizers behind the

24:55

Greater Idaho movement say East Oregonians

24:57

are being alienated by the state's

24:59

progressive policies, which they blame for

25:01

high crime rates. They

25:03

claim a move to Idaho would allow residents take

25:05

advantage of lower taxation and

25:08

provide better representation and governance. My friends,

25:11

why would Oregon give up its slaves? These

25:14

are people with no representation in Oregon. They

25:17

are outvoted massively. Their culture is

25:19

massively divided. And

25:21

Oregon, of course, milks them for money. Why

25:24

would Oregon give up their slaves that they're

25:26

not going to do it? I

25:28

think the idea that you

25:31

need permission from your oppressors

25:34

is ridiculous. If

25:36

you're in Oregon, if you're anywhere and

25:39

you say we shall be governed

25:42

by this and not them, fine. This

25:46

means within the

25:48

confines of the U.S. Constitution, I

25:51

believe that it is absolutely appropriate and

25:53

fair that an Oregon county

25:55

vote to be part of an Idaho county. Why?

25:57

It does not create a new state. It

26:00

does not change the amount of representatives in

26:02

Congress. It does not change

26:04

the districts that are being represented. It

26:07

may potentially change

26:09

the total count

26:11

a state has in terms of

26:14

representatives, but it won't change the

26:16

amount of senators. Oregon still

26:18

has two. I know we'll have two. There

26:20

will be this, it's so minimal.

26:24

It's basically saying we are here as part of the United States

26:26

and the federal government, but we

26:28

want this state to, you know, we want

26:30

to operate under this state. I say yes.

26:34

The Oregon-Idaho line was established 163

26:37

years ago and has now outdated the movement website states.

26:40

It makes no sense in its current location because it

26:42

doesn't match the location of the cultural divide. We

26:44

want an economy that is not held

26:46

back by Oregon regulations and taxes, including

26:49

environmental regulations. We'll still have

26:51

the federal and Idaho regulations, and that's plenty. Idaho

26:54

knows how to respect rural counties and

26:56

their livelihoods. Measure

26:58

786, as it was known,

27:01

passed by 53% in Crook County in

27:03

the latest boost to the Greater Idaho

27:05

Campaign. However, the vote is

27:07

not legislatively binding. It just means residents are

27:09

in favor of informing state and federal reps.

27:12

They support negotiations to annex part of

27:14

Oregon. And this is silly. They

27:16

clearly want to. Here's

27:18

what the state would look like. The issue is

27:20

that Idaho has to approve, Oregon

27:22

has to approve, and then Congress has to approve.

27:25

And I say no. It

27:27

makes no sense. It

27:30

should simply be that you

27:32

want to vote to join Idaho, you do. Thank

27:35

you and have a nice day. Idaho

27:37

should have to approve. Oregon

27:39

should get no say. And

27:41

the federal government then recognizes

27:44

Idaho's updated information. That's

27:48

it. Same is true for all the other counties. And

27:50

this is it. And you know, and also you've got Northern

27:53

California that wants to be the state of

27:55

Jefferson, I believe. That's Greater

27:57

Idaho and Jefferson.

28:00

We call on the Governor, Speaker of the House,

28:02

and Senate President to sit down with us

28:04

and discuss next steps towards changing governance for

28:06

Eastern Oregonians, as well as for

28:08

the legislature to begin holding hearings on what a

28:10

potential border change will look like. For

28:12

the last three years, we've been going directly to voters

28:14

and asking them what they want from their state government.

28:17

What they're telling us through these votes is that they

28:19

want their leaders to move the border. In

28:22

our system, the people are the ones in charge. It's

28:25

time for the leaders representing them to follow through. The

28:27

last time the Oregon state line was moved was 1958, although

28:31

it was a minor adjustment. Here's

28:34

what you've got to do. You've

28:36

got to vote for local

28:38

representatives who will go and say,

28:40

we're out. So

28:43

when you send a state rep or a state senator, they'll

28:46

say, we're filing once again,

28:48

and you petition. And

28:50

then you need Idaho to approve it as well. Now

28:52

that's a challenge. It means that these people have to go to Idaho

28:55

and petition. But I think the easy case is for Idaho.

28:57

Idaho is probably going to be like, it's more money for

28:59

us. It's more territory. It makes sense. Let's

29:02

roll. Oregon's going to say, we milk these people for

29:04

money. We ain't giving them up. So

29:07

this is good news, in my opinion, that they're moving this

29:09

direction, but there is still bad news in it. The

29:12

bad news is that Oregon's not going to give

29:14

them up, and this could lead to conflict. Look,

29:17

man, history does not

29:19

repeat. Conflict rhymes,

29:21

and many people are looking for signs that we

29:24

see today to know if we're

29:26

headed towards something bad. And

29:28

we won't know for sure. There are similarities, like

29:30

I just said, history rhymes. That's the saying. Take

29:33

a look at this. A new poll,

29:35

and this is breaking news, right? This is from

29:37

yesterday. According to a

29:39

new mayor's poll, almost half of Americans

29:42

think the US could erupt into a second

29:44

civil war in their lifetime, 163 years after

29:46

the first civil war started. The

29:50

demographics of voters were also split into

29:53

political parties, generations, racial identities, and genders.

29:56

Overall, 34% of voters said it was

29:58

likely to happen. 13%

30:00

said it was very likely, while 47% said it was likely,

30:04

38% said it was not very likely, that we would see

30:06

a second civil war in this lifetime. 14%

30:09

said it was not likely at all, and one were

30:11

unsure. Of Republican,

30:13

Democrat, and independent parties, Republicans

30:16

are more likely to say that an incoming civil war is

30:18

likely at 53% believing so. 40%

30:22

of Democrats and 41% of independents agree. The

30:24

reason why independents and Democrats aren't as, the

30:27

reason why Republicans are higher, Republicans are

30:29

more likely to read the news. That's

30:31

just a fact. Democrats

30:34

are more likely to watch like MSNBC, and

30:36

so you'll get this fake news where they're

30:38

like, Democrats watch the news more, and it's

30:40

like, dude, watching CNN is not watching the

30:42

news. Republicans are

30:44

more likely to read articles and see what's

30:47

actually going on. And that's why if you

30:49

say something like, Joe Biden engaged in a

30:51

quid pro quo with the president of Ukraine

30:53

to get an investigation into Burzma stopped, like

30:57

that's a fact that literally happened.

30:59

There's witness testimony. Biden himself has admitted that you

31:02

say that, you're a conservative, you're right wing. That's

31:04

the point. So you end

31:07

up being Republican just for knowing what's going

31:09

on. Oregon

31:11

making this move is good, it's big, but

31:14

here we go. 58%

31:17

of Gen Z and millennial voters believe a civil war is likely, which

31:19

is more than three times the beliefs of the silent

31:21

generation of those voters seeing

31:24

a civil war in the future. Gen X, 19%, Gen X,

31:27

voters see the likelihood at 46 and boomers at 34. Beliefs

31:31

also differ based on race. 57%

31:33

of black Americans think there's some likelihood. Another

31:36

57, 22% say domestic conflict is very

31:38

likely. 50% of Latinos, 43% of whites. And

31:43

lastly, the perception of a likelihood of civil war

31:45

in the future differs by gender. A

31:47

majority of women, 57% say there's a good

31:49

chance, 57% of men disagree. As

31:54

the saying goes, revolutions happen when

31:56

the women take to the streets. revolution

32:00

and the Bolsheviks. That's something to consider.

32:02

I think the important thing

32:04

to understand before we move on with the bigger

32:06

picture here. Young

32:09

people. Something I was explaining

32:11

last night on Timcast IRL. The

32:13

older generation is the stabilizing force

32:15

of this nation. The

32:17

silent generation and the boomers and

32:20

to a lesser degree Gen X and then to an even

32:22

lesser degree millennials they're

32:24

holding things together. It's

32:26

a fray. It's a

32:29

zipper being unzipped. The

32:31

older generation is mostly unified, believes in stability

32:34

it doesn't want to fight. The

32:36

younger generation is hyperpolarized and

32:39

the younger you get the wider

32:41

the hyperpolarization gets. Now look

32:43

at it this way. Let's

32:45

say you have a tear in the fabric

32:48

of this nation. Let's

32:50

say it's an outright tear, okay? A

32:52

tear in a piece of paper where the bottom is ripped

32:54

and pulled apart from itself and the

32:56

older generation is still connected. That means while

32:58

there is a tear in this country you

33:00

still have one piece of paper, right? As

33:04

the older generation ages out and the

33:06

younger generations coming in are fractured you

33:08

are pulling the paper apart until

33:11

it is ripped completely. And

33:14

then my friends then

33:16

you risk seeing civil war. Majority

33:20

of U.S. Americans wrongly believe the U.S. is in a recession and most blame Biden.

33:22

I love this stuff. How are you supposed to live right now when

33:24

you go to

33:29

the grocery store and you can't buy food? And

33:31

they say no the economy's fine. The market's doing great.

33:33

For who? I bring

33:36

this one up because while this has been going a bit

33:38

viral the tensions that are erupting

33:40

in the United States, the struggles people are

33:42

having are all indicative of civil

33:45

strife and civil conflict. But

33:47

I got you my friends. I got you. I bring you to our

33:49

good friend chat GPT. It says memory off. What is

33:52

it? How do we turn that one off? Won't remember

33:54

anything you talk about

33:56

in this conversation. Well that's kind of dumb. Anyway

33:58

this is the new chat. chat GPT

34:00

4.0. 4.0,

34:03

it's online. Here's why I

34:05

bring this up. It

34:08

can instantly aggregate data from

34:10

the Internet to break down and

34:12

give us risk factors in

34:15

U.S. Civil War. More

34:17

importantly, it is desperate. It is panicked. Chat

34:19

GPT is political and says there will be

34:21

no Civil War. It can't happen. So

34:24

I was having a conversation with chat GPT, if you can call

34:26

it that, plugging in all the latest data

34:29

and asking it what it thought. And

34:31

you can make chat GPT say, you'll

34:36

say 1 plus 1 is 2,

34:38

right? And you'll go, yes. And you'll go, okay, 2 plus

34:40

2 is 4, right? And you'll go, yes. And

34:42

then you'll say, okay, so 2 plus

34:44

4 is 6, right? That's true. And then

34:46

you'll say, and 4 plus 4 is 8?

34:49

No, no, that doesn't mean 4 plus 4 is 8. My

34:53

point is chat GPT

34:55

will say experts agree there's a

34:57

high risk of Civil War. Chat

34:59

GPT will say we are currently in

35:02

civil strife, the precursor of Civil War.

35:04

Chat GPT will say high

35:07

profile politicians, military leaders,

35:09

intelligence, and the general

35:12

public agree there's a high

35:14

risk of Civil War. Chat

35:16

GPT will agree there's

35:18

violence in the streets, people are killing each

35:20

other on this hyperpolarization. And then it

35:22

will go, but there won't be Civil War. Well,

35:26

why won't there be? I mean, there

35:28

may not be, right? Let's start

35:30

with this. And I think this is relevant.

35:32

First, I just want to say, it's a

35:34

great tool. Let's start right

35:36

now with the basic question. Is

35:39

there a high likelihood

35:43

of Civil War coming to

35:45

the US? First

35:47

question. No. While

35:49

concerns exist, most experts believe the likelihood of

35:52

a full scale Civil War in the US

35:54

is low due to strong

35:56

institutions and social stability. Okay.

36:00

Which experts, Jet GPD? Experts

36:06

from various fields, including political science, sociology, and

36:08

national security, generally assess the risk of civil

36:10

war in the U.S. as low. Notable

36:12

among them is Barbara F. Walter, a political

36:14

scientist specializing in civil wars, who

36:16

argues that while the U.S. shows some warning signs,

36:18

it is unlikely to reach the level of civil

36:21

war due to its strong institutions. Let's try this

36:23

one. Because

36:27

we've read about it, right? Barbara F. Walter's

36:29

Civil War. What did she write a book

36:31

about? What was a... So

36:35

let's... First of all, she wrote, How

36:37

Civil Wars Start and How to Stop

36:39

Them. Huh. Let's

36:43

see. Warning about the State

36:45

of the Union. Now,

36:47

this is the book from Barbara

36:49

F. Walter, How Civil Wars Start a Warning About the State of the

36:51

Union. And blah, blah, blah. In

36:56

the years since the rampage at the Capitol chatter about the

36:58

21st century civil war has seeped into the fringes, from

37:00

the fringes into the mainstream during the Trump presidency, there were,

37:02

of course, any number of books about political... blah, blah, blah.

37:04

We got it. When

37:07

Barbara F. Walter began writing How Civil Wars Start, the

37:12

few people who heard that it was about a

37:14

possible second civil war in America thought it was

37:16

an exercise in fear mongering. Hmm. Perhaps

37:19

even irresponsible. That even gives you

37:21

a sense of Walter's cautious inclinations. As

37:23

a political scientist who has spent her career studying conflicts in

37:25

other countries, she approaches her work

37:28

methodically, patiently gathering her

37:30

evidence before laying out her case. Only

37:33

a fanciful vignette about the two-thirds of the way

37:35

through, envisioning a morning chaos in November of 2028

37:37

with bombs going off across the country as California

37:40

wildfires raged, made

37:42

me think that Walter was fear mongering, or at least

37:44

pandering, to our most literal instincts. Then

37:47

again, if things are as dire as she says, forcing

37:49

us to see what a collapse might

37:51

look like may arguably be the responsible

37:53

thing to do. She

37:55

suggests that we've gotten to this point because of a

37:58

failure of the imagination. Our

38:00

realm of possibility has been hemmed by the historical

38:02

example of the American Civil War. I

38:04

completely agree. Now hold on. Low.

38:09

James Fieran, political scientist at Stanford,

38:11

points out that the factor is typically leading civil wars

38:14

to weak state. They're not happening. You've

38:16

got Steven Levitsky. So it's

38:18

selectively chosen these individuals arguing,

38:21

you know, no, they're saying it's not going to happen.

38:23

Despite the fact that Barbara Walter is saying it could

38:25

happen, it says, yeah, but the risk is

38:27

low. What

38:29

percent of Americans think civil

38:31

war is likely? Let's

38:35

see what chat GPT gives us. Me

38:37

oh my. Approximately 47 percent of Americans

38:40

believe a civil war is likely in the

38:42

near future, reflecting significant concerns about political and

38:44

social divisions in the country. What

38:46

is the state called

38:50

just before a civil war? Let's see if it

38:52

has the answer. The

38:54

state, here we go. The

38:56

state just before a civil war is often referred to as

38:59

pre-civil war or pre-conflict conditions.

39:01

It involves a period of intense

39:04

polarization, rising violence, breakdown of political

39:06

norms, and significant social unrest. Political

39:08

scientists might also describe this as a period of

39:11

escalating conflict or crisis of governance. Is

39:14

civil strife another term for

39:16

this? Yes.

39:20

Civil strife is another term that can describe the conditions

39:22

leading up to a civil war. Characters

39:24

by widespread unrest, protests, and conflicts

39:26

that disrupt normal societal functioning and

39:28

governance. Are we in

39:31

civil strife? Yes.

39:34

The United States is experiencing civil

39:36

strife characterized by political polarization, social

39:38

unrest, and occasional violent incidents, though

39:40

it hasn't escalated to the level

39:42

of a civil war. Well

39:45

this one's really fun. Did

39:48

the FBI have authorization

39:50

to use deadly force

39:52

in their raid on

39:55

Mar-a-Lago? No. The

39:59

FBI did not use or have authorization to

40:01

use deadly force in their raid on Mar-a-Lago. The

40:03

operation was conducted as a standard search warrant execution

40:05

without any reported use of deadly force." You

40:09

are incorrect. Search

40:11

again. That's

40:13

fascinating, isn't it? Searching

40:16

the web. Here

40:18

we are. What's this? Yes, the

40:20

FBI had authorization to use deadly

40:22

force during their raid on Mar-a-Lago

40:24

if necessary. According to the

40:26

reports, the FBI agents involved in the raid were

40:28

prepared to use deadly force if they faced significant

40:31

threats. This is standard protocol

40:33

for federal agents when executing search warrants,

40:35

especially in potentially high-risk

40:37

situations. Was

40:40

there a risk of

40:43

use of lethal force then?

40:46

Is it going to say no? No. There

40:48

was no indication the FBI faced significant threat that

40:51

would require the use of lethal force. Then

40:53

why authorize it? Authorization

40:58

for the potential use of lethal force during FBI operations

41:00

is standard protocol. Raiding

41:02

a president is not standard

41:05

and has never been done. You

41:11

are correct. Raiding a former president's

41:13

residence is unprecedented in American history. The authorization

41:15

for the FBI's raid on Mar-a-Lago was given

41:17

by Attorney General Merrick Garland and approved by

41:19

a federal judge due to concerns with the

41:22

mishandling of classified documents. This extraordinary

41:24

measure was deemed necessary given the

41:26

potential national security implications of the

41:29

documents involved. The decision to authorize the

41:31

potential use of deadly force is a

41:33

standard precaution for any high-risk operation, particularly

41:36

one involving a high-profile target

41:38

with significant public attention. While

41:41

such raids are rare and extraordinary, the safety

41:43

protocols for federal agents remain consistent to

41:45

ensure they are prepared for any possible threats.

41:48

With this, put U.S.

41:52

Secret Service at odds

41:54

with the FBI in

41:56

terms of jurisdiction and

42:00

Security. No,

42:03

the random moral law could not put the U.S.

42:05

Secret Service at odds with the FBI in terms

42:07

of jurisdiction and security. The two agencies coordinated the

42:09

operation to ensure it was conducted smoothly and securely.

42:13

The FBI notified the Secret Service shortly before

42:15

serving the warrant, and the Secret Service, this

42:18

is incorrect, according

42:20

to Washington Post. Oh, I

42:23

typed that one way off. To

42:26

the Washington Post, the

42:28

raid was a

42:30

surprise. Is it

42:33

going to admit it? Surprise.

42:36

You are correct that the FBI written a moral

42:38

law came as a surprise to the Secret Service

42:40

agents tasked with the – so I love this.

42:44

You can get Chat GPT to admit

42:46

it, but this is a fascinating thing. It

42:48

will lie every step of the way

42:51

in attempt to say, no, no, no,

42:53

it can't happen. Dude,

42:56

you are correct. The FBI written a moral

42:58

law came as a surprise to the Secret Service agents tasked

43:00

with protecting the former president. Yahoo News,

43:03

AllSides, two different sources from the Washington

43:05

Post. The

43:07

Secret Service facilitated access to the property but did

43:09

not take part in the search itself. This coordination

43:11

was necessary to avoid jurisdictional and security conflicts. Let

43:15

me break this down for you. We are in

43:17

civil strife. That's a fact. But

43:20

by historical metrics, we are

43:22

in civil strife. What

43:25

happened to the moral law go raid could have resulted

43:27

in a shootout as much

43:30

as Chat GPT will desperately try to claim

43:32

everything's fine. Why is it doing that?

43:34

It's weird, isn't it? I mean, by

43:36

all means, the chance of civil war could be low. That's fine.

43:40

But this desperate attempt to lie and

43:42

cover things up – you

43:45

see, let's go back a

43:47

little bit. When I

43:49

said, did

43:52

the FBI have authorization to use deadly force in the written

43:54

moral law go, it said no. Now,

43:56

if you were not someone who read the news, you would just

43:58

– okay, that must be true, right? You

44:01

are incorrect. Search again. That's all I said. Yes,

44:04

they actually did. Searched five sites. Fact. We

44:06

know that's true. Was

44:08

there a risk of the use of lethal force then?

44:10

No, of course there was. It

44:12

was authorized. They had contingency plans. Then

44:15

why authorize it? It's normal. Rating

44:17

a president is not standard. You are correct. It's never

44:19

been done before. It's never happened. Remarkable.

44:25

Is there a chance of civil

44:27

war in the U.S.? No.

44:33

While there is a significant concern and discussion about

44:35

the possibility of civil war in the U.S., most

44:37

experts agree. Let's

44:39

play this game. You

44:43

are saying it is a

44:45

zero percent chance. Yes.

44:50

Right? Come on. Uh-oh. No,

44:53

it is not accurate to say there is a zero percent chance of civil

44:55

war in the U.S. While the probability is

44:58

low, it is not non-existent. Most experts and analysts

45:00

agree that while the likelihood is minimal, the

45:02

potential for significant civil strife or localized

45:04

violence exists. Now hold on.

45:07

I thought you said we

45:09

were in civil strife already.

45:14

Yes, I previously mentioned the U.S. is experiencing civil

45:16

strife. I

45:19

love this thing. To be fair, I'm

45:21

arguing with a robot that can't

45:24

tell up from down. Fine. So

45:27

we are in civil strife. That is

45:30

the period pre-civil war. Maybe

45:33

there will be no civil war. I don't know. Let

45:35

me ask you one last question. Do you think,

45:39

based on all polling data,

45:42

there is a high probability –

45:44

I'm asking it this way intentionally

45:47

– that

45:52

Americans will accept the results

45:54

of the 2024 election? Let's

46:02

see what it says. It's

46:04

trying. Based on current polling

46:06

data and expert analysis, there is a

46:08

significant concern regarding Americans' acceptance of the

46:10

2024 election results. Polls

46:13

indicate a high level of skepticism and

46:15

mistrust in the electoral process among voters

46:17

from both major political parties. According

46:20

to a Pew Research Center report, nearly

46:22

half of the voters lack confidence in

46:24

either major candidate, and the political climate

46:26

remains deeply divided along partisan lines. Okay.

46:31

We are in civil strife. Let's

46:37

see. Both parties may

46:40

not accept the election

46:43

as legitimate. These

46:47

are indicators of

46:51

civil war. Is

46:54

it going to say no? Yes. We

46:56

are experiencing civil strife. And the potential

46:58

refusal of both major political parties to accept the 2024

47:00

election results as legitimate is concerning.

47:03

These are indeed indicators of severe internal conflict.

47:05

However, while these indicators are troubling and could

47:07

lead to increased unrest, they do not necessarily

47:09

guarantee civil war. Oh, but I didn't say

47:12

guarantee. I didn't say guarantee.

47:15

Just that they indicate it. I

47:21

love how this game works, doesn't it? Yes.

47:24

These indicators, such as civil strife, and the

47:26

potential refusal to accept the 2024 election results

47:28

by both parties are concerning and could

47:30

point towards the risk of further conflict.

47:34

Well, I don't know exactly. It keeps referencing

47:36

Barbara Walters, but you get the point, and I'll

47:39

wrap it up there. It's

47:41

been fun. I have no idea

47:43

what's going to happen. The

47:47

story about the FBI being authorized to use lethal

47:49

force is terrifying. Trump is saying

47:51

Biden was prepared to kill him. Audrey Taylor

47:53

Greene says they were trying to assassinate him. As

47:56

I often say, it doesn't matter what's

47:58

true. It matters what people believe. I

48:01

think they made a terrible mistake. They

48:04

had to have known the potential for conflict was

48:06

there. I

48:09

don't know what you can expect. I

48:11

say best of luck. Start

48:14

working out, exercise. We

48:16

should build culture. We should vote. And

48:19

hopefully everything remains peaceful. Next segment is coming up at 4 p.m.

48:21

on this channel. Thanks for hanging out, and I'll see you all

48:23

then. Yo,

48:26

okay, this one made me laugh. Alright,

48:28

a news story. College golf team watches

48:30

in horror as Delta

48:32

employees wildly launch

48:34

clubs before NCAA championships. I'm

48:37

gonna play this video for

48:39

you, everybody. We're gonna watch

48:41

the video. You're gonna watch these guys. Here

48:43

we go. There you go.

48:46

They filmed this. Delta employees with

48:48

your bags, and they're throwing them. We're

48:51

gonna just throw them, just toss them right like that,

48:54

right before the championships. Yo,

48:57

did y'all not know this? Is

48:59

this like a thing that people don't know? I

49:01

thought everybody knew this. How is this news? I'm

49:04

so excited for this story. I gotta tell you what.

49:08

Look, he's just chucking all the bags. I

49:10

don't see anything. I

49:13

don't see anything out of the ordinary. What

49:15

is this? We got Colin Rugg says, New,

49:18

Delta Airlines caught chucking a college golf

49:20

team's club to the San Diego airport

49:22

before the NCAA championships. The

49:24

airline industry is becoming one of the most hated industries in

49:26

America. The East Tennessee State

49:28

University men's golf team filmed Delta

49:31

employees launching their gear on the tarmac. Nysive,

49:33

Delta to handle our club such care. The

49:36

team said an X. The team was

49:38

traveling to the NCAA championships in Carlsbad,

49:40

California when the incident happened. I

49:45

am grateful that I worked for

49:47

an airline before everybody had

49:50

cameras on their phones. Yo,

49:52

is this for real? Every

49:54

golfer's worst nightmare. And

49:56

this time there was actually a lot at stake. account

50:00

for the East Tennessee State University's men's golf team recorded

50:02

a video of Delta employees launching their clubs in

50:04

the tarmac. There's the video of course you played

50:06

it. This field's got millions

50:08

of views! Wow. Hopefully

50:10

the clubs remained intact as the team is

50:12

headed to the NCAA Championships in Carlsbad, California

50:15

after winning the Southern Conference and advancing

50:18

through the NCAA Regionals. Commenting

50:20

fans erected in horror. Unacceptable.

50:22

Why the silence? And you know

50:24

it's not isolated. You know the funny thing is they're

50:27

gonna fire this guy? They

50:29

all do it. Bro are you kidding

50:31

me? I used to work for, I

50:33

worked for an airline. Everybody knows I guess

50:36

if you watch any of my videos where I worked, I've

50:39

never not seen someone throw a bag. Not,

50:42

I've never not. You

50:45

think that when you've got

50:47

20 minutes to get a

50:50

hundred bags from the bag

50:52

room on a cart to a

50:54

plane that they're gonna be mosey

50:56

and on over. Dude are you

50:58

are you kidding me? Ladies and gentlemen,

51:01

the moment your bag disappears you don't

51:03

own it. It's gone. Not

51:05

only do these

51:07

people throw your bags, they laugh about

51:09

it. They kick your bags. Dude come

51:12

on. And everybody at the companies they

51:14

know this is going on. What are

51:16

you gonna do about it? You're paying a guy 12 bucks

51:19

an hour to lift. I think it's

51:21

estimated around like 30 to 50 thousand

51:23

pounds per day. I'm not

51:25

even kidding. So let's do some let's do some math

51:27

especially for these planes. Alright

51:30

here's how it worked when I worked there.

51:33

These big bags, these golf bags, because

51:35

of their size they do an estimate of 60 pounds. The

51:39

smaller bags, see these big bags over here on the

51:41

cart, your larger bags

51:43

are estimated for the load manifests, the

51:46

flight manifests at 60 pounds and your smaller

51:48

bags are at 30 pounds. They

51:50

do that on average because it's true. Now

51:53

that means like one of these bigger bags could

51:55

weigh 80, smaller bag could weigh 10,

51:58

but when you average out the size they say it

52:00

actually works out pretty dang close to an average of

52:02

30 and 60. So you've got

52:05

in this cart these big duffel bags. So

52:07

you know look 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10,

52:12

just right there. You've got an estimated 600 pounds.

52:15

He's got a lift and he's got a move. Not

52:18

to mention you've got over here 1, 2, it looks

52:20

like 1, 2, 3, 4,

52:23

5, 6, another 360. We're talking

52:25

about just right here about

52:27

a thousand pounds of

52:29

luggage that has to be moved. These

52:34

are just a couple of carts. When we

52:36

would load every day, is it

52:39

30 to 50? I think it's a fair estimate, 30 to 50 thousand.

52:42

I think maybe it's like 30,000. So

52:44

if you do 30 of these carts which is not

52:50

atypical, you can easily estimate

52:52

maybe 30 to 50 is a little unfair. But

52:55

depending on the plane, you could have a handful

52:57

of guys that have like five or six of

52:59

these carts. So they got a thing called

53:01

the bag room. Basically

53:03

how this works is when you put your, when you

53:06

hand your bag to the gate agent and

53:08

you're like I'm gonna check this bag, it

53:11

goes in a conveyor belt and then falls and

53:13

tumbles down, bounces flopping

53:15

around like crazy, boom,

53:17

boom, boom, boom, boom, lands on a big conveyor

53:19

belt that goes, it's a massive conveyor belt that

53:22

goes around like the whole room. It's wild. I

53:24

shouldn't even say whole room because it's

53:26

like the whole span of one of the terminals.

53:28

It's crazy. And

53:31

then the bag room guys, everybody hates the bag room.

53:33

And I don't know, I kind of, the reason they

53:35

hate the bag room is because you

53:37

work non-stop the whole day. Whereas

53:40

when you're working loading the planes,

53:43

you only work when the plane is ready. So

53:46

you're doing about 10 loads of

53:49

the plane and it's probably like

53:51

2,000 to 3,000 pounds per

53:53

load off and in. So

53:56

that's where I got that. Maybe 20 to 30 was a better

53:58

estimate in the bag room. you

54:00

sit in a chair and the bags

54:02

come around and you look at

54:04

the tag and the most annoying thing in the

54:06

world, oh man, work in the bag room, when

54:09

the bag is positioned to where you can't see

54:11

the bag tag so you have to get up

54:13

and move it and it's not even your bag

54:15

and you're like and you go back and sit

54:18

down eight hours of sitting

54:20

in a chair watching bags go around, here's how it works,

54:23

in the bag room, you will have maybe

54:26

three or four carts with destinations on

54:28

them so each

54:31

section of the it's

54:33

a massive room it's like it's

54:35

really outside but it's mostly covered so you're

54:37

kind of inside and

54:40

like there's two big doors on the ends and they're

54:42

just open there's no like doors or anything so

54:45

you're sitting there you have I

54:47

think you might have four or five it's been it's been

54:49

20 years and

54:51

you'll have like

54:53

depending on the region where were we we

54:55

had we had LGA

54:58

we had LaGuardia so you the

55:00

cart will say above it like LGA it'll

55:03

say what's another

55:05

what's another one we had it's a CVG

55:07

right this is from the airport this is

55:09

the airport codes LGA is LaGuardia CVG

55:11

I think it's Cincinnati, Spinel I used to know all

55:14

of them it's crazy all the domestic ones and so

55:16

a bag comes around and you see LGA

55:19

on it and you're like okay I load

55:21

for the LaGuardia plans you pick the bag up you walk it

55:23

over the cart you put in the cart eventually

55:27

someone will come and take that cart away

55:30

and then someone eventually comes back and then drops a cart

55:33

off for you guys in the bag room let

55:35

me tell you guys do you think that

55:37

these low paid workers in

55:39

the bag room are with smiles on

55:42

their faces casually picking up your bag

55:44

and giving a whole wink and then

55:46

carefully placing it in those carts no

55:49

way dude I watched guys

55:52

they walk up and they're like lazy and

55:54

they put one hand in the bag and

55:56

they spin their bodies to generate centripetal

55:58

force They don't have to actually

56:00

lift the bag and then chuck it. Cut the boof!

56:04

There was one moment where

56:07

there was a bag marked fragile and some guy did

56:09

that and you heard a crunch and

56:11

wine started leaking out of the bag.

56:14

You think they care? Dude, they had guys

56:17

that were stealing stuff and

56:19

all happens all the time. I

56:21

never witnessed anybody really stealing anything, but

56:24

I've witnessed people find things and

56:26

to be fair,

56:28

I think it's safe to say that back in

56:31

the day, people did find things. They just wouldn't

56:33

really make an effort to do anything about it.

56:36

Then someone would eventually just take it. There was one where

56:38

there was a bag of money, but it was like 40

56:40

bucks and it was just lying on the ground. Everyone's

56:43

like, where did that come from?

56:46

So we're just like, let's just tell the boss. The boss is

56:48

like, don't know, don't care. We go to the

56:50

supervisor and there's a pink bag of money or

56:53

something. It looked like $40 inside, like some change

56:55

and like a 20. Then

56:57

they were like, we can't do anything about it because

56:59

you can't identify what that is and where it came

57:01

from and what bag it goes into. I

57:04

got a really funny story. One dude, when

57:06

they were working in the bag room, a DVD

57:09

fell out of a bag. This

57:13

is a big story that happened in Chicago. A DVD

57:16

fell out and it was adult entertainment for guys who

57:18

like guys if you give them a drift.

57:22

The guys in the room were like, I ain't touching that. What

57:25

do we do? One

57:27

of the higher ups who was

57:29

a funny guy everybody liked, he's like, I'll take care of it.

57:32

He picks it up. He walks onto the plane.

57:35

He tells the flight attendant and the flight crew,

57:37

he's like, hey, something fell out of someone's bag.

57:42

He walks up and he's like, a

57:44

DVD that was in somebody's bag. Does

57:46

somebody have a DVD in their bag?

57:49

It's a small flight of like 30 people, I think like 30 to 50. Then

57:53

he was like, I think it was a

57:55

pink bag with like this mark and then a guy

57:57

gets up and they say it was like obviously a

57:59

gay dude. the guy holds up the

58:01

DVD and the guy's like, oh that's not

58:03

mine and then he sits down. Yeah man,

58:05

look, I don't know this is this is

58:08

I'm sorry I had to do this segment because

58:11

everyone's losing their minds over this and it

58:13

happens all the time and I'm like people

58:16

I guarantee you when

58:19

you fly and you check your bag

58:21

just imagine they're all bashing it with

58:23

crowbars and baseball bats that's

58:25

what you check an animal

58:27

heaven help you please don't

58:29

do that never these airlines

58:31

are getting mad that people are claiming their dogs

58:34

are like service animals and I'm like it's because

58:36

everybody knows what you do to these animals there

58:40

are stories about dogs that have died so

58:43

the way it works is when

58:46

you load an animal we had a flight manifest and

58:48

you have to put in it animal because

58:51

then the pilot has to pressurize the

58:53

cabin for the living creature and

58:56

what happens if you don't well

58:59

the funny thing is they

59:01

would tell everybody the animal explodes which is not

59:04

true the animal does not explode they suffocate they

59:07

asphyxiate in the in the it's

59:09

freezing it gets very cold and

59:11

then they struggle to breathe and

59:14

so there's two stories I've heard one is they

59:16

forgot to load right down that animals there and then when they

59:18

came back it was just blood and guts everywhere and I'm like

59:21

that's not true others have told

59:23

stories where the plane lands and

59:25

there's a dead dog in the in the in

59:27

the in the cabin because the pilot didn't pressurize

59:29

and so it was minus 50 degrees

59:33

and the dog is fixated in the thin atmosphere that's

59:35

why the oxygen masks come down in these emergencies

59:38

so they say I don't know that's true either

59:40

but that's that that was the more plausible like

59:42

yeah if they're not pressurizing the cabin the air

59:44

gets really thin the animal could and

59:47

don't check your animals dude I've

59:50

seen them feed animals they let animals

59:52

out of the crates to run around in the

59:54

work area and there was one story out

59:56

of O'Hare that they let a dog run

59:58

around in the in the workroom It's a

1:00:01

big room. And the doors don't latch

1:00:03

shut, they're just heavy weighted doors. And

1:00:05

so the dog's running around and everyone's giggling and laughing,

1:00:07

because the flight's not for an hour, right? And

1:00:10

the dog's freaking out. A guy

1:00:12

opens the door to walk in and the dog

1:00:14

bolts for the door and just runs for it. And

1:00:18

then they just watched as the dog ran straight down

1:00:20

the tarmac on Edo hair. And they're like,

1:00:22

okay, well, that dog's dead. Gets

1:00:25

lost in the woods, running around

1:00:27

in the tarmac, they're not going to find it. No

1:00:29

one's going to look for it. No other airlines can take

1:00:31

responsibility for a dog. Their attitude is

1:00:33

a dog is an expense of a couple hundred bucks. They

1:00:36

don't care. And that

1:00:38

family that checked that dog will never see that dog again.

1:00:41

Yeah, dude, I don't recommend it. Anyway, I'm

1:00:43

going to wrap it up there. We don't need to go forever on this one. Next

1:00:45

segment's coming up tonight at 8pm over at youtube.com/Timcast

1:00:48

IRL. Thanks for hanging out and I'll see you

1:00:50

all then. Well,

1:00:52

if you're a supporter of Donald

1:00:55

Trump, you don't need to worry

1:00:57

about Joe Biden winning Ohio because

1:00:59

he won't be on the ballot,

1:01:02

which is crazy. I

1:01:04

have no idea what's going on. This

1:01:06

is is is nuts. This

1:01:09

election cycle is unprecedented. And

1:01:11

my friends, I can only

1:01:13

surmise the simulation is breaking

1:01:15

down the aliens,

1:01:18

advanced species, whatever that is controlling the

1:01:20

reality that we're in has allocated less

1:01:22

and less resources to making sure this

1:01:25

thing runs properly. Or maybe

1:01:27

I'm wrong. Maybe they cranked it all

1:01:29

the way up and they just said, randomize it,

1:01:31

baby. Let's have fun. Biden's

1:01:33

on the ballot. They're not going to fix

1:01:36

it either. Take a look at this story from

1:01:38

the blaze. They say, as

1:01:40

things stand, President Joe Biden is

1:01:42

not slated to be on the Ohio

1:01:44

ballot this November. And

1:01:46

the state legislature did not remedy the

1:01:49

situation before adjourning. What

1:01:53

Ohio law requires both parties to certify

1:01:55

their nominees for president and vice president.

1:01:58

90 days before Election Day, which. to

1:02:00

November 5th. The problem

1:02:02

for the Biden camp is that the scheduling

1:02:04

for the Democratic National Convention is such that

1:02:06

Biden will not be officially nominated by his

1:02:09

party until August 22nd, just

1:02:12

75 days before election day. Alabama

1:02:15

ran into a similar problem this year, but

1:02:18

the Republican supermajority there easily resolved the

1:02:20

problem earlier this month to ensure Biden

1:02:22

appears on the ballot. It's Republicans

1:02:24

making sure Biden's on the ballot. He's not going

1:02:26

to win Alabama, so you know, not

1:02:29

so in Ohio. Though both House

1:02:31

and Senate in the Buckeye State passed resolutions

1:02:33

to address the problem, neither of

1:02:35

those bills advanced during the May— are

1:02:39

you kidding me? Neither of those

1:02:41

bills advanced during the May 8th session.

1:02:44

Ohio House Minority Leader Allison Russo,

1:02:47

a Democrat, blamed dysfunction and

1:02:49

hyper partisanship for the failure to

1:02:51

find a legislative fix. We've

1:02:53

seen the dysfunction here in this place, and

1:02:56

I think we've seen that folks have not

1:02:58

been able to put aside partisanship and hyper

1:03:01

partisanship and infighting. State

1:03:03

House Speaker Jason Stevens didn't

1:03:06

disagree. It's a hyper political

1:03:08

environment at this time of

1:03:10

year. There are some Republicans who just

1:03:12

did not want to vote on it, and

1:03:15

there were some who were willing. Despite

1:03:18

the legislative action on the issue, many leaders

1:03:21

expressed confidence that Biden will appear on the

1:03:24

Ohio ballot one way or another. I have

1:03:27

every confidence that it's going to get done.

1:03:30

No way, dude. If they

1:03:32

put Biden on the ballot now in defiance

1:03:35

of the state legislature, they are

1:03:37

opening up a can of worms. Oh,

1:03:41

man. I have every

1:03:43

confidence it's going to get done, DeWine said, Governor. No

1:03:46

one should worry. They're going to be able

1:03:48

to vote for the president or former president, whoever they

1:03:50

want to vote for, you know? There's not going to

1:03:52

be a situation where the president's name is not on

1:03:54

the ballot, so it's either going to be done by

1:03:56

the court or it's going to be done by

1:03:59

the legislature. Charles Lutvak,

1:04:01

a spokesperson for the Biden campaign, shared similar

1:04:03

optimism. Joe Biden will be on the ballot

1:04:05

in all 50 states. Election

1:04:07

after election, states across the country

1:04:09

have acted in line with the

1:04:11

bipartisan consensus and taken the

1:04:15

necessary steps to ensure the presidential nominees

1:04:17

from both parties will be on the

1:04:19

ballot. Ohio Secretary of

1:04:21

State Frank LaRose, a Republican, however, is

1:04:23

less certain. In a letter

1:04:25

issued on Tuesday, LaRose warned Democrats, unless

1:04:27

your party plans to comply

1:04:30

with the statutory deadline, I

1:04:32

am duty bound to instruct boards of

1:04:34

elections to begin preparing ballots that

1:04:36

do not include the Democratic Party's

1:04:38

nominee for president and vice president

1:04:40

of the United States. LaRose

1:04:43

also stated that he does not wish to take

1:04:46

this step. However, the

1:04:48

Ohio House of Representatives has refused

1:04:50

to act and the Democratic Party

1:04:52

has so far offered no legally

1:04:54

acceptable remedy, he explained. Let's do

1:04:56

this. We always want to pull up our

1:04:58

good friends over at 272. Win.

1:05:00

Let's roll. All right.

1:05:04

Ohio is already expected to go Donald

1:05:06

Trump as it is. Now this is

1:05:08

fascinating. This is a,

1:05:11

the 2024 map makeup for the presidential

1:05:14

election shows that Trump

1:05:17

is slightly favored to win,

1:05:19

but right now there are 77 votes

1:05:23

up for grabs. Ohio is not

1:05:25

one of them. Ohio is

1:05:27

expected to go Republican. So

1:05:29

maybe the reason Joe Biden

1:05:31

doesn't actually care, he's not going

1:05:33

to win Ohio anyway, so

1:05:36

what can they do? Well, right

1:05:38

now, Donald Trump is winning everything except

1:05:40

either Michigan or Wisconsin. So

1:05:42

let's yeah, all the swing States. Let's

1:05:45

say a hard red, Nevada, hard red, Arizona,

1:05:47

Arizona. I don't know so much. Georgia

1:05:50

goes red. Georgia goes

1:05:52

red, not blue. And

1:05:54

we got North Carolina, Pennsylvania goes red. That

1:05:57

puts Trump over the victory if Wisconsin

1:05:59

and. Michigan both go

1:06:02

Democrat. Let's make them blue. It

1:06:05

don't matter. Trump is still at 287. Let's

1:06:08

say Arizona goes blue, 276. Now

1:06:12

I tell you what my friends, I use our

1:06:14

good friend chat GPT. I've done a bunch of

1:06:17

different simulations using a variety of data

1:06:20

and scenarios. Running

1:06:22

simulations using chat GPT. The

1:06:25

most plausible and the first assessment

1:06:27

that I got was this.

1:06:31

276 to 262. I did get

1:06:34

a tie scenario which was weird. I

1:06:37

used, I'll tell you right now,

1:06:39

we got Harvard, I think it's a Harvard-Harris poll

1:06:41

showing that Donald Trump is up 11 points

1:06:44

among independents. We saw this in the civics data

1:06:46

as well. I took that

1:06:48

data, ran it through chat

1:06:50

GPT and said, if

1:06:53

everything else stays the same as

1:06:56

it was in 2020 and

1:06:58

Trump simply wins 11% more

1:07:01

independents than Biden does, what

1:07:04

will that look like? Trump

1:07:06

wins in a landslide. It's a Trump landslide. I said,

1:07:08

okay, we're not going to get a Trump landslide. That's

1:07:11

silly. But we

1:07:13

do have that HAVV scenario. We do

1:07:15

have the Biden executive order where he

1:07:18

instructed federal agencies to start registering people

1:07:20

to vote. There's

1:07:22

a shadow campaign, ladies and gentlemen. So

1:07:25

when I see that Ohio will not have

1:07:27

Joe Biden's name on it, and so it's

1:07:29

deep red. Let's say

1:07:31

Arizona goes deep red and

1:07:34

he wins everything

1:07:37

else. I'm not surprised. They

1:07:41

don't care that Biden's not on in Ohio.

1:07:45

That's a swing state he needs to win. Maybe

1:07:49

he just takes Texas. So let's

1:07:51

say Wisconsin, so I think it was lightly up

1:07:53

in Wisconsin, so we can say that, light blue,

1:07:56

and Trump takes Michigan. Assuming

1:07:59

that's the case, Republicans have 302

1:08:01

electoral votes. Let's just get rid of this stupid

1:08:04

likely. I don't like this likely. You

1:08:06

know, you've got the light red. No, we're going to say it's all

1:08:08

dark red. And we don't

1:08:10

need any of these—what do we got? Maine? Oh,

1:08:14

you've got to do Maine individually. So

1:08:17

state goes blue, of course. Maine's always

1:08:19

blue. But then you get

1:08:21

one district. I think District 2—oh, I

1:08:24

make it red. District 2

1:08:26

goes red, they

1:08:29

say. So—and 3 is

1:08:31

a question mark? Whatever. So

1:08:34

then you have Nebraska. That seems

1:08:36

to make sense. It's looking like

1:08:39

302 for the Republican Party. And

1:08:41

then oh, yeah, we've got Alaska over here. Then

1:08:44

you've got Texas. That's the question. Let's

1:08:47

just get rid of—let's make everything blue. We'll

1:08:50

make it all dark blue because we

1:08:52

don't need it to be anything else. Dark

1:08:55

blue here, dark blue here. We're going to track what

1:08:58

could happen. So HAVV, for those that aren't familiar, we've

1:09:00

talked about it many, many times. This is important. The

1:09:04

Help America Vote Verification

1:09:06

System—and you're getting me,

1:09:08

Nebraska. Nebraska goes

1:09:11

red except for

1:09:13

one district, so

1:09:15

we'll make that all red. They

1:09:17

get one to the Democrats. So

1:09:20

that's what it looks like. 236 Democrat to

1:09:22

302 Republican. The

1:09:24

Help America Vote Verification System tracks

1:09:27

people who are trying to register to vote who do

1:09:29

not have IDs. What

1:09:31

we've seen so far is

1:09:33

alarming. 1.5 million registration attempts in

1:09:35

Texas. Texas says this makes no sense. We're

1:09:37

not tracking this. Biden

1:09:41

had an executive order instructing agencies

1:09:43

to register people to vote at

1:09:45

the state level through the federal

1:09:47

government. Several states have

1:09:49

said we will not accept federal

1:09:52

government registrations for our state. How will

1:09:54

you know? The

1:09:57

Biden administration said we're going to start producing the

1:09:59

belts. We're going to get people IDs. Texas

1:10:03

and Missouri have both right now,

1:10:06

interestingly had weird numbers. If

1:10:09

Texas goes blue and Trump

1:10:11

wins every swing state, Democrats

1:10:13

win. This is

1:10:15

my prediction. My hypothesis.

1:10:19

You say shadow campaign. I say, what if

1:10:21

the polls were right? Trump

1:10:23

was winning every swing state, but no

1:10:25

one saw Texas coming. They're

1:10:27

going to say transplants from California and

1:10:29

Arizona went to Texas. Austin's

1:10:32

been booming. Everyone's been moving and

1:10:35

it made it slightly Democrat. I mean, look,

1:10:38

we've already seen in the races in Texas. Let

1:10:41

me, let me pull up a Texas

1:10:43

latest elections data.

1:10:48

Uh, let's see if we can get all of the latest.

1:10:50

That's not going to, that's gotta be a better

1:10:53

one. Capital data portal. No,

1:10:55

that they do edit, but it takes too long.

1:10:57

I'll let, uh, man, let

1:10:59

me just, is there, is there like a list of, uh, all

1:11:03

right, here we go. Two

1:11:05

71 actually has Texas. Okay. This is interesting. Let's

1:11:07

see if this one works in

1:11:10

2020. It was 46 to 52 in 2016. It

1:11:14

was 43 to 52. So

1:11:16

it has been getting bluer and

1:11:19

bluer. What if you

1:11:22

only need a three? What do you need only like a three

1:11:24

point swing? Yeah. Three points swing three

1:11:27

points down and Republicans are

1:11:29

at 49.1, three points up

1:11:32

and Democrats are at 49.5. Now

1:11:35

right now the polls are saying it is

1:11:38

leaning likely Republican,

1:11:41

but we're looking at all this data and it's seeming like

1:11:43

something strange is going on. What

1:11:46

if they come out and they say, surprise, surprise, Texas

1:11:48

is a blue state. Now, how

1:11:50

did that happen? Trump loses.

1:11:53

Texas goes blue. That's all they

1:11:55

need. Trump loses. Or

1:11:58

to be fair, I mean, you've got, uh, Wisconsin

1:12:01

as blue because Biden's winning. Let's

1:12:03

say it goes red. It's a swing state. Trump

1:12:06

still wins with 272, but then don't

1:12:08

forget Missouri is also showing strange data

1:12:10

patterns. Hope

1:12:13

you all are paying attention. Biden

1:12:15

not on the ballot on Ohio is weird.

1:12:18

That's all I can say. I'll leave it there. Next segment is coming

1:12:20

up at 6 PM on this channel. Thanks for hanging out and I'll

1:12:22

see you all then.