Episode Transcript
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0:03
From the King of Sports Books comes
0:07
the Key Sports podcast Unwashed,
0:14
presented by the MGM.
0:17
Here's your host, Jerry Ferrara
0:19
and Olivia Harlan Decker. Super
0:27
Bowl seven is set
0:29
my Kansas City Chiefs first, the Philadelphia
0:32
Eagles Andy Reid Bowl Sunday, February
0:34
twelve, Glendale, Arizona, and we have two
0:36
episodes before kickoff, this one
0:39
and the next one. We will be on site
0:42
in person together. Jerry,
0:44
pack your sunscreen. Are you ready? I am
0:47
ready. I can't believe we're actually going to be, as the kids
0:49
say, I r L in real life
0:51
doing this show, because I don't know. We've done
0:53
twentysomething episodes and uh,
0:56
I'm enjoying it on zoom. But it's gonna be really
0:58
nice to actually be able to look each other
1:00
in the eyes and have a debate or something in
1:02
person. I can't wait. It'll be really nice
1:05
to not like do the everyone
1:07
does on zoom where you accidentally cut someone off over
1:09
and over and go, oh sorry, sorry, it's
1:11
like that never happened? Done that? How many
1:13
times? I mean we've gotten pretty good though, like
1:15
our flow has gotten really good over
1:18
time, but yeah, probably
1:20
two dozen times at least where we say
1:22
the same thing at the same time and someone's delayed.
1:25
Yeah, luckily our editors make it look smoother
1:27
than it usually is. But hey,
1:29
this is, i mean, such a good game. It's
1:31
kind of annoying that there's two weeks to
1:34
Super Bowl because these storylines just get
1:36
hammered. Obviously, we have the First
1:39
Brothers playing against each other. It
1:41
reminded me the First Brothers coaching against
1:43
each other. The Horrible was I think
1:45
almost a bigger story. Um with the first
1:47
black starting quarterbacks, that's huge.
1:50
Andy Reid going against his former team.
1:52
So many storylines to sink our teeth into.
1:54
But Jerry, something very important. What
1:57
about barbecue versus
1:59
cheese steaks. That's a great
2:01
question, you would think me. I've
2:03
not ever been to Kansas City. I'm
2:05
hoping next game, that your next
2:07
playoff game that you're reporting on
2:09
on the sidelines, I could maybe meet you and Sam
2:12
out there and catch a game. My personal
2:14
opinion, you would think it would be Philly because I'm kind of
2:16
close to Philly with New York and all that. But no,
2:18
give me barbecue all day, oh
2:21
day. It's not even cheese steaks.
2:23
Great fine, like good barbecue
2:26
the best I know. I do love a cheese
2:28
steak, but barbecue is more variety, so
2:30
I think food wise, barbecue
2:32
wins that one. Okay, well, you can obviously get
2:34
all the fluff elsewhere. On this show,
2:37
we're bringing you expert advice and
2:39
analysis on betting the Big Game.
2:41
We've got Brad Evans, the host of Live
2:43
on the Line and the ep of gaming content
2:46
at Balley Sports. He's been on before.
2:48
He's joining us to talk props, parlay's,
2:50
and all things betting surrounding the
2:52
Big Game. Look, already, we've had some line
2:54
movement right now, it's the Eagles minus to Jerry
2:57
first impression. My first impression
2:59
is I gotta go at the Eagles here,
3:02
only because I still Mahomes
3:04
play the phenomenal game. And we'll get into the actual
3:06
breakdown, but my first instinct is
3:08
to go the Eagles. They actually I picked
3:10
Eagles Bengals to make the Super Bowl, so I was off,
3:13
and I also screwed up. You know,
3:15
I've hitting these ten point parlay's all
3:17
year long, great record. I did a little
3:20
seven point parlay and I just thought they'd
3:22
both be close games. So I
3:24
basically knocked the Bengals down, and
3:26
I knocked the Niners up thinking
3:29
would be a close game, and the
3:31
Eagles totally, you know, with that blowout just
3:33
crushed my teaser. So I'm
3:35
still leaning Eagles, although you'd be you really
3:37
be a fool to bet against Mahomes. But my initial
3:40
thoughts are Eagles, and do you like it as
3:42
long as it stays under a field goal? I
3:44
love it. I do think it's gonna be a close game.
3:47
I actually have some initial bets. It'll
3:49
be fun to see where Brad Evans and
3:51
Pete, you and me, where we all are and
3:53
our thoughts and picks now, because I just think
3:55
it will change so much once
3:57
we are live at the sports book in
4:00
Phoenix doing this in person. I think
4:02
it's gonna we have the we're reserving
4:04
the right to change our picks in the coming
4:06
week, and
4:10
the Chiefs have so many injuries. We gotta dig into
4:12
that as well. But you mentioned Peter Andrews joining
4:14
us, so that'll be our next betting segments.
4:16
So this whole show, we are really getting into
4:19
the groundwork again two weeks out. But
4:21
next week in person is when
4:24
you can finally hold our feet to the fire and hold
4:26
us to what we say, but right now, it's just fun, Jerry,
4:28
do you want to close some things out in these conference championships?
4:31
We we touched on it a bit, but there's a lot to get
4:33
to. Yeah. I just feel like, uh
4:35
and and congrats to the Chiefs
4:38
in you your second team made it,
4:40
so you know it's gonna be a fun sue role
4:42
for you. I tried not to let the refs kind
4:44
of overshadow the games.
4:46
The Philly Niners game was just a complete bummer.
4:49
It just was a complete bummer. The injury, it just
4:52
and it's no one's fault. I mean, you actually got to give credit
4:54
to the Eagles. They forced that fumble, they
4:56
forced that injury. It was all clean
4:58
and well played. So got that goes
5:01
down with the defense. And I still
5:03
say, just I have not seen two
5:05
lines dominate the way
5:07
the Eagles offensive and defensive lines dominate
5:10
a game. And they've been doing it all year. They
5:12
had a little slide when Hurts was out, So that's
5:15
why I'm still leaning Eagles, because to me, that's
5:17
the thing that stands out most as great as Mahomes
5:19
and Borrow were, and Hurts was
5:21
the thing that jumped off the screen to
5:23
meet the entire weekend is how great
5:26
both Eagles lines are. And
5:29
uh, I think that would hold up in any era,
5:31
both these lines. So that's the thing that jumped off the TV
5:34
to me all weekend. Well, let's stick with that
5:36
game. Obviously we're not having this conversation.
5:38
I think if Fred Warner stayed healthy and if brock
5:40
Purty stayed healthy. So on the forty Niners
5:43
six offensive snap, Hassan
5:45
Reddick strip sacks brock Purty injuring
5:47
his elbow. We now know it's a u c L. He's gonna
5:49
have surgery, and the forty Niners
5:51
had to turn to their fourth string quarterback
5:54
backup Josh Johnson. Although my first
5:56
thought, because I've covered Christian McCaffrey
5:59
in college and a long time, I'm I'm like, Christian
6:01
McCaffrey has played quarterback, he can
6:03
do it, And wouldn't that have been And
6:05
I know he lined up there, I think for a couple of plays, But
6:07
would that not have been such
6:10
an amazing story? This mid season acquisition,
6:13
this kind of you know, once very
6:15
heralded, now kind of catching his stride
6:17
on his childhood favorite team and team
6:20
his dad played on. And if he
6:22
were to save the day, and like, really,
6:24
ball out at quarterback? Would that not have been the best
6:26
story? Look, he almost did his run,
6:29
his tackle breaking run to make it seven
6:31
seven to tie the game before the I
6:33
think it was before the injury. Maybe it wasn't. I'm not even
6:35
sure at this point, but yeah,
6:37
he definitely he was ready to play. And we
6:40
need McCaffrey on this stage to truly
6:43
see how great he is. And I do think he showed
6:45
up. But I mean, all due respect, I
6:47
don't think you want him throwing
6:50
the ball against the Eagles defense.
6:52
And even if you do line them up back there, you know it's going
6:54
to be a wildcat run. They'll put eleven
6:56
in the box. It wouldn't have
6:58
been pretty. So I just think at the minute parody
7:00
went down, there's Josh Johnson.
7:03
I think Josh john maybe kept a little
7:05
closer. I just think the game was over a
7:07
minute party went down, game was over. Also
7:09
weird early in the game, the punt hitting
7:12
that skycam line punt
7:14
hitting the skycam. I know a lot of people yesterday
7:17
and today are talking about challenging the Vanta
7:19
Smith catch, and I you know, I heard Shanahan
7:22
talk about it in depth, and he didn't get a good look
7:24
at the replay because it just showed one and it was in
7:26
conclusive. I mean so many things. I
7:29
still again all valid points,
7:32
I don't think, and I just think that the Eagles
7:34
are the best team in football and
7:36
and I think it's going to take a herculean effort
7:39
from Mahomes and the Chiefs to
7:42
actually stay with them. After that
7:44
Davante Smith catch, I was getting on a
7:46
plane, I was flying and I missed it,
7:48
and Peter Andrew texted me like, this is the worst
7:50
first quarter of football I've ever seen,
7:53
and you as a big forty Niners fan, And I said,
7:56
I said, why, what's happening? He said,
7:58
the Eagles just scored on an incomplete pass
8:01
And I go, how do you do that? I
8:03
took him pretty literally on that, and he's
8:05
like, yeah, well, Also, I want
8:07
to give a shout out to my sister in law. I'm
8:10
over here in Ohio where bet MGM is now
8:12
prominent. She hit both first
8:15
touchdown of the game. Really
8:18
yeah, she had Miles Sanders and Travis
8:20
Kelsey first touchdown.
8:23
So if she and like, I'm
8:25
a big believer in people getting hot
8:27
from all over you never know who it's going to be.
8:29
Could be Brad Evans, it could be my sister in law.
8:32
I don't think for one second I'm not riding
8:34
her pick. And maybe I'll give that pick out next
8:37
Tuesday on first touchdown score of
8:39
the Super Bowl because on a weekend for her,
8:41
not for me, unfortunately. Okay, Then
8:43
getting to the second half, Josh Johnson suffers
8:46
a concussion take taken out of the game.
8:48
Reddick had three tackles, two sacks,
8:50
a quarterback hit, a tackle for loss of force,
8:52
fumble, and a recovered fumble
8:55
and got a quarterback out of the game. So I
8:57
think, I think you've got to love him. Eagles
9:00
defense, don't think for one second
9:03
because I've been a big Hassan Reddick fan
9:05
all year. He has been the most terrifying
9:08
edge rusher that I've seen this year because of
9:10
all the you know, Giants played him three times. Obviously,
9:12
Boss is unbelievable. Reddick is I
9:15
just number seven is everywhere. I
9:17
am a hundred percent betting some
9:19
money on him plus three thousand
9:22
for Super Bowl m v P. I know we don't get a lot
9:24
of defensive Super Bowl MVPs.
9:26
I don't know was the last one. Was
9:28
it a cowboy or a raider? I don't even
9:30
remember the last defensive Super
9:32
Bowl MVP. It has happened, just not in a while. I'm
9:35
betting Hassan Reddick because
9:37
that could be a close game. I think Reddick, and with my home
9:39
is not really mobile, he could have
9:41
three or four sacks, a fumble, recovery, a pick.
9:44
I am betting Hassan Reddick super Bowl m
9:46
v P, not a big amount, A nice A
9:48
nice sprinkle. What's a nice sprinkle?
9:52
Ever? Really talk about what
9:55
your unit is. I don't know what my unit
9:57
is. Wants to have it the side
10:00
it? Yeah, because I'm gonna I'm gonna go through
10:02
all the picks and stuff like that. I just know
10:05
that is something that's on my board. I don't know if
10:07
it's going to be hunter Bucks ten bucks.
10:10
It's going to be something,
10:12
aren't I nosy? No? No,
10:15
I like it look off the air. I'm gonna be like, I'm only betting
10:17
it for two dollars to sound
10:19
like a soft but no, I'm definitely
10:21
gonna take some. I'm too bad at math. I
10:23
will only bet a hundred bucks because the math
10:25
is easy, right, hunter Bucks
10:27
wins you three dollars Reddick
10:30
Super Bowl m v P. Oh Man, I
10:32
disagree that. Look I like Patrick Mahomess
10:35
m v P based on the momentum we
10:37
saw from last weekend, like the crowd chanting
10:39
m v P. He's putting up a herculean
10:41
performance. The way he won the game,
10:44
the way he took that late hit and got him
10:46
in field goal range. I mean, like, he's
10:49
such a dude, and there's
10:51
no way he's not winning m v
10:53
P. And then if the Eagles win, I
10:56
don't know, I don't know what I mean, Like it
10:58
could be heard, it could be I could tell at least
11:00
see like a mile Sanders touchdown
11:02
and uh a gain Well touchdown,
11:05
and it's sort of like not enough offensively
11:08
to declare you were clearly
11:10
the m v P of this win. If
11:12
they do win offensively, That's why
11:14
I just really love Reddit because
11:17
he could be absolutely dominant
11:19
on the devaside. And also everyone's talked about
11:22
deal side, late hit and all
11:24
that, and he played an incredible game. And shoutouts
11:26
to b J Hill for sticking by him in the postgame
11:29
presser, and shoutouts to a
11:31
side for just sitting up there and taking all the questions
11:33
like he you know, after emotions
11:37
that I probably don't think I've ever felt outside
11:39
of my kids being born, and we're you
11:41
know, he's he went through it. So but what I will
11:43
say is, Mahomes
11:45
made that play happen. So you could
11:47
say it was oh, that that play, cause Mahomes
11:49
had the first down. I know they only had eight
11:52
seconds left, no time out, so who knows what would
11:54
have happened that being said with
11:56
with a busted ankle, he turned the corners
11:59
and all to that, and and my body and I were talking
12:01
about it playing hoops this morning. We played in our little
12:03
pickup game. We both had high ankle sprains.
12:06
I feel like the running, yes it hurts, but
12:08
the stopping I think, and you if you really
12:10
watched Mahomes, he was fine once he got
12:13
like his wheels going, but trying to
12:15
come to a stop with a busted high
12:17
ankle sprain is so
12:19
so painful. So Mahomes made that play
12:21
happen. He got an edge with one leg
12:24
and got out of bounds. So you
12:26
know, But also I play the hell of a game. He's an incredible
12:28
player and people need to back the heck
12:30
off. And I like
12:32
that his teammates are now being more
12:34
vocal about that. Well, everything you just
12:37
mentioned about Mahomes is why I think he'll
12:39
be m v P. But Jalen hurts, as
12:41
you mentioned, if the Eagles win, obviously depending what
12:43
kind of game he has. But he didn't
12:45
have to do too much because the Eagles,
12:47
as you have mentioned top to bottom,
12:49
are so talented and they can score in so many ways.
12:52
They can get stops in so many ways. But he was
12:54
fifteen one
12:56
yards, ran for thirty nine yards and
12:58
a touchdown on eleven carries. He is great
13:00
on his feet. But look, fans thought Mike
13:02
Shanahan should have done more, including
13:04
go to the Wildcat with McCaffrey like we talked
13:07
about. Um, I guess
13:09
I can't. I love you, said Mike Shanahan.
13:11
You mean Kyle his dad. Mike his dad might
13:13
have went to the Wildcat. Mike might have gone
13:15
to the Wildcat. Kyle Shanahan. Yeah,
13:20
I feel like I can't quite like
13:22
give the Eagles their flowers because
13:24
of what they had to beat. You
13:27
know, I know it's not their fault, but I
13:29
can't just like stand in rally for the Eagles
13:31
quite yet because of the
13:35
how they walked in now to the Super They have not been
13:37
tested in a very very
13:39
long time. You could argue that, you
13:41
know, and even that Giants the last
13:44
game of the regular season, which the Giants didn't need and
13:46
played all their second stringers, and the
13:48
Eagles are clearly not going to show anything. They
13:50
would try to win that game to
13:52
secure the one seed without getting it hurt. They
13:54
didn't show anything, and a lot of people tried to panic.
13:57
All the Eagles didn't look good versus the second
13:59
unit of the aience that Syriani's
14:01
played this thing perfectly. They're
14:03
pretty healthy, you know, Lane
14:06
Lane Johnson not so much, and
14:08
I know, you know hurts everyone's banged up,
14:10
but for relative like health for
14:12
a team at this point in the season, they're
14:14
relatively healthy, which is all you needed.
14:17
So but yeah, they haven't been tested in weeks
14:19
weeks. Again, it shouldn't
14:21
be a knock on them. But I I
14:23
also am not just here to jump
14:26
on the Eagles bandwagon quite yet, just
14:28
a typo in the forty n season though ironically
14:31
we had just been talking about this last week.
14:33
If brock Purty goes
14:35
to the Super Bowl for sure, is he automatically
14:38
the starter next season. Now we
14:41
have a real conversation because now he's gonna have surgery
14:43
on his throwing elbow, and
14:45
I'm sure you know he's a young dude. These guys have the best
14:48
staff in the world, like they he'll be
14:50
fine, he'll recover fine. But it does
14:52
beg the conversation of is
14:55
it a competition. There's a lot
14:57
that it's like an incredible almost
14:59
a SHPOs season one cliffhanger
15:02
of a show that you really really like and
15:04
you're really into and you're like, how is this
15:06
going to end? And like the finale was really
15:09
good, didn't wrap up the whole
15:11
first season of the show, but it made
15:13
you say, gosh, now, I just when a
15:15
season two gonna happen. It's like waiting for the next
15:17
season of Succession to come out. So
15:19
that's what it's gonna be like, waiting to see how this purty
15:21
thing plays out. I just think
15:24
it's all gonna add. We've talked about this many times.
15:26
It's gonna be an awesome free
15:28
agency sort of quarterback speed
15:31
dating round. Uh in the off
15:33
season. I think I think it's gonna be really
15:35
really fun. Absolutely so
15:38
over to the a f C and we've been double dipping
15:40
because it's hard to just not talk about this weekend
15:42
and bring in Mahomes in some capacity. But
15:44
my question to you is Bengals
15:47
Chiefs now as a rivalry Considering
15:49
all four games between these two star
15:52
young quarterbacks have been decided by three points,
15:54
Mahomes finally getting his first one in the series,
15:57
and the talk and of
16:00
postgame interviews and all
16:02
of the drama and burrow Head and
16:05
there's a political figure involved with
16:07
the mayor of Cincinnati. Do you
16:09
feel like this rivalry is now the
16:11
biggest in the NFL. Definitely
16:13
in the a f C. Obviously, I feel like Josh
16:15
Allen might be the odd man out there, but yeah, it
16:18
is because the NFC just doesn't have the quarterback
16:20
matchups to back it up. So yes, I do think
16:22
it's like this one's personal. It's personal.
16:25
Couple of things on this. So I do some
16:27
work for the Knicks with Knicks Gaming and
16:29
I got to learn under a woman
16:31
named Kristen Berner who was an executive for MSG.
16:34
She was incredible, taught me a lot and
16:36
she very much. During one of the
16:38
two K League video game tournaments,
16:41
like I was kind of trash talking one of
16:43
the players, and she very much like she's like that
16:45
guy, you don't talk trash to you
16:47
talk trash to any the other ones
16:49
him No, because it's too much. And
16:52
I feel like the Bengals all week long.
16:55
I get it's like an alpha move their show,
16:57
but I just think it was the wrong time
17:00
and the wrong bunch of dudes. So
17:02
yeah, the mayor getting by the way, that was corny.
17:05
Mayor like that is. I just if
17:07
I was the mayor of any city that's competing for
17:09
a Super Bowl, I would be at home praying.
17:11
I wouldn't be out in front doing Borrow
17:14
is your daddy? That is? So that was so corny.
17:17
That was all they like they deserved to lose for that. That
17:19
was terrible, terrible.
17:21
I hated that. I hated it. On that
17:23
note, I know I'm skipping ahead, but
17:26
we've got to insert it right here are
17:28
fantastic audible of
17:30
the week. It's the Chiefs tight end Travis
17:32
Kelsey. Take it away to Travis. Hey,
17:37
I've got some wise words for that Cincinnati
17:40
mayor. No, you'll roll and shut
17:42
your mouth. You're your brony. You
17:47
kinna find you, all right.
17:56
So Jerry, I mentioned earlier the Chief's injuries.
17:59
A lot of this happened in the second half of
18:01
the game, and I know we've got two weeks
18:04
until the Super Bowl.
18:06
However, my concerns go beyond
18:08
Patrick Mahomes. It goes beyond Travis Kelsey's
18:11
back, because the Chiefs lost three receivers
18:14
in that game. Caldarius Tony
18:16
McCole Hardman, who had finally come
18:18
back first game since November, and
18:21
that was a huge deal. We thought he was coming back
18:23
in the game. I did the Jacksonville game before and
18:25
no can do. He had a setback anyways,
18:27
Candarius Tony McCole Hardman, and that was
18:29
hard to see because he's gripping his abs, which
18:31
was his injury. And Juju Smith
18:34
Schuster. So three receivers, not to mention
18:36
linebacker Willie Gay and cornerback
18:39
Lagarius Need. That happened early in the game.
18:42
I mean, Chiefs took a beating
18:44
and their leader, their start. All
18:46
people could talk about all week was Patrick Mahomes
18:49
ankle and they've really got
18:51
their work cut out for him and the next two weeks get healthy.
18:53
So that's got to be monitored they do. I know, we
18:55
always complain, Uh wow, that
18:57
week when there's no football. It's like it's
19:00
oh tough, And I don't know why on earth the
19:02
Phoenix Open. I think it's formerly the Waste Management
19:04
Open. Why are you still on the Super Bowl
19:06
Sunday weeken. I get it, it's awesome that said,
19:08
but you should be the weekend before give us something to
19:10
watch. It's crazy the amount. I'm not surprised
19:13
that the Tony injury, he's perpetually
19:15
hurt. He's going back to his days
19:17
with the Giants. Just you play a great game, yeah,
19:19
I just that doesn't surprise me. I feel
19:21
bad for hard Man. What I still can't
19:23
believe. And this is why I when
19:25
my sister in law sent me her first anytime
19:27
score, the first time first touchdown
19:29
score a thing, I'm like, there's no way Kelsey scoring
19:32
this game. There's just not How are
19:34
you not triple teaming Kelsey.
19:36
There's no way that the
19:38
Bengals will any score the first touchdown of the game.
19:40
So I think as long as you have Kelsey, you
19:42
have a chance. I love to check out, but yeah, it's
19:45
the training staff. I think everyone has their eyes
19:47
on the Chiefs training staff in the next ten
19:50
days because they got their work cut out. They
19:52
got to get those those players healthy,
19:54
they might collectively win Super Bowl MVP.
19:58
And I know we talked a lot about Reddick, but also
20:00
shout outs to Chris Jones. He
20:02
was incredible. The Chiefs pass rush
20:05
was better than the Bengals pass rush.
20:07
I know the Bengals offensive line is a makeshift.
20:10
We thought they figured it out versus the Bills.
20:12
That might have just been a one off because Jones
20:15
was all over the place. Okay, before
20:17
we get to unleash, I just have to ask you one more thing,
20:19
Jerry, what did you think about the Empire State
20:22
Building lit up green and red?
20:24
You're a New York guy, was that personal? I don't
20:26
understand. I know we don't. We don't curse often
20:28
on this show, but what the fuck?
20:32
That's what I said, Like what, I didn't know if it was
20:34
real my being trolled because
20:36
I lived, you know, in Williamsburg. I
20:38
had a great little view of the Empire State Building. I used
20:40
to always come and, oh, the Empire State bilions orange
20:42
today because the Knicks are playing right, I
20:45
just think that's crazy, crazy
20:47
crazy crazy. And
20:49
now another mayor's involved. Mayor Adams needs to
20:51
figure out who did that? Yeah, yeah, all
20:53
right, let's get to our unleash.
20:57
It's well,
21:05
you know a lot of people are talking about Andy Reid
21:07
facing his former team. He spent thirteen
21:09
seasons there, He won a ton of games. Apparently
21:12
everyone who worked there was very sad
21:14
when he was fired. I believe there was a cake
21:16
a send off party by the staff, like it
21:18
was a big deal. People thought he'd maybe take a couple
21:21
of years off, deal with the family trauma he
21:23
had just gone through. Was a lot going on, but
21:25
nope. Three days later, after Andy
21:27
Reid was fired by Philly, he was hired by
21:30
Kansas City. Took one of the worst teams
21:32
in the NFL straight to the playoffs
21:34
in year one, and took a lot of the Philly
21:36
staff with him. Look up and down
21:38
the Chiefs coaches roster, the list
21:41
from trainers to position coaches.
21:43
Two guys who have gone on to become head coaches
21:45
who came to Kansas City with him from
21:47
Philly. Many have made
21:49
that move with them, so you can understand
21:52
why it's a storyline. But did
21:54
you know that Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni
21:56
was actually in Kansas City on
21:59
the Chiefs coaching staff before Andy
22:01
Reid. He was a wide receiver coach
22:03
and he was fired by Andy
22:06
Reid when he came to town because he brought
22:08
in his own guys. So don't you think
22:10
that that storyline is juicier?
22:13
Like Andy Reid doesn't have revenge
22:15
to get on Philly. I think that storyline
22:17
is actually kind of dead. They parted ways
22:19
amicably, both were ready for a change of
22:22
scenery. But if you're Nick Sirianni, aren't
22:24
you ready to stick it to the guy who fired
22:26
you early in your career. I think
22:29
that this does more for Philly than for Andy
22:31
Reid. Yes, the fire storyline.
22:33
Also, Andy Reid got them to the super
22:35
Bowl in Philly but did not win. Were
22:38
they only one once he left? So I
22:40
think, if anything, this adds to the Eagles.
22:43
And uh yeah, I just think that again, if we've
22:46
learned nothing, stay away from bolton
22:48
board material. I get it. Maybe it is a thing,
22:50
Maybe it isn't. I just would, Yeah,
22:52
I don't. I don't know how much people are you talking
22:54
about you fired, Nick Sirianni. If I'm Andy
22:56
Reid, I'm hoping that doesn't come out so
22:59
good. Thing you just put him on blast to live love
23:01
did you know that I had no idea.
23:04
I honestly, I don't know a ton
23:06
about Nick Sirianni before last year
23:08
when you got the job. But I think, you
23:10
know, everyone talks about Dable coach of the years,
23:13
like, yes, for sure, but I
23:16
don't know Syrian. He's a great coach.
23:18
Yeah, he was there under two different head coaches.
23:20
He survived one chief's head
23:22
coach firing and then I think it was Romeo Cornell
23:25
was his next head coach, and then he got fired. Andy
23:27
comes to town and fires him. I mean, I
23:30
think that's bolton board material. It's it's
23:32
one of those like I wrote all the names down from
23:35
the people they passed on me in the draft,
23:37
and I put it in my helmet the first year. That's
23:39
like exactly what it is. That's a good one.
23:41
My unleashed is just you know how I have
23:43
very strong feelings about Super Bowl Sunday
23:45
or Super Bowl Saturday. We've talked about that
23:47
whole year. I get I lost that battle,
23:50
fine, sure, Although I
23:52
applaud everybody to just the Saturday
23:54
night before the Super Bowl when you're doing whatever,
23:57
I just really think, like, how
23:59
would it would feel to be watching the Super Bowl
24:01
in that moment. But I digress. I want to
24:03
talk about the weekend before because
24:06
I know the Waste Management Open. I
24:08
think now it's the Phoenix Open was
24:10
once before. Either way, I don't
24:12
know why that golf tournament is
24:14
not happening the weekend before when
24:16
we all have nothing to watch. Someone needs to
24:19
own that weekend. And
24:21
basketball. Sure, by this point with basketball,
24:24
we're all limping to the All Star break a little bit
24:26
and we're all starting to feel like, Okay, these regular season
24:28
games are great, but we want some playoff type action.
24:30
So I don't think it could be basketball. I think
24:33
golf will be like the perfect in
24:35
between sport. Just own that
24:37
weekend. Everyone's already dying
24:40
to stop talking about the game. They just want to get
24:42
to the game. There's no more analysis that
24:44
we've already talked about, prop that's a million times.
24:47
Get just do it. Just switch to
24:49
that weekend and own it. Own it. I just
24:51
don't get the business philosophy. There's a
24:53
huge gap in the market. There's
24:55
no product. It's supplied and demand.
24:58
Give the people what they want. I I'm
25:00
fully on board with you on that. And it is
25:02
funny because I think one of the first things that you
25:04
unleashed on on like episode one was
25:06
to move the Super Bowl to Saturday. And let's
25:09
talk about that more next week when we're in person.
25:11
Can't wait, and I'm gonna I'm gonna be out there singing
25:14
for my supper because I will die on that hill.
25:16
I love it all right, enough of us, let's get to
25:18
our guest. Okay,
25:28
let's bring in our guest. Some people follow
25:30
his tips, some people fade him, but either
25:32
way, he's constantly giving out some of the best
25:34
betting advice out there. It's the ep of
25:36
gaming content for Valley Sports and host
25:39
of Live on the Line. Brad Evans.
25:41
Noisy huavos is your Twitter handle, and I've
25:43
just gotta ask what does that mean? Well,
25:46
I failed remedial Spanish,
25:49
but I do remember what wavos are,
25:51
and it means loud, gold eggs
25:53
and waves and Espanol is
25:56
a slang phrase for bulls. So
25:59
I have balls essentially. Oh,
26:03
I love it. Okay with your loud balls,
26:06
But what is your favorite
26:08
sporting event of the year to bet? Is it the
26:10
Super Bowl or is it something more obscure
26:12
that you just get really excited about. It's definitely
26:14
not necessarily something obscure. I am
26:16
a college hoops junkie admittedly,
26:19
and I love March Madness at the beginning of the end.
26:22
If you follow me and my spreadsheet at Noisy
26:24
Vos on Twitter, I post
26:26
my free picks every single day,
26:28
always free, always transparent. I'm impossibly
26:31
up like fifty units right now in college basketball,
26:33
and it's all gonna come comber link down here
26:35
in short order. But I absolutely
26:38
adore college basketball. I live in Champagne,
26:40
Illinois, the home of the University of Illinois,
26:42
fighting in line. I I attend games. It's
26:44
my favorite sport of the planet. Your husband was
26:46
a favorite of mine way back in the day Olivia as
26:49
a member of the Wiskians in Bajors and
26:51
that commence. Yeah
26:55
they did. But they want me a lot of money in the process,
26:57
you know. And I love Bo Ryan as
26:59
well, when my favorite old time college basketball
27:02
head coaches. So yeah, for me,
27:05
it's unrivaled. It is a hundred
27:07
thousand percent the ins a tournament.
27:09
But yeah, I'll lose a few shekels on
27:11
the Super Bowl as well. I'll go as
27:13
far as to say, and that's one of my favorite
27:15
things to bet as well. March Madness has
27:17
single handedly kept the bachelor party
27:20
alive. There's more friends
27:22
who have called me in the last ten years who said
27:24
we're getting married, saying we're doing it. I give
27:27
you to tell me bachelor party. I'm ready, I'm out
27:29
right away. But then when you start saying we're gonna go
27:31
the Vegas March Madness weekend,
27:33
this is long before you could do all this betting on your phone.
27:36
That used to be the only way to lure me out of
27:38
my house to a bachelor party. So props
27:40
to March Madness. We're also keeping the bachelor
27:42
party alive. Yeah, Jerry, I'll just put
27:44
a chair on top of that. Sunday, Well, the great ways
27:47
to start off if you're doing a bachelor maybe
27:49
a bachelorette party during the n s A tournament
27:52
wake up, but I don't know, seven thirty
27:54
eight o'clock in the morning, shake off the hangover
27:56
from the night before activities
27:58
and obviously you were probab like drowning your sorrows
28:00
and some of the units that you lost, and get back
28:03
on the horse into a race
28:05
to fifteen wager on the very
28:08
first game all that day's and see
28:10
tournaments late. I've seen it live
28:12
and in person. We do episodes of
28:14
Live in Line there every single year from
28:16
Sin City. We're gonna be back there this year.
28:19
And that's uh the rite of passage that
28:21
everybody should take, and I have taken it way too
28:23
many damn times in my life. So race
28:26
the fifteen first game on the board.
28:28
I don't care who's playing. I'm in getting
28:30
back to the big game coming up. We were just talking
28:33
about all of the Chiefs injuries since
28:35
we've got two weeks to do nothing but talk
28:37
about this game, and the Chiefs have two
28:39
weeks to get healthy a couple of Eagles players
28:41
too. But do you like to take the numbers
28:43
where they're at now and hope that
28:46
health just comes along, or do you wait
28:48
and see and be cautious and methodical
28:50
about it? Well, you guys know, like college
28:53
basketball, I'm also a player props junkie, So
28:55
I'm waiting for a lot of those numbers to surface,
28:57
and if it's a good number, I'm immediately jumping off.
29:00
And I've already have four of those tickets open
29:02
as a matter of fact, but I immediately
29:04
grab the Kansas City Chiefs and they went to plus
29:07
money on the money line. I could not really
29:09
fathom that the line had swung
29:11
so much in so little of a time. Ember
29:13
they open is one a half point favorites in
29:15
this game and out there too too and half point dogs.
29:18
So I took the money line immediately a plus one ten
29:20
because there will be some good news. It's
29:22
obviously gonna come out about Patrick Mahomes and
29:24
some of the wide receivers, Juice Smith, Schuster
29:27
and various other players who are banked
29:29
up because they have oodles of time to get
29:31
right uh and be ready
29:34
in time for kickoff. But once
29:36
some of that news resonates and trickles
29:39
out, I think it's gonna sway the line
29:41
back too close to a pick um by
29:43
kickoffs. So right now I think the value completely
29:46
resides. If you're willing like I
29:48
am, to side with the Kansas City Chiefs
29:50
on that plus money because it's money Mahomes,
29:53
How could you bet against him as an underdog. You
29:55
know what I'm doing right now, I'm going to take
29:57
that. I didn't realize it was plus money money line.
29:59
I'm deaf, really taking Chief's money line
30:02
plus one oh five as of right now on
30:05
bat MGM plus one oh five, and
30:07
the Chiefs are still plus one and a half on
30:09
the spread. You know, these two teams have been so
30:11
interesting all year because I, like you know, and
30:13
I was a big teaser guy with the Chiefs because I just
30:15
never trusted them to cover some
30:17
of those high numbers. You could trust them on the money
30:20
line. The Eagles, I've always felt
30:22
this whole year, was such a first half
30:25
front running team and in the second half it's a who
30:27
knows. Do you think any of these trends are the things
30:29
that we've learned about these two teams from
30:31
the regular season hold up
30:33
in the super Bowl? Or when when it comes to the Super Bowl
30:35
does all that sort of trending information
30:39
fall out? And you have to just stay in the moment of where these two
30:41
teams finished off the prior week or two. Yeah,
30:43
that's the ultimate question. Is the trend your friend
30:45
or is it a foe? And I think
30:47
it's more of the ladder because it's a one game sample
30:50
size. You know, you can back everything up with sound
30:52
logical reasoning, but you know, in the
30:54
moment, given the fact that you know
30:56
tens of millions or billions of people that are watching
30:58
this contest, this singular game worldwide,
31:02
and the nerves is gonna be taken a hold
31:04
for a lot of these guys who haven't been there before.
31:06
Yeah, everything logical just gets
31:09
thrown out the window. So you know, sensible
31:11
and reasonable takes don't really apply
31:14
in my estimation. Uh in many
31:16
ways. That's why I don't wager and
31:18
a godly amount of my units on a
31:20
single contest. I would rather sprinkle
31:22
it across some swack action or
31:25
some whack action uh in college
31:27
basketball than this one event
31:30
on the betting slate. But you know, the one
31:32
thing that I really want to harp on here, guys,
31:34
is I think strength of schedule is gonna play major
31:36
factor in this game because Kansas
31:38
City has really played a
31:40
more rigorous slate of teams
31:43
leading up to this moment than the Philadelphia
31:45
Eagles. And you know, I have the numbers
31:47
to back it up. Philadelphia has number thirty one
31:49
according to Sagarin and overall strength
31:51
of schedule out of thirty two NFL teams,
31:53
Kansas City build the pack number sixteen that
31:56
category. And if we look at the history
31:59
of teams that have have a ten
32:01
place divide and again thirty
32:03
one verses sixteen. The teams
32:05
that have played the stronger strength of schedule
32:08
are ten and two straight up in
32:10
super Bowls. So in
32:12
that since two thousand four, So again,
32:15
all the more reason for you,
32:17
miss Decker to throw some cash
32:20
down on the Kansas City
32:22
Chiefs on that plus one of five money line before
32:24
that line swings and the chiefs
32:27
of laying minus money. Give
32:29
me another obscure stat Go ahead, I love
32:31
that one teams with the tougher strength of schedule
32:33
ten and two in the Super Bowl. What else, we guys,
32:36
something about colors or who
32:38
wins the coin toss, Like, give me some of these. I
32:40
know you've got them. Oh yeah, your day date
32:42
right on the head coin toss. Here you go. Here's
32:45
the history, guys, Tales it never
32:47
fails right well the
32:49
time, it's actually it. So it's
32:51
more than just a fifty fifty proposition.
32:54
Heads is twenty seven times historically,
32:57
Heads has the longest winning streak,
32:59
act it say, of any of the two inferences,
33:03
as hands as hit five times
33:05
in a row in the past, Tales hit four
33:07
times in a row three times
33:09
in the Super Bowl. So if you just want to
33:11
piss away your money for the opening wager,
33:14
and surely we all do at even
33:16
odds. I say tales never fails.
33:18
I will go with the trend. It will be in my friend
33:20
here at compare to heads historically
33:23
hitting it all right,
33:25
Brad, I think I'm gonna need you to either talk
33:28
me into or talk me
33:30
out of something, depending on how you feel that. I
33:32
talked to a little a little bit about this earlier in the show.
33:34
She's trying to figure out exactly how many units
33:36
I was talking about. I did not disclose that information,
33:39
so your advice here might really determine
33:41
that. But I like to take some big swings
33:43
on Super Bowl MVP. Of course, it's easy to
33:46
pick her or homes. I get it,
33:48
that's super easy. But there's a name that's
33:50
standing out. It's like in Boogie Nights when he's
33:52
like, I keep seeing that name Dirk Diggler and Neon
33:55
Lights. There's a name that keeps
33:57
standing out to me. For m v P. The
34:00
odds are amazing. We haven't seen a
34:02
defensive Super Bowl MVP in a
34:04
long long time. I'll make
34:06
the case quickly. But I love Hassan
34:08
Reddick. Super Bowl m v P
34:11
plus three thousand and here's why. Obviously,
34:13
the Eagles need to win the game, but I just look
34:15
at that offense. Yes, of course Hurts could
34:17
do it with the rushing in the passing yards, but I could
34:19
also see him just managing the game.
34:22
Miles Sanders grabs the TV maybe
34:24
Gainwell or Dallas Goddard grab one
34:26
and just do enough offensively to win. But
34:28
that defense Reddick last week
34:31
was destroying people. And I've
34:33
seen him three times with the Giants, and that
34:35
dude looks like he's moving like it's a video
34:37
game. So I need you to talk
34:39
me into this long shot or talk
34:41
me out, and I'll decide about the units
34:43
once I hear your take on this. Jerry,
34:46
don't drain the bank roll on this prop
34:48
at all, especially at the long odds. But
34:51
is it foreseeable? Is it doable?
34:53
I think you make it compelling case, and
34:55
that is the case of a long chat. It's very rare
34:58
that you get a defensive MBV in a
35:00
Super Bowl. Usually it's gonna go with the game
35:02
winning quarterback, likely gonna be Jalen
35:04
Hurts if it is the Eagles that indeeds Hoyst
35:07
the Lombardi Trophy in the end, or it's gonna be Patrick
35:09
Mahomes on the other side. But if you want to chuck a
35:11
hail Mary. Maybe you get a turnover
35:13
from whereticet the game. You know, some
35:15
key moments where he is the
35:18
key figure in that particular
35:20
moment in time. Maybe just
35:23
maybe he can garner enough attention
35:25
and enough votes in the end to get
35:27
that m v P trophy. So sure, why
35:30
the hell not? Man, I'm not gonna speak for anybody
35:32
else's money, It's yours. You're an accomplished
35:34
actor. Just go ahead and make it ring. My
35:36
comp is the is von Miller in That's
35:40
that's sort of what I the path I would
35:42
pitch, you know, similar type,
35:44
both great edge rushers. I do feel like if it
35:46
were barring someone getting three interceptions,
35:49
it would be an edge rusher. But
35:51
yeah, that was the last time you saw it was Von Miller,
35:53
last defensive player to win m v P beautiful.
35:56
I gotta ask you this because Jerry's sister in law
35:59
is apparently a saf on and she nailed both
36:01
first touchdown scorers this past weekend.
36:03
What's your approach to first touchdown score I
36:07
don't play it, to be honest, except for
36:09
last week and this is a true story,
36:11
guys. I had the first touchdown
36:14
prop in the a f C title game
36:16
on k Darius Tony, and
36:18
we all saw what happened with
36:21
that first touchdown prop. I
36:23
was nearly doing ge dancing around
36:25
in my living room, and then I watched the replay and I'm
36:27
like, oh, that ain't catch, and then he exits
36:30
stage left with the agle injury,
36:32
and I'm like, well, there's no chance of redemption
36:35
at all, so they are dead to me.
36:37
I am never going to ever wager
36:39
again on the first touchdown
36:42
prop, whether it's a Super Bowl or whatever.
36:44
However, if you feed me enough tequila, maybe
36:46
I'll be convinced. Otherwise, you
36:50
know which one I all. I also like to And
36:53
this is if you're sticking with the defense of
36:55
it all, and I don't know your your feelings on this,
36:57
I feel like we may very well see either and I'm
37:00
might do a little sprinkling of either defensive
37:02
touchdown or safety in
37:04
the game, which you do sometimes get late
37:06
and it happens out and there are usually
37:08
really great odds. I don't know. I just
37:10
feel like these defenses might factor
37:13
in more than the two great offenses.
37:15
But there I just feel like the defense is my factor
37:17
in a lot. Jerry, absolutely love you.
37:20
You were chasing, uh, the incredible
37:22
long odds on every single one of these
37:24
wagers because you can't make a compelling
37:27
argument that they could occur. But
37:29
there's a reason why they were long odds. Right,
37:32
I'd like to safety approach. You know, maybe we get like
37:34
Seattle Denver from a few years ago all over
37:36
again. Maybe it's an airmailed
37:38
snap over the quarterback's head like we saw
37:40
him that contest, and it sets the
37:42
tone for the entire game. And you cash a winning ticket
37:45
like in the first two minutes of the game. That
37:47
would be remarkable. That would be stunning, And
37:49
I think you should just not wear pants the rest of the
37:51
day if that does. You
37:53
did like my Reddick pitched down. The defensive touchdown
37:56
and the the and the safety. Those are
37:58
like lottery tickets. But do you liked what
38:01
I put together for Reddick? Right? How about
38:03
all of them and let's correlate, synergized,
38:05
bring it all together. Maybe they all
38:07
hit at the same time. Maybe Reddick gets like
38:09
a stripped sack and we get
38:11
a defensive scoop and score,
38:13
or he sacks the quarterback in the end
38:15
so for the safety and then they
38:18
yeah, it's over. You'll need
38:20
to do any more movies. You need not
38:23
do any more TV shows. You just rude
38:25
off of the sunset and buy an island
38:27
in the Bahamas. No podcast, sorry,
38:29
Olivia. If yeah,
38:33
maybe a little maybe every other week. I don't
38:35
know, but you have to get me off the golf course
38:37
because I'll be living somewhere warm where there's
38:39
a lot of Okay, we talked about
38:41
coin toss. Bet MGM offers a lot
38:43
of fun novelty props, including the coin toss.
38:46
Another one is which team calls
38:48
the first time out? Is there any strategy
38:50
to that one? Nothing? I mean, it's all
38:53
in the moment. Best guess, you
38:55
know, could be play cock running down
38:57
and nobody's really paying attention to
38:59
what is going on in that particular moment. He gotta,
39:02
you know, call of time out. I will give
39:04
you some semblance of sound
39:06
reasoning as to why this might hit.
39:08
I would go with the Eagles just because
39:10
of the relative inexperience
39:13
obviously in the playoffs for Jalen Hurts,
39:15
although he is a guy that's played in some massive
39:17
moments at the collegiate level and so
39:19
far getting to this moment, those are massive
39:21
moments in their own right, But maybe,
39:24
just maybe Kansas City, can
39:26
you know, rereak enough havoc or cause
39:28
some confusion and their defensive setup
39:30
that makes him second guess something and he got a call
39:32
an early time out. So if I gotta flip
39:35
a coin, I'm already on tails.
39:37
Never fails, I say the Eagles follow
39:39
that mantra as well. I don't even know who had
39:41
this prople years ago. I think it was this
39:43
prop years ago. I don't think MGM bet MGM
39:46
offers this prop. I'm glad they don't.
39:48
I think someone's gonna break a record. I
39:50
think the record of cutaways to
39:52
the booth into the suites
39:54
of another play. I think Peyton Manning broke it the
39:56
year Eli and the Giants want and beat
39:59
it, beat the defeated Patriots. They must
40:01
have cut to Peyton six times.
40:04
What would be the over under for cutaways
40:06
to Donna Kelsey this Sunday,
40:09
both Kelsey brothers, mothers. I put
40:11
it at three and a half cutaways
40:13
to Donna Kelsey, you over under
40:15
way over, and that that would be the number. I
40:17
would set the line at would be three and a half. But you
40:20
gotta smash it, man, I mean Travis
40:22
every time Travis Kelty catches
40:25
a ball and you know, and it's probably
40:27
gonna be five or six, maybe seven or eight. In
40:29
this game, there's an opportunity for
40:31
a cutaway. He scores a touchdown, you
40:33
know, damn well, they're cut of cut away
40:35
to that booth. Then, of course, just
40:37
bring it up the whole Kelsey Brothers
40:40
Bowl narrative. That's gonna be a cut
40:42
of way. So minimum of two,
40:44
maximum of eight fits three
40:46
and a half. Dude, we're Windmills
40:48
slam dunking like Dominique Wilkin style.
40:51
The over on that that's already up to four and a half.
40:53
Now, based on that, all I will say to
40:55
make the counterpoint you mentioned a great point. Travis
40:58
Kelsey, We're gonna probably hear is n him a lot. I don't
41:00
know how often we'll hear his brother's name
41:02
because of his position that he plays right, So
41:05
that maybe might be your reasoning to go under.
41:08
But let's stick with Travis Kelsey for one more second,
41:10
too, because I think he has defied
41:13
all the odds after that Jaguars
41:15
game, or it just seemed preposterous
41:17
that he was scoring touchdowns left and right, because
41:19
how do you not have him double covered. I said,
41:22
there's no way he catches a touchdown versus the Bengals.
41:24
The Bangers are too smart. They know how this team
41:26
plays. Of course, my sister in law disagreed
41:28
with me that bet him to get the first time, and
41:30
he did, and I just think he's
41:33
defining the any time T
41:35
d Odds. It's one of the best runs ever.
41:37
And now the Eagles, if they're full strength defensively,
41:40
there's just no way Kelsey could get in the end.
41:42
So how would you even let that happen? With
41:44
how banged up the Chiefs are. They can't
41:47
let it happen because in the regular season
41:49
they gave up eighty one receptions. It ain't hundred yards
41:51
and tied in position. So Kelsey, it
41:54
just has a knack. He is slick, he is savvy,
41:56
He finds the open space, and
41:58
he is imper perfect rhythm
42:01
right now with Patrick Mahomes. So just
42:03
like you saw him that last game. You know, my Homes
42:06
rolls out of the pocket, he's look in one direction,
42:08
one direction only, and that's Kelsey had a free
42:10
himself from the defender, but easily was
42:12
able to accomplish that and they connected
42:14
for six. So if you're gonna play
42:16
a Kelsey anytime touchdown prop? What
42:19
I would suggest doing because the juice is gonna
42:21
be so externally extraordinarily
42:23
high right now. Yeah,
42:26
I forget that noise. I wouldn't do that. So the
42:28
way I would play it is O g p it. I
42:30
would take Kelsey on that anytime
42:32
t D and I'm all about core late, synergized,
42:35
bring it all together. If he's gonna score
42:37
t D, the odds of Kansas
42:40
City winning this game straight up increase.
42:42
So why not just take Ksey on the money line,
42:45
which right now we know is that plus one oh
42:47
five and they have that minus one. I'm
42:49
no mathematician, but that sounds mighty
42:52
juicy. I was trying to get you some I
42:54
do love that. I might actually play that right now. Keep
42:56
going that. So,
42:59
as we're recording Tuesday, player props are
43:01
not out yet, But as we look at both quarterbacks,
43:04
what's a number you have in mind that you would
43:06
take the over on passing yards
43:08
for both for both quarterbacks, Yeah,
43:11
I mean Mahomes will probably be in like the
43:13
two seventy two eighty range would
43:16
be my guestimates on that. Honestly,
43:18
the one prop that I really anxious to
43:20
see our rushing guards or Patrick Mahomes
43:22
closed at nine and a half in the
43:25
a f C title game, and there
43:27
was a bit of a controversy at the end
43:29
of that game with how the statisticians
43:32
scored that final scramble that
43:34
he had. But I think he's gonna be running
43:36
little bit more. He's a guy that runs like he's got
43:39
to go number two every single time that I've see him
43:41
play. He's got the movie Scoots going on. But
43:43
I think, you know, with that ankle at
43:45
or near a percent by the time we get
43:47
to kick off. If the numbers in you know,
43:49
the low twenties or the high teens,
43:52
I think you'd take advantage against the Philadelphia
43:54
front. They gave up over twenty rush yards
43:57
per game of the quarterback position in the regular season.
43:59
So that that's what I'm looking at for him,
44:01
And then for Hurts, probably gonna be
44:03
anywhere between two sixty two two
44:05
seventy. I would estimate
44:08
in the past yards prop range
44:10
in his rushing yards gonna be close to fifty. I gonna
44:12
open around forty six and a half forty seven a
44:14
half on bet MGM.
44:16
And again that's another prop of the
44:19
rush yards, more of the pass yards where
44:21
I would stack my green back, so everything
44:23
one of these guys, or just do some alt
44:25
lines and do both of the rushi
44:28
guards propless on these guys on an O g
44:30
P. Take my homes down like fifteen, take
44:33
hurts down to maybe thirty five or
44:35
so, smash that if you get in at
44:37
plus one oh five plus one ten even
44:39
better, and then you retire with
44:41
Jerry again and that bohemian island
44:44
here in short order, I better build a podcast
44:46
studio and on the island there else it's
44:48
gonna be hard again. Before we let
44:50
you go, though, Brad, and I don't know if you mentioned Earlia, but
44:52
where where will you be for the actual
44:54
super Bowl? What is going to be your viewing experience?
44:58
And what is it like? Madness at
45:00
Cassaday Evans. So I'm gonna be on
45:02
Auto Radio Row and doing live
45:04
on the line shows from Arizona
45:07
starting this weekend, and I get the hell
45:09
out of Dodge before it gets too
45:11
crazy and too mad. Every single Friday,
45:13
it's my seven super Bowl being covered.
45:16
And that's the one thing I've I've learned.
45:18
I partied it really hard the first couple of years
45:21
don't remember a whole lot of what went on those first
45:23
couple of years. I decided I've grown
45:25
up now. My liver doesn't need to go
45:27
to war at all, and and down
45:30
there with the great Sonoran Desert. So i
45:32
gonna played even keeled and get
45:34
out of dodge like I said on Friday. Then
45:36
I'll, you know, probably make a Costco Runner three.
45:39
Load up on dips. You gotta have
45:41
a lot of dips to have a successful
45:43
super Bowl party. On My whole made guac
45:45
recipe is legendary in these
45:48
parts as well. So I'm gonna whip up a batch of
45:50
that. H pop, open a fine
45:52
bottle of Suavecito on Diehoe tequila,
45:55
sit back, relax, sip it, and dip
45:57
it until my heart's content. You
46:01
saw me, I want to be I would love to watch.
46:04
We'll be out there too, Brad. So I'm
46:06
sure I might have to run up to you on radio
46:08
Row and just be like, give me something, talk
46:10
me out of Hassan Reddick. Please don't let me do it.
46:12
You might be seeing me begging for help. Jerry,
46:15
here's what's gonna happen. I was half
46:17
joking about swack action. Whack
46:19
Action Mountain West play whatever college
46:22
basketball we got games. I'm going
46:24
to the Grand Canyon, New Mexico State
46:26
game, which is gonna be played
46:29
there in Phoenix. I think it like Tuesday or
46:31
Wednesday night. I'm gonna wager
46:33
on that fanciful whack contest.
46:36
Maybe you'll join me because it's well the best
46:39
venues in college basketball to see game live.
46:41
Say no more, I'm at the very least we'll bet
46:43
with you bet, but that sounds fantastic and
46:45
we can't forget. We also have we know, we have the Phoenix
46:47
Open coming that Sunday, which they need to put that
46:50
the weekend before the super Bowl, Like just
46:52
make give that its own weekend so we could just fire
46:54
off on a couple of final round winners
46:57
in golf. But it's gonna be a great week. No
46:59
live base in at all at the Phoenix Open. All
47:02
right, Brad, we appreciate you joining us. You can follow
47:05
Brad Evans on Twitter at Noisy Huevos
47:07
and watch him making picks every day on Live on
47:09
the Line. Thanks so much for being here, and we'll see
47:11
you in Phoenix. Yes, SIPs
47:14
and dips, that's the game playing guys,
47:25
all right, Olivia. I don't think. I don't think we're doing Entourage
47:27
this week. I think you've got a pretty busy life.
47:30
And I totally get you can't stay
47:32
fully watching episodes of Entourage all
47:34
the time. You're a mom. You have jobs. I totally
47:36
understand. So for real quick and before
47:38
we we get to Pete and talk about some
47:40
bets, this is just a big,
47:43
unleased shout out because I feel like this is
47:45
a big deal. Your husband,
47:47
Sam Decker of the London Lions. They
47:50
won the BBL Cup, another title for Sam.
47:52
He's taking home a lot of hardware because he also got the m
47:54
v P game high twenty
47:56
two points nine boards. Where
47:59
is the trophies going to stand of a place he likes
48:01
to put his stuff or is he kind of
48:03
like I'll put that in the Classic because I want to go win another one.
48:06
Oh. I like that dog mentality
48:08
and I think he's more on that side. The
48:10
first thing I did so I was working
48:13
and I was coming like off of a work
48:15
thing and I checked my phone. I'm
48:17
like, oh my god, they won. They won. It
48:19
was a big deal to mid season cups so
48:21
that the season's not done. But in Europe they
48:23
do that a lot, So it's a huge deal and this
48:26
team hasn't won it in however many years,
48:28
and they're really changing the whole culture
48:30
of British basketball, which is fantastic, and
48:33
that Sam one m v P. You know, I'm
48:35
so proud, and then I'm hit with like a wave
48:37
of guilt that I'm not there. And I
48:40
think a lot of people listening can feel that when
48:42
both parents work and it's tough, you
48:44
know, you got to make sacrifices. But the
48:46
strides that he's taken and
48:49
the different chapters of his basketball
48:51
career, I'm just so proud of
48:53
his fortitude, of his discipline.
48:56
He's so disciplined and hard
48:58
on himself and he's just
49:00
he's kind of a class act through and through, and I'm
49:02
just so proud of the way he handles himself. One
49:04
of the first things was I texted and I said, because
49:07
it's a it's like a golden basketball is the m v
49:09
P Trophy? It's really pretty. I
49:11
said, Uh, where are we going to put that? And
49:14
He's like, in my office, But let
49:16
me just say, because you can see my office every day
49:18
here, I've got pretty sweet memorabilia. Yeah,
49:21
what what comes down? What comes off? What
49:23
comes now? To
49:26
be fair, I work in my office. I do this podcast
49:28
from here. It's kind of like a studio. Sam's
49:31
office is in our basement. It's kind of tucked
49:33
in a corner, like no windows,
49:35
like by Jim's where I am too.
49:37
That's exactly why I'm coming. I'm
49:41
kind of like, man, it looked really nice in my
49:43
background, so let's see if I win that one,
49:46
my background gets a lot more airtime, so I
49:48
think it should be there. I think it should go in your
49:50
background and listen. Is it weird
49:52
that my that was my first Like I obviously saw
49:54
the news and I was reading a little
49:56
bit more about the game. My first thoughts were
49:58
like, where's he gonna put that opie? Because my
50:00
mind's like where would I put Where
50:03
would I put an m v P of anything? I have
50:05
my direct TV Beats Ball m v P
50:08
probably displayed on my bookshelf.
50:10
And I was the only one who tried to actually make
50:12
a catch in that game. So congrat
50:16
Sam, we know you put a lot of work in it
50:18
obviously shows so m v
50:20
P of this episode also, I think
50:22
and put maybe where you have that Wilson
50:24
n C A ball maybe we could just like that.
50:27
There's there's room. There's room for an m
50:29
v P trophy on that shelf. Yeah, no,
50:31
I love it, but you're really sweet to say that. And yeah,
50:34
still a lot of season left, but he's just he's
50:36
balling out, so we gotta keep him healthy.
50:38
I've got to get back to London so I can support him in
50:40
person, and there'll be a lot more basketball
50:42
to win. Go Sam,
50:55
all right, everyone, this is obviously one
50:57
of my favorite parts of the show. We'd been talking a lot about
50:59
game in today and we're gonna keep
51:01
that going. We're joined by Peter Andrew.
51:04
I don't know what to call you after last week.
51:06
We're just gonna call you Peter Andrew from
51:09
bed MGM after last week. We're not really going to
51:11
attach a label, just yeah, we're
51:13
gonna see how we kind of do. But that
51:16
was one of those rough weekends where the
51:19
the bets didn't really pan out. And your
51:21
team San Francisco forty nine
51:23
is you're all black today, so I feel you were in all
51:25
black, So I feel like it's a your mourning. Are
51:27
you mourning? I am mourning. It
51:29
is a sad day. I was with Olivia
51:31
for what three and a half hours on Sunday
51:34
recording the stream. It was it
51:37
was tough to stay composed after watching
51:39
a quarterback less team have to play against the
51:42
Philadelphia Eagles. So yeah, yeah,
51:44
as a fan, as a fourty niner fan, would you rather
51:47
have just like pretty stays healthy
51:49
and you play good game down
51:51
to the end and losing heartbreaking fashion or
51:54
I mean not that you'd rather, don't want to lose at all,
51:56
but or would you like it was over early? It
51:58
was over pretty much early. Were you rather
52:00
have gone down to the wire and you lose a heartbreaker?
52:02
Yeah? I definitely rather the down to the wire,
52:05
especially because I think we played so well on defense,
52:07
especially the first half. We had a
52:10
terrible incomplete call that killed
52:12
the vibe early. I think I don't
52:14
put blame on the league, A put blame in colle Shanahan for not
52:17
challenging that call. And then
52:20
what could have been You have every weapon in the world.
52:23
I absolutely think no bias that we
52:25
could have been should have beat that team, assaming
52:27
we have a healthy quarterback and not Josh Johnson for
52:29
half the game. We talked a little bit about that
52:31
Pete on the day of and then Jerry and
52:33
I did earlier. Is the Christian McCaffrey
52:35
factor of it all, because I
52:37
think there might have been something to be able to be done
52:40
there. Am I crazy now?
52:42
Not at all. It was weird what Shanahan did
52:44
not. I didn't really understand when he was trying to explain
52:46
it in the post game. You have McCaffrey,
52:49
who can do it, run a wildcat. They
52:51
say they have plays set up for him.
52:54
You have Juwan Jennings, who is their third wide
52:56
receiver, who is I believe a four
52:58
star recruit out of Tennessee. He came
53:00
in from high school being a quarterback, so
53:02
god it knows how to throw the ball. I appreciate
53:05
the fact that he doesn't have all the plays in the playbook,
53:07
but you have options there. Why are you playing
53:10
brock Purty with a torn U c L Now
53:12
you're finding out he couldn't throw the ball more than three or four
53:14
yards on the top off, I'd rather, you
53:17
know. A friend of mine said, like, they feel like they just surrendered
53:19
as the third quarter happened, and I agree they
53:21
could have done something different. They were kind
53:23
of hoping for a turnover, hoping for a pick six,
53:25
and you can't win like that. It's against
53:28
a really good Jalen Hurts and Philadelphios
53:30
team. I actually kind of think that if Christian
53:33
had been with the team all season that maybe they
53:35
could have installed more options
53:37
there that could have been trick plays before brock
53:39
Purtty got hurt. But then, you know, I
53:41
mean he just joined what a month ago, a
53:43
month and a half. Yeah, he played anyway
53:46
less than half the season. Yeah. I
53:48
think next year it's going to be
53:51
Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Jimmy G Brock
53:54
Purty all on the same team, just to avoid the
53:56
the potential quarterback loss. So we'll
53:59
be fine, don't worry. A lot of five quarterbacks Trader
54:01
to go. I feel like, and and this is just an
54:03
assumption, but you would think common sense
54:05
says one of the things like that worked against even
54:08
Johnson was pretty
54:11
needs the reps. I mean, all the course, all
54:13
started quarterbacks need the reps. But if it would have been like Jimmy
54:15
G, maybe you know, he doesn't need as
54:17
many reps as a rookie quarterback,
54:19
last pick of the draft, even though he's won however
54:22
many games in a row. So I just feel
54:24
like it's hard even to get Josh Johnson
54:26
up to speed when you want to make sure you got Brocked Purty
54:29
up to speed. But uh, I don't
54:31
know. It just was a bummer because I really thought that was
54:33
gonna be the more interesting game
54:35
of the two. And yeah, the Eagles
54:38
shattered all my bad. I I I totally
54:40
Earlier in the show, I had my typical
54:42
teaser that had just both games
54:44
being close games. And obviously
54:46
that was true on the Bengal side and not so
54:49
much on the nine. But either
54:51
way, great season, will be a fun
54:53
offseason. We're not going to talk about your beds
54:55
from last week, which is gonna gloss over that.
54:58
Uh. And I want to ask you because
55:00
I know you have some picks for us now, but when
55:02
is the sweet spot for you when
55:05
talking about Super Bowl bets and picks and props
55:08
and all that, when you've got so much downtime
55:10
and uh, how closely do you think that the
55:12
information is going to change these lines going
55:15
forward? Yeah, I think there's two
55:17
sweet spots. It's probably right as the lines
55:19
come out, and I think we're right in that sweet spot right now.
55:21
Aaron on a Tuesday, and then you're looking at
55:23
Saturday into Sunday as things start to take
55:26
more shape based on what's happening in the game. So
55:28
for me, I see a lot of opportunity
55:30
on things that are coming out. You know, I'll give you
55:33
one example. Eagles to win right now
55:35
are minus Jalen
55:37
Hurts is plus one ten to win m v P.
55:40
Why would you not. There's no way
55:42
on planet Earth that if the Eagles won the Super Bowl
55:44
that Jalen Hurts doesn't team MVP.
55:47
There's a one percent chance. Why would you
55:49
not take the value right now with plus one ten get
55:51
the plus money favorable odds. It's
55:53
effectively the same thing as as betting
55:55
Eagles money line, but you're getting thirty
55:57
cents better. So there's things like that, especially
55:59
as them any line starts to transition away, if the
56:01
money starts to go more towards the Eagles, you're
56:03
gonna lose a lot of that value. So to
56:05
me, easy one to take right off the bat,
56:08
and you can still kind of hedge it with something else on the other
56:10
side, if you want to, with the Chiefs, with Mahome's
56:12
bet or another m v P bet. So little things
56:15
like that start the week like this. Obviously
56:17
a lot takes shape in terms of injuries. Where Mahome's
56:20
at going into next Friday,
56:22
Saturday Sunday is the game's about to take place.
56:24
So I think when you talk start talk one game parlays
56:27
or really really take advantage of over yards or
56:29
under yards. I think that's where you have to do,
56:31
you know, spend a little bit of time and play the waiting game.
56:34
Well, Brad Evans was just on and was
56:36
telling us, you know, Chiefs that plus money on the money
56:38
line, I think it's plus one ten is he
56:41
thinks the best bet, and he thinks will certainly
56:43
change as the Chiefs get healthier. They
56:45
have two weeks to do. So I keep harping on this because
56:47
I think that's what a lot of my bets are going
56:49
to come down to. Do you like that
56:52
just to take right off the bat as well? Yeah,
56:55
So to be clear, the Eagles
56:57
one is if you love the Eagles here for obvious
56:59
reasons. I don't love the Eagles here, but I
57:02
think your people are over investing their
57:04
time and thinking that Mom is not gonna be healthy in two
57:06
weeks. He won't be. I think
57:08
he's gonna be way better situation
57:10
than he is right now. He's gonna have a lot of treatment. I
57:13
am taking for sure Chiefs earlier this week,
57:15
and then we'll see as the money goes and changes. I
57:17
might get lucky and be able to double down on it and take it
57:19
at a better price. But at least I know I can lock
57:21
it into plus money early this week. And
57:24
if you see a couple of my props too, I think we
57:26
all really leaning towards the Chiefs.
57:28
I look at a guy like Pacheco, who has become a big
57:31
institutional part of their offense. Is
57:33
over under right now it is fifty three and a half yards. I
57:35
think rushing attempts is ten and a half. I
57:37
love him to go smash both of those
57:39
overs. I think they really build the game
57:42
around him, and then around the play action, and then
57:45
you start opening up options, and
57:47
then you look at some of the any time touchdowns. There's
57:49
a couple that are a little bit chalky, like Kelsey,
57:51
who's seemingly just full stride right
57:53
now. Pacheco plus one eighty anytime. One
57:56
bet that goes against everything I'm saying here
57:58
is I think the Eagle have scored
58:00
the first touchdown in the game close to set
58:03
the time this season, So if you are going to take
58:05
something first touchdown, you should absolutely
58:07
look towards the Eagles. Jalen Hurts plus eight hundred.
58:09
I think it is great value right there. But that's kind of
58:11
the one Eagles lane I have right now. Everything
58:14
else is really dear towards the
58:16
lower totals of the Chiefs because of
58:18
the Mahomes injury and the impact that has
58:20
on all the problems. Do you get into any
58:23
coin flip, Gatorade
58:25
color, how long
58:27
the national anth is going to be? Or do you I
58:29
personally stick to football. I stick to
58:31
all the football stuff because I think that stuff
58:34
is kind of I don't know. I just you
58:36
are flipping coins, But there any of those that you
58:38
even superstitiously like to play.
58:41
Yeah, I mean, if you look from the sports
58:43
bedding perspective, a coin flip is fifty,
58:46
but the way we price things out, it's not fifty,
58:48
so you're actually using value on something. That's
58:51
so my advice is always stick away from those things.
58:54
Gatorade is a fun one. Sometimes we'll do one collectively
58:56
as a group and to say how everybody picked
58:58
a color. We as a sports book,
59:01
we can't offer the the
59:03
anthem because it's very subjective. You might hear
59:05
crazy that people do. I
59:08
think that's bananas, it's
59:10
crazy. And one might say two minutes twelve
59:12
seconds. The other might say too each twenty and then next thing, you
59:14
know that the over unders to seventeen. Like it's
59:17
too subjective for me. I'd rather stick to things
59:19
that I know that objectively that that's
59:21
what happened, that's what it should be. It's like on
59:24
w w E on
59:26
the outcome that every a lot of people know already
59:29
exactly, and especially when you have all this knowledge
59:31
of people that were around for the practice session,
59:34
for the anthem and all that. For sure.
59:36
I love the props though, yeah, that part does seem
59:39
sketchy. As much as I don't like those
59:41
kind of weird coin flip props, we
59:43
love the props at that MGM. And this year,
59:46
you guys are gonna find out firsthand, and we're gonna
59:48
have a bunch of our famous ambassadors, maybe
59:50
the two here on this call talk about some of them.
59:52
We have a hundred thousand dollar big
59:54
game essentially a prop sheet, so
59:57
any customer completely free to play. All you need
59:59
to do is be a verified customer. Bet M Jam starting
1:00:02
next week, everybody will be able to pick
1:00:04
the fifteen different props we have. It'll
1:00:06
be things like first touchdown score, over
1:00:08
and unders on player passing yards, receiving
1:00:10
yards. If you were the person who guesses
1:00:12
the most correctly, were the perfect amount,
1:00:14
whoever finishes at the top spot, hundred
1:00:17
thousand dollars in your pocket in
1:00:19
your bet MJAM wallet. It's a really cool
1:00:21
thing. It's completely free to play. It's one thing
1:00:23
that we doft picks, fifteen
1:00:26
picks, and I think we're gonna try to
1:00:28
get a couple of you guys to predict some as well, to
1:00:30
give maybe your advice on what you think
1:00:32
for a couple of them. But completely free to
1:00:34
play, so really, really exciting. I kind
1:00:37
of nervous thing. I don't want to give my picks
1:00:39
out because I want to win this competence. I want to win
1:00:41
this game, right.
1:00:45
I don't love when people go, wow, that's that's
1:00:47
incredible. I mean, what
1:00:50
do you think, what do you think someone to go fifteen for fifteen?
1:00:52
I'd be crazy, right, I think it's gonna I'd
1:00:54
say thirteen. Yeah.
1:00:57
And if in ties you just to tie the time
1:01:00
players split right, split pot situation
1:01:02
or now split pot. There is actually a
1:01:04
tiebreaker question. If the tiebreak brings
1:01:06
up being the same, then you'd split the pot.
1:01:08
But we're trying to give one person. I
1:01:12
don't like split pots. I want a definitive
1:01:15
winner. I don't like time. So
1:01:18
we're super excited. So we'll share all that next
1:01:20
week. And we're right in the swinging things
1:01:23
in Arizona for the big game. But that's
1:01:25
our little way of getting in the spirit start the week
1:01:27
next week. I love it. Well, next week
1:01:29
we'll get more into the nitty gritty Pete. We're
1:01:31
going to be in person. We're so excited to look out
1:01:34
for some content across all bet
1:01:36
MGM social channels. I guarantee
1:01:38
you you won't miss us. So not only across all
1:01:40
social media, but also YouTube. Guys, you've
1:01:43
got to be following the bet MGM Unleashed
1:01:45
YouTube page where we have every
1:01:47
episode, every interview, we have the best
1:01:50
moments, the shorts already clipped. Make
1:01:52
sure you're following us there and next week
1:01:55
in Phoenix, make sure you're following us all across
1:01:57
social media. Thanks guys, See then at
1:02:02
the many Pe
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